Crypto World
Former CFTC Chair Chris Giancarlo Urges Banks to Back Clarity Act
TLDR
- Former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo said banks need the Clarity Act more than crypto firms.
- Giancarlo stated that crypto companies can move offshore and continue building their platforms.
- He explained that banks cannot relocate abroad and must operate under US regulations.
- Giancarlo said banks need clear digital asset rules to stay competitive in the sector.
- The stablecoin reward dispute has delayed progress on the Clarity Act in the Senate.
Former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo said banks need the Clarity Act more than crypto companies. He made the statement during a recent appearance on the Paul Barron podcast. He argued that banks face limits that crypto firms do not face.
Giancarlo said crypto companies can relocate and continue operations without disruption. He stated that banks cannot shift abroad in the same way. He added that lawmakers must address market structure rules quickly.
Banks Face Structural Limits Without the Clarity Act
Giancarlo said crypto firms can build products outside the United States if needed. He said, “They are going to build this even if they have to go offshore.” He pointed to hubs like the UAE and Singapore.
He described crypto founders as “intrepid and fearless” during the interview. He said they would move their inventions abroad if US rules block progress. He argued that banks lack that flexibility because they operate under domestic charters.
He said banks require legal certainty to interact with digital assets. Without it, they risk delays in adoption and compliance conflicts. He added that the Clarity Act would help banks “stay with the curve.”
Giancarlo said the bill would favor banks more than crypto companies. He explained that crypto firms will keep building regardless of US legislation. However, he said banks could fall behind foreign competitors.
He warned that US financial institutions could lose ground over five years. He said banks cannot afford prolonged uncertainty in digital asset regulation. He repeated this view in an earlier podcast with Scott Melker.
Stablecoin Rewards Stall Progress on the Clarity Act
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act seeks to define asset classification and oversight. Lawmakers continue to debate how regulators should supervise tokens and trading platforms. However, the stablecoin reward issue has slowed progress.
The GENIUS Act already governs parts of the stablecoin market. Still, it does not address provisions tied to yield or reward structures. Banks argue that higher stablecoin yields could weaken their deposit models.
Crypto companies oppose limits on stablecoin rewards. They argue that banning yields would restrict competition and innovation. This dispute has kept the bill stalled in the US Senate.
Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal spoke to FOX Business on April 1. He said lawmakers would reach a compromise within 48 hours. He expressed confidence that negotiators were close to an agreement.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse also addressed the timeline publicly. He said he expects the legislation to pass before May 2026. Lawmakers have not set a final vote date.
Giancarlo maintained that digital assets will advance regardless of US policy. He said the technology will continue to develop across global markets. He reiterated that banks need clear rules to compete effectively.
Crypto World
Wintermute Starts Quoting Prediction Markets as Event-Contract Volume Tops $60B in 2026

Wintermute, a London-based algorithmic trading firm with more than $3.5 trillion in annual trading volume, said on Friday it is now providing two-sided liquidity on prediction markets, becoming the latest institutional market maker to plug into a sector that has cleared more than $60 billion in… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
US Seizes Nearly $1B in Iranian Crypto, Treasury Says
The United States has publicly documented a major advance in its sanction regime against Iran, reporting the seizure of about $1 billion in Iranian cryptocurrency assets. Speaking at the Reagan National Economic Forum, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S. has “outright grabbed the wallets,” a maneuver he described as part of a broader financial pressure campaign. Some wallet holders may still be unaware that their funds have been seized, he added in remarks that drew attention to the speed and scale of asset freezes conducted under the administration’s sanctions strategy.
Officials characterized the seizures as a component of Operation Economic Fury, a coordinated effort launched in March 2025 to disrupt Iranian access to funds held in digital assets, as well as traditional financial channels. Bessent framed the operation as a decisive step in tightening the financial noose around Tehran, arguing that the campaign has effectively cut off critical liquidity for the regime. “I think between five and a half to six weeks of an incredibly successful military campaign and Operation Economic Fury, where we have really cut them off. They are at the end of their tether now financially,” he said, underscoring the administration’s posture on Iran’s financial resilience.
Key takeaways
- Approximately $1 billion in Iranian crypto assets have been seized, according to remarks at the Reagan National Economic Forum in which Scott Bessent spoke.
- The seizures are described as part of Operation Economic Fury, a multi-front effort launched in March 2025 to disrupt Iran’s access to crypto and other financial resources.
- Iran’s economic situation, as characterized by the official account, appears dire: inflation above 200%, widespread internet shutdowns, consumer support programs, and significant payroll issues for the armed forces.
- The newly disclosed total markedly exceeds prior public figures, roughly doubling the $500 million previously cited in late April and far above the $344 million in crypto assets frozen after sanctions in April.
- Separately, Iran has signaled interest in monetizing the Strait of Hormuz through a Bitcoin-based insurance framework, a proposal that has been described in state-linked media channels and could redefine how a strategic chokepoint is insured and priced in crypto terms.
Escalating asset seizures and Tehran’s financial squeeze
The claim of a $1 billion crypto seizure arrives as part of a broader narrative presented by U.S. officials about the effectiveness of financial pressure tools against Iran. Bessent’s remarks highlighted the rapid pace at which some crypto wallets were identified and seized, with an emphasis on the notion that “the wallets” could be pulled from holders who may not yet realize the funds have been redirected. The assertion aligns with a continued emphasis on cutting-edge enforcement tools that target digital assets alongside traditional sanctions mechanisms.
While the public cast is blunt about the impact on Iran’s finances, the underlying picture, as outlined by the official account, portrays a regime under stress. Bessent described a scenario in which Iran was siphoning roughly $400 million to $500 million per month, distributing proceeds among about 80 elite figures, before the intervention. The official narrative also paints a bleak macroeconomic environment: inflation surging past 200%, consumer subsidies being issued, the internet intermittently restricted, and a substantial portion of the regular pay for armed forces and security personnel disrupted or withheld.
The statements come as U.S. and allied authorities continue to pursue a multi-pronged approach—blending asset freezes, banking restrictions, and international cooperation—to constrain Tehran’s financial flows. The administration has cited progress across different fronts, including crypto-focused seizures and partnerships with European allies to extend property confiscations tied to illicit activity. Critics, meanwhile, stress the challenge of tracing and freezing decentralized assets and the potential for collateral effects on ordinary users who may hold assets in accounts unrelated to sanctioned entities.
From wallet seizures to Hormuz: Iran’s Bitcoin-based ambitions under scrutiny
Beyond the asset seizures, Iran’s broader geopolitical and economic strategy has included exploratory discussions about monetizing control over the Strait of Hormuz through crypto-enabled mechanisms. Cointelegraph reports that a state document circulated by Fars News Agency—a media outlet with close ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—outlined a platform named “Hormuz Safe.” The concept envisions selling digital marine insurance paid in Bitcoin and settled on the blockchain, with the potential to unlock substantial revenue for the country—projected at over $10 billion in annual terms if enacted at scale.
In related coverage, Iran has been reported to consider a model where ships passing through Hormuz would pay a tariff in Bitcoin—specifically, a $1 per barrel charge—to clear passage. The idea reflects a broader trend of state-backed crypto experimentation and aims to leverage Bitcoin’s settlement properties to simplify cross-border charging and revenue collection for a critical strategic artery. Iran’s government-linked proclamations emphasize that such a framework would be settled on-chain, potentially enabling more transparent and auditable toll collection than traditional approaches.
These discussions come amid ongoing negotiations related to Iran’s broader ties with the U.S. and allied powers, amplified by recent strikes that have targeted regime figures and key infrastructure in the region. The exact status and feasibility of Hormuz Safe remain uncertain, and observers caution that any such program would require robust international coordination, regulatory clarity, and secure settlement rails to avoid unintended consequences for global shipping and finance.
For readers tracking the crypto-policy angle, the Hormuz Safe concept intersects with broader questions about how states might use distributed ledger technologies to capture value from strategic chokepoints. If realized, a BTC-based insurance and settlement model could set a precedent for asset-backed, borderless revenue streams tied to critical maritime corridors. Yet the practicalities—risk management, liquidity, sovereignty concerns, and cross-border fiat integration—remain unresolved and subject to regulatory pushback and geopolitical risk.
Context and what to watch next
By tying crypto seizures to a broader sanctions playbook, U.S. authorities appear intent on signaling that digital assets are not a safe haven for sanctioned entities. The discrepancy between the new $1 billion figure and prior public disclosures—roughly $500 million announced in late April and about $344 million sanctioned in April—suggests a rapid acceleration in enforcement activity and asset identification. Still, the opaque and rapidly evolving nature of blockchain addresses and wallet ownership means that some seizures may unfold quietly over time, with beneficiaries or oblivious wallet holders discovering the losses only later.
Investors and observers should watch for two pivotal developments. First, how the United States and its allies operationalize and expand the “Economic Fury” framework, including potential cross-border asset coordination and the extension of sanctions into new cryptographic asset classes or platforms. Second, the Hormuz Safe proposal and similar state-led crypto initiatives will need to prove viable in a real-world maritime and financial environment. Any movement toward an on-chain toll collection system or insurance mechanism would have to contend with international shipping laws, sanctions compliance, and the volatility inherent in crypto markets.
As market participants digest these developments, several questions remain unsettled. Will more Iranian crypto wallets be identified and frozen, or will enforcement cap at the current level? How will the Hormuz Safe concept evolve—if it moves beyond a policy paper to a concrete program, what safeguards and oversight will be required? And how will financial institutions and crypto platforms adapt to heightened scrutiny around sanctioned jurisdictions and their digital assets?
Further coverage continues to emerge from outlets monitoring the intersection of sanctions policy and crypto markets. Cointelegraph has previously reported on market reactions to related U.S. actions and the broader implications for Bitcoin and crypto markets under geopolitical stress. As the regulatory and enforcement landscape tightens, market participants should treat any official disclosures with caution and consider how these developments might influence liquidity, risk management, and cross-border settlement in the months ahead.
For now, the narrative centers on a clearer message from policymakers: digital assets are increasingly entangled with national security and foreign-policy aims, and the consequences—whether in seized wallets or new insurance frameworks—will ripple through exchanges, custodians, and users worldwide. The next few weeks could reveal whether Tehran’s financial strategy shifts to accommodate tighter controls or whether new, untested crypto-instrument concepts move from talk to policy.
Sources and related context: remarks from the Reagan National Economic Forum and statements around Operation Economic Fury, including prior reporting on crypto seizures and sanctions timelines. Additionally, state-linked reporting on Hormuz Safe and Bitcoin-based tolls for the Strait of Hormuz has been cited in coverage tracing the potential monetization of critical maritime routes through crypto-native mechanisms.
Crypto World
Polymarket Plugs Into OneFootball's 645M-Fan Network Two Weeks Before the World Cup

Polymarket has signed an exclusive partnership with OneFootball, the Berlin-based digital football platform, opening a distribution channel to a user base that the company says reaches more than 645 million fans worldwide and 200 million monthly active users, roughly two weeks before the 2026 FIFA… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Circle Freeze on Zama's Confidential USDC Locks $12.6M of User Funds in DeFi 'Crossfire'

Circle blacklisted the smart-contract address behind Zama's confidential USDC token on Friday, locking roughly $12.6 million of stablecoins inside a privacy protocol that is not itself the target of any litigation. The freeze hit Zama's cUSDC wrapper, an ERC-1967 proxy that pools USDC on behalf of… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
This Top Coin Under $1 Could Deliver a 40x ROI in Under 2 Months; Surprisingly, It’s Not Cardano (ADA) or Dogecoin (DOGE)
While the broader market often remains fixated on the price action of established giants, a new contender is quietly rewriting the playbook for retail wealth generation. Little Pepe, trading under the ticker LILPEPE, has emerged as a formidable force in the sub-one-dollar category, positioning itself to potentially deliver a 40x return on investment in less than two months. This projection is not based on mere speculation but is backed by a monumental presale performance that has caught the attention of serious institutional and retail participants alike.
If an investor wants to see a 40x return on Dogecoin today, it would have to become the most valuable financial institution in the world, which is increasingly unlikely as liquidity continues to decline through the industry.
Elsewhere, despite its glory days, Cardano has not lived up to the expectations it set in 2021, when it hit a new all-time high of $3.10.
In contrast, the smart money is moving toward younger, more agile projects that possess the “coiled spring” effect. Little Pepe represents this new era of digital assets, where community sentiment meets massive capital influx at the ground floor. By offering an entry point that remains significantly undervalued relative to its utility and community backing, LILPEPE provides the kind of leverage that ADA and DOGE can no longer provide to the average portfolio.
Quantitative Dominance and the Presale Powerhouse
The most compelling evidence of the impending explosion for Little Pepe lies in its staggering presale data. Financial records indicate that the project has already raised over $28.1 million across its various funding stages. This is not a modest figure; it reflects a level of investor confidence rarely seen in the early stages of a memetic token. The fact that the project has successfully moved over 16.9 billion tokens into the hands of early adopters suggests a highly distributed and committed holder base, which is a prerequisite for any asset aiming for a vertical price trajectory.
At the time of analysis, the presale has reached a critical juncture, with 98% of stage 13 complete. With the current price locked at a mere $0.0022, the window for entry at these historic lows is rapidly closing. This specific price point is the catalyst for the projected 40x ROI. When an asset possesses this much liquidity and capital backing before it even hits the primary decentralized and centralized exchanges, the resulting “supply shock” upon public listing often leads to the exact type of parabolic growth that transforms modest allocations into significant wealth.
The Two-Month Horizon for Exponential Growth
The timeline of “under two months” is particularly significant because it aligns with the anticipated conclusion of the final presale stages and the transition to the open market. Market history shows that the period immediately following a high-demand presale is often the most lucrative for holders. As the 98% completion of stage 13 approaches, the urgency among investors is palpable. The transition from a controlled presale environment to the volatility of the open market amplifies price action, especially when a project has already demonstrated the ability to sell 16.9 billion tokens on its own.
Unlike many speculative assets that fizzle out for lack of funding, Little Pepe has the financial runway to dominate the narrative for the remainder of the quarter.
Final Outlook on the LILPEPE Phenomenon
The evidence points toward a singular conclusion: the opportunity for massive returns has shifted away from the “old guard” of Cardano and Dogecoin and toward the explosive potential of Little Pepe. With $28.1 million in the bank and a community that has already absorbed nearly 17 billion tokens, the project is not just a participant in the market; it is a leader in the making.
The current price of $0.0022 represents a fleeting entry point before the market recognizes the true value of what has been built during this rigorous presale phase. Those seeking a 40x return in a compressed timeframe are finding that LILPEPE is the most logical and aggressive play available in the current digital asset ecosystem.
For more information about Little Pepe (LILPEPE) visit the links below:
Website: https://littlepepe.com
Whitepaper: https://littlepepe.com/whitepaper.pdf
Telegram: https://t.me/littlepepetoken
Twitter/X: https://x.com/littlepepetoken
$777k Giveaway: https://littlepepe.com/777k-giveaway/
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Crypto World
Hyperliquid vs Ethereum: Did Tom Lee Pick the Wrong Crypto Treasury Asset for BitMine?
Tom Lee’s BitMine bought 5.4 million Ethereum (ETH) instead of Hyperliquid (HYPE), and now faces a binary verdict. The Ethereum holding is down 21% since June 30, 2025. HYPE is up 68% over the same window.
The question is whether Tom Lee built the institutional position he intended to create. Or whether he picked the wrong asset for a cycle that already rewarded perpetual exchange tokens.
Both readings stay defensible until ETH either reflates or rolls over.
The Conviction Case
BitMine launched its Ethereum treasury strategy on June 30, 2025, with a $250 million private placement.
Tom Lee, head of Fundstrat, joined as chairman. The mandate was never to chase the hottest token in the cycle. It targets roughly 5% of the ether supply (through alchemy) as a public proxy for institutional ETH.
That thesis rests on three pillars:
- Ether’s staking yield turns the treasury into an income asset rather than a static bet.
Around 87% of the holding sits on BitMine’s MAVAN staking platform, generating about $276 million in annualized revenue.
- Liquidity matters at this scale.
BitMine has absorbed $8 billion in losses without dislocating ETH’s order books.
“Tom Lee is down eight billion dollars on ETH and Vitalik decides to write a sci fi novel,” David Hoffman, co-owner at Bankless, remarked.
Indeed, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said he would pause his usual blog posts to write sci-fi about decentralized governance, testing governance ideas through fiction rather than research posts.
Meanwhile, HYPE’s $14.9 billion market cap could not have absorbed similar deployment without slippage.
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- The third pillar is institutional fit.
Tom Lee’s bull case treats Ethereum as the settlement layer for tokenized assets, stablecoins, and on-chain agents.
That thesis assumes ETH becomes financial infrastructure, not the cycle’s best-performing token.
The Miss Case
The counterfactual is sharp. HYPE traded for $67.14 as of this writing, up 101% in 12 months and 68% since BitMine’s pivot.
Hyperliquid routes most fee revenue into open-market HYPE purchases. The HYPE buyback program has absorbed more than $1.16 billion in fees since launch.
Calculating BitMine’s capital deployed into HYPE instead would now show roughly $44 billion in profits. That figure climbs further if HYPE clears $100.
“If Tom Lee had bought HYPE instead of ETH for Bitmine He would have been up 520% and made $44 billion. Potentially crossing Michael Saylor once HYPE hits $100,” degennQuant, cofounder of Hyperbeat, suggested.
The risk for Lee is timing. Hyperliquid captured the dominant on-chain narrative of this cycle. The token holds about 57.8% of the perpetual DEX market share.
An institutional spotlight from ICE chief executive Jeff Sprecher accelerated the flow.
“This Hyperliquid that we’re talking — if you haven’t heard about it, it’s bigger than NASDAQ, okay? It’s 11 people. You look at it, you’re like, wow, that’s pretty something,” Sprecher remarked, speaking to investors at the Bernstein 42nd Annual Strategic Decisions Conference.
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The Philosophical Hinge
Kyle Samani left Multicoin Capital in February, then opened a public structural case against Hyperliquid.
He says its validator set is housed in a single building. Thousands of its technical choices fit a centralized setting but break in a permissionless one.
“Hyperliquid is just Binance 2.0 without a marketing team and has made 1000s of technical decisions that work well in a centralized setting and won’t work at all in a permissionless decentralized one. And now they’re many steps behind,” Samani, former Multicoin co-founder quipped.
Samani’s Multicoin exit followed reported HYPE buys by the fund.
Tom Lee’s allocation rests on the inverse premise. Ethereum’s value to institutions stems from its credibility, validator distribution, and resistance to protocol-level capture.
Hyperliquid trades prioritize speed, low fees, and trader experience.
Is HYPE a Better Treasury Asset?
The answer depends on which clock the market respects. A cycle measured in months keeps Hyperliquid ahead. A cycle measured in tokenization adoption favors the asset BitMine already owns.
The description frames Tom Lee’s call as patient discipline or a missed cycle. Conviction and costly misses are the same trade viewed at different horizons.
The post Hyperliquid vs Ethereum: Did Tom Lee Pick the Wrong Crypto Treasury Asset for BitMine? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
U.S. says it seized about $1 billion in Iranian crypto as pressure campaign expands
The United States has seized about $1 billion worth of cryptocurrency tied to Iran, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, describing the action as part of a broader campaign to cut off funding channels used by Tehran.
Speaking in an interview on Fox Business, Bessent said U.S. authorities had “grabbed the wallets” and seized cryptocurrency connected to Iran.
He said the effort falls under Operation Economic Fury, an administration initiative aimed at restricting Iran’s access to overseas revenue, banking networks and digital-asset infrastructure.
“In addition, Treasury has cracked down on Tehran’s global shadow banking networks; designated networks supplying weapons and other military components to Iran; sanctioned a corrupt Iraqi official who has facilitated the sale of oil along with Iran-backed militias operating in Iraq,” a press release from the Treasury reads.
Bessent said the pressure campaign had contributed to worsening economic conditions in Iran. He added that large numbers of military personnel were not being paid, police officers were failing to report for duty, and inflation had exceeded 200%.
He also said Iranian authorities had resorted to food vouchers and internet shutdowns.
The Treasury secretary said the U.S. and its partners were also targeting overseas real estate and other assets that he described as proceeds diverted from the Iranian people.
He added that Iranian officials had previously moved hundreds of millions of dollars each month before Treasury intervention.
Read more: Iran crisis puts the regime’s $7.8 billion crypto shadow economy in spotlight
Crypto World
NASA ETF’s two-month, $2.6 billion liftoff

Retail investors are rushing into the space investing trade ahead of the SpaceX IPO, and one ETF has cashed in on the excitement.
Tema ETFs’ Space Innovators ETF, which launched on March 30 and trades under the ticker symbol NASA, crossed $1 billion in assets in just 37 trading days, and by the end of this past trading week, had reached over $2.6 billion in assets.
That rapid rise is due in part to retail investors hunting for exposure to SpaceX before it goes public.
While SpaceX has taken an unusual approach to its offering, setting up access for retail investors through brokerage firms at a level atypical in new deals typically dominated by institutions, the NASA fund is another alternative for investors to gain access to Elon Musk‘s rocket company. It already holds privately traded SpaceX shares directly. It is one of the few investment vehicles available to retail investors that does, with SpaceX currently representing around 7.5% of the fund.
“If we’re going to invest in space … We have to offer exposure to SpaceX,” said Maurits Pot, Tema ETFs founder and CEO on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” on Wednesday.
Pot said there is no plan to sell shares once the IPO occurs. “The IPO for us is simply a remarking of the position to market price,” he said.
NASA 1 M
NASA isn’t the only ETF that has access to SpaceX, though the options are limited. Mutual fund manager and billionaire Ron Baron, a long-time Tesla and SpaceX investor, owns the rocket company through his First Principles fund (RONB). Tesla is the top holding in the RONB ETF, at over 14%, while holding close to 2% of the fund’s assets in SpaceX. The ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF (XOVR), which offers access to late-stage private companies, also owns shares of SpaceX which it says are worth close to $300 million based on an IPO value of over $1.5 trillion.
Setting a precise valuation for the SpaceX deal remains a point of contention in the market and among investors.
Mike Akins, founding partner at ETF Action, said on “ETF Edge” that the ETF structure itself is what makes this kind of access possible for the everyday investor. “Ten, twenty years ago, you talked about a space theme like this, an investor would have to go out and look up all these companies. Now there’s a ticker,” Akins said.
Todd Sohn, chief ETF strategist at Strategas, noted that several new space ETFs have launched over the past few months, including the Van Eck Space ETF (WARP) and Roundhill Investments’ Space & Technology ETF (MARS), which is itself a signal that retail investors are expected to pursue the theme as they have with other recent thematic trades playing off tech innovation, from AI to quantum computing. “That to me is usually a pretty good read that the industry expects space to be the next big thing,” Sohn told CNBC. “It’s a very similar idea to what AI was a few years ago and continuing on.”
But Sohn cautioned that not all funds are created equal. “It all depends on how pure or watered down the ETF is. So the due diligence for this is really important now,” he said.
There are other ETFs branded under the space investing theme that have been in the market for years already, building portfolios of stocks that include pure-play, high-risk space exploration companies, satellite companies, and broader aerospace and defense sector names.
The Procure Space ETF (UFO), which launched in 2019 and has over $1.2 billion in assets, holds Rocket Lab, Firefly Aerospace, and Planet Labs among its top holdings. The SPDR S&P Kensho Final Frontiers ETF (ROKT), which launched in 2018, also holds Intuitive Machines and Redwire. The Global X Space Tech ETF (ORBX) offers a similar portfolio composition.
Five-year performance of UFO ETF which invests in space and aerospace stocks.
The ARK Space and Defense Innovation ETF (ARKX) is a good example of how the definitional set of top stocks can range far across the market, with its portfolio also including Amazon and Deere.
Sohn says investors interested in these ETFs and the space investing theme should consider how much overlap there is in a portfolio with more classic defense industry names, as well as how concentrated the fund is in a small group of high-risk stocks.
“There’s only so many companies who are doing this that are public,” Sohn said. “Some of them may have 30 holdings, some of them may have closer to 50 or so,” he said of the current crop of space ETFs. “I have a feeling once SpaceX is public and trading for some time, you’re going to see some of these funds morph into more concentrated bets, depending on how they are managed,” he said.
That’s another factor for investors to consider: NASA, for example, is an actively managed fund, rather than tracking an existing index of stocks designed to represent the theme, which is the approach of UFO, ORBX, ROKT and others.
It is clear that Elon Musk is going to be a big winner from the SpaceX IPO and likely the world’s first trillionaire. But both Akins and Sohn said the biggest risk for retail investors getting in on the space theme is volatility.
The risks in the space market were made vivid this week with the launchpad explosion of Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket.
“Expect volatility. That is usually what happens with very early-stage industries. There will be companies that outperform and companies within ETFs that fall apart because the business model doesn’t make sense,” Sohn said.
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Crypto World
Wintermute Expands Into Prediction Markets as Segment Tops $60B in 2026
TLDR:
- Wintermute is now quoting two-sided markets on event contracts across venues doing $20 billion monthly in volume.
- The prediction market industry has crossed $60 billion in 2026, yet still lacks the institutional liquidity it needs to mature.
- Event contracts price real-world outcomes directly, offering more targeted exposure than equities, rates, or currencies.
- Wintermute’s existing crypto infrastructure covers custody, collateral, and risk management that prediction market venues already require.
Wintermute has moved into the prediction market industry, now providing liquidity across event contracts on leading venues.
The algorithmic trading firm brings over $3.5 trillion in annual trading volume to a segment that has crossed $60 billion in 2026.
This entry marks a turning point for prediction markets, as institutional-grade infrastructure begins supporting a fast-growing but liquidity-thin space.
A $60 Billion Market That Needed Institutional Depth
The prediction market industry has expanded at a pace few anticipated just years ago. Trading volume across leading venues now exceeds $20 billion per month as of early 2026. That growth has outpaced the liquidity infrastructure needed to support it properly.
Wintermute is stepping in to close that gap by quoting continuous bid and offer prices across event contracts. Two-sided liquidity tightens spreads and allows participants to trade in larger sizes. Over time, this also strengthens the accuracy of probabilities that these markets produce.
Jake Ostrovskis, Head of OTC Trading at Wintermute, addressed the core problem directly. “Prediction markets have the demand profile of a major asset class but the liquidity profile of an early-stage one,” he said.
He added that sustained two-sided liquidity is what allows these markets to become reliable real-time probability tools.
Ostrovskis further noted that deeper liquidity does more than improve execution. “That depth tightens spreads, supports larger trade sizes, and in turn improves the signal embedded in market prices,” he explained.
“That is where Wintermute can add value.” Wintermute already operates across more than 70 exchanges, making this expansion a natural fit.
Why Wintermute Is Betting on Event Contracts
Prediction markets price real-world outcomes directly, rather than through traditional proxies like equities or currencies. For institutions managing exposure to specific catalysts, this offers a more targeted tool.
Policy decisions, economic data releases, and other discrete events become tradeable with greater precision.
Wintermute captured that distinction in a public statement, saying “prediction markets are emerging as a distinct asset class, pricing probabilities on events that traditional markets don’t capture cleanly.”
That framing reflects how the firm views the segment’s broader role in financial markets. It also explains why the firm sees long-term value in committing liquidity here.
Many prediction market venues also operate on public blockchains using stablecoin settlement systems. This aligns closely with infrastructure Wintermute already manages across spot, DeFi, and OTC crypto markets.
Custody, collateral, and risk management requirements are already part of the firm’s daily operations.
That overlap makes the move into prediction markets a practical extension rather than an entirely new venture. Wintermute Group’s existing systems handle the technical demands these venues require.
As the industry continues its growth trajectory, institutional participation from firms like Wintermute is likely to accelerate further adoption across the space.
Crypto World
Why AI-powered hackers are keeping big banks off the blockchain
Traditional financial institutions are preparing to move trillions of dollars of assets onchain, but the risk of hacks and exploits is putting them off, according to blockchain security firm CertiK’s CEO Ronghui Gu.
“Right now, more and more institutions are trying to move assets onchain,” Gu told CoinDesk in an interview. “They imagine that, let’s say in 10 years, multiple trillion dollars — even tens of trillions of dollars — of assets are going to move onchain.”
The potentially massive migration of financial assets is hitting a wall because, although bankers and legacy institutions want to capture the efficiency of decentralized ledgers, the current operational reality is still too risky for conservative capital allocators.
“When they move assets onchain, they need to face all these AI attacks, smart contract vulnerabilities, oracle manipulation, and cross-chain bridge hacks,” Gu explained. “So, that’s being considered as one of the major blockers for all this TradFi to move trillions of dollars of assets onchain.”
Gu said their concerns are legitimate, noting that CertiK detected hacks nearly every day in April, making it the worst month in four years, fueled mostly by AI-driven attacks, notwithstanding “April was the worst month in four years with only three days without a hack,” Gu said, adding that CertiK believes this sudden rise could only be possible with AI.
Drift Protocol and Kelp Dao were hacked by North Korean cybercriminals in April in two exploits that drained nearly $600 million from the two lending crypto pools. In February 2025, Bybit suffered a $1.46 billion attack, described as the biggest hack of all time.
DefiLlama data recently showed more than $1.1 billion had been lost to DeFi hacks in a year, exposing how vulnerabilities in cross-chain infrastructure can quickly spill into the broader ecosystem.
Persistent operational failure is the primary symptom of what Gu calls an “unfair game” in favor of malicious actors, because they possess infinite resources.
Deep pockets
Hackers focus on highly lucrative protocols with massive total value locked (TVL), so they are economically incentivized to pump immense capital into their exploits.
A single protocol attacker can easily spend $10,000 to $20,000 worth of computer tokens to keep advanced engines running continuous vulnerability scans against a protocol for days or weeks on end. Conversely, Gu said, protocol defenders operate under strict, localized project budgetary constraints.
“We have 5,000 clients,” Gu explained. “When we receive a request from a client, there’s a budget. We will spend tokens plus human experts within that budget.” That creates a massive structural gap: while a defense team is bound by a strict commercial contract to scan a protocol over a few hours, the machines of a hacker or group of hackers never stop hunting for a single crack in the code.
Gu said exploits have increased in speed and efficiency with AI and what’s worse is that the nearly-daily trend seen in April could continue through to the end of this year.
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