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The Next Financial Crisis Isn’t In Banks. It’s In Insurance & Private Credit | Nick Nemeth
Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN):
https://teucrium.com/corn
Private credit has ballooned to roughly a trillion dollars, but Nick Nemeth of Mispriced Assets argues the danger isn’t the banking system — it’s insurance. In this Monetary Matters interview with Jack Farley, Nemeth lays out how private-equity-owned insurers have become highly leveraged holders of private credit and CLOs, why he thinks annuity surrenders could spark a run with no federal backstop, and how adjusted EBITDA, layered leverage, and lax loan ratings mirror the setup before 2008 — except, in his view, the scale looks more like 1929. He closes with contrarian rankings of Apollo, Ares, Blackstone, and Blue Owl. Recorded July 14, 2026.
Teucrium on X https://x.com/TeucriumETFs
Nick Nemeth on X https://x.com/NickNemo17
Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96
Nick Nemeth’s article, “The Smart Money Is the Subprime This Time”: https://mispricedassets.substack.com/p/the-smart-money-is-the-subprime-this
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Timestamps
00:00 Intro
00:22 Teucrium $CORN Pre-roll
01:08 The Next Financial Crisis Is In Private Credit Argues Nemeth
09:04 Loan Quality In Private Credit Is Often Subprime And It Is Getting Worse
20:41 Teucrium $CORN Mid-roll
22:26 Software Loans Are Going To Be Very Bad Because of AI
30:50 Insurance Sector Deep Dive
40:20 Leverage In Insurance Is Extreme
44:30 Structured Credit & Ratings Agencies
56:00 Apollo Has The Best Reputation… Right?
1:04:30 Blackstone
1:05:17 Blue Owl
1:07:00 “Problem with Refis”
1:11:06 Teucrium $CORN Endroll
This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, “Why Investors Are Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs,” to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.
Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs
CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn
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Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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#financialcrisis #privatecredit #macro #insurance #stockmarket
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