Noche UFC Best Bets: Two KO Picks Worth Targeting

As an MMA Bettor, one thing you should NEVER do, is to overthink the obvious. If something is too good to be true, take those blessings, make your money and prepare yourself for when it inevitably does get ugly. That’s the case for this weekend’s card in Arizona as we are gifted some considerable value.

Jean Silva by KO -140

It seems the fight week theatrics have simmered down this week compared to other Jean Silva fight weeks, which may have led people to forget how vicious of a striker this man is. Coming off a bounce-back decision victory against Arnold Allen, some people aren’t fully convinced in his hype continuation and still linger to that Diego Lopes defeat.

Silva is a systematic, versatile striker that doesn’t brawl unless he wants to. In his fight with Diego Lopes, it was apparent he could strike from range, and outside of Round 1 where he was controlled on the ground, on the feet, he could’ve made the choice to strike from range and win comfortably. What happened was the abandonment of the gameplan in an emotional fight.

Jose Delgado comes into this fight as a short notice replacement, riding a two fight win streak that hasn’t been the most convincing. A split-decision loss to Nathaniel Wood, a split-decision win to Fili and a solid fight with Bashi and suddenly he’s fighting the most elite striker in the weight-class. Delgado is tough, but if you’re getting tagged by names like Fili, Wood and Bashi, it won’t take much for someone like Jean Silva to make a huge statement.

Tommy McMillen by KO +310

This is one of the most controversial plays of the weekend. Two undefeated prospects at featherweight with considerable hype behind them that have a certain distaste for each other. We’ve seen McMillen’s hype flourish after his win against Alberto Montes, a prospect many had a lot of belief in. For him to dismantle a prospect with sheer volume and pressure, leaves me to believe he can surpass the technical abilities from Rahiki.

Rahiki, like McMillen is ranked quality. The issue is, he’s younger, relies on a pretty fight, can get tagged and has some question marks when it comes to enduring the pressure. When fighting someone like Rahiki, pressure is needed, especially in moments when the technician is comfortable. For Rahiki, we haven’t seen how he will act when he hurts someone and they don’t go out and I fear for him, Tommy has a chin to handle the strikes and to come back with more.

No need to over think this play. It’s a classic story of technique against pressure, volume and grit.