Business
UK firms hit by energy and supply shocks but confidence remains resilient
More than three quarters of UK businesses are already feeling the impact of the Middle East conflict, as rising energy costs and supply chain disruption begin to feed through into operations, yet confidence at the firm level remains notably resilient.
New research from Barclays, based on a survey of more than 500 business leaders, shows that 66 per cent of companies are experiencing pressure from higher fuel and energy prices, while half report moderate to significant disruption to supply chains.
The findings highlight the speed at which geopolitical instability is affecting day-to-day business activity, with shipping and logistics costs also rising for 43 per cent of firms, adding further strain to margins.
Companies are already responding by adjusting operations and cutting costs. Around 37 per cent have taken steps to reduce energy usage or improve efficiency across their supply chains, while nearly a third have increased prices to offset rising expenses.
Other measures include reducing discretionary spending and tightening overall cost control, with many firms expecting to intensify these actions over the coming months. More than a third are planning further price increases, signalling that cost pressures are likely to continue feeding through to consumers.
The data suggests that while businesses are adapting quickly, the cumulative effect of higher costs and uncertainty is beginning to reshape decision-making across sectors.
Access to finance is emerging as a key factor in maintaining resilience. Barclays’ research shows that 41 per cent of businesses see support with cashflow management as essential, while 39 per cent highlight the importance of working capital and short-term credit.
Existing cash reserves are also playing a crucial role, with more than 80 per cent of firms identifying them as vital in navigating current conditions. Trade finance and cross-border payment solutions are similarly viewed as important tools for managing disruption in international markets.
Abdul Qureshi, head of business banking at Barclays, said the current environment presents a “convergence of pressures” for UK firms.
“For SMEs, dependable cash flow and access to working capital are increasingly important, not only to keep operations running, but to safeguard future growth plans,” he said.
The impact of rising costs is already being reflected in consumer spending patterns. Barclays data shows fuel spending rose by nearly 11 per cent year-on-year at the onset of the conflict, driven by higher prices and demand.
At the same time, discretionary spending is beginning to soften, with spending on holidays and travel falling by almost 8 per cent as households adopt a more cautious approach to their finances.
This shift in consumer behaviour is likely to create additional headwinds for businesses, particularly those reliant on non-essential spending.
Despite these challenges, the research reveals a striking divergence between business-level confidence and broader economic sentiment.
While 78 per cent of firms remain confident in their own prospects and 74 per cent are optimistic about their sector, confidence in the wider economy is significantly weaker. Fewer than half of respondents expressed confidence in the UK economy, with even lower levels for the global outlook.
This suggests that while businesses believe they can manage current pressures internally, there is growing concern about the external environment and its longer-term implications.
Most business leaders expect geopolitical uncertainty to weigh on investment and growth plans over the next year, although the majority anticipate only a moderate impact. A smaller proportion, around one in ten, foresee a significant constraint on their operations.
Matt Hammerstein, chief executive of Barclays UK Corporate Bank, said firms are being forced to balance immediate challenges with long-term planning.
“Businesses are having to manage disruption today while remaining ready to invest and grow when conditions improve,” he said.
The findings paint a picture of an economy under pressure but not yet in retreat. UK businesses are adapting to rising costs and uncertainty, drawing on cash reserves and financial support to maintain stability.
However, the persistence of energy price volatility and geopolitical risk means the coming months will be critical.
While confidence at the firm level remains strong, the widening gap with broader economic sentiment suggests that resilience may be tested further if external conditions deteriorate, particularly if cost pressures intensify or demand weakens.
Business
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Aluminum Prices Could Reach $4,000 Amid Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck
Aluminum—used in everything from Ford F-150 trucks to soda cans—hasn’t risen in price as much as crude oil, liquefied natural gas or fertilizer since the Middle East conflict began.
Some industry experts warn aluminum’s rally is far from done.
Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8
Business
Bitcoin retreats to $73K, but ETF inflows and shrinking exchange reserves keep bulls hopeful
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin and Ethereum were up 0.1% and 0.4% respectively. Among the major altcoins, BNB, XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, Hyperliquid and Cardano gained up to 6% whereas Tron went down nearly 2%.
Also Read | Smallcap valuations turn favourable as correction creates fresh opportunities: Bajaj Finserv AMC
Piyush Walke, Derivatives Research Analyst, Delta Exchange said institutional appetite for Bitcoin exposure appears to be cooling, with US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs posting their longest run of net outflows since launch.
“After briefly touching $83,000 in May, Bitcoin failed to maintain momentum and quickly lost strength. The rejection created a bull trap, where buyers entered expecting a breakout only for the market to reverse sharply lower.”
Bitcoin turned bearish on the daily chart after losing the $74,800 support, validating a lower-high, lower-low structure and Ethereum is trading under pressure around $2,000 following the loss of support at $2,040–$2,050, Walke said.
The global crypto market capitalisation went up 0.09% to $2.48 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.
In the past week, Bitcoin fell 1% and Ethereum was up 0.1%. Among the major altcoins, BNB, XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, Hyperliquid gained upto 20.11% whereas Tron and Cardano were down 5% and 1% respectively.
WazirX market’s desk said Bitcoin moved lower through the week, easing from around $77,004 to nearly $73,091, while holding the key $73,000 to $75,000 support zone. Although short-term technicals remained cautious, ETF inflows, long-term holder accumulation, and falling exchange reserves supported Bitcoin’s broader market structure.
Also Read | Nearing retirement and invested mostly in FDs? Expert shares diversification roadmap
It further said that Ethereum also faced pressure, slipping from around $2,096 to nearly $1,998. However, its long-term narrative was strengthened through scaling developments, clear signing, proposed native private transactions, and record-high staked ETH, reflecting confidence in Ethereum’s proof-of-stake ecosystem.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.
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Business
Nearing retirement and invested mostly in FDs? Expert shares diversification roadmap
A similar query came from Jagruti who is nearing retirement and has mostly invested in fixed deposits and sought advice on whether it was too late to diversify beyond fixed deposits and include equities in her investment portfolio.
Also Read | Smallcap valuations turn favourable as correction creates fresh opportunities: Bajaj Finserv AMC
Responding to the query, Harshvardhan Roongta said it is never too late to revisit an investment strategy. According to him, investors should not view their past decisions negatively because they were made based on the knowledge and information available at that time.
He explained that the real mistake is not a lack of awareness in the past, but failing to act after becoming aware of alternative investment options.
Roongta noted that every investment product has its own advantages and limitations, which is precisely why diversification becomes important. Fixed deposits, for instance, are primarily capital-preservation tools. Investors who place money with a well-established bank are unlikely to face significant capital loss. However, fixed deposits often struggle to generate returns that comfortably outpace inflation, particularly after taxes.
On the other hand, equity investments can be volatile and do not offer any guarantee of capital protection. However, over longer periods, equities have historically delivered returns that have the potential to beat inflation and create real wealth.
According to Roongta, a well-diversified portfolio combines both growth-oriented and capital-preserving assets. While debt instruments such as fixed deposits help protect capital and provide stability, equities can offer growth potential that helps investors maintain purchasing power over the long term.
He emphasised that there is no universal formula for deciding how much equity an investor should hold. Two investors of the same age could have very different asset allocations depending on their financial goals, income sources, risk tolerance, and overall financial situation.
For example, one retiree may feel comfortable with 20% exposure to equities and 80% in debt-oriented investments, while another may choose the opposite allocation because of different financial needs and risk appetite.
Roongta said the ideal asset allocation should be determined after evaluating an investor’s objectives, future cash-flow requirements, and comfort with market volatility. The goal is to strike a balance between generating inflation-beating returns and maintaining a level of risk that the investor can comfortably handle.
Also Read | Should senior citizens continue investing in equity mutual funds after retirement? Expert explains
He also suggested consulting a SEBI-registered investment adviser to create a customised financial plan. Such advisers can help investors assess their risk profile and determine the appropriate allocation across equities, debt, gold, silver, and other asset classes.
According to Roongta, a professional review can help ensure that an investor’s portfolio remains aligned with retirement goals while also providing the diversification needed to navigate changing market conditions over the long term.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in along with your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.
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11 equity mutual funds offer over 10% in May. Have you invested in any for your portfolio?
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Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund announces launch of its SIF platform MPOWER
With MPOWER SIF, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund aims to address the evolving needs of investors, who are looking to complement their existing mutual funds with products that use derivatives and other tools to create different risk return outcomes.
Also Read | Smallcap valuations turn favourable as correction creates fresh opportunities: Bajaj Finserv AMC
The fund house aims to provide a client experience that seeks to meet the investors aspiration, whilst remaining true to the core premise of creating investment outcomes that are consistent and meaningful.
“The launch of MPOWER SIF is a significant step forward in expanding our product suite. As investors and their goals and aspirations evolve over time, there is a clear requirement for investment solutions that offer greater flexibility and use the entire range of tools available to deliver consistent outcomes. This approach is complemented by an investment team with extensive experience anchored by a sound risk management framework,” said Anthony Heredia, MD & CEO, Mahindra Manulife Investment Management.
Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund intends to roll out a range of differentiated strategies under MPOWER SIF across equity, hybrid, and fixed income categories, aligned with regulatory guidelines and investor suitability.
“MPOWER SIF gives us the flexibility to design more agile and outcome-oriented portfolios by leveraging a wider investment toolkit. This platform will enable us to combine fundamental research with tactical allocation strategies, with the objective of delivering superior risk-adjusted returns across market cycles. We believe it is well suited for investors seeking a more nuanced approach to portfolio construction,” said Krishna Sanghavi, Chief Investment Officer – Equity, Mahindra Manulife Investment Management.Also Read | Should senior citizens continue investing in equity mutual funds after retirement? Expert explains
The SIF category offers strategies that go beyond conventional Mutual Funds, including long-short approaches, derivatives-based strategies, and more focused portfolio construction, catering to investors seeking a different approach to meeting their investment goals.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.
Business
Adecoagro SA: Why This Stock Is My Top Commodity Pick For 2026 (NYSE:AGRO)
My name is David B McMillan and I am an investor interested in fundamental valuation. My philosophy is fundamental investing – I seek to identify underpriced securities relative to their potential future cash flows. I also use tactical allocation, investing more aggressively when equity prices are lower, and more conservatively when they are higher. I have a BS in Physics and BA in Philosophy from UCSB, and am currently a CFA Level 2 candidate. I am mostly interested in covering stocks in the aerospace and defense sector, but I am also interested in retail and tech companies. I have a 12 year investing track record, with documented investments in AI, tech, and crypto themes before they were widely understood – NVDA in 2017, 8000 percent gain; PLTR at IPO, 1870 percent gain; AMD in 2017, 3700 percent gain; TSLA in 2016, 3400 percent gain. Had all of Mag 7 in my portfolio by 2018, before those stocks were called the Mag 7. My current demo portfolio, started in April 2025 with about $8k of my my own capital, is so far achieving a Sharpe ratio of 3.49 compared to IVV of 2.42 in the same time period. My average time-weighted return is 0.30 percent per day vs IVV at 0.14 percent per day.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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