Crypto World
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Sets $10B Daily Volume Record
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, captured the trading desk’s attention on a day of sharp crypto volatility. Traders piled into IBIT amid a rapid retreat in Bitcoin, with the ETF recording a daily turnover near $10 billion — a new high for the product, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas on X. The move underscored how investors were reacting to a price rout that pushed Bitcoin lower as the broader risk-on bid cooled. On the same day, IBIT itself slid about 13%, marking its second-worst daily percentage drop since its launch, after a 15% decline logged on May 8, 2024. The combination of a price plunge and outsized trading activity highlighted the tug-of-war between traditional market participants and crypto markets during a period of heightened volatility.
Key takeaways
- IBIT achieved an all-time high daily trading volume of about $10 billion on the day in question, illustrating robust participation even as Bitcoin’s price declined.
- The ETF fell 13% on that session, marking a near-record daily drop since inception and signaling that the immediate price reaction to volatility continued to weigh on ETF performance.
- Bitcoin’s price trajectory remained under pressure, slipping about 12% over 24 hours to roughly $64,000 after a morning dip to around $60,300, extending a multi-month slide from the late-2023 rally.
- Overall market sentiment toward crypto ETFs remained sensitive to macro cues, with the fund recording notable net outflows in recent days even as near-term volatility persisted.
- Analysts warned that the backdrop of weak macro data and outsized capital flows into the AI space could sustain price pressure and influence ETF flows in the near term.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $IBIT
Sentiment: Bearish
Price impact: Negative. The day’s price action produced a meaningful pullback for both the spot BTC market and the ETF that tracks it, underscoring ongoing volatility and uncertainty about near-term price direction.
Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. While near-term volatility may persist, establishing a clear directional signal requires more stability in price action and a steadier inflow/outflow dynamic for the ETF.
Market context: The episode sits within a broader backdrop of liquidity shifts, risk-off sentiment, and macro chatter that has kept crypto-related instruments sensitive to headlines and data releases. The Bitcoin price and related ETF flows have been contending with macro headwinds and shifts in investor appetite, suggesting a fragile equilibrium between participation and retreat in crypto markets.
Why it matters
The record-setting volume for IBIT on a day when Bitcoin was sharply repricing illustrates a paradox at the intersection of traditional markets and crypto assets. On one hand, significant daily turnover signals deep liquidity and trader engagement in crypto products that were fast becoming mainstream investment choices, even for institutions. On the other hand, the concurrent price drop for Bitcoin and the ETF’s own drawdown reveal fragility in the face of sustained volatility. This duality matters for market participants who monitor ETF inflows and outflows as a gauge of general demand for cryptos through regulated vehicles. It also points to how price risk in the underlying asset can immediately translate into dislocation for the ETF, influencing asset managers, traders, and retail buyers alike.
From a broader perspective, the move underscores ongoing debates about how crypto assets behave in stressed market environments. Bitcoin, after peaking near all-time highs, has retraced substantially from earlier gains, reflecting a combination of profit-taking, risk-off flows, and shifting capital allocation. Data points cited by market observers show a rapid decline after a period of strong performance, reminding investors that even widely tracked benchmarks can experience pronounced pullbacks. The dynamics around IBIT prove that ETF liquidity and price action are not perfectly synchronized with the spot market, particularly during episodes of heightened selling pressure.
Industry voices have pointed to a mix of factors shaping this volatility. Analysts like the veteran trader Peter Brandt have argued that the current phase resembles “fingerprints of campaign selling,” with relatively few buyers stepping in to prop the price. That perspective aligns with the idea that a price downturn can co-exist with robust trading activity in related products, as market participants reassess risk, rebalance portfolios, and reposition themselves in response to evolving macro data. The narrative also intersects with broader capital flows, including surging investments in artificial intelligence that have drawn capital away from traditional risk assets, potentially amplifying price swings in the near term.
Beyond price dynamics, the ETF’s performance on these days provides insight into investor behavior around regulated crypto exposure. IBIT’s own flows have been inconsistent since a crypto market sell-off in October, with net outflows outpacing inflows in recent sessions. The latest data showed net outflows totalling hundreds of millions of dollars, further underscoring that even as market infrastructure like ETFs gain traction, fundamental demand for crypto exposure remains bifurcated — some investors seek hedges or strategic exposure, while others retreat amid volatility and risk-off environments.
The unfolding situation also ties into a broader media narrative about the health and maturity of crypto-related financial products. The concentration of activity in a single session — a record $10 billion turnover — may reflect a combination of algorithmic trading, liquidity provision by market makers, and a spillover of macro-driven selling pressure into crypto markets. The tension between rapid trading and price declines is a hallmark of a maturing, yet still volatile, asset class where institutional uptake coexists with a still-nascent appetite for risk management and hedging products.
The day’s events occurred against a backdrop of headlines about where Bitcoin could settle next, with traders watching levels near the mid-$60,000s as a potential pivot point for the next leg of the price discovery process. Notably, Bitcoin has seen a substantial retracement since its all-time peak around $126,000 in October, a retreat that has spanned multiple sessions and tested longer-term support zones across major exchanges. Bitcoin’s price volatility remains a key driver for ETF flows, as investors evaluate whether dips represent buying opportunities or continued risk signals.
In parallel, industry observers highlighted that a portion of IBIT’s trading activity may reflect rebalancing by large investors seeking regulated exposure to the asset class. The ETF’s price action and volume on days of sharp BTC moves can illuminate the dynamics of investor preferences between direct crypto holdings and regulated wrappers, with implications for liquidity provision, market making, and the perceived efficiency of these products as price discovery mechanisms in crypto markets. While fund flows have been uneven in 2026, the sheer scale of the day’s volume underscores active engagement with crypto strategies within traditional portfolios, even as price volatility persists.
The latest market moves also prompt continued monitoring of external catalysts. On the macro side, weaker US job data and broader risk-off sentiment can amplify sell pressure, while investor enthusiasm for AI-related capital inflows may siphon risk-bearing money away from crypto assets at times. Analysts argue that the current environment could sustain a pattern of episodic volatility, where sharp price swings in Bitcoin are accompanied by correlated, if not amplified, reactions in crypto ETFs and related derivatives. These cross-currents will likely shape the near-term trajectory for IBIT and the broader crypto ETF space as traders adjust to shifting risk appetites and evolving regulatory signals.
What to watch next
- Bitcoin price stabilization near critical support levels and any evidence of sustained buying interest above $60,000–$65,000.
- Weekly or monthly ETF inflows/outflows for IBIT, including net flow reversals after the recent outflows.
- Regulatory and policy developments affecting crypto ETFs and spot markets, including any changes to listing rules or disclosure requirements.
- Upcoming macro data releases and earnings that could influence risk sentiment and appetite for crypto exposure.
- Volume patterns on days of BTC volatility to assess whether the IBIT liquidity response remains robust or if liquidity retreats during selloffs.
Sources & verification
- Eric Balchunas on X reporting IBIT’s $10 billion daily volume record.
- Cointelegraph article on IBIT net outflows totalling $373.4 million and 2026 inflow cadence.
- Bitcoin price data and price levels from CoinGecko.
- Cointelegraph feature on Bitcoin slipping under $64k and price bottom dynamics with references to BTC price points.
- Related coverage of market commentary, including Strategy’s Q4 results and investor updates from Unlimited Funds.
Why it matters
Record trading activity in an ETF that tracks Bitcoin signals ongoing institutional and professional trader interest in regulated crypto exposure, even as prices retreat. The discrepancy between high turnover and a meaningful price drop highlights how liquidity and price discovery can diverge in a volatile market, a condition that investors, exchanges, and market makers must navigate. For market participants, the IBIT episode illustrates how ETF vehicles can amplify or dampen price signals depending on flows, liquidity, and the broader macro backdrop. As the crypto ecosystem continues to mature, these dynamics will influence product design, risk management, and strategic allocations for institutions assessing regulated routes to crypto exposure.
As traders weigh the next moves, the interplay between Bitcoin’s price trajectory, ETF liquidity, and macro catalysts will likely dictate the near-term mood in crypto markets. The possibility of further volatility remains, particularly if macro data disappoints or if capital reallocation toward AI and other sectors resumes. Yet the persistence of record volumes in ETFs like IBIT also suggests that a core investor base remains engaged, using regulated vehicles to express conviction about Bitcoin while seeking the transparency and governance frameworks that traditional markets demand.
Ultimately, the coming weeks are expected to reveal whether this volatility is a temporary spike or a broader shift in the risk calculus surrounding crypto assets and their traditional-market wrappers. Market participants will be watching for clearer price support, more consistent ETF inflows, and any regulatory clarity that could shape how investors access crypto markets going forward.
Crypto World
BitGo and SIG Crypto team on prediction market access
BitGo Prime (BTGO) and Susquehanna Crypto said they are partnering to provide institutional clients with over-the-counter (OTC) access to prediction market trades, using digital assets held on BitGo’s platform as collateral.
The offering targets hedge funds, family offices and high-net-worth investors, allowing them to transact in event-driven contracts without relying on retail platforms or converting crypto holdings into cash, the companies said in a press release Tuesday.
Liquidity will be provided by Susquehanna Crypto, with trades executed bilaterally through BitGo’s OTC desk. The firms said transactions will follow standard derivatives documentation frameworks. Investors use over-the-counter desks mainly to trade large or complex positions without disrupting the market or exposing their strategy.
The structure mirrors how institutions already trade traditional derivatives, where assets remain in custody and positions are collateralized rather than fully funded upfront. In contrast, most prediction market activity today takes place on retail platforms that require pre-funding and offer limited integration with institutional custody systems.
Institutional investors are increasingly using prediction markets as a hedging tool, taking positions on event outcomes, such as elections, policy decisions or macroeconomic shifts, to offset risks in their broader portfolios. By pricing discrete, real-world events, these markets offer a way to hedge tail risks that are difficult to capture with traditional instruments such as equities, rates, or options.
Prediction markets have seen rapid growth, with trading volumes topping roughly $40 billion–$45 billion in 2025, up several-fold year over year as retail participation surged and platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi gained traction.
At the same time, institutional interest has begun to build, with hedge funds and banks increasingly using these markets for price discovery around political and economic events, even as infrastructure and regulatory uncertainty continue to limit broader adoption.
Regulatory fragmentation has also slowed adoption. In the U.S., platforms like Kalshi operate under Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversight, while others, such as Polymarket, remain offshore, limiting access for domestic institutional capital. That has pushed many firms to explore alternative structures that better align with existing compliance frameworks.
The companies said the new offering is designed to address those gaps by combining custody, collateral management and OTC execution into a single workflow. By allowing investors to trade against crypto collateral without moving assets off-platform, the model aims to bring prediction markets closer to the infrastructure institutions already use in other asset classes.
Read more: AI agents are quietly rewriting prediction market trading
Crypto World
Balaji’s viral post says Singapore-style order makes libertarianism work
Balaji Srinivasan’s viral X post argues libertarianism only works with Lee Kuan Yew‑style order, using Singapore to link his crypto, network‑state and U.S. debt theses.
Summary
- Balaji Srinivasan, former CTO of Coinbase and general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, posted a four-line political thesis on March 24 arguing that functional libertarianism requires a pragmatic, order-driven state to underpin it — drawing the largest engagement of any crypto-adjacent post on X in the past 12 hours.
- The tweet — which accumulated 60.6K views, 185 reposts, 1.3K likes, and 89 replies within hours — invoked Singapore’s founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew as the embodiment of a governance model that makes free markets and open trade sustainable in the real world.
- In a follow-up reply, Srinivasan cited Singapore’s Housing Development Board flats, Health Savings Accounts, and ethnic-resentment restrictions as proof that the optimal political model occupies multiple ideological quadrants simultaneously — a framework he compared to combining programming paradigms rather than choosing one.
Balaji Srinivasan (@balajis), former chief technology officer of Coinbase and former general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, posted a terse but widely discussed political and philosophical argument on X on March 24, contending that libertarianism as an ideology can only function when paired with the kind of disciplined, order-driven governance associated with Singapore’s late founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew — a post that generated 60.6K views and 185 reposts within hours of publication.
“Libertarianism in theory requires Lee Kuan Yew in practice,” Srinivasan wrote. “Order and borders are prerequisites for liberty and prosperity. Tolerance and internationalism enables trade and capitalism. Pragmatism about the scope of the state minimizes the scope of the state.” The four-sentence formulation is a deliberate compression of a political philosophy Srinivasan has developed across years of writing and public speaking, and one that sits at the intersection of his views on crypto, network states, and sovereign city models.
Who Was Lee Kuan Yew — and Why Does It Matter to Crypto?
Lee Kuan Yew served as Singapore’s prime minister from 1959 to 1990, transforming a former British colony with no natural resources into one of the world’s wealthiest and most stable economies. His model combined strict rule of law, low corporate taxes (17%), no capital gains tax, rigorous anti-corruption enforcement, and open trade — while maintaining firm social controls on speech and behavior that Western libertarians would typically reject. By 2020, foreign investment in Singapore had grown to $92 billion, up from $1.2 billion in 1980.
For Srinivasan, Lee Kuan Yew has long represented a practical answer to the central failure of libertarian political theory: that without the preconditions of order, property rights, and enforceable contracts, free markets cannot function. It is an argument with direct resonance in the crypto world, where stateless financial infrastructure and decentralized governance have repeatedly collided with the practical need for regulatory clarity, institutional trust, and enforceable rules.
The Follow-Up: Singapore as a Multi-Paradigm Model
In a reply to the thread, Srinivasan elaborated, pointing to Singapore as a state that operates across all four quadrants of conventional political mapping. “Singapore does things like HSAs and HDB flats (top left) and also restricts behavior likely to cause ethnic resentment (bottom left),” he wrote. “I think of political paradigms as akin to programming paradigms. Often you use” — with the remainder visible only upon expanding the post — the implication being that pragmatic governance, like good code, selects the best tool for each problem rather than adhering dogmatically to a single ideology.
The framing echoes ideas Srinivasan has been developing publicly for several years. In December 2025, the Financial Times reported on Srinivasan’s efforts to build self-governing network states and experimental cities — initiatives backed by venture capital and cryptocurrency funding — describing him as a central figure in a movement to create new governance structures outside the traditional nation-state framework.
A Philosopher-Investor With Stakes in the Crypto Future
Srinivasan is not merely a commentator. He has repeatedly argued that the U.S. faces an unfixable $175 trillion in fiscal obligations when future entitlement promises are included, calling it “a national bankruptcy” to be resolved through money printing — a thesis that directly underpins his conviction in Bitcoin and hard-capped digital assets as exit vehicles from fiat debasement. He has also argued that crypto is the foundational currency of AI economies, positioning decentralized financial infrastructure as the rails on which autonomous agents will eventually transact.
That the post garnered more than 60,000 views and drew responses ranging from memes to academic political theory charts suggests Srinivasan has touched a live nerve — not only in crypto circles, but among a broader audience wrestling with the gap between libertarian ideals and the institutions required to make them work.
Crypto World
MNT price prediction as Mantle DeFi TVL surpasses that of Sui
- Mantle’s DeFi TVL surges, surpassing major rival networks.
- Mantle (MNT) price lags despite strong ecosystem growth.
- The key MNT price levels to watch are the $0.75 resistance and the $0.65 support.
Mantle (MNT) network’s DeFi ecosystem has expanded rapidly and overtaken Sui in total value locked (TVL).
The milestone reflects a sharp increase in capital flowing into Mantle, even as broader market conditions remain uncertain.
In just one month, Mantle’s ecosystem has recorded a significant surge in locked assets, signalling rising confidence from both users and developers.
According to data obtained from DeFiLlama, Mantle’s total value locked in DeFi is currently valued at around $632.17 million, while that of Sui stands at $589.5 million.
This kind of growth is rarely accidental and often points to deeper structural strength within a network.
Mantle’s DeFi expansion
The surge in Mantle’s DeFi activity has been driven by a combination of strategic positioning and ecosystem development.
One major factor behind the growth is its focus on real-world assets, which continues to attract institutional interest.
By integrating traditional financial instruments into blockchain systems, Mantle is positioning itself for long-term adoption rather than short-term speculation.
Another key driver is its connection to centralised exchange infrastructure, which helps onboard liquidity more efficiently.
This hybrid model allows users to move seamlessly between centralised and decentralised finance, reducing friction that often limits adoption.
At the same time, integrations with major DeFi protocols have boosted activity across lending and borrowing markets.
These developments have helped create a steady inflow of capital rather than relying on temporary incentives.
Such consistency is often a sign of a maturing ecosystem rather than a hype-driven spike.
Despite this strong growth, the price of MNT has not followed the same upward trajectory.
This divergence between fundamentals and price action is becoming increasingly noticeable.
MNT price struggles to reflect strong fundamentals
While the network’s DeFi metrics continue to improve, MNT remains significantly below its previous highs.
The token is still trading far from its peak, reflecting broader weakness across the altcoin market.
Short-term price action has also been mixed, with recent declines interrupting what appeared to be a recovery phase.
This suggests that traders are still cautious, even in the face of improving fundamentals.
Market sentiment continues to play a dominant role, especially with altcoins reacting closely to movements in Bitcoin.
Without a strong catalyst, MNT has struggled to build sustained upward momentum.
This creates a situation where the asset shows promise on paper but remains technically fragile.
Such conditions often lead to periods of consolidation before a clearer trend emerges.
Mantle price forecast
The near-term outlook for MNT is defined by a tight range that is likely to determine the next major move.
The $0.75 level stands out as the most important resistance zone, acting as a barrier that bulls have yet to overcome.
A confirmed move above this level would signal a shift in short-term momentum and could open the door for further upside towards $0.8642 and even $0.9223 as projected by CoinLore.
On the downside, the $0.65 level is providing immediate support and remains critical for maintaining stability.
A break below this support would reinforce the current bearish structure and increase the risk of further declines.
For now, the price remains trapped between these two levels, creating a clear decision zone for traders.
Until a breakout or breakdown occurs, the current bounce should be treated with caution.
If buyers manage to push the price above resistance, it could mark the beginning of a recovery phase supported by strong fundamentals.
However, failure to hold support would likely confirm that bearish pressure is still dominant in the short term.
Crypto World
NYSE Taps Securitize to Develop Tokenized Securities Trading Infra
Securitize will become the first digital transfer agent eligible to mint blockchain-based securities on NYSE’s upcoming Digital Trading Platform
The New York Stock Exchange and real world asset (RWA) tokenization platform Securitize have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to collaborate on tokenized securities infrastructure, the two companies announced on Tuesday.
Under the deal, Securitize will become the first digital transfer agent — a transfer agent that uses a blockchain-based ledger and smart contracts to process transactions — eligible to mint tokenized securities for issuers on NYSE’s upcoming Digital Trading Platform.
Per the release, NYSE plans to work with Securitize as a premier design partner to develop a digital transfer agent program supporting on-chain settlement of tokenized securities transactions. The two firms will also collaborate on setting regulatory, operational, and technology standards for the emerging digital transfer agent category — effectively writing the rulebook for institutional-grade tokenized securities infrastructure.
“As we explore how tokenization can enhance capital markets, it is critical that new infrastructure is developed in a way that preserves the trust, transparency, and protections investors expect,” said NYSE Group president Lynn Martin in the announcement.
Securitize CEO Carlos Domingo framed the tie-up as proof that tokenization is maturing beyond experimentation. “This is about building tokenization in a way that works within real market structure,” he said.
As part of the broader collaboration, Securitize Markets is expected to join the NYSE’s Digital Trading Platform as a broker-dealer participant, supporting liquidity for issuer-sponsored tokenized securities.
The deal comes amid a period of rapid growth for the wider tokenized RWA sector. RWAs became Wall Street’s gateway to crypto in 2025, with on-chain tokenized assets tripling to nearly $19 billion over the course of the year — a figure analysts project could reach $2 trillion by 2030.
Securitize is the tokenization platform behind BUIDL, the U.S. Treasuries fund from BlackRock, with a market cap of over $2 billion. Securitize is the tokenization platform for RWAs totaling over $3 billion in distributed asset value across ten blockchain networks, with over $1 billion on Ethereum per RWAxyz. Last year, the firm partnered with risk manager Gauntlet to bridge private credit funds into DeFi protocols.
NYSE first announced it was planning to launch a platform for 24/7 tokenized securities trading in January, as The Defiant reported.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
Crypto World
CFTC Launches Innovation Task Force for Crypto Oversight
TLDR
- The CFTC has launched an Innovation Task Force to oversee crypto, artificial intelligence, and prediction markets.
- CFTC Chair Michael Selig announced the new initiative at the Digital Asset Summit in New York City.
- Michael J. Passalacqua will lead the task force as part of the agency’s regulatory efforts.
- The task force will coordinate with the Securities and Exchange Commission and its crypto unit.
- The SEC and CFTC recently issued joint guidance to clarify jurisdiction over digital assets.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has created an Innovation Task Force to oversee crypto, artificial intelligence, and prediction markets. Chair Michael Selig announced the initiative on Tuesday at the Digital Asset Summit in New York City. He said the group will draft clear rules and coordinate with federal agencies to guide emerging financial products.
CFTC Sets Framework for Crypto and Artificial Intelligence Oversight
CFTC Chair Michael Selig introduced the Innovation Task Force to advance regulatory clarity for digital assets and artificial intelligence tools. He said the agency will use the group to support responsible product development and structured market growth.
Selig stated, “By establishing a clear regulatory framework for innovators building on the new frontier of finance, we can foster responsible innovation at home and ensure American market participants are not left on the sidelines.”
He said the task force will give innovators direct access to agency staff for structured discussions and policy feedback.
Selig told attendees, “The idea behind our innovation task force is to really create a space where innovators and builders can come in and talk with the staff.”
The agency confirmed that Michael J. Passalacqua, a senior advisor to Selig, will lead the new group and oversee its operations.
The task force will coordinate with the Securities and Exchange Commission and its existing crypto task force. The SEC formed its crypto task force last year and held roundtables on DeFi and tokenization topics. Both agencies issued joint interpretive guidance last week to clarify jurisdictional boundaries and confirm that most cryptocurrencies are not securities.
Interagency Coordination and Focus on Prediction Markets
Selig said the Innovation Task Force will also work with the CFTC’s innovation advisory committee, created in February. The advisory committee includes more than 30 executives from financial and technology firms. Members include Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman, according to agency records.
The CFTC has increased oversight of prediction markets over the past year and asserted its jurisdiction in this sector. Selig has stated that the agency regulates derivatives linked to future events, including sports outcomes. Several states have opposed certain platforms, arguing that sports-related contracts may conflict with local gaming laws.
The agencies have aligned their regulatory stance through joint statements and coordinated guidance over the past year. Last week’s interpretive release outlined how each agency determines whether a digital asset falls under securities or commodities law. The CFTC said the Innovation Task Force will continue collaborating with federal partners as it refines oversight for crypto products, artificial intelligence applications, and prediction markets.
Crypto World
Securitize (CEPT) teaming with NYSE (ICE) on new platform
The New York Stock Exchange (ICE) is teaming up with tokenization specialist Securitize to help design the infrastructure behind tokenized securities trading, according to a Tuesday press release shared with CoinDesk.
Securitize is aiming to go public this year via a SPAC deal with Cantor Equitize Partners (CEPT). CEPT shares are higher by 6% premarket. ICE shares are flat.
The two firms signed a memorandum of understanding to build NYSE’s planned Digital Trading Platform. Securitize will serve as a design partner, focusing on how transfer agents — the entities that track ownership and handle corporate actions — operate when securities are issued and settled on blockchain rails.
Securitize, backed by large asset managers like BlackRock and Ark Invest and registered with the SEC as a transfer agent, is expected to be among the first firms eligible to mint tokenized versions of stocks and ETFs on the platform, subject to regulatory approvals.
The firm’s broker-dealer arm could also take part in trading, giving it a foothold across both issuance and market activity.
The move comes as traditional exchange behemoths like NYSE and Nasdaq are doubling down on tokenization efforts to bring blockchain rails into stock trading. That tech would enable around-the-clock trading and near-instant settlements, similar to crypto markets.
Recently, NYSE-parent Intercontinental Exchange invested in crypto exchange OKX to develop tokenized stocks and derivatives products. Rival exchange Nasdaq obtained regulatory approval for its tokenized stock trading framework and has tapped Kraken to distribute stock tokens globally.
“As we explore how tokenization can enhance capital markets, it is critical that new infrastructure is developed in a way that preserves the trust, transparency, and protections investors expect,” NYSE Group President Lynn Martin said.
Read more: Here is why Nasdaq and owner of NYSE are putting the $126 trillion equity market on blockchain
Crypto World
Professor Jiang’s Bitcoin conspiracy taps into war and empire angst
Viral “predictive historian” Jiang recasts Bitcoin as a CIA war‑surveillance tool and hinge of U.S. imperial decline, mixing sharp geopolitical reads with conspiratorial leaps.
Summary
- Viral “predictive historian” ties Bitcoin to U.S. imperial decline and a coming monetary reset
- Jiang claims BTC is a Pentagon/CIA surveillance weapon even as markets treat it as digital gold
- Critics say his “predictive history” blends accurate war calls with speculative crypto conspiracies
Beijing-based teacher Jiang Xueqin, the self-styled “predictive historian” who shot to fame for forecasting Donald Trump’s return to the White House and a disastrous U.S.–Iran conflict, is now recasting Bitcoin (BTC) as a tool of American empire and a hinge of a looming new world order. In recent lectures and clips circulating across YouTube, TikTok and X, Jiang argues that the world is witnessing “the end of U.S. imperial overextension” and that the monetary fallout will drive Bitcoin into “a structurally different regime” rather than another cyclical boom. He frames his analysis as “predictive history,” a fusion of structural geopolitics and game theory designed, in his words, to “test models against reality, just like artificial intelligence systems.”
In a widely shared breakdown of his Bitcoin thesis, Jiang claims that the cryptocurrency was not the work of a lone cypherpunk, but a Pentagon project engineered as “the ultimate surveillance technology,” echoing variations of the line that “Bitcoin was created by the CIA and the Deep State.” He tells audiences that Satoshi Nakamoto’s anonymity is “institutionally suspicious,” arguing that only an agency-backed team would have “the time, money, servers, and technical expertise” to deploy a global monetary network. At the same time, he leans on a factual point that mainstream analysts and chain‑forensics firms agree on: Bitcoin’s public ledger enables authorities to trace flows of illicit funds with far more granularity than cash.
Jiang’s crypto worldview is tightly bound to his geopolitical script. In multiple interviews and classroom talks repackaged online, he links U.S. “imperial overreach” in the Persian Gulf to a sequence of events in which military failure accelerates dollar erosion, pushes capital out of Treasuries and into hard assets and ultimately sends Bitcoin “nuclear.” One popular YouTube macro-finance explainer built around his framework describes Bitcoin as “the most liquidity-sensitive asset on the planet,” noting that “every dollar of monetized conflict cost is a dollar that enters the global financial system searching for hard assets with fixed supply,” with Bitcoin’s 21 million cap presented as the end of that chain. In that scenario, the video argues, the Bitcoin cycle is “not driven by the halving” but “by the fiscal response to imperial overextension,” applying Jiang’s method directly to BTC’s trajectory.
That framing has resonated with traders already treating Bitcoin as a barometer of war risk. Bloomberg recently reported that “crypto markets are once again serving as the only open window into how traders are pricing the continuing conflict” in Iran, as spot and derivatives flows react in real time to escalation headlines. Bitcoin has traded around the mid‑$60,000 to low‑$70,000 range in March, with some market forecasts projecting a possible move toward roughly $73,000–$79,000 this month while volatility remains high. Even mainstream price coverage now routinely situates BTC within a matrix of war risk, dollar policy and ETF‑driven institutional demand.
Jiang’s rise has been turbocharged by the perception that he “called” both Trump’s 2024 victory and the subsequent U.S.–Iran war, predictions that have been amplified by crypto traders, TikTok creators and even long‑form podcasts. An in‑depth profile notes that his YouTube channel, Predictive History, consists largely of unedited classroom lectures in which he maps great‑power cycles and “world order changes” for Beijing high‑school students. But academic critics and archaeologists have pushed back hard, warning that his method replaces evidence with grand narrative. In a recent debunking video, archaeologist Flint Dibble described Jiang as “a wacko who spreads insanely harmful conspiracy theories,” stressing that “his predictions about the future are mostly not accurate… a broken clock is right twice a day.”
The same tension defines his Bitcoin work. A detailed breakdown of “Professor Jiang’s Theory on Bitcoin’s Origins” acknowledges that he “mixes verifiable facts with baseless leaps of logic,” conceding that while DARPA did seed the early internet and Bitcoin’s transparency does aid law enforcement, there is “no public evidence linking Bitcoin’s creation to DARPA, the Pentagon, or the CIA.” Instead, Jiang’s narrative slots crypto into a larger story about the end of U.S. hegemony, the rise of a multipolar order and the search for new monetary anchors—a story that is shaping how a growing slice of retail traders interpret every tick in Bitcoin’s price chart, whether or not his “predictive history” ultimately passes its own reality test.
Crypto World
Circle, Coinbase tumbles as regulators move to ban interest on stablecoins
Stablecoin issuer Circle’s (CRCL) shares tumbled on Tuesday, after a draft version of U.S. stablecoin legislation raised concerns about limits on yield.
The stock of the USDC issuer fell as much as 18% in the early U.S. session, snapping a weeks-long rally that saw more than 100% gain. Meanwhile, crypto platform Coinbase (COIN), which shares revenue coming from the stablecoin, dropped about 8%.
The key catalyst behind the move was the latest version of the Clarity Act, as reported by CoinDesk, which would restrict offering rewards on stablecoin balances, analysts pointed out.
“Clarity Act could potentially ban yield payments for simply holding a stablecoin (e.g. passive balances) and restrict any approach that makes the program in any way equivalent to a bank deposit,” said Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev.
According to Dolev’s analysis, a potential ban could reduce the use case for Circle in the near-term, while not paying rewards would reduce the long-term attractiveness of holding USDC on Coinbase’s platform.
Stablecoin yield — whether through onchain lending or platform incentives — has been a big part of the pitch to investors. Taking that away makes it harder for tokens like USDC to evolve beyond simple payments.
“That weakens a key part of the bull case,” said Shay Boloor, chief market strategist at Futurum Equities, arguing it limits USDC’s path toward becoming a true store-of-value product.
The stablecoin-focused GENIUS Act banned issuers from paying yield directly to users, but they’ve built ways to pass through income earned on reserves. Circle collects interest on USDC’s backing assets and shares it with Coinbase, which in turn funds rewards for users.
The latest draft of the Clarity Act targets that structure by banning anything “economically equivalent to interest,” effectively cutting off a key incentive for holding stablecoins, according to Amir Hajian, a digital asset researcher at Keyrock
“It pulls the rug on the pass-through model that has been driving stablecoin adoption,” Hajian said.
There was another development in the background. Tether, issuer of the USDT stablecoin and main rival of Circle, said it has hired one of the ‘Big Four’ accounting firms to conduct a long-promised full audit of its reserves. If successful, the audit could improve USDT’s image among institutional users by demonstrating stronger risk management, potentially eating into USDC’s market share.
Not ‘as bad’
The selloff comes after a strong run, during which Circle shares gained 170% since early February, far outpacing other crypto stocks and the struggling broader stock market. That setup left the stock vulnerable to a sharp pullback on any negative headlines.
Still, analysts aren’t seeing this as an existential crisis.
According to Mizuho’s Dolev, recent outperformance of USDC’s volume means “use cases [for stablecoins] are starting to proliferate, which is a positive for the long-term” for Circle. Meanwhile, Coinbase could see a boost in profitability in the near-term as USDC accounts for about 20% of Coinbase’s revenue, and a large part of it is paid out as rewards.
In fact, Owen Lau, an analyst at Clear Street, said that “the actual situation doesn’t appear to be as bad as the headline indicates. “It looks like an overreaction, but the market tends to shoot first and ask questions later.”
Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at digital asset manager Bitwise, agreed that investors should see past today’s short-term headwinds. Circle is still up more than 30% this year after Tuesday’s drop, and remains a major player in a fast-growing market, he noted. “There will be workarounds,” such as loyalty programs that could replicate similar incentives as yield, Rasmussen said.
“With that in mind, Circle’s long-term outlook has never been better; they hold a 30% share of a market projected to grow 10x over the next four years,” he added.
UPDATE (March 24, 15:46 UTC): Adds analyst comments.
Crypto World
Missouri Moves to Add XRP to State Crypto Reserve Fund
TLDR
- Missouri lawmakers advanced HB 2080 to create a state-managed Crypto Strategic Reserve Fund.
- The bill includes XRP alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and USDC as approved reserve assets.
- The State Treasurer would have authority to buy, hold, and manage digital assets using state funds.
- The legislation requires the Treasurer to hold acquired cryptocurrencies for at least five years.
- Missouri agencies could accept USDC for taxes, fees, and fines with approval from the Department of Revenue.
Missouri lawmakers have moved to create a state-managed crypto reserve that would include XRP. The House Committee Substitute for HB 2080 cleared the Commerce Committee in a 6–2 vote. The proposal now advances with a “Do Pass” recommendation and outlines direct authority for the State Treasurer.
Missouri Advances Bill to Establish Crypto Strategic Reserve Fund
Representative Ben Keathley sponsored HB 2080 to establish a Crypto Strategic Reserve Fund. The House Committee Substitute outlines how the State Treasurer would manage approved digital assets. Lawmakers advanced the measure after a 6–2 committee vote, and no member voiced opposition during hearings.
Under the bill, the Treasurer can buy, hold, and manage selected cryptocurrencies using state funds. The proposal requires the Treasurer to store acquired digital assets for at least five years. After that period, the Treasurer may sell, convert, or allocate holdings based on state strategy.
The fund can also receive digital assets through donations, grants, or transfers from residents and public entities. The legislation authorizes partnerships with third-party custodians to secure state-held assets. It also requires the Treasurer to publish transparency reports every two years.
Lawmakers included compliance measures to restrict transactions tied to foreign or illegal entities. The Department of Revenue would oversee approval for crypto payment systems within state agencies. These provisions aim to ensure oversight while enabling digital asset management.
XRP Included Alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and USDC
HB 2080 lists XRP among the digital assets eligible for state reserve holdings. The bill places XRP alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and USDC in the proposed fund. This classification allows the Treasurer to treat XRP as part of a long-term reserve strategy.
The Treasurer may purchase XRP directly with allocated state funds under the bill. The office may also accept XRP transfers from residents or other government bodies. The legislation frames these holdings as part of a structured reserve plan.
The proposal does not set a fixed dollar cap for XRP acquisitions. Instead, it grants the Treasurer discretion within existing state financial controls. The five-year minimum holding period applies to XRP and other approved assets.
Lawmakers structured the bill to mirror traditional reserve management models. The framework allows conversion or liquidation after the mandatory holding period. Officials must document these actions in the required biennial reports.
The committee vote advanced the bill without recorded public opposition. Representative Keathley stated that the measure supports “long-term financial strategy for the state.” The bill now proceeds through the legislative process for further consideration.
USDC Payments and Federal Digital Asset Reserve Efforts
The legislation also authorizes Missouri agencies to accept USDC for certain payments. Government entities may process USDC for taxes, fees, and fines with Department of Revenue approval. This step integrates stablecoin payments into state systems.
State agencies must follow strict compliance standards when accepting USDC. The bill prohibits transactions involving sanctioned or unlawful entities. Agencies may coordinate with approved custodians to manage payment processing securely.
The measure aligns with broader federal digital asset initiatives announced in 2025. President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve and an altcoin stockpile. Federal authorities continue to work to implement that directive.
Missouri lawmakers now await further legislative action on HB 2080. The bill outlines clear authority for reserve creation and digital asset management. Lawmakers will determine the next procedural steps in the current session.
Crypto World
Solana Launches Enterprise Developer Platform For Institutions
The Solana Foundation has revealed it has secured Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union as early users of its newly launched developer platform, as part of ongoing efforts to attract enterprises to build on its blockchain.
The Solana Developer Platform (SDP) was announced on Tuesday to enable enterprise developers to build on the blockchain using a unified interface.
Much of the focus is on real-world asset tokenization, including stablecoins, which is currently a $328 billion market, according to rwa.xyz. More than half of the total value is held on Ethereum; however, with Solana holding 6.3% share of the tokenized real-world asset market.
“The early interest we’ve seen from enterprises and institutions signals strong demand,” said Catherine Gu, the head of product at the Solana Foundation.
The SDP will initially have three core modules: an issuance module to deploy tokenized real-world assets, a payments module to facilitate fiat and stablecoin flows, and a trading module due later this year that will support atomic swaps, vaults, and onchain forex.
Early users of the SDP include Mastercard for stablecoin settlement, Worldpay for merchant payments and settlement, and Western Union for cross-border payments, said the Solana Foundation.
Solana’s efforts to attract institutions
Solana invested in making the network enterprise-ready on a technical level with the Alpenglow upgrade in 2025, boosting transaction throughput. Meanwhile, in December, Visa launched USDC (USDC) settlement for US banks on the Solana blockchain.
“The next phase of digital asset innovation will be defined by practical use cases that integrate seamlessly with existing financial systems,” said Raj Dhamodharan, executive vice president, blockchain and digital assets, at Mastercard.
Related: Agentic AI commerce may spell the end of internet ads: a16z Crypto
Meanwhile, Malcolm Clarke, vice president of digital assets at Western Union, said the SDP is “not a replacement for our network,” but allows it to expand use cases and bring more cross-border activity.
Solana enters a crowded enterprise blockchain space
Enterprise-grade blockchain solutions are not new, and Solana’s latest platform enters a crowded market.
The Ethereum ecosystem has several strong offerings targeting the same enterprise audience, including Consensys’ Infura, a scalable API infrastructure powering thousands of decentralized applications.
Consensys also has the Linea layer-2, which is positioning itself as an institutional on-ramp to crypto.
Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 platform Base has modular components for checkout, APIs, and commerce payments that directly compete with SDP’s payments module.
Meanwhile, Ripple’s blockchain offerings, such as XRP Ledger, also primarily target enterprise and financial institutions, as it aims to become the standard for cross-border payments.
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