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Siren price rallies over 125% to $2.34, is a reversal coming?

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Dow Jones, crypto market drop as Trump picks Warsh for Fed

Siren price shot up 127% to $2.34 on Monday morning, becoming the best-performing crypto asset of the day.

Summary

  • SIREN surged 127% to an intraday high of $2.34, driven by a sharp rise in futures demand, with open interest jumping nearly 120% to $121 million.
  • The rally occurred without major fundamental updates, with derivatives positioning showing a bullish bias as the long-short ratio remained above 1.
  • The token remains vulnerable to a reversal, with past price action showing a 70% drop from its peak amid concerns over high supply concentration among large holders.

According to data from CoinGecko, Siren (SIREN) price soared to an intraday high of $2.34 on Monday morning before stabilizing at $2.19 at the time of writing. Its market cap stood at $1.56 billion, making it the 50th largest crypto asset in the market.

While there was no particular news on development or ecosystem updates to account for SIREN’s rally today, it was likely linked with significant demand for the token in the futures market.

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Notably, data from Coinglass show that SIREN futures open interest surged nearly 120% to $121 million over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the long/short ratio sat at over 1, a sign that more traders were going in with a bullish outlook.

While such rallies often spark excitement, it should be noted that they often face a deep retracement as investors rush to book in profits.

For instance, Siren previously rallied to an all-time high of $3.61 on March 22 after climbing up for several straight days owing to its rebrand into an autonomous AI agent on the BNB Chain and a successive perpetuals listing on multiple major crypto exchanges like Binance, Bybit, and MEXC. However, it came crashing down by over 70% from its peak after concerns about its supply concentration gained traction.

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As reported by crypto.news earlier, on-chain data compiled by Bubblemaps revealed that nearly 50% of SIREN’s supply was held in one cluster. Subsequently, later reports revealed that the concentration could be as high as 88% of the total supply.

While the token has regained some momentum as seen by today’s surge, the token could be at risk of a reversal again should those large holders decide to sell off their positions.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Monument Bank to tokenize 250 million pounds of retail deposits in UK first

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Monument Bank to tokenize 250 million pounds of retail deposits in UK first

Monument Bank said it plans to tokenise up to 250 million pounds ($335 million) of retail customer deposits on the Midnight network in what it described as the first such move by a U.K.-regulated bank on a public blockchain.

The London-based challenger bank said the deposits will remain interest-bearing, fully backed by Monument and redeemable one-for-one in pounds sterling. They will also remain covered by the U.K.’s Financial Services Compensation Scheme.

The move marks is a step in the push to bring tokenized financial products into regulated banking. While banks in the U.K. and elsewhere have explored tokenized deposits, most work to date has focused on institutional use or closed networks.

Monument is pitching this effort at retail customers, starting with clients with investable assets between 50,000 pounds and 5 million pounds, the so-called mass-affluent, according to asset manager St. James’s Place.

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Monument, which says it has more than 100,000 customers and about 7 billion pounds in deposits, said the first phase will mirror savings balances on Midnight’s privacy-focused blockchain.

Later phases are meant to add tokenized investment products such as private market and commodity funds, followed by lending against those holdings inside the Monument app.

Midnight Foundation, which was developed by Shielded Technologies, a company linked to Cardano creator Input Output, is providing the blockchain infrastructure.

Monument said the system is designed so transaction data remains visible only to the bank and its customers, while operating within existing U.K. banking protections and compliance rules.

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The announcement also points to a wider play. Monument said affiliate Monument Technology plans to offer tokenized deposit functionality through its Banking-as-a-Service platform. That could allow other institutions to adopt the same model.

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Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

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Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) rose back above $71,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday after Trump’s administration offered a 15-point plan to Iran to end the war, sparking short-term optimism across risk assets.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bounces 4% to $71,500 after President Trump sent Iran a 15-point proposal aimed at ending the war. 

  • Bitcoin faces stiff resistance above $72,000. 

Bitcoin jumps 4% on ceasefire hopes

Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4% to an intraday high of $71,300 from Tuesday’s low of $68,890, recouping all the losses incurred the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The price reacted to news that the US, through the primary intermediary Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir (Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff), has sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the war.

The key elements of the plan include: a temporary ceasefire with calls on Iran to dismantle or severely limit its nuclear program, suspend its ballistic-missile work, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for safe maritime traffic.

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Source: X/The Kobeissi Letter

Meanwhile, Iran continues to deny any ongoing talks as ​​Trump delayed his self-imposed deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the news, WTI crude oil dropped 5.75% to $87 per barrel, while Brent crude shed 6% to trade at $98.

Oil prices table. Source: Oil Price.com

Gold extended yesterday’s gains, now up 2.53% on the day to trade at $4,561 at the time of writing.

This move eases inflation fears tied to disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Analysts noted the swift repricing, with Coinlore saying that Bitcoin is now acting as a “real-time sentiment instrument for global risk.”

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr said that BTC will “likely remain headline-driven” until the US and Iran send a “public de-escalation signal.”

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Bitcoin price faces “rough times ahead”

Despite the rebound, BTC’s upside appears to be capped at $72,000, where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper trend line of a symmetrical triangle converge.

A break above $72,000 would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, toward the measured target at $92,400, 30% above the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Cointelegraph/TradingView

Glassnode’s cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals concentrated supply and resistance between $72,000 and $74,000, where investors acquired roughly 380,000 BTC over the last 30 days. This indicates that sellers could aggressively defend this zone.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, a dense accumulation cluster sits around $65,000, where investors previously acquired 160,000 BTC. 

This level coincides with the lower trend line of the symmetrical triangle, which, if lost, could trigger the next leg lower toward the bearish target of the triangle at $52,500.

Meanwhile, Capriole Investment’s Bitcoin Macro index has dropped to -1.37, levels seen at the depth of previous bear cycles.

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The chart below shows that the metric historically spends a year at or below these valuations before recovering.

“Bitcoin Macro index is in the value zone,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“In all prior instances, price went lower into deeper value first before recovering, suggesting we may have more rough times ahead first.”

Bitcoin Macro Index. Source: Capriole Investments

As Cointelegraph reported, traders warn of a second bear flag breakdown that could clear the path for another sell-off below $50,000.