Crypto World
Trump’s Dooms Day Deadline For Iran Arrives: Will Bitcoin Price and SPX Dump or Will Trump Blink?
Bitcoin Price is trading at $68,500, as Trump’s April 7 Iran deadline arrives and the crypto market refuses to flinch.
The White House has held its ‘no extension’ posture, demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz under threat of strikes on civilian infrastructure, and markets are not pricing in catastrophe.
The S&P 500 is mirroring the same wait-and-see tension, with BTC-SPX correlation tightening into a binary: geopolitical escalation triggers a correlated dump, or Trump blinks and both assets rip higher.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $471 million in inflows over the past 24 hours – the strongest single-day figure in 30 days – suggesting institutions are not running for the exits.
On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows significant exchange outflows in the window before the deadline, consistent with whale accumulation rather than distribution. The market is not calling this a crisis. It is calling a bluff.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Get Right Now
Why the Iran Deadline Is a Macro Trading Event, Not Just a Geopolitical One
The mechanism here is straightforward: a US strike on Iranian infrastructure triggers an oil supply shock, energy inflation re-accelerates, the Fed’s rate-cut timeline extends, and risk assets – Bitcoin and equities both – reprice lower.
That’s the dump scenario, and it’s not subtle. The S&P 500 would absorb the inflation signal as a tightening catalyst; Bitcoin, still running elevated BTC-SPX correlation, would follow equities into a risk-off unwind.
The de-escalation path runs the opposite direction. If Trump blinks – grants an extension, accepts back-channel terms, or downgrades the threat – oil pulls back, rate-cut expectations firm up, and the path of least resistance for both BTC and SPX turns higher.
Geopolitical risk premium drains out of energy hedges and back into growth and risk assets. Bitcoin, already holding $69,000 under maximum headline pressure, would have room to accelerate toward $72,000-$75,000.
Iran’s stated counter-threat, ramping up attacks on Persian Gulf energy sites if struck – introduces tail risk that neither equities nor crypto are fully pricing.
That asymmetry is worth holding in mind. The market’s current read is ‘contained.’ History doesn’t always agree with that read in the first 48 hours of an escalation.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: $75,000 Breakout or Flush Back to $64,000?
Bitcoin at $69,140 is sitting directly at the level that has defined the cycle’s contested zone since late 2025. Immediate support rests at $66,500 – the 50-day moving average – and a clean break below that level opens the $64,000-$65,000 range, where the 200-day MA currently sits.
That $66,500 level is load-bearing. Lose it on a geopolitical shock and the technical structure deteriorates fast.
On the upside, $72,000 is the first meaningful resistance – the ceiling from the March consolidation range. A sustained hold above $69,500 through the deadline resolution sets up a test of that level. Above $72,000, the next target is $75,000, which analysts have flagged as the make-or-break level for the broader April macro setup.
RSI is running at approximately 52 – not overbought, not oversold. The setup reads like a coiled compression, not a topping pattern.
Bull case activates on a confirmed hold above $69,500 post-deadline with ETF inflows sustaining above $300 million daily – target $75,000 within five to seven sessions.
Bear case activates on a geopolitical escalation event that breaks $66,500 on volume – in that scenario, $64,000 becomes the first support that actually matters. Until one of those conditions materializes, the $66,500 level is the only number traders need to watch.
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The post Trump’s Dooms Day Deadline For Iran Arrives: Will Bitcoin Price and SPX Dump or Will Trump Blink? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin is holding near $69K as Iran-related geopolitical tensions keep markets cautious.
- Rising oil prices and inflation concerns are limiting upside, but strong ETF inflows and institutional support are helping BTC stay resilient.
Bitcoin is trading sideways near the $69,000 mark as investors remain cautious amid escalating geopolitical tensions tied to the conflict in Iran.
The leading cryptocurrency briefly pushed above $70,000 on Monday—its first move past that level since March—but failed to sustain momentum.
Geopolitics dominate market sentiment
The ongoing situation in Iran continues to shape global risk appetite. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned of severe consequences if a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is not reached by the Tuesday 20:00 ET deadline.
Iran has rejected a proposed 45-day ceasefire, instead calling for a permanent end to hostilities alongside the removal of sanctions.
For Bitcoin, this macro backdrop is significant—higher oil prices tend to support inflation, push Treasury yields higher, and reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer.
Despite the current situation, Bitcoin has held up better than some traditional markets. While it has not staged a breakout, its ability to maintain levels above $65,000 suggests underlying support from positioning and institutional demand.
Meanwhile, Gold has lost more than 10% of its value as investors scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been a key factor. After four consecutive months of outflows, March saw $1.2 billion in net inflows. Momentum has continued into April, with spot ETFs recording $471.3 million in inflows in a single day—the largest since February.
These inflows have helped keep Bitcoin’s price, although resistance near $76,000 continues to cap upside.
For Bitcoin to break higher, a clear catalyst is likely required. A confirmed ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran could be pivotal, particularly if it drives oil prices below $100 per barrel and alleviates inflation concerns.
Technical forecast: Bitcoin eyes the $70k resistance once again
The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient as Bitcoin continues to defend the $65,000 support level.
The price has recovered from this low and is testing resistance around 69k, the 50-day EMA, and the lower band of the rising channel.
The RSI of 61 on the 4-hour chart is above the neutral level, indicating a growing bullish bias. The MACD lines are also above the zero line, adding further confluence to the bullish narrative.
Buyers will need to rise above $69,000 to bring $74,000 into focus, the mid-point of the rising channel and the falling trendline resistance dating back to October’s $126,000 record high.
A surge above the $74,000 resistance level would allow BTC to test the March high of $76,000 in the near term.
However, failure to rally higher would see the bears push the price towards the $65,000 support level once again.
Key Highlights
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XRP attracts record $119M, dominating weekly digital asset investment flows
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Ethereum suffers continued decline with $52M withdrawal amid policy concerns
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Bitcoin records $107M inflows while bearish positioning expands significantly
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Swiss markets dominate global flows as American investor appetite weakens
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Economic data triggers late-week reversal in cryptocurrency investment momentum
Cryptocurrency investment products attracted $224 million in fresh capital over the past week, representing a short-lived bounce following previous withdrawals. However, macroeconomic headwinds dampened enthusiasm as the week concluded. XRP emerged as the clear winner while Ethereum’s outflow streak extended.
XRP Commands Investment Flows with Record Weekly Performance
[[LINK_START_0]]XRP[[LINK_END_0]] captured the lion’s share of investment activity, pulling in $119.6 million during the week. This represented the digital asset’s most impressive showing since late December 2025. The momentum persisted even as broader cryptocurrency markets displayed vulnerability. Year-to-date, XRP has accumulated $159 million in net inflows.
The impressive performance followed sustained investor interest after the introduction of spot XRP exchange-traded products in American markets. These investment vehicles enhanced accessibility and facilitated continuous capital movement into the asset. Consequently, XRP now represents approximately seven percent of aggregate assets managed across cryptocurrency funds.
European financial centers played a significant role in driving XRP’s success. Switzerland emerged as the top contributor with more than $157 million in capital inflows, while Germany and Canada also participated strongly. This geographic distribution indicated evolving capital deployment strategies across international cryptocurrency markets.
Bitcoin Displays Conflicting Trends as Investor Sentiment Splits
Bitcoin attracted $107.3 million in new investments, demonstrating modest revival following earlier capital withdrawals. However, monthly performance remained in negative territory, with cumulative outflows reaching $145 million. This divergence underscored persistent indecision regarding the asset’s trajectory.
Inverse bitcoin products drew $16 million in capital, revealing heightened pessimistic positioning among certain market participants. Simultaneously, American spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds contributed minimally to overall flows. These contradictory indicators exposed a fundamental divide in investor outlook.
Meanwhile, Solana accumulated $34.9 million in inflows, extending its positive momentum throughout the current year. Its aggregate inflows now constitute roughly ten percent of total managed assets. This reliable performance reinforced broader portfolio diversification trends within digital asset investment products.
Ethereum Suffers Substantial Withdrawals Amid Legislative Uncertainty
Ethereum maintained its negative trajectory, experiencing $52.8 million in weekly capital flight. This followed an even larger $222 million exodus the preceding week. The asset’s year-to-date outflows have now reached $327 million.
Legislative ambiguity surrounding the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act continued exerting downward pressure on Ethereum-focused investment vehicles. The proposed legislation remained gridlocked in the Senate due to disputes regarding stablecoin yield components. This impasse negatively impacted sentiment toward Ethereum’s ecosystem positioning.
Ethereum’s fundamental importance to stablecoin infrastructure heightened its vulnerability to regulatory developments. This strategic exposure amplified pressure on capital movements during periods of policy ambiguity. Ethereum stood out as the poorest performer among leading cryptocurrency assets.
Broader economic conditions also shaped overall investment product activity throughout the period. Robust American retail sales figures reinforced projections of continued restrictive monetary policy. This evolution diminished risk tolerance and prompted modest withdrawals as the week closed.
Simultaneously, rising crude oil valuations and receding interest rate reduction expectations intensified market headwinds. These dynamics interrupted early-week positive momentum across digital asset investment vehicles. Ultimately, the weekly recovery proved incomplete and varied substantially across geographic regions and individual assets.
Ether treasury companies may need to use liquid staking and other active yield strategies if they want to offer investors something beyond the staking rewards already available through listed Ether products, Kean Gilbert, head of institutional relations at Lido, told Cointelegraph at ETHCC 2026.
Liquid staking lets Ether (ETH) holders stake their tokens while receiving a transferable token that can still be deployed elsewhere in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Gilbert said strategies such as posting ETH as collateral and borrowing against it could help treasury companies generate higher returns than passive staking products.
US-listed staked ETH products now include the REX-Osprey ETH + Staking ETF, launched in September 2025, Grayscale’s Ethereum Staking ETF and Ethereum Staking Mini ETF, and BlackRock’s iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, introduced on March 12.
Issuer disclosures show different staking economics across Ether products, making direct yield comparisons difficult. Grayscale’s ETHE page showed 2.26% net staking rewards as of April 6, while Grayscale’s ETH page showed 2.56% as of April 2. Native ETH staking was yielding about 2.72% annually, according to Staking Rewards.
Related: Bitmine paper loss nears $8.8B as Ether slump tests cyclical thesis
Still, Jimmy Xue, co-founder and chief operating officer of quantitative yield platform Axis, said Ether treasury companies do not necessarily need to beat staked Ether products on headline yield because they are different investment vehicles.
“A staked ETH ETF is a passive vehicle. A DAT trading at a meaningful mNAV premium is promising something a passive ETF structurally cannot deliver, which is active, dynamic deployment of spot inventory across opportunities as they arise.”
“The mNAV premium investors pay reflects confidence in management’s ability to put that treasury to work,” Xue said, adding that basis trading is a major yield source for treasury companies.
Public filings show liquid staking adoption
Public disclosures show several Ether treasury firms using staking or liquid-staking-related strategies, though the level of detail varies by company.
Sharplink Gaming, the second-largest corporate Ether holder, has generated 14,516 ETH (around $30.8 million) in staking rewards as of March. It derived 33% of these rewards from liquid staking and 66% from native staking, according to a March 1 filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
Sharplink reported a $734 million net loss for 2025, largely driven by the sharp crypto market downturn in the second half of the year.
BTCS Inc., the 10th-largest Ether treasury company by returns, has also staked a part of its Ether holdings through the liquid staking protocol Rocket Pool. Out of its total 29,122 ETH holdings, the company has liquid staked 4,160 ETH ($8.8 million) through Rocket Pool nodes, according to a July 2025 SEC filing.
Cointelegraph has approached BitMine, SharpLink and The Ether Machine for comment on the role of liquid staking in their strategies.
Magazine: Sharplink exec shocked by level of BTC and ETH ETF hodling — Joseph Chalom
Phone logs obtained by federal prosecutors in Argentina show seven calls between President Javier Milei and entrepreneur Mauricio Novelli – one of the architects of the LIBRA crypto token, on the same night in February 2025 that Milei posted the now-infamous promotion on X, directly contradicting Milei’s public claim of no connection to the coin’s launch.
Recovered notes from Novelli’s phone outline a $5 million deal structure tied to Milei’s official endorsements, including payments contingent on Milei naming Hayden Davis of Kelsier Ventures as a cryptocurrency advisor.
The documents place Milei inside the deal’s mechanics, not outside them.
- The Core Evidence: Argentine federal prosecutors have obtained phone logs showing seven calls between Milei and Novelli before and after his February 14, 2025, X post promoting $LIBRA at 7:01 pm local time.
- The Financial Trail: A deleted note recovered from Novelli’s phone describes a $5 million arrangement with an individual identified as “H” – likely Davis – including $1.5 million upon Milei announcing Davis as a crypto advisor.
- The Scale of Losses: An estimated 114,410 wallets lost funds in the $LIBRA collapse, with total investor losses ranging from $251 million to $400 million; only 36 wallets cleared more than $1 million in profit.
- Milei’s Legal Status: Milei is named as a person of interest in the ongoing federal probe but has not been formally charged; he has not publicly responded to the call logs or recovered documents.
- Obstruction Signal: Milei dissolved Argentina’s Investigation Task Unit (UTI) via Decree 332/2025 in May 2025 – after the UTI had forwarded insider trading findings to prosecutors.
- What to Watch: Argentina’s Chamber of Deputies begins questioning government officials on April 8, 2026; any move toward formal charges or new forensic disclosures from that session will be the next inflection point in this investigation.
Discover: The Best Crypto Presales Live Right Now
What the Phone Logs Actually Show – and Why Milei “No Connection” Defense No Longer Holds
Milei posted about LIBRA crypto at 7:01 pm Argentina time on February 14, 2025. The seven documented calls to Novelli occurred in the hours immediately before and after that post – a timeline that prosecutors are now treating as evidence of coordination, not coincidence.
The contents of the calls remain unknown, but the pattern of contact alone is legally significant: it establishes proximity between Milei and the token’s operators at the precise moment of maximum promotional impact.
The recovered deleted note from Novelli’s phone goes further. Forensic analysis of the document – dated October-November 2024 – describes a three-tranche payment structure: $1.5 million upfront to “H,” $1.5 million upon Milei’s public announcement of Davis as an advisor, and $2 million in blockchain and AI advisory contracts involving both Milei and his sister Karina Elizabeth Milei.
Milei met Davis at Casa Rosada on January 30, 2025, posting a selfie on X that same day and describing him as a cryptocurrency advisor – the precise trigger for the second $1.5 million tranche outlined in Novelli’s note.
Computer experts confirmed that the 44-character $LIBRA contract code Milei included in his February promotional post was not publicly available online prior to the post, meaning Milei had access to insider technical data before the token launched publicly.
WhatsApp audio messages reviewed as part of the investigation also reference recurring payments made to Milei during his time as a congressman, with specific sums reportedly allocated to Karina Milei as well.
Novelli allegedly brokered regulatory favors in exchange, including tax exemptions, suggesting the financial relationship predates the $LIBRA launch by years. Milei’s dissolution of the UTI via Decree 332/2025 in May 2025, after that body had already forwarded insider trading findings to prosecutors, adds an obstruction dimension that investigators are unlikely to set aside.
Explore: The Best Pre-Launch Token Sales With Asymmetric Upside Potential
The post New Evidence Emerges in Argentina President Milei’s Libra Token Probe appeared first on Cryptonews.
A Nobel Prize–winning physicist who helped build Google’s quantum computers warned that Bitcoin may be among the earliest real-world targets of the technology.
In an interview with CoinDesk, John M. Martinis said recent Google research showing how a quantum computer could break bitcoin encryption in minutes should be taken seriously.
“I think it’s a very well-written paper. It lays out where we are right now,” Martinis said, referring to Google’s latest work on quantum threats to cryptography. “It’s not something that has zero probability; people have to deal with this.”
READ: A simple explainer on what quantum computing actually is, and why it is terrifying for bitcoin
The Google paper outlines how a sufficiently advanced quantum computer could derive a bitcoin private key from its public key, potentially within minutes, dramatically reducing the computational barrier that currently secures the network, Martinis highlighted, adding this is one of the issues that must be taken most seriously..
READ: Here’s what ‘cracking’ bitcoin in 9 minutes by quantum computers actually means
While the idea of quantum computers breaking encryption is often framed as distant or theoretical, Martinis said one of the first practical applications may be far more immediate.
Lowest hanging fruit for quantum computers
“It turns out that breaking cryptography is one of the easier applications for quantum computing, because it’s very numeric,” he said. “These are the smaller, easier algorithms. The low-hanging fruit.”
That places bitcoin, which relies on elliptic curve cryptography, directly in the line of fire, Martinis suggested, confirming what the Google paper warns.
Unlike traditional financial systems, which can migrate to quantum-resistant encryption standards, bitcoin faces a more complex challenge. Its decentralized structure and historical design make upgrades slower and more contentious, the Nobel Prize winner said.
“You can go to quantum-resistant codes” in banking and other systems, Martinis said. “Bitcoin is a little bit different, which is why people should be thinking about this right now.”
The concern centers on a specific vulnerability window. When a bitcoin transaction is broadcast, its public key becomes visible before it is confirmed onchain, Martinis explained. A powerful quantum computer could, in theory, use that window to derive the corresponding private key and redirect funds before final settlement, he noted.
However, Martinis cautioned against assuming the threat is imminent. Building a quantum computer capable of executing such an attack remains one of the hardest engineering challenges in modern science.
“I think it’s going to be harder to build a quantum computer than people are thinking,” he said, pointing to major hurdles in scaling, reliability and error correction.
No reason for inaction
Estimates for when cryptographically relevant quantum machines could emerge vary widely. Martinis suggested a rough five- to ten-year window, but warned that uncertainty is not a reason for inaction.
“Given the serious consequences, you deal with it. You have time, but you have to work on it,” he said.
The warning highlights a growing shift inside the quantum research community, where scientists are increasingly flagging risks to existing cryptographic systems while withholding sensitive technical details — a strategy borrowed from traditional cybersecurity disclosure practices.
For bitcoin developers and investors alike, the message is becoming harder to ignore.
“The crypto community has to plan for this,” Martinis said. “It’s a serious issue that has to be dealt with.”
Martinis is a 2025 Nobel Prize–winning physicist recognized for his work on macroscopic quantum phenomena and is widely known for leading Google’s quantum hardware program, including the 2019 “quantum supremacy” experiment. He is currently CTO and co-founder of Qolab, a hardware company developing utility-scale superconducting quantum computers.
After topping $70,000 on Monday, bitcoin has pulled back to the $68,000 area as time draws near for President Trump’s Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again,” said Trump in a Tuesday morning Truth Social Post. “I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” he continued. “We will find out tonight, one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world.”
Alongside declines in crypto, U.S. stock index futures are poised to open lower, led by the Nasdaq 100’s 0.65% decline. WTI crude oil is higher by 1.7% to $114.22 per barrel.
Tempering declines across markets were comments from vice president J.D. Vance, who — while reiterating the 8 pm ET deadline — said the military objectives of the Iran war have been completed.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto presales gain traction as investors position early for the next market cycle.
Summary
- Little Pepe (LILPEPE) presale surpasses $28 million in Stage 13, approaching next price tier at $0.0023
- LILPEPE leverages Layer 2 Ethereum tech, zero-tax trades, staking, DAO governance, and meme-based rewards
- Presale investors in 2026 eye Little Pepe for high early-stage growth and community-driven crypto utility
As the crypto market gets ready to take its next big leap, presale projects are gaining significant traction from investors. This is because, at such an early stage, they tend to have the greatest growth potential, particularly when they have a strong story behind them. The 2026 crypto cycle is on the horizon, and finding growing presales early on could be the key to making the most of them.
Little Pepe (LILPEPE)
One of the most advanced projects in terms of presale is Little Pepe (LILPEPE). The project has already secured more than $28 million in funding and is currently in Stage 13, nearing completion. The current price of each token is $0.0022, and in the next stage, each token will cost $0.0023.
The project has a fixed total token supply of 100 billion tokens, out of which 26.5 billion is allocated for the presale. The project is based on a Layer 2 blockchain technology compatible with Ethereum and has zero tax trades, sniper bot protection, staking rewards, DAO governance, and a meme launchpad. The project also has some amazing giveaways and rewards that increase community engagement and participation.
ApeMars (APRZ)
ApeMax is a new presale project that stands out from the rest due to its ‘Boost to Earn’ mechanism. The presale stage is divided into different stages. The presale stage 14 has gathered more than $360,619. The APRZ token is sold for $0.00017238 per token. The project is significant due to its focus on early token use cases, allowing investors to use the tokens right away. The total token supply is also a key feature of ApeMax.
Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER)
Bitcoin Hyper is one of the largest presales in the current market. It seeks to add the much-needed scalability to the Bitcoin blockchain. So far, the project has managed to raise over $32.2 million. It is trading at the early stages of the micro-cap level, with each token costing $0.0136778. It is expected to rise with the phases. It is one of the utility-driven presales heading into 2026, considering its aim to add Bitcoin to the Defi space using smart contracts.
Maxi Doge (MAXI)
Maxi Doge is a meme-driven presale project focused on high-energy community engagement and staking rewards. The presale has already raised approximately $4.7 million, reflecting growing retail participation. The current token price is around $0.0002811, with incremental increases planned across presale phases. While exact total supply figures vary, the project includes large staking pools (over 10 billion tokens allocated) and reward mechanisms designed to incentivize early holders.
DogeBall (DOGEBALL)
DogeBall is a new presale project, which is still in development, with a concept involving meme culture and a sports/gaming-based ecosystem. The project has a series of stages in its presale, with currently priced at $0.0004 in its presale stage 2, which will increase in later stages. The funding is still in development, but the project is getting attention due to its unique niche and community-based concept, making DogeBall a new and promising contender in the presale space for 2026.
Early presales could define the next winners
As the crypto market continues to head into a new boom in 2026, presale projects are a significant focus for high-growth opportunities. Although all these tokens have different characteristics, Little Pepe stands out due to its impressive funding milestone and presale growth. Presale projects are essential for investors who want to gain access to new and promising projects early.
For more information about Little Pepe, visit the official website, X, and Telegram.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Samsung Electronics’ shares got a nice boost on Tuesday morning after the company predicted a record-breaking quarter fueled by the massive boom in AI hardware. The stock jumped as much as 4.8% during the day before settling into a 1.76% gain by the close.
Summary
- Samsung Electronics shares rose after forecasting record Q1 profit, driven by strong AI memory demand.
- Operating profit is projected at 57.2 trillion won, more than eight times higher year over year and above analyst estimates.
- Supply chain risks tied to Middle East tensions could disrupt chip materials like helium and weigh on the outlook if prolonged.
According to its early estimates, Samsung is looking at an operating profit of roughly 57.2 trillion won, which is about $37.8 billion, for the first quarter. To put that massive figure in perspective, it is more than eight times what the company made during the same time last year.
If these numbers hold, it will set a brand new quarterly record for the company. The projected profit is nearly triple their previous all-time high and easily crushed the 42.3 trillion won that analysts were originally expecting.
The revenue side looks just as impressive. Samsung expects sales to hit about 133 trillion won, which is a nearly 70% jump year over year. This would also mark the first time the company’s quarterly revenue has ever crossed the 100 trillion won threshold.
MS Hwang, a research analyst at Counterpoint Research, told CNBC that Samsung’s latest numbers are so huge that they are now rivaling the scale of global Big Tech giants.
The strong outlook is largely tied to demand for high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, a critical component used in accelerators from companies like NVIDIA and AMD that power artificial intelligence workloads. Expansion of data centers and rapid growth in AI model training have significantly increased memory requirements, tightening supply and pushing prices higher.
Industry projections suggest memory prices tied to data center applications will continue rising in the coming months. Samsung’s earnings trajectory shows how deeply the AI boom has translated into financial performance, with memory chips forming the core of its profit engine.
Demand for HBM has surged over the past year, leading to supply shortages across the memory market and driving sharp increases in both pricing and shipment volumes. Hwang noted that commodity memory prices could rise by more than 50% in the second quarter, with tight supply conditions expected to persist.
Samsung is also looking to regain its footing in the high-bandwidth memory segment after ceding early leadership to domestic rival SK Hynix, which was quicker to supply advanced AI memory.
Samsung’s Device Solutions division, which houses its memory chip business, accounted for 39% of total revenue and 57% of operating profit in 2025, underlining the segment’s importance to overall earnings.
The company is set to release its full earnings report later this month. While current projections point to strong performance, external risks remain.
Geopolitical risks in focus
Rising tensions in the Middle East are starting to disrupt semiconductor supply chains, with shipments of key materials such as helium facing delays.
The U.S.–Israel conflict involving Iran has raised concerns about access to these inputs, which are essential for chip production, increasing the risk of operational challenges for major manufacturers like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
“If the Middle East conflict ends quickly, it will not significantly impact profits. However, if it persists for several months or longer, it will lead to severe consequences,” Hwang said.
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1917.55, down 2.4% (-47.87) since yesterday’s close.
All 20 assets are trading lower.
Leaders: BCH (-1.0%) and CRO (-1.0%).
Laggards: AAVE (-8.5%) and AVAX (-7.6%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Operation Atlantic: A proactive strike against evolving crypto scams
Crypto scams have become highly sophisticated cross-border operations that exploit advanced technology and human psychology. By the time victims become aware of the fraud, the stolen cryptocurrency is often rapidly dispersed across a chain of wallets and exchanges in multiple countries.
Operation Atlantic represents a coordinated international effort by law enforcement agencies from the US, the UK and Canada to counter this threat. Rather than limiting itself to post-incident investigations, the operation focuses on identifying, tracking and disrupting crypto scams while they are still in progress.
The initiative brings together key agencies, including the US Secret Service, the US Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia, the Ontario Provincial Police, the Ontario Securities Commission, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, the UK Financial Conduct Authority, the UK National Crime Agency and the City of London Police.
Contrary to conventional investigations that begin only after funds have been stolen, Operation Atlantic is structured to:
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Identify victims who are at risk
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Detect active scam infrastructure
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Interrupt fraudulent transactions
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Help recovery efforts where feasible
Officials have stressed that the primary objective is to disrupt scams in near real time, marking a significant shift toward faster, more proactive enforcement strategies.
Why approval phishing lies at the heart of Operation Atlantic
A particular form of fraud known as approval phishing lies at the center of Operation Atlantic. Rather than stealing private keys or seed phrases, attackers deceive users into signing what appear to be legitimate blockchain transactions.
These transactions grant scammers permission to spend tokens directly from a victim’s wallet. Once approval is given, the attacker gains the ability to:
This makes approval phishing particularly dangerous. Victims often remain unaware that anything is wrong until their assets begin disappearing.
Scammers frequently integrate this technique into larger scams, such as fake investment platforms or gradual trust-building schemes.
From investigation to intervention
The standout feature of Operation Atlantic is its emphasis on real-time disruption rather than post-event analysis.
This strategy rests on a straightforward idea: While crypto transactions are irreversible, they are also public and fully traceable.
By using blockchain analytics, authorities and private-sector partners can:
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Detect suspicious wallet activity
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Identify addresses linked to known scams
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Track fund flows toward exchanges or liquidity pools
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Alert platforms and investigators
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Contact victims before their funds are completely drained
This model does not guarantee full recovery, but it opens a critical window during which meaningful intervention remains possible.
Did you know? The US Secret Service, originally established to combat currency counterfeiting in 1865, now tracks crypto fraud using blockchain analytics. It is one of the oldest agencies adapting to one of the newest financial systems.
Building on earlier initiatives
Operation Atlantic did not happen overnight. It builds upon earlier efforts such as Project Atlas, which was launched in 2024 by Canadian authorities in partnership with the US Secret Service to target crypto fraud networks.
It also draws on lessons from Operation Spincaster, an effort that involved blockchain analytics firms, exchanges and law enforcement agencies.
Spincaster demonstrated that coordinated action could deliver tangible results:
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Thousands of scam-linked wallet leads identified
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Significant losses mapped across jurisdictions
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In some cases, victims were warned in time to revoke malicious approvals
These initiatives suggest that crypto fraud can be interrupted while it is still in progress.
What “real time” actually means
The concept of real-time disruption is sometimes misunderstood. It does not mean instant recovery or guaranteed prevention.
Instead, it operates across three stages:
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Pre-loss prevention: spotting suspicious approvals before funds are moved
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Mid-transaction disruption: flagging or freezing assets during transfers
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Post-loss response: attempting recovery after funds have been dispersed
Operation Atlantic concentrates mainly on the first two stages, where intervention is still feasible.
Its success depends on how quickly data can be analyzed, shared and acted upon across borders and platforms.
Did you know? Approval phishing scams often exploit wallet permissions rather than passwords, which means victims technically authorize the theft themselves. This psychological twist makes these scams harder to detect than traditional hacking attempts.
Why scams now operate like organized networks
Approval phishing scams are generally not standalone events. They typically operate as structured networks with several interconnected parts:
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Social engineering pipelines to attract victims
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Fake interfaces or decentralized applications
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Wallet approval mechanisms
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Consolidation addresses used to pool stolen funds
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Exchange off-ramps for cashing out
This layered setup allows scammers to scale their operations while reducing the likelihood of detection.
Operation Atlantic treats these scams as coordinated financial networks rather than isolated crimes, an approach that is central to its real-time disruption strategy.
The scale of the problem
The urgency behind Operation Atlantic stems from the enormous scale of crypto fraud.
Approval phishing alone has been linked to billions of dollars in losses in recent years, affecting thousands of victims across multiple jurisdictions.
Even more concerning is that many incidents go unreported, suggesting the true losses may be substantially higher.
Monthly figures also show that while overall exploit losses may vary, phishing attacks continue to rise, confirming that user-targeted scams remain one of the most persistent threats in crypto.
Did you know? Law enforcement agencies increasingly use blockchain clustering to map entire scam networks, sometimes revealing thousands of linked wallets behind a single fraud operation. This forensic technique groups related wallet addresses.
The role of public-private coordination
A key aspect of Operation Atlantic is the close partnership between law enforcement and private-sector organizations.
Each participant contributes in specific ways:
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Blockchain analytics firms identify suspicious patterns and wallet clusters
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Exchanges monitor inflows and flag deposits linked to scams
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Stablecoin issuers may help freeze funds in targeted cases
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Platforms and wallets can warn users or block malicious interactions
This level of coordination enables faster responses than conventional investigations, which often rely on slower legal procedures.
At the same time, it raises expectations for platforms to play a more active role in fraud detection.
The limits of real-time disruption
Despite its goals, Operation Atlantic faces several structural constraints:
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Once funds are bridged or layered across multiple services, recovery becomes extremely difficult
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User behavior remains a major vulnerability, particularly in social engineering scenarios
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Cross-border legal processes can still delay enforcement actions
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Wallet anonymity makes victim identification more complicated
In many cases, the most realistic outcome is preventing further losses rather than achieving full recovery of stolen assets.
What this means going forward
Operation Atlantic reflects a broader shift in how crypto-related crime is being tackled.
Rather than viewing fraud as a fixed, one-time event, authorities now treat it as a dynamic, ongoing process that can be monitored and disrupted while it is still in progress.
For users, this shift may result in:
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More frequent warnings about suspicious transactions
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Greater emphasis on understanding wallet permissions
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Increased awareness of scam risks
For platforms, it could lead to:
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Higher expectations for transaction monitoring
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Deeper collaboration with law enforcement
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Integration of real-time risk detection tools
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