Politics
DWP benefit fraud and error remains largely the same since 2025
The level of fraud and error in the benefits system has seen little change in the past year, according to the DWP’s annual report.
Despite the department using the press to demonise those on benefits, its own figures show that the level of fraud and error has pretty much stayed the same. For some benefits, it’s actually gotten better. But this is the DWP, so the media headlines are focusing on the ‘billions’ lost.
While disability benefits in particular take a beating in the press, disability benefit fraud and error have only increased by one percentage point.
The DWP called this a “statistically significant increase” for personal independence payments (PIP). What’s interesting though, is that in other areas fraud has fallen by the same rate or higher, and is, of course, being ignored.
DWP benefit fraud has stayed the same
Across all benefits, fraud and error was at an estimated 3.2% (£9.9 billion) for the financial year ending (FYE) 2026, compared with 3.3% (£9.4 billion) in FYE 2025.
As the report itself says:
The Fraud (2.2%), Claimant Error (0.6%) and Official Error (0.4%) overpayment rates in FYE 2026 have remained broadly similar to FYE 2025.
The report also notes that we should pay attention to the rate, not the money:
Due to each benefit’s expenditure changing year on year, it is recommended that the rates are used when comparing levels of fraud and error over time, rather than the monetary amounts.
By that logic then, today’s 3.2% across all benefits should be regarded as an improvement, so it’s interesting the Telegraph ran with the following headline:
Benefit cheats fuel £10bn in welfare overpayments
Why not affirm that there has been “No significant change reported in benefit fraud rates”? Well, fewer people will rage click on that, won’t they?
Another relevant part of the DWP’s report to highlight is that this is not the full picture. It’s only what the DWP wants us to see as the data is devised from a sample.
The estimates in this publication are based on a sample of benefit claims. As a result, year‑on‑year comparisons are subject to sampling variability.
Universal Credit fraud lower than in Covid-19 peak
For Universal Credit, the rate of overpayment was 8.5% (£6.720 million) in FYE 2026, compared with 9.5% (£6.210 million) in FYE 2025. While the money has gone up, the DWP says this is due to how many people have migrated over to Universal Credit.
But if we’re looking at the percentage, as the DWP has told us to, this is again a significant decrease.
When compared to the COVID-19 peak, the amount of claimants overpaid has decreased even further from 24 in 100 claimants in FYE 2022 to 21 in 100 claimants in FYE 2026. Fewer claimants also lost entitlement in 2026, 7% compared to 12.5% in 2022.
Fraud due to claimants not declaring their earnings correctly has also fallen, but at least this time the DWP admits it’s relevant.
Earnings/Employment (under-declaration of income from work undertaken) remained the main cause of Universal Credit Fraud overpayments but saw a statistically significant decrease to 1.5% in FYE 2026 from 2.2% in FYE 2025.
Tiny rise in PIP overpayments
Leading up to the yearly update, we usually see an increase in disability benefit fraud hate from the rags. PIP fraud is usually minuscule, so they have to drum up hate for a few percentage increases. This year is no exception.
To further this, the DWP is trying to say a one percentage point increase is remarkable. The report states:
This was a statistically significant increase and a continuation of an upwards trend that started in FYE 2024.
That’s right, an increase of a percentage point is “significant” whilst decreases of that or higher aren’t as important. The main reason that benefits were overpaid was people not declaring changes in ‘functioning needs’. This means that the claimant didn’t tell the DWP when their condition had improved.
Though, of course, ‘improvements’ are decided by the DWP, not medical professionals. Anyone with chronic conditions can tell you that conditions have good days and bad days. However, this is the DWP, so that’s not the whole story.
As it lumps fraud and error together, that 2.3% isn’t all fraud. The DWP’s error accounted for 0.2% (£50 million) and 0.7% (£210 million) was claimant error.
DWP manipulates its own stats and the public
Once again, this is a clear case of the DWP manipulating its own data and the public’s perception. It’s true that benefit fraud and error expenditure have risen in monetary terms, but as a percentage of those who aren’t ‘cheating the system’, it’s not relevant at all. This is especially true when we’re talking about disabled people who the press won’t shut up about.
Nonetheless, at a time when the DWP is increasingly trying to limit who can access disability benefits, it’s in the department’s best interests to make disabled people all look like fraudsters.
Featured image via the Canary
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