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How Ray Dalio Predicted the 2008 and 2010 Financial Crises

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Ray Dalio explains how studying 500 years of history, particularly the 1930s, allowed him to anticipate major financial crises that caught most investors off guard. The key is recognizing that even a year is a tiny fraction of the historical arc, and the same economic patterns repeat over centuries.

Dalio’s approach reverses the conventional wisdom that says you can’t predict markets. Instead of trying to forecast the next quarter, he examines the last 500 years. Watch as he breaks down why this perspective matters for understanding where we are in the current economic and geopolitical cycle.

Watch the full interview at USA House Davos 2026 with Fortune’s Kamal Ahmed: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gvtywM4CLks

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