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Bitcoin enters the public bond market as Moody’s gives a first-of-its-kind crypto deal a rating

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Bitcoin enters the public bond market as Moody’s gives a first-of-its-kind crypto deal a rating

The New Hampshire Business Finance Authority is set to issue what appears to be the first rated bitcoin-backed bond of its kind, marking a step toward integrating crypto into traditional public finance.

The bonds received a provisional Ba2 rating from Moody’s Ratings, two notches below investment grade. They will be issued through the Business Finance Authority of the State of New Hampshire and are backed by bitcoin held as collateral, according to a press release.

“The Rated Bonds will be collateralized by a loan… backed by Bitcoin, a digital currency,” Moody’s said in its report.

The structure relies on bitcoin rather than cash flow from a business. Bondholders are repaid through the liquidation of BTC held in custody by BitGo, which will be sold if needed to meet interest and principal payments. The deal includes safeguards common in structured credit, including 1.6x overcollateralization and triggers that force liquidation if the loan-to-value ratio deteriorates.

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Moody’s said its rating reflects “risks associated with the transaction’s collateral, structure and operation,” including bitcoin’s volatility. The agency used a 72% advance rate and short liquidation windows to model potential downside scenarios.

The bonds are limited recourse, meaning no public funds are at risk. “No public funds of the State of New Hampshire… may be used to pay amounts under the Rated Bonds,” Moody’s said.

That distinction matters. While the deal uses a state authority, it does not carry state credit backing. Instead, it resembles conduit or project finance, where the issuer serves as a pass-through.

Still, the structure places bitcoin into a part of the financial system where it has rarely appeared: rated debt issued through public channels.

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The Ba2 rating places the bonds in speculative-grade territory, but also signals that credit agencies are developing frameworks to assess crypto-backed instruments.

The deal arrives as institutions continue to test ways to use bitcoin beyond trading or treasury holdings. The Labor Department on Monday proposed a rule following an executive order from President Donald Trump that directed regulators to expand access to digital assets in retirement portfolios, marking another step in that direction.

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Crypto World

Five Value Stocks with Recovery Potential in 2026: PayPal (PYPL), Nike (NKE), and More

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PYPL Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • PayPal (PYPL) guided for stagnant adjusted earnings in 2026, triggering a selloff, though turnaround opportunities persist
  • CVS Health (CVS) delivered $402.1 billion in 2025 revenue and projects at minimum $400 billion for 2026
  • Nike (NKE) generated $11.3 billion in third-quarter 2026 sales, with wholesale advancing 5% and North American operations improving
  • HP (HPQ) announced first-quarter 2026 revenue of $14.4 billion, representing 6.9% annual growth, with projected free cash flow between $2.8 billion and $3.0 billion
  • Estée Lauder (EL) saw shares decline following underwhelming fiscal 2026 outlook despite surpassing earnings projections

Investors searching for value opportunities in 2026 are closely monitoring five companies: PayPal, CVS Health, Nike, HP, and Estée Lauder.

These aren’t merely discounted equities. Each demonstrates a distinctive pattern: reserved market sentiment combined with tangible business drivers that could reshape their valuation narratives.

Companies Navigating Turnarounds

PayPal (PYPL)

PayPal represents perhaps the most transparent case of subdued expectations colliding with potential rebound momentum. According to Reuters reporting from February, the payment processor projected essentially flat or marginally declining adjusted earnings for 2026, falling short of analyst projections.


PYPL Stock Card
PayPal Holdings, Inc., PYPL

Shares tumbled significantly following executive transitions that sparked concerns about strategic implementation. However, should leadership successfully accelerate branded checkout adoption and enhance Venmo revenue generation, the equity might begin commanding valuations more aligned with a revitalizing fintech enterprise.

CVS Health (CVS)

CVS Health continues appearing underpriced when measured against its operational scale. The healthcare giant posted 2025 full-year sales totaling $402.1 billion. Leadership projected 2026 adjusted earnings per share ranging from $7.00 to $7.20, supported by revenues exceeding $400 billion.

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CVS Stock Card
CVS Health Corporation, CVS

The shares don’t require comprehensive recovery to appreciate. Sufficient margin expansion within its insurance and pharmacy segments could prompt investors to reassess it as a resilient cash-generating operation.

Nike (NKE)

Nike remains perceived by markets as a complicated turnaround situation with multiple challenges. The athletic apparel leader’s fiscal third-quarter 2026 results, disclosed March 31, showed $11.3 billion in revenue with wholesale channels climbing 5%. North American operations also posted gains.


NKE Stock Card
NIKE, Inc., NKE

Gross profitability contracted, and certain business segments face ongoing headwinds. Nevertheless, selective areas are trending positively, which frequently signals the beginning of value-oriented opportunities.

Cash Generation and Rehabilitation Opportunities

HP (HPQ)

HP disclosed fiscal first-quarter 2026 sales of $14.4 billion, marking 6.9% year-over-year expansion. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased 9.5%, while free cash flow registered $175 million. The technology company reaffirmed its annual free cash flow projection of $2.8 billion to $3.0 billion.

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The optimistic scenario depends on stabilizing PC market conditions and accelerating traction in AI-enabled computers. HP doesn’t require explosive revenue acceleration to advance—merely sustained earnings stability.

Estée Lauder (EL)

Estée Lauder presents the greatest risk among these selections. Reuters indicated in February that shares retreated after fiscal 2026 guidance underwhelmed investors, despite earnings surpassing forecasts.

Executives outlined turnaround initiatives centered on product introductions, marketing investments, and premium brand positioning. Markets remain concerned about softening U.S. consumer demand, tariff pressures, and execution uncertainties.

Based on recent guidance, Estée Louder has yet to demonstrate sustained revenue momentum or profitability improvement.

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Concluding Analysis

These five equities share a unifying characteristic. Market sentiment remains guarded, yet each possesses legitimate catalysts capable of transforming their 2026 valuations.

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Crypto World

South Korea Details AI System for Crypto Tax Monitoring

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South Korea Details AI System for Crypto Tax Monitoring

South Korea’s National Tax Service (NTS) has opened a tender for software licenses to track virtual asset transactions as part of tax evasion enforcement, according to a government procurement notice.

The notice said the contract is for “virtual asset tax evasion response transaction-tracking software licenses,” with a budget of 146.5 million won (around $99,500), including value-added tax and delivery due within 30 days of contract signing. Bid submissions are scheduled for April 28 to April 30, with proposal evaluation set for May 7.

The procurement notice itself gives limited detail on the software’s technical scope. However, citing an official from the NTS scientific investigation unit, local outlet ZDNet Korea reported that the software would allow officials to monitor crypto transactions in real time, visualize transfers between specific wallet addresses and exchanges, and support probes into hidden assets, offshore tax evasion and unreported inheritance or gift transfers.

The tender follows earlier local reporting that South Korea was preparing a broader AI-based crypto monitoring system ahead of the country’s planned 2027 tax rollout.

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South Korea expands enforcement capabilities ahead of crypto tax rollout

The tax agency’s push for a crypto monitoring tool appears to be part of a broader effort to expand enforcement capabilities as the country prepares for an upcoming rollout of a crypto tax. 

On March 12, local media The Korea Times reported that the NTS opened a bid for an AI-backed system to analyze crypto transaction data. The agency reportedly aims to establish a platform that can process large volumes of crypto trading data to monitor potential tax evasion.

Related: Bank of Korea governor backs CBDCs, deposit tokens in first address

South Korea’s crypto tax rollout is currently expected to take effect in January 2027 after several delays. Under the policy, gains above 2.5 million won (about $1,700) would be subject to a combined 22% levy, made up of a 20% income tax and an additional 2% local tax.

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The tax rollout remains politically contested. On March 19, South Korea’s main opposition People Power Party proposed scrapping the planned tax on crypto gains, arguing the policy raises fairness, double-taxation and enforcement concerns.

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