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Toyota Stock Rises 2% as Earnings Beat Estimates Despite Tariff Headwinds

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TM Stock Card

TLDR

  • Toyota reported Q3 operating profit of $7.6 billion, beating Wall Street estimates of $6.7 billion as higher prices and a weaker yen offset U.S. tariff impacts.
  • The automaker raised its full-year profit forecast by $2.6 billion to $24.2 billion, citing strong sales and cost-cutting measures.
  • Toyota stock rose 2% in overseas trading following the earnings beat despite implied Q4 guidance falling below analyst projections.
  • CEO Koji Sato will step down and be replaced by CFO Kenta Kon, with Sato moving to vice chairman and chief industry officer roles.
  • The company trimmed annual vehicle sales forecast to 9.75 million units from 9.8 million due to production disruptions in Brazil and continued U.S. tariff pressure.

Toyota stock climbed 2% in Friday trading after the Japanese automaker reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that crushed Wall Street expectations. The strong results came despite ongoing pressure from U.S. tariffs.

The company posted operating profit of ¥1.2 trillion ($7.6 billion) for the quarter ending December 31. Analysts had projected just $6.7 billion.

Higher vehicle prices helped the automaker maintain profitability. A weaker yen also provided a boost to the bottom line.

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TM Stock Card
Toyota Motor Corporation, TM

Toyota’s U.S.-listed American depositary receipts gained 1.8% in premarket trading. The stock has climbed 25% over the past 12 months.

Tariff Impact Less Severe Than Expected

U.S. import duties on Japanese vehicles remain at 15% after President Donald Trump reduced them from an initial 25% following a trade deal with Tokyo. Many analysts feared these tariffs would severely damage Toyota’s profit margins.

The third-quarter results showed those fears were overblown. Toyota managed to offset the tariff costs through pricing power and currency benefits.

Revenue grew nearly 8% year-over-year to ¥13.5 trillion. Net income fell 40% to ¥1.3 trillion, reflecting increased costs and investment spending.

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The automaker increased its full-year profit forecast by ¥400 billion ($2.6 billion) to ¥3.8 trillion ($24.2 billion). The raised guidance reflects better-than-expected performance in the first three quarters.

Mixed Outlook for Fourth Quarter

Toyota’s implied fourth-quarter operating profit guidance sits at approximately $3.8 billion. Wall Street analysts currently project $5.6 billion for the period.

Last year, Toyota reported $7.7 billion in operating profit during the fiscal fourth quarter. The company’s fiscal year runs through March 31.

Toyota trimmed its annual vehicle sales forecast to 9.75 million units from 9.8 million. Production disruptions in Brazil contributed to the reduced outlook.

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Chinese sales continue to face pressure as diplomatic tensions between Tokyo and Beijing persist. U.S. tariffs remain a headwind despite the recent reduction.

Leadership Transition Announced

Toyota announced a major leadership change alongside its earnings report. CEO Koji Sato will step down from his position.

CFO Kenta Kon will take over as chief executive. Sato will remain with Toyota as vice chairman and chief industry officer.

The leadership transition comes as Toyota navigates a challenging global trade environment. The company continues implementing cost-cutting measures to maintain profitability.

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Foreign exchange movements provided tailwinds during the quarter. The yen’s weakness against the dollar helped offset some cost pressures.

Car stocks have performed well recently despite tariff concerns. Ford Motor stock is up 48% over the past year, while General Motors has gained 74%.

Toyota’s strong quarterly results and raised full-year guidance were enough to satisfy investors on Friday. The company’s ability to beat estimates while managing tariff headwinds demonstrates pricing power in a difficult environment.

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Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride Continues as BTC Price Recovers $10K in a Day

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BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView


Bitcoin’s price jumped past $71,000 minutes ago, while XRP and other altcoins have produced massive double-digit daily gains.

What a ride it has been in the cryptocurrency space lately. The quick and sharp moves continue as of press time, as BTC has skyrocketed to over $71,000 just less than a day after it dipped to $60,000.

The altcoins are well in the green now on a daily scale, and the total crypto market cap has increased by roughly $200 billion since its low from earlier this morning.

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BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Feb 6. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s price chart from above paints a very clear and volatile picture. It shows that the cryptocurrency plummeted by roughly $30,000 in the span of just over a week – from last Wednesday to Friday morning.

As reported earlier today, popular analysts blamed this latest crash, in which bitcoin dropped from $77,000 to $60,000 in about 24 hours, to emotional selling and structural change rather than broken fundamentals within BTC and the crypto market.

Since then, BTC has gone on a tear. It added over $10,000 since this morning’s multi-year low, and briefly surpassed $71,000 minutes ago before it was stopped and now trades inches below it.

The altcoins have produced even more impressive gains, with XRP leading the pack. Ripple’s cross-border token has soared by 19% daily to over $1.50 as of press time, while ETH has reclaimed the psychological $2,000 level.

The total value of wrecked positions daily is still over $2 billion, but most of it is from longs, which happened before today’s recovery. Nevertheless, over $350 million worth of shorts have been wrecked in the past 12 hours, with BTC responsible for the lion’s share ($261 million).

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Liquidation Data on CoinGlass Feb 6.
Liquidation Data on CoinGlass Feb 6.

 

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Bitcoin gets slashed in half. What’s behind the crypto’s existential crisis

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Bitcoin tumbled toward $60,000 this week as investors reassessed its utility. And while there isn’t one clear catalyst driving the bloodbath, one thing is clear: the crypto market is in crisis. 

“There’s nothing going on in the marketplace that should have necessitated this type of a crash,” Anthony Scaramucci, founder and managing partner of alternative investment firm SkyBridge, told CNBC. “And so I think that’s made people, frankly, more fearful. … You have to ask yourself, ‘is it over for bitcoin?’”

Bitcoin fell as low as $60,062 on Thursday, bringing it to its lowest level since Oct. 11, 2024. That’s more than 52% off from its record high of $126,000 hit in early October 2025.  

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The previous session marked one of bitcoin’s bloodiest ever, with the token shedding more than 15% on the day. Its daily relative strength index fell to 18, putting the asset in extremely oversold territory. As of Thursday, other digital assets like ether and solana were also down 24%  and 26% for the week to date, respectively — a sign investors’ confidence in the entire crypto market is faltering.

Bitcoin bounces, but losses loom large

Bitcoin was rebounding on Friday, with the token last trading at $69,631.97, up more than 9% on the day.

But, its recent drawdown has prompted investors to re-evaluate its utility, including its role as a digital currency or as a store of value. Simultaneously, institutional appetite for the flagship crypto appears to be waning as spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds record outsized outflows, threatening to drive bitcoin deeper into the red. 

“This time is markedly different from other bear markets, however, in that it’s not in response to a structural blowup,” Jasper De Maere, desk strategist at crypto market-making firm Wintermute, said in a statement shared with CNBC. “It’s a fundamentally macro-driven deleveraging tied to positioning, risk appetite and narratives rather than systemic failures within crypto itself.”

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Bitcoin prices over the past year

Over the past few months, investors have grown increasingly skeptical of efforts to recast bitcoin as “digital gold,” or an alternative to traditional safe havens such as gold. Bitcoin is down 28% over the past 12 months, while gold is up 72% during the same period — a testament to the latter’s utility as a hedge against macro risks.

Conversely, bitcoin has often traded down alongside other risk-on assets such as equities amid periods of high macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, raising doubts about its utility as a safe haven. Nearly a week after Trump’s “liberation day” tariff announcement on April 2, 2025, bitcoin had fallen about 10% to below $80,000, while the S&P 500 had declined roughly 4%. 

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Separately, investors are also reassessing the extent to which financial institutions, treasury firms and governments are willing to adopt bitcoin — a major catalyst for the token in recent years. 

Large institutional outflows are mounting as investors brace for bitcoin to go lower, thinning liquidity for the token, according to a recent analyst note from Deutsche Bank.

Those outflows are also noticeable among spot bitcoin ETFs in recent months, according to the investment firm. The funds have seen outflows of more than $3 billion in January, in addition to roughly $2 billion last December and about $7 billion last November.

Additionally, a swath of Strategy copy-cats that emerged over the past year or so have slowed or paused their bitcoin purchases amid the digital asset’s correction.

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Finally, traders have acknowledged that long-time efforts to market bitcoin as an alternative to fiat currencies have largely faded. While Steak ‘n Shake and Compass Coffee have rolled out support for bitcoin payments in recent years, initiatives to make the asset a form of payment have largely died, particularly as interest in dollar-pegged stablecoins grows, according to Bitwise’s Ryan Rasmussen. 

“We’re seeing Wall Street adopt stablecoins because it is a fundamental transformation of the way payments work, and bitcoin is just a different asset. It’s not meant for that today,” Rasmussen said, arguing that the token’s purpose has evolved from that of a currency to a decentralized, non-governable store of value. “I’ve never paid for coffee or a sandwich with Bitcoin, and I never will.”

And beyond those more immediate concerns, investors are also increasingly worried that bitcoin’s underlying network could be hacked, driving the token to zero. 

“It certainly is a risk that is seeing more attention from investors as they’re getting more worried about [it], and I think you’re seeing a little bit of that risk priced into bitcoin,” Rasmussen said.

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He noted that Bitwise has allocated funds toward efforts to mitigate the threat from quantum computing.

Nevertheless, traders’ appetite for bitcoin has largely dwindled, denting its price. That’s true even as long-time believers are still proudly betting on bitcoin, despite of the charts and the naysayers. 

“I believe that the story is intact,” said Scaramucci, adding that he bought bitcoin for his fund on Thursday. “But, I don’t have a crystal ball. … Who the hell knows.”

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PBOC Officially Bans ‘Unapproved’ Yuan-Pegged Stablecoins

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China, Yuan, Peoples Bank of China, Stablecoin, CBDC

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), the country’s central bank, and seven Chinese regulatory agencies published a joint statement on Friday banning the unapproved issuance of Renminbi-pegged stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs).

The ban applies to both domestic and foreign stablecoin and tokenized RWA issuers, according to the statement, which was also signed by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and China’s Securities Regulatory Commission. A translation of the announcement said:

“Stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies perform some of the functions of fiat currencies in disguise during circulation and use. No unit or individual at home or abroad may issue RMB-linked stablecoins without the consent of relevant departments.”

Winston Ma, an adjunct professor at New York University (NYU) Law School and former Managing Director of CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund, told Cointelegraph that the ban extends to the onshore and offshore versions of China’s Renminbi, also called the yuan.