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March Madness betting trends come to light

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March Madness brackets are consuming households across America, but with the expanded legalization of sports gambling, more and more wagers are being placed on the tournament games.

The tournament is the only thing that could compete with the Super Bowl in terms of gambling, with 32 games being played on the court and each of them being watched by millions all over the country.

Picking upsets in brackets is stressful enough — you know they will happen, but you just don’t know which ones. But picking all of them on a sportsbook might actually be beneficial.

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March Madness court

General view of the second round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament tipoff between New Mexico Lobos and Michigan State Spartans at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse on March 23, 2025, in Cleveland, Ohio. (Jason Mowry/Getty Images)

Since 2008, 12-seeds are 28-40 against No. 5 seeds — that .410 winning percentage certainly is not bad for teams that are normally underdogs of nearly double digits. Combine that with No. 11 seeds going nearly .500 (37-39) in the first round since 2006, and bettors may have cashed in, even if their brackets were busted.

“That’s where you take shots and that’s where, you know, the upsets have occurred,” Johnny Avello, an oddsmaker at DraftKings, told Fox News Digital in a recent interview.

Since 2019, 10-seeds are also 10-13 against 7-seeds, with one 7-seed advancing because of COVID-19 in 2021. In the last nine tournaments dating back to 2016, No. 9 seeds are 22-14 against No. 8 seeds, with the No. 8 team winning the majority of the games just twice in that span.

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The DraftKings logo on a phone

Five players have been suspended this offseason for gambling, with a sixth on the way. (Budrul Chukrut/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

TWO-TIME NCAA CHAMPION JALEN BRUNSON REVEALS WHAT IT TAKES TO BE GREAT IN MARCH MADNESS

Because of these trends, Avello has seen several lower seeds shrink their point spreads, including No. 11 South Florida against No. 6 Louisville (7- to 5-point underdogs) and No. 12 High Point against No. 5 Wisconsin (12.5 to 9.5). No. 12 Akron has also gone from 9.5-point underdogs to 7.5 against No. 5 Texas Tech.

Now, while some may want to go big or go home with some Nos. 13-16 seeds (kudos to those who bet on UMBC in 2018 and Fairleigh Dickinson in 2023), it may not be wise. In fact, Avello said lots of bettors go heavy on the favorites in those matchups.

LEARN MORE ABOUT THE ULTIMATE COLLEGE HOOPS EXPERIENCE

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Avello opened No. 2 Purdue (who lost to the aforementioned FDU) as 23-point favorites against Queens, but that spread is now up to 25. No. 2 Iowa State went from 23.5- to 25.5-point favorites against No. 15 Tennessee State, while No. 3 Gonzaga also saw its spread against Kennesaw State go from 18.5 to 20.5.

Texas Tech remains the smallest five-seed favorite, but Vanderbilt and St. John’s stand at -11.5 against McNeese State and Northern Iowa, respectively. For context, the largest spread in a 5-12 matchup last year was Clemson at 7.5 against McNeese, who pulled off the upset. Two other five-seeds sat at -2.5.

March Madness logo

The March Madness logo at center court of the Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena. (Kirby Lee/USA Today Sports)

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And for what it’s worth, two No. 13 seeds were single-digit favorites last year, but this year they are all favored to win by double digits.

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Best Miks setups and lineups on Lotus

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Miks is the newest Controller in Valorant, set to arrive with Season 2026 Act 2, and his toolkit is already turning heads. Built around sound-based mechanics, he plays differently from any of the other characters in the Controller pool, bringing smokes, a concussion/healing hybrid device, a combat stim, and a sonic ult to the table.

Lotus, with its three-site layout and tight rotational corridors, is one of the maps where understanding how to deploy each ability in the right spot makes the biggest difference. This guide covers the best Miks setups and lineups for attacking and defending on Lotus in Valorant.

Note: This article is subjective and solely reflects the writer’s opinions.


Best Miks setups and lineups for attacking on Lotus in Valorant

Best Miks attacking smokes (Waveform) on A-Site Lotus

When attacking A-Site on Lotus, Miks’ Waveform helps cover two important spots that make it much safer to enter. The first smoke lands in the right-side corridor just before the A-Site entrance, blocking the main sightline from A-Main near Rubble and Root.

After the team gets onto the site, placing a second smoke on A-Drop, the raised platform above A-Site, blocks the Heaven angle that defenders often use to challenge the push and the plant.

Combination

Tactical map view

A-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

A-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Also read: Valorant Lotus map guide: Tips and tricks, layout, callouts, and more


Best Miks attacking smokes (Waveform) on B-Site Lotus

The most reliable smoke setup for a B-Site push covers B-Main and parts of the A-Link and C-Link connectors simultaneously. The marker sits in the B-Main corridor just before the site entry, with the radius bleeding into the default and pillar area.

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This neutralises the defender strongholds at either side of the site, giving the attacking team a clear run through the main lane in Valorant.

Tactical view map

B-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

B-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks attacking smokes (Waveform) on C-Site Lotus

Attacking C-Site calls for smokes on C-Hall and C-Waterfall. C-Hall runs behind the site and gives defenders a protected anchor position. Smoking it off removes that refuge. C-Waterfall, connecting C-Site to B/C-Link, is the secondary rotation path that enables crossfire during a push. Covering both at once makes entry from C-Main considerably more manageable.

Tactical map view

C-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site attacking smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

C-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site attacking smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks M-Pulse attacking lineups for Lotus in Valorant

M-Pulse is most effective when paired with teammates who can follow up immediately. Toggle it to Concuss before throwing, and let the duelists push in behind it.

Note: The healing output heals enemies just as effectively as allies. It should only be used in very controlled, close-range situations where the enemy positions are known.

A-Site (M-Pulse from A ‘rotating’ Door)

A-Site M-Pulse lineup from rotating door (Image via Riot Games)A-Site M-Pulse lineup from rotating door (Image via Riot Games)
A-Site M-Pulse lineup from rotating door (Image via Riot Games)

A-Site (A Tree just past the choke)

A-Site M-Pulse lineup toward a tree (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site M-Pulse lineup toward a tree (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site M-Pulse lineup toward a tree (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

M-Pulse placement from inside A-Site, thrown toward A-Drop

A-Site M-Pulse lineup for A Drop (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site M-Pulse lineup for A Drop (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site M-Pulse lineup for A Drop (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

B-Site (M-Pulse into A Link)

After the B-Main smokes are down, throw the M-Pulse from inside the site toward A-Link, which is the arched connector hallway running toward A-Site.

B-Site M-Pulse lineup into A Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site M-Pulse lineup into A Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site M-Pulse lineup into A Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

C-Site (M-Pulse from C Door)

C-Site M-Pulse lineup from C Door (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site M-Pulse lineup from C Door (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site M-Pulse lineup from C Door (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks Bassquake (Ultimate) attacking positions on Lotus in Valorant

Bassquake is a directional ultimate, and it fires Sonic Radiance forward, knocking back, deafening, and slowing anyone in the cone. Positioning before firing matters just as much as the marker placement itself.

A-Site Bassquake

A-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

B-Site Bassquake

B-Site offers the most Bassquake flexibility on Lotus, with four viable placements depending on the situation:

Postion #1

B-Site Bassquake - pillar placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site Bassquake - pillar placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site Bassquake – pillar placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Position #2

B-Site Bassquake - wide radius placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site Bassquake - wide radius placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site Bassquake – wide radius placement (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Postion #3

B-Site Bassquake from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site Bassquake from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site Bassquake from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Position #4

B-Site Bassquake from B Main (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site Bassquake from B Main (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site Bassquake from B Main (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

C-Site Bassquake

C-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks setups and lineups for defending on Lotus in Valorant

Best Miks defending smokes (Waveform) on A-Site Lotus

Defending A-Site, the smoke goes on A-Tree, the compact connector between A-Site and the A-Main/Door side. It severs the sightline between the two areas, letting the defenders reposition inside the site without being visible to attackers advancing from A-Main. Controlling this particular sightline is the foundation of any sustainable A defense.

Tactical map view

A-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

A-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Read more: Valorant patch 12.05 notes: Introduces Miks, map updates, bug fixes, and more


Best Miks defending smokes (Waveform) on B-Site Lotus

On B-Site, the defensive smoke sits at the doorway leading from B-Upper out onto the site. B-Upper is one of the map’s most dominant angles, denying attackers clean access to it from the start makes holding the rest of the site significantly more manageable.

Tactical map view

B-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

B-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks defending smokes (Waveform) on C-Site Lotus

The defensive smoke on C covers the C-Main entrance, which is the primary choke point into the site. Blocking it at the furthest point from the site gives defenders time to hold close angles inside without the pressure of an immediate entry, and forces attackers to either wait out the smoke or push blindly through it.

Tactical map view

C-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site defending smokes tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smokes look in-game

C-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site defending smokes in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks M-Pulse defending lineups for Lotus in Valorant

To hold your ground on Lotus, you need more than just good aim. The map has three sites and many connected corridors, so one wrong rotation can ruin your entire defense.

A-Site (M-Pulse at A-Root)

A-Site M-Pulse defending lineup (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site M-Pulse defending lineup (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site M-Pulse defending lineup (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

B-Site (M-Pulse from B-Upper)

B-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from B Upper (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from B Upper (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from B Upper (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

C-Site (M-Pulse from C-Link)

C-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)C-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
C-Site M-Pulse defending lineup from C Link (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Best Miks Bassquake (Ultimate) defending positions on Lotus in Valorant

A-Site Bassquake

Place the marker inside A-Site near the A-Main choke, with the cone facing the direction of the incoming attack. This works best when the enemy is already pushing in, as it can slow them down or force them back before they gain control of the site.

A-Site defending Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)A-Site defending Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
A-Site defending Bassquake position (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

B-Site Bassquake

Postion #1

B-Site defending Bassquake from C Waterfall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site defending Bassquake from C Waterfall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site defending Bassquake from C Waterfall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Position #2

B-Site defending Bassquake from the back (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)B-Site defending Bassquake from the back (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
B-Site defending Bassquake from the back (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

C-Site Bassquake

Enter captionC-Site defending Bassquake from C Hall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)Enter captionC-Site defending Bassquake from C Hall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
Enter captionC-Site defending Bassquake from C Hall (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Check out: Valorant Masters Santiago: 5 best players who stole the show


Best Miks one-way smokes on Lotus in Valorant

Waveform’s map-targeted placement allows for some subtle one-way setups on Lotus. These smokes create asymmetric vision (one side sees feet while the other is obscured) and can generate unexpected kills or post-plant advantages.

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They are situational by nature, and using them at the wrong moment hands the information advantage to the other team in Valorant.

Smoke #1 – A-Drop (post-plant)

Tactical map view

One-way smoke on A Drop - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on A Drop - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on A Drop – tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smoke looks in-game

One-way smoke on A Drop - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on A Drop - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on A Drop – in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Smoke #2 – B-Upper (post-plant)

Tactical map view

One-way smoke on B Upper - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on B Upper - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on B Upper – tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smoke looks in-game

One-way smoke on B Upper - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on B Upper - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on B Upper – in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Smoke #3 – C-Lobby (aggressive defence)

Tactical map view

One-way smoke on C Lobby - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on C Lobby - tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on C Lobby – tactical map view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

How the smoke looks in-game

One-way smoke on C Lobby - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)One-way smoke on C Lobby - in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)
One-way smoke on C Lobby – in-game view (Image via SK Gaming || Riot Games)

Having these Miks setups and lineups ready makes Lotus a map where your audio-based toolkit works well at every site. The main idea is to understand why each placement works, so that you can adjust quickly as each round changes.

If you practice regularly and stay flexible, the rotating doors and corridors on Lotus can become an advantage instead of a challenge for any Miks player in Valorant.


For more articles and guides on Valorant, check out the following: