There have been some suggestions that a hot and sunny spell could arrive just in time for the late May Bank Holiday
With Wales stuck with some unseasonally cold temperatures so far in May, it might be time to get tentatively optimistic about the weather for the upcoming bank holiday weekend and half-term break. A change in pressure in the coming weeks looks set to bring a longer spell of dry weather and warmer temperatures just in time for the holidays.
The Met Office said that over the next week there will be changeable conditions due to an area of low pressure nearby. This means there will be periods of rain or showers, interspersed by drier interludes.
However, as we head towards the bank holiday on May 25, an area of high pressure is likely to build from the south bringing more settled weather.
According to forecasters at the weather agency, there is also a chance temperatures will be “rather warm” by the bank holiday and half term.
The BBC’s long-range forecast also paints a similar picture. Their outlook for Monday, May 25 to Sunday, June 7 says it will be “most probably drier and warmer than normal.”
The forecast states that the UK may cool down towards the end of may for a couple of days if a period of high pressure moves to the north. Make sure you never miss Wales’ biggest updates by getting our daily newsletter
But, it goes on to add: “However, high pressure could also expand across the UK from the southwest, delivering warmer-than-average conditions again by the end of May.
“Either way, there should be plenty of dry weather, with near to below-normal precipitation amounts.
“A similar set-up should linger into early June. Although a little rain cannot be entirely ruled out anywhere, rainfall totals should be below normal across most areas.
“More seasonal amounts are possible in northwestern regions, with Scotland in particular more susceptible to occasional wetter spells. Temperatures are most likely to be near to, or higher than, the early-June average overall.”
There have been some reports that a heatwave could hit the UK as we head into the Bank Holiday weekend, but many forecasters have said any suggestions of this are premature.
The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) is currently forecasting maximum possible temperatures of 26C in the UK on the evening of May 22. The model shows warmest weather expected to hit just south of London, although the mercury could reach 23C or 24C across parts of Wales, central England and the east as well.
The Met Office is more sceptical and will not make such detailed predictions more than five days in advance, but they are also forecasting warmer weather. Their long range forecast states that by May 26 the weather may become “rather warm” and “especially in the south”.
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