America Added 178,000 New Jobs Last Month… But How Is That Possible?!

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* Sources *

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

https://www.conference-board.org/topics/employment-trends-index/index.cfm

March 2026 Jobs Report: A Bumpy Road and a Moving Finish Line

https://www.challengergray.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Challenger-Report-March-2026-1.pdf

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beigebook202602-summary.htm

https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/OPA/newsreleases/ui-claims/20260596.pdf

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS

https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/march-jobs-report-unemployment-dfd5d52f

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12026619

https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/bls-investigation-challenges-yes-rigged-data-no

https://www.bls.gov/bls/empsitquickguide.htm

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Late last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly jobs report with some really good news…
We had added an extra 178,000 jobs in the month before and unemployment had fallen by a modest .1%…
But uhhh… this raised the obvious question… of how could that possibly be true?
Consumer sentiment has hit its lowest level since the data was first collected (beating out the Height of Covid, the Global Financial Crisis and even the oil shock of the late 70s)
The conference board survey found that the highest number of consumers ever considered jobs “hard to get”
and Indeed’s data team found that overall hiring was in an extremely defensive posture amongst the companies they service.
Now perhaps all of these “sentiments” could be written off as bad vibes amongst people who don’t truly appreciate how hot this Economy is… except that, on top of all of this, there is the mountain of data that just straight up contradicts this number.
In March alone (when we apparently “added” 178,000 new jobs)
Companies announced over 60,000 job cuts,
The Fed’s internal data showed low hiring
Weekly unemployment claims increased to 219,000
And in the exact same report from the BLS themselves they noted that the labor force had shrunk by 396,000.
So just to make things clear, unemployment claims rose, companies cut jobs, the labor force shrunk… and yet the official jobs figure went… up…
The overall trust in these figures has been waning for some time now as massive revisions become commonplace and we swing between massive gains and massive losses every single month.
Even here on this channel I have spent more time than I would like to admit methodically reverse engineering the statistical technicalities that these government departments use to produce their numbers… because well… it’s really important to our everyday lives…
But in this case, just basic arithmetic should prove that… something is going wrong here… either some combination of these numbers are just plain wrong, or they are so un-intuative or unreliable that they may as well be disregarded entirely…

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