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How Much Longer Can We “Hide” The Inflation?

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Measuring inventories and the impact on US GDP

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Earlier this week the official consumer price index inflation figure rose to 4.2% year over year… the highest annualized rate seen since the post covid price surge of 2022.
This by itself was not a great result, even though these official numbers really just confirmed what most people already knew, (things are getting more expensive)
But what they didn’t capture is what is likely to still be coming down the pipe.
Last month the PRODUCER price index, (which tracks a basket of items that businesses use to provide goods and services to consumers) saw its largest single increase in the last decade (with only the exception of a single month at the height of post pandemic inflation).
Now eventually these companies will either be forced to accept lower profits, or just pass these higher prices along to consumers which will ultimately be a decision made for them by how much more those consumers can financially bear…
Again not exactly surprising stuff anymore, and if anything the cost of living crisis we are currently experiencing is arguably not as bad as wider economic conditions might suggest… for now at least…
But the implications of these numbers are worth understanding because they are likely to mean a lot more than just… yet EVEN higher prices.
The other options involve either sacrificing the American Consumer, The American Worker, or the American Dollar…
The other unfortunate reality worth keeping in mind is that no matter what we do with our financial leavers, we can’t print more oil, and any price increases from here are going to be on top of a cost of living level that was already forcing a lot of people to go without…

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