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X-Energy (XE) IPO Rockets 36% Higher in Nasdaq Debut After $1.02B Raise

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XE Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • The company set its IPO price at $23 per share, surpassing the initial $16–$19 target range and securing $1.02 billion
  • Shares began trading at $30.11 and climbed to $31.33, representing a 36% first-day increase
  • Demand exceeded available shares by more than 15 times, with institutional buyers competing heavily
  • Major backers include Amazon as both client and shareholder; Ark Investment Management signaled potential purchases up to $105 million
  • The company recorded approximately $390 million in net losses against $94 million revenue in the previous year

X-Energy Inc. kicked off its public trading journey Friday with an impressive performance, seeing shares climb 36% during its initial session following a heavily oversubscribed offering that brought in over $1 billion.


XE Stock Card
X-Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock, XE

The Maryland-headquartered developer of small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) sold 44.25 million shares at $23 apiece — exceeding its projected $16 to $19 pricing bracket. The company also expanded the offering size beyond its original plan of 42.86 million shares.

Trading under ticker symbol XE on the Nasdaq, shares debuted at $30.11 and reached an intraday peak of $31.33.

Investor appetite proved overwhelming, with subscription levels topping 15 times the available allocation. Approximately one-third of institutional participants walked away empty-handed. Company leadership played an active role in determining final share distributions.

The offering generated roughly $1.02 billion in total capital, significantly outpacing initial projections of approximately $700 million.

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Calculated on outstanding equity, the first-day valuation pushed X-Energy’s market capitalization near $12 billion, though alternative calculations suggested figures closer to $9 billion.

Regulatory documents revealed that Ark Investment Management indicated potential purchases reaching $105 million of IPO shares.

JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies Financial Group, and Moelis & Co. served as lead underwriters for the transaction.

Core Technology and Strategic Partnerships

X-Energy specializes in SMR development and produces next-generation nuclear fuel. The company’s reactor systems utilize Triso fuel — tristructural isotropic uranium particles approximately the size of poppy seeds — engineered to operate at higher temperatures and extended durations compared to traditional nuclear fuel.

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CEO Clay Sell articulated the company’s vision of standardizing nuclear power generation. “We want to make nuclear boring,” he stated. “We can build this over and over and over again. That’s the way you get costs down.”

The firm has secured commercial contracts with Amazon, Dow Inc., and Centrica. Amazon has also taken an equity position in the enterprise.

Regulatory approval for X-Energy’s inaugural reactor is anticipated this year, with construction slated for a Texas facility serving Dow. The plant is expected to become operational in the early 2030s.

Further developments are in the pipeline for Washington state locations supporting Amazon’s energy requirements.

Financial Position and Shareholder Structure

X-Energy remains in the pre-revenue phase from a commercial operations standpoint. The company reported net losses of roughly $390 million against $94 million in revenue last year, not including government grants. The year prior showed net losses of $126 million on $84 million in revenue.

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Loss figures are expanding as the organization accelerates development initiatives in preparation for its first reactor launch.

Company founder and chairman Kamal Ghaffarian maintains control of 61% of Class B voting shares. Entities affiliated with Ares Management Corp. possess another 26%.

The stock concluded its inaugural trading session substantially above the offering price, with XE finishing approximately 27% higher by market close.

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Mike Tyson, Tether CEO, Cathie Wood are among speakers at Trump’s ‘most exclusive’ crypto conference

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Trump's memecoin speaker list (CoinDesk)

A group of cryptocurrency executives, investors and public figures is set to speak Saturday at a private event hosted by U.S. President Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach, Florida.

The event, billed as “the most exclusive conference in the world,” started with Bill Zanker, co-founder of TRUMP memecoin and was followed by legendary boxer Mike Tyson, according to the speaker lineup seen by CoinDesk.

Other high-profile speakers include stablecoin issuer Tether’s CEO Paolo Ardoino, who is expected to address the link between financial inclusion and the U.S. dollar’s global role. Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood and crypto infrastructure provider Alchemy’s CEO Nikil Viswanathan will also speak at the conference, and each will focus on the overlap between artificial intelligence and crypto, a topic that has drawn increasing attention as both sectors expand.

Trump's memecoin speaker list (CoinDesk)

Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley is scheduled to join a panel on the state of crypto and equities markets, while investor Anthony Pompliano of ProCap Financial is also set to appear on stage.

Trump's memecoin speaker list (CoinDesk)

The lineup also includes traditional finance investors such as Tim Draper and Grant Cardone, as well as author Tony Robbins.

The event is touted as a major cryptocurrency and finance gathering tied to Trump’s broader push to support the digital asset industry since returning to the White House in January 2025. The conference website lists Trump as the keynote speaker and says attendance is limited to the top 297 holders of the $TRUMP token, a meme coin launched in his name.

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This will mark the second time such an event has been hosted by the President. That previous dinner prompted Democratic lawmakers to lodge protests and raise concerns about Trump profiting off of his own crypto token while simultaneously championing legislation to support the industry and appointing regulators to oversee crypto.

Since taking over the Oval Office, Trump has backed several crypto-related projects, including the $TRUMP and $MELANIA meme coins, which are tied closely to the public profiles of the president and first lady rather than any underlying utility. Transaction fees generated from trading the coins have produced millions of dollars in revenue for entities linked to Trump and his family.

Nevertheless, since launching around Trump’s second inauguration, the $TRUMP token has fallen about 97% from its peak. The $MELANIA coin has dropped even further, down roughly 99% after a rapid rise and decline.

Read more: It could cost you up to $6 million to grab lunch with Donald Trump

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CFTC Sues NY Over Push to Apply Gambling Laws to Prediction Markets

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Crypto Breaking News

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit in the Southern District of New York to block New York state authorities from applying its gambling statutes to federally regulated prediction market platforms. The action highlights a widening clash over regulatory jurisdiction between federal financial regulators and state gambling authorities, with high-stakes implications for platforms, banks, and investors that rely on event-contract products.

According to the complaint, the CFTC contends that federal law grants it exclusive authority over prediction markets, and it seeks a declaratory judgment and a permanent injunction to restrain New York’s enforcement actions. CFTC Chair Michael Selig framed the filing as part of a broader effort to defend the agency’s jurisdiction over federally registered exchanges amid an “onslaught” of state lawsuits aimed at limiting access to event contracts and undermining the CFTC’s oversight. In parallel, New York has already pursued enforcement actions against major crypto-asset venues, including Coinbase and Gemini, alleging their offerings violated state gambling rules, and had previously moved against Kalshi by ordering changes to portions of its sports-related contracts.

In another development, a broad coalition of states has weighed in on the Kalshi matter at the appellate level. On Friday, 37 states and Washington, D.C., filed an amicus brief supporting Massachusetts in its case against Kalshi, urging the state’s highest court to reject Kalshi’s argument that federal law permits a nationwide sports-betting product without adhering to state regulatory regimes. Kalshi argues its betting products qualify as “swaps” regulated by a federal financial statute enacted in 2010, while the states contend that the federal framework was not intended to centralize or override state gambling authority. The amicus brief underscores a major fault line in U.S. policy: whether federal financial regulation can or should preempt traditional state consumer protections in gambling and related markets.

Related coverage note: Kalshi, Polymarket among 27 prediction platforms banned in Brazil. This context illustrates how global regulators are intensifying scrutiny of prediction-market activity across jurisdictions.

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Key takeaways

  • The CFTC asserts exclusive federal authority over prediction markets and seeks judicially binding clarification to prevent state enforcement actions from applying gambling laws to these platforms.
  • New York state actions have expanded beyond Kalshi to target major platforms such as Coinbase and Gemini, signaling a broader strategy to curb unlicensed offerings by crypto venues under state gambling rules.
  • A coordinated multi-state effort, with 37 states and Washington, D.C., argues against a federal preemption that would broadly legalize nationwide sports betting without state oversight, highlighting a persistent policy fracture between federal and state regulators.
  • State regulators are increasingly aggressive, issuing cease-and-desist notices and pursuing litigation to enforce traditional gambling licensing, age restrictions, fraud prevention, and consumer-protection measures on prediction-market products.
  • The legal and regulatory dynamics raise practical concerns for platform operators, financial institutions, and investors, including licensing obligations, cross-border compliance, and the risk of conflicting standards between federal and state authorities.

Federal authority and the preemption question

The central issue in the CFTC’s litigation is whether federal law provides exclusive jurisdiction over prediction-market activity, thereby limiting or preempting state gambling laws. The complaint argues that prediction markets—where participants trade on the outcomes of real-world events—fall squarely within the CFTC’s remit as futures and derivatives markets. As such, the agency seeks a declaratory judgment that New York’s approach conflicts with federal authority and a permanent injunction to halt enforcement actions that could chill access to federally regulated platforms.

By contrast, Kalshi and its backers invoke a 2010 financial statute, contending that its betting products are swaps regulated by federal authorities and, therefore, should be shielded from state gambling regulation. The states dispute that interpretation, arguing that the statute was not intended to authorize nationwide sports betting or to nullify well-established state licensing and consumer-protection regimes. This disagreement underscores a foundational question about the reach of federal financial regulation versus state sovereignty in areas historically governed at the state level, such as gaming and gambling.

The argument has practical resonance for exchanges that operate across state lines and for banks and payment providers that support their activities. If federal law is deemed to preempt state gambling rules, compliant pathways for offering prediction-market products could shift toward a uniform federal standard. If not, operators may face a mosaic of state requirements, complicating product design, KYC/AML controls, licensing, and ongoing compliance programs. The outcome could also influence how other crypto-native products with structured payoff features are regulated in the United States.

State enforcement intensifies crackdown on prediction markets

The dispute in New York fits within a broader pattern of state actions targeting prediction markets. States across the country have increasingly viewed these products through a gambling-regulation lens, issuing cease-and-desist orders, bringing enforcement actions, and seeking to compel operators to integrate traditional licensing, responsible-gaming controls, and age-verification measures. Jurisdictions such as Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois have been active in pursuing enforcement against prediction platforms, while Nevada recently extended a prohibition on Kalshi’s event-based contracts, siding with regulators who contend the activities constitute unlicensed gambling.

These state actions reflect concerns that predictive markets—despite their claimed hedging or informational utility—can pose consumer-protection risks, enable fraud, or facilitate unlicensed gambling without robust age checks, advertising restrictions, advertising disclosures, or capital requirements. The convergence of gaming and financial-regulatory concerns has intensified scrutiny of platforms that straddle finance, technology, and entertainment, raising the bar for compliance programs across the board. In this context, the emerging regulatory framework is less about product innovation and more about gatekeeping—who may offer such products, under what standards, and with what oversight by regulators at the federal and state levels.

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In parallel, Brazil’s regulatory action against a broader set of prediction platforms serves as a cautionary signal for participants planning cross-border operations. The Brazilian context, though jurisdictionally distinct, illustrates the global patchwork of policy responses to prediction markets and the potential spillovers into U.S. activity, particularly for platforms seeking multi-jurisdictional licenses and market access.

Regulatory and market implications for incumbents and policy direction

For market participants, the core implication is heightened regulatory risk and an expanded compliance footprint. Exchanges and brokers that list prediction-market products must navigate a spectrum of requirements, including licensing regimes, consumer-protection standards, age-verification protocols, and strict anti-fraud controls. The interplay between federal and state authorities could yield a future in which a single platform operates under a federally preemptive regime in some contexts while remaining subject to state rules in others, depending on product design, client base, and where services are marketed and accessed.

The stakes extend to financial institutions and payment rails that service prediction-market platforms. Banks and custody providers must assess legal risk, programmatic controls, and Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and anti-money-laundering (AML) obligations under evolving regulatory guidance. Depending on the trajectory of the cases, there could be a renewed emphasis on licensing clarity, standardized disclosure practices, and formalized oversight structures that reduce ambiguity for counterparties and investors.

Policy context matters as well. The ongoing dispute sits at the intersection of federal financial regulation and state gaming oversight, a dynamic that has prompted calls for greater harmonization or, at minimum, clearer delineation of jurisdiction. In international terms, the U.S. framework could influence discussions around analogous regimes in other jurisdictions, including the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, which contemplates different mechanisms for regulating crypto markets at the supranational level. For operators with cross-border ambitions, aligning with a coherent, predictable regulatory posture becomes essential for risk management and capital planning.

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As the litigation unfolds, analysts and compliance teams will be watching for developments on several fronts: whether the federal court grants a broad interpretation of exclusive CFTC jurisdiction; whether state courts or legislatures seek to preserve traditional gambling controls or push for regulatory convergence with federal standards; and how these legal questions translate into licensing timelines, product design changes, and enforcement priorities across jurisdictions.

Closing perspective

The unfolding disagreement between federal authority and state gambling regulation over prediction markets underscores a fundamental shift in how authorities may oversee emerging financial-technology products. For institutions, the path forward will require meticulous mapping of regulatory requirements, robust cross-jurisdictional compliance programs, and careful attention to evolving case law as courts define the boundaries of federal preemption and state sovereignty.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin’s $40k bear case would be a historic outlier, data suggests

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Mean reversion Index (CheckonChain)

Bitcoin’s recent gains — it’s added almost 15% this month — aren’t enough to convince some industry observers that the largest cryptocurrency has escaped the bear market it entered in October. It is, after all, still 40% below its record.

There may be deeper drops to come, with some, unidentified, forecasters, predicting a drop to as low as $40,000, a 70% drop from its all-time high. The figure comes from bitcoin analyst James Check, who says such a move is unlikely. While not impossible, he said in a post on X, it would be statistically extraordinary.

“Just to make a point, for the bears who want to see $40k.

You may well end up right. However, consider that on a mean reversion basis, averaging relative to nine anchors (a mix of technical, onchain, trend, fast, slow etc), it is a Q 0.4 event.

Lower than $2 Bitcoin in 2011.”

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After climbing over $126,000 in October, bitcoin slid more than 50% to around $60,000 in February before stabilizing. It was trading Friday near $78,000.

Talking to the bears, Check said their predictions warrant closer scrutiny.

Check points to the Bitcoin Mean Reversion Index, a composite model that averages multiple key valuation metrics, including the 200-week moving average, realized price, power law trend and a number of volume-weighted average price measures. The index ranks bitcoin’s price on a historical percentile basis.

When modeled at $40,000, bitcoin registers as a “0.4 event,” meaning it would fall in the 0.4th percentile of all daily closes.

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“That’s below any meaningful deviation across all major anchors,” Check said.

For context, Check says that would be equivalent to bitcoin trading below $2 in 2011 on a relative basis. By contrast, today’s price sits around the 31.5th percentile, historically weak but within normal correction ranges.

“There’s no zero probability in markets,” Check added, “but this would be a near-unprecedented outcome.”

Mean reversion Index (CheckonChain)

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Aave and Partners Push Arbitrum DAO to Release 30,765 ETH for rsETH Recovery Effort

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Aave and partners submitted a governance proposal asking Arbitrum DAO to release 30,765.67 frozen ETH.
  • The April 18 rsETH exploit created a backing shortfall of approximately 76,127 rsETH across the protocol.
  • Released ETH would go to a 2-of-3 Gnosis Safe controlled by Aave Labs, KelpDAO, and Certora signers.
  • The full governance process spans roughly 49 days before any ETH release can be formally executed.

Aave service providers, alongside KelpDAO, LayerZero, EtherFi, and Compound, have submitted a governance proposal to the Arbitrum DAO.

The proposal requests the release of 30,765.67 ETH frozen by the Arbitrum Security Council. The funds, frozen following the April 18 rsETH exploit, would go toward a coordinated cross-protocol recovery effort.

The goal is to restore rsETH’s backing and reduce losses for affected users across DeFi.

Arbitrum Governance Asked to Unlock Frozen ETH

The Arbitrum Security Council froze the ETH on April 21, 2026, moving it to a designated address after identifying the exploiter’s holdings.

A subsequent governance vote is required before any release can happen. The proposal was submitted on April 25, 2026, and is now open for community review and feedback.

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Aave posted on X, stating that the proposal aims to direct the recovered funds into DeFi United, a coordinated recovery effort.

The post noted that releasing the ETH “would meaningfully advance the path to resolution as others confirm their commitments.” The Arbitrum community is invited to share feedback on the forum.

The LlamaRisk April 20 incident report confirmed the scale of the problem. The KelpDAO rsETH Unichain-to-Ethereum bridge released 116,500 rsETH on Ethereum without a corresponding burn on the source side.

At the time of the report, only 40,373 rsETH remained as confirmed backing for 152,577 rsETH in remote-chain claims, leaving a shortfall of approximately 76,127 rsETH.

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The 30,765.67 ETH currently frozen on Arbitrum represents a material portion of what is needed to close that gap. Returning those funds to the recovery effort would directly reduce the backing shortfall and improve conditions for rsETH holders across multiple protocols.

Coordinated Recovery Effort Targets Full Collateralization

If the proposal passes, the ETH will be sent to a 2-of-3 Gnosis Safe at a designated recovery address. Signers from Aave Labs, KelpDAO, and Certora will control the multisig. The funds are intended solely for remediating losses from the exploit.

Within Aave’s Ethereum Core and Arbitrum markets, the exploiter supplied 89,567 rsETH and borrowed 82,650 WETH plus 821 wstETH against those positions. Aave’s smart contracts were not compromised, as the incident originated outside the protocol entirely.

The proposal timeline spans approximately 49 days in total. This includes a one-week forum discussion period, a Snapshot temperature check, a 14-day onchain vote, and various waiting and finalization periods across both L2 and L1.

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No new treasury allocation is requested from Arbitrum DAO, as the ETH is already frozen and awaiting a governance decision on its destination.

A partial recovery would still reduce the shortfall proportionally, improving outcomes for affected users even if full collateralization is not immediately achieved.

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CFTC Sues New York Over bid to Apply Gambling Laws to Prediction Markets

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37 states back Massachusetts in amicus brief. Source: New York Gov

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against New York to stop the state from applying its gambling laws to federally regulated prediction market platforms, escalating a growing clash over who has authority to oversee these products.

In a complaint lodged in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York, the CFTC argued that federal law gives it exclusive authority over these markets, asking the court for a declaratory judgment and a permanent injunction against New York’s enforcement actions.

“CFTC-registered exchanges have faced an onslaught of state lawsuits seeking to limit Americans’ access to event contracts and undermine the CFTC’s sole regulatory jurisdiction over prediction markets,” CFTC Chair Michael Selig said.

Earlier this week, New York filed suits against Coinbase and Gemini, claiming their offerings violated state gambling rules. The state had also previously targeted Kalshi, ordering it to halt parts of its sports-related contracts.

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Related: Kalshi, Polymarket among 27 prediction platforms banned in Brazil

States say federal law doesn’t legalize sports betting

On Friday, a coalition of 37 states and Washington, D.C. filed an amicus brief supporting Massachusetts in its case against Kalshi, urging Massachusetts’ highest court to reject Kalshi’s argument that federal law allows it to offer sports betting nationwide without following state rules.

Kalshi argues its betting products are “swaps” regulated by a federal agency under a 2010 financial law. The states say that law was never meant to legalize or control sports betting and does not clearly override state authority, which has historically governed gambling.

37 states back Massachusetts in amicus brief. Source: New York Gov
37 states back Massachusetts in amicus brief. Source: New York Gov

37 states back Massachusetts in amicus brief. Source: New York Gov

The states also argue that removing state oversight would weaken protections. State laws currently handle licensing, age limits, fraud prevention, and gambling addiction, which are areas not covered by federal financial regulation.

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Related: US appeals court upholds preventing New Jersey enforcement against Kalshi

States ramp up crackdown on prediction markets

State officials have taken a more aggressive stance against prediction markets in recent months, issuing cease-and-desist letters and pursuing legal action against firms offering prediction contracts.

States like Arizona, Connecticut and Illinois are seeking to enforce gambling laws against prediction platforms. Earlier this month, a Nevada judge extended a ban preventing Kalshi from offering event-based contracts in the state, siding with regulators who argue the products amount to unlicensed gambling.

Magazine: How to fix suspected insider trading on Polymarket and Kalshi

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Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Nine-day inflow streak for spot Bitcoin ETFs signals steady demand

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Crypto Breaking News

US spot Bitcoin ETFs continued to attract fresh capital, extending a nine-day inflow run through April 24 as investors piled into core crypto exposure through regulated vehicles. SoSoValue’s tracking shows about $2.12 billion of net inflows over the April 14–24 window, with the strongest single-day performance on April 17, when inflows reached $663.91 million. Other notable sessions included April 14’s $411.50 million and April 22’s $335.82 million.

The momentum wasn’t universal across all funds. Friday’s activity was comparatively modest, with net inflows of $14.45 million. Among the individual managers, BlackRock’s IBIT led the session with $22.88 million in inflows, while Fidelity’s FBTC recorded outflows of $1.69 million. Bitwise’s BITB and ARK 21Shares’ ARKB also posted outflows of $8.85 million and $9.02 million, respectively, with other products largely flat. The overall streak marks the first nine-day run for spot BTC ETFs since a similar burst in October, when inflows surged on consecutive days, including $1.21 billion on Oct. 6 and $875.6 million on Oct. 7.

Bitcoin’s market backdrop has helped sustain the flow. BTC was trading around $77,516.55, up roughly 10.7% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. The confluence of rising prices and regulated access appears to be reinforcing investor conviction that these products offer a stable exposure channel for crypto exposure within traditional portfolios.

Key takeaways

  • Spot BTC ETFs posted roughly $2.12 billion in net inflows over April 14–24, marking a nine-day streak driven by broad-based institutional demand.
  • Single-day highs included $663.91 million on April 17, with other strong days on April 14 ($411.50 million) and April 22 ($335.82 million).
  • Not all funds participated equally; some concentrates like BlackRock’s IBIT led the day, while Fidelity’s FBTC and others faced outflows or flat flows.
  • Overall, 2026 cumulative net inflows through spot BTC ETFs reached about $58.23 billion, signaling persistent demand despite a price backdrop below recent peaks.
  • Ether ETFs mirrored BTC momentum with a nine-day inflow streak, though the run paused on April 23 with a net outflow of $75.94 million.

Bitcoin ETF investors stay the course amid volatility

The sustained inflows into spot BTC ETFs—despite Bitcoin trading well below its October highs—underscore a shift toward longer-term positioning among institutional investors. In a social post, ETF analyst Nate Geraci characterized the pattern as evidence of “diamond hands” behavior, where buyers maintain exposure through drawdowns rather than reacting to near-term volatility. SoSoValue data corroborate a broader theme: ETF participants are treating these products as core allocations rather than tactical bets, reinforcing a structural layer of demand that can help stabilize flows during pullbacks.

The takeaway for traders and builders is that regulatory-compliant access channels continue to resonate with the market’s risk tolerance. The steady flow suggests participants view spot BTC ETFs as a credible, long-horizon mechanism to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the asset, which can matter for liquidity, price discovery, and risk budgeting in diversified portfolios.

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Ethereum exposure climbs in step, then eases

US spot Ether ETFs mirrored the BTC momentum, recording nine consecutive days of net inflows from April 14 through April 22. The strongest session occurred on April 17, when Ether ETFs attracted $127.49 million. Other notable days included April 22 with $96.44 million and April 20 with $67.77 million. The streak ended on April 23, when funds logged net outflows of $75.94 million, marking a reversal after a robust run.

The broader ETH narrative continues to draw attention to Ethereum’s ecosystem exposure alongside BTC. While the BTC rally anchors the narrative, Ether-based products offer market participants a way to diversify crypto risk and participate in the broader smart-contract platform theme with regulated vehicles. The data indicate a protective appetite for ETH exposure during the streak, followed by a pullback that may reflect shifting demand or tactical rebalancing across funds.

Where this leaves investors and markets next

Overall, the period pushed cumulative 2026 inflows into the BTC ETF space to a sizable sum—roughly $58.23 billion, according to SoSoValue—highlighting a durable appetite for regulated crypto access. The juxtaposition of rising inflows against a still-substantial price gap from the all-time highs may indicate that investors view these products as stabilizing anchors for long-term crypto exposure, rather than merely chasing immediate price moves.

As for Ether, the nine-day inflow streak followed by a pause raises questions about the durability of ETH-related demand in the near term. Market participants will be watching for fresh data in early May to see whether inflows resume and how price dynamics for ETH influence further fund flows, particularly as Ethereum-related fundamentals and network activity continue to evolve.

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Looking ahead, the key watchpoints will include how policymakers and regulators respond to evolving ETF structures, how primary-market flows interact with secondary-market liquidity, and whether next-month data reinforce the current pattern of steady, institutionally oriented capital entering spot crypto ETFs. For readers, the signal remains clear: regulated products are increasingly central to how major investors gain and manage crypto exposure, even as volatility persists.

Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and will continue tracking ETF inflows, price action, and regulatory developments to help readers gauge the evolving dynamics of crypto-market access.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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XRP Short Squeeze Builds as Whales Pull Millions From Binance Amid Negative Funding Rate

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XRP Short Squeeze Builds as Whales Pull Millions From Binance Amid Negative Funding Rate

TLDR:

  • XRP funding rate on Binance hit -0.00292847, confirming short sellers are paying premiums to hold positions.
  • Whale-to-exchange transactions spiked to 3,049, far above the 7-day average of 751 recorded on Binance.
  • XRP exchange netflow hit -7.79M in 24 hours, over six times the 30-day moving average of -1.15M XRP.
  • The Speculation-to-Utility Ratio of 1.3827 shows real network demand backs XRP amid current bearish sentiment.

XRP derivatives data on Binance shows a sharp buildup of short positions as the asset trades near $1.4394. The funding rate has turned negative at -0.00292847, meaning sellers are paying premiums to hold their bets.

Meanwhile, the asset recorded a 3.34% weekly retraction. Exchange netflow data reveals that large players moved roughly 7.79 million XRP off Binance in 24 hours, far above the 30-day average outflow of 1.15 million XRP.

Derivatives Data Points to a Potential Short Squeeze

The bearish lean in XRP derivatives is clear from current Binance data. A negative funding rate means short traders are actively paying to keep their positions open. This dynamic often signals an overcrowded trade rather than a structural breakdown in price.

Adding to this picture, the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio sits at 0.9723, showing that sell-side pressure edges out buying activity.

However, an overcrowded short position can quickly reverse when price moves against sellers. That reversal mechanism is commonly known as a short squeeze.

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Cryptoquant analyst GugaOnChain noted that “bets against XRP surge in Binance derivatives, but the magnitude of the institutional outflow signals accumulation.”

The comment came alongside on-chain data showing a spike in whale-to-exchange transactions. Those transactions, at 3,049 over the observed period, stood well above the 7-day average of 751.

When price breaks local resistance levels, short sellers face forced liquidations. Those liquidations push the price higher, triggering a cascade that accelerates the move upward. That mechanism, combined with current positioning, creates the setup the analyst described.

On-Chain Data Shows Consistent Network Utility Behind XRP

Beyond the derivatives market, on-chain settlement data offers a broader view of XRP’s activity. The network processed 298.15 million XRP in settlement volume during the period reviewed. That figure supports the idea that the ledger is seeing real transactional demand, not just speculative interest.

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The Speculation-to-Utility Ratio currently stands at 1.3827. This reading suggests that while speculation is present, it does not vastly outpace actual network usage.

A ratio hovering near 1.38 shows the two sides remain relatively balanced. That balance helps sustain the network’s credibility during volatile price swings.

The 7.79 million XRP outflow from Binance stood dramatically above the 30-day moving average of 1.15 million XRP.

Outflows of this size typically reflect assets moving into cold storage or self-custody wallets. Large players generally do this when they intend to hold rather than sell in the near term.

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Taken together, the on-chain data presents a different narrative from what the derivatives market suggests. While sentiment in futures markets leans bearish, the actual movement of XRP off exchanges points toward accumulation.

If spot demand picks up and price pushes past key resistance levels, the crowded short trade could unwind quickly.

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Federal Agency Sues New York Over Prediction Market Ban

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Federal Agency Sues New York Over Prediction Market Ban

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued New York to block the state from enforcing its gambling laws against federally registered prediction market exchanges.

The complaint filed in the Southern District of New York seeks a declaratory judgment confirming federal preemption, plus a permanent injunction barring state action against CFTC-registered designated contract markets.

Fourth State in CFTC’s Prediction Market Fight

New York joins Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois on the agency’s docket. The CFTC sued the other three states earlier this month over parallel enforcement campaigns aimed at registered prediction market venues.

A federal judge in Arizona granted the agency a temporary restraining order halting that state’s criminal case against CFTC-regulated platforms. The CFTC has also filed an amicus brief in the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals defending its preemption argument before appellate judges.

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New York’s regulators previously hit registered platforms with cease-and-desist letters and civil suits. Chairman Michael Selig accused the state of disregarding longstanding federal precedent by treating CFTC-listed event contracts as illegal gambling products subject to state licensure rules.

Mike Selig, Source: X

Massachusetts Amicus Filed Same Day

The agency simultaneously filed an amicus brief in the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court in Commonwealth of Massachusetts v. KalshiEx LLC. Attorney General Andrea Campbell previously secured a preliminary injunction blocking Kalshi from offering sports event contracts to Massachusetts customers.

The brief argues the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state laws applied to CFTC-regulated markets. Selig said Congress assigned the agency sole authority over commodity derivatives, prediction markets included.

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Kalshi recently prevailed at the Third Circuit Court of Appeals in a parallel New Jersey case, strengthening the federal preemption argument. Kalshi and Polymarket together face more than a dozen state and tribal challenges over sports and political event contracts.

Trading Climbs as Prediction Markets Go Mainstream

Trading activity on both platforms has climbed through early 2026, with sports event contracts emerging as the central flashpoint between state and federal authorities. Google Finance recently integrated Kalshi and Polymarket odds data, pulling prediction market pricing further into mainstream financial coverage.

Federal courts in New York and Massachusetts will now rule on whether the Exchange Act blocks state gambling claims. Their decisions, alongside the CFTC’s Ninth Circuit amicus and the Arizona restraining order, could shape national rules for a fast-growing industry that operates across every state.

The post Federal Agency Sues New York Over Prediction Market Ban appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Chainlink (LINK) Surges on AWS Marketplace Launch as Tokenization Adoption Accelerates

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Chainlink (LINK) Price

Key Highlights

  • Chainlink’s Data Standard is now accessible via Amazon Web Services Marketplace, providing enterprises with streamlined blockchain integration capabilities.
  • The platform offers three core solutions: Data Feeds, Data Streams, and Proof of Reserve for diverse use cases.
  • Simon Goldberg from AWS highlighted how the partnership enables developers to leverage standard AWS infrastructure for smart contract development.
  • Market analyst Crypto Patel identified the AWS partnership as a significant driver, questioning whether LINK might surge from $9 to $100.
  • LINK maintains position above critical moving averages around $9.20, facing immediate resistance at $9.70 followed by $10.07.

Chainlink has successfully deployed its Data Standard on Amazon Web Services (AWS) Marketplace. This strategic expansion provides enterprise developers and financial institutions with streamlined access to blockchain connectivity through AWS’s established infrastructure.

The marketplace now features three distinct Chainlink solutions: Data Feeds, Data Streams, and Proof of Reserve.

Data Feeds furnishes decentralized pricing and market intelligence aggregated from numerous independent sources. This service powers valuation processes, settlement operations, and comprehensive risk assessment frameworks.

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Data Streams delivers ultra-fast, minimal-latency information designed for time-sensitive applications. The technology underpins on-chain financial instruments including perpetual futures contracts, options markets, and rapid-execution trading platforms.

Proof of Reserve enables transparent on-chain authentication of collateral supporting stablecoins and tokenized physical assets. This functionality empowers issuers to enhance credibility and streamline token creation workflows.

Simon Goldberg, serving as AWS’s web3 specialist solutions architect, articulated the partnership’s strategic value. “Chainlink’s oracle infrastructure extends these capabilities by providing secure, bidirectional connectivity between AWS resources and smart contracts deployed on blockchain networks,” he stated.

Goldberg emphasized that this collaboration empowers developers to utilize established AWS frameworks while constructing applications interfacing with tokenized assets and blockchain-based contracts.

Addressing the Oracle Challenge

Chainlink outlined a fundamental limitation in blockchain technology referred to as the “oracle problem.” Smart contract platforms lack inherent ability to retrieve off-chain information, creating barriers for tokenization initiatives. Chainlink’s decentralized oracle infrastructure addresses this critical gap.

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The AWS integration links compute resources, storage systems, databases, and API services directly to blockchain smart contracts. This architecture enables organizations to develop hybrid solutions operating seamlessly across conventional cloud infrastructure and distributed ledger networks.

Chainlink also acknowledged intensifying competition within the oracle sector. Pyth recently established a partnership with prediction platform Kalshi. Concurrently, major financial data providers including FTSE Russell, Deutsche Börse, S&P Global, and Coinbase have committed to supplying information through Chainlink’s DataLink infrastructure.

LINK Price Maintains Critical Technical Levels

From a technical perspective, LINK is positioned above both the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages, converging around the $9.20 zone. The Relative Strength Index registers approximately 54, while Stochastic indicators hover near 59, suggesting moderate upward pressure.

Chainlink (LINK) Price
Chainlink (LINK) Price

Immediate resistance emerges at $9.70, with secondary resistance at the 100-day EMA positioned at $10.07. A sustained close above $10.07 could trigger momentum toward $11.16.

Downside support remains established at the $9.12 trendline. Failure to maintain this level would likely test $8.55, with further support at $8.18.

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Cryptocurrency analyst Crypto Patel questioned on social platform X whether LINK might rally from current $9 levels to $100, characterizing the AWS collaboration as “the catalyst nobody was watching.”

Currently, LINK trades just above the $9.20 support zone with immediate resistance established at $9.70.

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eBay (EBAY) Stock Tumbles 5.3% Following Office Closure, Downgrades, and $18M Insider Sales

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EBAY Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • eBay shares declined 5.3% to $97.94 during trading on April 24, 2026
  • The e-commerce giant announced plans to shutter its San Francisco headquarters and reduce workforce
  • Management is pivoting back to its primary resale business while deepening Depop integration
  • Multiple Wall Street analysts shifted their ratings to Hold prior to the upcoming earnings release
  • Company executives offloaded $18.4M worth of shares in the last three months without any purchases

eBay experienced a challenging trading session on Thursday. Shares tumbled 5.3% to close at $97.94, despite the company recently delivering strong quarterly performance and announcing a dividend increase.


EBAY Stock Card
eBay Inc., EBAY

What caused the sudden investor concern?

The primary catalyst was eBay’s announcement regarding the closure of its San Francisco headquarters along with planned workforce reductions. Management is realigning its strategy to concentrate on the company’s traditional resale marketplace while accelerating the integration of Depop, its secondhand fashion subsidiary.

Restructuring initiatives typically involve significant expenses — and markets generally react negatively to uncertainties surrounding employee layoffs and potential real estate impairments, regardless of whether the strategic rationale is sound.

The decline wasn’t occurring in isolation. Shares had experienced substantial appreciation before Thursday’s pullback, with year-to-date returns hovering around 19% entering the session. A portion of the selling pressure appears attributable to profit-taking following the stock’s impressive run.

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Wall Street Turns Cautious Before Earnings

Investor sentiment took another hit from the analyst community. Multiple Wall Street firms downgraded EBAY to Hold ratings in advance of next week’s earnings announcement. This represents a subtle signal that analysts believe much of the upside has been realized.

At the current price of $97.94, shares are trading 36% above GuruFocus’s GF Value estimate of $71.84, indicating potential overvaluation. The present P/E ratio of 22.5x represents approximately 43% expansion compared to the five-year median of 15.8x. This valuation premium offers limited margin for disappointment.

The GF Score remains solid at 86 out of 100, supported by a robust profitability rank of 8/10 and an exceptional momentum rank of 10/10. However, the valuation rank stands at only 5/10, while financial strength registers 6/10.

Executive Stock Sales Raise Eyebrows

One development that’s particularly difficult to overlook: company insiders divested approximately $18.4 million in EBAY shares during the previous three months, with no insider purchases recorded.

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Insider selling alone doesn’t necessarily signal trouble — executives have personal financial obligations and compensation packages to manage. However, when combined with analyst downgrades, a restructuring initiative, and shares trading substantially above calculated fair value, it creates a confluence of factors that heightens investor caution.

The 52-week trading range for EBAY extends from $65.00 to $107.34. At $97.94, shares remain positioned near the upper end of that range despite Thursday’s selloff.

eBay certainly has positive factors in play — a recently announced dividend boost, solid profitability indicators, and a restructuring strategy that could enhance operational efficiency over time. Yet the market appears to be questioning whether the stock’s recent valuation already reflects these positives.

Next week’s earnings announcement will serve as the next critical checkpoint. Investors will scrutinize any guidance regarding restructuring timelines, workforce figures, and progress on Depop integration efforts.

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Shares concluded trading on April 24 at $97.94, representing a 5.28% decline for the session.

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