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STX Down 93% From Its ATH: Can A 4,700% Recovery Still Happen?

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • STX’s fake inverse H&S at $3.84 acted as a classic distribution trap for retail liquidity.
  • A 93.64% drawdown reset structure, flushing weak hands via a decisive SSL sweep.
  • Price now sits in a key $0.07–$0.11 demand zone, signaling potential accumulation phase.
  • A reclaim of $0.40 is pivotal to unlock macro upside toward $1–$3.50+ targets.

STX price analysis places the asset at a critical crossroads following a devastating 93.64% collapse from its $3.84 cycle high.

A fake inverse head and shoulders pattern near the neckline lured retail traders into a distribution trap engineered by smart money. 

Price has since landed in a high-timeframe demand zone between $0.07 and $0.11, where the next major move could take shape.

How Smart Money Trapped Retail And Erased 93% Of STX’s Value

The collapse started at the $3.84 neckline, where a fake inverse head and shoulders pattern formed. Retail traders saw a textbook bullish reversal setup and positioned accordingly. That confidence proved costly.

Smart money used that optimism as exit liquidity. As retail bought the perceived breakout, larger players quietly distributed their positions into the demand. 

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STX then rolled over and fell 93.64% from its cycle peak, resetting the entire market structure. Head and shoulders formations at macro tops rarely resolve in favor of late buyers. 

STX followed that script precisely, trapping thousands of traders before the floor collapsed entirely. The drop was not a surprise to those who understood the context.

A liquidity sweep below the ascending trendline has since occurred. That SSL grab cleared out remaining stop-losses and flushed the last wave of weak hands from the market. 

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Selling pressure has largely exhausted itself at these levels, leaving the price sitting in unfamiliar but potentially significant territory.

STX Now Eyes A 4,700% Recovery — Here Is What Needs To Happen

STX currently trades inside the $0.07–$0.11 high-timeframe demand zone. This area aligns with prior inefficient price delivery and follows a complete liquidation cycle. 

Most sellers have already exited, and the remaining structure is leaning toward accumulation. The $0.40 level is the line that separates noise from opportunity. 

Below it, STX remains trapped in a bearish market structure. A confirmed breakout and retest above $0.40 would mark the beginning of a genuine structural shift and open the door to the bull targets.

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Those targets sit at $1.00, $2.50, and $3.50 and above. The full measured move extension puts maximum upside near 4,798% from current prices. 

Crypto markets have delivered returns of that magnitude before, but conditions must align.

Capital rotation into mid-cap altcoins, continued Bitcoin L2 narrative strength, and a sustained reclaim of $0.40 are all required. Stacks carries a fundamental edge here, given its direct ties to Bitcoin’s growing Layer 2 ecosystem.

Risk invalidation sits at a two-week close below $0.043. That level, if broken, voids the bullish thesis entirely. The same setup offering nearly 5,000% upside can still fall another 50% before any confirmed bottom takes hold.

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Why Pavel Durov says deleted Signal messages may not be gone

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Why Pavel Durov says deleted Signal messages may not be gone

Pavel Durov said push notifications can create a privacy risk even after users delete messages and apps. 

Summary

  • Pavel Durov said push notifications may preserve data even after users delete chats and apps.
  • Reports said FBI retrieved deleted Signal messages from iPhone notification logs in a criminal investigation.
  • Interest in decentralized messaging apps rose as bans, unrest and internet restrictions disrupted communication access.

His remarks followed reports that investigators retrieved deleted Signal messages from iPhone notification logs, renewing debate about metadata, device storage and private messaging tools.

Durov said push notifications can leave message data on a device outside the encrypted chat itself. He said that risk remains even when users turn off preview text, because people they contact may still use default settings.

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“Turning off notification previews won’t make you safe if you use those applications, because you never know whether the people you message have done the same,” he wrote.

He linked that point to privacy settings that depend on choices made by both sides of a conversation.

Durov referred to a report first published by 404 Media. The report said the FBI accessed deleted Signal messages from notification logs stored on an Apple iPhone used in a criminal case.

The case drew attention to how investigators can access data created around messages, even when message content remains protected by end-to-end encryption.

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Moreover, the reports renewed focus on metadata, notification storage and other records created by messaging apps and operating systems. Encrypted content may stay protected, but surrounding device data can still reveal communication details.

That debate also increased interest in messaging tools that try to reduce centralized data collection. Developers of decentralized platforms say local storage, routing methods and network design affect how much information remains after users send or delete messages.

Decentralized apps gain users during bans

Interest in decentralized messaging and social platforms has risen since 2025 during blackouts, unrest and internet restrictions. Exploding Topics data cited in the report showed online search interest in decentralized social media platforms rose 145% over five years.

The report also pointed to Bitchat, a Bluetooth mesh messaging app that works without the internet. It said more than 48,000 users in Nepal downloaded the app during a social media ban in September 2025, while Durov said Telegram bans in Iran drove users toward VPNs instead of state-backed services.

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Bitcoin, Ether Near Levels That Could Signal Trend Reversal: Investor

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Bitcoin, Ether Near Levels That Could Signal Trend Reversal: Investor

Bitcoin and Ether aren’t far from levels that could signal a trend reversal this year, despite a growing consensus across the industry calling for a bear market, according to macro analyst Jordi Visser.

“If we trade above $76,000 and at the same time we see Ethereum above $2,400, I believe that is the beginning of a move that will be sustainable this year because I don’t think we’re going to have a recession,” Visser said on the Anthony Pompliano podcast published on YouTube on Friday.

A move to $76,000 would represent an increase of 6.1% from Bitcoin’s (BTC) price of $71,646 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap data. Ether’s (ETH) move to $2,400 would represent an increase of around 8%.

Inflation is going to remain high, says Visser

Traders on the prediction market Kalshi are leaning toward a similar macro outlook to Visser, pricing a 24% chance of a recession in 2026, down 10% over the past 30 days.

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“I think inflation is going to stay elevated, and I think people are going to need to find something that is making money in a world where the S&P is not moving anywhere,” Visser said.

Jordi Visser spoke to Anthony Pompliano on Friday. Source: Anthony Pompliano

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed in a report published on Friday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in April rose 3.3% year-over-year.

Visser’s recent comments challenge the growing view across the crypto industry that 2026 still has more downside ahead, with some even calling for a move below the Feb. 6 yearly low of $60,000. 

Bitcoin may fall below $60,000 yearly low

On March 31, veteran trader Peter Brandt said that this may not be the lowest level for 2026, forecasting that Bitcoin could retest or even move “slightly lower” than the price level in September or October this year. 

“That would then be the bear cycle low,” Brandt said. 

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Related: Bitcoin charts point to $80K in April: Here’s how it may happen

Visser explained that he has never been a “big fan” of labeling Bitcoin price trends as bull or bear markets. 

“Especially when we’re at all-time highs. Like, at some point in there, it just seems like okay, they go up and then the normal course is at some point people don’t invest as much as they have,” he said.

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