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Michigan State vs. Toledo college football betting: Odds, picks, predictions, kickoff time for Week 1 matchup

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The Michigan State Spartans are entering a new era with a new head coach after a 4-8 season in 2025, and their first matchup of the 2026 college football season is at home against the Toledo Rockets at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan. The Rockets went 8-5 a year ago and picked up a 6-2 record in conference play in the MAC. Kickoff for this matchup is set for 8 p.m. ET. Bet on Michigan State vs. Toledo and more college football action with the latest DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets after spending $5+:

The Spartans are 10-point favorites at home, per the latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds, and the Over/Under for total points scored is 48.5. Here’s a closer look at the college football betting landscape for Michigan State vs. Toledo at the best betting apps, with some notes on what bettors should keep in mind for this matchup. Bet college football at BetMGM Sportsbook and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets with the promo code CBSSPORTS:

Michigan State vs. Toledo betting odds (via DraftKings)

Michigan State vs. Toledo money line: Michigan State -440, Toledo +340
Michigan State vs. Toledo over/under: 48.5 (Over -105, Under -115)
Michigan State vs. Toledo spread:  Michigan State -10

Michigan State vs. Toledo betting preview

Things have to get better for Michigan State at some point, right? The Spartans haven’t had a winning season since 2021, a tough pill to swallow for a school that big with as much of a sports identity. The Big Ten is an unforgiving conference but Spartans fans must be getting impatient. 

The quest for .500 begins with a meeting with the MAC’s Toledo Rockets. Toledo is breaking in a new head coach as Jason Candle departed for UConn after 10 seasons with the Rockets. New boss Mike Jacobs was the head coach at FCS team Mercer for the past two campaigns. Jacobs will have nearly an entirely new roster to work with — Toledo retains just 17% of its total snaps from last season. Michigan State doesn’t rank much higher with just 27% of snaps returning. 

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There’s also a new coach in East Lansing with Pat Fitzgerald taking over on the sideline. The longtime Northwestern coach — who spent the last three seasons out of the college game following the controversies that ended his tenure in Evanston — brings a ton of Big Ten experience to the job. He’ll have redshirt sophomore Alessio Milivojevic starting under center. 

Toledo is a +425 third favorite to win the MAC while Michigan State is a +50000 longshot to win the Big Ten. Bet on college football and more at FanDuel and get up to $350 in bonus bets:

Michigan State vs. Toledo picks, prediction

Michigan State vs. Toledo Under 48.5 points

Michigan State was 7-5 to the Over last season while Toldeo was 7-6, but with such heavy roster turnover and two new head coaches in place, it’s difficult to consider those results as meaningful guides. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, has the Under hitting nearly 60% of the time. That makes sense given this will be the first competitive action for the two overhauled rosters and things could take time to mesh on the offensive side of the ball. 

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“To be Honest, I’m better than I thought” — Carlos Alcaraz at US Open

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Carlos Alcaraz is into the second week of the US Open after beating Yibing Wu 6-3, 6-4, 6-1 on Friday.

The defending champion is now into the fourth round at Flushing Meadows for the fifth time in his career, reaching the second week of a Grand Slam for the 16th time. The victory also extended his winning streak to 17 consecutive matches at hard-court Grand Slams and 10 straight wins at the US Open.

Alcaraz continues to build his level after returning from a lengthy injury layoff, and he admitted that his comeback has gone better than he expected.

  • Oluwaseun Ogunsakin US OpenOluwaseun Ogunsakin US Open

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“To be honest, I’m better than I thought.”

The Spaniard also brought back his trademark archer celebration after the win, a celebration he has previously said is dedicated to his younger brother.

Alcaraz will face American Tommy Paul in the fourth round after Paul defeated Alexander Bublik in five sets.

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Never gives a concrete answer”; “Sounds like a robot

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After they shockingly missed out on qualifying for the playoffs on the last day of the regular season in 2025, the New York Mets were expected to bounce back in 2026.

However, this season has been even worse than the last, and the team has spent pretty much the entirety of the year rooted to the bottom of the NL East standings. At the moment, they have a 63-77 record.

Most fans have blamed president of baseball operations David Stearns for the Mets’ failures, claiming his decisions to let go of important players without adequately replacing them have led to the team’s downfall.

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Now that we find ourselves in the final month of the regular season and with the postseason out of the equation, Mets fans have already turned their attention to preparing for 2027.

David Stearns took questions from reporters on Friday, and he was asked if he plans on hiring a general manager over the offseason. He kept things quite vague with his response.

“We’re always going to look to see if there are ways we can improve our organization in any way. That’s inclusive of the front office,” Stearns said. “That’s been the case every offseason since I’ve been here, and will be the case this offseason as well.”

Reacting, several fans took shots at Stearns on social media.

“Why even ask the questions—he never gives a concrete answer,” a fan wrote.

Why even ask the questions—he never gives a concrete answer.

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“He sounds like a robot. Guy has the personality of a mashed potato,” another fan commented.

He sounds like a robot. Guy has the personality of a mashed potato

“The problem with baseball is the politically correct answers. Keep it real. Lay off the word salad. Are you trying to win games or no? Simple questions, simple answers,” another fan responded.

“That most likely means no,” another fan responded.

“So ‘no’ is what he’s saying, because he alone has done such wonders with this team 🙄,” another fan shared.

“He’s said that since day one. I don’t think he’s gonna give up that much power,” another fan posted.


“David Stearns is smart” – Mets owner declares support for executive amid rough 2026 season

The 2026 season has been a rough one for David Stearns, as most fans have singled him out as the man to blame for the long list of issues the Mets are facing this year.

Despite all this, owner Steve Cohen continues to trust the executive’s ability.

“I’m committed to David,” Cohen told The Athletic’s Will Sammon on Aug. 20. “We’re going to move forward. I thought we had a great trade deadline. David is smart. He knows what he’s doing. He’s very adaptable. He learns from mistakes. That’s what I want in a leader.”

New York Mets owner Steve Cohen - Source: GettyNew York Mets owner Steve Cohen - Source: Getty
New York Mets owner Steve Cohen – Source: Getty

Mets fans will be hoping Cohen and Stearns can work together over the offseason to set the team up for success in 2027.