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Epstein Files alleges Trump’s friend ‘strangled girl to death’ at party

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Epstein Files alleges Trump’s friend ‘strangled girl to death’ at party

On 30 January, the US Department of Justice (DoJ) released the latest tranche of Epstein Files. As we reported, the release contained allegations Trump is ‘compromised’ by Israel, and that he raped and beat a child. One of the darkest new allegations to emerge is the following:

Robin Leach in the Epstein Files

Robin Leach was a British-American TV host. Between 1984 and 1995, he hosted Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous, and he died in 2018.

Journalist Adam Cochran said the following about the accusation against Leach:

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This claim is wild for a few reasons:

* Robin Leach wasn’t a well known figure after the mid-90s.

* At the time this claim was made, Leach was on his deathbed after a stroke – no real defamation angle.

* Leach and Trump were close friends, Leach was even at Trump’s wedding to Maples.

* Leach went to Trump’s parties at Trump Golf Course in Rancho Palo Verdes.

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* Another claim, claimed there was a sex-trafficking ring at Trump’s Golf Course in Rancho Palo Verdes, that involved rape and violent torture – but that one didn’t know the names of the men involved.

Those two claims when taken together are compelling enough to investigate.

But, from the release so far… they were never investigated…

Others have made similar points:

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Rich and Famous

The following video features Leach interviewing Trump on Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous:

Discussing his one-year-old daughter Ivanka, Trump said:

She’s got Marla’s legs. We don’t know whether or not she’s got this part yet, but only time will tell.

When Trump said “this part”, he held his hands up to his chest.

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Trump would continue to make inappropriate comments about his daughter in the future:

Featured image via Las Vegas Sun

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Your Party members are ashamed and disappointed in its leaders

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Your Party members are ashamed and disappointed in its leaders

Since the formation of Your Party’s central executive committee, there has been growing frustration from members across the country.

Despite the desperate need for unity, solidarity and compassion in British society, the reported behaviour of the CEC has been to silence or intimidate socialist voices into compliance.

Members are feeling increasingly concerned that Your Party will not work to empower them or listen to their communities. Instead, branches are left ignored without access to resources or guidance which has seen local members abandon the party all together in disappointment.

Several groups have come together to pressure the executive committee to change course, organising to strengthen and assert the socialist voice within the fledgling party.

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Your Party’s Muslim members speak out

One group to emerge is the Muslim Socialists of Your Party. They formed in response to growing concern that some were using social conservatism as a cover to sideline the trans community. The group has powerfully called out how some use the Muslim community as a shield to justify holding back progressive LGBTQIA+ policies.

This dynamic has cast a particularly ugly shadow over the run-up to Your Party’s conference, with figures aligned with Corbyn and the many making apparent transphobic remarks. A party built on community and solidarity must stand firmly against the oppression of every group, including our trans brothers and sisters. We cannot leave anyone out in the cold.

The Green Party’s recent success reinforces this point, showing that pro-trans policies resonate with Muslim voters and don’t pose the barrier some claim.

Intersectional Feminists for Your Party

The Intersectional Feminists (IFEM) of Your Party has also contacted the CEC to request an explanation for its choice to remove the following from its membership officer role description:

diverse communities, including BAME groups and underrepresented members, to ensure inclusive participation activities.

The group sent an email on 18 March, the evening before a scheduled CEC meeting, expressing its concerns. However, the CEC hasn’t yet responded.

In a later post on X, IFEM asked for Your Party members’ support in ensuring it’s an inclusive party, truly built in the spirit of inclusion and solidarity.

Young people are disappointed and ashamed

Younger members have also come together in Cambridge, forming an alliance to ensure young people are represented in Your Party. In an open letter, Your Party Youth Cambridge (YPYC) said the committee’s response “will determine whether we remain committed to Your Party”.

As experienced organisers, we will continue the struggle regardless, the only question is whether it’s under this Party’s banner or that of the Greens.

Speaking of their own graft at grassroots level to lay the groundwork for a new Socialist party of the people, the statement explained how YPYC began organising in November 2025. Its goal was to “support their local communities and combat the rise of the far-right”.

Since then, we’ve run a weekly food drive, now in its 16th iteration, ran an independent candidate for the CEC, supported strike action, and hosted numerous vibrant politicised cultural and educational events.

Over these past five months, our membership and impact in our community has greatly enriched our lives; we’ve become a steadfast and regular presence in our local streets. We were eagerly anticipating the formation of the CEC as a chance to concretise the promise of the Party and formally establish the structures we’d built.

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However, the group claimed it’s “running out of steam” as it described the deep disappointment felt within communities who had jumped into action at the announcement of a new socialist party. The statement called out a “lack of progress towards branch formation” and how the group feels “increasingly ashamed to bear the Party’s name”.

We’ve felt incredibly disappointed with the lack of action, communication, and comradeship from the CEC. When we read out the CEC reports in our weekly meetings, we find them increasingly uninspiring, a dead weight hanging in the air.

The pre-conference divisiveness has only worsened with the elections; we’ve seen no attempts to resolve this and move forward productively…

We tell our peers that things will get better but, as each month passes, feel increasingly ashamed to bear the Party’s name.

The request to the executive committee is pretty simple really: “clarity, productivity, and confidence in our leadership”.

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Will Labour 3.0 crash and burn?

Groups sprang up across the country after Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn’s announcement last July. Since then energy and engagement on the ground are fading fast, as people fear that those in charge care far less about solidarity than the activists working tirelessly to unite communities on the ground.

Going further, it seems like Jeremy Corbyn and his allies are leaning toward comfortable positions to seemingly appear relevant to the wider electorate. Their comments on the trans community make this clear, and many have widely condemned them as transphobic. However, this undermines everyone who believed we were building the country’s first socialist party — one that serves all people and leads by example rather than continually giving way to right wing, privileged views.

Frustrated by leadership’s refusal to listen, members are redirecting their energy and resources into empowering their communities and peers. Nevertheless, this growing grassroots effort exposes a real and palpable fear: the party appears to sideline socialists, reducing them to little more than subscription payers, and lets unelected officials like Karie Murphy make all the rules.

That hardly reflects the collective leadership model approved at the November conference. So, we have to ask: now that Corbyn’s team holds full control, are they selling us out? If this party becomes no different from its predecessors, it will lose all relevance and will crash and burn.

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If that’s the case, more and more socialist groups across the country must stand ready to step in and fill the void, and rebuild this movement from the bottom-up.

Featured image via the Canary

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Politics Home Article | PM Warns Iran War “Could Go On For Some Time”

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PM Warns Iran War 'Could Go On For Some Time'
PM Warns Iran War 'Could Go On For Some Time'

(Alamy)


3 min read

Keir Starmer has told MPs that the country must not fall into “false comfort” thinking that there will be “a quick and early end” to the Iran conflict and that he is planning on the basis that “it could go on for some time”.

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The Prime Minister also stressed that he was “acutely aware” of how much the previous Conservative government spent on protecting households from soaring energy bills after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, indicating that he prefers a targeted intervention to universal support in response to the current energy crisis.

Speaking to the House of Commons Liaison Committee on Monday afternoon, Starmer said: “Since the conflict started, I’ve been really clear with the team that we mustn’t fall into the sort of false comfort of thinking that there will necessarily be a quick and early end to this.”

He added: “We have to plan on the basis that there may not be.”

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The PM will chair a Cobra meeting later on Monday to discuss the economic fallout of the ongoing conflict in Iran, where the Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, will be an attendee.

While the Labour government has already announced support for households reliant on heating oil, Starmer confirmed that he is looking at further steps to protect people from a spike in energy bills caused by the war in Iran.

The conflict between the US and Israel on one side and Iran on the other has led to severe disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran threatening to attack ships trying to pass through what is one of the world’s most important trade routes.

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This, in turn, has resulted in soaring gas and oil prices, triggering warnings of an economic shock affecting countries across the world.

There are warnings that household energy bills in the UK will rise significantly when the current cap set by regulator Ofgem expires in July.

Starmer indicated today that he would prefer a targeted intervention to protect households that need it most, referring to how expensive it was when the Liz Truss Conservative government funded universal support. Leading economist Paul Johnson recently described that intervention as “staggeringly expensive”.

“I’m acutely aware of how much it cost last time round,” Starmer said, referring to the package of support announced in 2022.

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“I’m acutely aware of the state of the public finances,” Starmer continued, adding, “but we will look this afternoon at what the appropriate approach is.” 

“There are difficulties in that we don’t yet know the extent of the challenge we’re facing because we don’t know when this conflict is going to come to an end. But we’re actively looking at what measures we can put in place.”

On Monday, US President Donald Trump delayed his planned strikes on Iran’s power plants, after what he called “very good and productive conversations” with Tehran. 

The US threat and Iran’s subsequent threat to retaliate by targeting key energy sites in the Gulf had prompted concern that the war was heading for a major escalation.

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Starmer told MPs that the UK was “aware that that was happening” and “the immediate priority has to be a swift resolution of the conflict and delivering a negotiated agreement which puts tough conditions on Iran, particularly in relation to nuclear weapons”.

But he reiterated that the Iran conflict is “not our war and we are not getting dragged into this war”.

Iran has since denied Trump’s claims of an agreement having taken place. 

 

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USS Gerald Ford could be out of action for a year

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USS Gerald Ford could be out of action for a year

The American aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford could be out of action for over a year. The nuclear-powered vessel has been at sea for nine months. A major fire and the wear and tear of continuous operations might have taken her out of service long term.

The Ford was sent to Crete after being damaged in a fire, as the Canary reported:

Some open source accounts and legacy media claim the fire took 30 hours to control and affected hundreds of sailors.

Defence analyst Jack Buckby wrote in 1945 magazine:

Between fire damage and deferred maintenance, on top of the long deployment, there is a real risk that the carrier could be out of action for an extended period of time – potentially as long as 12 to 14 months.

Adding:

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At a time when U.S. carrier availability is already under pressure, the potential loss of the Navy’s most advanced platform could prove to be a significant problem.

The Ford played a key role in the 3 January attack on Venezuela. She was then sent back to the Gulf without a break. Trump’s decision to do so has led to serious morale and technical issues.

The US and Israel attacked Iran first on 28 February without provocation. Iran was offering unprecedented concessions in negotiations at the time. The Pentagon has since stated there was no imminent threat from Iran. And the UN’s atomic watchdog, the IAEA, has said there is no evidence Iran was developing a nuclear weapon.

USS Gerald Ford and the limits of empire

The US appears to be losing in the war with Iran. The Ford’s withdrawal encapsulates some of those issues.

Buckby wrote:

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The ship has been required to sustain high sortie generation and integrate with other U.S. air assets, and there has been continuous operational pressure placed on the platform in a clearly high-threat environment. The deployment has also been extended multiple times, pushing the ship toward what may become one of the longest deployments in modern Navy history.

A corrosive mix of wear and fatigue now appears to be heavily impacting the US attack on Iran:

That has all taken a measurable toll on the vessel, with persistent issues with onboard systems like its plumbing, along with broader concerns about crew fatigue and equipment wear after months without full maintenance. Put simply, the Ford has been operating at a level that accelerates degradation across its mechanical systems, but also human performance.

Maintenance on supercarriers like the Ford can be a matter of months. But it has been known to take much longer:

Under normal conditions, post-deployment maintenance for a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier can take several months, even without major damage. Historical examples show that complex overhauls or major repair periods can extend well beyond a year, depending on scope and system upgrades.

The Trump administration seems to be running out of road. The US has no discernible plan. A majority of Americans oppose the war. The Iranian government remains defiant, while the likes of China have watched as the US bogs itself down in another runaway war.

US imperial decline has been a topic in International Relations courses for decades. Broadly speaking, the theory went that while the US economy declines, it remains militarily preeminent and more inclined to use violence to achieve its aims – but will fail. With the flagship US carrier out of the fight, it looks like we have ringside seats for the crumbling of US empire.

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Featured image via the Canary

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Starmer Distances From Trumps Iran Attacks

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Starmer Distances From Trumps Iran Attacks

Keir Starmer has said America and Israel’s bombing of Iran is “not our war” as he defending his approach to the conflict.

In comments which risk further angering Donald Trump, the prime minister said the UK is “not getting dragged into” the war, despite giving US jets permission to fly their missions from RAF bases.

He also repeated his claim that there is no “lawful basis” for Trump’s war or “a viable and thought-through plan” for what comes next.

His comments, while giving evidence to a committee of senior MPs, came after Trump backed down over his threat to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants unless they re-open the Strait of Hormuz.

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The US president said his decision followed “very good and productive conversations” with Tehran over the weekend.

Starmer said: “On Iran, the principles I’ve applied throughout is that for any UK action, there must be a lawful basis, and a viable and thought-through plan. That is why we didn’t join the original offensive strikes.

“It is why we did take defensive action, collective self-defensive action on our own behalf, when it came to the work that we are doing with our allies in the region, taking missiles out that are coming from Iran. It is also why we allowed our bases to be used for the purposes of collective self-defence.

“But that’s an important divide. So collective self-defence, yes, we’ve taken appropriate action. But this is not our war, and we are not getting dragged into this war.”

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Trump has made a number of outspoken attacks on Starmer since the war began more than three weeks ago.

And on Sunday, he posted on Truth Social a Saturday Night Live UK sketch which portrayed the PM as weak, indecisive and afraid of the president.

Asked how he is personally facing the challenges posed by the unpredictable president, Starmer said: “I will remain laser-focused on what is in the British national interest.

“A lot of what is said and done is undoubtedly said and done to put pressure on me, I have no doubt about that, I understand exactly what is going on.

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“But I’m not going to be wavering on this. I’m the British prime minister and my job is to be absolutely focused on what is in the British national interest.

“That has served me well in recent weeks and that is the principle that I’ll continue to adhere to going forward, taking difficult decisions, notwithstanding the pressure than comes from a number of different places.”

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Water bills boycotter says ‘I’m taking this all the way’

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Water bills boycotter says 'I'm taking this all the way'

Campaigners for the boycott of water bills gathered in Margate on Thursday 19 March. They were protesting ahead of longtime boycotter Julie Wassmer’s court showdown against Southern Water.

Supporters came from all part of Kent including Whitstable, Broadstairs, Deal, Folkestone as well as from Sussex, London and Oxford. They were united in their condemnation at the dire state of the water industry.

Crime writer and environmental campaigner Wassmer has withheld payment for the wastewater part of her bill for over four years. She gave an impassioned speech arguing that the state of water is both a national and an international disgrace.

She said she intends to argue in court on 26 March that regulation has failed. She’ll claim there’s no accountability for poor service and this, in principle, contravenes Article 6 of the Human Rights Act:

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It cannot be right that in a modern civic society consumers are forced to pay for services which are not being provided at all, or which seriously pollute our seas and waterways and damage our precious environment – while denying us a means of challenging this effectively through the legal system.

I’d like to see the back of every water company CEO in this country for whom, by the way, the average pay is £1.7m a year – while OUR bills have gone up 40% in real terms since privatisation and are set to increase far more.

The broken water industry

Johnbosco Nwogbo is lead campaigner at We Own It, an organisation that campaigns for public ownership of public services. He queried what it was that Southern Water wanted Julie to pay for:

Southern Water dumped sewage for about 304,000 hours in our rivers and seas in 2024. Is that what they’re asking Julie to pay for, so they can continue to dump sewage in our rivers and seas? They paid out £2.3 billion in dividends to their shareholders since the water company was privatized – it that what they’re asking Julie to pay for?

Nwogbo pointed out that when Southern Water went private in 1989 it had no debt, but it has since taken on £5.7bn of debt. This money clearly hasn’t been invested in infrastructure, but rather paid out in dividends to shareholders. He said:

Instead of people like Julie finding themselves in court defending themselves, Southern Water should find itself in court!

And he added that there is currently a proposal in front of the environment secretary to try to ‘save’ failing Thames Water from bankruptcy. This deal would allow the company to pollute illegally until 2040. He insisted the government should reject the deal and take Thames back into public ownership. Otherwise fellow water companies will simply follow suit in a race to the bottom:

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Or rather, a race to the sewer!

Two Green Party councillors from Kent spoke at the event, Rob Yates and Andy Harvey.

Margate councillor Yates said he had personally investigated Southern Water by submitting Freedom of Information requests. These revealed the number of times the company had breached its permits by pouring untreated sewage into the seas. And the results formed part of a criminal case against Southern Water.

He added:

Privatisation without competition is exploitation. England and Wales are the only country in the world with a fully privatised water industry – now is the time to reverse Thatcherism.

Surge in boycott support

Katy Colley co-founded boycottwaterbills.com with Wassmer. She said that since the screening of Dirty Business, the Channel 4 three-part drama about the sewage scandal, the website had seen a surge in new signups.

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She quoted submissions from a host of new boycotters from all over the country whose water companies included United Utilities, Southwest Water, Severn Trent, Thames Water and Southern Water.

These were people, she said, who had had enough of:

spiralling bills while water companies pour increasing amounts of sewage into our seas and waterways with impunity.

She insisted that for many, this was not a first step but a final resort:

because we see no other way to make a difference.

Like her, many had complained to their water company, to the Consumer Council for Water, to the Water Redress Scheme, Environment Agency and OFWAT.

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At every stage we are told no, you cannot hold your company accountable for their failures. But if we’re consumers and we’re unhappy with a service we should be able to go elsewhere. We can’t because water is a natural monopoly.

We protested, we wrote letters, signed petitions. The government changed. But with water, nothing changed.

That’s why so many of us decided, that despite the potential risks, the difficulties, we’re going to use the power we have in our pockets. We’re going to withhold payment for the wastewater service part of our bill.

She says the boycott movement is now spreading rapidly with thousands accessing the site every week. Many are now cancelling their direct debits as a ‘first rung on the boycott ladder’.

She said:

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Nobody is obliged to pay by direct debit, only on receipt of a bill twice a year, and direct debit is how water companies hold money on account, treating us like cash cows.

Olivia Cavanagh is from Hastings Boycotts Southern Water. She expressed her disgust at the recent bio bead spill from an Eastbourne sewage treatment plant across the Kent and Sussex coast. Ten tonnes of toxic beads were released into the sea, causing catastrophic damage to the coastline and environment. She asked:

Did Southern Water come out and say we’re sorry this has happened, we’re going to clean it up? No, volunteers and voluntary organisations came out. As usual it was left to the community and the people that care about the environment.

It’s clear that Southern Water, like all the water companies, don’t give a damn about the environment, the wildlife and the plant system.

The large and noisy protest drew dozens of encouraging honks from passing cars and trucks. Attendees said the energy and passion of the speakers was inspiring. One passerby said:

It’s encouraging to see ordinary people doing something and not just accepting this situation. With the sewage and the price increases here, you get the feeling that we are just being taken for mugs. I don’t think I would want to go to court myself, but I think I might cancel my direct debit. It’s better than nothing.

Wassmer’s case has its hearing at Canterbury County Court on Thursday 26 March at 10am.

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Featured image via Andrew Hastings / Boycottwaterbills.com

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Iranian academic targeted by Israeli pressure group

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Iranian academic targeted by Israeli pressure group

The X social media platform has refused to remove a paid – indeed ‘paid partnership’ – ad by an Israel lobby group trying to crowdfund for the abduction of well-known US-Iranian academic Syed Mohammad Marandi.

The Tehran-based Marandi is well known as a commentator on Israel’s genocide in Gaza, the political landscape in West Asia and now the US-Israel illegal war on Iran. He is also well known among anti-imperialists for adroitly dismantling Western pro-imperial journalists and their tactics. As a thorn in Israel’s side, he has already been the subject of death threats from its supporters.

Now, the so-called “Terror Alarm” Israel pressure group has posted its ‘appeal’ on X – one that would rightly be the subject of criminal action if the boot were on the other foot:

The group appears to be based in Israel – and has advertised ‘work from home’ jobs for “residents of Israel and the European Union”:

Despite Marandi holding US citizenship as well as Iranian, the US-based X platform has refused to remove the Zionist terror account:

And, as far as an Israeli account is concerned, it goes without saying that Israel is always the victim:

Marandi posted his own response to the refusal, commenting that the people behind X are supporters of genocide and imperialism:

Featured image via YouTube screenshot

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HuffPost Headlines 3-23

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HuffPost Headlines 3-23

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Ryan Gosling On Not Keeping Up With Gen Alpha Slang: ‘That’s Their Thing’

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Ryan Gosling attends the premiere of Project Hail Mary at Lincoln Center Plaza on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)

Ryan Gosling has opened up about whether he’s opting to stay in the loop as far as Gen Alpha slang’s concerned – and it’s a (polite and respectful) ‘no’ from him.

The Project Hail Mary star and Eva Mendes share two children together, Esmeralda, who is 11, and Amada, who is nine. So, it’s highly likely he’s come across ‘six-seven’, ‘chat’ and so on, in his time as a parent.

Talking to Parents about communicating with his tweens, and their use of today’s slang (which, for lots of kids, seems to change on a weekly basis), the actor revealed: “I don’t try to keep up with the slang. I think that’s their thing.

“I don’t think they want me to understand and I don’t need to. I let them have their thing. We wanted our ‘thing’ [when we were younger].”

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Ryan Gosling attends the premiere of Project Hail Mary at Lincoln Center Plaza on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)
Ryan Gosling attends the premiere of Project Hail Mary at Lincoln Center Plaza on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)

In Project Hail Mary, science teacher Ryland Grace (played by Ryan), wakes up on a spaceship with no recollection of who he is or how he got there.

As his memory returns, he realises he needs to solve the riddle of what is causing the sun to die out and, per Sony Pictures, “an unexpected friendship means he may not have to do it alone”.

While Ryan and Eva tend to keep their children’s lives out of the spotlight, speaking about the new movie, Ryan said from a parenting perspective he is “grateful” to be able to make a story that’s not all doom and gloom.

“Being a dad, having two young kids, and I feel like everything is designed to scare them,” he said on the New Heights podcast.

“I was so grateful just as a father to get to make a story for my kids – maybe, not to be too lofty – for their generation, that reminds you of what we’re capable of as human beings.”

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He added: “It doesn’t pretend that there’s not gonna be problems, but that we can solve them.”

Gen Alpha slang 101

While Ryan won’t be brushing up on tween slang anytime soon (he seems pretty busy right now anyway), if you do want to stay up-to-date with what your teens are talking about, and the online trends they’re following, here’s a quick rundown of some of the terms they’re using and what on earth they mean…

Mid

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When Gen Alpha uses it, “mid” means mediocre or of disappointing quality. According to Merriam-Webster, “mid” serves to express that something falls short of expectations, or isn’t impressive.

City boy

“City boy, city boy” is the call of Gen Alpha currently, with TikTok creator and teacher Philip Lindsay noting kids in his class have been saying it. The teacher suggested the phrase doesn’t really mean anything and kids are just shouting it out at all opportunities – a bit like six-seven.

Unc

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This is short for “uncle” – and, per Merriam-Webster, it’s “often used humorously to indicate old age” and may imply “someone is old, getting old, or acting older than their age”.

Lowkenuinely

A combination of ‘lowkey’ and ‘genuinely’, which describes expressing something sincere in a casual, laid-back way, according to experts at language platform Preply.

Chopped

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In Gen Z and Gen Alpha speak, it means ugly.

Choppelganger

Choppelganger is a portmanteau of ‘chopped’ (aka ugly), and ‘doppelganger’, which is a person who resembles someone else. So basically, it’s calling someone a less-attractive lookalike of someone else.

Chat

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According to Gabb’s guide to teen slang, chat is quite simply used “to refer to a group of people, like friends or people in their class”.

For more teen terms, check out our ultimate guide to Gen Alpha slang.

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UK 10-Year Gilts Surge Above 5% for First Time Since 2008

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UK 10-Year Gilts Surge Above 5% for First Time Since 2008

At the time of going to pixel, 10 year-gilts are at 5.069% – and rising. Now hitting 2008 financial crisis levels… and comfortably higher than the 4.42% peak after Liz Truss’s mini-Budget…

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Mike Newton: A primer for navigating recent chaos in the Gilt markets and a Conservative response

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Mike Newton: A primer for navigating recent chaos in the Gilt markets and a Conservative response

Mike Newton was Conservative parliamentary candidate for Wolverhampton West, and worked for the Bank of England during his career in the financial markets. 

This past week has seen the greatest level of financial market chaos in this country since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. This is partly the fault of the Iran war, but more broadly represents a massive political and economic policy failure on behalf of those who we trust to run the economy.

As a former Bank of England staffer, who was there at time of Eddie George and Mervyn King, I am mortified by the lack of a policy response.

The danger we face is serious and affects the stability of everyone’s finances: from you and me to the small businesses we use every day, and to the government. Anyone who borrows or wants to borrow is about to get much poorer. And lenders will worry if their loans are still ‘money good’.

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This attitude leads to a credit crunch. Mortgages are being pulled by the bucketload. Private credit, where borrowers and lenders face each other directly to finance things like infrastructure and property, is in a huge mess. No one quite knows how much the banks are exposed to these risks. How long before there is a wider banking system problem?

Short-term interest rates have gone through the roof with Bank Rate hikes now being priced for the Bank of England this year and next with a 60 per cent chance of a 25bp (quarter of a percent) hike next month. 88bp (nearly a full percent) of hiking in Bank Rate is now priced for the full year.

The benchmark ten-year gilt, the price at which the Government borrows, has shot up to levels not seen since the height of the 2008 panic. It closed up nearly 20bp on Friday: a huge one day move.

While the Iran War has been the catalyst, the outcome has been significantly worse for Britain than in the US, Germany, Japan or even Italy and Spain, due to combination of short-term policy mistakes and the UK’s particularly weak fiscal foundations.

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The main culprits here are the Chancellor, the Secretary of State for Energy and the Bank of England. But also guilty are the enablers, the Labour backbenchers, willingly blind to the laws of economics in pursuit of open-ended public spending on their client vote. And Reform has gone along with this fashionable fiscal incontinence with its calls for unfunded tax cuts, welfare largesse and strategic stakes in industry.

So, what exactly has happened? I will keep it as readable as possible.

When the US and Israel attacked Iran, the price of oil and gas rose very rapidly. The UK is particularly dependent on energy imports, largely due to poor policy decisions which have been exacerbated by Ed Miliband’s political choices.

This has led to expectations that inflation would rise sharply, which caused what is known as ‘repricing’ in interest rate markets. Interest rates are usually thought of as a ‘curve’ with a different rate of interest for each time point being joined together to form on a graph what looks like a curve.

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The ‘short end’ of the interest rate curve, which is the cost of borrowing for two years or less and is heavily affected by expectations of Bank of England policy, blew up as traders abandoned views that the Bank would cut and moved to price hikes for 2026 and 2027. This is a huge reversal and appears to have been also driven by a technical issue of traders being ‘caught short’ in the options market (more on this later as it is important).

The ‘long end’, which is the benchmark n-year gilt, hit levels on Friday not seen since 2008 at just shy of 5.00 per cent. This is very important as much corporate credit, home mortgages and of course government borrowing take the lead from this part of the curve.

So far, readers might wonder why I am blaming the Chancellor and the Bank of England for this? Isn’t it the fault of Mr Trump, Mr Netanyahu and the now departed Ayatollah?

Not really. That is just the catalyst. The Chancellor’s destruction of growth and wasteful spending has left the public finances on a weak footing. The OBR commented on this in its Spring Statement analysis noting the ‘structural vulnerabilities’ from the excessive tax and spend mix in the public finances.

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I doubt whether the OBR thought these would be revealed quite so quickly. The Government has done nothing but tax and spend, and over-regulate, since it was elected and it is no surprise that the country is now skint and unable to cope with events several thousand miles away.

The Debt Management Office (DMO) is responsible for arranging the funding of UK government debt and in recent months decided to be ‘cute’ with the markets by moving more funding to the ‘short end’ where it was notionally cheaper to borrow. This looked like a clever wheeze at the time, designed to buy Reeves fiscal headroom.

However, this strategy was more dangerous than the DMO let on given that short-term debt by definition has to be rolled over sooner, and if interest rates are then higher, the taxpayer is on the hook to pay more, and more quickly. It was also reliant on the Bank of England cutting interest further: but the fact that the Bank is now priced for hikes means this particular stout party has collapsed. The Chancellor should never have agreed to such an ill-judged high-risk strategy, nor should officials have suggested it.

On Friday it was reported in The Times that Cabinet had discussed loosening the fiscal rules to allow it to spend more. This was a pointless thing to do anyway, going against a basic law of economics at a time when it was least appropriate to do so with gilts under huge pressure. It would be rather like turning on the taps when your house is flooding.

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But the leaking of this discussion by a Cabinet member was irresponsibility of the highest order and almost treasonous for the impact it has had on the country’s ability to borrow money cheaply. It has cost taxpayers a huge amount of money because it pushed interest rates on gilts higher.

Furthermore, where has the economic leadership been during this? Has the Chancellor done anything to try and reassure the markets and public? If so, I must have missed it. Where is she when markets need her most? Why is the Energy Secretary not looking at temporary measures to boost the supply of ‘dirty energy’ from the North Sea? His views are one thing, and we must respect them as political opponents, but his inaction is unforgivable.

The Bank of England held its regular Monetary Policy Committee meeting last Thursday. It meets every six weeks to set interest rates and offer guidance to the market.

The meeting on Thursday was a disastrous failure of communication that frightened already scared markets further. Rather than take a very cautious approach to future decisions, the markets perceived the Governor and Committee to have done a full 180 degree turn from the previous meeting and started pushing interest rates higher, increasing market volatility.

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It has also been suggested been suggested by some market participants that the Bank may have failed to appreciate the depth of the exposure of investors to the short-selling options strategy outlined above, which would be a major failure of supervision and surveillance if true.

Indeed, the Bank has form for missing these important technical details with the Liability Driven Investments (LDI) affair.

Last Saturday I was listening to Andrew Griffith MP talk to Nick Robinson on his Political Thinking podcast (outstanding advocacy for Thatcherite values by the way). The Shadow Secretary of State, speaking about his time as City Minister, made it clear that the Bank was not fully cognisant of the risks from LDIs, and needed private sector help before it got up to speed on this existential issue.

I remember similar being said after the collapse of Barings when I worked at the Bank. It will never learn unless it meets more regularly with practitioners and hires more people who understand the details of markets.

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So, what is the Conservative response to all this?

Politically, we need to ensure that the guilty parties are held to account for the errors made so far, and in doing that be mindful of the fact that Labour cut us absolutely no slack whatsoever for the economic impact of the COVID and Ukraine shocks.

They have sown the wind and now must reap the whirlwind. Their failure to prepare and manage will likely lead to recession, and soon. And with gilt yields now way higher than when Liz Truss was PM, we have an opportunity to nail that tired piece of ‘whataboutery’ for ever. We should play the hardest of hardball politics with them.

Strategically, the case for fiscal consolidation and pro-growth deregulation is now stronger than ever. A higher bar for welfare, including a review of all expenditure including the Triple Lock, and repeal of anti-business measures such as the Employment Rights Bill must feature prominently. The public finances must be strengthened and hard decisions on priorities taken.

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Policy coordination needs to be improved. The Bank of England must be more accountable and aligned with broader macroeconomic objectives. It needs to do its job better.

There is no alternative to the above measures. Under Kemi, the party has shown it is willing to go to the root of a problem and find solutions. These desperate economic circumstances require hard-edged small state policies. We can no longer afford to be stranded on the economic middle ground.

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