How MUCH Bitcoin Do You Need To Retire Before 2035?

Every “how much Bitcoin do you need to retire?” video on YouTube is built on two broken assumptions. In this BTC Prague 2026 keynote, Luke Mikic takes both of them apart.

The first: everyone measures Bitcoin’s scarcity with a linear lens. ETFs, public corporations and nation states have absorbed 16% of the supply in roughly two years, and nobody is extrapolating that forward into the Digital Gold Rush. Luke makes the case that by 2030 there could be effectively zero Bitcoin left on exchanges.

The second… Luke explains.

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Tickets

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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
0:52 Ending the retirement-number debate
1:41 Flaw #1: Scarcity seen through a linear lens
2:38 Flaw #2: Assuming global wealth stays flat
3:18 Three transitions in human history
4:36 The Digital Gold Rush
5:32 Who can out-buy Saylor?
6:20 Six years of supply suffocation
7:38 Printing press vs. the internet
9:53 The industrial age is dead
10:49 Five cycles ending at once
11:34 New tech always kills the old
12:05 Folding paper 50 times
12:43 Early adopters get rich
14:44 $257M and $1.24B per coin
16:22 The $8.57 billion Bitcoin
17:16 Buy as much as you can

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