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Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Gains as $82B Revenue Stream Emerges from AWS and China Deals

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NVDA Stock Card

Quick Overview

  • Nvidia shares advanced 1.6% in premarket hours Wednesday, trading at $177.97
  • Arm Holdings unveiled the Arm AGI CPU for data centers, projecting $15B yearly revenue by 2031
  • The Arm chip doesn’t directly challenge Nvidia’s GPU dominance but may overlap with Nvidia’s Vera CPU lineup
  • Amazon Web Services committed to acquiring 1 million Nvidia GPUs for AI inference workloads, valued above $50 billion
  • Nvidia restarts H200 chip manufacturing and develops China-compliant Groq 3 variants, potentially adding $32B in annual sales

Nvidia shares moved higher during early Wednesday sessions, brushing aside concerns about Arm Holdings’ entry into the AI chip arena. The development coincided with two significant revenue opportunities that had escaped widespread attention.


NVDA Stock Card
NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

Arm revealed its inaugural data center CPU on Tuesday evening—the Arm AGI CPU—identifying Meta Platforms and OpenAI among its initial clients. During an after-hours investor presentation, Arm outlined aggressive financial targets, forecasting approximately $15 billion in yearly CPU revenue by 2031 as part of a comprehensive $25 billion revenue objective.

Arm shares surged 12% in premarket activity following the disclosure.

However, industry observers were swift to clarify that this new processor doesn’t directly challenge Nvidia’s flagship GPU offerings.

Benchmark Research’s Cody Acree noted that Arm’s strategy is “less about catching up to the accelerator wave and more about inserting itself deeper into the architecture that governs how AI infrastructure actually runs.”

Jensen Huang, Nvidia’s CEO, appeared in Arm’s promotional content, characterizing their nearly twenty-year collaboration as the backbone for “one seamless platform, from cloud to edge to AI factories.”

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The competitive dynamic becomes more nuanced regarding Nvidia’s recently launched Vera CPUs, introduced during last week’s developer conference. J.P. Morgan’s Harlan Sur highlighted potential overlap between Arm’s chip and that product category. He additionally noted Meta’s existing agreement with Nvidia for Arm-architecture CPUs—complicating the competitive landscape.

Amazon Web Services Makes Massive Nvidia Commitment

Separately, Amazon Web Services revealed plans to procure 1 million Nvidia GPUs dedicated to AI inference capabilities. The announcement caught many off guard—AWS had previously promoted itself as housing “the largest cluster of non-Nvidia chips in the world” following its October 2025 Indiana data center deployment.

The agreement encompasses a “broad mix” of six supplementary Nvidia chip variants, including the recently announced Groq 3 inference processors, alongside Nvidia networking equipment. Industry estimates place the complete package well beyond $50 billion, with completion targeted by late 2027.

This singular agreement accounts for approximately 25% of Nvidia’s total 2025 annual revenue.

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Chinese Market Revenue Resumes

CEO Jensen Huang confirmed last week that Nvidia is resuming manufacturing of its H200 processor—engineered to meet U.S. export control requirements—specifically for Chinese customers. Industry sources suggest a China-compliant Groq 3 variant is also under development.

Nvidia had incorporated zero Chinese data center sales into its Q1 projections. Throughout 2025, those revenues approximated $8 billion quarterly—roughly $32 billion on an annualized basis, representing about 15% of total 2025 revenue.

Together, the AWS contract and China market reentry represent over $82 billion in revenue streams absent from Nvidia’s current financial forecasts.

Nvidia shares traded 1.6% higher at $177.97 during premarket hours Wednesday, rebounding from a 0.3% decline in the previous session.

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Crypto World

These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

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These 4 Bitcoin Onchain Metrics Point to ‘Weaker Demand’ for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) price struggled to break above $72,000, as several key onchain metrics highlighted weakening demand for BTC, casting doubts on its upside potential.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin investors shift to distribution as whales and smaller cohorts aggressively sell under weak market conditions.

  • Bitcoin whale transaction count hits multi-year lows, as smart money waits for policy and geopolitical clarity.

  • Bitcoin’s hash rate fell sharply amid rising energy costs, increasing chances of miner capitulation.

Bitcoin investors “shift to distribution”

Bitcoin investors have are increasingly risk-off, distributing their BTC holdings amid the recent price weakness fueled by the US and Israel-Iran war and other macroeconomic headwinds.

Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is near zero (light yellow), indicating that the whales are distributing their BTC holdings or not accumulating. 

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Related: Bitcoin retakes $71K as US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan

The drop in the trend score indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar pattern observed in early 2025, which aligned with Bitcoin’s drop to $74,500 in April 2025. 

Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: Glassnode

Additional data from Glassnode shows a “shift toward distribution or inactivity” among small to mid-sized entities holding less than 1,000 BTC.

This is in contrast to “Q4 2024, where broad cohort accumulation preceded a sustained rally,” the onchain data provider said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:

“Heavy participation across wallet sizes remains a precondition for any durable recovery.”

Bitcoin accumulation trend score by cohort. Source: X/Glassnode

Bitcoin whale activity “historically quiet”

Reflecting this distribution or inactive accumulation trend is Bitcoin’s whale activity, which has become “historically quiet,” according to Santiment.

Last week, daily BTC transactions above $100,000 fell to just 6,417, the lowest since September 2023. Meanwhile, transfers exceeding $1 million dropped to 1,485, levels last seen in October 2024. 

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The declining whale activity is largely due to market participants waiting for “clarity from the CLARITY Act,” as well as a long-term solution to the war, according to the data analytics company.

This indicates that “smart money is reluctant to make moves with so much policy and global uncertainty at play,” Santiment added.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin whale activity. Source: X/Santiment

Declining Bitcoin network activity

Bitcoin’s inability to sustain the recovery is further evidenced by low network activity and less onchain demand. 

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin network activity index, which tracks key indicators such as daily active addresses, total transactions count, and UTXO count, has been declining since August 2025.

This points to “weaker demand across the network,” CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said in a recent post on X.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Hashrate
Bitcoin network activity index. Source: CryptoQuant

This aligns with weak onchain fundamentals such as liquidity and network growth as tracked by Bitcoin Vector’s fundamental index.

This metric “keeps trending lower and remains well below the strengthening zone,” Bitcoin Vector said in a Tuesday X post. 

The onchain data provider described the current market conditions as “stability without support,” rather than a healthy consolidation, adding:

“As long as onchain conditions stay weak, upside looks increasingly dependent on flow, short covering, or external catalysts, not organic strength. If fundamentals don’t recover, this kind of divergence usually doesn’t support a sustained mid-term recovery.”

Bitcoin fundamental index. Source: X/Bitcoin Vector

Bitcoin mining hash rate drops 22%

Bitcoin’s hash rate, a metric that shows the level of mining activity, has dropped sharply over the last couple of weeks, meaning miners are shutting down machines.

The hash rate has fallen to 813 EH/s on Wednesday, from 1.2 ZH/s on March 5, representing a 22% decrease.

Bitcoin hash rate. Source: CryptoQuant

Rising energy costs, exacerbated by the US and Israel-Iran war, compressed the hash price below $34 per PH/s/day, which is below many miners’ breakeven levels. 

“Bitcoin miners are losing $19,000 on every coin they produce, and difficulty just dropped 7.8% as the miner exodus accelerates,” analysts at Token Metrics said in a recent post on X, adding:

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“If difficulty drops another 5%+ within the next 7 days, miner capitulation is accelerating and spot sell pressure will intensify.”