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Oil dips below $100 as supply tightens, upside risk builds

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Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro

Oil prices have dipped back below $100 following a period of disruption in Persian Gulf supply, with buffers drawn down as inventory declines and softer demand absorb the shock. The release from eToro frames the move as a signal of evolving market dynamics, where near-term tightness remains even as headline prices retreat. As the last pre-blockade cargoes clear the system, the cushion could shrink and the path may tilt toward higher prices if supply constraints persist. The commentary also notes that physical oil trades are showing a premium to futures, underscoring immediate demand for available barrels.

Key points

  • Oil moved back below $100 as supply disruptions persist in the Persian Gulf, with market cushions fading as pre-blockade cargoes clear.
  • Physical crude is trading at a premium to futures, signaling near-term constraints and immediate demand for barrels.
  • A significant share of Persian Gulf supply is missing from the market due to drawdowns, reducing buffers that previously absorbed shocks.
  • Market fundamentals could reassert themselves, with prices more likely to move higher if supply constraints persist.

Why it matters

It matters for traders and energy watchers because near-term price direction may be driven by supply gaps in a key producing region. The disappearance of buffers as the last pre-blockade cargoes clear can reduce the cushion against demand and geopolitical risk, potentially making prices more sensitive to outages and refinery activity. While diplomacy progress has buffered prices, the press release notes that fundamentals may reassert themselves, implying that sustained supply constraints could support higher oil prices in the coming days.

What to watch

  • Whether the last pre-blockade cargoes clear the system and the cushion for supply shocks continues to erode.
  • Any changes in refinery activity or inventory levels that could accelerate price movements.
  • Durations of diplomatic progress that may influence market expectations and the pace of price re-pricing.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company or its PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Oil dips below $100 as supply tightens, upside risk builds

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – April 14, 2026: Oil prices dipping back below the $100 mark may suggest easing geopolitical tensions, but underlying supply dynamics indicate that upward pressure on prices could persist, according to eToro’s latest market commentary.

A significant portion of Persian Gulf oil supply remains disrupted, with inventory drawdowns and softer demand temporarily absorbing the shock. However, as the last pre-blockade cargoes clear the system in the coming days, this buffer is expected to diminish, potentially exposing tighter market conditions.

Signs of tightening are already visible in the physical oil market, where crude is trading at a premium to futures, reflecting near-term supply constraints and immediate demand for available barrels.

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Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro
Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro

Lale Akoner, Global Market Analyst at eToro, commented: “Oil’s move back below $100 may suggest easing tensions, but we think that the underlying supply dynamic still signals that oil could continue to rise.”

She added: “A meaningful share of Persian Gulf supply is already missing from the market, with inventory drawdowns and softer demand absorbing the shock. As the last pre-blockade cargoes clear the system, the market loses its cushion, and the adjustment that follows is likely to be more visible.”

While prices are currently supported by expectations of diplomatic progress, market fundamentals may soon take precedence. A sharper slowdown in refinery activity or a further decline in inventories toward critical levels could accelerate price movements.

Akoner concluded: “For now, prices are anchored by expectations that diplomacy will progress. Our view is that fundamentals will reassert themselves. If supply constraints persist, oil is more likely to move higher from here than lower.”

Notes:
Past performance is not an indication of future results.
Market observations are based on current oil market dynamics and available data.
All data is accurate as of the latest available market close.

Media Contact
PR@etoro.com

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About eToro

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eToro is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we’ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your knowledge and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre here for our latest news.

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eToro (ME) Limited, is licensed and regulated by the Abu Dhabi Global Market (“ADGM”)’s Financial Services Regulatory Authority (“FSRA“) as an Authorised Person to conduct the Regulated Activities of (a) Dealing in Investments as Principal (Matched), (b) Arranging Deals in Investments, (c) Providing Custody, (d) Arranging Custody and (e) Managing Assets (under Financial Services Permission Number 220073) under the Financial Services and Market Regulations 2015 (“FSMR”). Registered Office and its principal place of business: Office 26 and 27, 25th floor, Al Sila Tower, ADGM Square, Al Maryah Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

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JPMorgan CFO warns stablecoins risk becoming ‘regulatory arbitrage’ play

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JPMorgan CFO warns stablecoins risk becoming ‘regulatory arbitrage’ play

JPMorgan Chase Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum said stablecoins may evolve into a form of regulatory arbitrage if new rules fail to align them with traditional banking standards.

Speaking on the bank’s first-quarter earnings call on Tuesday, Barnum framed the debate less as a technology shift and more as a question of oversight. Some stablecoin models could replicate bank-like products while avoiding the safeguards applied to deposits, including rules around interest payments and customer protections, he said.

“If the same product isn’t regulated the same way, you open the door to arbitrage,” Barnum said, pointing to structures that offer rewards resembling yield. In that scenario, he added, firms could “run a bank” without being subject to core banking regulations.

The comments come as lawmakers weigh new frameworks for digital assets. The proposed Clarity Act aims to define how crypto markets are split between regulators such as the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It also reflects broader efforts to establish clearer rules for stablecoins and related products.

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The debate also extends to whether issuers of stablecoins, crypto tokens whose value is pegged to a traditional asset, mostly the dollar, should be allowed to offer yield to users.

Some crypto firms, including Coinbase (COIN), have pushed for the ability to pass interest earned on reserve assets to coin holders, arguing it would make stablecoins more useful as savings tools.

Banks have pushed back, saying yield-bearing stablecoins begin to resemble deposits without the same capital, liquidity and consumer protection requirements. In their view, that creates an uneven playing field, allowing non-bank firms to attract funds by offering returns regulated banks are restricted from providing.

The issue has become a central point of tension in Washington D.C., as policymakers weigh how to prevent stablecoins from functioning as bank-like products outside the traditional regulatory perimeter.

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Barnum said JPMorgan supports the push for clarity, but stressed that consistency matters more than speed. Without it, he warned, new entrants could gain an advantage by operating outside existing regulatory boundaries.

He downplayed the idea that stablecoins will disrupt the bank’s core payments business. JPMorgan already runs a large wholesale payments network that processes transactions at low cost and high speed, leaving little room for margin-driven disruption.

Instead, the bank is integrating similar technology into its own systems. Through its blockchain unit, Kinexys, JPMorgan has developed tools such as JPM Coin and tokenized deposits, which allow institutional clients to move money around the clock and automate transactions.

Barnum described these efforts as part of a broader modernization strategy. Features often associated with stablecoins, such as programmable payments, are already being built into existing infrastructure rather than replacing it.

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On the consumer side, he said stablecoins are often framed as “digital cash,” but still face familiar compliance hurdles, including identity checks.

JPMorgan reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter results, driven by a rebound in trading and investment banking. Net income rose 13% year over year to $16.49 billion, while revenue climbed 10% to $50.54 billion. The bank set aside less for potential loan losses than expected, signaling stable credit conditions among borrowers.

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XRP Ledger Gets Native ZK Proof Verification Via Boundless Integration

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XRP Ledger Gets Native ZK Proof Verification Via Boundless Integration

The integration lays the groundwork for private, compliant financial applications on Ripple’s Layer 1 blockchain.

Boundless, a zero-knowledge (ZK) proving network originally launched by RISC Zero, has integrated with the XRP Ledger (XRPL), bringing native ZK proof verification to the Layer 1 blockchain for the first time.

The integration is designed to enable institutions to build financial applications on XRPL that can execute privately while maintaining regulatory compliance, according to the announcement.

XRPL is a public, open-source blockchain built for payments and tokenized finance. The network has attracted more than $550 million in ecosystem funding and counts SBI Holdings, Zand Bank, Archax, and Guggenheim Treasury Services among its institutional users.

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Despite the institutional foothold, on-chain transparency has remained a barrier to deeper adoption. Transaction flows, treasury strategies, and counterparty relationships are visible by default on public ledgers, creating competitive risks and compliance friction. Ripple CTO David Schwartz acknowledged as much last year, noting that even Ripple itself could not use the XRPL DEX for payments due to compliance constraints around anonymous liquidity providers.

Emiliano Bonassi, VP of Engineering at Boundless, said the integration covers use cases from stablecoin payments to DeFi flows.

“Boundless brings scalable confidential compute directly to the XRPL ecosystem,” Bonassi told The Defiant. “Institutions can settle on XRPL with ZK proofs and cryptographic attestations for compliance and privacy-preserving logic, such as sanction screening to KYC/KYT/KYB. No trust assumptions, no data exposure, and full control over what gets disclosed and to whom.”

The privacy layer arrives as XRPL continues to expand its institutional network. Ripple teased major XRPL upgrades in February aimed at broadening XRP’s utility beyond payments into stablecoin settlement, tokenized assets, and lending. In November, Ripple partnered with Mastercard and WebBank to test RLUSD stablecoin card settlements on XRPL. And the network’s real-world asset push has accelerated, with Argentina’s YPF Luz launching an energy tokenization platform carrying over $800 million in tokenized assets on the ledger.

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“XRPL has always been built for institutional finance. With Boundless, we are making confidential, compliant execution native infrastructure on XRPL, unlocking a new category of enterprise use cases,” said Odelia Torteman, Director of Corporate Adoption at XRPL Commons.

The integration reflects a broader industry shift toward privacy-first architecture powered by zero-knowledge proofs. At Ethereum’s DevConnect conference in Buenos Aires last November, ZK tooling emerged as a dominant theme, with Boundless among the projects highlighted for its work on ZK-powered cross-chain infrastructure. Proof systems have matured from experimental cryptography to what builders now consider core infrastructure for the next phase of institutional DeFi.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months

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Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months

Venture capitalist Tim Draper recounted his Bitcoin (BTC) history, renewing his call for a $250,000 price target.

The billionaire said his BTC journey began with a failed attempt to buy at $4 per coin. He had arranged for Peter Vessenes to mine Bitcoin using Butterfly Labs chips. However, the manufacturer allegedly used the chips for its own mining before shipping them.

A Series of Losses Led to a Defining Bet

By the time Vessenes received the equipment, BTC had already climbed above $30. The mined coins were stored on Mt. Gox, the dominant exchange at the time.

When Mt. Gox collapsed in 2014, Draper lost his entire position.

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The loss prompted deeper research. Draper found that BTC was being used for remittances and paying unbanked workers. That conviction led him to the US Marshals Service auction in July 2014. He bid $632 per BTC and won all nine lots, totaling roughly 29,656 coins.

He then appeared on Fox Business and predicted BTC would hit $10,000 in three years.

That forecast proved accurate almost to the day in November 2017.

Draper Eyes $250,000 Within 18 Months

Draper now suggests BTC could reach $250,000 within 18 months. He cited inflationary pressures and a weakening dollar as tailwinds.

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“I have reason to believe that Bitcoin will reach $250k in 18 months… and eventually I expect the number to be higher as Bitcoin rises and the dollar falls to inflationary pressures,” he wrote in his latest post.

However, it is worth noting that Draper has issued a Bitcoin price target of $250,000 in the past, yet BTC has gotten nowhere close in six years.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

BTC traded near $74,205 at the time of writing. Other prominent voices, including Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson, have also targeted $250,000. That level remains more than three times the current price.

The post Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach This Price in 18 Months appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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BTC completes rebound from Feb. 5 crash

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BTC completes rebound from Feb. 5 crash

Bitcoin touched $75,900 in mid-morning U.S. trading hours on Tuesday, marking its highest level since before February 5, when the price crashed down to $60,000.

Optimism about developments in the Iran war is sparking solid gains across risk assets and continued declines in oil prices. The Nasdaq was ahead 1.2% and WTI crude was lower by 6% to $93 per barrel.

Crypto-related stocks were higher across the board as well. Strategy (MSTR) was up 7.6, Coinbase (COIN) 6.2%, Circle (CRCL) 11% and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) 8.3%.

Bitcoin miners — most of which have altered their business plans to focus on AI-related data center buildouts — were also making large upside moves, led by the former Bitfarms, now Keel Infrastructure (KEEL), which was up 20.5%. MARA Holdings (MARA) was ahead 5.8% and Hut 8 (HUT) 4.8%.

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The broader macro backdrop has also turned more supportive. With the Nasdaq reaching its highest level since early February, ether (ETH) also outperformed bitcoin, underscoring the risk-on tone across markets, said Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group.

“Overall, the past 24 hours reflect a market that is beginning to show signs of re-engagement,” Kruger said, pointing to improving technicals and broader participation.

The next test for the crypto rally comes at current levels. Kruger said the $76,000 level for bitcoin, where the mid-March rebound rolled over, is a key resistance.

A decisive move above — alongside sustained strength in ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency — would be key in determining whether the rebound can evolve into a more durable bullish trend, he said.

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Foundation unveils $1M audit subsidy program

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Why cautious TradFi firms love staked ether

The Ethereum Foundation is doubling down on one of the ecosystem’s most critical needs: security.

On Tuesday, the organization unveiled a new initiative aimed at tackling a persistent challenge in crypto development—the high cost of smart contract security audits.

Through its “Audit Subsidy Program,” the foundation is partnering with leading audit providers and ecosystem firms to make professional security reviews more accessible to builders.

Backed by a $1 million subsidy pool, the program is designed to lower financial barriers that have historically prevented many teams from undergoing comprehensive audits, despite their importance as an industry best practice.

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The initiative is part of the foundation’s broader Trillion Dollar Security Initiative, which focuses on strengthening Ethereum as it scales to support increasingly complex applications and larger amounts of value on-chain.

The program includes partners such as Nethermind, Chainlink Labs and Areta, and connects builders with more than 20 top-tier audit firms, helping streamline access to trusted security expertise across the ecosystem.

Alongside the rollout, the foundation also introduced a new framework it calls the “CROPS principles,” short for censorship resistance, open source, privacy and security. The framework is intended to guide how applications are built and evaluated across the Ethereum ecosystem.

Builders can submit their projects for consideration, after which an expert committee reviews applications. Selected teams receive subsidies that can be applied directly to audit services through Areta’s platform. The program is open to all Ethereum mainnet builders, regardless of size or stage.

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“The subsidy program makes audits accessible and strengthens the Ethereum ecosystem,” the foundation wrote on X.

Read more: Ethereum Foundation publishes new mandate defining its role, core principles

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Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure

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Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure

Coinbase is reportedly in talks with Anthropic to gain access to Claude Mythos Preview, the AI company’s restricted frontier model with advanced cybersecurity capabilities.

The outreach, first reported by The Information, reflects growing urgency among crypto exchanges to defend against increasingly sophisticated AI-driven threats.

Project Glasswing Raises the Stakes for Crypto

Anthropic launched Project Glasswing in early April 2026, a defensive cybersecurity initiative giving select partners limited access to Mythos.

The model identified thousands of previously unknown zero-day vulnerabilities during testing, including a 27-year-old flaw in OpenBSD and a 16-year-old bug in FFmpeg.

Founding partners include Amazon Web Services, Apple, Google, JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, and Palo Alto Networks. Over 40 additional organizations maintaining critical software also received access.

Anthropic committed $100 million in compute credits and $4 million to open-source security groups for the program.

For Coinbase, the largest US crypto exchange, the timing is significant. The platform dealt with a major insider breach in 2025 that exposed personal data of roughly 70,000 users after overseas support agents were bribed by criminals.

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Coinbase refused a $20 million ransom demand and instead posted a matching bounty for information leading to arrests.

Anthropic’s own research has shown that AI agents can autonomously exploit smart contract vulnerabilities, generating millions in simulated stolen funds.

That finding indicates why exchanges may view Mythos access as essential rather than optional.

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Mythos will not reach general availability. Anthropic plans to integrate its capabilities into future Claude releases with strengthened safeguards.

Post-preview pricing sits at $25 per million input tokens and $125 per million output tokens.

Whether Coinbase secures formal partnership status or broader Glasswing access remains unclear.

The exchange already uses Claude for customer support operations across more than 100 regions.

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The post Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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SEC Approves Elimination of Pattern Day Trader Rule and $25,000 Minimum: FINRA

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SEC Approves Elimination of Pattern Day Trader Rule and $25,000 Minimum: FINRA

The SEC granted accelerated approval to FINRA’s rule change eliminating the Pattern Day Trader designation and its $25,000 minimum equity requirement for day traders.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Tuesday approved FINRA’s proposed rule change eliminating the Pattern Day Trader designation, the $25,000 minimum equity requirement, and all related day-trading buying power provisions under FINRA Rule 4210. The accelerated approval removes longstanding restrictions that have governed retail day trading for decades.

The SEC simultaneously approved new intraday margin standards requiring broker-dealers to monitor and address real-time risk exposure in customer margin accounts. The regulatory shift represents a substantial change to day-trading accessibility and compliance frameworks for retail investors in U.S. equity markets.

Sources: WatcherGuru | WatcherGuru

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This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.

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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut

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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut

Ken Griffin, chief executive officer of Citadel Advisors LLC, at the Semafor World Economy Summit during the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Spring meetings in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, April 14, 2026.

Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin said Tuesday that the global economy is headed toward a recession if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut for much longer.

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“Let’s assume [the strait is] shut down for the next six to 12 months — the world’s going to end up in a recession,” Griffin said on stage at the Semafor World Economy conference in Washington, D.C. “There’s no way to avoid that.”

As a result, the world is going to see a massive shift toward alternative fuel sources, including wind, solar and nuclear, he added. To be sure, the hedge fund leader thinks the consequences of the war would have been worse if the U.S. delayed any strikes until Iran’s military capabilities had grown.

Stocks have managed to rebound back to where they were before the U.S. first attacked Iran in February, but the optimistic sentiment among investors is contingent on the duration of the war in the Middle East. Many expect risks of an escalation in tensions between the two countries are not at all priced into the market.

Global economies especially in Asia remain vulnerable to spikes in oil prices, which remain elevated at around $100 a barrel. That’s off their highs during the conflict, but remain far above where they were before the war, at just below $70 a barrel.

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Paxos Labs Raises $12M to Launch Crypto Yield and Lending Platform

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Paxos Labs Raises $12M to Launch Crypto Yield and Lending Platform

Paxos Labs has raised $12 million in a strategic funding round led by Blockchain Capital to expand its Amplify platform, a suite of tools that lets companies offer crypto yield, lending and stablecoin issuance through a single integration.

The Amplify suite includes three modules — Earn, Borrow and Mint — allowing platforms to generate yield on digital assets, enable crypto-backed loans and issue branded stablecoins with a single integration designed to unlock additional features over time.

According to Tuesday’s announcement, the platform provides a single SDK with configurable controls, while Paxos Labs manages liquidity, counterparty vetting and backend operations, and shares a portion of generated revenue with integrating partners.

The company said partners including Aleo, Hyperbeat and Toku are already using the platform, with Hyperbeat reporting more than $510,000 in assets under management since launching on April 9. The raise also included participation from Robot Ventures, Maelstrom and Uniswap.

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