Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee and take a step back from the daily price charts. Beneath the noise, some analysts believe Bitcoin’s latest downturn may be telling a very different story—one less about collapse and more about how the market itself is changing.

Crypto News of the Day: Bernstein Maintains $150,000 BTC Prediction

Bitcoin’s latest correction may feel familiar to crypto analysts, but experts at research and brokerage firm Bernstein argue that this cycle is fundamentally different from past downturns.

Sponsored

Sponsored

In a recent note to clients, the firm described the current environment as the “weakest bitcoin bear case in its history.” In their opinion, the decline reflects a crisis of confidence rather than structural damage to the ecosystem.

The analysts, led by Gautam Chhugani, reiterated a $150,000 Bitcoin price target by the end of 2026, citing:

A Bear Market Without a Crisis

Historically, Bitcoin bear markets have been triggered by systemic failures, hidden leverage, or major bankruptcies. Episodes such as the collapses of large crypto firms in previous cycles exposed structural weaknesses and triggered cascading liquidations.

Bernstein argues that none of those catalysts are present today. The analysts noted that there have been no major exchange failures, widespread balance sheet stress, or systemic breakdowns across the crypto industry, even as sentiment has deteriorated.

“What we are experiencing is the weakest Bitcoin bear case in its history,” the analysts wrote, adding that the recent sell-off reflects waning confidence rather than problems with Bitcoin’s underlying structure.

They also pointed to strong institutional alignment supporting the market, including spot Bitcoin ETF adoption, growing corporate treasury participation, and continued involvement from major asset managers.

According to the firm, these factors mark a clear departure from earlier cycles dominated by retail speculation and fragile infrastructure.

Sponsored

Sponsored

In the analysts’ view, the current market narrative is more shaped by sentiment than by fundamentals.

“Nothing blew up, no skeletons will unravel,” they wrote, arguing that concerns ranging from AI competition to quantum computing risks have contributed to a perception-driven downturn rather than a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s value proposition.

Macro Pressures Drive Relative Weakness

Bernstein also addressed concerns about Bitcoin’s recent underperformance relative to gold during periods of macroeconomic stress.

The analysts said this divergence reflects Bitcoin’s continued behavior as a liquidity-sensitive risk asset rather than a mature safe haven.

High interest rates and tighter financial conditions have concentrated capital flows into defensive assets such as gold and into high-growth sectors like AI.

In contrast, Bitcoin remains more sensitive to shifts in global liquidity, meaning its recovery could be closely tied to changes in monetary policy and financial conditions.

Sponsored

Sponsored

The firm expects Bitcoin’s ETF infrastructure and corporate capital-raising channels to play a significant role in absorbing new capital once liquidity conditions ease.

Structural Changes Reduce Downside Risks

Bernstein also dismissed concerns about leveraged corporate Bitcoin holdings and miner capitulation. The analysts noted that major corporate holders have structured liabilities to withstand prolonged downturns.

In one cited example, a large corporate holder, Strategy, would face balance-sheet restructuring only if Bitcoin fell to around $8,000 and remained there for several years.

Meanwhile, miners have increasingly diversified their revenue streams, including reallocating power capacity toward AI data center demand. This trend, according to the firm, has reduced pressure on mining economics and lowered the risk of forced selling during price declines.

The analysts also acknowledged the long-term risks posed by quantum computing. However, they argue that such threats are not unique to Bitcoin and would affect all critical digital and financial systems. This, the analysts say, is expected to transition to quantum-resistant standards over time.

Sponsored

Sponsored

Chart of the Day

Byte-Sized Alpha

Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:

• Ondo price hovered near $0.24, down around 6%.
• If there’s a breakout, ONDO could target $0.45 in the near term.
• ONDO could dive below $0.20 if bulls fail to hold onto gains.

The ONDO token climbed to nearly $0.30 as improving sentiment lifted much of the altcoin market, including the real-world asset tokenisation project.

However, selling pressure emerged near a key resistance level, with the price down about 6% over the past 24 hours at the time of writing on Monday, February 9, 2026.

As a result, despite a mildly constructive technical setup, a deeper pullback could undermine near-term upside momentum and weigh further on the price of ONDO.

Ondo price recap: bounce hits supply wall

Like several major altcoins, ONDO rebounded from the $0.20 level as cryptocurrencies recovered from the sell-off on February 5.

However, buying momentum weakened near $0.27, where selling pressure held over the weekend, establishing the area as a strong supply zone.

On Monday, the token moved lower again, falling about 6% to trade just above $0.24.

The decline was accompanied by an 8% rise in trading volume, pointing to continued seller dominance.

The weakness has come as Bitcoin struggles to regain traction around the $70,000 level, with broader market sentiment remaining negative.

On-chain data across the sector indicates sustained selling from early investors and large holders.

ONDO remains under pressure and is down about 14% over the past week, in line with similar declines across RWA-related tokens.

Ondo price outlook: up or risk of fresh pain?

The broader outlook for ONDO continues to reflect a balance between technical factors and wider macroeconomic pressures.

If a breakout materialises, ONDO could target the $0.45 level in the near term, with scope to extend toward $0.70 if momentum strengthens.

However, downside risks remain elevated.

The broader cryptocurrency market continues to trade weakly, with Bitcoin struggling below $69,000 and Ethereum facing repeated rejection near $2,000.

Sentiment remains fragile, with the CoinMarketCap Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 9, firmly in extreme fear territory.

High liquidation activity, exceeding $344 million over the past 24 hours, also points to continued market stress.

If ONDO fails to hold support at $0.21, analysts warn that a pullback toward the $0.17 level could follow.

Binance expanded its emergency reserves again, adding 4,225 Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) to its SAFU wallet, a move valued at roughly $300 million as the world’s largest crypto exchange doubles down on a Bitcoin-backed protection fund amid ongoing market pressure. The fresh purchase lifts SAFU’s Bitcoin holdings to more than $720 million at current prices, underscoring Binance’s willingness to bolster liquidity safeguards for users during a period of heightened volatility. The company had previously signaled a shift of up to $1 billion into Bitcoin and stated that the conversion would be completed within 30 days of its Jan. 30 announcement, with a rebalance back to the full $1 billion target if market swings pull the fund’s value below about $800 million.

The ongoing deployment into Bitcoin signals growing conviction in BTC as a cornerstone reserve asset for user protections, even as it binds the SAFU fund more closely to crypto price swings. Binance has emphasized that SAFU is designed to defend users in distressing conditions, yet the fund’s rising Bitcoin exposure also exposes it to downside risk if the market moves against it. The latest development was disclosed as part of Arkham’s on-chain data, which tracks wallet activity and asset inflows into SAFU’s treasury, including the 4,225 BTC addition noted above. The forward-looking goal remains to complete the BTC conversion within the 30-day window established by the January announcement.

Investors are watching Bitcoin’s price action closely. In recent sessions, the leading cryptocurrency slipped to $59,930, a level not seen since October 2024, according to TradingView data. That retreat comes amid broader market weakness and a risk-off mood among traders, who have been weighing whether a sustained rebound is in prospect or whether the correction still has legs. One market observer noted that sentiment around digital assets remains fragile, with traders clinging to historical cycles rather than relying on immediate catalysts.

Alongside the Bitcoin dynamics, industry intelligence providers have shown a tilt among the so-called smart money. Reports from Nansen indicate that traders managing significant liquidity positions tilted toward short exposure on Bitcoin and other top assets, accumulating a net short position of roughly $109 million across leading tokens. The same data set showed a notable contrast with Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX), which attracted a modest long bias, totaling about $7.38 million in cumulative long positions. Such positioning hints at a cautious, defensive posture among sophisticated traders even as some traders anticipate selective rebounds in select ecosystems.

Binance’s SAFU strategy traces back to its broader risk-management framework, which the exchange has repeatedly described as essential for maintaining user trust during drawdown periods. By continuing to accumulate BTC for SAFU, Binance is signaling a preference for Bitcoin-based reserves as a stabilizing buffer rather than relying solely on fiat or more traditional risk-hedge instruments. The approach aligns with the exchange’s updated risk posture as it navigates a market environment characterized by liquidity constraints, thin volume in certain segments, and a murkier regulatory backdrop that can influence how exchanges manage user protections and capital reserves.

Fragile sentiment weighs on markets

Binance’s ongoing SAFU conversion occurs against a backdrop of a broader crypto market correction, with Bitcoin’s price hovering near the $60,000 mark and sentiment described as fragile by industry observers. A chief concern cited by market participants is the lack of clear, near-term catalysts to sustain upside momentum, which can restrain upside moves and extend pullbacks. While the BTC reserve expansion may bolster confidence in risk controls, it also exposes SAFU to volatility—heightening the need for disciplined rebalancing rules if the market sours further.

Market participants eye how the SAFU fund’s size interacts with Bitcoin’s price trajectory and overall market liquidity. The balance between resilience for user protections and exposure to adverse moves will be a critical test for Binance’s risk framework in the months ahead, especially as macro conditions and on-chain activity continue to evolve.

Why it matters

The SAFU fund serves as a protective backstop intended to shield users during periods of stress. By increasing BTC holdings within SAFU, Binance demonstrates a commitment to anchoring a significant portion of its reserve assets in the most liquid, widely traded crypto asset. This approach can bolster perceived safety for users who rely on exchange-backed protections, particularly during episodes of market turbulence when liquidity and counterparty risk can become salient.

However, the strategy also concentrates a portion of SAFU’s value in Bitcoin’s price moves, potentially amplifying drawdowns if BTC undergoes further volatility. The decision to target a full $1 billion allocation within a 30-day window signals confidence in BTC’s long-run role as a reserve asset, but it requires ongoing discipline to manage risk when prices swing sharply. The narrative around SAFU’s expansion dovetails with broader industry discussions about the adequacy of exchange reserves, the role of on-chain data in verifying asset holdings, and how market participants assess the sufficiency of guarantees provided by centralized platforms.

From a market-structure perspective, the episode showcases the evolving playbook of major exchanges as they navigate a landscape of rising regulatory scrutiny, competing risk frameworks, and the fragility of short-term price trends. The interaction between on-chain activity, reserve management and investor sentiment highlights the complexity of safeguarding users while maintaining resilience in an environment characterized by rapid الأخبار changes in funding, liquidity, and risk appetite. While not a guarantee of future stability, the SAFU expansion represents a notable operational decision that could influence how other platforms think about crisis protection and capital adequacy in crypto markets.

What to watch next

• Follow-up on SAFU’s BTC accumulation and the official timeline for completing the conversion within the 30-day window.
• BTC price action around the $60,000 level and any shifts in risk sentiment as new data and catalysts emerge.
• Updates from on-chain trackers (e.g., Arkham, Nansen) confirming reserve balances and smart-money positioning.
• Any additional disclosures from Binance regarding rebalancing triggers if SAFU value moves toward or away from the $1 billion target.

Sources & verification

• Binance X post confirming continued BTC acquisitions for SAFU and the 30-day conversion target.
• Arkham on-chain data corroborating the 4,225 BTC transfer to SAFU.
• Binance’s Jan. 30 announcement about shifting up to $1 billion into Bitcoin and the $800 million floor.
• BTC price data around $59,930 from TradingView.
• Hina Sattar Joshi’s assessment of market sentiment and fragility, cited in market commentary.
• Nansen data showing smart-money positioning, including BTC net short exposure and AVAX long exposure.

Rewritten Article Body

Binance expands SAFU Bitcoin reserves as market pressure persists

Binance added 4,225 Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) to its Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) on Monday, increasing the safety net intended to protect client funds during downturns. The acquisition, valued at about $300 million in today’s prices, pushes SAFU’s Bitcoin reserve above the $720 million threshold, according to chain-analytics firm Arkham. The move forms part of a broader plan Binance outlined on Jan. 30 to convert up to $1 billion of user-protection assets into Bitcoin, with a 30-day target window for completing the conversion and a rebalancing clause if the fund dips below $800 million. The timing aligns with a period of renewed emphasis on reserve quality and risk-bearing capacity within the crypto exchange ecosystem.

As the market prices for Bitcoin experience volatility, Binance’s SAFU strategy illustrates a deliberate tilt toward BTC as a cornerstone reserve asset. While the fund’s BTC holdings are intended to provide a cushion for users in case of adverse conditions, the size of the reserves introduces a direct sensitivity to Bitcoin’s price movements. The Arkham data point that tracks SAFU’s evolution shows the latest inflow of 4,225 BTC, underscoring ongoing investor confidence in Bitcoin as a stabilizing component of the exchange’s emergency framework. Binance has reinforced that the conversion to BTC would be completed within 30 days of the original announcement, with a restoration path to the full $1 billion target should market volatility erode SAFU’s value below $800 million.

The immediate market response reflected in Bitcoin’s price action has been cautious. BTC retraced to around $59,930, a level not observed since October 2024, as traders reassess risk and evaluate whether macro catalysts will unlock further upside. This price backdrop has contributed to a broader sense of fragility in market sentiment, with commentators noting that traders are anchored to historical patterns rather than current catalysts. The lack of a clear near-term driver has left many investors skittish, leading to a broader risk-off stance that can weigh on asset prices and, by extension, on reserve-tracking metrics like SAFU.

Beyond BTC’s price trajectory, the activity within smart-money communities reflects a cautious tilt. Data from Nansen indicate that leveraged short positions have grown in aggregate, with traders maintaining a net short stance on Bitcoin totaling about $109 million across major assets, while Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX) drew a comparatively modest long exposure of $7.38 million. This divergence demonstrates that, even as some sophisticated traders seek downside protection in the current environment, others are selectively positioning for potential recoveries in particular ecosystems or tokens. The juxtaposition underscores the complexity of market dynamics in a period when reserve-building by major exchanges sits alongside a potential reallocation of capital in response to evolving risk sentiment.

At the core of Binance’s decision is a commitment to user protection that acknowledges both the benefits and risks of BTC-centered reserves. Bitcoin’s status as the most liquid cryptocurrency makes it an attractive anchor for safeguarding user funds; however, the greater the exposure to BTC price swings, the more carefully reserve managers must calibrate rebalancing rules and liquidity buffers. The SAFU program’s evolution—particularly the plan to converge toward the $1 billion target within a tight 30-day window—will be watched closely by regulators, investors, and competitors as a case study in reserve strategy and risk governance in a swiftly evolving market.

Managing a crypto portfolio in 2026 is no longer a simple task. Investors often operate across centralized exchanges, on-chain wallets, DeFi protocols, NFTs, and multiple blockchains at the same time. As portfolios become more fragmented, the need for reliable, centralized tracking tools has become essential.

Among the platforms addressing this challenge, CoinStats has emerged as one of the most widely adopted solutions. With more than one million users and over $100 billion in assets tracked, CoinStats has positioned itself as a core portfolio intelligence tool for modern crypto investors.

This article takes a closer look at what CoinStats offers, how it fits into today’s crypto landscape, and why it is considered one of the leading portfolio trackers available.

A Unified View of an Increasingly Fragmented Market

One of the main issues crypto investors face today is fragmentation. Assets are spread across exchanges, wallets, Layer 1s, Layer 2s, and DeFi protocols. Tracking exposure manually quickly becomes inefficient and error-prone.

CoinStats crypto tracker addresses this problem by offering a unified dashboard where users can connect all their wallets and exchanges in one place. The platform supports more than 120 blockchains, over 300 wallets and centralized exchanges, and more than 1,000 DeFi protocols.

Popular integrations include Binance, Coinbase, MetaMask, Phantom, Trust Wallet, and many others. Once connected, balances and transactions are automatically synchronized, removing the need for manual updates.

Beyond Balances: Portfolio Analytics That Matter

While many portfolio trackers stop at balance aggregation, CoinStats goes further by providing in-depth portfolio analytics. Users can access advanced Profit and Loss analysis, historical performance tracking, and detailed portfolio breakdowns.

These insights allow investors to better understand how their strategies perform over time, which assets contribute most to returns, and where risks may be concentrated. For traders operating across multiple platforms, having this level of clarity in one interface is a significant advantage.

AI-Driven Portfolio Intelligence

CoinStats has also expanded its feature set with the introduction of a multimodel AI assistant designed for deep research and portfolio intelligence. This tool helps users analyze tokens, explore market trends, and gain contextual insights that go beyond surface-level data.

The AI assistant reflects a broader shift in crypto tooling toward data-driven decision support. While advanced research features require a paid subscription, the integration highlights CoinStats’ focus on evolving with the needs of more sophisticated users.

Risk Awareness in a Volatile Environment

Risk management remains one of the most overlooked aspects of crypto investing. CoinStats addresses this through features such as its Token Risk scanner, which helps users evaluate assets before adding them to their portfolios.

Combined with detailed asset data and AI-powered price predictions, this functionality supports more informed decision-making, particularly in fast-moving or speculative markets.

Designed for Active Users

Accessibility is another area where CoinStats stands out. The platform is available on both mobile and web, allowing users to monitor their portfolios on the go. This is especially important for active traders who need real-time visibility without being tied to a desktop setup.

As decentralized trading and on-chain activity continue to grow, mobile-first access to portfolio data is becoming a baseline expectation rather than a bonus feature.

Key Strengths at a Glance

• Broad support across wallets, exchanges, and blockchains

• Unified tracking for CeFi, DeFi, and NFTs

• Advanced Profit and Loss analysis and portfolio insights

• Multimodel AI assistant for research and intelligence

• Token Risk scanner for asset evaluation

• Automatic balance and transaction synchronization

• Available on mobile and web

Limitations to Keep in Mind

Like most advanced platforms, CoinStats is not without trade-offs. Some AI-driven research features are available only through paid plans, and support for newer Layer 2 networks may occasionally lag behind major chains. However, these limitations are relatively minor when weighed against the platform’s overall functionality.

Final Thoughts

As crypto portfolios continue to span multiple ecosystems, tools that offer clarity, automation, and insight are becoming essential. CoinStats stands out not because it follows trends, but because it addresses real operational challenges faced by modern crypto investors.

With its extensive integrations, advanced analytics, and growing focus on AI-driven intelligence, CoinStats has earned its place among the leading crypto portfolio trackers in the market today.

Solana’s SOL (SOL) has dropped 38% over the last 30 days, falling to a two-year low of $67 on Friday. Multiple analysts believe that the downside is not over for the seventh-placed cryptocurrency, with downward targets extending as low as $30.

Key takeaways:

• Solana’s head-and-shoulders pattern targets a SOL price of $50 or lower.

• MVRV bands point to a potential bottom, but support at $75 must hold.

Solana targets $42 after bearish confirmation

SOL price has already lost over 72% of its value since a cycle top of around $295 in January 2025. In doing so, its price confirmed a head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on multiple time frames.

Related: Pump.fun moves deeper into trading infrastructure with Vyper acquisition

Crypto analyst Bitcoinsensus shared a chart showing SOL validating a H&S pattern, hinting at more downside ahead.

“Solana has confirmed a breakdown from this macro Head & Shoulders pattern,” Bitcoinsensus said in a Monday post on X, adding:

“​​The target could be as low as $50 per $SOL.”

“This is a classic head and shoulders pattern with a measured move to $45,” analyst Nextiscrypto said about SOL’s two-week chart. But other analysts said the price can go even lower.

Pseudonymous analyst “Shitpoastin” said Solana’s price has also formed a “massive head and shoulders” pattern on the monthly chart over two years, “with nothing but air until $30.”

The two-day candle chart, meanwhile, shows that SOL price had broken below the H&S neckline at $120 on Jan. 30.

The measured target of the H&S pattern, calculated by adding the head’s height from the breakdown point, is $57, representing a 32% drop from the current level.

Solana’s MVRV bands give hope for a bottom at $75

SOL’s price crash last week was stopped by support from the lowest boundary of its MVRV extreme deviation pricing bands, currently at $75.

These bands show when SOL is below or above the average price at which traders last moved their coins.

Historically, SOL prices drop to near or even below the lowest MVRV band before a bottom is reached.

That includes the March 2022 bounce, when the SOL price rose 87% within three weeks to $140 after testing the lowest MVRV deviation band around $75. A similar rebound occurred earlier in December 2020.

Solana’s association with the FTX crash in November 2022, however, saw a significant deviation below this band, with the price dropping another 70% and bottoming around $7 in December that year.

Therefore, SOL’s drop below $75 spark the next phase of the correction as seen in 2022, likely aligning with the H&S target.