Everyone Wants a Bitcoin Pullback. History Says They Don’t Get One [Kalshi Live Trading]

CHAPTERS
0:00 Countdown
10:00 New week – the weekend gave the retest crowd nothing
11:00 Most people want the pullback. The stats disagree.
12:15 Market overview to open the week
14:58 THE STUDY: the first leg after a 200 SMA reclaim
15:43 Only 3 priors: 2015, 2019, 2023 – median +24.6% (~86,300)
16:41 2015 and 2019: what those first legs looked like
17:27 The retest the crowd wants almost never comes (1 of 3)
17:53 2019 ran +164% without ever looking back
18:10 Intra-leg dips: normal lands 79K down to 74.5K
18:29 The weekly 5 EMA reconnect – 72K and rising fast
19:48 The line in the sand: 70,000
20:19 Higher timeframes following through – 3-week fresh up
22:00 The measured bands: 76K to 86K
26:00 Was the weekend already the pullback?
28:00 Study recap: 24.6% median, no early retest
29:00 The disconnect clock stats
30:00 Daily DCA
31:00 Hourly plays + ticker requests begin
38:00 Gold near the take-profit zone
48:00 Besent speaks this hour
51:00 The first-move pattern: up, sideways, more highs
1:05:00 Charts vs sleep deprivation (honest hour)
1:17:00 Long-term winners vs long-term losers
1:29:00 Monthly closes that matter this week
1:47:00 Defense ETFs: XAR vs ITA
1:55:00 Coinbase: the 222 level decides
2:20:00 Wrapping up the week ahead

Bitcoin at $80,000 and everyone wants a pullback – but the first rally after a bear-market low has a median run of +24.6% before its first real correction. Former market maker, live map, receipts on screen.
The breakout video this builds on:
→ https://youtu.be/sR39MPJzXGo

🔥 OPTIMIZE YOUR TRADING ENGINE (FREE RESOURCES)
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
⬛ AUTOMATE YOUR EXECUTION: Free AI Trading Agent & Tutorial
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/cpro

📗 SYSTEM FOUNDATION: Secure Free Access to My Complete TA 101 Program (Free)
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/ta101

🟪 UNLOCK SYSTEM TOOLS: Secure My Custom Proprietary Indicator Suite
→ https://www.krown.quantalchemy.io/

🔵 Up To $250 In Rewards & 80% Spot Fee Reduction: Coinbase
→ https://www.coinbase.com/aff/krown

🏔️ Join The Cave Premium System Community (Discord)
→ https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44

▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

⬛$50 in Volume = Up to $500 in Rewards → https://kalshi.com/r/erickrown
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 16 years in the markets. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS

source