Politics
What The March Clock Change Actually Means For Your Sleep
Look, I’ll be the first to admit that whenever there’s a clock change, it takes me an embarrassingly long time to figure out how exactly it’s going to impact my day-to-day life.
Am I waking up an hour earlier? Later? Is it pushing my kids’ bedtime back? Or technically bringing it forward? Am I losing sleep? Gaining sleep? It gets me in a muddle.
This next clock change, which happens on Sunday 29 March 2026, will see the clocks ‘spring forward’ – heralding the start of British Summer Time (BST).
What does this mean for my sleep?
In short: you will lose one hour of sleep, as 1am (which is when the clocks officially go back) becomes 2am.
This means if you naturally wake up at 7am BST, your body thinks it’s technically still 6am.
Basically, it’ll feel quite early and it may still be dark when you wake up – compared to now, when it’s typically light at 7am. (Although it won’t be too long until the new 7am wakeup time will begin in daylight.)
As for bedtime, if you hit the hay at 10pm, this is actually more like 9pm (old time).
Overall you might feel a bit more tired (because you’ve lost an hour of sleep), but over the course of the week, your body should adjust to the new schedule.
If you want to get a head start and help your body clock gradually get used to the new routine, you can shift your bedtime 10-15 minutes earlier each night for three or four nights before the clock change.
What does this mean for parents?
This clock change can feel particularly tricky for parents as kids typically get up earlier – so that 6am start is now more like 5am. Ouch.
That said, bedtime is earlier too, so that’s a small win. You might even feel like you’re getting more of your evenings back.
And it also means you get more light in the evenings, making that post-school park trip or dinner picnic in the garden a lot easier to say ‘yes’ to.
Due to the sleep disruption, kids might be a bit (or in some cases, a lot) crankier than usual, but within a week or so, you should find everyone settling into the new rhythm. (Here’s hoping, anyway.)
If they are struggling to drift off during the lighter evenings, blackout curtains might help to trick their brains into thinking it’s later than it is.
Any other thoughts?
If you take medication at a certain time of day, experts broadly suggest sticking to the same schedule. This means if you take medication at 7pm (GMT), you should continue to take medication at 7pm (BST).
Wing Tang, head of professional standards at the Royal Pharmaceutical Society, told Which? they wouldn’t typically expect the clocks going forward to have a great impact on people taking regular medicines. But if you’re worried, you can double check with your GP or pharmacist.
You’ll also need to change the clocks on some of your appliances manually – while smartphones, smart TVs, newer radios etc., can update themselves, your oven clock, car clock (if it’s an older car) and older central heating controls will need a tweak.
Politics
HuffPost Headlines For March 11
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Politics
Analysis: Mandelson Documents Leave Keir Starmer’s Reputation In Tatters
Keir Starmer was given every excuse he needed not to make Peter Mandelson the UK’s ambassador to Washington, but did it anyway.
There are few fresh revelations contained within the 137 pages of documents released by the government about Mandelson’s appointment.
The biggest one – that the disgraced peer wanted a pay-off of more than half a million pounds for a job that he was sacked from – simply confirms what we already knew about his character.
In the end, he received £75,000 – a third of which was tax free.
However, it is the confirmation of what the prime minister was told by his own civil servants before appointing him which is most damning of all.
The Cabinet Office due diligence report presented to the PM on December 11, 2024, shortly before Mandelson’s appointment, is clear about the extent of his relationship with the convicted paedophile, Jeffrey Epstein.
It shows that a report commissioned by JP Morgan in 2019 found that Epstein “appeared to maintain a particularly close relationship” with Mandelson and the now-equally disgraced Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor.
Most shockingly, that report found that Epstein and Mandelson relationship continued between 2009 and 2011, after the billionaire financier’s conviction for procuring an underage girl in 2008.
Mandelson also stayed at Epstein’s house in New York when he was still in jail.
In addition, Mandelson went on to become a “founding citizen” of an ocean conservation group funded by Epstein and founded by his close associate, Ghislaine Maxwell.
The document says that Mandelson’s relationship with Epstein represented a “general reputational risk” for the government.
What more evidence did the PM need that he should give Mandelson a very wide berth?
However, on the advice of his chief of staff, Mandelson ally Morgan McSweeney, Starmer opted to ignore this warning and appoint him anyway.
The political decision was taken that Mandelson’s ability to curry favour with Donald Trump was more important than standing with Epstein’s victims.
McSweeney ultimately paid for that calculation with his job.
For now at least, Starmer remains in place. But his reputation as a cautious politician who, for all his faults, at least does things by the book, is in tatters.

By no means coincidentally, the Mandelson documents were not released until after prime minister’s questions, meaning Starmer could not be personally grilled about their contents.
Instead, chief secretary to the PM Darren Jones was sent out to face the music.
He claimed that the “due diligence process fell short of what is required”, which is undoubtedly true.
It is also the case that Mandelson was less than forthcoming about his links to Epstein when personally asked about them by the prime minister.
Nevertheless, this does not change the fact that the details which were already in the public domain should have been sufficient to bar him from the plum diplomatic role.
Jones told MPs that Epstein “was a despicable criminal who committed the most horrifying and disgusting crime that destroyed the lives of countless women and girls”.
And yet, knowing this, Starmer still opted to make his friend Mandelson the UK’s ambassador to Washington.
It is a decision which should haunt him for the remainder of his time in office, and beyond.
Politics
Labour MP Nichols shows why scrapping jury trials is wrong
Labour MP Charlotte Nichols spoke in the House of Commons in opposition to the government’s planned cuts to jury trials. The government have insisted these cuts are essential for swifter justice for victims of rape. On the contrary, Nichols suggests they have pressured MPs to support the bill by implying that those who oppose it have either never experienced rape or simply do not care about victims.
This appears to have pressured Nichols into doing what no woman should be compelled to do: revealing her own experience of rape and its lasting trauma to the public, at the cost of her anonymity and privacy.
Consequently, Nichols’ courageous speech has struck a chord with many across the country. It also highlights how the current government don’t grasp the scale of sexual violence and abuse in British society. Many, many women have either experienced abuse or has supported a loved one through their own deep pain and trauma. It would be harder to find someone who hasn’t.
Therefore, it appears that Starmer’s government have used the very serious issue of rape and ineffective, underfunded justice as a cynical ploy to push through systemic cuts to the human rights of British citizens.
🚨 WATCH: Labour MP Charlotte Nichols reveals she was raped as an MP as she opposes the jury trial reforms
“I waited 1,088 days to go to court. We’ve been told [by the Government] that if we have concerns about this Bill, it’s because we’ve not been raped” pic.twitter.com/0mYy3T2Tk7
— Politics UK (@PolitlcsUK) March 10, 2026
Labour MP: “I waited 1,088 days to go to court”
Nichols heartbreaking speech has run a ram rod through the cabinet’s argument that these ‘reforms’ are essential for rape victims. In fact, her speech underscores how the government is using the failings of a sluggish and ineffective justice system for rape survivors to push through harmful cuts. As she astutely pointed out, this can only work to turn victims’ experiences into a political weapon.
This will surely lead to inferences that there is an imbalance in our justice system between defendants and victims, which will simply breed more resentment amongst men towards women and girls. Subsequently, the government’s policy to cut juries further victimises women whilst taking human rights away from defendants.
Nichols said:
I have spoken before in this place about having PTSD as the result of being the victim of a crime, but I have never specified the nature of that crime and in doing so I am aware that I am waiving my right to anonymity and the personal consequences that come along with that.
I care profoundly about rape victims facing intolerable delays for their day in court. I know only too well what that feels like, as after being raped at an event that I attended in my capacity as a Member of Parliament, I waited 1,088 days to go to court.
Every single one of those days was agony, made worse by having a role in public life that meant that the mental health consequences of my trauma were played out in public, with the event that led to my eventual sectioning for my own safety still being something that I receive regular social media abuse from strangers about to this day.
Sometimes there are moments in the House of Commons that take your breath away.
An extraordinarily brave performance from Charlotte Nichols. https://t.co/A0CEfMh711— Jonathan Pie (@JonathanPieNews) March 10, 2026
Government being ‘deeply damaging’
Nichols then spoke to how the government’s actions are impacting survivors and defendants:
But here’s the kicker. In this debate, experiences like mine feel like they’ve been weaponised and are being used for rhetorical misdirection for what this Bill actually is. The violence against women and girls sector haven’t had the opportunity to come together to discuss it, and the Government’s framing and narrative has been to pit survivors and defendants against each other in a way I think is deeply damaging.
The Labour MP for Warrington North then exposed the harsh realities of clashing with the cabinet government on this matter, and “abusive” only begins to describe it:
We have been told that if we have concerns about this bill, it is because we have not been raped or because we don’t care enough for rape victims. The opposite is true in my case. It is because I have been raped that I’m as passionate as I am about what it means for a justice system to be truly victim focused. It is because I have endured every indignity that our broken criminal justice system could mete out that I care what kind of reform will actually deliver justice for survivors and victims of crime more widely.
Nichols finished by reminding us what had actually been promised by Labour but has yet to be delivered:
We promised in our manifesto specialist rape courts – this bill isn’t that.
Every word of what Charlotte Nichols said in her speech against restrictions to jury trials is bang on.
She spoke today for many victims who feel that their voices have been erased and their experiences instrumentalised.
If you haven’t watched it, you must.
— Nadia Whittome MP (@NadiaWhittomeMP) March 10, 2026
Charlotte Nichols has spoken out in the past about the challenges facing people working in Westminster in reporting sexual assault in Parliament:
“These aren’t punishments that fit the crime.”
Labour MP Charlotte Nichols, who has been a victim of improper conduct in Westminster, says the system for reporting sexual assault in parliament needs to change.
@charlotte2153 | @JPonPolitics pic.twitter.com/r1rOf95dsP
— Times Radio (@TimesRadio) June 1, 2023
Victims deserve better than being used as shields for a failing government
It must be said: Charlotte should never have had to bear her soul in this way. By choosing to do so, she showed that she has clear red lines she refuses to cross. In this case, she refused to allow anyone to weaponise the very real and traumatic experiences that women and girls endure.
It also underscores how little professionalism and decency exists in our cabinet government for them to bully women into compliance.
After all, survivors of rape and sexual violence gain nothing from framing justice in a way that makes men feel their rights are being restricted for women’s advantage.
Likewise, they should not have to watch powerful men use our trauma for their own abuse of power.
Featured image via X
Politics
Humidity-Proof And Carry-On Friendly: The 7 Curl Products I Never Travel Without
We hope you love the products we recommend! All of them were independently selected by our editors. Just so you know, HuffPost UK may collect a share of sales or other compensation from the links on this page if you decide to shop from them. Oh, and FYI – prices are accurate and items in stock as of time of publication.
Travelling with a locked-in beauty routine is not for the weak, let me tell you.
When it comes to curl care, getting your perfect hair routine down pat is enough to make you feel like a Nobel-prize-worthy scientist.
It can take years of effort to get it right – trust me, mine did. And now, you’d have to pry my favourite products away from my cold, dead hands before I give them up.
So a little thing like baggage allowance isn’t going to stop me from bringing my essentials along with me.
Curious just what those essentials are? They’re worth their weight in gold to me, but don’t worry – I didn’t get into the business to gatekeep.
Politics
Best Travel Cot Playpen: A Parent’s Honest Review Of The ‘Nipper Nest’
We hope you love the products we recommend! All of them were independently selected by our editors. Just so you know, HuffPost UK may collect a share of sales or other compensation from the links on this page if you decide to shop from them. Oh, and FYI – prices are accurate and items in stock as of time of publication.
Nipper Nest Quick Overview
Pros:
- Easy to transport thanks to carry bag/lightweight frame
- Pops up easily (barely any construction required)
- Doubles up as a playpen
- Cushioned edges
- Premium feel
- Mattress slightly more padded than competitors
Cons:
- More expensive than other travel cots
A parent’s honest review of Out’n’About’s Nipper Nest
I’m all for the easy life these days, so when Out’n’About’s Nipper Nest landed on my doorstep for a trial period, I was intrigued to see how the travel cot-playpen would fare.
Over the years we’ve relied on a Joie travel cot which I panic-bought from Argos about three years ago when we were going away with our little one and had nowhere for her to sleep.
I’ve spent many an hour trying to put said cot up and down since then, as you have to lock the frame in place – sometimes this happens smoothly, other times not so much. The cot frame part-collapses, resulting in numerous meltdowns on my part.
I’ve had the same experience with other travel cots, usually when we’re staying in Airbnbs or with my parents. Sometimes the frames can be quite hard too, which resulted in a split lip for my toddler when she decided to throw herself at it during a tantrum one evening. And don’t get me started on those rock solid mattresses…
Anyway, I digress. Out’n’About’s Nipper Nest is a travel cot and playpen which is built for families who are always on the move. And let me tell you now, it’s the easiest travel cot I’ve ever put together (well, I didn’t even technically put it together).
You simply pull it out of the bag, and then stretch the legs outwards, and they quietly click into place. Unroll the mattress, pop it in the bottom (it sticks with velcro securely to the base so there’s no movement), and that’s it.
I love that the cot comes in a handy bag, so you can lug it around (but also store it) easily, and it’s also super lightweight – which makes travelling with it hassle-free, whether you’re carrying it through an airport or moving it around your living room fully-assembled.
The edges are well-padded (a must with babies when they start trying to stand) and the mattress, while still pretty thin, is much comfier than other travel cot mattresses which are like sleeping on cardboard.
The Nipper Nest has plenty of space to play/sleep inside, and also comes with a handy UPF50 blackout cover so your kids can nap on holiday or sit in there to stay protected from the sun.
The base is also waterproof so you can stick it on the beach or in the garden without worrying any damp will seep up to where your child is sleeping or sitting.
With the travel cot doubling up as a playpen too, there’s a side zip so crawlers can easily get in and out (once you’ve unzipped it for them).
There’s also an optional bassinet attachment so the cot can be used from birth – accommodating newborn naps right up to toddler playtime. The recommended age is 0-24 months, but once they’ve outgrown it I reckon parents could get away with using it for older children who simply want a bit of shade, or somewhere sheltered to sit, in the garden or on the beach.
On the topic of putting the cot away – again, it’s an easy job. You simply squeeze two handle-bar-like buttons on the frame and then fold it into a Z shape. The legs can then be folded in on themselves. You wrap it in the mattress, put it in the bag, and you’re good to travel somewhere new!
At £195 it’s certainly not a budget buy (the materials and construct of this are certainly premium), but if you’re using it everyday as a playpen and then taking it travelling (or to the grandparents) for trips away, you’ll soon get your money’s worth.
What other parents are saying about it…
- “We love our Nipper Nest! It’s compact to carry and extremely easy to put up and pack away. We can take it to the beach or use it in the garden in the summer. The girls also love it as a cosy spot to read their books.”
- “So easy to put up and fold away! Cabin approved luggage bag and takes up so little room. Great travel cot and fun for the children with the zipped side entry and ability to make into a ‘tent’ with the UV cover. The perfect safe space for little ones to play in or sleep in.”
- “Our toddler has been enjoying using it during hide and seek and as a little den, the shade is both great for UV cover and for creating a dark space for our baby/ toddler to sleep during lighter evenings, or when sharing a hotel room and we require the light left on but the children need to sleep. The mattress bottom is incredibly padded and comfy. Really love this product, highly recommend.”
- “Super impressed with this Nipper nest! I’ve tried a variety of different travel cots and this is by far my favourite, and it’s so versatile. It takes seconds to pop up and down, and comes in a perfect compact carry bag. You can also use it as a playpen or take it to the beach, thanks to the zip side entrance, and it comes with a UPF50 blackout cover, so perfect for the summer and to provide some much needed shade. The base is waterproof, so wet sand isn’t a problem.”
Politics
Trump failure in Iran forces South Korea’s hand
As the illegal US-Israeli war against Iran drags on, it seems clearer and clearer that Donald Trump either miscalculated or fell for the lies warhawk allies sold him. And it’s spreading the stocks of US forces and their allies thin. As a result, they’ve had to get backup from South Korea.
Trump has depleted military resources
Amid Israel’s ongoing genocide in Gaza and rampage through the Middle East in 2025, the US army had already:
redeployed two MIM-104 Patriot systems and approximately 500 personnel from South Korea to the Middle East, which reinforced defences at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
The US also took “over 1,000 guided bomb kits” from facilities in South Korea in December 2025, along with “AH-64 Apache attack helicopters” in January 2026.
But now, there are signs that the unprovoked US-Israeli assault on Iran has been seriously depleting the aggressors’ resources in the Middle East. For example, after around a decade in South Korea, the US has apparently started to move out parts of:
the US-made terminal high-altitude area defense (THAAD) missile-defence system
There are also reportedly discussions about:
the possible redeployment of some US Patriot missile defence systems to the Middle East. South Korean media carried unconfirmed reports that some missile batteries were likely to be redeployed to US bases in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates [UAE].
The UAE’s increasing understanding that its alliance with the US puts a real target on its back, meanwhile, has made future planning more important. And South Korea will soon help the Gulf regime:
build computing power and energy infrastructure for the world’s largest set of AI data centres outside the United States… [as part of the] U.S.-backed Stargate project
South Korea has conducted an emergency airlift of surface-to-air missiles… from the Cheongung-II air defence system to the United Arab Emirates (UAE)
South Korea took about “30 interceptor missiles” from its own operational reserves to send to the UAE after an urgent request. As Military Watch Magazine highlighted:
This is critical not only to… sustaining the U.S. Armed Forces’ and French Armed Forces ability to continue to wage war on Iran using military bases in the country, most notably Al Dhafra Air Base.
It added that:
It is notable that South Korea is the only country that is able to [deliver] high performing NATO-compatible air defences on such short notice, with European states’ own systems having very limited capabilities, while U.S. systems have seen stockpiles severely depleted primarily due to operations in the Middle East, but also due to large scale donations to Ukraine in preceding years.
South Korea and its increasingly unreliable superpower ally
Under Donald Trump, the US has increasingly been showing its allies how much of an unreliable partner it is. And while South Korea still has one of the highest defence budgets in the world, the flailing commitment of the US – whose presence has been at the centre of South Korean military policy for decades – has sparked concern.
South Korea has tried to navigate Trump’s tariff threats carefully. But liberal president Lee Jae Myung has signalled the importance of a “more self-reliant South Korean defence posture” that doesn’t depend so much on a volatile US government and can help to avoid “entanglement in international disputes”.
South Korea’s government is also ramping up efforts to shield itself from the energy crisis that the US-Israeli war on Iran has created.
The US isn’t abandoning South Korea, though. Because it’s too strategically important in Washington’s efforts to ‘contain’ China. And US-South Korean forces are currently undertaking:
their annual 10-day joint military exercises on the Korean Peninsula… [involving] 18,000 South Korean and US military personnel.
There will, however, be “fewer than half” the number of field training drills (22) that took place last year.
That doesn’t make North Korea feel any better. The dark history of US war crimes during the Korean War (1950-1953) regularly reminds the North that the superpower “killed as much as 20%” of its population (some believe one million people), before backing numerous “right-wing dictatorships in the South in the decades afterward”.
North Korea, which developed nuclear weapons as a deterrent in the wake of the devastating war, still condemns the “clear confrontational nature” of US-South Korean drills, routinely responding with weapons tests of its own.
If less US involvement in the Korean Peninsula reduces the likelihood of conflict there, that will be a good thing. The bad thing, however, seems to be that arms are shifting to the Middle East instead, fuelling a devastating mess that the US seemingly doesn’t plan to end any time soon.
Featured image via the Canary
Politics
Israel involvement in Mighty Hoopla decried
A group of anticolonial collectives is calling for a boycott of Mighty Hoopla, Europe’s largest LGBTQ+ music festival due to the involvement of genocidal Israel.
The four organisations – Antifascist Music Alliance, Muslim Social Justice Initiative, NY Cultural Solidarity Project, Ravers for Palestine and Writers Against the War on Gaza have penned an open letter that explains their boycott.
Mighty Hoopla is owned by KKR, a global investment firm which invests in Israeli data centres. Data gathering technology has been central to Israel’s genocide against Palestine. Additionally, it is the primary shareholder in the Coastal Gaslink pipeline, which is invading the indigenous Wet’suwet’en lands in the West of Turtle Island in Canada.
In 2025, Land Defenders in Toronto initiated a global boycott of all KKR-owned festivals. Queer & trans artists have been especially prominent in this effort.
Israel once again accused of pinkwashing
Now, Mighty Hoopla is hosting a trans fundraiser at Wembley, which amounts to nothing short of pinkwashing and indigenous erasure.
Pinkwashing is an Israeli government propaganda strategy which cynically exploits LGBTQIA+ rights. It projects a progressive image whilst hiding Israel’s occupation and apartheid policies, which oppress Palestinians.
The open letter states:
The KKR boycott is an aperture onto a world where movements work together to dismantle empire and capitalism.
Those participating in Mighty Hoopla and its fundraiser undermine this collective project of Indigenous-queer liberation. Their proposition, that imperial core trans rights can be disaggregated from the fate of Palestinians and Wet’suwet’en, is grim and malign.
It invites queers to seek recognition from Western colonial structures rather than working alongside other targeted groups to dismantle them.
It is the spirit of the gay cop, of ‘Tel Aviv Pride’, of Stonewall giving diversity awards to MI5.
More action needed
Olly Alexander is hosting the fundraiser on March 11.
Throughout the last few years of Israel’s Genocide in Gaza, Alexander ignored thousands of personal appeals to boycott Eurovision. Shockingly, he even crossed the picket line to perform on the same stage as ‘Israeli’ singer Eden Golan.
The lineup also includes Zack Polanski, the leader of the Green Party.
Even the Good Law Project are promoting the event.
The letter requests that anyone participating in Mighty Hoopla watch Yintah – a 2024 documentary of Wet’suwet’en resistance to the Coastal GasLink pipeline. It also invites them to:
witness the Royal Mounted Canadian Police, armed with dogs, snipers and chainsaws, brutalising elders. We ask them to listen to the stories of Wet’suwet’en interned in residential schools, to hear about the mass graves that continue to be discovered, and tell us they are still happy to break this boycott.
So far, many DJs have dropped out of other KKR-owned events, including Sonàr, Field Day, Boiler Room and Milkshake. Moreover, many of these artists are precarious and from the global majority.
Despite this, only a few artists and collectives have dissociated from Mighty Hoopla: Daytimers, T Boys Club, Bledi Party, NRG Cru and yungcweed.
The letter asks:
Do the imperial core queers of Hoopla believe they are exempt from this boycott?
The letter ends:
Do not scab.
Do not disgrace our queer ancestors and their legacies of resistance.
Do not foreclose our possible anticolonial futures.
Respect the Indigenous-led boycott of KKR. This means withdrawing your participation at the fundraiser unless Mighty Hoopla is removed, and boycotting the festival itself.
There is still time to do the right thing.
Featured image via Ovo Arena
Politics
PMQs: Badenoch grills Starmer over fuel duty rise
The post PMQs: Badenoch grills Starmer over fuel duty rise appeared first on Conservative Home.
Politics
Jack Letts and other foreign nationals reportedly renditioned to face death penalty
CAGE has expressed deep alarm at reports that Jack Letts has been renditioned from detention in northern Syria to Al Karkh prison (formerly Camp Cropper) in Iraq where he may face the death penalty.
These reports have not yet had official confirmation. But the likelihood is that he, along with others held in the region, has been kidnapped and moved to Iraq. And it raises serious alarm about the complicity of western nations in serving their citizens up for torture, and possibly death sentences.
Iraq is also one of the world’s leading executioners, and individuals transferred there face the very real risk of severe human rights violations, including the death penalty after trials that fall far short of international legal standards.
For years, hundreds of foreign nationals, including those with UK links, have been held in conditions of indefinite detention without due process. Abuse, violence and deaths in these facilities have been widely documented.
As a young vulnerable man, Letts travelled to territory controlled by ISIS. Following the collapse of ISIS, he was detained alongside hundreds of others and taken to US funded, Kurdish-run prison camps in northern Syria.
The UK government chose to strip Jack of his citizenship, knowing full well that this could lead to him facing torture and a death sentence without due process.
The UK cannot wash its hands and use citizenship deprivation, a legal instrument that relegates Muslims and those of overseas ancestry as second class citizens, to facilitate the extrajudicial detention and murder of its own nationals
Western governments supported an illegal war and now must begin with the repatriation of foreign nationals and securing guarantees of due process for all who remain.
Anas Mustapha, head of public advocacy at CAGE International, said:
No parent should have to endure the agony of knowing their child is trapped in a prison system where they face torture and potential death. The ongoing suffering of families like the Letts highlights the urgent need for Western governments to repatriate their citizens and contribute to ending this crisis which they’ve contributed to.
Featured image via CAGE
Politics
John Wall: The lessons of history for governments in trouble
John Wall is a retired engineer and former Conservative county councillor in Hampshire.
According to Churchill: “Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” Although Marx’s, “history repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce,” might be more appropriate!
Consider the duration of governments we’ve had.
1945-1951: 6 (5+1) years Labour
1951-1964: 13 (4+4+5) years Conservative
1964-1979: 15 years Labour (2+4) + Conservative (4) + Labour (5)
1979-1997: 18 (4+4+5+5) years Conservative (13+5)
1997-2010: 13 (4+4+5) years Labour
2010-2024: 14 (5+2+2+5) years Conservative (including coalition with the LDs)
With a few exceptions this is essentially a series of three-term governments (2010-24 had two short terms), and these ended for multiple reasons.
“Events, dear boy, events!”
Shocks to the system, sometimes self-inflicted, can change the course of history.
The 1956 Suez Crisis finished Eden and he resigned citing ill-health. Wilson was expected to win in 1970 but, amongst other things, had a legacy from the 1967 devaluation and his poorly judged “pound in your pocket” speech.
The exception is the 1982 Falklands War. Failure would have probably finished Thatcher, but it’s one of her greatest legacies.
In 1992 Major was barely back in Downing Street when Black Wednesday, an inherited ticking time bomb, holed his government below the waterline. The 2008 Financial Crisis happened on Brown’s watch and the Conservatives successfully blamed him.
In early 2020 Johnson had the largest Conservative majority since the 1980s, Labour was undergoing a leadership contest and needed de-Corbynising, and then Covid struck. Without this there wouldn’t have been Partygate. The messy and introverted 2022 Johnson-Truss-Sunak succession bequeathed Sunak a poisoned chalice.
“Something will turn up” but things can only get worse
The final term tends to be five years as PMs become Mr Micawber. Attlee’s 1950 majority of five meant he went in 1951. 1959-64 isn’t a great example as Macmillan was replaced by Douglas-Home in 1963 due to ill health. Callaghan hung on, some suggest he might have won in Autumn 1978, until losing a vote of confidence, and an election, in 1979.
The real exception is Major in 1992 who had a year and a half to steady things, make a start on replacing the Community Charge and get on his soapbox.
After becoming Labour leader Blair increasingly set the agenda and Major forcing a leadership contest in 1995 made no difference. Had he then called an election and Sunak similarly after succeeding Truss they would have almost certainly lost, but probably by smaller margins.
Brown should have probably emulated Eden and called an election on succeeding Blair in 2007. He didn’t know the Financial Crisis was coming but a victory may have finished the relatively new Cameron and caused another Conservative leadership contest. He hung on and lost in 2010.
Sunak went slightly earlier than necessary in 2024 but was still wiped out.
“Changing the guard”
Can a new Captain steer the ship of state away from the rocks or is it rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic?
In 1957 Macmillan’s survival was uncertain, but Labour was associated with union militancy and divided between the Gaitskellites and Bevanites. He secured a majority of 100 in 1959. Douglas-Home replaced Macmillan in 1963 and lost by only four seats in 1964. He possibly did better than Macmillan, damaged by scandals like Profumo and increasingly considered out of touch, might have managed.
Major replaced Thatcher in 1990 and unexpectedly won in 1992. The Conservatives received just 8.8 percent of the vote in the May 2019 European elections, Johnson succeeded May and less than six months later secured a majority of eighty.
Johnson resigned on 7 July but Truss wasn’t installed until 5 September 2022. She resigned on 20 October and Sunak was installed on 25 October, Sunak directly following Johnson may have been more successful.
In a quieter 2019 the Conservatives took two months to replace May in 2022 we were coming out of Covid and inflation was rising, they fiddled while Britain burned.
Not every change of PM is because their administration is in trouble as Eden (1955, won in 1955), Callaghan (1976, hung on and lost in 1979), Brown (2007, hit by the financial crisis and lost in 2010), and May (2016, won in 2017) show.
“The lessons of history”
In a volatile world three terms (12 to 15 years) looks like the limit, and it’s unlikely anyone will equal Thatcher or Blair.
- A significant “event” will probably finish a PM.
- Mr Micawber rarely delivers. When a government is turned off the longer it hangs on the worse the defeat will probably be.
- Changing an unpopular PM has some chance of success, if done quickly and with the right result.
Starmer’s government is extremely unpopular suggesting a 2029 election. We shall have to see how the Iran War or May elections plays for him. Replacing him could be worthwhile, but if his successor hangs on until 2029 they’ll have to achieve something only Attlee, just, and Major managed.
A new PM might provide political acumen but Labour want to throw money at the public sector like Blair, who inherited growth, and now the pips are squeaking. They’re spending £820m to provide work for 18-21 year olds, many made unemployable by their policies!
The priorities should be promoting private sector wealth creation to fund the public sector, controlling spending and stopping the small boats, but would their party support it?
There is still much speculation about Starmer’s future but it’s unlikely Mr Micawber will retire.
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