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Why Arsenal and Man City’s Carabao Cup final is about more than just a trophy

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The Carabao Cup final has never had so much on the line, a weight that can be sensed in the very shifts in moods. Over the build-up, Pep Guardiola has been trying to figure out a few things. Does he go more attacking, as Manchester City have been doing recently, or repeat the constrained approach from drawing 1-1 with Arsenal in September? If the former, is it with this open midfield that he has been trying, or was Real Madrid too much of a lesson? What would such an approach in a marquee game even say?

Such variables give a tactical obsessive like Mikel Arteta a lot to think about, but he is at least sure of his own structure. That won’t shift. The main question will be over personnel, and how much that changes the emphasis of the team; whether it’s Riccardo Calafiori or Piero Hincapie at left-back, for example. Martin Odegaard is expected to return to the bench, and Jurrien Timber may start.

The winner of the Carabao Cup final could also land a psychological blow in the title race
The winner of the Carabao Cup final could also land a psychological blow in the title race (Action Images/Reuters)

Arsenal, in short, have a lot less to think about. That is very different to when the two sides qualified for this final, way back at the start of February. At that point, the trophy was seen as psychologically crucial to Arsenal sustaining both momentum and the idea of superiority over City, a key part of the wider pursuit for the first Premier League title in 22 years. The weight was all the greater since it had looked like this final could be the first in a grand and unprecedented English series, maybe four or five matches to decide everything.

The very week before the final has put paid to that. City have already been eliminated from the Champions League in that match against Madrid, which followed a frustrated 1-1 draw at West Ham to allow Arsenal an even greater gap in the title race.

Their hopes in the Premier League haven’t gone yet, but their aura has. The old City sense of foreboding isn’t there.

This Arsenal team may badly need to win their first trophy together, but it doesn’t quite feel as essential when this City don’t look like the trophy machine of before.

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As such, there’s been a twist before the game starts. It now feels like this Carabao Cup final is bigger for City than it is for Arsenal.

That would have sounded absurd for most of the season – and the past few years – especially with how Guardiola has repeatedly subjected his former assistant to second places, but that’s how this season is going. The fact everyone is talking about this being the City manager’s last season, which the club still describe as “speculation”, only adds to that. Guardiola certainly won’t want to leave on a barren campaign, in any case.

Winning a fourth Carabao Cup for the coach and a historic ninth for City would be valuable in and of itself, but more significant is what it might do for everything else. It would be a reminder to Arsenal of what the order has been. It would put the league leaders back in their box, after a period when City haven’t even beaten Arteta’s side in three years.

Arsenal have the psychological momentum after City were knocked out of the Champions League and dropped points in the title race
Arsenal have the psychological momentum after City were knocked out of the Champions League and dropped points in the title race (PA Wire)

Maybe most crucial of all, however, is that it would create new doubt for Arsenal just at the point when confidence is building; when Max Dowman seems to have helped banish all the angst. Talk of the quadruple is tentatively rising. This could swiftly end that, but do more. If the six-year wait for silverware were to go on that bit longer, into at least May, it creates greater space for collapse.

This is nevertheless the prospect facing City, too. To see two trophies disappear in two matches, alongside the increasing distance to top spot, could be debilitating. From that, if City were to lose on Sunday, it isn’t impossible that they could fall apart.

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Duly, City have constantly looked a team on a thin line on the actual pitch. It is like almost every game can go either way. There are spells when spectacular attacking is suggested, only for a defensive fallibility to immediately be exposed. City often sublime and ridiculous in the same five minutes of football, as was seen against Madrid.

Much will depend on the mood going into this game, which is said to be one of focus and trying to remind everyone of the force that this team has been. Down at Arsenal’s Colney base, a mere 13 miles from Wembley, a first final since the 2020 FA Cup win is being downplayed. There is a calmness, which many say has been welcome. This season has been characterised by ramping up most of the matches, after all. Perhaps a softening mood is also natural, given this is a break from all the noise around the title.

Arsenal have a tried and tested blueprint, whereas Guardiola may tinker with his formation yet again
Arsenal have a tried and tested blueprint, whereas Guardiola may tinker with his formation yet again (Arsenal FC via Getty Images)

The greater gap in the league, of course, helps that, especially as Arsenal now know they will be nine points ahead of City until 12 April at the earliest. It was why last weekend was so crucial. Of course, this weekend might end up being seen as even more crucial, depending on how it goes.

Arsenal right now feel good about the title race, but that can dramatically change if their main chasers beat them, to once more shift that momentum. Out of that, this is yet another Carabao Cup final that is cast as being about more than the Carabao Cup, as so many are. It is about what it can mean for the future.

That’s partly why Newcastle United’s win last year was so distinctive, since it was about the trophy alone. You arguably have to go back to Swansea City in 2013 for similar.

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Consequently, as regards Arsenal, you don’t really need to read the same old lines about how Chelsea’s 2005 victory invigorated the Jose Mourinho era, or Brian Clough’s quote about how the Anglo-Scottish Cup gave his great Nottingham Forest team “a shot of something positive that only a trophy, whatever it is, can bring”. The times are different. The situation is different.

Pep Guardiola will have the opportunity to become the most successful manager in League Cup history when Man City face Arsenal at Wembley
Pep Guardiola will have the opportunity to become the most successful manager in League Cup history when Man City face Arsenal at Wembley (Getty Images)

This is nevertheless the first League Cup final involving both of the top two since 1978, and a meeting between Liverpool and that Forest team. Clough’s side won to eventually complete a League Cup and title double.

That season was the first time the feat was managed, and both City and Arsenal are hoping to make this the 12th. City have already managed it four times, with Guardiola responsible for three of those.

As befits the occasion in the modern era, however, both sides are also going for more. City are aiming for a domestic treble. Arsenal are going for the quadruple. The League Cup has never had so much on the line, which marks quite a shift. The final itself may well mark another.

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RR vs DC LIVE Score, IPL 2026: KL Rahul Solid After Fifty, Nitish Rana On Fire; DC Cruise In Chase

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Rajasthan Royals Squad: Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, Yashasvi Jaiswal, Dhruv Jurel(w), Riyan Parag(c), Donovan Ferreira, Ravindra Jadeja, Dasun Shanaka, Jofra Archer, Nandre Burger, Brijesh Sharma, Yash Raj Punja, Ravi Singh, Ravi Bishnoi, Tushar Deshpande, Shubham Dubey, Shimron Hetmyer, Adam Milne, Aman Rao Perala, Vignesh Puthur, Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Kwena Maphaka, Yudhvir Singh Charak, Sushant Mishra, Kuldeep Sen, Sandeep Sharma.

Delhi Capitals Squad: Sahil Parakh, KL Rahul(w), Nitish Rana, Sameer Rizvi, Tristan Stubbs, David Miller, Axar Patel(c), Dushmantha Chameera, Kyle Jamieson, Kuldeep Yadav, T Natarajan, Auqib Nabi Dar, Ashutosh Sharma, Vipraj Nigam, Tripurana Vijay, Abishek Porel, Lungi Ngidi, Mukesh Kumar, Ajay Jadav Mandal, Prithvi Shaw, Pathum Nissanka, Rehan Ahmed, Madhav Tiwari, Mitchell Starc, Karun Nair.

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Smith confident Way to the stars will fire in 2026 Hawkesbury Gold Rush

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Jockey in red helmet and white-red silks rides a dark brown horse at full speed on a grassy racetrack with rails in the background

Seasoned quick Way To The Stars heads back to his native state after more than 12 months interstate, tackling Hawkesbury with trainer Matt Smith forecasting a competitive effort.

As a two-time Listed winner, the gelding encountered fair issues in recent runs, drawing wide in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate (1100m) with no luck, then struggling on the soft Flemington surface last occasion.

The Hawkesbury Gold Rush (1100m) offers his ideal firm footing, and Smith highlights barrier three as a bonus for the 14-horse lineup.

“We had no hope in the Oakleigh Plate from the outside gate. We probably should have scratched,” Smith said.

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“And then we ran on a track that was wet in Melbourne, and he didn’t like that at all.

“I think he is back to his best. He’s a horse that needs to get his first 400 right, and if he can get that right, he can be competitive.”

With five weeks off and a trial under his belt, Way To The Stars is primed for Saturday.

Smith rates Nash Rawiller’s mount highly in this wide-open affair.

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“He’s been up at the farm for a few weeks and has done a bit of work on the sand. He had that trial and he’s good to go. He’s fresh, fit, well,” he said.

“It’s a good race. There are plenty of chances in it, and he’s one of them.”

Barnmate World Alliance is on standby for a Hawkesbury Gold Rush berth pending more scratches, and entry would see him as a threat.

Three-from-four first-up wins, track and distance suitability, plus draw four next to Way To The Stars enhance his claims for the six-year-old.

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“If he gets the right set-up, he is always dangerous,” Smith said.

“He needs tempo, which he’ll get here.

“He’s fit, and he’s well and I can’t fault him. His work was sharp on Tuesday morning so he’s ready to go.”

Promising gelding Golden Straand gets Smith’s backing to keep climbing in the Blake’s Marine Handicap (1100m), after a fresh win at Warwick Farm took him to four successes from nine starts.

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“He’s a really good horse. He could be in that stakes race, but he’s going through his grades,” Smith said.

“He’ll be very hard to beat in that race.

“He could end up in Queensland, for sure. The only thing with him is he needs good ground. His only blemish was on a wet track at Randwick, and he didn’t go on that at all.”

Discover the latest racing betting markets ahead of the Hawkesbury Gold Rush.

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Manchester United make contract decision on talented winger

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Man Utd academy talent Ethan Ennis has spent a hugely successful season on loan with Fleetwood Town.

Manchester United have activated their option to extend Ethan Ennis’ contract by 12 months. Ennis was out of contract at the end of the season, but he has enjoyed a hugely successful loan with Fleetwood Town.

Ennis has contributed six goals and eight assists for Fleetwood, demonstrating his durability across 45 appearances in League Two. United have been thoroughly impressed with Ennis during his loan stint.

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The Manchester Evening News understands new contract discussions will take place with Ennis this summer, and the youngster will have options on the table, with Championship clubs interested.

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Fleetwood staff were impressed by Ennis’ work ethic from the moment he arrived in Lancashire. That helped him to become a mainstay in their starting XI, and pick up their player of the month award in January.

Ennis is a goalscoring winger by trade. He scored 10 goals in 15 academy appearances for United in the first half of last season before joining Doncaster on loan in January 2025, but he has played at wing-back for Fleetwood.

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The 21-year-old won the FA Youth Cup in his first season in Manchester, playing alongside Kobbie Mainoo and Alejandro Garnacho.

United gave Ennis a new deal in the summer of 2024. He played for the first-team in the opening two friendlies of pre-season against Rosenborg and Rangers, but was not included in the United States tour squad.

Ennis spent the second half of 2024/2025 on loan with Doncaster, where he was part of a team that secured promotion.

Sky Sports, HBO Max, Netflix and Disney+ with Ultimate TV package

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Sky has upgraded its Ultimate TV and Sky Sports bundle to now include HBO Max, Netflix, Disney+, discovery+ and Hayu, as well as 135 channels and full Sky coverage of the Premier League and EFL.

Sky broadcasts more than 1,400 live matches across the Premier League, EFL and more with at least 215 live from the top flight alongside Formula 1, darts and golf.

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McLaughlin: Bears a Sleeper in the ACC Football Race?

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Primary Big 12 logo smallBrendan Sorsby seems more and more likely to be ruled ineligible for the 2026 football season.

That could open the door for BYU to win the Big 12 Championship.

On today’s episode of Locked On College Football, Spencer McLaughlin discusses why Cal’s Spring Game bolsters their status as an ACC sleeper.

The Bears seem to have supported QB Jaron Keawe-Sagapolutele quite well.

Washington State logoWashington State has its third head coach in three seasons, entering the new world Pac-12 conference.

Who leads in their QB battle for HC Kirby Moore?

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00:00 Thoughts on BYU and Big 12
04:13 Will Hammond’s injury recovery update
13:10 Cooper Perry on Cal
14:50 Discussing first-year head coaches
18:00 Promising football prospects discussed
20:44 Transfer rules enforcement discussion
23:53 PAC12 media strategy and visibility
27:30 Quarterback race for starting position

/ @lockedoncollegefootball  

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LIV Golf changed the PGA Tour — but not for the better

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SPFL will not overrule Celtic in derby ticket row with Rangers for 10 May match

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A Scottish FA investigation, led by sports event consultant Mark Blackbourne, has yet to report to the governing body on the cup tie.

The Ibrox club stressed they had “been clear in condemning the actions of certain individuals on 8 March” and had been “attempting to work with Celtic to mitigate any security concerns for the upcoming match”.

Rangers added that, for the forthcoming match that will help decide who wins a three-pronged title race involving leaders Hearts and the two Old Firm sides, “the removal of away supporters from one of the defining fixtures of the competition would introduce a clear and material sporting imbalance”.

Celtic had demanded the exclusion of a section of the Rangers support they say “identifiably engaged in serious violence and disorder”. The club expressed “surprise and disappointment” that Rangers had not agreed to the request and that they were happy to hold discussions with their rivals and the league body.

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The defending champions added their “priority will always be the safety of those attending Celtic Park and, following a detailed risk assessment with regards to the forthcoming match, the club has made a reasonable request of Rangers FC that tickets are not distributed to a section of supporters which very recently and identifiably engaged in serious violence and disorder involving Celtic supporters, staff, police and stewards”.

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MiLaysia Fulwiley, Mikaylah Williams & more college hoopers gear up to compete

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USA Basketball announced their four player roster on Tuesday for the 2026 FIBA 3×3 Women’s Series. The tournament begins on May 1 in Chengdu, China.

USA Basketball’s roster comprises Joyce Edwards, Mikaylah Williams, MiLaysia Fulwiley, and Sahara Williams. The college basketball stars will look to guide the basketball powerhouse to a gold medal.

According to USAB.com, more athletes might be added to the roster as the season progresses. This year’s tournament starts with the 3×3 Women’s Series Chengdu event in Chengdu, China. Team USA is in Pool D, and they’ll play against the winner of Qualifying Draw B at 2:00 a.m. ET followed by Australia at 3:40 a.m. ET.

Team USA’s FIBA 3×3 Women’s Series roster packs NCAA experience

Team USA’s squad is made up of four players from high-level collegiate teams. Mikaylah Williams and MiLaysia Fulwiley play for the LSU Tigers, Joyce Edwards is the leading scorer for the South Carolina Gamecocks, and Sahara Williams stars for the Oklahoma Sooners.

Edwards played for the 2025 3×3 Nations League Team, which went 14-2 en route to winning the Americas Conference title. She’s won three gold medals with Team USA.

Fulwiley suited up alongside Edwards at the 2025 3×3 Nations League. The LSU Tigers guard was also part of the 2025 USA Basketball 3×3 development camp in Phoenix.

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Mikaylah Williams was a member of the 3×3 World Cup Team that finished sixth in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. She did contribute in the 2022 FIBA U17 World Cup gold medal win.

Sahara Williams played with Mikaylah Williams at the 2025 3×3 World Cup. She’s also a two-time gold medalist at the 3×3 U18 World Cup Teams in 2022 and 2023.

The Team USA quartet will fancy their chances. If they win their upcoming games, they’ll be set for the quarterfinals and semifinals on May 2.

Further down their calendar is the 3×3 Women’s Series Manila, May 6-8, in Manila, Philippines. Other dates will be announced in due time.

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