Connect with us

Politics

Politics Home Article | How Strong Is Support For The Greens?

Published

on

How Strong Is Support For The Greens?
How Strong Is Support For The Greens?

Zack Polanski (Alamy)


5 min read

Zack Polanski’s leadership of the Greens has generated significant interest in the party. Nearly half of UK adults are considering supporting them at the next general election, according to new polling shared exclusively with PoliticsHome. But the research also suggests the Greens face a challenge in turning momentum into hard votes.

Advertisement

The rise of the Greens has been one of the biggest stories in British politics since the 2024 general election. The party has surged in the opinion polls since London Assembly Member Zack Polanski became party leader in September, with his “eco-populism” posing a major threat to the Labour Party’s left flank.

Next week, when voters in Gorton and Denton go to the polls for a highly-anticipated by-election, the Greens are hopeful of unseating Labour in a constituency that the governing party has controlled for over 100 years. Victory in Greater Manchester for Green candidate Hannah Spencer would represent a seismic moment.

New Thinks Insight & Strategy research sheds more light on the party’s recent rise – as well as the hurdles they face in their bid to be the foremost force on the British left.

Advertisement

An online poll of 2,114 adults in the UK, carried out between February 13 and 15, found that nearly half of those surveyed (48 per cent) were considering voting for the Greens at the next general election.

Of those, 18 per cent were strong considerers, meaning there is a ‘very high’ or ‘good’ chance of them doing so, while 31 per cent were soft, meaning there is ‘some’ or ‘a small’ chance.

Asked what is attractive about the Greens, respondents described what they saw as Polanski’s positive attributes.

Advertisement

Nearly two-thirds of the party’s strong considerers (63 per cent) and exactly a quarter of soft considerers said the party leader being “a breath of fresh air” made them more likely to vote for the Greens at the next general election.

In two focus groups carried out by Thinks Insight & Strategy, in East London and Sheffield, people considering voting for the Greens described Polanski as charismatic, articulate and someone who is clear about what he thinks.

On what the party stands for, over three-quarters of strong Green considerers (76 per cent) and 42 per cent of soft considerers said they were more likely to vote for them because they want to help ordinary people, not billionaires. Similarly, 72 per cent of strong considerers and 36 per cent of soft considerers said they were more likely to support the party because they are focused on social and economic justice.

“It’s clear that the Green Party are picking up momentum, and our findings show they should be taken seriously. Almost half of UK adults are considering voting for them, including two-thirds of those who voted Labour at the last election,” Allie Jennings, director at Thinks Insight & Strategy, told PoliticsHome.

Advertisement

Speaking on this week’s episode of PoliticsHome podcast The Rundown, Green Party MP Ellie Chowns said she had met “huge numbers of people on the doorstep” in Gorton and Denton who are “really disillusioned with Labour”.

Thinks Insight & Strategy research for PoliticsHome
(Thinks Insight & Strategy)

However, the research shared with PoliticsHome also detected potential challenges for Polanski and co when it comes to turning mid-term popularity into support at the next general election.

The first is the relative shallowness of their current support.

For example, the number of people strongly considering voting Green at the next general election is smaller than the number who say the same about Nigel Farage’s Reform UK. Thinks Insight & Strategy research for PoliticsHome late last year found that 16 per cent of people said there was a ‘very high’ chance of them voting for Reform at the next general election, compared to eight per cent who said the same about the Greens this month.

At the same time, most Green considerers are looking at three or more parties in total, while 73 per cent of strong considerers and 51 per cent of soft considerers told the survey they would vote for whoever was best-placed to defeat the Reform candidate in their area.

Advertisement
Thinks Insight & Strategy
(Thinks Insight & Strategy)

When prompted with a further squeeze question, 44 per cent of strong Green considerers said they would vote Labour to stop Reform, and 29 per cent would vote Green. Meanwhile, 45 per cent of soft Green considerers would back Labour to stop Reform, while just two per cent would vote Green in this scenario. Of the latter cohort, 14 per cent would vote for Farage’s party.

The findings suggest that current interest in the Greens is driven more by disappointment with the status quo than a strong ideological connection to the party.

Jennings added: “What united both the soft considerers and those considering the Greens more deeply was concern about a Reform UK victory. In the event of a credible threat from Reform, those considering Greens were prepared to vote tactically for whoever had the best chance of winning.

“This stands in contrast to consideration of Reform, which is much stronger and stickier. We saw last year that those considering Reform tended to dismiss any concerns about the party as untrue or unimportant. There was also a much stronger belief that they could win both locally and nationally.”

When the survey asked respondents what concerns they have about the Greens, the most prominent was a feeling that the party is too idealistic, with 28 per cent of soft considerers saying this made them less likely to vote for the party. 

Advertisement

This played out in two broad policy areas: 21 per cent of soft considerers said they were less likely to vote for the Greens because they are “weak on national security”, while a similar proportion (19 per cent) said the same because the party would “sacrifice economic growth and jobs for environmental concerns”.

In the two focus groups, people looking at the Greens as an option at the next election expressed a belief that the party could not win power, as they are not realistic enough.

“In focus groups, the Greens’ ideas were often dismissed as wishful thinking or fanciful,” said Jennings.

 

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Politics

HMO housing quality used as rallying cry for racist protest

Published

on

HMO housing quality used as rallying cry for racist protest

The notoriously racist and Islamophobic group, the Official Protestant Coalition (OPC) is at it again, this time advertising a protest entitled “Local home for local people”. The intention here is clearly to signal that houses should not be reserved for migrants.

As has been the case for other protests they’ve promoted, the group seems to be adopting the plausible deniability approach when it comes to taking responsibility for organising the hate fest. The loyalist group say:

We have been informed. This protest is organised for the people by the people and everybody and every group no matter who they are is welcome time to make a stand. We have been asked to share this. We have not organised it, but we support it God bless.

OPC’s other recent posts include an example of how the far-right will find a way to bash Muslims regardless of the circumstances. They show a mocked-up headline featuring a picture of alleged rapist Andrew Windsor, with the words:

Prince Andrew converts to Islam; police immediately drop all charges

HMO dog whistle an excuse to bash migrants

The poster for the protest indicates it will take place on March 27 outside the planning offices for Belfast City Council. It also urges supporters to “Say no to HMOs”. HMO stands for House in Multiple Occupation, and has become a form of dog whistle for racists wanting to whip up anti-immigrant sentiment, under the guise of demanding better housing.

Advertisement

It can be an effective tactic, given that HMOs often are low-quality dwellings, suffering from mould and cramped rooms. Landlords will frequently convert a large home designed for a family and split it into separate flats. This increases what they term ‘yield’; i.e. you can cram a lot more people in than would previously have been the case, and make more money.

Often this ends up with unsuitable living conditions, such as kitchens or bathrooms without windows leading to the aforementioned issues with damp. In an article on how housing issues wrecked his mental health, Novara journalist Aaron Bastani described them as:

…shoeboxes with a focus on nothing but value extraction.

The other issue often raised is the issue of transience, in that HMOs are typically populated by young, single people who don’t stay long. This has led to complaints about a breakdown in “community cohesion“. In reality, they’re probably moving out quickly in most cases because the tiny damp flat they’re boxed into is unliveable.

The point about dire quality is doubly true for migrants, who typically end up in the worst places around. A recent report entitled Hostile Housing – The Health Impacts of Housing for People Seeking Asylum looked at the devastating impact shitty housing had on asylum seekers.

Advertisement

The vile reality — worst housing is reserved for asylum seekers

These are people who have typically had to flee their homes in horrendous circumstances, escaping persecution and war. Yet we disgracefully fail them by focusing on what the report terms “containment over care”. The authors found that:

Four key themes emerged from the survey data: inadequate housing conditions, loss of autonomy and rights, privacy and safety concerns, and food insecurity.

On housing quality, respondents described widespread problems including overcrowding, damp, mould, poor ventilation and persistent noise. These conditions were linked by participants to respiratory problems, skin conditions and deterioration in mental health.

One woman said:

Yes, I’m suffocating a lot, I’m 31 weeks pregnant in very small room where there is no ventilation… I have breathing issue because of this.

The likes of Serco, Mears Group and Clearsprings Ready Homes — who provide accommodation for asylum seekers — have attempted to have HMO legislation watered down.

Advertisement

The issue of housing should be the ultimate low hanging fruit for the left. Under a project of “more — and better quality — housing for all”, we could ensure better homes for everyone, and cut off an easy rallying point for the far-right.

The organisers of these protests are likely bile-filled racists, and some attendees will be too. That won’t be true of everyone going, however. Some will be angry people stuck on the obscenely long list for social housing, others will be people living in crap rentals under dodgy landlords. It’s a lot easier to scapegoat asylum seekers for social problems when those social problems are real.

The trick is to fix those problems, and show that it’s the likes of landlords, massive corporations, and their political lackeys who are to blame, not vulnerable people seeking protection after fleeing their home abroad.

Featured image via Belfast Media

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

Trott: Labour is Trying to Tear Down the Performance of Those at the Top

Published

on

Trott: Labour is Trying to Tear Down the Performance of Those at the Top

Trott: Labour is Trying to Tear Down the Performance of Those at the Top

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

10 Cheeses You Can Still Eat If You’re Lactose Intolerant

Published

on

Knowing which cheeses contain lower percentages of lactose could open up a whole world of opportunities.

During an icebreaker game in college, one of my classmates confessed that she wasn’t allowed to eat cheese in her apartment.

Her fiancé couldn’t stand the sight or smell of cheese. Personally, that would be a relationship dealbreaker, but for others, avoiding cheese isn’t just a personal preference.

Lactose intolerance occurs when the small intestine produces too little lactase, the enzyme that digests lactose, which is the natural sugar in milk,” explained Michelle Routhenstein, a preventive cardiology dietitian and certified diabetes educator at Entirely Nourished.

“Undigested lactose passes into the large intestine, where bacteria ferment it, causing bloating, gas, cramps and diarrhoea.”

Advertisement
Knowing which cheeses contain lower percentages of lactose could open up a whole world of opportunities.

Mint Images via Getty Images

Knowing which cheeses contain lower percentages of lactose could open up a whole world of opportunities.

Despite these unpleasant symptoms, you don’t have to write off cheese entirely if you’re lactose intolerant. As it turns out, there are several types of cheese you can still enjoy, even if you’re sensitive to lactose.

Below, we consulted registered dietitians about what to look for in a cheese and which cheeses you can eat in moderation if you’re lactose intolerant.

Should you avoid lactose?

“Many people with lactose intolerance can tolerate about 1 to 4 grams of lactose per serving, especially when eaten with other foods, though individual thresholds vary,” Routhenstein said.

Advertisement

“Sticking to roughly 1 ounce of cheese, enjoying it as part of a meal, and spacing servings throughout the day can help improve tolerance.”

She also explained that lactose intolerance differs from a true milk allergy. “Anyone with a dairy allergy should avoid these cheeses entirely,” she said.

But if you’re sensitive to lactose or concerned about it affecting your digestion, you don’t need to avoid cheese completely. “Most of the lactose is strained out with the whey when making cheese,” Amanda Sauceda, a registered dietitian and gut health nutritionist, told HuffPost.

Let’s back up a second. There are two main proteins in milk: whey and casein. Whey is the cloudy liquid that is expelled from cheese curds during the process of making cheese or yogurt. “The remaining lactose gets broken down during fermentation as the cheese ages,” Sauceda said.

Advertisement

That means the older the cheese, the lower the lactose. “Aged or fermented cheeses contain very little lactose and are often easier to tolerate than milk or fresh dairy products,” Routhenstein said.

Some softer cheeses, such as feta, are lower in lactose. There are also dairy-based cheeses that are lactose-free, as well as plant-based cheeses that don’t contain lactose, Sauceda said.

Cheeses that are lower in lactose

Cheeses that are higher in lactose are those with more than 3 grams of lactose per 100 grams. Examples include softer cheeses like mascarpone, which contains 4% lactose, and ricotta, which can have as much as 5% lactose.

Advertisement

Even your favourite bagel spread can upset your stomach, as cream cheese contains between 4-4.6% lactose.

Some cheeses are lower in lactose, making them a good choice for people with lactose intolerance. Here are the cheeses our experts recommended.

Parmesan contains less than 0 grams of lactose per 1-ounce serving.

Martin Steinthaler via Getty Images

Parmesan contains less than 0 grams of lactose per 1-ounce serving.

Parmesan

Naturally low in lactose, Parmesan has less than 0 grams of lactose per 1-ounce serving, Sauceda said. Parmesan is also a source of vitamins and minerals, such as calcium and magnesium, which are important for bone health.

Advertisement

“I love to sprinkle Parmesan on soups because it adds depth of flavour,” she said. This dry cheese has a golden rind, which you can grate and sprinkle on your pizza or pasta for a zesty crunch.

Cheddar

As an aged, hard cheese, cheddar is naturally low in lactose. Along with adding texture and flavour, the cheese ripening process results in the production of proteins with anti-inflammatory effects.

Cheddar contains less than 1 gram of lactose per 1.5-ounce serving or less than 2% lactose, Sauceda said. “For reference, one cup of milk has 12 grams of lactose.”

Advertisement

She recommended keeping a block of cheddar on hand to pair with fruit like pears and grapes. “Shred the cheese for an easy topping on veggies you may not love,” she said. “Cheddar gets me more excited about broccoli.” This food hack isn’t just for kids.

Goat’s cheese

Made from goat’s milk, goat cheese has about 0.5 to 1 % lactose, Routhenstein said. “Its fat structure and mild acidity make it gentler on digestion,” she said.

Goat’s cheese has a tangier flavour and less lactose than cheeses made from cow’s milk. “It can be spread on salads, roasted vegetables, or whole-grain toast, adding flavor and heart-healthy fiber,” she said.

Advertisement

Havarti

If you’re looking for a delicious and creamy cheese, look no further than Havarti, which contains 1% lactose.

“It needs to be aged enough to reduce remaining lactose,” Kristen Carli, a registered dietitian from WOWMD, told HuffPost. If the label doesn’t indicate the cheese is aged, visually inspect it for a darker yellow colour or a crumbly texture.

Havarti has a buttery flavour which becomes more intense and tangier with age. Enjoy it with fruit and wine or shred some Havarti on your favourite breakfast omelette.

Advertisement

Gouda

“Aged Gouda contains 1% lactose,” Carli said. It has a sweet, nutty flavour and a crumbly texture that’s similar to Parmesan when it’s aged. “Gouda is best enjoyed with fruits and nuts on a cheese board,” she said.

Creamy brie only contains about 1-2% lactose.
Creamy brie only contains about 1-2% lactose.

Brie

Known for its buttery flavour and white rind, brie tends to be low in lactose, containing 1 to 2%.

“Most of the lactose is removed early when the whey is drained, and the bacteria in the cheese keep breaking down the rest as it ages,” Routhenstein said. “So, even though it’s creamy, brie doesn’t have much lactose and is easier to digest for those who are lactose intolerant.”

Advertisement

You can enjoy brie at room temperature on a cheese plate. Or add it to flat bread or grilled cheese for melt-in-your-mouth deliciousness.

Swiss

With its holey appearance reminiscent of the moon, Swiss is a long-standing favourite. During fermentation, bacteria produce carbon dioxide and trap gas bubbles, resulting in the formation of eyes or holes.

Swiss contains 1% lactose, Carli said. Her advice was to enjoy it melted in French onion soup. Since Swiss is less salty than other cheeses, you can enjoy it with cured meats like bacon or prosciutto or crunchy snacks like crackers and pretzels.

Advertisement

Feta

At 1% lactose, feta is another option for lactose-weary cheese lovers. It’s made from sheep’s milk.

“When it’s aged enough to reduce remaining lactose, sheep’s milk is even lower than cow’s milk versions,” Carli said. She recommended sprinkling feta on a Mediterranean salad, which usually contains a mixture of cucumbers, olives, tomatoes, red onions, and feta cheese tossed in olive oil or a lemon vinaigrette.

Farmer’s cheese

Advertisement

You can find American-style farmer’s cheese in grocery stores. It’s made from pressing cottage cheese to remove the water.

“Farmer’s cheese contains slightly more lactose, around 2 to 3%, but small portions are usually well tolerated,” Routhenstein said. “As a fermented dairy, farmer’s cheese provides probiotics that support gut health and may help protect the heart.”

She recommended mixing farmer’s cheese into fruit or sprinkling it on cucumbers with a dash of black pepper for a savoury, heart-healthy snack.

Cottage cheese

Advertisement

“With about 3 to 4% lactose, cottage cheese is a little bit higher in lactose but is still a good option when eaten in moderation,” Sauceda said. “A 100-gram serving, which is about half a cup, will have some lactose because it’s a fresh cheese with some of the whey remaining.”

Her advice is to start with a quarter cup of cottage cheese and see how your stomach feels. “Lately, I’ve been using cottage cheese, oats, and egg to make a pancake scramble,” she said. “Cottage cheese is really an MVP in the kitchen because you can bake with it, add it to pasta sauces to punch up the protein, or just enjoy it as is.”

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

Phillipson on Trump Tariffs: We Want to Secure the Best Deal for British Businesses

Published

on

Phillipson on Trump Tariffs: We Want to Secure the Best Deal for British Businesses

Phillipson on Trump Tariffs: We Want to Secure the Best Deal for British Businesses

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

Kyiv Mayor Pauses Uncomfortably Regarding Trump Support

Published

on

Kyiv Mayor Pauses Uncomfortably Regarding Trump Support

The mayor of the Ukrainian capital struggled to say if he trusts Donald Trump in an awkward exchange on Sky News this morning.

The third round of trilateral talks between the US, Ukraine and Russia failed to make any significant headway last week, despite Trump’s desperate efforts to get a peace deal over the line.

The Trump administration has even suggested Ukraine might have to give up more of its sovereign territory in a compromise, even though allies say that would be rewarding Russia for its aggression.

But Putin continues to hold onto his maximalist goals for Ukraine while Trump baselessly blames Kyiv for the hold-up in negotiations.

Advertisement

Sky News presenter Trevor Phillips asked Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko: “Do you trust President Trump?”

After a painfully long pause of around 12 seconds, Klitschko scoffed and said: “I try to trust him, but some times I do not understand the messages clearly from President Trump regarding peace in Ukraine.

“Peace in Ukraine is very important, very important for the whole war, but peace in Ukraine cannot be a capitulation agreement between Ukraine and Russia.”

Phillip replied: “In this fight, President Trump isn’t really in your corner. At best, he thinks of himself as referee.”

Advertisement

Klitschko laughed and said: “If Trump has to be referee, he has to be very objective and to be neutral.

“But it will be much better to have such an influential man in our corner.”

He continued: “It’s also a task for President Zelenskyy to have a good relationship and understanding with President Trump of the United States.”

Asked if he can see an end to this war, the mayor paused again.

Advertisement

“This war can stop easily. One person began this war – I’m talking about the president of Russia, Putin, who can stop [the war] easily,” he replied.

“Putin understands power. Russians never ever pay attention to a weak position. And that’s why we Ukrainians have to be strong, and we are stronger when we are together with our partners.”

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

Jewish Chronicle hack arrested for shoving woman

Published

on

Jewish Chronicle hack arrested for shoving woman

Gill Levy is a former Met Police custody sergeant who now writes for far-right libel factory the Jewish Chronicle. And today he was arrested, in glorious colour, after allegedly shoving a woman protesting peacefully against censorship of Palestine and Israel’s crimes against it. Levy is also one of a number of sinister, far-right ‘auditors’ who film and try to intimidate protesters.

Levy posts his footage along with openly Islamophobic — and often antisemitic — comments, describing support for the Palestinian people as mental illness and Jews who oppose Israel’s racism as ‘self-hating Jews‘:

The protest and the arrest have been ignored by the state and corporate media machine. But the Canary was on hand to film the arrest, as Levy tried to make light of it:

But Skwawkbox can reveal the fuller story — and activist photographer ‘BetterThanReal’ was on hand to photograph not just Levy, but the protest and Shalima, the resilient victim.

BetterThanReal told Skwawkbox:

Advertisement

Several hundred Palestine activists gathered Saturday February 21 from 2-4pm outside the British Museum in central London to protest what has been a prominent news topic this past week, the apparent bowing by the British Museum to demands from a pro-Israel lobby group, UK Lawyers for Israel (UKLFI) to amend the wording around several displays and exhibits in the Levant section.

Despite the fact that ‘Palestine’ has been an accepted term for this region since at least the Bronze Age, Zionists are keen to continue their program of erasing Palestinian history and culture, and censoring references to ‘Palestine’ are part of this agenda. While the Museum has denied removing the term ‘Palestine’ as a direct result of UKLFI pressure, it does admit to altering the wording on several of its displays.

The demonstrators displayed placards and in several speeches demanded the Museum engage in dialogue to resolve the issue – dialogue which includes Palestinian representatives.

Throughout the proceedings two ‘auditors’ were filming and harassing the peaceful demonstrators. One, Gill Levy, an ex-policeman and currently a contributor to the Jewish Chronicle newspaper, was particularly blatant in how he used his camera right in people’s faces. At one point a woman I was speaking to lurched into me, then turned around and shouted at the man behind her. It was Gill Levy. When she turned back to face me the colour had drained from her face. I asked if he had shoved her and yes, he had.

The incident was duly reported and Gill Levy arrested, although he had been released by early evening. We are waiting to hear what consequences will follow from his assault, if any.

Advertisement

Apart from this aggression the entire demonstration passed off peacefully and there were no other arrests. The activists have made a strong case for Nicholas Cullinan, the museum’s director, to rethink his decision.

As usual, Jewish anti-genocide humanitarians were front and centre of the protest, exposing the Jewish Chronicle and Israel lobby’s antisemitic lie that support for Israel is intrinsic to Jewishness:

 

But Levy and a few other agitators were allowed to get in the faces of peaceful protesters, recording and provoking:

Advertisement

But after the alleged shove, Levy was handcuffed and removed — and didn’t look as happy about it as his performance on video tried to suggest:

Once again, the opponents of genocide showed their peaceful resolve, while the supporters of the genocidal colony — unsurprisingly — did not. But this is never mentioned by UK state-corporate media all too eager to demonise the lovers of peace and to cover for the racists who support slaughter and apartheid.

Skwawkbox contacted the Met for comment, but its press office was not staffed.

Featured image via the Canary

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

Harry Styles-Inspired High Street Picks To Shop Right Now

Published

on

Harry Styles-Inspired High Street Picks To Shop Right Now

We hope you love the products we recommend! All of them were independently selected by our editors. Just so you know, HuffPost UK may collect a share of sales or other compensation from the links on this page if you decide to shop from them. Oh, and FYI – prices are accurate and items in stock as of time of publication.

Harry Styles has been a bona fide menswear style icon for years now – and with a new album dropping in just a few short weeks on 6 March, new looks from the Aperture singer are undoubtedly about to take centre stage again.

The chart-topping singer has been keeping something of a low profile since his mammoth Love On Tour world jaunt came to an end in 2023.

If you’re a fan of his very chic casual style, which has been papped in recent months while he’s been spotted out and about with Zoë Kravitz, here’s some shopping inspiration channelling off-duty Harry, without the pop star price tags.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

The Conservatives must tackle any renewal of a ‘crisis of confidence’

Published

on

The Conservatives must tackle any renewal of a 'crisis of confidence'

They say the secret to great comedy is timing.  It’s no less true in politics.

Steeped as this site is in following, analysing, and sharing with you – whatever you make of it – the fluctuations and fortunes of the Conservative party, timing is occasionally everything.

The announcement of a new Conservative policy aimed at students, to scrap the Plan 2 interest payments on student loans has been fortuitous. Quite apart from being smart politics being aimed at younger voters, it reinforces the pattern of policy thought through, not needing instant clarification – a step in the Badenoch strategy of ‘slow, steady and consistent.’

There’s also a sense, I have to report, that the new policy is ‘about time too’ and followed up with me rather too quickly with, ‘and there’s more to come, right?

Advertisement

Why? Because maybe you’ve felt it, it’s certainly there in the air, that niggling doubt is creeping in again.

It’s true, I reported back from the Conservative Winter party a few weeks ago where – albeit green shoots only – amongst donors, the shadow cabinet and senior Tory supporters there was a noticeable sense of resilience and confidence in themselves; that the road ahead was decidedly tricky but they felt more up to the task. They were certainly no longer cowed by their angry rivals to the right.

Well self-confidence is a good thing. Badenoch herself can take a lot of the credit for providing it, but like Labour’s shaky claims that the green shoots of economic confidence are returning, you have to be able to show they’re really there at all, and accept there is something terribly vulnerable about a ‘green shoot’. A Party cannot renew without faith in the leader, but faith in the leader can’t do the work alone.

The projection of self-confidence Kemi displayed to the party at last year’s Conference was only going to resonate for so long. She’s undoubtedly built on it, by establishing that despite opponents suggestions, she is leader of the real, official opposition, and consistently hammers the bruises the Government has so consistently been giving itself – so much so that Labour are in the kind of existential mess she has done well to drag her party just about clear of. .

Advertisement

But any hint of complacency about where they are now, would be politically suicidal.

Any confidence within a party is not a guarantee of confidence in a party. Indeed there is a whiff of a second ‘crisis of confidence’ coming, from the wider party and one that mirrors this time last year.

This feeling – and everything about politics today is ‘vibes’ – is not inexplicable. We are just over two months away from crucial elections that will have a big impact on everything that’s come in the last two years. They also carry warnings from similar elections last year where, leaders aside, it was obvious that the Tory brand was still as damaged as it had been in 2024.

This May’s local elections, and in Wales, and Scotland where Badenoch has been in recent days, will not be good for the Conservative party. They might not be catastrophic and indeed far, far worse for Labour, but dispel the idea they’ll be ‘good’ for fear of a nasty surprise.

Advertisement

They’re now more likely to amplify the leadership question in Labour ranks than the Conservatives, but the absence of a rival who was always planning to move afterwards will not stop questions about direction, chances of success, and amplify the ‘wobbles’ our parliamentary party have been prone to.

Reform had a good week. The big defections have pushed many long standing Conservatives to ask themselves, again, if they are backing the right horse, questions I hear asked across the Conservative party. These shouldn’t be dismissed as disloyalty.

The Gorton and Denton by-election is, as it was always going to be for the Tories, the flip side of Parliament. Reform don’t get much of a look in in the Chamber by not being the opposition, and therefore, simply protocol wise, they are something of a side show there. Well in Manchester despite a good and brave candidate, the Conservatives are the side show. In Gorton and Denton they are all but ignored.

This is relevant because of the narrative now pushed by some observers, and certainly rival parties, that the electorate are no longer angry or vengeful but completely indifferent to the Tories. It’s a line that should be caveated in the same way predictions of their demise have proved premature – it’s something they need people to believe is fact – however it would be the most arrogant and complacent Conservative that didn’t worry about the consequences were it to be true.

Advertisement

We are still within Badenoch’s ‘two years’ that it would take to even get a hearing again post 2024, but there are some important warnings flashing up.

Polling wise the Conservatives bubble around the 19-20 per cent mark, with the occasional unwelcome return to 16-17 percent and have not yet consistently overtaken Labour. That every percentage point rise is so much harder to gain in the five party landscape we now have, cannot brush aside the fact that the Conservatives are not even close to where they were in July 2024, and that any movement upwards is stubbornly slow, if not static.

On Friday, my good colleague Tali Fraser wisely took a point from Henry Hill’s final piece for ConservativeHome, and I’m going to do the same. It’s long been internal lore that ‘Henry has a point‘. No renewal, or recovery, or chance to win, will materialise until there is an offer that honestly and openly addresses the deep seated problems the UK faces. There are no parties doing that yet. They all claim to, but not the really big economic, and societal questions. I believe the Tories can, but they haven’t yet.

Everybody is carrying that damned “Ming Vase” still and wether you call it ‘responsible revolution’ or ‘responsible radicalism’ the latter bit of those phrases is still not quite there. From anyone.

Advertisement

Part of the dampener on existing Conservative ‘new policy’ announcements is whilst many Tories are happy to see the direction of travel within them and the potential appeal to a tough electorate, they are often correcting problems the party created for itself when in Government. Being under new management, which definitely makes a difference, doesn’t stop that both being true, and noticed by voters and rival parties. The drag anchor of the past is still there, and still a big problem.

The irony of Labour failing to go ‘further and faster’ in their map-less quest for purpose  is that phase is the whispered suggestion for many Conservatives amongst Conservatives about the current Conservative plan.

Again, the demand we saw before Conference last year is building – people might like what they’ve seen, but are hungry for more, and want it bigger, bolder – and always better. I know the leadership team are aware of all of this. They understand the secrets of timing, but if they also know that they can only say they are ‘on it’ .But saying is not the same as doing, to those asking.

When I started as Editor, I told of a friend who said to me ‘Giles, we are not done burning yet’. Despite suggestions the party is ‘still in denial’, usually from those who need that to be the case, the doubts about the future are creeping in again, and they need tackling.

Advertisement

The future is uncertain, there is a long way still to go, the finished picture is not available yet, and there are many who want to steam roller the entire project off course – permanently, if they can. It’s not unreasonable in such circumstances for those with reasonable doubts to seek reassurance that the project is on the right track, leads the right way, and is not a long slog to a dead end.

A new policy on student loans won’t be the complete answer, of course not, but it does at least show a process we are promised is ongoing is actually delivering, slowly. The party top brass has advocated patience so many times it’s a cliché, but as we get towards May, and certainly after, the worries will get louder.

The first rule of avoiding a trap is knowing of its existence. ConservativeHome will be eagerly seeking the signs that, if those at the top are aware of it, they are doing everything to avoid it.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Politics

Farage Under Fire For ‘Cheap Stunt’ Over Chagos Islands

Published

on

Farage Under Fire For 'Cheap Stunt' Over Chagos Islands

Nigel Farage has been called out for claiming the Labour government has stopped him from entering the Chagos Islands.

Labour is trying to give the archipelago to Mauritius, while paying the country £9 billion over the next 99 years so it can lease the UK-US military base on Diego Garcia.

But the move has sparked outrage from Donald Trump in recent days, even though the US president initially backed the deal.

On Friday, he called Keir Starmer’s plan a “big mistake”, predicting it would a “blight” on the UK.

Advertisement

Trump supporter Farage now appears to have flown to the Indian Ocean in a bid to access the overseas territory.

But, in a video posted on X from the Maldives, the Reform UK leader claimed he had been blocked from entering the Chagos Islands.

He claimed: “The British government are applying pressure on the president and the government of the Maldives to do everything within their power to stop me from getting on that boat and going to the islands.

“If I was an Isis fighter, crossing the Channel to Dover, they wouldn’t give a damn!”

Advertisement

But, as the gov.uk website explains, the territory has restricted access and anyone entering needs to have a permit.

“The British Indian Ocean Territory is not a tourist destination,” it says. “There are no commercial flights, access is restricted and you need a permit before you travel.”

This information was also added by fellow X users below the video in a community note in a humiliating moment for Farage.

Even so, Reform MP Robert Jenrick reposted Farage’s clip with the caption: “The one boat Starmer has stopped? The one taking Nigel Farage to the Chagos Islands.”

Advertisement

The Treasury spokesperson was alluding to the small boats crisis, which Reform claims they would be able to stop with detention and deportation.

But Jenrick’s former colleague, ex-Tory defence secretary Ben Wallace called him out, writing: “Robert you and i know both know this is a cheap stunt, There are strict rules and permits about who can visit.

“Pub bores like Farage need to fill in a form! And the island base is full of serious people doing serious things. So perhaps he should get back to Clacton.”

Wallace was not alone in condemning the post. Plenty of X users called out Farage for travelling well outside of his Clacton constituency…

Advertisement

Are you suggesting we should have less strict borders?

— Harry Eccles (@Heccles94) February 21, 2026

The look at me for attention tour

Nowhere near Clacton or Gorton and Denton though is it

— dave lawrence 🐟🐟🐠 (@dave43law) February 21, 2026

What the fuck are you doing trying to enter the Chagos Islands? You’re the MP for fucking Clacton!

— Dave (@SeeDeeMcLeod) February 21, 2026

Advertisement

Farage would have known this before this political stunt. Imagine trying to get into an area with restricted access due to the military being there and sovereignty, so trying to get into the islands without a permit and thinking you’re entitled to do that it’s ridiculous. Farage… pic.twitter.com/HDyoTKiIP9

— Poke01Bavovna🇺🇦 (@Poke01Bavovna) February 21, 2026

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Politics

Johnson says Andrew scandal ‘will blow over’

Published

on

Johnson says Andrew scandal ‘will blow over’

The post Johnson says Andrew scandal ‘will blow over’ appeared first on Conservative Home.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025