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Crypto World

Morgan Stanley launches crypto price war on ETrade

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Morgan Stanley launches crypto price war on ETrade

Morgan Stanley launched a crypto price war on E*Trade at 50 basis points, undercutting Coinbase and Schwab.

Summary

  • Morgan Stanley launched a pilot on May 6 allowing E*Trade users to trade Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana at 50 basis points per trade via Zerohash.
  • The fee undercuts Schwab’s 75bps, Fidelity’s 1%, and Coinbase’s retail rates, prompting Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas to warn crypto exchanges to be scared.
  • Morgan Stanley plans to expand crypto access to all 8.6 million E*Trade clients later in 2026 alongside a proprietary digital wallet.

Morgan Stanley has launched a crypto trading pilot on its ETrade platform at 50 basis points per trade, immediately undercutting every major retail rival. Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana are available directly inside ETrade brokerage accounts via Zerohash, which handles liquidity, custody, and settlement.

The 50-basis-point fee sits below Schwab’s 75bps, Fidelity’s 1%, and Coinbase retail fees that can exceed 0.5% depending on tier and payment method. Jed Finn, Morgan Stanley’s head of wealth management, said the move is “much bigger than trading crypto at a cheaper rate,” describing it as a strategy to keep its 8.6 million clients inside its own ecosystem.

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Why crypto exchanges are watching nervously

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas warned immediately after the launch that “crypto exchanges should be scared.” He drew a direct comparison to the fee race that followed the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw providers start at 50 basis points before Morgan Stanley undercut them all with a 14-basis-point offering.

“By the time the dust settles it’ll be pretty dirt cheap to trade crypto everywhere,” Balchunas said. Industry leaders pushing back noted the perspective is US-centric, with global platforms already diversified beyond spot-trading fees into derivatives, DeFi, and international markets.

Coinbase, which posted a $1.49-per-share quarterly loss for Q1 2026 on revenue of $1.41 billion, already launched commission-free stock trading in February as part of its “Everything Exchange” strategy to reduce dependence on crypto trading fees.

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The scale of Morgan Stanley’s distribution advantage

Morgan Stanley’s 16,000 financial advisors oversee $9.3 trillion in client assets, a distribution channel crypto-native platforms cannot match. The pilot is small for now, but the bank plans to roll out access to all 8.6 million E*Trade clients later in 2026 alongside a proprietary digital wallet capable of holding crypto alongside tokenized stocks, bonds, and real estate.

The move follows Morgan Stanley’s April 8 launch of its own spot Bitcoin ETF, MSBT, which charges just 14 basis points and avoided outflows throughout its entire first month of trading, a record no other spot Bitcoin ETF matched during the same period.

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BlackRock IBIT leads Bitcoin ETF six-week run

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BlackRock snaps up BTC as US spot ETFs see $507m inflow

US spot Bitcoin ETF products drew $622.75 million last week, their sixth straight week of net inflows.

Summary

  • SoSoValue data for the week of May 4 to 8 shows $622.75 million in total net inflows across US spot Bitcoin ETF products.
  • BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $596 million during the week, bringing its cumulative total to $66.1 billion.
  • The six-week streak has pulled nearly $3.4 billion into US Bitcoin ETF products, the longest run since July 2025.

US spot Bitcoin ETF products drew $622.75 million in net inflows during the week of May 4 to 8, extending the streak to six consecutive weeks of positive flows. SoSoValue tracked the figures on May 11.

BlackRock’s IBIT dominated the period with $596 million in net inflows. Grayscale’s GBTC was the notable exception, posting $62 million in net outflows over the same stretch. IBIT’s cumulative total now stands at $66.1 billion.

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Six weeks and what comes next

The current run is the longest inflow streak for US spot Bitcoin ETF products since seven consecutive weeks between June and July 2025. Over the six weeks starting April 2, the funds have together absorbed nearly $3.4 billion in fresh capital.

The strongest week of the run came in mid-April at $996.38 million. Last week’s $622.75 million was the second-highest total of the streak. Bitcoin traded between $80,000 and $82,000 during the period before stabilising near $80,800 by the weekend.

Spot Ethereum ETFs drew $70.49 million over the same week, while spot Solana ETFs took in $39.23 million and spot XRP ETFs attracted $34.21 million.

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Institutional positioning and context

The six-week run follows sustained institutional demand that has seen IBIT absorb the overwhelming majority of industry flows throughout 2026. IBIT captured 73% of Bitcoin ETF inflows during the week of January 12 to 16, a pattern that has continued across successive reporting periods.

Quantix Finance CEO Jake Seltzer told analysts this week that “the market is entering a phase where liquidity is becoming more selective rather than purely speculative,” pointing to the inflow data as a sign of structural institutional rotation into Bitcoin.

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Five things to watch in Asia as Trump prepares to meet China’s Xi this week

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Five things to watch in Asia as Trump prepares to meet China's Xi this week

Chinese and U.S. flags flutter near The Bund, before U.S. trade delegation meet their Chinese counterparts for talks in Shanghai, China July 30, 2019.

Aly Song | Reuters

BEIJING — The U.S. and China are rallying their East Asia ties ahead of a highly anticipated presidential summit in Beijing later this week.

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Trade negotiators from both countries are slated to meet in Seoul, South Korea, ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s meeting with China’s Xi Jinping, scheduled for Thursday and Friday.

The packed itinerary reflects the regional dynamic at play in U.S.-China relations, with the summit being closely watched by leaders globally.

Here’s the full agenda:

Tuesday: Bessent in Japan

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrived in Japan Monday, where he will meet Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, public broadcaster NHK reported.

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Japan is one of the countries most affected by the Iran war as the Asian nation relies on the Middle East for about 75% of its oil imports.

Bessent’s visit comes at a time when relations between Beijing and Tokyo have frayed, following Takaichi’s comments in November that indicated Tokyo would support Taiwan if threatened by Beijing’s military, drawing a sharp response from Beijing. She has not softened her statement, despite Beijing’s requests.

During her visit to U.S. in March, Trump and Takaichi “committed to peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait,” according to the White House.

Japan will closely watch the official wording on Taiwan following the Trump-Xi meeting, with the U.S. president on Monday saying that arms sales to Taipei were on the summit’s agenda.

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Wednesday: U.S.-China trade talks in South Korea

Vice Premier He Lifeng will lead a delegation to South Korea from Tuesday to Wednesday for trade talks with the U.S, according to China’s Commerce Ministry. The readout didn’t mention other meetings, but referenced the Trump-Xi summit in Busan, South Korea, in October last year.

While it’s not clear whether Bessent accounted for U.S. time zone differences, his announcement only noted that on Wednesday, he willstop in Seoul for a discussion with Vice Premier He Lifeng of China.”

It’s a sign of the tight planning schedule — and consequently deliverables — for this week’s summit in Beijing. China didn’t officially confirm the meeting until Monday.

“In our view, the summit will be more about avoiding an unnecessary escalation of tensions and managing risks than building up structural mechanisms and forging deep friendships,” Nomura’s Chief China Economist Ting Lu said in a note Monday.

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“The most pressing agenda Item is the Iran-Hormuz crisis,” he said.

Thursday: Trump in China

Trump is due to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday evening, according to the White House.

The following morning, he will participate in a welcome ceremony and hold a bilateral meeting with Xi, before they tour the historic Temple of Heaven — a 15th-century landmark in central Beijing. The evening is set to close with a state banquet.

The White House has invited more than a dozen U.S. executives to join Trump on his trip to China. The leaders include Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Apple CEO Tim Cook and Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg. However, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang was not on the list.

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China’s imports of Boeing aircraft, U.S. soybeans and beef will likely increase as a result of the Trump-Xi summit, but won’t likely recover to highs seen in recent history, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit China.

The amount of China’s purchases will likely be limited by U.S. concessions on tech exports, which in turn are constrained by dynamics in Washington, EIU analysts said.

Friday: Trump departs Beijing

The U.S. president is scheduled to have tea and a working lunch with Xi, before leaving China.

As discussed during last fall’s summit in Busan, Xi is expected to visit the U.S. later this year, and the conclusion of this week’s meeting in Beijing will be closely watched for any sign of an exact travel date.

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The Chinese leader visited the U.S. for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference in 2023, but has not made a formal state visit since 2015, during the Obama administration. Trump had visited China in 2017 during his first term as well, while his successor Joe Biden had skipped traveling to the Asian country.

Xi could visit the U.S. in December for the G20 meeting in Florida. Trump is expected to attend an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Shenzhen in November, when the two leaders could meet again.

Next week: A possible Putin visit

Rounding out the high-level political engagement are growing expectations that Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin could visit Beijing as soon as Monday, May 18.

Trump and the expected visit by Putin will round out dozen or so leaders who have come through Beijing in just the first five months of 2026 as China’s clout grows.

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Ahead of Trump, Xi hosted Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rahmon. Last week, Iran’s foreign minister also traveled to Beijing for the first time since the Iran war.

Iran will definitely be discussed during the Trump-Xi summit, said Cui Shoujun, a professor at Renmin University of China’s School of International Studies.

China is one of the few countries with relations with Iran and Gulf countries, he pointed out, noting Beijing would want to help resolve the tensions. As for the greater question of U.S.-China relations, Cui emphasized that the two presidents’ meeting this week is just a start of more discussions.

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Yuga Labs CEO defends Bored Ape price comeback

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Yuga Labs CEO defends Bored Ape price comeback

Bored Ape floor prices have doubled in a month as Yuga Labs CEO Michael Figge says blue-chip NFTs were oversold.

Summary

  • BAYC floor prices climbed from around 5 ETH to over 10 ETH across the past month, with ApeCoin rallying from below $0.10 to $0.16.
  • Yuga Labs CEO Michael Figge said the collection was clearly oversold during the prolonged downturn, calling the rally a recovery rather than hype.
  • Pudgy Penguins and other blue-chip collections have also rallied as retail traders return to speculative crypto assets.

Bored Ape Yacht Club floor prices have doubled over the past month, climbing from around 5 ETH to over 10 ETH as traders rotate back into speculative assets. ApeCoin, the ecosystem’s governance token, has also rallied from below $0.10 to roughly $0.16 alongside a sharp increase in trading volumes.

Yuga Labs CEO Michael Figge told analysts the rally reflects genuine market correction. “It’s clear from the numbers that for some time, as far as blue-chip digital collectibles go, it was oversold,” Figge said.

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What is driving the Bored Ape comeback

The rebound comes as memecoins and other higher-risk assets outperform more defensive sectors such as DeFi, suggesting retail traders are returning after months of subdued activity.

Pudgy Penguins has also rallied sharply in recent weeks, and traders are speculating about a long-rumoured OpenSea token launch reigniting broader marketplace activity.

Figge acknowledged that speculation remains central. “It would be naive to say financial speculation isn’t a huge driver,” he said. “Whatever happens in this cycle will rhyme with the last one, but it’s never going to be exactly the same.”

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Yuga Labs has meanwhile shifted its focus toward community building, hosting more than 30 in-person meetups worldwide over the past month. “A lot of what made Bored Ape work in the first place, the social layer, hasn’t really been serviced in recent years,” Figge said.

Market data and holder context

Figge pushed back on critics noting that unique holder counts have not doubled alongside prices. “A cynic will say prices doubled and the unique holder count didn’t double,” he said. “But that’s really just recovery from a period where things fell disproportionately.”

BAYC’s market capitalisation stood at $251 million as of May 10, with the collection recording $13.42 million in sales over the prior 30 days, per CoinGecko data.

The rebound also coincides with a broader reassessment of digital art: pseudonymous NFT analyst “Van” argued in a recent essay that while speculative mania collapsed after 2021, institutional interest in blockchain-based art has continued quietly at institutions including MoMA and Centre Pompidou.

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Datavault AI (DVLT) Stock: Ambitious 48K-GPU Edge Network Eyes National Rollout

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DVLT Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • DVLT drops 5.77% in regular trading but recovers 2.76% after hours on infrastructure updates
  • Company plans 48,000-GPU distributed edge computing network spanning 100+ U.S. metropolitan areas by 2026
  • Upcoming CLARITY Act markup provides regulatory tailwind for digital infrastructure buildout
  • Strategic Available Infrastructure collaboration underpins Datavault AI’s coast-to-coast deployment
  • Modular micro data center approach positions DVLT for AI workloads, tokenization services, and edge processing

Datavault AI (DVLT) thrust its edge computing infrastructure blueprint into the spotlight Tuesday as the stock experienced intraday volatility. Shares settled at $0.5109, declining 5.77% during regular trading hours following afternoon selling pressure. Yet investors found renewed optimism in extended trading, pushing the stock to $0.5250—a 2.76% gain—after the company detailed its expansion roadmap.


DVLT Stock Card

Datavault AI Inc., DVLT

Legislative Momentum from CLARITY Act

Datavault AI tied its infrastructure initiative to anticipated Senate Banking Committee action on the CLARITY Act. Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott scheduled the bill’s markup session for Thursday, May 14, 2026, beginning at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time. This legislation pursues more transparent federal frameworks for digital asset regulation and market structure.

The CLARITY Act endeavors to establish distinct jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC in overseeing digital asset activities. The House approved this bipartisan measure in July 2025 with strong 294-134 support. Senate advancement would move the legislation closer to reconciliation discussions with the House-passed version.

Datavault AI indicated that enhanced regulatory clarity might accelerate adoption of tokenization platforms, protected data operations, and distributed computing services. The firm delivers solutions spanning data monetization, digital credentialing, customer engagement tools, and real-world asset tokenization capabilities. Therefore, management views regulatory certainty as a potential catalyst for broader digital infrastructure deployment.

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Expansive GPU Fleet for Metropolitan Coverage

Datavault AI intends to construct a geographically dispersed edge infrastructure through its collaboration with Available Infrastructure spanning major American cities. The initiative aims to reach beyond 100 metro regions before 2026 concludes. Plans also encompass deploying 1,000 urban micro-edge neocloud facilities throughout the nation.

The organization anticipates achieving full commercial operation of its 48,000-GPU arsenal during Q3 2026. Moreover, it projects generating revenue from coast to coast by year’s end as the rollout progresses through local territories. Datavault AI values the complete GPU infrastructure between $1.44 billion and $1.92 billion.

Management calculated this valuation using prevailing market rates for Hopper and Blackwell generation GPU hardware. The firm also projects serviceable addressable market opportunity exceeding $100 million annually per individual network node. Nevertheless, these financial forecasts hinge on successful implementation, market acceptance, deployment velocity, and enterprise adoption rates.

Distributed Architecture Enables Low-Latency Operations

Datavault AI employs compact modular data centers rather than concentrating resources in massive centralized complexes. This approach distributes computational power across numerous geographic points and minimizes single-point vulnerabilities. As a result, the organization claims the architecture enhances redundancy protocols, failover capabilities, operational continuity, and security posture.

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The company anticipates the network will facilitate data monetization applications, tokenization platforms, and computation-intensive operations. It also configures the infrastructure for minimal-latency processing proximate to ultimate users and corporate customers. This architectural strategy could address requirements in financial services, enterprise computing, and digital asset infrastructure sectors.

Available Infrastructure further links this deployment to Project Qestral, an overarching sovereign network initiative. That broader effort targets comprehensive presence throughout America’s 100 most populous metropolitan regions. Datavault AI now seeks to monetize this geographic coverage as its edge computing infrastructure becomes operational.

 

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Base Azul upgrade targets May 13 mainnet launch

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Base Azul upgrade targets May 13 mainnet launch

Base Azul is set to go live on mainnet May 13, bringing a multiproof security system to the Coinbase Layer 2.

Summary

  • Base Azul combines trusted execution environment proofs with zero-knowledge proofs, allowing either method to finalize proposals independently.
  • When both proof systems agree, withdrawal finality can fall to as little as one day, a significant improvement for users moving assets between chains.
  • Empty blocks on the Base network fell 99% over the past two months, from roughly 200 per day to around two.

Base Azul, described by the network as its first fully independent upgrade, is set to activate on mainnet on May 13. At the center of the upgrade is a multiproof system combining trusted execution environment proofs with zero-knowledge proofs, giving the network multiple independent paths to finalize transactions.

Either proof type can finalize a proposal independently, providing redundancy and resilience. When both systems agree, Base says withdrawal finality can fall to as little as one day, a major improvement over the standard multi-day wait on optimistic rollups.

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What Base Azul changes for users and developers

Azul also changes Base’s backend software stack. The upgrade makes base-reth-node the network’s sole execution client while adding base-consensus, a new client derived from Kona. All other execution and consensus clients are being dropped, requiring node operators to migrate before mainnet.

Base said reliability has already improved ahead of the launch. Empty blocks fell by roughly 99% over the past two months, from approximately 200 per day to around two. The network also sustained multiple transaction bursts of up to 5,000 transactions per second during the same window, a sharp contrast to the congestion issues that affected the network in January.

The upgrade also aligns Base with Ethereum’s Osaka execution-layer specifications, reducing breaking changes for most developers and applications. Base is running an Immunefi audit competition offering rewards of up to $250,000 for critical vulnerabilities in Azul code.

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Context and what comes next

Base is the Coinbase-incubated Ethereum Layer 2 and one of the most active networks by transaction volume in 2026. Azul is framed as a step toward Stage 2 decentralization, a goal the network has pursued progressively since introducing permissionless fault proofs in 2024.

The next Base upgrade after Azul is expected by end of June and will include an enshrined token standard, Flashblock Access Lists, and further withdrawal time reductions.

Base has also confirmed VibeNet will launch as a public devnet in mid-May, giving developers an early environment to test upcoming features before they reach mainnet.

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Payward files for OCC crypto trust charter

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Kraken parent sues ex-custodian Etana over alleged $25M “Ponzi scheme”

Kraken’s parent Payward has filed a Payward charter application with the OCC to establish a federally regulated national trust company.

Summary

  • Payward filed for an OCC national trust charter on May 8, proposing a new entity called Payward National Trust Company focused on digital asset custody.
  • The trust would offer federally regulated custody to institutional clients without taking deposits or making loans.
  • Co-CEO Arjun Sethi said the OCC filing and Kraken’s existing Wyoming SPDI are complementary pillars of Payward’s regulated banking strategy.

Kraken’s parent Payward has filed a Payward charter application with the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, proposing a federally regulated entity called Payward National Trust Company. The filing was announced on May 8 alongside a statement from Payward co-CEO Arjun Sethi.

If approved, Payward National Trust Company would provide bank-level digital asset custody to institutional clients who require a federally regulated qualified custodian. It would not take deposits or make loans in the traditional sense.

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What the OCC charter means for Kraken

“A national trust company provides the certainty institutions require and establishes the infrastructure to build the next generation of custody,” Sethi said. “This is not about being first; it is about getting the framework right.”

Sethi described the OCC application and Kraken’s existing Wyoming Special Purpose Depository Institution as “complementary pillars” of Payward’s regulated banking strategy. Kraken Financial, the Wyoming-chartered arm, secured a Federal Reserve master account in March 2026, the first crypto-native firm to gain direct access to the Fed’s payment rails.

The OCC has already issued conditional approvals to several crypto firms this cycle. Ripple, Circle, Paxos, BitGo, and Fidelity Digital Assets received conditional national trust bank charters in December 2025. Crypto.com received its own conditional OCC approval in February 2026.

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Context and what comes next

Payward has been rapidly building out its regulated US infrastructure. Its acquisition of Bitnomial for up to $550 million added a full CFTC derivatives stack, while its $1.5 billion purchase of NinjaTrader in 2025 gave it retail futures access.

The Payward charter would extend that regulatory footprint to federal custody, completing a vertically integrated platform spanning trading, clearing, and safekeeping of digital assets.

The OCC approval process is expected to be thorough and multi-stage. Anchorage Digital remains the only crypto-native firm to hold a full national charter to date, with all other recent approvals still conditional.

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Stream Finance Breaks Six Month Silence With Wind-Down Plan

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Stream Finance Breaks Six Month Silence With Wind-Down Plan


A newly formed Delaware entity will consolidate and liquidate remaining assets, with “strategic alternatives” coming in the next few weeks.

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Ripple Prime Secures $200M Debt Facility to Expand Lending Capacity

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Ripple Prime Secures $200M Debt Facility to Expand Lending Capacity


Funds managed by Neuberger Specialty Finance committed the facility to grow margin financing for the multi-asset prime broker.

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Circle Stock Climbs 15% as Wall Street Bets on Stablecoins

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Crypto Breaking News

Circle’s stock rallied on Monday after the fintech company reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter results and disclosed a fresh $222 million presale of its ARC token, a key component of its Arc network. The news helped push CRCL up about 16% to $131.76 at the close, the highest finish since March 18, and extended a standout start to 2026 as the stock sits roughly 66% higher for the year. This jump nudged Circle’s market capitalization toward the $35 billion mark, underscoring the market’s appetite for the company’s expanding stablecoin and blockchain ambitions.

The earnings and strategic updates arrived as investors weigh Circle’s position in a rapidly evolving crypto ecosystem where stablecoins and on-chain utility tokens are intertwining more closely with consumer and institutional finance. Wall Street analysts, while acknowledging near-term volatility, largely regard Circle as a leader in the space, buoyed by its recurring revenue growth and the potential flywheel effect from its Arc platform.

Key takeaways

  • Circle posted a 20% rise in revenue for Q1 2026 to $694 million, with adjusted earnings up 24% to $151 million, alongside a USDC circulating supply of $77 billion at quarter-end, up 28% year over year.
  • Arc’s presale raised $222 million, valuing the Arc network at $3 billion and signaling strong investor interest in Circle’s broader blockchain strategy.
  • Major supporters of Arc’s fundraising include a16z Crypto and a consortium featuring BlackRock, Apollo Global Management, and ARK Invest, illustrating broad strategic backing.
  • Equity market response reflected optimism: consensus price target sits around $138.50, with several top analysts forecasting meaningful upside, including Citigroup’s Peter Christiansen at a $243 target and Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani at $190.

Solid earnings anchor Circle’s strategic arc

Circle’s first-quarter results painted a picture of a company steadily widening its top and bottom lines while cementing its role in the digital-asset ecosystem beyond pure stablecoin trading. The firm reported USDC, its flagship dollar-pegged stablecoin, reaching $77 billion in circulation by the end of Q1. That level represents a 28% increase from the previous year, underscoring durable demand for a token that Circle has framed as a building block for payments, on-chain settlement, and decentralized finance infrastructure. In parallel, Circle’s revenue growth and margin expansion fed the stock’s positive momentum for the year.

Specifically, the company said Q1 revenue rose to $694 million, up 20% year over year, while adjusted earnings climbed to $151 million, up 24%. Investors have come to view these numbers not merely as finance metrics but as evidence that Circle is successfully monetizing a widening usage of its stablecoin network and related services. The earnings call also reinforced the management’s view that Circle’s ecosystem benefits from a “flywheel” effect — as more payments and on-chain activity use USDC and related services, it should compound demand for Arc’s tokenized transactions and broader blockchain capabilities.

Arc presale signals growing corporate interest in on-chain utility

Beyond the headline earnings, Circle disclosed that it had conducted a presale of its ARC token for $222 million, valuing the Arc project at $3 billion. The ARC token is designed to support transactions and utility within Circle’s Arc network, a framework the company positions as expanding the practical uses of stablecoins and on-chain finance. Circle’s leadership described Arc as a catalyst for broader adoption of Circle’s digital assets, suggesting that Arc could enhance the efficiency and reach of USDC in commerce and other on-chain use cases.

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The investor syndicate behind ARC’s presale underscores the strategic interest from both crypto-native and traditional financial players. In addition to a16z Crypto, Circle highlighted participation from a consortium featuring BlackRock, Apollo Global Management, and ARK Invest. This mix signals potential cross-industry collaboration opportunities, from on-chain settlement and programmable payments to ecosystem financing that could benefit Circle’s broader toolkit of products.

Analysts weigh in on the trajectory and the risks

Market observers described the earnings and ARC news as supportive of Circle’s leadership position in stablecoins and blockchain-enabled commerce. Andrew Jeffrey of William Blair told clients that while Circle shares are likely to stay volatile in the near term, the company benefits from what he called a “significant stablecoin commerce advantage” that could translate into durable upside over time. Dan Dolev of Mizuho echoed a similar theme, noting that Circle continues to push new use cases for stablecoins beyond trading — a development that could broaden the technology’s appeal to a wider set of users and institutions.

Analysts also referenced the breadth of backing behind Circle’s Arc initiative as a potential accelerant for adoption. TipRanks data reflecting a consensus around a $138.50 price target suggests that the street broadly expects further upside from Circle’s current level, driven by both the stablecoin portfolio and Arc’s monetization potential. Among the bulls, Citigroup’s Peter Christiansen has laid out a ceiling well above the current price, with a 12-month target of $243, while Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani has offered a more conservative but still optimistic target of $190. Together with other buy-rated opinions, these projections highlight a bankable case built on Circle’s growing network effects and diversified revenue streams.

What this means for investors and the market

Circle’s Q1 results and Arc presale reinforce a narrative in which stablecoins are no longer merely passive liquidity tools but are increasingly embedded in the fabric of on-chain commerce and financial services. The scale of USDC circulation points to continued confidence in Circle’s core product, while the Arc token introduces a new layer of on-chain incentives designed to accelerate adoption and utilization. For investors, the combination of a proven revenue machine and a programmatic pathway to broader blockchain use cases helps justify the elevated valuation, even as near-term price action remains sensitive to macro and crypto sector sentiment.

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From a market perspective, the Arc ecosystem could become a pivotal factor shaping Circle’s long-run trajectory. If Arc products succeed in delivering measurable efficiency gains and new revenue channels, Circle could leverage that momentum to deepen stablecoin circulation, expand merchant adoption, and attract additional strategic partners. Yet the path is not without risk: Arc’s success hinges on broader network adoption, regulatory clarity around tokenized ecosystems, and the ability to scale the technology securely in a rapidly evolving landscape.

Looking ahead, investors will be watching how Arc integrations unfold in real-world use cases, how USDC usage expands across geographies and industries, and whether external investors continue to back the Arc vision in subsequent rounds or collaborations. The next earnings cycle and any updates on Arc’s developer ecosystem, security, and governance will be telling indicators of how the company’s strategy translates into tangible value for its users and holders.

As Circle builds out its stablecoin network and Arc’s on-chain utility, the market will seek to determine whether the current enthusiasm translates into sustainable growth or if volatility remains a defining trait of Circle’s stock in the near term. The coming quarters should reveal how durable the Arc-driven expansion is and whether Circle can convert broader institutional interest into meaningful, long-term demand for USDC and ARC alike.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Australia Plans Capital Gains Tax Change Affecting Crypto

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Australia Plans Capital Gains Tax Change Affecting Crypto

The Australian government is reportedly seeking to replace capital gains tax discounts on crypto and other assets with an inflation indexation tax, which could increase the taxes on long-term crypto gains.

The Albanese government’s fiscal year 2027 budget, set to be released on Tuesday, would cut the current 50% capital gains tax discount alongside changes to housing investment taxes, the Australian Financial Review reported on Sunday, citing people familiar with the budget.

Australian investors can currently claim a 50% capital gains tax discount on assets held for more than 12 months. The proposed indexation model would instead tax full real gains, adjusted for inflation, over the time the asset is held.

The move is likely to impact long-term investors and could potentially see a significant increase in tax obligations for high-income earners on assets with low inflation-adjusted returns.

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Chris Joye, a portfolio manager at Coolabah Capital Investments and an AFR columnist, criticized the change, arguing in an X post that it would drive Australians out of most forms of investment and into assets with tax incentives, such as housing.

“After the budget doubles the capital gains tax on productive businesses and assets from about 23.5% to 46-47%, investors will understandably pull money from businesses, shares, commercial property and rental housing and plough it into their tax-free owner-occupied home,” he said.

“The single biggest winner from the budget: the tax-free owner-occupied home, which is where people will put their money,” Joye added.

Changes in the federal budget will take effect at the end of the fiscal year in July 2027, with a one-year grace period for assets acquired after May 10. During the transition to a new system, the existing 50% discount will still apply.

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Related: Coinbase launches crypto service for Australian retirement funds

The AFR report also notes that assets purchased before May 10 will be partially exempt, with the final capital gains tax discount calculated proportionally based on how long the asset was held under each tax regime.

Source: Chris Joye 

Scott Phillips, chief investment officer at investment advice firm The Motley Fool, argued that while investors will likely pay more tax under the changes, they will still make considerable returns and be incentivized for further investments.

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“Not for nothing, but when people say a CGT change would hit founders and growth investors, they’re not wrong. But implicit in that argument is that those groups will be making a motza in the first place. That’s all the incentive they will need,” he said.

Magazine: XRP ‘probably going to $12,’ Bitcoin ETFs add $1B: Market Moves

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