Steve Tandy has opted for cohesion against the Azzurri
The word “growth” has been used throughout the course of this Six Nations Championship by the Wales coaching team but Saturday’s clash with Italy should fall into the must-win category.
Having taken on the toughest job in world rugby, Steve Tandy has been reluctant to put too much pressure on his squad, at least externally, when it comes to winning games. Wales have been here before back in 2003 when former head coach Sir Steve Hansen emphasised the need to focus on the performance, rather than results.
It was misunderstood at the time with Wales at such a low ebb that they had to focus on getting the performance right and only then would the results come.
Wales are in a similar place under Tandy and are not in a position where they can expect to beat most sides given their lowly place in the world rankings.
It is a long-term plan and improvement was always going to be gradual before they can claim some much-needed victories.
Nobody gave Wales a cat’s chance in hell of beating Ireland in Dublin yet they took a huge step forward regarding performance.
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Despite the defeat the overriding mood afterwards was one of optimism because Wales’ pack had fronted up, the set-piece was good and defensively they were far tougher to break down.
But despite the obvious improvements a third successive Six Nations whitewash can never be deemed an acceptable result.
Yes, Italy are much improved and are currently a better side than Wales but finishing the Six Nations without a single victory would not be classed as progress in the eyes of many.
Nobody expects Wales to beat the likes of France or Ireland in their current state but there has to be at least one win to take into the summer.
By the time of the game it will have been three years – or 1,099 days – since Wales last won a Six Nations fixture. That has to change at the Principality Stadium on Saturday.
Tandy has wisely opted for consistency in his selection this week, although it is a blow not to have Sam Costelow available.
The Scarlets playmaker was outstanding in the narrow defeat to Scotland and it would have been a boost if the 25-year-old was available to take his place in the matchday 23.
But there is plenty to build on after two promising performances against Scotland and Ireland as Tandy continues to manufacture some cohesion in his side.
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Wales matched Ireland’s physicality for large parts of the game and they will have to do the same again if they are to get the better of the Azzurri.
The set-piece will also have to function as well as it did at the Aviva Stadium, while defensively they will have to be on their mettle.
Italy centre Tommaso Menoncello is a world-class player who proved to be the difference between winning and losing in Rome last Saturday.
His centre partnership with Ignacio Brex is one of the most proficient in world rugby.
If Wales cannot find a way to contain Menoncello and Brex, they will not emerge victorious.
The Wales centre partnership of Joe Hawkins and Eddie James has slowly improved from game to game, even if it has not fully fired in attack.
This is a fourth consecutive start for Hawkins and James which is important because the last time a Wales centre partnership started four games together was Nick Tompkins and George North back in 2022.
Wales have taken great strides forward up-front and they are also clinical in the opposition 22 but they will need to cut out the unforced errors while also firing more shots with ball in hand.
Italy are ahead of Wales but the challenge will be an emotional one after the high of a first-ever victory over England.
If Wales can combine the physical edge they showed in Dublin with greater accuracy and intent in attack, this is a game they are capable of winning.
The progress has been evident in recent weeks, but at some stage improvement has to translate into a result. After three years without a Six Nations victory, Saturday would be the ideal time to put an unwanted record to bed.
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