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BTC is the best ‘inflation hedge’, better than gold, Paul Tudor Jones says

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BTC is the best 'inflation hedge', better than gold, Paul Tudor Jones says

Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones said bitcoin stands out as the strongest hedge against inflation, citing its fixed supply as a key advantage over traditional assets like gold.

“Bitcoin is unequivocally the best inflation hedge that there is — more than gold,” Jones said in an interview with Invest Like the Best podcast published Tuesday. He pointed to the largest crypto’s capped supply. Unlike gold, whose supply increases each year, bitcoin has a hard limit on the number of coins that can be created, making it scarcer by design, he said.

Jones framed bitcoin’s appeal through the lens of past market cycles. During periods of aggressive monetary and fiscal stimulus, such as after the March 2020 pandemic crash, he said inflation trades tend to emerge as central banks inject liquidity into the system.

“When you saw all the interventions… you just knew that the inflation trades were going to take off,” he said, adding that bitcoin was the most compelling opportunity at the time.

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His bullish view on bitcoin contrasts with a more cautious stance on equities. Jones warned that stock markets are stretched, with valuations that historically point to weak future returns.

At the same time, a wave of upcoming initial public offerings — such as SpaceX and artificial intelligence firms like OpenAI and Anthropic — and reduced share buybacks could increase equity supply, putting additional pressure on prices.

“If you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward returns [are] negative,” he said. “It’s going to be really hard to make money from here.”

While he stopped short of calling the current environment a full-blown bubble, he noted that the ratio of U.S. stock market capitalization to GDP remains near historic extremes, echoing levels seen before major downturns such as the dotcom bubble.

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“In 1929 we were, I think at the top, at 65% [stock market capitalization to GDP] and then in ’87 we got to about 85%-90%, in 2000 we got 270%,” he noted.

“And now we’re at 252%, so you can just imagine,” he said. “We’re clearly so leveraged in equities in this country.”

Because of that, a major stock market correction may have broader ramifications on the economy, government budget deficit and the bond market, according to Jones.

“10% of our tax revenues are capital gains. They go to zero,” he said. “So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You see the bond market getting smoked.”

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You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect,” he concluded. “It’s troubling.”

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A crypto coalition releases technical proposal to save Aave users from a massive token exploit

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Bitcoin DeFi pitched in $46 million proposal ask by Cardano team

A $300 million hole doesn’t usually come with a neat repair manual. This time, the group spearheading the Kelp DAO recovery effort is trying to write one.

DeFi United, a coalition of multiple blockchain projects and crypto ecosystem individuals, has laid out a detailed, step-by-step plan to restore the backing of rsETH after this month’s Kelp DAO hack sent shockwaves through DeFi lending markets, releasing more than 116,000 tokens that weren’t properly accounted for.

The proposal, circulated on Aave’s official X account, reads like a coordinated cleanup operation, one that leans heavily on Aave’s infrastructure to unwind the damage and get markets back on a stable footing.

The incident traces back to April 18, when an attacker exploited a vulnerability in rsETH’s bridge. By forging a message that appeared legitimate, the attacker tricked the Ethereum side of the system into releasing 116,500 rsETH, making the system believe the funds had moved when they hadn’t, allowing a large batch of rsETH to be created without backing.

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Those tokens didn’t just sit idle. They were spread across multiple wallets and deployed across DeFi, with a significant portion used as collateral on Aave and other lending platforms.

That’s where the problem became systemic: protocols like Aave suddenly found themselves holding collateral that, at least temporarily, wasn’t fully backed.

According to the proposal, most of the exploited funds are still in play. Roughly 107,000 of the original 116,500 rsETH remain tied up in active positions across Aave and Compound.

That leaves two problems to solve at once: restoring the actual backing of rsETH itself, and unwinding the loans created using those extra tokens.

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DeFi United’s proposal aims to tackle both sides of that equation simultaneously.

On the backing side, the group says it has already lined up enough ETH commitments to fully re-collateralize rsETH. The plan is to feed that ETH back into the system in stages, converting it to rsETH and depositing it back into the system so the token is once again fully backed.

At the same time, attention shifts to the lending markets where the damage is most visible.

Instead of letting things play out chaotically, the plan is to step in and carefully unwind the mess.

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A big part of that involves dealing with the positions the attacker opened on Aave. These are essentially loans backed by rsETH that shouldn’t have existed in the first place. Rather than waiting for those loans to collapse on their own — which could cause more market disruption — the proposal suggests nudging the system so they can be closed out in a more controlled way.

In practice, temporarily adjusting how rsETH is valued inside the system will enable those bad positions to be liquidated or closed more smoothly. As those positions are unwound, the underlying assets (like ETH) can be recovered. The proposal estimates this could free up around 13,000 ETH from Aave alone.

Once that collateral is back in hand, it gets converted into ETH and used to cover the shortfall created by the exploit — essentially filling the hole left behind.

The process isn’t risk-free. It hinges on governance approvals across multiple chains, the successful deployment of committed funds and a smooth execution of the unwind.

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Still, the plan reflects a more coordinated response than DeFi has often managed previously. If executed as intended, the end goal is straightforward: “rsETH backing is fully restored, and all affected markets are stabilized,” as the proposal says.

Read more: Industry leaders are pouring hundreds of millions into a rescue plan for Aave users after massive crypto hack

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CFTC Sues Wisconsin in Response to State’s Lawsuits Against Prediction Markets

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CFTC Sues Wisconsin in Response to State's Lawsuits Against Prediction Markets

The CFTC filed suit against Wisconsin to establish its exclusive regulatory authority over prediction markets, a sector closely tied to crypto and blockchain-based derivatives.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) sued Wisconsin on April 28, 2026, to reassert its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets. The action challenges state-level regulatory interference in a sector increasingly built on blockchain technology and crypto assets. The lawsuit underscores ongoing federal-state jurisdictional disputes over decentralized and tokenized derivatives platforms.

The CFTC’s enforcement action signals the regulator’s intent to maintain control over derivatives-adjacent products in the crypto space, potentially affecting platforms that tokenize prediction market shares or operate on decentralized protocols.

The CFTC said that its lawsuit is in response to Wisconsin filing civil suits against multiple CFTC-regulated prediction market companies — Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood, and Coinbase — alleging violations of state law.

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Sources: CFTC

This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.

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HOOD Stock Topples After Robinhood Earnings Reveals 47% Decrease in Crypto Revenue

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Robinhood (HOOD) Stock Performance

Robinhood Markets shares slipped about 6% in after-hours trading Tuesday after the retail brokerage reported a 47% year-over-year drop in cryptocurrency revenue, dragging overall first-quarter results below Wall Street expectations.

The Menlo Park firm posted $346 million in first-quarter profit, or $0.38 per diluted share, narrowly missing analyst estimates of $0.39 even as net income rose 3% from a year earlier.

Crypto Revenue Slides as Bitcoin Cools

Crypto transactions generated $134 million in revenue during the quarter, down 47% year-over-year as digital asset trading activity cooled across the platform.

Total revenue reached $1.07 billion, up 15% year-over-year but short of the $1.14 billion analysts had projected. The miss arrived even as equities, options, futures, and prediction markets posted double-digit growth or record volumes, the company said.

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Trading fees drove much of the platform’s gains last year, when HOOD stock peaked at $153.86 in October alongside crypto’s broader run.

Robinhood stock dipped on this report, and was trading for $82.05 as of this writing.

Robinhood (HOOD) Stock Performance
Robinhood (HOOD) Stock Performance. Source: TradingView

Prediction Markets and Tokenization Cushion the Slide

Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev pointed to the firm’s expanding role across customer finances in a statement.

“Robinhood is increasingly positioned at the center of our customers’ financial lives,” he stated in the broadcast.

Wagers routed through Kalshi-powered prediction markets logged record volumes, supported by a one-cent transaction fee.

Robinhood also launched the public testnet for Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum (ETH) layer-2 network built around tokenized assets.

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Total platform assets stood at $307 billion, up 39% year-over-year on the back of net deposits and higher equity valuations.

The firm’s European tokenized stocks product continues to offer customers exposure to private companies including OpenAI and SpaceX.

The after-hours sell-off pushed HOOD to roughly $82, well off the October peak. The path forward depends on whether prediction markets and tokenization can offset the cooling in digital asset trading.

The post HOOD Stock Topples After Robinhood Earnings Reveals 47% Decrease in Crypto Revenue appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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LayerZero Pledges 10,000 ETH to DeFi United as Industry Rallies Behind Kelp DAO Recovery

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • LayerZero Labs is donating 5,000 ETH and depositing another 5,000 ETH into Aave to strengthen market liquidity.
  • The $292M Kelp DAO exploit involved an RPC-poisoning attack that forged cross-chain messages via LayerZero’s DVN.
  • DeFi United has raised over $300M in ETH and stablecoins, with major contributors including Consensys and Arbitrum DAO.
  • Total value locked across DeFi fell from $95B to $80B following the Kelp DAO hack, reflecting broad market disruption.

LayerZero Labs has committed over 10,000 ETH to the DeFi United recovery initiative, led by Aave, following the $292 million Kelp DAO exploit.

The crypto infrastructure provider will donate 5,000 ETH directly and deposit another 5,000 ETH into Aave markets.

This contribution, valued at roughly $23 million, places LayerZero among the largest participants in the industry-wide effort to restore rsETH backing after the April 18 attack.

LayerZero’s Contribution to DeFi United

LayerZero’s pledge comes approximately five days after the company first announced its intent to join a recovery effort.

The firm will also work to deepen liquidity for GHO, the native stablecoin on Aave. This move signals a broader commitment beyond a simple financial donation.

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LayerZero confirmed the details in an official post on X, stating it is “donating 5,000 ETH to DeFi United, depositing an additional 5,000 ETH to strengthen Aave markets liquidity, and strategically deepening GHO liquidity.”

LayerZero also confirmed plans to continue working with Aave and other DeFi participants. The focus will be on how Omnichain Fungible Tokens (OFTs) should be designed and configured for use in lending markets. This collaboration could shape future standards across the ecosystem.

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The exploit on April 18 involved a sophisticated RPC-poisoning attack on LayerZero’s Decentralized Verifier Network.

Attackers forged a cross-chain message, releasing unbacked rsETH from Kelp’s LayerZero-powered bridge adapter on Ethereum. Around 107,000 rsETH then entered lending positions on Aave, creating substantial bad debt.

Industry Response and Recovery Progress

DeFi United has now raised over $300 million in ETH and stablecoins from dozens of protocols and individuals. Arbitrum DAO has a pending vote to release 30,765 ETH toward the effort.

Consensys and Joseph Lubin together are contributing 30,000 ETH, matched by a low-interest loan from Mantle.

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Aave DAO also has a pending proposal to approve a 25,000 ETH contribution. This adds to Aave founder Stani Kulechov’s personal pledge of 5,000 ETH. Kelp DAO contributed 2,000 ETH, while Circle is buying AAVE tokens to support the protocol’s stability.

There remains a dispute over responsibility for the attack. LayerZero states it “recommended multi-DVN redundancy” to protect against single points of failure. Kelp, however, says it “used the default configuration” provided, which relied on a 1-of-1 DVN setup with only LayerZero Labs as the verifier.

Meanwhile, the total value locked across DeFi has dropped to $80 billion, down from roughly $95 billion just before the hack.

Aave has released a detailed technical recovery plan, and the broader effort to restore rsETH backing continues to move forward.

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Judge Rejects Sam Bankman-Fried’s Retrial Bid in FTX Case

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Wall Street’s CME Coin May Be Bigger Than Most Stablecoins

A federal judge rejected Sam Bankman-Fried’s request for a new trial on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, denying the former FTX chief’s attempt to reopen his criminal case based on claims of newly discovered evidence.

US District Judge Lewis Kaplan issued the ruling in New York, where he oversaw Bankman-Fried’s 2023 trial. Bankman-Fried was convicted over the collapse of FTX and later sentenced to 25 years in prison.

The motion was filed under Rule 33, a procedure that allows defendants to seek a new trial if new evidence emerges. Bankman-Fried argued that the jury did not hear the full picture of FTX’s finances, including claims that the exchange had assets that could repay customers.

He also argued that evidence about lawyers’ involvement in FTX decisions could have supported his claim that he acted in good faith rather than with criminal intent.

However, Kaplan denied the motion even after Bankman-Fried tried to withdraw it. Bankman-Fried had claimed the judge would not be fair in deciding the request.

The ruling leaves Bankman-Fried’s broader appeal before the Second Circuit as his main path to challenge the conviction.

The post Judge Rejects Sam Bankman-Fried’s Retrial Bid in FTX Case appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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RailsX Goes Live: Amboss Brings Self-Custodial Bitcoin and Stablecoin Trading to the Lightning Network

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • RailsX enables peer-to-peer bitcoin and stablecoin trading natively on the Lightning Network with no intermediary..
  • The platform launches with two stablecoin pairs, USDT-L and USDC-L, both issued by Speed Wallet on Lightning.
  • All trades settle atomically through Lightning channels in seconds, removing the need for centralized exchanges.
  • RailsX combines Amboss’s Magma liquidity marketplace with Taproot Assets to power decentralized BTC trading.

RailsX, a new peer-to-peer exchange built on the Lightning Network, is now live for early users. Amboss Technologies developed the platform to allow self-custodial trading between bitcoin and stablecoins.

The launch introduces two stablecoin-bitcoin pairs: USDT-L and USDC-L, both issued by Speed Wallet. Users retain full control of their private keys throughout all transactions, removing the need for centralized custody.

Trading Bitcoin Against Stablecoins Without Giving Up Custody

RailsX routes all trades through existing Lightning payment channels. This means settlement happens in seconds, with minimal fees and no third-party intermediary holding assets.

There is no centralized order book managing trades on the platform. Instead, transactions execute atomically, giving users a fully decentralized trading experience.

The platform is accessible through open-source node manager Thunderhub, with no additional setup required. Amboss is also coordinating liquidity formation across BTC/stablecoin pairs to support growing trading volume.

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RailsX combines Amboss’s liquidity marketplace, Magma, with Taproot Assets to enable this decentralized structure. The company says this approach aligns with its reading of U.S. draft Clarity Act legislation.

Speed Wallet handles the issuance and underlying custody for both USDT-L and USDC-L. All assets remain fully backed and transparent under Speed Wallet’s framework.

Before RailsX launched, Speed Wallet had already been operating wrapped stablecoins for its own users. Now, that infrastructure is available to the entire Lightning Network through RailsX.

Amboss CEO and co-founder Jesse Shrader addressed what the platform means for everyday users. “RailsX lets users trade, hold, and move value on Lightning without ever giving up control of their money,” Shrader said.

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He added that the platform is designed to unlock Bitcoin’s potential as a medium of exchange. According to Shrader, RailsX serves global stablecoin demand without exposing users to cross-chain decentralized finance risks.

Stablecoins Return to Bitcoin via Taproot Assets

RailsX builds on Amboss’s existing Rails product, which lets users supply liquidity to Lightning channels and earn yield. The new platform extends that foundation into fully self-custodial stablecoin trading.

Industry leaders have recently discussed bringing stablecoins back to Bitcoin using Taproot Assets. These include Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino and Lightning Labs CEO Elizabeth Stark.

Speed Wallet CEO Raj Patel spoke directly about the platform’s role in expanding access. “Speed Wallet built this technology with one goal: to make stablecoins on Lightning accessible to everyone,” Patel said.

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He described RailsX as the kind of distribution platform Speed Wallet had always envisioned. Patel also noted that the launch takes self-custody stablecoin trading into the mainstream for the broader Lightning Network.

The Lightning Network saw a sharp drop in capacity earlier this year amid bear market conditions. However, capacity has largely stabilized over the past two months.

According to The Block’s data dashboard, total U.S. dollar capacity on the network stands at roughly $380 million. Bitcoin capacity hovers at approximately 4,870 BTC. RailsX was first unveiled in January and is now entering its early-user phase. 

The platform represents a growing push to make Bitcoin a practical medium of exchange at scale. As stablecoin demand rises globally, Lightning-native solutions like RailsX are drawing increasing attention from users seeking alternatives to centralized exchanges.

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TON Tech Introduces Agentic Wallets to Enable Autonomous AI Transactions on Blockchain

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • TON Tech’s Agentic Wallets let AI agents execute on-chain transactions without needing per-action user approval.
  • Users retain full ownership and can withdraw funds or revoke agent access at any point during operation.
  • The framework needs no wallet upgrades and supports leading AI models, MCP, and CLI developer tools.
  • Telegram bots using Agentic Wallets can now handle both autonomous communication and on-chain payments.

Agentic Wallets on TON represent a new standard for AI-driven blockchain activity. TON Tech has introduced a self-custodial framework that allows AI agents to manage funds and execute transactions independently.

Users retain full control over their assets at all times. The system requires no third-party involvement and works with existing TON wallets without requiring upgrades.

This development connects blockchain payments directly to the Telegram ecosystem, where autonomous bots are already active.

How Agentic Wallets Operate Within the TON Ecosystem

The setup process for Agentic Wallets is straightforward for any user. A user asks their AI agent to create a wallet, funds it, and confirms the setup.

After that, the agent can transact within clearly defined spending limits. No per-transaction approval from the user is needed during normal operation.

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Control over funds stays with the user throughout the entire process. The agent operates a dedicated on-chain wallet funded directly by the user.

Ownership, however, remains tied to the user’s main wallet at all times. Funds can be withdrawn at any point, and agent access can be revoked on demand.

TON Tech shared details about the framework publicly, noting the open and self-custodial nature of the standard. The role separation between agent and user reduces the risk of unauthorized activity.

This separation is built directly into the architecture of each wallet setup. Users therefore do not need to rely on any intermediary to manage agent transactions.

The system is also designed to protect developers from vendor lock-in. No upgrades to existing wallets are required to implement the framework.

Developers can build and manage their own setups independently from the start. Compatibility with leading AI models and agent frameworks further adds to that flexibility.

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Telegram Integration and the Developer Stack Behind Agentic Wallets

The developer tooling packaged with Agentic Wallets supports multiple integration paths. It includes MCP and CLI tools specifically built for managing agent workflows.

These tools allow developers to work inside their existing environments without major changes. The framework’s broad compatibility makes adoption practical for teams of various sizes.

Telegram adds an immediate use case for this release. Bot API and recent bot-to-bot communication already allow agents to interact autonomously on the platform.

Agentic Wallets extend that foundation to include on-chain payments within the same chat interface. As TON Tech noted in its post, agents on Telegram can now both communicate and make financial transactions in one environment.

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That combination makes the framework immediately actionable within Telegram. The existing bot infrastructure provides a ready-built environment for agent-based payments.

Developers can therefore build financial workflows directly into their Telegram bots without external tools. This bridges the gap between AI communication and real on-chain transactions.

The framework is open and available for any developer to adopt without restrictions. TON Tech has published resources to help teams launch AI agents with Agentic Wallets.

The standard is built to grow alongside the broader AI agent and blockchain ecosystem.

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CLARITY Act Gets a Warning From Trump to Banks

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Trump token initiative begins: More pay for play?

President Trump told hundreds of top $TRUMP memecoin holders at a private April 25 event at Mar-a-Lago that the White House will not allow banks to block the CLARITY Act, pledging to sign the bill immediately and framing crypto market structure legislation as a national priority.

Summary

  • Trump delivered a direct warning to bankers at a private Mar-a-Lago gala on April 25, telling attendees he would not allow traditional financial institutions to derail the CLARITY Act.
  • The event drew Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood, Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley, billionaire Tim Draper, and boxer Mike Tyson, among the top 297 $TRUMP token holders.
  • The Trump intervention comes as the CLARITY Act missed its April Senate Banking Committee markup deadline and faces a final end-of-May window with approximately four working weeks remaining before the Memorial Day recess.

CLARITY Act legislation received the most direct public presidential backing it has seen yet on April 25 when Trump addressed top $TRUMP memecoin holders at a private gala at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida. TheStreet reported that Trump told the gathering he would not allow banks to hinder the progress of the bill and said he would sign the bill immediately if Congress sent it to his desk. Trump described crypto as having “become mainstream” and backed the CLARITY Act as essential for keeping the industry onshore.

CLARITY Act Gets a Presidential Warning Directed at Banking Industry Resistance

The April 25 event was organized by Fight Fight Fight LLC, the issuer behind the $TRUMP token, and billed as the most exclusive conference in the world. The top 297 $TRUMP holders by time-weighted average received access to a conference and gala luncheon. The top 29 holders received a private reception with the president. As crypto.news reported, attendees included Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, ARK Investment Management’s Cathie Wood, Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley, billionaire Tim Draper, and boxer Mike Tyson. Trump’s remarks directly targeted banking industry groups that have spent months lobbying senators to reopen the settled stablecoin yield provisions, warning that the White House would not allow those efforts to succeed. The event also carried a political subplot: Democratic senators Warren, Schiff, and Blumenthal sent a formal letter calling the gathering a direct sale of presidential access to crypto industry participants with financial interests in legislation Trump controls.

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Why Trump’s Intervention Matters for the May Markup Window

The CLARITY Act missed its April Senate Banking Committee markup deadline after the Kevin Warsh confirmation hearing consumed most of the committee’s April calendar. As crypto.news documented, a coalition of 120-plus organizations including Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken, and Andreessen Horowitz had sent a joint letter on April 23 demanding an immediate markup, but no notice came from Chairman Tim Scott before the informal April cutoff. As crypto.news tracked, the committee’s most pressing competing obligation has now been removed following Tillis’s decision to end his Warsh block on April 27, potentially opening a direct path for a first-week-of-May markup. Trump’s April 25 statement now gives the Senate Banking Committee explicit White House pressure to move, with Senate Banking Committee Republicans aware that publicly resisting a Trump-backed bill carries its own political cost.

What Still Stands Between the CLARITY Act and Trump’s Signature

Presidential backing alone does not resolve the bill’s remaining structural obstacles. As crypto.news noted, the bill must still pass a Banking Committee markup, clear a 60-vote Senate floor threshold, be reconciled between the Banking and Agriculture Committee versions, reconciled with the July 2025 House text, and then signed by Trump. Congress breaks for Memorial Day recess on May 21, leaving fewer than four working weeks. Polymarket prices passage at approximately 46% and Galaxy Research puts odds at 50-50 or lower. The core dispute that banking groups are lobbying on, whether stablecoin activity rewards function as illegal yield, remains formally unresolved in the final bill text, and Democratic senators continue to insist on ethics language barring senior government officials from profiting from crypto holdings, language the White House has refused to accept.

Justin Sun, the Tron founder who emerged as the top $TRUMP holder at a previous May 2025 gala, held a notable position at the April 25 event, a development that drew renewed congressional scrutiny about the role of foreign investors in $TRUMP token purchases given Sun’s nationality.

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Peter Brandt Slams Bitcoin’s $250K Forecasts as Ascending Channel Caps Upside

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Peter Brandt publicly rejected $250,000 Bitcoin forecasts for 2026, calling them unrealistic based on current chart conditions.
  • Bitcoin’s ascending channel allows gradual gains but does not confirm a bullish reversal or support a parabolic price advance.
  • Brandt identified double bottoms and inverse head-and-shoulders as true reversal signals, none of which appear on Bitcoin’s chart.
  • A legitimate breakout above the channel’s upper boundary with strong volume remains the only path toward extreme Bitcoin price targets.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has publicly shut down projections of $250,000 Bitcoin in 2026. He pointed to a defined ascending channel on the chart as evidence against such forecasts.

Brandt argued that the current structure does not support a parabolic advance or a confirmed bullish reversal. His remarks came as Bitcoin traded between $76,000 and $78,000 in recent sessions. The response has drawn significant attention from traders and analysts across the market.

Brandt Calls Out Unrealistic Bitcoin Forecasts

Brandt took to X to confront what he sees as dangerous market optimism. He wrote directly, “Bitcoiners, those of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to stop with the mushrooms.”

He accompanied that remark with a chart showing a clear ascending channel pattern. His message was pointed and left little room for misinterpretation.

He identified the formation as a rising parallel channel, not a bullish reversal structure. Brandt stated plainly that the pattern “is NOT a bullish bottoming pattern.”

That distinction carries weight for traders who rely on technical analysis to guide decisions. An ascending channel and a bullish bottom are two very different market signals.

He then outlined what a genuine bullish reversal actually looks like. Double bottoms and inverse head-and-shoulders patterns are structures that historically confirm new uptrends.

These formations signal a definitive shift in market momentum from sellers to buyers. None of those signals is present on Bitcoin’s current chart, according to Brandt.

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He also made clear that an ascending channel does allow for gradual price gains. However, he stressed it does not guarantee acceleration toward extreme price targets.

Without a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary, the channel simply defines a range. That range, in Brandt’s view, makes $250,000 an unsupported projection for 2026.

Chart Structure Tells a Different Story for Bitcoin

Bitcoin dropped sharply in late January 2026 and tested the $60,000 support zone in early February. Sellers dominated that move before buyers regained footing and pushed price higher.

The recovery established the current ascending channel that has contained price action since. That structure has held firm through multiple trading sessions without a confirmed break.

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Within the channel, Bitcoin has posted higher highs and higher lows in an orderly fashion. The upper resistance boundary has continued to reject rally attempts near $77,000 to $78,000.

Meanwhile, the lower support boundary has absorbed each dip without a decisive breakdown. Price remains technically constructive but structurally capped.

Brandt stated that a move toward extreme price targets would require a clear breakout above channel resistance. He added that such a breakout must be accompanied by strong trading volume to carry validity.

That confirmation has not materialized as of the latest available market data. Until it does, the channel remains the dominant structure on the chart.

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Bitcoin was near $77,000 at the time of reporting, with the channel still intact. Brandt offered no revised price target alongside his critique of the $250,000 forecasts.

His focus remained on chart interpretation and structural discipline rather than speculation. Traders continue to watch both channel boundaries closely for any sign of a directional shift.

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Stablecoin rails slow 19%, but dollar tokens quietly keep compounding

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Empery Digital sells 63 BTC for $4.6M as it leans harder into buybacks

Stablecoin transfer volume fell 19.18% to $831B in 30 days, yet market cap and holders rose as USDT, USDC, and DAI added billions while Ethena’s USDe saw $1.1B outflows.

Stablecoin transfer volume declined 19.18% to $831 billion over the past 30 days, signaling reduced on-chain activity even as the broader stablecoin market continues expanding. Despite the sharp drop in transaction throughput, total stablecoin market capitalization increased 2.06% to $305.29 billion, while the number of holders rose 2.32% to 246.94 million, reflecting sustained adoption and holding behavior across digital dollar ecosystems.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value by pegging their price to a specific real-world asset, typically the U.S. dollar. They achieve price stability through fiat-backed reserves, algorithmic supply adjustments, or crypto-collateralized mechanisms, making them critical infrastructure for payments, DeFi lending, and cross-border remittances.

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Net inflow data over the past 30 days reveals sharp divergence among major stablecoin issuers. Tether’s USDT led with $3.6 billion in net inflows, extending its dominance as the sector’s largest asset by market cap, currently sitting at $188 billion. Circle’s USDC followed with $2 billion in net inflows, while MakerDAO’s DAI recorded $1.2 billion in positive flows, demonstrating sustained demand for decentralized and centralized dollar-pegged instruments.

Meanwhile, Ethena’s USDe experienced the largest net outflow, shedding $1.1 billion as yield compression eroded its competitive advantage. USDe supply fell to November 2024 levels after approximately $1.6 billion in redemptions, driven by yields compressing to around 3.5%, well below the double-digit returns that initially attracted capital. The flight to quality following concerns around protocol sustainability pushed investors toward more established stablecoins with transparent reserve structures.

Market Activity Reflects Consolidation Phase

The 19% decline in transfer volume suggests a consolidation phase rather than capitulation, as stablecoin supply and holder counts continue growing despite reduced circulation velocity. Data from earlier in 2026 showed stablecoin transfer volume hitting $1.78 trillion in February alone, with velocity increasing from 2.6x to approximately 6x year-over-year, indicating coins were circulating more actively across payments and DeFi protocols. The recent pullback aligns with broader crypto market softness, as Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $76,190, down from recent highs.

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Bitcoin is currently priced around $76,190, while Ethereum (ETH) sits near $2,329. The stablecoin market cap of $305.29 billion now represents roughly 1% of total U.S. dollar supply, a milestone reached as annual transaction volumes surpassed $33 trillion in 2025, rivaling Visa and Mastercard combined.

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