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Bitcoin holds near $80K as US PCE data keeps price target intact

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Bitcoin traded around $71,000 as U.S. markets opened on Thursday, kissing a level that reflects a cautious, data-driven stance after inflation readings aligned with expectations. The market’s gaze shifted quickly to Friday’s CPI print, which many see as a potential catalyst for the next leg in bitcoin’s range-bound narrative, particularly given ongoing geopolitical and oil-market tensions.

U.S. inflation data near-term offered some relief for risk assets. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—cooled in February. Year-over-year core PCE stood at 3% while the monthly core reading came in at 0.4%, underscoring a softer inflation backdrop that investors have been hoping will ease policy pressures.

The market’s interpretation, however, was nuanced. Traders noted that the PCE data may not yet reflect the full impact of the ongoing U.S.–Iran tensions and related oil-supply dynamics, which could feed into the upcoming CPI scenario. The Kobeissi Letter, a market commentary on X, framed the February PCE release as the last inflation datapoint before potential Iran-war effects filter through the numbers, suggesting investors should expect a fresh wave of volatility when CPI arrives.

Beyond the data, sentiment remained tethered to expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool continued to indicate that financial markets do not anticipate rate cuts in 2026, reinforcing a cautious stance among traders who weigh macro pressure alongside crypto-specific catalysts. In parallel, veteran investor Mohamed El-Erian underscored the CPI release as a critical moment, noting that while PCE is widely cited as the Fed’s yardstick, the March CPI data could carry more immediate implications for the trajectory of inflation and policy—and, by extension, for crypto markets that often trade on macro cues.

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Key takeaways

  • U.S. PCE inflation data for February cooled as expected, helping to stabilize Bitcoin’s intraday volatility and keep the price hovering around the $71,000 level.
  • The February PCE figures may not yet capture the full effect of the U.S.–Iran conflict on energy markets, making Friday’s CPI release a pivotal follow-up data point for traders.
  • Despite the softer inflation signal, market participants largely expect the Fed to maintain a restrictive stance in 2026, with rate cuts not priced in for the year, according to CME’s FedWatch probabilities.
  • Analysts see a potential upside path for BTC if support holds and the market unlocks upside liquidity; targets around $80,000 remain in view for some traders, contingent on continued range stability.

PCE data steadies risk assets, but oil and CPI loom

On the price action front, Bitcoin demonstrated muted reaction to the latest inflation release. After topping near $73,000 the day before, BTC cooled into the U.S. session, with volatility subdued as market participants parsed the guidance from PCE data. The BEA’s figures reinforced a theme that has dominated crypto markets this year: inflation softness helps stocks and digital assets alike, but a clear path for policy remains uncertain until further data arrives.

Analysts point to the macro backdrop as the primary driver of the next move in Bitcoin. El-Erian’s comments highlighted a broader view: while PCE is central to Fed thinking, the CPI outcome—particularly given broader oil-market dynamics and geopolitical risk—could exert a more immediate influence on risk assets in the near term. As noted in prior coverage, CPI tends to respond to oil-price swings and energy-related volatility, a factor now squarely in focus as the Iran situation persists.

Market anatomy: where BTC could go next

Traders continue to dissect order-book liquidity and price structure to gauge BTC’s next potential breakout. A market note from the pseudonymous trader LP_NXT highlighted that while some upside liquidity around 73,000 and above the 76,000 region has been cleared, substantial liquidity remains on the upside near the 73,000 mark. On the downside, liquidity begins to accumulate around 69,000 and 64,000, suggesting a broad range in which price could consolidate before the next directional impulse.

With price still range-bound, both sides remain in play. If the 69–68K level holds, price is likely to push higher and target the remaining upside liquidity around 73K.

Meanwhile, Michaël van de Poppe offered a more bullish read, suggesting that as long as Bitcoin maintains the current ranges, an upward leg could materialize toward the $80,000 area. His assessment aligns with a segment of traders who view the range as a springboard for a renewed rally, provided macro and liquidity conditions cooperate.

What to watch next for BTC and the crypto market

The confluence of Friday’s CPI print, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and evolving liquidity dynamics will shape the immediate path for Bitcoin. The market’s sensitivity to energy prices, policy expectations, and macro surprises remains high, and traders are wary of a scenario where inflation data diverges from expectations or where the Iran situation intensifies energy-market stress. If the CPI print strengthens the case for persistent inflation or prompts a hawkish tilt in near-term policy expectations, Bitcoin could test the upper end of its recent range; if it cools more than anticipated, a retest of the lower bound could occur.

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For now, the $80,000 target persists as a psychological and technical milestone for bulls, but it will require sustained demand and a favorable macro backdrop to become a reality. Investors should monitor the CPI release timing, oil-price trajectories, and any shifts in Fed expectations, as these elements will likely dictate Bitcoin’s next major move in the current macro regime.

As the week unfolds, readers should keep an eye on the broader market interplay between inflation data, energy risk, and macro policy signals, all of which continue to exert outsized influence on crypto pricing and liquidity.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Morgan Stanley Enters ETF Arena, Eyes BlackRock’s Dominance

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Morgan Stanley launches lowest-fee bitcoin ETF, intensifying market rivalry. Advisor network gives MSBT strong distribution edge over competitors. BlackRock retains liquidity lead despite new fee pressure from MSBT.

Wall Street competition intensified as Morgan Stanley launched its spot bitcoin ETF on April 8. The new product targets dominance in a fast-growing U.S. market. It directly challenges BlackRock and its leading fund.

The fund trades under the ticker MSBT on NYSE Arca with a 0.14% expense ratio. This pricing sets a new low across spot bitcoin ETFs. It signals a clear shift toward aggressive fee competition among issuers.

Bitcoin ETF Competition Shifts Toward Cost and Access

Bitcoin traded around recent market levels as ETF competition intensified across major issuers. MSBT entered the market with the lowest fee structure available. This move puts pressure on established players to reconsider pricing strategies.

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BlackRock Continues to Dominate Through Its iShares Bitcoin Trust

The fund holds tens of billions in assets and leads in trading activity. Its liquidity supports large transactions and active strategies.

Morgan Stanley offers a different advantage through distribution strength. Its wealth division manages trillions in client assets. Advisors can now allocate capital directly into an in-house product.

Advisor Networks Drive Structural Market Shift

Financial advisors now play a larger role in ETF adoption and portfolio allocation. Earlier inflows came mainly from self-directed participants seeking liquidity. Now, integrated advisory platforms influence new capital flows more strongly.

Morgan Stanley allows advisors to allocate a portion of portfolios to bitcoin exposure. Internal guidance permits allocations based on client risk tolerance. This approach simplifies recommendations and reduces friction.

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As a result, MSBT may attract flows through existing advisory relationships. BlackRock maintains an advantage in market depth. Replicating that liquidity may take time despite strong distribution channels.

Expansion Signals Broader Crypto Strategy

The MSBT launch marks a shift in how banks approach digital assets. Morgan Stanley now builds its own crypto investment vehicles, whereas previously it focused on distributing third-party ETF products.

The bank has also filed for additional crypto products linked to Ethereum and Solana. These filings suggest a long-term expansion strategy across digital asset classes. The firm continues to build infrastructure around custody and trading services.

The bank plans to integrate crypto trading into its E*Trade platform, connecting digital assets with its broader financial ecosystem. It reflects a wider trend among banks entering crypto markets directly.

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The ETF market has already absorbed significant inflows since early 2024. MSBT now tests whether distribution strength can compete with established liquidity leaders. This competition may accelerate fee reductions across the sector.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Hormuz and Bitcoin Link Means “Game Over” for XRP? This Is What Analysts Say

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The Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for roughly 20% of global oil flows, is now at the center of a broader debate that goes beyond geopolitics. It has pulled Bitcoin and XRP into a real-world test of how crypto functions during conflict.

Amid a fragile ceasefire in April, reports claim Iran is demanding a toll of about $1 per barrel from tankers crossing the strait. Payments are reportedly requested in Bitcoin or yuan, adding a new layer to how sanctions and trade routes intersect.

Bitcoin Enters the World’s Most Strategic Oil Route

Bitcoin has quickly become the focal point of this narrative. According to the reports, the IRGC enforces these payments with a very short time window, making tracking difficult under Western sanctions. 

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For a supertanker, this could mean fees reaching up to $2 million, or roughly 281 BTC.

Still, skepticism remains. Arthur Hayes publicly questioned the claims, saying he would only believe them after seeing a verifiable on-chain transaction tied to a vessel. 

Until then, he suggested it could be noise or messaging rather than reality.

So far, no public on-chain evidence confirms these payments. Even so, the narrative alone pushed Bitcoin back above $70,000. 

The episode reinforces a growing view. In moments of crisis, Bitcoin acts as a neutral settlement tool that operates outside traditional financial systems.

XRP’s Case: Built for Peace, Not Crisis

At the same time, the situation has triggered debate within the XRP community. Analyst Fran de Olza argued that Bitcoin’s narrative is shifting again. 

In his view, it has moved from retail payments to a store of value, and now toward large-scale settlement use cases, like those implied in Hormuz.

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He pointed out that terms like “neutral settlement” and “borderless money” are now widely used, even by Bitcoin advocates. 

However, he argues that XRP already occupies this space, with years of development focused on institutional payments and cross-border settlement.

XRP could become the new benchmark dollar. Source: X/@itscoachfo

De Olza suggested that if a new global financial agreement emerges, similar to a modern Bretton Woods system, many could realize they were describing XRP’s role while assuming Bitcoin would fill it.

However, other analysts offered a more grounded view. Bitcoin’s strength in this case comes from its censorship resistance. 

Iran’s priority is not efficiency but bypassing systems like SWIFT and the US dollar immediately. That makes Bitcoin useful in a sovereignty-driven scenario.

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XRP, by contrast, is built for regulated financial systems operating at scale during stable periods. It focuses on institutional settlement, compliance, and integration with banking infrastructure. 

Source: X/Mariano Sevilla

Bitcoin handles urgent, high-pressure scenarios, while XRP is designed to support long-term financial rails. Both can succeed without displacing each other. 

The 2026 market is increasingly multichain, with Bitcoin serving as a reserve and crisis tool, while XRP targets institutional settlement.

For now, as tankers wait and analysts debate, one point stands out. Crypto is no longer just a speculative market. It is becoming part of how power, trade, and finance operate in a fragmented global system.

The post Hormuz and Bitcoin Link Means “Game Over” for XRP? This Is What Analysts Say appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitmine Hits NYSE as Company Ramps up $4B Share Buyback

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Bitmine Hits NYSE as Company Ramps up $4B Share Buyback

Ether treasury company Bitmine Immersion Technologies has started trading on the New York Stock Exchange after uplisting from NYSE American as the company expanded its share buyback program.

The Ether (ETH) treasury company’s stock began trading on the NYSE at market open on Thursday under its existing “BMNR” ticker symbol, Bitmine announced Thursday.

Bitmine chairman Tom Lee said it’s a major milestone for the company as the NYSE is considered one of the world’s top exchanges.

“The NYSE is the most prestigious venerable stock exchange with a storied history. The NYSE is the envy of capital markets around the world and Bitmine is proud to be the newest company traded on this exchange.” 

NYSE American is designed for small-cap and growing companies. Bitmine’s uplisting to the NYSE suggests the company is gaining momentum, and increases the company’s exposure to larger capital pools.

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NYSE listing process is extensive

The process to gain a listing on the NYSE requires a company to meet strict requirements covering financial health, share distribution and corporate governance. Some of the requirements include having more than 400 shareholders and 1.1 million publicly held shares. 

A majority of directors involved in corporate governance must also be independent, with no significant financial interest in the company and audit, compensation and governance committees must be formed. 

One of the final steps involves filing a registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The NYSE review before a listing usually takes about four to eight weeks.

Chris Taylor, the NYSE Group’s chief development officer, said in a statement that Bitmine is a strong addition to the stock exchange.

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Related: Ripple to buy back $750M in shares through April: Report

“We are pleased to welcome Bitmine to the New York Stock Exchange,” he said. “With its focus on advancing the Ethereum ecosystem, Bitmine is a strong addition to the NYSE community.”

Share buyback upped to $4 billion

Meanwhile, Bitmine’s board unanimously expanded the July 2025 share repurchase program from $1 billion to $4 billion, including shares previously repurchased.

Source: Bitmine

“Bitmine’s expanded $4 billion buyback reflects our commitment to shareholders,” Lee said, adding that “there may be a time in the future when Bitmine shares are trading below intrinsic value, and the company wants to be in a position to accretively retire common shares.”

Bitmine stock (BMNR) closed Thursday at $21.08, down more than 64% in six months, according to Google Finance. Last September, analysts told Cointelegraph that treasury companies are using buybacks to boost stock price and legitimacy.

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