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Two Strength Tests Can Predict Your Longevity After 60

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Two Strength Tests Can Predict Your Longevity After 60

You might already know that a person’s grip strength correlates strongly with their overall health, ageing status, strength, bone density, cognitive ability, sleep, and more.

A new paper published in JAMA Network Open, which involved over 5,000 women aged 63-99, looked at how both grip strength and a “sit-to-stand” chair rise correlated to mortality.

After eight years of follow-up, they found that women who did well in both tests were less likely to die in the years after the first tests.

How did they measure both strength tests?

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The grip strength test was measured in kilograms. The more pressure you apply to an object – like a tool called a hand dynamometer – when you squeeze it, the higher that kilogram figure is.

For every seven extra kilograms in the grip test, participants had a 12% lower mortality risk on average.

The unassisted sit-to-stand chair raises involved getting up from a seated position in a chair to standing without assistance, eg, leaning on something or pushing against an object, as quickly as possible.

They tracked participants’ speed in seconds for five unassisted sit-to-stand chair raises.

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“When it came to chair stands, moving from the slowest time to the fastest time in 6-second increments, researchers saw a 4% lower mortality rate,” the University of Buffalo, whose researchers were involved in the study, said.

Why might strength be so linked to longevity?

“If you don’t have enough muscle strength to get up, it is going to be hard to do aerobic activities, such as walking, which is the most commonly reported recreational activity in U.S. adults ages 65 and older,” the study’s lead author, Dr Michael LaMonte, told the University of Buffalo.

“Muscular strength, in many ways, enables one to move their body from one point to another, particularly when moving against gravity… When we [can] no longer get out of the chair and move around, we are in trouble.”

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Interestingly, the benefits of greater strength seemed to hold even when participants didn’t meet exercise guidelines for 150 minutes a week.

“We also showed that differences in body size did not explain the muscular strength relationship with death,” Dr LaMonte said. “When we scaled the strength measures to body weight and even to lean body mass, there remained significantly lower mortality.”

How can I stay strong as I age?

The research suggests that maintaining strength as we age is key to better health outcomes.

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“Healthy ageing probably is best pursued through adequate amounts of both aerobic and muscle-strengthening physical activities,” the researcher said.

You don’t need to pump iron daily to reap the benefits, Dr LaMonte suggested: “Even using soup cans or books as a form of resistance provides stimulus to skeletal muscles and could be used by individuals for whom other options are not feasible”.

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Trump will exploit American deaths

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Trump will exploit American deaths

All six crewmembers of the US military tanker which crashed on 12 March 2026 are dead, after Trump carried out an unprovoked attack on Iran and brought severe unrest to the region. That brings the overall US death toll thirteen – officially, at least. The cause of the crash is unclear, as the Canary reported here.

Needless to say the number of innocent civilians killed across the region are still being counted and are unlikely to have anything like the same sort of news value in the Western legacy media.

For me, the crash summons an acute memory. Twenty years ago, I personally delivered the coffins meant for 14 dead airmen across Kandahar Airfield in Southern Afghanistan to the base’s medical centre where their remains were held.

Their Nimrod spy plane had crashed days earlier. Some reports blamed a fuel leak on the ageing aircraft.

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Then as now, the airmen concerned died in a war of choice they were sent to because of the remote, hubristic ambitions of politicians thousand of miles away. Then as now, such deaths were useful to the political class at home.

Trump will fall for the sacrifice trap

One way of understanding how the deaths of these crew members will be received is to look at the ‘sacrifice trap’. I first heard the term in a 2018 report authored by scholar and anti-militarist writer professor Paul Dixon. He describes the trap as one of:

a range of rhetorical devices are identified to justify war.

This device was regularly used back then to head off public opposition to the failing Afghanistan war.

Here’s Dixon:

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The Sacrifice Trap – refers to the situation in which the deaths of military personnel creates a
reason to prolong war in order to justify these sacrifices. As more die this creates further
reasons to justify their deaths by defeating the enemy.

You can almost hear a Trump or a Blair saying it now. ‘If we stop fighting, the previous deaths will have been for nothing’.

In this way, the last death becomes the justification for the next one.

Dixon again:

There is an incentive to put military personnel in harm’s way so that their sacrifice leads to the justification of war. The state escalates or continues to fight in order to justify prior sacrifices.

I haven’t heard this rhetorical device employed fully yet. The US leadership doesn’t seem to care much about public opposition… But in my opinion it is only a matter of time as the death toll mounts. And what I do know for sure is that Trump – whose rise to power is so deeply entangled with the War on Terror – won’t hesitate to wield its devices, narratives, and vocabulary for his own ends.

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Featured image via the Canary

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Can Democrats actually flip this red Kentucky district?

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Can Democrats actually flip this red Kentucky district?

Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.) has locked down his House district for over a decade. Democrats think his Senate bid presents them an opening in a seat that has raced away from the party.

Kentucky’s 6th District — anchored by Lexington in the heart of the Bluegrass State — hasn’t elected a Democrat to Congress since Ben Chandler in 2010. Barr has held the seat since 2013 and has proven difficult to dislodge. The last time a Democrat came close was in 2018, when fundraising juggernaut Amy McGrath came within about 3 points of defeating him.

But Barr won his last reelection in 2024 by 26 points, outperforming President Donald Trump, who carried the district by 15 points according to calculations from The Downballot.

If Barr had sought another term, Democrats privately concede they stood little chance.

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But with Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) retiring and Barr opting to run for his seat, a rare open seat is now in play — and firmly on Democrats’ target list.

In the Democratic primary, two candidates have emerged as frontrunners, according to national Democrats watching the race: Zach Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor, and Cherlynn Stevenson, a former Kentucky state representative. Each is offering a different theory for how to flip the deep-red district.

The question of how a Democrat could win the seat dominated a Democratic primary debate earlier this month, where candidates leaned on sharp criticisms of the Trump administration, ranging from its decision to strike Iran to affordability issues as a result of the president’s tariffs.

Stevenson has branded herself a “Mountain Democrat,” leaning into her Appalachian roots and pitching herself as someone who could mend the disconnect between the party and rural voters by focusing on cost-of-living pressures and access to affordable health care. She said her upbringing in a small mining town in eastern Kentucky and years living in Lexington allow her to bridge the district’s urban-rural divide.

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“Winning right here in Kentucky requires cultural fluency and trust,” Stevenson said in an interview. “I know how to talk to working families, rural communities and independents because I am one of those people.”

She’s also got experience flipping seats. She was the first woman and first Democrat elected to represent Kentucky’s 88th state House district, where she also served as state House minority caucus chair.

Dembo, meanwhile, is pitching himself as a “Beshear Democrat” — a nod to Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear, who performed well in the 6th District during his 2023 reelection campaign.

“This is 100 percent a flippable district,” Dembo said in an interview, pointing to headwinds from “all of the terrible decisions of this Republican Congress.”

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He has emphasized his experience as a Navy JAG officer and former federal prosecutor, arguing his resume gives him crossover appeal in a Republican-leaning district. Dembo resigned from his position at the Justice Department during Trump’s second term, saying he could no longer remain in his role amid what he described as corruption and the Trump administration’s “abuse of the criminal justice system.”

Both Dembo and Stevenson have posted solid fundraising numbers. And Republicans have a contested primary as well, in a race that includes state Rep. Ryan Dotson and former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado.

“We’re giving Republicans a run for their money in places that they never thought they would have to compete before, and now they do,” said DCCC spokesperson Madison Andrus.

But the race will still be incredibly challenging for Democrats, even though the DCCC has had the seat on its “Red to Blue” battleground list. Kentucky’s federal delegation remains overwhelmingly GOP. The seat also got nominally redder during the post-2022 redistricting process, making it even tougher terrain than during McGrath’s close call in the last Trump administration midterms eight years ago.

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Most election watchers believe the seat is well outside the core House battleground as well, and it has not attracted notable outside spending, underscoring how steep the climb would be for Democrats to win even without an incumbent on the ballot.

Republicans dismissed the Democrats’ optimism outright.

“Democrats have been enjoying too much bourbon because their Kentucky 6 wishes are delusional,” said NRCC spokesperson Zach Bannon. “Republicans are poised to keep KY-06 red to retain and expand our majority.”

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Israel manufacturing consent for attack on Egypt

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Israel manufacturing consent for attack on Egypt

The Times of Israel has reported that Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that the Egyptian military is “getting stronger” and Israel needs to “keep an eye on it” to make sure it “doesn’t go too far”.

Of course, this is the Zionist media attempting to manufacture consent for presumable “pre-emptive strikes’ on Egypt.

Hebrew-language media reported that Netanyahu said that Israel and Egypt:

have a relationship and common interests

However:

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Jerusalem needs to prevent it [the Egyptian army] from becoming too strong.

Because, of course, armies full of black and brown people should never be strong. That way, Israel can’t overpower them.

Israel accusations are a confession

Reports as far back as September 2025 suggest that Israel was “concerned” about Egypt’s military buildup in the Sinai.

Israeli officials also claimed that Egyptians have extended runways at air bases in Sinai so that they could be used by fighter jets. The claims also include Egypt building underground facilities, which they believe could be used for storing missiles directed at Israel.

However, the officials also said that there is no actual evidence that the Egyptians are actually storing any missiles in these facilities.

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Time and time again, Israel claims the people it is ethnically cleansing are using underground military facilities, which are, of course, a huge threat to Israel. The reality is, there is zero real evidence supporting the claims. In actual fact, it is Israel who is using a huge underground bunker dubbed the ‘Fortress of Zion’.

Make of that what you will.

According to a New York Times article in 2021, it is:

a new Israeli Army command post deep underground beneath its headquarters in the heart of Tel Aviv

Talk about using civilians as human shields.

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Illegal occupation

Twice previously, Israel has occupied the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt.

The first time was during the Suez Crisis in 1956.

Israel, France and Britain illegally invaded Egypt. In true colonial fashion, the three countries wanted to topple President Gamal Abdel Nasser. This was simply because he nationalised the Suez Canal Company – a British-French enterprise.

Essentially, all three were set to lose money and control, and as we saw with Iran in 1953, when Western countries are going to lose money, they call for regime change.

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Eventually, they withdrew. But then in 1967:

The Soviet Union falsely warned Egypt that Israel was assembling its troops to invade Syria. Under an Egyptian-Syrian defence treaty signed in 1955, the two countries were obliged to protect one another in the case of an attack on either.

Israel then launched a surprise attack against Egypt’s airbases and destroyed its air force.

What followed was Israel seizing the remainder of the West Bank, East Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip, along with the Golan Heights in Syria, and the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt. It did all of this in six days.

The night before the 1967 attack, Israeli minister Yigal Allon wrote:

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In … a new war, we must avoid the historic mistake of the War of Independence [1948] … and must not cease fighting until we achieve total victory, the territorial fulfillment of the Land of Israel.

Immediately, in direct contravention of international law, Israel started building illegal settlements for its citizens on land it did not (and still does not) own.

By 1977, over 11,000 Israelis were living in the West Bank, Gaza Strip, the Golan Heights and the Sinai Peninsula.

In 1979, Egypt signed the Peace Accord with Israel.

Israel agreed to withdraw from Sinai, and Egypt promised to establish “normal diplomatic relations” between the two countries and open the Suez Canal to Israeli ships.

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Israel finally withdrew from the Sinai Peninsula on April 26, 1982.

Manufacturing consent once again

It seems Israeli news sites have been attempting to manufacture consent for taking back the Sinai Peninsula for a while. In 2024, The Times of Israel reported:

northern Sinai has been mired in an insurgency by Islamist groups for the past decade, including an ISIS cell.

It’s a pattern – Israel claims terrorists need to be taken out and then proceeds to flatten entire countries with no regard for life.

Israel made its intentions for Egypt clear as far back as 1967. So why wouldn’t Egypt build up its armed forces? The whole world is watching the Zionists destroy Iran and Lebanon, after already destroying Gaza. Anyone in their right mind would take that as a warning and take the necessary steps to protect their citizens.

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Israel has nukes – yet allows no one else in the region to have them. Israel has one of the most technologically advanced militaries in the world, yet its neighbours and resistance movements must disarm. And Israel is using massive underground bunkers under hugely populated areas, yet is blowing entire communities to pieces in other countries for that same reason – without any evidence.

The rest of the world cannot let a genocidal, terrorist state keep bullshitting a moral high ground through fear of ‘antisemitism’, whilst it destroys any semblance of life in majority Muslim countries.

Featured image via Real Time History/YouTube

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Gaza was a testing site for horrific military AI

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Gaza was a testing site for horrific military AI

The UK has awarded 26 arms firms lucrative contracts to develop its own autonomous targeting systems –  this is despite numerous atrocities in Gaza – and now, Iran – being linked with haphazard AI kill chain systems. The UK NGO Drone Wars reported:

that as public concern about the use of AI for warfighting grows in the aftermath of Israel’s war on Gaza and US strikes on Iran, the UK is quietly pressing ahead with development of a new AI-based military targeting system.

This should be a worry for us all. Besides the gigantic cost – up to £1bn handed to death firms – the ethics and effectiveness of handing the killing over to AI systems are highly dubious.

The UK is developing a system (typically and idiotically) named ASGARD, a reference to Viking mythology. The tender notice states:

This Open Framework will focus on the ‘Decide’ element of the target acquisition cycle (Sense-Decide-Effect); supporting ASGARD’s goal of reinventing, and transforming, how land forces deliver operational decision-support and decision-making software via the use of modern Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning (AI/ML) technologies.

Gaza is a testing ground for AI

Drone Wars’ Chris Cole said:

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While militaries are keen to use AI to speed up decision making around lethal strikes, there are serious ethical and legal concerns about these developments, with increasing evidence that ratcheting up the number of strikes leads to greater danger for civilians.

Drone Wars’ tone is urgent to say the least:

As we have said before, the grave dangers of introducing AI into warfare and in particular for the use of force are well known.  While arguments have been made for and against these systems for more than a decade, increasing we are moving from a theoretical, future possibility to the real world: here, now, today.

The horrifying nature of autonomous war systems is hardly a mystery in 2026. Israel’s genocide in Gaza has been fuelled with AI tools like Lavender and the grotesquely named Where’s Daddy, which is:

used specifically to track the targeted individuals and carry out bombings when they had entered their family’s residences.

There is mounting evidence AI targeting has shaped the US-Israeli attack on Iran too. The Guardian said on 3 March:

Academics studying the field say AI is collapsing the planning time required for complex strikes – a phenomenon known as “decision compression”, which some fear could result in human military and legal experts merely rubber-stamping automated strike plans.

The US also reportedly used AI in the 3 January attack on Venezuela.

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US-Israel attacked Iran first on 28 February without provocation. Iran was offering unprecedented concessions in negotiations at the time. The Pentagon has since stated there was no imminent threat from Iran. And the UN’s atomic watchdog, the IAEA, has said there is no evidence Iran was developing a nuclear weapon.

The UK government is racing to catch-up with its allies in the US and Israel. There is ample evidence that AI targeting is, at best, deeply flawed. It’s increasing use by indifferent imperial powers – seemingly concerned more with speed and a deadly numbers game – has already produced horrific results for targeted populations in Gaza, Iran, and Latin America.

Featured image via the Canary

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Jonathan Guttentag: Iran exposes the West’s crisis of moral clarity

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Jonathan Guttentag: Iran exposes the West’s crisis of moral clarity

Rabbi Jonathan Guttentag is a UK representative of the Coalition for Jewish Values and a communal rabbi based in Manchester.

 As the confrontation between the United States, Israel and Iran unfolds, Western governments — including Britain’s — now face not only a strategic challenge but a test of moral clarity.

Public statements from many European capitals have emphasised legal caution and diplomatic restraint while avoiding direct engagement with the ideological nature of the Iranian regime.

That hesitation reflects a deeper uncertainty within Western societies: an increasing difficulty in distinguishing between regimes that defend civilisation and those that undermine it.

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This is not merely a geopolitical problem. It is a test of whether Western societies still possess the moral clarity required to recognise ideological threats.

For decades the Islamic Republic of Iran has maintained a posture of hostility toward Israel while supporting proxy militias across the Middle East. Its leadership has invested heavily in ballistic missile development and pursued nuclear capabilities while sponsoring armed groups operating from Lebanon to Yemen.

None of this has been hidden. The strategic outlook of the Iranian regime has been visible for many years.

Yet reactions across parts of the Western world to the recent confrontation have been strikingly confused. Within days of military strikes against Iranian targets, demonstrations appeared in several Western cities condemning Israel and the United States, while paying little attention to the actions and ideology of the Iranian regime itself.

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At precisely the moment when the nature of the Iranian government’s policies should have become clearer, many in the West seemed unable to say plainly what they were witnessing.

The crisis exposed by Iran is therefore not only about Middle Eastern strategy. It reflects a wider Western uncertainty about power, religion, and the moral foundations of political order.

A deeper civilisational uncertainty

During the twentieth century, Western democracies ultimately recognised that certain ideologies represented existential threats to civilisation. Nazism and Soviet communism were understood not simply as political adversaries but as systems fundamentally hostile to human dignity and freedom.  Today that moral clarity appears to be weakening.

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In much contemporary discourse, liberal democracies and authoritarian regimes are increasingly treated as morally interchangeable actors in a global system. The language of “both sides” has too often become a substitute for serious moral judgment.

Yet moral relativism becomes difficult to sustain when one side openly pursues destabilisation across an entire region.

Iran’s ruling ideology combines religious absolutism with revolutionary hostility toward Western influence in the Middle East. Its regional strategy has centred on supporting armed proxy groups and expanding its strategic reach through networks of allied militias.

These are not the policies of a conventional state pursuing ordinary diplomatic interests. They are the policies of an ideological regime.

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A memory from another moment

For me, these debates carry echoes of an earlier period.  In the late 1970s, as a teenager studying in yeshiva in Israel, the radio would often carry news bulletins referring to bnei ha’arubah — “the hostages”. The phrase was repeated constantly during the Iranian revolution and its aftermath, when diplomats and civilians were held captive in Tehran.

For a young student immersed in Torah study, hearing those broadcasts created a vivid impression. Even then it was clear that something profound had shifted in the Middle East: a revolutionary regime had emerged that openly challenged the norms of international conduct.

Those memories return today when watching the current crisis unfold. The ideological roots of the confrontation we see now were already visible in those early years.

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The language of a revolutionary regime

Another feature of the Iranian revolution that left a lasting impression was its political language. From the earliest years of the regime, public rallies and official demonstrations were marked by chants calling for the destruction of the United States and Israel. These slogans were not fringe expressions; they formed part of the official vocabulary of the state.

For many outside observers this was sometimes dismissed as rhetorical theatre. Yet slogans matter. They reveal the ideological worldview of a regime and the moral climate it cultivates within its society.

When hostility toward entire nations becomes embedded in public ritual and political messaging, it signals something deeper than ordinary geopolitical rivalry. It reflects a revolutionary ideology that defines itself through confrontation with the outside world.

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Religion and power

One of the deeper problems raised by the Iranian regime is the way in which religion itself can be distorted when fused completely with political power.

The Islamic Republic presents itself as a religious state governed by clerical authority. Yet history repeatedly shows that when religious leadership and state power become fully merged, faith can easily become a tool of political control.

The Jewish political tradition developed a different model. In the biblical structure of leadership, authority was distributed across distinct institutions. The king exercised political power — and even he was subject to explicit limits in the Torah’s law of the king (Deuteronomy 17) — while the kohen embodied religious authority and the prophets spoke with an independent moral voice. These roles were not intended to collapse into one another.

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In other words, the Hebrew Bible recognised very early that faith must sometimes stand as a restraint upon power rather than an instrument of it.

This arrangement allowed religion to function not merely as an instrument of state authority but as a source of ethical critique of power itself.

In that sense, the Jewish tradition anticipated a principle that later became central to Western constitutional thought: the need to restrain concentrated power and preserve independent moral authority within society — a principle that would eventually find expression in the Western idea of limited and separated powers.

When legalism replaces moral judgment

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Another revealing feature of the recent crisis has been the hesitant response of some Western governments. In Britain, as elsewhere in Europe, official statements have often emphasised legal caution and diplomatic restraint while avoiding direct engagement with the ideological nature of the Iranian regime.

Another complication in the present debate has been the tendency to frame criticism of Western preparedness for Iranian escalation as though it were simply an endorsement of a more confrontational American posture toward Iran. That framing risks obscuring the real issue. It is entirely possible to reject reckless rhetoric or unilateral adventurism while still asking whether Western governments adequately recognised the scale of the Iranian threat and prepared accordingly. A serious strategic discussion should not collapse into caricatures about “pro-war” or “anti-war” positions; the more relevant question is whether the warning signs were visible and whether governments responded with sufficient foresight.

Instead of asking the most basic moral question — whether a regime pursuing aggressive regional expansion should be permitted to acquire the means to make those ambitions irreversible — much of the debate has revolved around a narrower legal question: whether military action satisfies particular interpretations of international law.

International law plays an important role in restraining the arbitrary use of force. But when legal frameworks become the sole lens through which governments view serious threats, they risk paralysing the very societies they were meant to protect.

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Democratic governments should not lightly resort to war. But neither should they allow procedural legal debates to obscure the underlying moral reality of the situation.

The classical just war tradition, which shaped the development of Western law, recognised that the defence of innocent life may at times require decisive action — a principle that also appears in Jewish law’s distinction between necessary and discretionary wars and in the Talmudic teaching that one may rise in self-defence against a mortal threat.

The question facing Western leaders today is therefore not simply legal.  It is whether they still possess the moral clarity required to defend the societies they govern.

Recovering moral confidence

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The conflict with Iran will eventually subside, as conflicts always do.  But the deeper question facing Western societies will remain.  Do we still possess the moral confidence required to defend the values that built our civilisation?  Or will we continue drifting into a moral fog in which democracies and authoritarian regimes are treated as morally equivalent actors?

The Iranian regime represents not only a geopolitical challenge but also a warning about the dangers of unconstrained power justified in religious terms.  Recovering that clarity — moral, political and institutional — may prove essential if the West is to defend the civilisation it has inherited.

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‘Stiff’ Bowels May Explain Young People’s Higher Cancer Risk

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'Stiff' Bowels May Explain Young People's Higher Cancer Risk

Recent research showed that almost half of bowel cancer cases happen among under-65s.

It wasn’t always that way. Since the ’80s, doctors have noticed that over-50s are getting the condition less, while younger people are seeing more and more cases.

We aren’t sure exactly why that is, though some doctors have shared some possible causes, like “ultra-processed diets, sedentary behaviour, stress, and disrupted sleep”, with HuffPost UK previously.

But now, bioengineers from the University of Texas, Dallas, have found a “distinctive feature of tissues from young patients diagnosed with colorectal [bowel] cancer, a disease that typically affects older patients”.

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Are young people’s bowels different to older people’s?

This research, published in the journal Advanced Science, found that a lot of younger people’s colon tissue is “stiffer” than their older counterparts’.

This was true regardless of whether the tissue itself had bowel cancer, though all participants had been diagnosed with either early-onset bowel cancer (under 50s; 14 patients) or average-onset bowel cancer (over 50s; 19 patients).

The colon is a tube-shaped part of the digestive system that uses some muscles to push stool out of your body. But sometimes, it’s “extracellular material”, which is a kind of mesh made from collagen, thickens ― e.g., when it’s inflamed.

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Study author Dr Jacopo Ferruzzi said: “Our team brought an engineering mindset to the table to understand the physical mechanisms involved in early-onset colorectal cancer… We know from previous studies that cancers are usually stiffer than normal tissues.

“While this was true also in patients with early-onset colorectal cancer, we were surprised to find that both healthy and cancerous tissues from these younger patients were stiffer than those from older patients.

“This led our team to think that such stiffness could be creating a favourable environment for cancer to develop early in life.”

What does that mean?

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The researchers hope it could help us to provide better treatment for people with bowel cancer, especially younger people, down the line.

“If we can understand how physical forces fuel colorectal cancer progression, then we can actually think about early diagnosis and, possibly, therapy,” Dr Ferruzzi said.

“More importantly, we can ask the question: How do we stop people from developing cancer that early in life?”

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Iran is holding a lot of cards when it comes to the price of oil

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Iran is holding a lot of cards when it comes to the price of oil

The US and Israel have accidentally made Iran a global oil superpower. This might sound exaggerated… But it is the view of esteemed scholar of air warfare Professor Robert Pape, whose damning critique of the attack on Iran has generated wide interest recently. Pape said on 12 March:

Iran hit 16 vessels so far in Strait of Hormuz.

That’s all it takes for Iran to control 20% of the world’s oil and become an oil hegemon — the number 1 strategic outcome US has sought to prevent in Middle East since 1970s.

He added:

Iran is not weakening— it is gaining power.

Dire straits, but not for Iran

The Straits of Hormuz are a narrow channel between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. They are natural chokepoint. Like the English channel, they are only 21 miles wide at their narrowest point. 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through annually.

The risks were well known. The straits been the topic of discussion for decades. Iran has long developed an ability to mine, blockade, or otherwise control the straits if attacked by the US and Israel. And Iran has now said it intends to do exactly that.

US-Israel attacked Iran first on 28 February without provocation. Iran was offering unprecedented concessions in negotiations at the time. The Pentagon has since stated there was no imminent threat from Iran. And the UN’s atomic watchdog, the IAEA, has said there is no evidence Iran was developing a nuclear weapon.

As a result of the attack, oil now sits around $100 a barrel. Under severe pressure, the International Energy Agency (IEA) agreed on 11 March to:

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make 400 million barrels of oil from their emergency reserves available to the market to address disruptions in oil markets stemming from the war in the Middle East.

And here’s a key detail in the IEA statement:

An average of 20 million barrels per day of crude oil and oil products transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, or around 25% of the world’s seaborne oil trade. Options for oil flows to bypass the Strait of Hormuz are limited.

The Iranian government seem to be acutely aware of this fundamental material truth. Military spokesman Ebrahim Zolfaqari said on 11 March:

Get ready for oil be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security which you have destabilised.

The Iranians – who say they won’t negotiate  – seem content to play a long game.

Fight for the straits

The US response has been to promise more aggression. They’ve floated everything from naval escorts, to a ground invasion, to picking off Iranian mines and boats one by one.

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US general Dan Caine spoke to the issue on 13 March:

Rumours of a ground invasion continue. In response, Drop Site News reporter Jeremy Scahill told Zeteo the Trump administration was ‘high on its own supply’:

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When you start to believe your own delusions, when you start to imply that every single Iranian is a prisoner to a dictatorship of a mullah—the rhetoric that these guys use at the Pentagon and at the White House on down—and you start to believe it, you know, get high on your own supply, then you start to say, oh well, if we come in with ground troops—and Netanyahu’s telling us the people are going to rise up—you end up at an utter catastrophe.

The US has made it a policy to lock Iran out of the world economy through sanctions and blockades. This is regardless of the impact of that policy on Iranians – the very people the US often performatively claims to care about.

Today, by its lack of foresight and strategic blundering, the US and Israel have handed effective control of a big chunk of the world’s economy to Iran. The US looks to have completely underestimated Iran: a country which seems to grow more determined, angry and defiant by the hour.

Featured image via the Canary

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HuffPost Headlines 3-13 | HuffPost UK Videos

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HuffPost Headlines 3-13 | HuffPost UK Videos

Katherine Heigl faces the public’s fury after a trip to Mar-a-Lago, Timothée Chalamet continues to face backlash and reporter Alanna Vagianos talks about her new HuffPost article “When Miscarriage Is Recast As Murder”— just some of the stories HuffPost is following today.

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Mandelson files and Starmer’s ‘protection racket’

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Mandelson files and Starmer's 'protection racket'

In his latest ‘smoking-gun, the Canary’s Ranjan Balakumaran examines the partial release of the Mandelson files. These files concern Keir Starmer’s decision to appoint Jefferey Epstein fanboy, Peter Mandelson to top-tier government positions.

Balakumaran shows that beyond turning a blind eye to Mandelson’s seedy relationship with serial child-rapist, Downing Street’s negligible actions go further.

The rules in place to protect British national security were suspended to allow Mandelson to participate in, and profit from, highly sensitive briefings, meetings, and intelligence. A coordinated “protection racket” for Blaire’s disciples, by Starmer’s handlers.

The Labour party’s increasingly cartel-mindset and the ensuing damage of the Mandelson is yet to receive the attention it deserves. Starmer, in particular, has been left of the hook.

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Balakumaran can be viewed in full below.

Featured image via the Canary

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There's a new wedge issue playing out in Senate Dem primaries

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There's a new wedge issue playing out in Senate Dem primaries

Democrats in competitive primaries keep fighting about corporate PAC money. It has opened up a muddy and sometimes performative debate.

The issue has played out in contested Senate primaries, where Democrats have pledged not to accept corporate PAC money to signal their support for campaign finance reform and show voters that they are not beholden to special interests. Among the Democrats seeking to distinguish themselves: Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton in Illinois, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, and both state Sen. Mallory McMorrow and former public health official Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.

Corporate PACs, which raise money from their employees and distribute it to candidates, usually give in similar amounts to Republicans and Democrats. For several cycles, a growing number of Democratic candidates have sworn off the money, citing the outsized influence of business interests on politics.

But for many, the pledges not to take the money are mostly symbolic. Candidates who aren’t currently in office receive almost no corporate PAC donations anyway, as more than 99 percent of those funds have gone to sitting senators or representatives this cycle, according to a POLITICO analysis of data from the Federal Election Commission. And rejecting one specific type of donation doesn’t actually mean candidates can’t receive support from outside interests — often in much larger amounts than corporate PACs are allowed to send.

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Corporate PAC money can also still end up indirectly supporting new candidates: A majority of Democratic senators receive the funding, as do official party groups, both of which donate to and otherwise help Senate hopefuls.

As a result, the escalating debate over corporate PAC money has comparatively little impact on Democratic candidates’ ability to raise money — but it has created an opening for heated attacks from all sides.

Stratton rejected donations from corporate PACs, but millions of dollars in support she has received from a super PAC has been the focus of a flurry of attack ads from Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Ill.), one of her top rivals who himself has received millions in super PAC support. Flanagan and McMorrow have both faced criticism for accepting corporate money in past roles, despite their pledges not to do so in their respective Senate races now.

While the push by some Democrats to reject corporate money goes back several cycles, even emerging as a point of contention in the party’s 2020 presidential primary, the focus in Senate primaries is newer.

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For Democrats looking for any advantage in crowded races, rejecting the money carries potential electoral benefits. Polling shows the issue resonates not only with a Democratic base interested in money-in-politics reform but also with independent and Republican voters.

“Pledging to forego corporate PAC money is one way that candidates signal to voters that they reject business as usual in Washington and want to work to fix our broken campaign finance system,” said Michael Beckel, director of money in politics reform at Issue One, a nonprofit advocacy group.

Still, “even when a candidate rejects a PAC check, there are still ways for corporate interests to curry favor,” Beckel said.

The debate among Democrats comes at a time when corporate PACs account for a smaller share of funds influencing races. Corporate PACs face strict limits for their political giving, $5,000 per cycle, a number that has not changed in decades, even as individual giving limits are indexed to inflation. Far more funds now flow through super PACs — which candidates are free to criticize but don’t have to reject.

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And the questions are unlikely to fade: The Democratic National Committee has sought to explore how it could limit corporate money, along with harder-to-trace “dark money” that flows through nonprofit groups, in the party’s 2028 presidential primary.

“I think it just shows this fundamental shift even inside the Democratic Party, that running on anti-corruption is no longer a niche position,” said Tiffany Mueller, president of End Citizens United, which backs Democrats supportive of campaign finance reform and has, since 2018, had candidates sign pledges that include a promise to reject corporate PAC money.

The group’s pledge this cycle, which includes several money-in-politics reforms, has gotten signers quicker than past pledges, Mueller said.

In Illinois, where early voting is already underway ahead of Tuesday’s primary, Stratton has made rejecting corporate PAC money a key component of her campaign in a three-way primary against Krishnamoorthi and Rep. Robin Kelly. The lieutenant governor, who was endorsed by End Citizens United, accused both opponents of benefiting from a “broken” campaign finance system.

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“I’m the only candidate rejecting corporate PAC money, because my campaign is about the people of Illinois, not special interests,” she said in a statement.

Kelly, in an interview, defended her own record of accepting some donations from corporate PACs, saying that the funds over the years supported Democrats and never influenced her voting record. She noted the much greater flow of super PAC money supporting both of her opponents.

“When I came to Congress, I didn’t know my dues were going to be the level that they were. I didn’t know that I was expected to give money to my other colleagues, or people that wanted to be my colleagues,” Kelly said. “And frankly, the money I collect, that’s where a lot of it has gone through the years, paying dues to the DCCC.”

While Stratton has sought to carve out a lane as the reformer, Krishnamoorthi’s campaign has gone after her finances, with ads running on both television and digital accusing her of taking “corporate and MAGA money” and calling attention to a super PAC backing her. Krishnamoorthi’s campaign did not respond to a request for comment.

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Stratton has benefited from $11.8 million from a super PAC linked to Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, with additional support from the Democratic Lieutenant Governor’s Association. Meanwhile Fairshake, backed by major cryptocurrency interests, has spent nearly $10 million attacking her to help Krishnamoorthi.

The scrutiny on corporate PAC money in primaries comes as a majority of sitting Democratic senators continue to take those donations for their campaigns and leadership PACs. That includes several senators who have actively been endorsing in the primaries, including Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Ct.), who has endorsed Flanagan in Minnesota, and Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.), who has endorsed both Flanagan and McMorrow.

Corporate PACs can — and do — give larger donations to party committees. That has been a point of conflict in Minnesota, where opponent Rep. Angie Craig has hit Flanagan for corporate PAC donations accepted by the DLGA while she was its chair. The group is now backing her campaign along with Stratton’s.

Flanagan’s campaign has said she did not have sole decision-making power over the DLGA’s donors. In a statement to POLITICO, a spokesperson for Flanagan accused Craig of “trying to distract from the fact that she’s taken millions of dollars from corporations and special interests.”

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“Peggy is the only candidate in this race to reject corporate PAC money,” the spokesperson said. Craig’s campaign declined to comment.

The divide extends from safe-seat races to the most competitive. In the Michigan Senate primary, which sets up a must-win open seat for Democrats looking to take back control of the upper chamber, the issue has already arisen in candidate forums. El-Sayed, who previously ran for governor, has sought to distinguish himself on the basis that he has never taken corporate PAC money.

“There’s only one candidate in this race who’s understood corporate money to be the central disease of our politics from day one when they ran in 2018,” said Sophie Pollock, a spokesperson for El-Sayed’s campaign, in a statement.

Rep. Haley Stevens, meanwhile, received donations from corporate PACs as a representative and has continued to for her Senate campaign. Her campaign spokesperson, Arik Wolk, noted she repeatedly voted for campaign finance reform and recently received an “A” grade from End Citizens United on its anti-corruption scorecard.

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And although McMorrow previously accepted corporate PAC money for her state legislative campaign and leadership PAC, she has rejected it for her Senate campaign.

“As a first-time candidate, there were people who said, ‘We need to fight like the Republicans fight. If we don’t, we will lose,’” McMorrow said in an interview. “And I’ve learned through my time in the legislature that, you can’t talk out of both sides of your mouth, that people won’t trust you. And also, not only can we fund campaigns without corporate PAC dollars, but frankly, we need to.”

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