Crypto World
Gemini Exits UK, EU, and Australia to Focus on the US Market
Gemini, the crypto exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, is retreating from three major markets and slashing 25% of its staff as it recalibrates its global operations. In a Thursday disclosure, the firm cited artificial intelligence-driven automation that makes engineers significantly more efficient and a tougher operating environment in the United Kingdom, European Union, and Australia as primary drivers for the pivot. The decision underscores a broader push by crypto players to optimize cost structures amid a difficult macro cycle and regulatory headwinds. Gemini said it will concentrate resources on the US, where it believes capital markets are the strongest, and on developing its prediction market platform, Gemini Predictions, launched in December 2025.
Key takeaways
- Exit from the United Kingdom, European Union, and Australia accompanied by a 25% staff reduction, driven by AI-enabled efficiency gains and higher operating costs in those regions.
- Strategic shift toward the US market and the expansion of Gemini Predictions, a prediction market platform that debuted in December 2025 and has since grown to thousands of users.
- Prediction market momentum: quarterly growth in 2024 and early 2026 shows rising activity, with tens of millions of dollars in daily volumes and incumbents like Polymarket and Kalshi dominating the space.
- Broader market context: crypto prices have weakened during a downturn sparked by a October flash crash and regulatory uncertainty surrounding the CLARITY Act, complicating international expansion for crypto firms.
- The move highlights a strategic bet on data-driven markets and US-centric product development as a path to scale in an environment of tightening liquidity and evolving policy debates.
Market context: The exit comes amid a period of liquidity tightening and regulatory headwinds for the crypto sector. While international expansion has become harder, the emergence of prediction markets as a growth vertical has gained attention, even as liquidity remains concentrated among a few established platforms.
The decision underscores Gemini’s recalibration of its product portfolio around US-based opportunities. By prioritizing Gemini Predictions, the company is signaling that data-driven forecast markets could become a meaningful facet of mainstream crypto activity, potentially diversifying revenue beyond traditional custody and trading services.
Why it matters
The shift to a US-centric strategy matters for users and investors who are watching how crypto firms monetize niche segments beyond spot trading. Prediction markets—where participants bet on outcomes that pay out based on real-world events—have attracted interest as a way to hedge risk or speculate on probability, particularly around policy developments and elections. Gemini’s emphasis on this line of business aligns with a broader industry pivot toward platform-based services and synthetic markets that can scale with fewer physical infrastructure requirements than cross-border exchange operations.
For builders, the development of Gemini Predictions offers another data-rich venue to innovate around markets for information. The platform’s growth metrics cited by Gemini—thousands of users and a meaningful trading volume since its December 2025 launch—suggest there is appetite for structured market-based forecasting within crypto ecosystems. If these platforms can sustain liquidity and deliver low-friction experiences, they could reshape how users interact with information and risk in the digital asset space.
Competitively, the landscape remains led by Polymarket and Kalshi, which together command a substantial share of 24-hour prediction market volume. The dominance of a few incumbents highlights both the opportunity and the execution challenge for entrants attempting to carve out meaningful market share in a relatively nascent sector. The trajectory of Gemini Predictions will be watched as a proxy for whether the broader crypto market can translate interest in prediction markets into durable user engagement and revenue.
The international retreat also mirrors a broader caution among crypto operators as the industry grapples with macro headwinds and uncertain policy signals. The October flash crash that rattled asset prices and the stalled CLARITY Act—an anticipated US market-structure bill—have tempered enthusiasm for aggressive cross-border expansion. In that context, Gemini’s decision to concentrate resources on a domestically focused initiative may be a pragmatic bet on a clearer regulatory path and stronger demand within the US ecosystem.
Gemini asserts that America’s capital markets are unrivaled, a contention echoed by the firm’s leadership as it frames the US as the primary arena for future growth. The company’s push into predictions dovetails with a broader investor interest in alternative data and event-driven markets, where outcomes—such as policy decisions, elections, or corporate milestones—can be translated into traded forecasts. The announcement notes that Gemini Predictions has already attracted more than 10,000 users and generated about $24 million in trading volume since its launch, illustrating a tangible early traction that could underpin longer-term expansion plans in a US-centric environment.
The macro backdrop remains a critical driver behind the shift. Crypto markets have faced a prolonged downturn since a sharp October selloff, and the industry continues to weigh regulatory developments that could unlock or constrain new business lines. The CLARITY Act, a widely discussed US market structure proposal, has stalled, injecting a measure of policy uncertainty into expansion plans that rely on a favorable regulatory framework. In this context, concentrating on a domestic, potentially more predictable regulatory environment could help Gemini accelerate product development and user acquisition within a single jurisdiction before exploring broader international opportunities again.
What to watch next
- Metrics for Gemini Predictions: user growth, total trading volume, and new features or markets added in the US.
- Any re-entry or gradual expansion into other regions as regulatory frameworks evolve or as cost structures stabilize.
- Regulatory developments around the CLARITY Act and other US crypto market structure discussions that could influence platform-based offerings.
- Market share dynamics among prediction market platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, and entrants) as liquidity and user demand evolve.
Sources & verification
- Gemini’s official announcement outlining the UK/EU/Australia exit, staff reductions, and a pivot to US-focused initiatives, including Gemini Predictions.
- Dune Analytics: prediction market overview and liquidity data used to illustrate market concentration and volume trends.
- Data points on Gemini Predictions: user counts and trading volume since launch (as cited in Gemini’s announcement).
- Cointelegraph coverage referencing US election-driven growth in crypto prediction markets and related market dynamics.
Gemini pivots to US-focused strategy as international markets wind down
Gemini’s Thursday disclosure makes clear that the firm intends to realign resources toward areas with higher growth potential and clearer path to scale. The company argues that foreign markets have been hard to win for a blend of regulatory complexity and operational friction, which has translated into a higher cost base and slower execution. The closure of UK, EU, and Australian operations reduces a layer of regulatory exposure and overhead that, in Gemini’s view, did not translate into commensurate demand. The 25% workforce reduction compounds this recalibration, reflecting a broader trend among crypto firms seeking to optimize cost structures in a market characterized by slower-than-expected adoption in some geographies.
At the core of the pivot is Gemini Predictions, the platform launched in December 2025 as part of the company’s broader push into event-based markets. The idea is to position prediction markets as a central pillar of the firm’s platform, with an ambition to become as large as, or larger than, traditional capital markets in the long run. While early metrics—10,000 users and $24 million in trading volume to date—signal credible traction, the path to scale will depend on maintaining liquidity, expanding the universe of tradable events, and delivering a user experience that can compete with incumbents in a market that already shows concentration of activity among a few established players. The platform’s visibility increased during periods of high political and economic uncertainty, where event-driven forecasting can provide a structured way to hedge or speculate on outcomes.
The strategic emphasis on the US market is notable given the size and maturity of American financial markets, but it also places Gemini in a framework where regulatory clarity could unlock new product use cases. While the CLARITY Act remains unsettled, the company’s approach suggests that a domestic, steady regulatory ground could enable more features, partnerships, and integrations that augment the value proposition of prediction markets for retail and professional participants alike. The shift may also influence how other exchanges and fintechs allocate resources between international expansion and US-focused product development, particularly for offerings that blend traditional financial concepts with blockchain-enabled capabilities.
In the broader crypto ecosystem, the exit from several major regions comes as digital asset prices continue a downcycle that began amid a complex mix of macro pressures and industry-specific headaches. The ongoing debate over crypto market structure and the pace of regulatory reform has kept some companies cautious about international expansion while emphasizing investments in products with clearer revenue models and user engagement metrics. Gemini’s decision to lean into predictions reflects a calculated wager that forecasting markets—grounded in data and user participation—could become a durable and scalable revenue stream even as the broader trading ecosystem faces volatility and scrutiny.
Ultimately, the trajectory of Gemini Predictions will be a useful barometer for this niche within crypto: can a prediction market platform, backed by a legacy exchange, attract sustained liquidity and mainstream interest? If the early momentum continues, the US-centric focus could accelerate product development, generate recurring revenue through offerings tied to real-world events, and deepen user engagement as traders seek structured ways to gauge probabilities in a fast-evolving landscape.
As the industry continues to navigate a shifting regulatory and macro backdrop, Gemini’s latest moves illustrate a pragmatic approach: shrink exposure where the cost-to-benefit ratio is unfavorable, and double down on product bets that align with evolving user demand and policy trajectories. Whether Gemini Predictions becomes a defining growth driver for the firm remains to be seen, but the current strategy signals a deliberate pivot toward building scalable, data-driven markets within the most active financial ecosystem in the world—the United States.
Crypto World
Fixed-Rate DeFi Lending Arrives as Fira Lures $450M in Deposits
Ethereum-based DeFi lending protocol Fira has kicked off its fixed-rate on-chain credit market with roughly $450 million in deposits, signaling strong appetite for predictable borrowing costs in a sector long dominated by floating-rate dynamics. The new model centers on locking in borrowing costs and lending yields over defined maturities, rather than letting rates drift with utilization.
Fira’s approach reimagines on-chain lending by organizing markets around fixed timeframes and using supply-and-demand dynamics to set interest rates. In practice, this creates yield curves and defined maturities that mirror traditional fixed-income markets, a rarity in DeFi where long-hold lending can be opaque and rates volatile. A Fira spokesperson described the mechanism as a shift from fluctuating utilization-based pricing to a more predictable credit market architecture.
Key takeaways
- Fira launches with about $450 million in deposits, highlighting demand for fixed-rate, on-chain credit models in DeFi.
- The deposits were initially seeded by users migrating from Euler Finance during a pre-launch phase that began on January 8.
- DefiLlama currently lists Fira at roughly $451.6 million in total value locked on Ethereum, compared with the sector leader Aave at around $25.3 billion.
- Security and incentives are central to the rollout: six independent audits and a bug bounty program offering up to $500,000 in rewards for critical vulnerabilities.
- Fira is not alone in pursuing fixed-rate lending; peers include Notional Finance, IPOR, and Term Finance, indicating a growing niche within DeFi lending.
From Euler migration to early traction
Fira reported that its initial deposits were recaptured from Euler Finance’s ecosystem during the pre-launch phase. Pete Siegel, Fira’s chief financial officer, told Cointelegraph that the early rollout began with a market called UZR, designed to help Euler users migrate assets at a fixed rate within a product already available on Euler’s platform. “Fira was pre-launched in January. It opened with a first market called UZR, which enabled roughly a thousand users who were already on Euler, in a product available on Euler to migrate their assets at a fixed rate,” Siegel explained.
The liquidity influx underscores investors’ appetite for instruments that offer certainty over duration and payoff, rather than exposure to ever-shifting borrowing costs. As the project moves from pre-launch to a formal mainnet phase, observers will be watching whether the fixed-rate framework delivers on its promise of stability across longer-term on-chain lending cycles.
Security, governance, and incentives
Security is a central pillar of Fira’s launch strategy. The protocol’s smart contracts have undergone six independent security audits conducted by Sherlock, Spearbit via Cantina, Hexens, and yAudit between late 2025 and early 2026. In addition, Fira has activated a robust bug bounty program through Sherlock, offering rewards up to $500,000 for critical vulnerabilities in the protocol’s open-source Ethereum contracts.
Beyond security, Fira’s governance and risk controls will be closely watched as fixed-rate lending becomes more common in DeFi. The model’s reliance on fixed maturities invites questions about liquidity resilience, deployment risk, and the ability to quickly adapt to shifting market conditions. While fixed-rate structures can reduce volatility for lenders and borrowers, they also concentrate risk into defined windows that could be exposed to systemic shifts if a large portion of the curve moves in parallel or if external macro factors abruptly alter funding costs.
In the broader landscape, Fira sits alongside peers such as Notional Finance, IPOR, and Term Finance, all pursuing variations of fixed-rate credit in DeFi. These projects collectively suggest a shift in the industry’s thinking about risk management and yield formation on-chain, moving beyond the traditional, flexible DeFi lending paradigm toward more structured, instrument-like offerings.
What this means for investors and builders
The emergence of fixed-rate DeFi credit markets could matter in several ways. For lenders, the ability to lock in funding costs over a defined horizon helps stabilize cash-flow expectations and reduce the risk of sudden repricing. For borrowers, fixed rates can provide clarity for long-duration financing—an appealing feature for users building over multi-month horizons or hedging exposure to interest-rate shifts in volatile markets.
For developers and infrastructure teams, the arrival of yield curves on-chain invites a broader set of financial primitives to be built atop DeFi pools. It raises the prospect of more sophisticated risk analytics, more precise liquidity provisioning, and potential cross-platform integrations with other fixed-income-like instruments. However, it also increases the importance of robust risk management, given the complexity of pricing across multiple maturities and the possibility of liquidity thinness in certain segments of the curve during stressed market periods.
Context and next steps
The initial liquidity is a favorable sign, but the trajectory for fixed-rate DeFi lending will hinge on sustained user engagement, ongoing security assurances, and the ability of the market to scale across different maturities and assets. Fira’s early liquidity came from Euler participants, but growing beyond a single migration pool will be crucial to proving the model’s resilience and appeal to a broader user base.
As the sector tracks this experiment, market participants will also weigh the lessons from early fixed-rate experiments such as Notional Finance, IPOR, and Term Finance. The key question remains: can fixed-rate on-chain credit evolve from a niche product into a reliable, widely used instrument that complements variable-rate lending and more traditional on-chain debt markets?
Looking ahead, readers should watch for Fira’s expansion plans, new maturities, and cross-asset deployments that could broaden the fixed-rate landscape. Analysts will be paying attention to liquidity depth across the curve, the rate-setting mechanics under varying market conditions, and how the ecosystem integrates with existing DeFi rails to ensure a robust, secure, and transparent fixed-income experience on-chain.
In the near term, the emphasis will be on governance updates, additional audits, and the resilience of the UZR market as it matures. As with any new financial primitive in crypto, the next few quarters will reveal how capital allocators adapt to a world of fixed horizons and predictable yields in DeFi’s evolving credit market.
Crypto World
Tether Crypto $13Bn Profit Engine Fuels $1.5Bn Bet on Health Intelligence
Tether Crypto just put $1.5 billion on human biology. The USDT issuer has taken a strategic stake in Eight Sleep, the AI-powered sleep technology company, at a $1.5 billion post-money valuation. This is not a passive financial play. It confirms what has been building for months: Tether is no longer just a stablecoin issuer. It is one of the most aggressive venture capital forces in tech.
The fuel behind the move is straightforward. Tether generated over $13 billion in profit in 2024, mostly from yield on its massive US Treasury holdings. That money is now being redirected into health tech, neurotech, robotics, and AI at a pace without precedent in crypto-native capital deployment.
- Valuation Signal: Eight Sleep’s post-money valuation hits $1.5 billion, tripling from approximately $500 million at its Series C in August 2021.
- Treasury Pivot: Tether’s $6.3 billion in excess reserves are being actively deployed into venture capital across four divisions — Data, Finance, Power, and Education.
- Strategic Context: Eight Sleep achieved free cash flow positivity in 2025, a rare milestone for consumer hardware companies, validating the investment thesis before Tether committed capital.
How Tether Crypto Profit Machine Funds Real-World Bets
The mechanics are simple and brutally effective.
Tether issues USDT, backs it with US Treasury bills, and collects yield on the float. The company manages over $100 billion in assets. At that scale, even modest T-bill yields generate billions annually with near-zero operating overhead.
That machine has produced $6.3 billion in excess reserves, capital sitting above and beyond what is needed to back USDT 1:1. CEO Paolo Ardoino has been systematically redeploying that surplus into what he calls a thesis around individual sovereignty and long-term human potential.
Eight Sleep fits that thesis directly. The company uses embedded sensors and AI to track biometric data in real time, adjusting mattress temperature to optimize sleep architecture. Health intelligence as infrastructure.
The entry timing was clean. Eight Sleep hit free cash flow positivity in 2025, rare for consumer hardware, and launched 3 new products that year: Pod 5, Pod Pillow Cover, and Thermal Blanket. Founders Fund and Y Combinator led an August 2025 round at a $1 billion valuation. Tether is stepping in 6 months later at $1.5 billion with a strategic check that goes beyond passive financial exposure.
Can Tether’s Venture Capital Strategy Scale Beyond Stablecoins?
Eight Sleep is not Tether’s first move outside crypto.
In 2024 the company took a majority stake in Blackrock Neurotech, a brain-computer interface developer, for $200 million. In December 2025 it joined an $81 million round for Generative Bionics, an Italian humanoid robotics startup. Eight Sleep is the largest single investment in this portfolio and the clearest signal yet that Tether is building a diversified technology conglomerate funded by stablecoin economics.
The closest analogue in crypto history is MicroStrategy. Same scale of profit deployment. Same level of conviction. The difference is direction. MicroStrategy concentrates into Bitcoin. Tether diversifies across the biological edge of technology.
The market Tether is entering is pricing up fast. Oura raised $900 million at an $11 billion valuation in October 2025. Longevity and biosensing infrastructure are being treated as high-growth, defensible assets. Ardoino has said publicly that is exactly what Tether wants to own.
2 scenarios from here.
Eight Sleep’s free cash flow positivity, expanding product line, and international addressable market justify the $1.5 billion entry. Tether’s capital accelerates that roadmap materially. Or consumer hardware multiples compress in a tighter macro environment, health tech regulatory risk in Europe and the US stalls the push into clinical features, and Tether’s growing exposure to illiquid venture positions creates concentration risk if USDT redemption pressure spikes.
Ardoino frames Eight Sleep as a tool that enhances human autonomy rather than creates dependency. That positioning is deliberate. It makes the investment look mission-driven, not just financial.
Tether made $13 billion last year running the world’s largest on-chain money market fund. It is spending those profits to own the infrastructure of human performance. The stablecoin was always just the entry point.
Discover: The best new crypto in the world
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Crypto World
Geopolitical Tensions With Iran Leave Bitcoin Hovering Near $69.5K
Bitcoin slipped below the $70,000 mark as macro risk assets came under pressure amid renewed Middle East tensions, renewing questions about BTC’s sensitivity to broader markets. The September session saw BTC pull back after a brief sprint to around $71,800 earlier in the week, with traders watching how the next move would unfold in an environment where oil, equities, and geopolitical risk remain intertwined.
Analysts described the scene as a palpable test for Bitcoin’s resilience in a risk-off backdrop, with some arguing that a potential regime shift—where BTC behaves less like traditional risk assets—could be forming, even as others warn that volatility and downside risk persist until macro momentum cools.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin briefly fell through the $70,000 level as macro selling pressure hit risk assets, with intraday moves signaling continued volatility.
- Oil hovered near $95 per barrel, and U.S. stock indices opened lower as tensions in the Middle East and related supply concerns weighed on sentiment.
- Market color from QCP Capital framed the price action as a balancing act by policymakers, suggesting authorities are aiming to maintain stability even as geopolitical risks linger.
- Some observers saw early signs of a Bitcoin regime shift, with higher-lows patterns suggesting emerging strength that could challenge traditional risk asset correlations if sustained.
- Technical readings pointed to a contested footing around the 200-week average, with the metric around $68,300 acting as a ambiguous boundary and keeping the near-term outlook nuanced.
Macro backdrop and price dynamics
As U.S. markets opened, BTC traded on the back foot, losing roughly 1.5% on the day and retreating from an early-week push toward the $72,000 area. In traditional markets, the Nasdaq Composite slipped, while gold struggled to push decisively past $4,450. Oil’s oscillation—tending toward $95 per barrel after an initial retreat—reflected ongoing concerns about energy flow. The broader geopolitical backdrop, including tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and regional developments, kept risk sentiment on edge and complicated the path for a clear risk-on/risk-off regime for crypto assets.
Analysts pointed to the interplay between oil prices, sanctions headlines, and macro liquidity as a frequent driver of short-term Bitcoin moves. In such a climate, a single headline can shift correlations as traders reassess leverage, hedging needs, and the role of BTC within diversified portfolios.
Resilience, regime shift, and what it could mean for BTC
Market observers have debated whether Bitcoin’s current action signals a broader shift in how it behaves relative to traditional risk assets. QCP Capital, in its Market Color briefing, argued that President Trump’s handling of geopolitical risk and market stability creates a difficult balancing act: equities sit near key support, inflation pressures continue to influence expectations for rate hikes, and policymakers cannot afford to spur additional volatility. In this view, BTC’s relative steadiness in the face of rising tensions could reflect structural factors such as lower systemic leverage or, more intriguingly, the early stages of a regime shift where BTC does not track risk assets in the same way as before.
Indeed, several traders highlighted constructive technical signs, even as the overall backdrop remains fragile. Michaël van de Poppe pointed to a pattern of higher lows forming since the February crash, suggesting increasing strength if support holds. He cautioned, however, that the picture isn’t “out of the woods” yet, noting that higher lows can still trigger liquidity waves if markets move toward those levels. For a potential bullish runway, he pointed to a target in the high range around $77,000 to $80,000 if Bitcoin sustains the current support area.
On the other side of the spectrum, some analysts warned that weakness could reemerge. A well-known trader warned about a possible Bart Simpson-style pattern playing out on lower timeframes, underscoring the risk that a relief rally could falter without broader macro improvement. Such viewpoints reflect the ongoing tug-of-war between short-term momentum and longer-term structural factors shaping BTC’s trajectory.
Technical reading and near-term implications
The technical picture remains nuanced. The 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), around $68,300, has not delivered a definitive answer on support or resistance, allowing for continued choppiness in the near term. Some market participants suggest that BTC could trade within a broader range until macro catalysts clarify the directional bias, while others argue that strength in the form of higher-lows could precede a renewed upside leg if key levels hold through resistance tests.
In this environment, near-term risk management becomes paramount. Traders are watching whether Bitcoin can maintain the recent higher-lows trajectory, how it behaves around the critical $70,000 level, and how external factors such as oil prices and geopolitical headlines influence liquidity and collateral dynamics in the crypto market.
What readers should watch next
jolts in macro sentiment, particularly around Middle East developments and oil supply expectations, will be crucial in shaping Bitcoin’s path over the coming sessions. A sustained hold above the $70,000 threshold, coupled with a clear push beyond the mid-$70,000s, could renew optimism for the next leg higher. Conversely, renewed downside pressure—especially if macro risk appetite deteriorates—could see BTC retest lower supports in the near term.
Market participants will also be parsing the evolving relationship between Bitcoin and traditional risk assets, as crypto traders increasingly weigh whether a regime shift is underway or if current moves are simply a pause within a longer, volatile cycle.
This article synthesizes market observations and analysis from the period, reflecting published commentary and price action without asserting new claims beyond the cited material.
Crypto World
Bitcoin advances to $71,000 while derivatives signal cautious bullishness: Crypto Markets Today
Bitcoin is currently trading at around $71,000 having risen by 0.25% since midnight UTC, adding to a broader 24 hour rally of 4%.
Asian hours were favorable to AI tokens, with bittensor (TAO) and adding 5.8% and 4.1% apiece. The rise followed comments from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, who claimed that artificial general intelligence (AGI) — a term for AI that matches the cognitive abilities of human beings — has already been achieved.
Still, the main market driver continues to be the war in the Middle East following fresh strikes in Tel Aviv and Lebanon on Tuesday. On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said a 48-hour ultimatum over the Strait of Hormuz had been put on hold following “good and productive” peace talks with Iran, although Iranian officials called it “fake news.”
Oil remains at around $100 per barrel while U.S. equities are in the red, with Nasdaq 100 futures and S&P 500 futures both down by around 0.1% since midnight.
The crypto market has remained relatively resilient during the conflict, with bitcoin outperforming gold, a traditional haven asset, since the start of the war.
Derivatives positioning
- Over $550 million in leveraged crypto futures bets have been liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts or bearish bets taking most of the hit.
- Bitcon’s 4%, 24-hour price gain isn’t backed by increased participation in futures, as open interest (OI) in major USD- and USDT-denominated futures has declined to 228,000 BTC from 229,000 BTC.
- A similar pattern is seen in ETH, XRP and SOL markets.
- DOGE, ADA, SUI, AVAX, LINK, and PAXG futures have seen open interest decline by as much as 10%.
- Most tokens have seen aggressive bidding, as evidenced by their positive 24-hour cumulative volume deltas. CRO, XMR and TON stand out with negative CVDs.
- Perpetual funding rates for majors also paint a bullish picture, with values between 5% to 10%.
- On Deribit, BTC and ETH puts continue to show a net bias for protective put options across all time frames. However, they now trade at 5 to 6 volatility point premium to calls versus 8 to 10 early Monday.
- Block flows featured demand for the BTC put condor, a directionally neutral strategy designed to profit from low volatility. In ETH’s case, risk reversals dominated flows.
Token talk
- Several altcoins have outperformed bitcoin since midnight, with HYPE, OP and CRV all gaining around 3% as traders rotated into more speculative assets in anticipation of a wider market breakout.
- The bitcoin-dominant CoinDesk 20 (CD20) Index is up by 0.3% on Tuesday, while the altcoin-heavy CoinDesk 80 (CD80) has risen by more than 1%, indicating improving sentiment among the altcoin sector.
- The caveat to the improving sentiment is the state of the DeFi industry. One market watcher described the current landscape as a “really dark” period after Balancer Labs shut down operations and the Resolv stablecoin project was hacked Another criticized the lack of yield opportunities coupled the inherent risk that comes with using DeFi protocols.
- The memecoin sector is another feeling the strain. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index (CDMEME) is the worst performing benchmark on Tuesday, rising just 0.1% with several of the index components losing 3%-5%.
Crypto World
Bitcoin ETFs Roar Back as Balchunas Revives Gold Debate on Wall St
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs added fresh capital on March 23, reversing earlier weakness and restoring momentum across the category. The rebound followed several weeks of withdrawals in 2026, and it narrowed the funds’ year-to-date deficit. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas linked the trend to persistent demand, even as Bitcoin stayed well below recent highs.
Bitcoin ETF Flows Regain Traction
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $167.2 million in net inflows on Monday, extending a broader recovery in March. Moreover, recent inflows lifted March totals near $2.5 billion after heavy withdrawals earlier in 2026. That reversal left year-to-date flows near flat, and one more strong session could push totals back above zero.
Balchunas said the category showed unusual staying power during six months marked by a sharp Bitcoin decline. Bitcoin lost about 40% over that span, yet the funds kept drawing demand instead of broad liquidation. As a result, the rebound strengthened the argument that these products now attract more durable holders.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust led the group, and it recovered its own year-to-date flow losses. The fund also ranked within the top 2% of U.S. exchange-traded funds by 2026 inflows. Therefore, IBIT continued to separate itself from peers through scale, steady demand, and faster recovery.
Gold Comparison Returns to Focus
Balchunas revived the Bitcoin versus gold debate by comparing current ETF behavior with gold funds trading a decade ago. When gold prices fell sharply around 2013, many gold-backed funds lost substantial assets within months. That episode reflected typical market behavior because large drawdowns often trigger faster selling across commodity products.
By contrast, spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed the price shock and then regained momentum more quickly. Balchunas used that divergence to argue that Bitcoin fund holders behaved differently from traditional gold fund holders. In turn, the comparison widened discussion about whether Bitcoin now commands stronger long-term conviction than gold.
The debate also expanded because Bitcoin ETFs remain relatively new, while gold funds have operated for many years. Even so, the latest flow pattern suggested that Bitcoin products handled stress better than many expected. That backdrop provided fresh context for current ETF demand and Bitcoin’s competition with gold.
Wall Street Activity Adds Context
Separate corporate filings added context to the ETF rebound because major financial firms announced new Bitcoin plans. Strategy filed documents that would support up to $42 billion in additional Bitcoin purchases over time. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley submitted paperwork tied to its own spot Bitcoin ETF effort.
Those moves indicated that traditional finance still sees commercial value in Bitcoin products despite recent volatility. They also supported the view that institutional participation in the sector continues to broaden. Consequently, ETF flows and corporate filings reinforced the same message about sustained market engagement.
Shaun Edmondson highlighted Monday’s ETF inflows alongside those filings and framed both developments as mutually supportive. His view added momentum to the broader narrative around tightening supply and expanding institutional demand. For now, the latest ETF data and related filings have reset the Bitcoin versus gold discussion.
Crypto World
HYPE whale exits $22.9m position as Hyperliquid token hovers near highs
High Stakes Capital has fully exited a 602,421 HYPE position for $22.9m around $38, extending a broader wave of profit‑taking among Hyperliquid whales near record highs.
Summary
- HYPE is trading around $38.86 after whale High Stakes Capital fully exited a position worth nearly $22.94 million over 24 hours.
- The address offloaded 602,421 HYPE at an average price of $38.08, following earlier sales of 300,000 HYPE for $11.45 million at $38.17 each.
- The unwind extends a broader pattern of profit-taking among large Hyperliquid whales after the derivatives-focused token hit record highs near $40.
A major Hyperliquid (HYPE) whale known as High Stakes Capital has liquidated more than 600,000 HYPE in the past 24 hours, cashing out close to $22.94 million and putting short-term pressure on the flagship Hyperliquid token. ChainCatcher, citing Onchain Lens data, reported that the address sold a total of 602,421 HYPE for approximately 22.938 million USDC, at an average price of $38.08, with the final tranche of 152,421 HYPE netting around $5.82 million and completing the exit. The sell-off comes as HYPE, the native token of Hyperliquid’s decentralized perpetuals and derivatives ecosystem, trades just below recent peaks at about $38.86, up 2.72% on the day.
PANews, also quoting Onchain Lens, noted that in the previous 12 hours the same whale had already sold 450,000 HYPE for $17.12 million USDC, at an average price of $38.05, while still holding 152,421 HYPE worth $5.68 million before the final leg. Earlier, Phemex News reported that High Stakes Capital offloaded 300,000 HYPE for $11.45 million at an average of $38.17, while still sitting on 302,421 HYPE valued at about $11.54 million and a cumulative profit exceeding $33.2 million. This staggered exit pattern shows the whale systematically selling into strength around the $38–$39 range rather than dumping in a single transaction, a strategy that tends to limit slippage but can cap upside while the orders clear.
HYPE is part of the derivatives and DeFi sector, functioning as the core token of the Hyperliquid network, where traders use the platform for decentralized perpetual futures and leveraged speculation. Hyperliquid’s token previously touched an all-time high near $39.93 as 24‑hour trading volume surged to roughly $496 million and open interest climbed to $10.1 billion, according to DailyCoin’s earlier reporting on HYPE’s breakout. At the same time, total value locked in the protocol jumped more than 369% in a matter of weeks, from about $311.55 million to $1.462 billion, underscoring the scale of capital rotating into derivatives-focused DeFi.
Recent data suggests that large HYPE holders are actively managing exposure around the $35–$40 band. KuCoin Flash reported that another genesis whale, linked to the address known as tummy.hl, began selling 498,000 HYPE via TWAP orders for more than $20 million, with the sale expected to complete within 21 hours. Coingabbar’s price analysis noted that HYPE was trading near $34.73 in early February, up 30.53% over the preceding month, with open interest at $1.65 billion even as trading volumes fell 18% to about $805.7 million, suggesting a structurally bullish but increasingly crowded trade. Against that backdrop, High Stakes Capital’s exit looks less like capitulation and more like a textbook profit realization into a stretched market, as derivatives tokens and exchange-linked assets continue to outperform much of the broader crypto complex.
Crypto World
Meta Platforms (META) Stock Dips 1.86% Following Arm CPU Partnership Announcement
Key Highlights
- Meta shares decline 1.86% to $593.11 following AI processor collaboration announcement
- Company partners with Arm to create specialized CPUs for artificial intelligence operations
- Arm AGI CPU designed for AI model training, inference operations, and general computing
- Custom processor aims for enhanced data center efficiency and performance metrics
- Collaboration marks strategic pivot toward proprietary silicon and AI-focused infrastructure
Meta Platforms (META) shares traded down to $593.11, representing a 1.86% decline, after the social media giant announced a strategic CPU partnership with Arm. The stock experienced consistent downward movement throughout the trading session with sustained seller activity. The announcement underscored Meta’s evolving approach to building specialized infrastructure for enterprise-scale artificial intelligence operations.
Strategic CPU Collaboration Advances Meta’s Hardware Vision
Meta announced a strategic alliance with Arm to engineer a novel category of processors dedicated to artificial intelligence workloads. The initiative addresses escalating computational requirements throughout Meta’s expanding infrastructure footprint. This collaboration represents a significant step in the company’s ongoing commitment to proprietary hardware development.
The inaugural chip, designated as the Arm AGI CPU, specifically addresses AI model training and inference operations. The processor simultaneously handles general-purpose computational tasks throughout Meta’s technology stack. This dual capability enhances Meta’s capacity to deploy sophisticated AI systems at scale.
Meta actively expands its hardware portfolio through both internal innovation and collaborative partnerships. The Arm AGI CPU complements Meta’s existing MTIA silicon architecture for enhanced operational synergy. This multi-pronged strategy creates a more versatile and resource-efficient computing infrastructure.
Arm AGI CPU Delivers Advanced Performance Metrics
The Arm AGI CPU represents a novel architecture for data center computing optimized for artificial intelligence applications. The design prioritizes maximizing performance density per rack while minimizing power consumption. This engineering focus enables large-scale AI implementations with superior resource efficiency.
Arm engineered the processor to coordinate distributed AI operations across memory hierarchies, storage arrays, and network fabrics. Reference implementations demonstrate rack configurations delivering thousands of processing cores in space-efficient designs. Furthermore, liquid cooling implementations enable substantial scaling for computation-intensive applications.
The processor architecture targets superior performance compared to conventional x86 platforms in both density and operational efficiency metrics. Arm projects substantial cost reductions for enterprise-scale data center implementations. This value proposition addresses industry requirements for economically viable AI infrastructure expansion.
Industry Implications and Future Development Roadmap
Meta has substantially increased infrastructure capital allocation to enable sustained AI innovation. The company recently expanded GPU procurement through strategic agreements with leading chip manufacturers. Furthermore, internal roadmaps detail multiple proprietary AI processors currently under development.
Arm’s transition into direct data center processor manufacturing represents a departure from its historical licensing business model. The company now establishes itself as a primary contributor in AI-optimized silicon innovation. This strategic repositioning reflects transforming competitive dynamics within semiconductor architecture and commercial deployment.
Meta intends to distribute board specifications and rack blueprints via the Open Compute Project within the current calendar year. This open-source strategy may expedite implementation throughout data center infrastructure providers and technology enterprises. Expanded ecosystem engagement demonstrates increasing industry momentum toward AI-specialized computing platforms.
Crypto World
GameStop (GME) Stock Dips Despite Recording Quarterly Profit and Massive Cash Buildup
Key Highlights
- GameStop stock declines despite exceeding earnings forecasts and building substantial cash holdings
- Company surpasses profit expectations while total revenue experiences significant year-over-year contraction
- Aggressive expense management elevates profit margins despite declining sales figures
- Collectibles division expansion counterbalances softness in gaming hardware and software categories
- Robust financial position enhanced by $9B in liquid assets and cryptocurrency investments
GameStop Corp.(GME) experienced a downturn to $22.81, representing a 0.96% decrease, even as the company delivered stronger-than-expected profitability and maintained a formidable cash position. Extended trading hours witnessed additional pressure, with shares declining to $22.68, marking another 0.58% retreat. This negative momentum emerged during the final trading session despite the retailer showcasing enhanced earnings performance and substantial liquidity improvements.
Profitability Surges While Top-Line Sales Contract
GameStop delivered fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.49 per share, surpassing Wall Street consensus estimates of $0.37. Conversely, total revenue came in at $1.1 billion, falling short of projections and marking a 13.9% year-over-year decrease. This divergence highlighted the company’s ability to enhance bottom-line performance while grappling with persistent sales challenges.
Adjusted operating income climbed substantially to $147.7 million, up from $84.4 million recorded in the corresponding quarter last year. Net income totaled $127.9 million, marginally trailing the previous year’s comparable result. Consequently, disciplined expense management and enhanced operational performance bolstered earnings despite ongoing revenue headwinds.
For the complete fiscal year 2025, GameStop generated adjusted net income of $647.4 million, representing a dramatic increase from $131.2 million previously. Operating income reversed course, delivering a positive $232.1 million versus the prior year’s loss. The retailer achieved a remarkable transformation in overall profitability throughout the entire fiscal period.
Liquidity Expands With Cryptocurrency Holdings
GameStop dramatically bolstered its cash reserves, with liquid assets and equivalents surging to $9.0 billion from $4.8 billion. Additionally, the retailer disclosed Bitcoin holdings and associated receivables totaling $368.4 million as of quarter close. Accordingly, the financial position demonstrated enhanced strategic flexibility and meaningful digital currency involvement.
Selling, general, and administrative costs decreased to $241.5 million from $282.5 million year-over-year. Reduced overhead expenses facilitated margin expansion and elevated adjusted profitability metrics. This strategic cost management underpinned financial gains amid persistent revenue challenges.
Full-year SG&A expenditures similarly contracted to $910.2 million from $1.130 billion in the prior fiscal year. Concurrently, adjusted operating income advanced to $289.5 million, completely reversing the previous year’s deficit. Thus, operational efficiency initiatives remained central to overall financial achievement.
Product Category Performance Reveals Strategic Pivot
GameStop’s collectibles division demonstrated impressive momentum, generating $365.0 million and representing 33.1% of overall revenue. Conversely, hardware and accessories revenue contracted to $535.6 million from $725.8 million. Likewise, software category sales dropped to $203.7 million from $286.2 million.
This evolving revenue composition demonstrated a strategic reorientation toward higher-margin product categories including collectibles. Core gaming merchandise categories encountered persistent demand weakness and diminished revenue generation. Management strategically reallocated resources toward divisions demonstrating superior growth characteristics.
Total annual sales decreased to $3.630 billion from $3.823 billion in the preceding fiscal year. Enhanced profitability metrics and aggressive cost management mitigated the revenue decline’s financial impact. Therefore, overall results illustrated a deliberate evolution toward a streamlined and more profitable business framework.
Crypto World
Crypto-friendly fintech Revolut sees profit soar 57% to $2.3 billion in 2025
London-based crypto-friendly fintech giant Revolut reported record earnings for 2025 as it scales across new markets.
Profit before tax rose 57% year over year to $2.3 billion, while revenue climbed 46% to $6 billion, according to its annual report. The company posted its fifth straight year of net profit, which stood at $1.7 billion for 2025, with margins improving to 38%.
Growth came from a wider mix of services. Card payments, subscriptions, foreign exchange and wealth products each contributed meaningful income. Eleven business lines generated more than $135 million each, the firm said.
Customer activity also surged. Total balances increased 66% to $67.5 billion, while transaction volume reached $1.7 trillion. Revolut added 16 million retail users, bringing its total to 68.3 million. Business accounts rose to 767,000.
Regulatory progress remains central to its strategy. The firm now operates as a licensed bank in more than 30 markets, which earlier this month started including the U.K., and has filed for a U.S. banking license.
Revolut plans to invest $13 billion over five years and aims to reach 100 million customers by 2027, it said. The firm lets users buy and sell crypto through its platform, including through a dedicated exchange called Revolut X.
Crypto World
Tether Engages Big Four Firm for Its First Full Independent Audit in Digital Asset History
TLDR:
- Tether engaged a Big Four accounting firm for its first full independent audit in digital asset market history.
- The audit covers over $184 billion in USD₮ market cap, making it the largest inaugural audit in financial markets.
- CFO Simon McWilliams confirmed Tether already meets Big Four audit standards ahead of the formal review process.
- The audit moves Tether beyond standard stablecoin attestations, raising the accountability bar for all digital asset issuers.
Tether has engaged a Big Four accounting firm to conduct its first full independent financial audit. The stablecoin issuer, managing over $184 billion in market capitalization, made the announcement on March 24, 2026.
This move positions the company beyond standard attestation practices common among stablecoin issuers. With more than 550 million users globally, the audit is expected to be the largest inaugural audit in financial market history.
Tether Sets a New Benchmark for Stablecoin Transparency
The engagement followed a competitive selection process involving several major accounting firms. Each firm conducted a thorough assessment of Tether’s systems, internal controls, and financial reporting.
Multiple stakeholders participated during the onboarding phase, which concluded weeks before the announcement. The level of interest from audit firms reflects how closely the industry is watching this development.
CEO Paolo Ardoino spoke directly to the weight of the decision. “Tether’s mission has always been to build trust through action, not promises,” he said.
He further noted that trust is built when institutions are willing to open themselves fully to scrutiny. For users and businesses relying on USD₮ daily, this process is about accountability, resilience, and long-term confidence in the infrastructure they depend on.
CFO Simon McWilliams, appointed in early 2025, has been central to preparing the company for this process. He stated clearly that “the organisation is already operating at Big Four audit standard; the audit will be delivered.”
His appointment marked a turning point in the company’s internal governance and financial architecture. His leadership helped build the systems needed for a fully independent review.
Tether has consistently retained earnings within its ecosystem rather than distributing profits externally. Capital remains available in affiliated proprietary holding companies to support USD₮ stability.
As part of the audit process, the company will move listed securities in the coming days. The ongoing audit will provide full visibility into how those reserves are positioned.
Currently, attestations remain the industry standard for stablecoin issuers. Tether is moving beyond that floor toward a full audit that carries far greater scrutiny.
This shift reflects a broader push for institutional-grade accountability across the digital asset sector. Other issuers are now likely to face increased pressure to follow suit.
What the Audit Means for USD₮ Users and the Broader Market
Ardoino described the audit as representing “years of work to strengthen our systems so that Tether can meet the highest standards applied in global finance.”
That preparation involved expanding governance structures, tightening financial controls, and aligning reporting processes with Big Four expectations. The result is a company that entered the audit engagement from a position of readiness rather than obligation.
The audit process covers a uniquely complex mix of digital assets, traditional reserves, and tokenized liabilities. Few institutions outside major sovereign entities operate at a comparable scale.
That complexity makes the review one of the most technically demanding audits ever attempted. Completing it successfully would mark a major milestone for digital asset infrastructure.
Tether has also worked with global law enforcement to identify illicit activity and freeze unlawful funds. These efforts have strengthened USD₮’s reputation as a reliable digital dollar.
Combined with robust compliance systems, the audit adds another layer of credibility to its reserve management practices.
Tether’s broader mission centers on financial access in regions where traditional banking systems are limited or fragile. Open digital dollars, in the company’s view, are essential to enabling economic opportunity.
The audit supports that mission by reinforcing the trustworthiness of the underlying infrastructure. Users in underserved markets stand to benefit directly from greater institutional confidence in USD₮.
The company has invested heavily in governance, risk management, and internal controls over recent years. Those investments laid the groundwork for meeting Big Four audit requirements.
Moving forward, Tether aims to use this audit as a foundation for continued transparency efforts. The result could reshape how the broader market evaluates stablecoin issuers going forward.
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