Crypto World
UAE Exits OPEC and OPEC+; Signals Shift in Global Oil Dynamics
The press release reports that the United Arab Emirates will exit OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1, 2026, ending nearly six decades of membership. It frames the move as a strategic shift toward greater production flexibility as the UAE expands capacity toward 5 million barrels per day and argues that existing quotas may constrain a growing economy. Analysts cited in the release describe potential changes in global oil dynamics, including supply expectations and market volatility, while noting regional security tensions and price pressures as contextual backdrops. The note sets the stage for how this departure could reshape producer coordination and market sentiment.
Key points
- Exit takes effect May 1, 2026, ending UAE’s six-decade OPEC membership.
- UAE capacity expansion toward 5 million barrels per day.
- Departure could alter OPEC+ unity and producer discipline.
- Context includes regional security tensions and energy price dynamics impacting markets.
Why it matters
The UAE’s exit reshapes influence within oil markets by reducing OPEC+ unity and granting Abu Dhabi more latitude to monetize its expanding capacity. The move could widen supply options and inject greater uncertainty into pricing, affecting traders, policymakers, and energy markets as market participants reassess spare capacity, regional risk, and the pace of production growth.
What to watch
- Monitor Brent price and market volatility around the May 1 transition.
- Watch any guidance from UAE authorities on production policies post-exit.
- Observe reactions and shifts in alignment among other OPEC+ members.
Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company or its PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.
UAE Exit from OPEC Signals Shift in Global Oil Dynamics
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – April 28, 2026: The United Arab Emirates’ decision to exit OPEC and OPEC+ marks a significant turning point in global oil markets, according to eToro Market Analyst Sam North, highlighting shifting geopolitical dynamics and evolving supply expectations.
The UAE announced it will leave the producer alliance effective May 1, 2026, ending nearly six decades of membership. The move reflects a broader strategic shift as the country seeks greater flexibility over its production policy amid rising capacity and changing market conditions.

Commenting on the development, Sam North, Market Analyst at eToro, said: “The UAE’s decision to leave OPEC and OPEC+ from May 1 ends nearly six decades inside the oil producers’ club and marks a serious shift in the geopolitics of crude.
For markets, this is about more than one country wanting to pump more oil. The UAE has spent heavily to lift production capacity toward 5 million barrels per day, and OPEC+ quotas had increasingly looked like it was stifling a growing economy. Leaving gives Abu Dhabi more room to monetise those investments.
The timing also matters. This comes against a backdrop of regional security frustration, tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, and a sense that consumers are once again being squeezed by high energy costs and depleted strategic reserves.
The immediate dip in Brent showed the market’s first instinct: more UAE barrels could mean more supply and lower prices. But the rebound also told the other half of the story. Extra capacity does not instantly become risk-free supply when regional bottlenecks and security threats remain front and centre.
For OPEC+, this is a blow to unity and to Saudi Arabia’s ability to marshal producer discipline. It does not mean a price war starts tomorrow, but it raises the risk that one emerges if others decide to defend market share. In trading terms, this adds a new volatility premium: more potential supply, less cartel discipline, and a Gulf energy map that suddenly looks a lot less predictable.”
The announcement comes at a time of heightened uncertainty in global energy markets, with geopolitical tensions, supply chain constraints, and demand recovery trends all contributing to price volatility. The UAE’s exit is expected to reshape market expectations around supply flexibility and producer coordination.
Media Contact:
PR@etoro.com
About eToro
eToro is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we’ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your knowledge and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre here for our latest news.
Crypto World
BTC is the best ‘inflation hedge’, better than gold, Paul Tudor Jones says
Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones said bitcoin stands out as the strongest hedge against inflation, citing its fixed supply as a key advantage over traditional assets like gold.
“Bitcoin is unequivocally the best inflation hedge that there is — more than gold,” Jones said in an interview with Invest Like the Best podcast published Tuesday. He pointed to the largest crypto’s capped supply. Unlike gold, whose supply increases each year, bitcoin has a hard limit on the number of coins that can be created, making it scarcer by design, he said.
Jones framed bitcoin’s appeal through the lens of past market cycles. During periods of aggressive monetary and fiscal stimulus, such as after the March 2020 pandemic crash, he said inflation trades tend to emerge as central banks inject liquidity into the system.
“When you saw all the interventions… you just knew that the inflation trades were going to take off,” he said, adding that bitcoin was the most compelling opportunity at the time.
His bullish view on bitcoin contrasts with a more cautious stance on equities. Jones warned that stock markets are stretched, with valuations that historically point to weak future returns.
At the same time, a wave of upcoming initial public offerings — such as SpaceX and artificial intelligence firms like OpenAI and Anthropic — and reduced share buybacks could increase equity supply, putting additional pressure on prices.
“If you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward returns [are] negative,” he said. “It’s going to be really hard to make money from here.”
While he stopped short of calling the current environment a full-blown bubble, he noted that the ratio of U.S. stock market capitalization to GDP remains near historic extremes, echoing levels seen before major downturns such as the dotcom bubble.
“In 1929 we were, I think at the top, at 65% [stock market capitalization to GDP] and then in ’87 we got to about 85%-90%, in 2000 we got 270%,” he noted.
“And now we’re at 252%, so you can just imagine,” he said. “We’re clearly so leveraged in equities in this country.”
Because of that, a major stock market correction may have broader ramifications on the economy, government budget deficit and the bond market, according to Jones.
“10% of our tax revenues are capital gains. They go to zero,” he said. “So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You see the bond market getting smoked.”
You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect,” he concluded. “It’s troubling.”
Crypto World
SEC Reviews 85-Item Proposal That Could Affect Bitcoin and XRP ETF Listings
The SEC opened a public comment period on April 27, 2026, on an 85-item NYSE Arca rule change that would set a hard 85% asset eligibility threshold for crypto and commodity trust listings, directly affecting how Bitcoin and XRP products qualify for exchange approval.
The proposal amends Rule 8.201-E, the generic listing framework for commodity-based trust shares, and would count derivatives by aggregate gross notional value, a detail that could push borderline products out of compliance.
The question traders need to answer: does this framework accelerate the ETF pipeline or quietly narrow it?
Discover: The best pre-launch token sales
What the SEC 85% Rule Actually Means for Crypto ETF Listings
Under the proposed change, at least 85% of a trust’s net asset value must be held in assets that already satisfy NYSE Arca’s existing eligibility criteria.
That includes Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and XRP, each of which qualifies because futures contracts on those assets have traded on designated markets for at least six months. The remaining 15% may include non-qualifying assets, provided the trust remains otherwise compliant.

The filing’s examples make the stakes concrete. A trust with 95% allocated across bitcoin, ether, solana, and XRP clears the threshold.
A trust holding bitcoin alongside OTC call options on a bitcoin ETF, where qualifying exposure lands at only 71%, fails. NYSE Arca stated the framework is designed to improve market surveillance and deter manipulation while enabling new products to reach the market.
Sponsors would be required to monitor the 85% threshold daily and notify NYSE Arca immediately upon falling out of compliance.
Non-fungible assets and collectibles are explicitly excluded from the rule’s commodity definition, closing the generic listing route for those products entirely.
The SEC can approve, reject, or open further proceedings during its review period, with the comment window likely running 21 to 45 days from the April 27 notice.
This builds on the SEC’s mid-2025 introduction of generic listing standards for crypto ETPs, which compressed individual product review timelines from 240 days to roughly 75 days.
For context on how that process has played out in practice, GraniteShares’ repeated XRP ETF delays illustrate how procedural friction persists even within the streamlined framework.
Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with
The post SEC Reviews 85-Item Proposal That Could Affect Bitcoin and XRP ETF Listings appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Tether Orders Canaan Miners as Industry Migrates to Modular Mining
Canaan Inc. has landed another order from Tether to supply custom Bitcoin mining hardware, extending a collaboration that began with an experimental R&D phase focused on new system designs for large-scale operations. The latest deal centers on high-density hash board modules designed for immersion-cooled mining setups, with deployment planned at a Tether-linked facility in South America.
The arrangement positions Canaan as a preferred hardware partner for major mining operators like Tether, building on a 2025 research-and-development partnership with ACME Swisstech that produced a proof-of-concept platform aimed at boosting efficiency and scalability in mining operations. The open question moving forward is whether the new design will unlock meaningful gains in energy use and throughput at scale.
Beyond hardware, Tether is moving toward deeper integration of hardware and software within its mining operations. The issuer of the USDT stablecoin has been developing its own control boards and management software, signaling a broader push to coordinate mining infrastructure with centralized software systems. The latest agreement includes an option for additional purchases, giving Tether the flexibility to scale up its data-center-style mining footprint if the new design performs as hoped.
Canaan, a Singapore-based technology company focused on ASIC microprocessors and Bitcoin mining hardware, has disclosed that it currently holds 1,808 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at roughly $137 million. This represents its highest level of retained Bitcoin to date, according to the firm’s disclosures tracked by BitcoinTreasuries.NET.
Key takeaways
- The new order extends Canaan’s collaboration with Tether, supplying high-density, immersion-cooled hash boards for a South American facility and signaling deeper integration of cooling and processing technology.
- The arrangement includes an option for additional purchases, offering Tether a clear path to scale its mining operations if the tested designs prove effective.
- Tether’s move to develop control boards and software in-house points to a broader strategy of hardware-software cohesion within its mining stack, potentially reducing reliance on third-party management tools.
- Industry-wide demand pressures have spurred miners to diversify into data-center services and AI workloads, as companies seek new revenue streams beyond traditional BTC mining margins.
- Market response to related developments shows mixed sentiment, with Canaan’s stock and related mining ETFs reacting to broader sector dynamics and Bitcoin mining profitability expectations.
Strategic expansion: Canaan and Tether deepen collaboration
The latest contract underlines a strategic pivot for Canaan from standard ASIC manufacturing toward bespoke, turnkey hardware solutions for large-scale operators. By supplying immersion-cooled, high-density hash boards, the company aims to support more compact, efficient mining deployments in facilities designed to handle intensive heat and energy demands. This aligns with a growing industry preference for data-center-grade infrastructure that can host thousands of mining rigs under optimized cooling regimes.
The partnership builds on Canaan’s earlier R&D engagement with ACME Swisstech, which produced a proof-of-concept platform intended to improve mining efficiency and scalability. While the specifics of the platform remain largely private, industry observers see it as part of a broader trend toward engineering custom, enterprise-grade mining architectures rather than off-the-shelf solutions.
Tether’s broader mining strategy appears to be moving toward a tighter hardware-software loop. By developing its own control boards and management software, the stablecoin issuer signals an ambition to coordinate the entire lifecycle of mining operations—from hardware deployment to real-time performance monitoring and workload optimization. The objective is to reduce operational friction and create a more predictable, scalable mining environment as demand grows in certain regional markets.
Hardware-software convergence and the AI-infrastructure pivot
Coinciding with the Canaan deal, Tether announced the launch of an open-source mining framework designed to unify Bitcoin mining infrastructure under a single operational system. The framework aims to streamline management across disparate rigs and facilities, potentially lowering maintenance costs and shortening deployment cycles for large operators. The move follows industry-wide notices that several miners are expanding into data-center capabilities and AI-oriented workloads to diversify revenue and improve utilization of their physical assets.
The shift toward AI-enabled infrastructure is not unique to Tether. Major miners and adjacent players have been diversifying into AI-focused data centers and cloud capabilities as margins tighten within traditional mining. Industry observers note that this transition is driven by the high energy and capital intensity of Bitcoin mining, pushing firms to seek revenue streams that can better absorb cyclical demand fluctuations and rising energy costs.
Analysts have highlighted the broader risk-reward profile of this pivot. For instance, Bernstein has suggested that certain mining operators could recalibrate their portfolios toward AI cloud infrastructure, potentially reallocating capital away from pure mining activities if returns from existing mining operations prove insufficient to sustain growth. While this assessment focuses on specific players, the underlying takeaway is the sector-wide re-evaluation of where profitable growth lies as miners seek to weather a challenging operating environment.
From a market perspective, the news cycle surrounding Canaan and Tether has contributed to modest trading activity in related equities and funds. Canaan’s Nasdaq-listed shares traded down slightly in the mid-day session, while the CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) softened, reflecting a broader sensitivity to sector-wide profitability expectations and the evolving mix of mining assets within investor portfolios. Within WGMI’s holdings, CAN sits at a subdued weighting, underscoring the ETF’s diversified exposure to the mining sector rather than a single stock narrative.
BitcoinTreasuries.NET continues to track Canaan’s bitcoin holdings, which have climbed to their highest reported level. This reserve position is often cited by investors as a barometer of a mining-focused company’s willingness to retain capital in Bitcoin amid price volatility and sector headwinds. The current stance underscores a broader question for stakeholders: will Canaan’s strengthened hardware partnership with Tether translate into sustained cash flow and a longer-term upside for the stock as mining demand cycles evolve?
Industry backdrop: miners explore new revenue streams amid volatility
The expansion of mining infrastructure into data centers and AI workloads reflects a practical response to revenue pressures facing many miners. As mining rewards and margins compress, operators are looking to monetize energy-intensive assets through adjacent services and alternative compute workloads. The strategic emphasis on immersion cooling and high-density hardware is particularly relevant given the heat and energy dynamics associated with large-scale Bitcoin mining operations.
In parallel, several other players—ranging from established miners to new entrants—have signaled a similar appetite for diversification. The goal is not only to sustain profitability but also to position themselves as multi-service providers capable of supporting a broader compute ecosystem. Such positioning could prove advantageous if industry demand for AI-capable data-center capacity continues to grow, even as the price of BTC experiences volatility.
As this trend unfolds, observers will be watching indicators such as project execution milestones, unit-level efficiency gains from immersion-cooled designs, and the degree to which in-house hardware-software ecosystems translate into measurable improvements in uptime and operational costs. The outcome will influence who leads in the next phase of commercial mining infrastructure and whether AI-centric compute becomes a core pillar of long-term strategy for major miners.
With Tether continuing to push into hardware-software integration and Canaan expanding its custom, enterprise-grade offerings, the market will likely reassess the supply chain readiness for advanced mining deployments. The timing of any scale-up or additional orders will be telling, particularly as regional energy policies, tax considerations, and corporate strategies shape the feasibility and speed of such deployments.
Looking ahead, readers should monitor updates on Tether’s open-source framework implementation, any further disclosures about the performance of the new immersion-cooled modules, and the potential expansion of the partnership with ACME Swisstech or similar collaborators. These developments will help determine whether the convergence of hardware and software in mining signals a durable shift or a temporary alignment driven by current market dynamics.
Crypto World
Claude and Gemini Both Just Predicted Ripple XRP Hits $5 to $8: Do the On-Chain Signals Actually Back It Up?
Two AI models. One direction – AI crypto prediction. Same conclusion. Ripple XRP price is trading near $1.38, pressing into a key resistance zone after a 30% climb over the past months, and both Claude and Gemini are now converging on the same bullish outlook into 2026.
What looked like a divided narrative is starting to align, and the real signal sits beneath the surface in the technicals and flow data.
Gemini’s projection leans into XRP evolving into a global settlement layer, backed by ETF-driven liquidity and expanding institutional adoption across key banking corridors, particularly in Asia.

Claude’s framework echoes that trajectory, pointing to regulatory clarity and real-world utility as the unlock for sustained capital inflows.
Both models ultimately circle the same zone, a projected move into the $5.00–$8.00 range, contingent on liquidity rotating from speculation into usage-driven demand.
On-chain data from Santiment adds weight to that case. XRP Ledger just recorded nearly 35 million XRP in exchange outflows within 24 hours, one of the largest spikes this year.

That kind of movement typically signals accumulation, with holders pulling supply off exchanges and tightening sell pressure.
The pattern has shown up before, with similar spikes preceding 20% to 50% upside moves, suggesting positioning may already be underway.
The bigger question now is not direction, but timing. If XRP can decisively clear the $2.00 resistance and hold above it, the alignment between AI projections and on-chain behavior starts to look less like theory and more like early-stage confirmation.
Can Ripple XRP Price Hit a 30% Move in May 2025?
Ripple XRP is sitting at $1.387, and the structure here is a clear range that has been playing out since mid-March with price oscillating between roughly $1.28 on the low end and $1.61 at the top of the range.
The most recent move saw price run from the $1.30 support zone all the way up to $1.52 before rolling over hard, and it has now given back most of that gain and is sitting right at the $1.38 to $1.40 area which has acted as a mid-range pivot throughout this whole period.
The immediate concern is that price just broke below that pivot level after the latest rejection, which puts it in no man’s land between the $1.40 zone above and the $1.28 to $1.30 support below.
If $1.30 gets tested again and holds, the range remains intact and another bounce attempt is on the table. If it breaks, the range structure collapses and XRP loses the base it has been building since February.
On the upside, $1.50 is the first meaningful resistance to clear before anything more significant opens up, and the failed attempt to hold above it last week shows that level still has real supply sitting there.
Right now this is a range-bound chart drifting toward the lower half of that range, and the $1.28 to $1.30 zone is the only thing standing between the current setup and a more serious breakdown.
Bitcoin Hyper Raising 32.5M During Bearmarket, Could It 100X During Bull Market?
XRP’s run has been strong, but at this size, the upside naturally slows down. Doubling from here is possible, but it needs real capital inflows, not just momentum.
That is why some traders look beyond large caps for asymmetric setups, where the starting point is earlier and the upside is not already priced in.
Bitcoin Hyper is aiming at that space, building a Layer 2 on Bitcoin with SVM integration to bring faster execution and smart contracts into the BTC ecosystem. The idea is to combine Bitcoin’s security with high-speed performance and lower costs.
The presale has already raised over $32.5M at around $0.0136792, which shows strong early demand. Features like staking, a native bridge, and fast execution are meant to make it more than just a narrative play.
But it is still early, and that comes with real trade-offs. Liquidity is untested, execution is not guaranteed, and price discovery only happens after launch.
So the setup is simple, XRP offers stability with slower upside, while something like Bitcoin Hyper offers earlier positioning with higher potential, but also higher risk.
The post Claude and Gemini Both Just Predicted Ripple XRP Hits $5 to $8: Do the On-Chain Signals Actually Back It Up? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Holds $76K Ahead of Powell’s Final Fed Meeting
Crypto markets are trading cautiously, with the Fed widely expected to hold rates steady tomorrow.
Crypto markets are stuck in neutral as traders weigh a closed Strait of Hormuz, hawkish dissent at the Bank of Japan, and Jerome Powell’s final Fed meeting, all falling within the same 48-hour window.
Bitcoin is trading at $76,360, down 0.7% over 24 hours, after failing twice in the past week to reclaim $80,000, per CoinGecko data. Ether ticked up 0.3% to $2,299, though the second-largest cryptocurrency is still marginally lower over the past seven days.

The total crypto market capitalization slipped 0.5% to $2.64 trillion.
The macro situation dominated heading into Tuesday’s session. WTI crude futures for June delivery traded 3% higher near $100 per barrel as traders weighed Iran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz only if the U.S. lifts its blockade. The chokepoint has been closed since February 28, triggering one of the most significant energy shocks in modern history.
The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75% earlier today, though the decision was not unanimous, with three members calling for a hike. The yen rose while Bitcoin remained under pressure. The Federal Reserve’s two-day FOMC meeting kicks off today, with markets pricing in a near-certainty that rates will remain unchanged. Tomorrow’s decision marks Jerome Powell’s last meeting and press conference as Fed Chair before his term ends on May 15, with Kevin Warsh expected to take over.
ETF Flows
The structural ETF bid that anchored the recent consolidation broke on Monday. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $263 million in net outflows on April 27, ending a nine-day streak that pulled in roughly $2.11 billion through April 24, per SoSoValue data.
Cumulative net inflows since launch now sit at $58.30 billion, with total ETF net assets at $101.23 billion as of April 27, equivalent to roughly 6.5% of Bitcoin’s market cap.
Altcoin Movers
MemeCore (M) is today’s biggest loser, dropping 15% over the past 24 hours and 21% on the week to $3.38, per CoinGecko.
Privacy token Zcash (ZEC) fell 5.6% on the day to $334 but remains 8.4% higher over seven days, while Hyperliquid’s HYPE slid 3.8% to $40 but eked out a 2.7% weekly gain. Stellar’s XLM is up 8.8% on the week despite today’s pullback.
Among the top 10, XRP, TRON and Solana slipped by 0.3% to 0.8%, while Dogecoin bucked the broader weakness with a 1.8% gain.
Looking ahead, near-term price action hinges on whether the Fed’s tone on Wednesday is dovish enough to offset oil-driven inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions.
Crypto World
Robinhood stock shrugs off a 47% crash in crypto revenue thanks to a massive surge in event betting
Robinhood (HOOD) reported a sharp decline in crypto trading revenue for the first quarter of 2026, even as growth in other parts of its business pushed overall revenue higher.
Crypto-related revenue fell 47% from a year earlier to $134 million, down from $252 million in the same period of 2025, according to its earnings release.
The drop came as customer activity shifted toward other trading products. Transaction-based revenue rose modestly to $623 million from $583 million a year ago. A key driver was a surge in so-called event contracts, which brought in a large share of “other transaction revenue” that climbed 320% year over year to $147 million.
Robinhood said users traded a record 8.8 billion event contracts during the quarter, reflecting growing interest in prediction markets. These products let users place bets on the outcome of real-world events, similar to forecasting whether interest rates will rise or who might win an election.
Total revenue increased 15% to $1.07 billion, compared with $927 million a year earlier. Net income increased 3% year-over-year to $346 million.
Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.38, slightly above $0.37 in the prior-year period, but missing analyst estimates of $0.39.
The results show how Robinhood is working to reduce its reliance on crypto trading, which can swing sharply with market sentiment. Like Coinbase (COIN), which is set to report earnings on May 7, the company has been expanding into new areas such as derivatives and prediction markets to smooth out revenue.
Robinhood also reported strong growth in net interest revenue and subscription products, including its Gold service, as it builds a broader financial ecosystem.
Shares of HOOD fell 6% in post-market trading. The company said it will host an earnings call at 5 p.m. ET.
Crypto World
Falcon Upgrade Aims to Outrun Quantum Threats
Solana is advancing a post-quantum security plan as it selects Falcon to secure the network against future threats. Independent developer teams align on Falcon for speed and compact design, and there are no immediate changes as the rollout proceeds in phases to ensure a smooth transition.
Solana Aligns on Falcon for Quantum Security
Solana relies on high transaction throughput, so any upgrade must remain efficient.
Developers selected Falcon because it offers compact signatures and strong security.
This combination helps preserve network speed while improving future resilience.
Both Anza and Firedancer teams studied multiple post-quantum options. However, they reached the same outcome without coordination.
This consistency signals strong technical validation behind Falcon’s selection.
Falcon also holds recognition from the National Institute of Standards and Technology as a post-quantum candidate. That status adds credibility to its long-term viability. It also aligns Solana with broader industry research.
Compact Signatures Support High Throughput
Falcon produces signatures around 690 bytes, which remain significantly smaller than alternatives.
Larger schemes like Dilithium generate signatures several kilobytes in size.
Smaller data sizes help maintain faster processing speeds.
Solana processes thousands of transactions per second, so efficiency remains critical.
Developers confirmed that Falcon supports this demand without major trade-offs.
Early tests suggest improved performance compared to current cryptographic methods.
Optimized implementations may increase network speed further. Internal testing indicates potential gains of up to three times. These results strengthen the case for Falcon integration.
Phased Roadmap Limits Immediate Disruption
The foundation confirmed that no urgent changes affect users today. Existing wallets and transactions continue operating under current cryptographic standards. This ensures stability while development progresses.
Future phases will introduce Falcon gradually across the ecosystem. New wallets may adopt the system first if risks increase. Older wallets will transition later through a structured migration plan.
Other ecosystem projects explore additional quantum-resistant tools. Blueshift’s Winternitz Vault represents one such effort. These parallel developments show broader preparation across the network.
Solana’s strategy reflects a long-term focus on security and performance. The foundation recognizes that quantum threats remain distant but possible. Early preparation allows controlled testing and reduces future risk.
Crypto World
Why a Sudden Cardboard Box Slump Is Quietly Flashing US Recession Warnings
America’s cardboard box business just printed its ugliest quarter in years, and now Wall Street is whispering the R-word again. US containerboard production tumbled more than 8% during Q1 2026, fresh AF&PA data shows.
Box shipments slipped 1.9% over the same stretch, according to the Fibre Box Association. Producers have already cut roughly 10% of capacity since 2025. That haircut runs deeper than the one taken during 2009.
The Cardboard Tell In US Recession Fears
Almost 75% of US non-durable goods ship inside corrugated boxes. That makes box demand a real-time pulse on factories, retailers, and Amazon trucks alike.
Former Federal Reserve chair Alan Greenspan reportedly watched the gauge closely. Box volumes have historically slid 10% to 15% before or during recessions. The 2008 downturn followed that pattern.
E-commerce dependency has rewired the gauge somewhat. Online ordering kept boxes flowing through 2020 lockdowns even as services ground to a halt. That carve-out makes today’s slump harder to read.
The Q1 2026 numbers still came in worse than analysts expected. Storms knocked January shipments down 7% year over year. February dipped 1.7%. March then jumped 3.4%, hinting at stabilization.
The production drop is not unprecedented, coming after the sharper fall that followed the post-COVID stocking glut.
Wall Street Splits the Bill
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 30% in March. The bank cited oil shocks and tighter financial conditions.
Moody’s analyst Mark Zandi went further, putting the odds at 48.6%.Zandi called the risks “uncomfortably high.”
“US job market is signaling that a recession is already underway, per Mark Zandi of Moody’s,” reported Unusual Whales, citing Zandi.
A Wall Street Journal economist survey landed at 33%. Meanwhile, Polymarket bettors hover between 25% and 28%.
Goldman CEO David Solomon told investors that risk was “not materially elevated right now.” He warned the read sat only one tweet away from shifting.
However, it is worth noting that recession odds hit 48.6% in February, the highest since the pandemic, with crowd-sourced bets on Polymarket flagging 40% in March.
What Happens Next
Still, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has dismissed recession talk, saying he expects “very strong, noninflationary growth” in 2026.
In the same tone, US President Donald Trump has promised a “golden age of America” built on tariffs and reshoring.
Democrats counter that the affordability squeeze and slowing hiring tell a different story. Unemployment has crept up to 4.5%. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index has wobbled lower for three months running.
Cardboard could be the swing data:
- If Q2 box orders bounce back, the soft-landing crowd wins the argument.
- If shipments slide again, Greenspan’s old gauge will flash red. Then the whispers may turn into shouts.
Markets remain split on what arrives first. A Federal Reserve rate cut, a Q1 GDP surprise, or another oil shock could redraw the picture.
The post Why a Sudden Cardboard Box Slump Is Quietly Flashing US Recession Warnings appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Crypto Will Become the World’s First Permissionless Equity System, Says Raoul Pal
TLDR:
- Raoul Pal argues UBI is a broken 20th-century solution that cannot keep pace with an AI-driven economy.
- AI agents will become the biggest DeFi users within five years, managing treasuries at machine speed.
- Anyone with a phone can buy permissionless equity in blockchain infrastructure with no KYC or restrictions.
- Pal projects the total crypto market will hit $100 trillion in six to eight years, calling it humanity’s pension plan.
Crypto will power the first truly global wealth system, according to macro investor Raoul Pal. The Real Vision CEO recently outlined a sweeping vision for how blockchain technology could reshape wealth distribution after artificial intelligence disrupts traditional economies.
Pal argues that permissionless crypto ownership is not a speculative bet but a structural reality. He believes anyone with a phone and internet connection can access this system regardless of location, status, or background.
Crypto Rails Are Already Replacing Legacy Financial Infrastructure
Crypto will power the new economy because legacy financial systems cannot keep up with AI-agent activity. The dollar does not fractionalise below a cent, and settlement is far from instant. Permissions depend on jurisdiction, which slows down machine-speed transactions considerably.
Pal noted that “agents run on crypto rails because nothing else works.” He added that “stablecoins handle the dollar leg and native tokens handle the rest.” This makes blockchain infrastructure the only viable backbone for an agent-driven economy.
AI agents are becoming the dominant users of the internet, gradually replacing human activity online. Pal wrote that “the biggest users of DeFi in five years won’t be humans farming yield” but rather “agents managing treasuries, swapping, earning and spending at machine speed.” That shift is already underway and accelerating faster than most expect.
Pal also pointed to memecoins as an early proof of concept for this system. He described them as enabling “instant capital formation around the attention of an idea, raised by entities without legal personhood, settled in seconds.” That model, he argues, is “the template agent economies will use to fund themselves.”
A Permissionless Stake in the World’s Productive Infrastructure
Crypto will power the first homogenous, globally fractionalisable claim on productive infrastructure ever created. Layer 1 blockchains are not just settling agent transactions but coordinating the entire new economy. Every contract, treasury, permission, and identity layer routes through this substrate.
Pal described ownership of this substrate as the actual answer to what he calls the Economic Singularity. He stated that anyone on earth with a phone can access “the first homogenous, permissionless, globally fractionalisable claim on the productive infrastructure of the world.” He added that there are “no KYC walls, no accreditation rules, no jurisdiction, no employer, no state, no permission.”
He outlines four pillars that hold up the post-AGI world for humans. These are Universal Basic Equity through token ownership, income derived from being human, AI-driven abundance lowering living costs, and taxing data center electricity use. Pal called these “four legs of a stool that holds up the post-singularity human world.”
Pal advises putting 10% of monthly earnings into crypto assets consistently over a decade. He recommends “Bitcoin if you want pure store of value, a basket of the major L1s if you want the coordination layer.” He projects the total crypto market will reach $100 trillion within six to eight years, adding that crypto is “humanity’s pension plan.”
Crypto World
Here’s everything to expect when the Fed issues its latest interest rate decision Wednesday
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell arrives for a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, DC, on March 18, 2026.
Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images
In what could be Jerome Powell’s final meeting as Federal Reserve chair, he is expected to lead his fellow policymakers toward another cautious pause, with stubborn inflation and a resilient labor market leaving little room yet for interest rate cuts.
The decision Wednesday will come against a backdrop of elevated energy prices and a central bank that has been above its 2% inflation target for five years at the same time that the labor market has been weak but not in distress. That’s not a recipe for easing, at least not yet.
“On the dual mandate, they’d say we’re roughly at a stable labor market,” Roger Ferguson, an economist and former vice chair at the Fed, told CNBC. “On the inflation side of the mandate, [there’s] a lot more work to be done with a sticky 3% [inflation rate], and I hope they argue, ‘we’re going to sit tight for a little while to see how this all plays out.’”
Similarly, Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle expects the post-meeting statement “is likely to acknowledge the better labor market news and higher inflation numbers but to leave the standing policy guidance unchanged. We expect a strong consensus to stay on hold for now, with only one dissent, as in March.”
So with little drama over the rate decision — markets are pricing in a 100% chance of the FOMC staying on hold — attention will turn squarely to Powell.
Unless something unexpected pops up, the chair’s designated successor, Kevin Warsh, appears on track to take over when Powell’s term ends in May.
The transition clouds the usual signaling value of Powell’s post-meeting news conference.
Inflation the key
Powell’s post-meeting news conference, normally a closely watched event for markets, could be viewed as less of a guide to future policy steps than it is a valedictory for a central bank leader who has had one of the most contentious relationships with a president in the institution’s history.
“If Powell were staying, I might be trying to read more in between the lines of what he says at the press conference,” said Jerry Tempelman, a former senior analyst at the New York Fed and now vice president of economic and fixed income research at Mutual of America Capital Management. “But given the fact that, in all likelihood, Kevin Warsh will soon be the Fed chair, all the surrounding language, etc., probably becomes less relevant.”
From a communications standpoint, Tempelman expects the Fed will put the focus on inflation, which most recently ran at 3% on an ex-food and energy basis using the central bank’s preferred gauge.
Crude oil prices are hovering around $100 a barrel and the average price nationwide for gasoline is surging again, now around $4.18 a gallon, further complicating the Fed’s path.
Though Fed officials often would look through such spikes as temporary, they also remain cautious about longer-term impacts should the fighting in the Middle East escalate.
“Inflation has continued to come in far above anyone’s expectations and far above the Fed’s target,” Tempelman said. “Everyone expects this to be Jay Powell’s final meeting. I think also there’s very little uncertainty as to what the decision will be, namely, that there will be no change to monetary policy in this meeting, and that from the June meeting on, it will be the Fed … chaired by Kevin Warsh.”
What does Powell do next?
That does not, however, mean that Powell’s future will be settled. The current chair has the option to stay on at the central bank for the final two years of his term as governor. So far, he has provided no indication of what he will do.
At the March meeting, he did say he wouldn’t be leaving until an investigation into the renovations at the Fed’s headquarters is completed. Jeanine Pirro, the U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia, passed the investigation off to the Fed’s office of inspector general, a move that politically cleared the way for Warsh’s confirmation.
However, it’s unknown whether that will satisfy the “well and truly over” bar that Powell set in March for his leaving.
“I’m not sure that the move of this investigation from the Justice Department to someplace else really fully checks the box of putting this behind us,” Ferguson said. “I’m not sure that if I were sitting in his seat or [was one of] his advisors, that I would say, let’s blow the all clear.”
-
Tech1 day agoRegister Renaming | Hackaday
-
Fashion4 days agoWeekend Open Thread – Corporette.com
-
Crypto World3 days agoHyperliquid $HYPE Rally Builds Momentum as AI Sector Enters Prove-It Phase
-
Politics6 days agoMaking troops accountable for war crimes threatens US alliance, ex-SAS colonel warns
-
Politics6 days agoDisabled people challenge government SEND proposals over segregation concerns
-
Business5 days agoPatterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (PTEN) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
-
Business6 days agoRolls-Royce Voted UK’s Most Iconic Trade Mark as IPO Register Hits 150
-
Sports2 days agoIPL 2026: Ruturaj Gaikwad registers slowest fifty of the season, enters all-time unwanted list | Cricket News
-
Politics24 hours agoDrax board avoid their own AGM, accused of greenwashing & environmental racism
-
Crypto World7 days agoNew York sues Coinbase, Gemini over prediction market offerings
-
Politics6 days agoStarmer handler McSweeney to be dragged from shadows by Foreign Affairs Committee
-
Politics6 days ago
Wings Over Scotland | How To Get Away With Crimes
-
Politics6 days agoZack Polanski responds to home secretary’s taser threat
-
Politics6 days ago‘Iran is still a nuclear threat’
-
Business7 days agoHCL Tech share price tank over 9% after weak Q4. JPMorgan, HSBC & 3 others cut target price
-
Crypto World7 days agoCrypto’s great hope in Senate’s Clarity Act still has a path to survive tight calendar
-
NewsBeat3 days agoLK Bennett closes all stores after entering administration
-
Sports6 days agoTim Bradley names the current best in the world: “Better than Inoue and Usyk”
-
Crypto World4 days agoMichael Saylor says BTC winter is over. Market analyst disagrees, says bitcoin was in a pullback
-
Crypto World7 days agoEthereum Price News: ETH Flashes a Bullish Setup No Holder Should Miss While Pepeto Nears Its Binance Listing


You must be logged in to post a comment Login