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“X-Factor” for 2026 Vikings Has Been Identified

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Minnesota Vikings players huddle during warmups before facing the Eagles.
Minnesota Vikings players gathered in a pregame huddle during warmups at U.S. Bank Stadium before facing the Philadelphia Eagles at home. On October 19, 2025, in Minneapolis, the group prepared together as Minnesota finished its early routine and readied for another NFC matchup in front of the home crowd before kickoff that afternoon. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.

The Minnesota Vikings did virtually nothing to enhance their interior offensive line this offseason, rolling with last year’s pair of guards, Donovan Jackson and Will Fries, while promoting Blake Brandel to center after Ryan Kelly’s retirement. Now, according to ESPN, that unit is the club’s “x-factor” in 2026.

ESPN determined every NFL squad’s x-factor this week, and for Minnesota, that’s the iOL.

The Vikings’ Interior Offensive Line Has to Pay Off

Ohio State offensive lineman Donovan Jackson worked through positional drills at Lucas Oil Stadium while teams evaluated interior blockers during the NFL Scouting Combine. On March 2, 2025, in Indianapolis, Jackson took part in testing and field work as draft prospects tried to strengthen their profiles before pro days and private team visits. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images.

ESPN: Vikings X-Factor: Interior Trenches

In an article that claimed the Vikings have the sport’s 22nd-best roster heading into 2026, Seth Walder noted the iOL as the x-factor: “X factor for 2026: Interior offensive line. Will Fries struggled last season at guard after signing a big free agent contract, with a sixth percentile pass block win rate.”

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“But he boasts upside, as does fellow guard Donovan Jackson, Minnesota’s first-round draft pick in 2025. Blake Brandel played 347 snaps at center last season in his first time playing the position in the NFL. He is expected to start there again in 2026.”

The interior offensive line was a problem for the Vikings about half a decade ago but has largely stabilized since Kevin O’Connell took over in 2022.

Walder added, “How those three players improve could play a big role in how much offensive success the Vikings have this season.”

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Donovan Jackson

Jackson produced a commendable rookie campaign, finishing just under 60.0 per Pro Football Focus. He also navigated a broken wrist right away in his career, playing 14 of an eligible 17 games.

From the Walder observation, it’s all about Jackson taking the next step. He played steady enough to give fans hope for a promising career; no one will be too surprised if he shows up in 2026 and balls out.

Jackson also said last month that he’s more prepared as a sophomore: “I feel like last year I was a headless chicken trying to learn a foreign language with this playbook. Another year under my belt, I come out here, and I’m trying to get better with certain details.”

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Will Fries

Fries is in a different boat. He must elevate his game in 2026. While that may sound blunt, it’s accurate. The Vikings invested heavily in him, not for an adequate starter, but for a cornerstone player. After his initial season in Minnesota, he still has much to prove.

Green Bay Packers defensive end Micah Parsons worked past Minnesota Vikings guard Will Fries during first-half action at Lambeau Field, testing Minnesota’s protection in a divisional matchup. On November 23, 2025, in Green Bay, Parsons got by Fries as the Vikings offensive line dealt with pressure from one of football’s premier edge defenders. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images.

Fries’ stellar performance with the Indianapolis Colts in 2024 is the caliber of player Minnesota believed they were acquiring. His 2025 season wasn’t a complete failure, but it certainly didn’t justify his substantial contract. PFF assigned him an overall grade of 61.8, which is merely passable.

However, passable is insufficient for an annual salary of $18 million. That grade should be closer to 71.8, not 61.8. This is the stark reality of his contract. If Fries makes strides in 2026, the investment will begin to look justified, bringing collective relief. But if his performance remains the same or similar, the situation will quickly become uncomfortable next offseason.

The Vikings require the dominant Fries from his Colts tenure; they paid a premium for that level of play.

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Blake Brandel

Brandel has unexpectedly emerged as one of the most intriguing players on the roster.

Just a few years ago, such a statement would have seemed odd. Since joining the Vikings in 2020, Brandel has primarily served as Minnesota’s versatile offensive line backup — a reliable utility player capable of stepping in at guard, tackle, and even center when needed.

Now, though, the Vikings are giving him a genuine audition at center, a decision that speaks volumes. Minnesota notably passed on signing a veteran center in free agency or drafting one early. The move follows Brandel’s performance last season when he filled in for Ryan Kelly, who missed nine games due to concussions. Brandel showed improvement as the weeks progressed, apparently convincing Kevin O’Connell and Wes Phillips to continue this experiment.

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Minnesota Vikings offensive tackle Brian O’Neill and guard Blake Brandel worked through side-by-side reps during minicamp as the offensive line sharpened its timing. On June 10, 2025, in Minneapolis, the pair focused on footwork and communication while Minnesota continued building cohesion up front during offseason preparation at the team’s training facility. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images.

Should Brandel perform as a Top 15 center, the Vikings’ trust will be validated. They might even consider a preemptive contract extension. A two-year extension at approximately $6 million per season could prove to be a shrewd move if he solidifies his position as a starter by September.

While Brandel typically begins a season as the flexible backup, this time, the Vikings are treating him as their primary plan at center. He logged a 61.4 PFF mark, not far off the aforementioned Fries. In fact, Jackson, Fries, and Brandel logged similar grades in 2025. Decent, not great.


Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His second novel, The Invaders , is out now. So is … More about Dustin Baker

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