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Zcash price tests $290 as Bollinger Band pressure builds

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Zcash price tests lower Bollinger Band near $290 — is a technical bounce forming? - 1

Zcash price is hovering near a key technical support zone after weeks of steady losses, with traders watching closely for signs of short-term exhaustion.

Summary

  • ZEC is trading near $290 after sliding more than 40% over the past month.
  • Derivatives activity has cooled, with futures volume falling even as open interest holds steady.
  • Price is testing the lower Bollinger Band, raising the odds of a short-term bounce if support holds.

As of this writing, Zcash was trading at $289, down 1.7% in the past day. The token has struggled to keep pace with recent market moves and remains one of the few large-cap assets in the red despite a slight crypto market rebound.

Zcash (ZEC) has fluctuated between $282 and $401 over the last week, but the trend has clearly shifted lower. The token is down 21% in the last seven days and has lost 43% over the past month, giving back much of its late-2025 rally.

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Market activity has softened as prices fell. Zcash recorded $423 million in trading volume in the past 24 hours, a 15% drop. Derivatives tell a similar story.

CoinGlass data shows futures volume down 20% to $1.14 billion, while open interest edged slightly higher to $451 million, suggesting some traders are holding positions rather than aggressively adding new exposure.

Why Zcash is still under pressure

The recent weakness comes after a strong rally late last year and is likely the result of profit-taking combined with unresolved governance problems. In January, the entire core development team at Zcash developer Electric Coin Company resigned, including chief executive officer Josh Swihart.

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The departures followed a dispute with the Bootstrap non-profit board over governance design, funding access, and control of major products such as the Zashi wallet. The Zcash network itself has not experienced any technical issues or security problems.

However, sentiment has been impacted by uncertainty about planned upgrades, development schedules, and future direction. At the same time, regulatory pressure continues to weigh down on privacy tokens. 

The most recent decline appears to be a grinding consolidation rather than a sell-off triggered by panic. ZEC may be exposed to further decline if nearby support levels give way because each bounce attempt has faded rapidly.

Recent marketing initiatives might provide some temporary relief. In an attempt to raise awareness and spark interest, Zcash has launched new advertising campaigns with updated branding.

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If market conditions improve, stronger engagement might help stabilize price action, but it is unlikely to stop the trend on its own. 

Zcash price technical analysis

ZEC is trading close to the lower Bollinger Band near $290 on the daily chart. Although it does not guarantee a reversal, this area often indicates short-term exhaustion following prolonged declines.

The price is still below the 20-day moving average, which keeps the overall trend downward. In the past, short relief bounces have been preceded by the relative strength index falling into the low-30s like in the current setup.

Zcash price tests lower Bollinger Band near $290 — is a technical bounce forming? - 1
Zcash daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Any attempt to move higher might encounter resistance in the $320–$350 range, where the short-term averages and middle Bollinger Band converge.

A brief push toward $310–$330 may occur if buyers intervene, particularly if the RSI stabilizes and the price returns to the mid-Bollinger range. On the downside, ZEC would be vulnerable to larger losses if it breaks below $280, with little visible support until lower psychological levels.

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Crypto World

Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

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Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

Stablecoin-fueled dusting attacks are now estimated to make up 11% of all Ethereum transactions and 26% of active addresses on an average day, after the Fusaka upgrade made transactions cheaper, according to Coin Metrics. 

Ethereum is now seeing more than 2 million average daily transactions, spiking to almost 2.9 million in mid-January, along with 1.4 million daily active addresses — a 60% increase over prior averages.

The Fusaka upgrade in December made using the network cheaper and easier by improving onchain data handling, reducing the cost of posting information from layer-2 networks back to Ethereum.

Digging through the dust on Ethereum

Coin Metrics said it analyzed over 227 million balance updates for USDC (USDC) and USDt (USDT) on Ethereum from November 2025 through January 2026.

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It found that 43% were involved in transfers of less than $1 and 38% were under a single penny — “amounts with insignificant economic purpose other than wallet seeding.”

“The number of addresses holding small ‘dust’ balances, greater than zero but less than 1 native unit, has grown sharply, consistent with millions of wallets receiving tiny poisoning deposits.”

Pre-Fusaka, stablecoin dust accounted for roughly 3 to 5% of Ethereum transactions and 15 to 20% of active addresses, it said. 

“Post-Fusaka, these figures jumped to 10-15% of transactions and 25-35% of active addresses on a typical day, a 2-3x increase.”

However, the remaining 57% of balance updates involved transfers above $1, “suggesting the majority of stablecoin activity remains organic,” Coin Metrics stated.

Median Ethereum transaction size fell sharply after Fusaka. Source: Coin Metrics

Users need to be wary of address poisoning

In January, security researcher Andrey Sergeenkov pointed to a 170% increase in new wallet addresses in the week starting Jan. 12, and also suggested it was linked to a wave of address poisoning attacks taking advantage of low gas fees

These “dusting” attacks typically involve malicious actors sending fractions of a cent worth of a stablecoin from wallet addresses that resemble legitimate ones, duping users into copying the wrong address when making a transaction.

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Related: Ethereum activity surge could be linked to dusting attacks: Researcher

Sergeenkov said $740,000 had already been lost to address poisoning attacks. The top attacker sent nearly 3 million dust transfers for just $5,175 in stablecoin costs, according to Coin Metrics.

Dust does not represent genuine economic usage

Coin Metrics reported that approximately 250,000 to 350,000 daily Ethereum addresses are involved in stablecoin dust activity, but the majority of network growth has been genuine.  

“The majority of post-Fusaka growth reflects genuine usage, though dust activity is a factor worth noting when interpreting headline metrics.”

Magazine: DAT panic dumps 73,000 ETH, India’s crypto tax stays: Asia Express

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