Bitcoin: New All-Time Highs Are Likely If This Holds

Bitcoin is still below the 50-week simple moving average, still below the May swing high,
and still below the low of November 2025. Three weeks of sideways movement have not changed
that. The bearish roadmap is not dead, and it still points to 44,000 and possibly 39,000.

But there is one thing in this video that has not happened in any previous bear market: the
rally from the July low is stronger than any rally we saw during the last bear market. Our
bear market rallies indicator has printed lower highs in every single bear market until
now. This time it did not.

KEY LEVELS

79,780 – nearest resistance, the wave B swing high
76,230 – first structural support, the low of Wednesday 2 September
70,500 to 75,120 – support zone, invalidation for the wave four count
44,000 and 39,000 – targets if the bearish roadmap resumes
160,000+ – the projection if five waves up and a higher low complete

CHAPTERS

00:00 New all-time highs are possible, but only under one condition
00:52 Why Bitcoin has not moved higher yet
01:15 The 50-week moving average
01:33 The bearish roadmap is not dead
02:06 Trend lines and the November 2025 low
02:46 Golden Cross: what happened after previous ones
03:59 Still lower highs and lower lows
04:27 Why five waves up is the first step
05:06 What already happened on the small scale after the July low
05:50 The roadmap to all-time highs
06:31 The bearish count is still valid
07:06 How the 2022 bottom formed
07:58 Double top, five up and three down
09:15 The 2018 counterexample: three waves and it died
10:10 Three waves is not bearish, it is just not confirmed
11:08 No bias: the market is the boss
12:19 Cycles can change
12:31 The cycle overview in the terminal
12:41 The months that are still missing
13:38 The bear market rallies indicator
14:58 The setup I showed in July and August
15:49 Smaller timeframe: the wave four correction
16:17 The Wednesday low at 76,230
16:47 The support zone at 70,500 to 75,120
17:10 Resistance at 79,780
17:23 Summary

Elliott Wave is the main model we use, but not the only one. Trend lines, moving averages
and the cycle models in the MCO Terminal are part of the same picture.

Daily briefings and more than 80 indicators are available in the MCO Terminal at
mcoglobal.com

Not investment advice. All content is for information and education only.

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