Crypto World
Ethereum Whale Buying Surges as ETH Tests Critical Support
TLDR:
- Ethereum whale wallets accumulated 17.41 million ETH, representing nearly 22% of the total supply.
- Santiment data showed major holders buying aggressively during Ethereum’s latest market weakness.
- ETH remained below key resistance levels as traders monitored support near the $1,850 zone.
- Analysts projected a potential downside to $1,560 if Ethereum loses its weekly support structure.
Ethereum whale accumulation Santiment data reveals that large wallets reached a nine-week high in ETH holdings.
In the meantime, traders are closely monitoring the critical $1,850 support level for signs of Ethereum’s next directional move.
Whales Quietly Increase ETH Exposure During Market Weakness
Santiment reported that wallets holding at least 100,000 ETH collectively control 17.41 million ETH, marking the highest balance recorded in nearly two months.
The development surfaced while retail sentiment remained cautious across the crypto market. Many short-term traders responded defensively to Ethereum’s declining price structure.
Meanwhile, high-value holders appeared focused on positioning ahead of potential long-term recovery conditions.
Santiment shared the latest on-chain trend through a market update on X, noting that major Ethereum addresses steadily increased holdings during the correction.
The divergence between declining prices and rising whale balances quickly fueled discussions surrounding smart money activity.
Growing concentration among large holders may also tighten exchange liquidity over time. As more ETH shifts into long-term storage wallets, the circulating supply available for immediate selling gradually declines. That setup can increase volatility once broader demand returns to the market.
Institutional players often accumulate during periods of weak sentiment rather than during euphoric rallies. Ethereum’s continued dominance across decentralized finance, stablecoin settlements, tokenization, and smart contract activity may explain why large holders remain confident despite current uncertainty.
Ethereum Price Risks Deeper Correction Below $1,850
Ethereum’s technical structure now sits near a decisive support area that analysts continue monitoring closely. Market participants identified the $1,850 level as a major defensive zone capable of shaping Ethereum’s medium-term direction.
Recent price action reflected persistent weakness across higher timeframes. Ethereum repeatedly failed to reclaim resistance near $2,282 while remaining trapped beneath the 50-week simple moving average. At the same time, tightening volatility conditions signaled the possibility of a sharp directional breakout.
Analysts warned that a confirmed weekly close below $1,850 could accelerate downside pressure rapidly. Once higher-timeframe support zones fail, traders often shift away from aggressive dip-buying strategies and prioritize defensive positioning.
The first downside target currently sits near the $1,560 region, where Ethereum previously established strong support during earlier correction phases. However, sustained bearish momentum could expose ETH to deeper losses toward the $1,070 area over time.
Even with growing technical pressure, on-chain activity continues painting a different picture beneath the surface. Large holders continue to increase exposure during periods of weakness, suggesting sophisticated investors still view current market conditions as a strategic accumulation phase rather than a breakdown in Ethereum’s broader network strength.
Crypto World
Ripple-linked token up 8% in first major breakout since June selloff
XRP spent the past two weeks trying to stop going down. Now it’s trying to go higher.
The token pushed through $1.14, then $1.18, and finally reclaimed $1.20 on the strongest volume since the early-June washout, forcing traders to reassess a market that had been priced for further weakness.
The move came as XRP-specific activity accelerated, with South Korea’s Upbit exchange accounting for a growing share of network flows and institutional demand continuing to build through ETF products.
News Background
• Ripple ecosystem activity picked up as traders focused on growing XRP demand across Asia, with Upbit accounting for 31% of XRP wallet-flow dominance by June 14, up from 13% a week earlier.
• XRP ETF products continued attracting capital, extending a run of inflows that has brought cumulative net investment to roughly $1.4 billion since launch.
• Several analysts pointed to bullish RSI divergences and completed correction structures following XRP’s rebound from the $1.05-$1.09 support zone.
Price Action Summary
• XRP climbed from $1.1425 to $1.2307 during the session, gaining roughly 8%.
• The breakout began during the June 14 21:00 UTC session, when volume surged to 107.6 million XRP and drove price through resistance near $1.14.
Crypto World
Bitcoin may have bottomed at $60,000, says Coinbase (COIN) CEO
Coinbase (COIN) CEO Brian Armstrong believes bitcoin may have bottomed near $60,000.
“My instinct is we probably have bottomed at this point, maybe at the sixty K number, but nobody can say for sure,” Armstrong said in a video posted on X on Monday. He added that he remains long bitcoin and expects prices to be significantly higher by 2030.
“I think bitcoin is the new digital gold,” he said.
Bitcoin traded above $66,000 on Monday, up nearly 3% over 24 hours, after the US and Iran reached a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The token touched a low near $59,743 on June 5, its weakest level since October 2024, before recovering.
Armstrong pointed to bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, which has historically alternated between bull and bear markets at roughly regular intervals, as a framework for reading the current drawdown. Bitcoin is now roughly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high near $126,000.
The Coinbase chief also said last week that the drop in bitcoin’s price was masking broader health in the crypto market. “Derivatives, stablecoins, prediction markets are all up,” he wrote on X on June 5. “It will take some time for this to sink in.”
Crypto World
Trump USD1 Crypto Stablecoin Debuts as Fighter Bonus Currency at White House UFC Event
World Liberty Financial’s USD1 stablecoin paid out $250,000 in fighter performance bonuses at UFC Freedom 250. The mixed martial arts and likely WLFI crypto event is held on the White House South Lawn starting on June 14, President Trump 80th birthday.
WLFI served as the presenting partner of the bonus pool, distributing USD1 across seven matches on the card. It is the most prominent consumer-facing deployment of the Trump stablecoin to date.
The UFC activation did not happen in isolation; it arrived alongside a WLFI token surge of 3% on sponsorship news, a concurrent Binance rewards campaign allocating 178 million WLFI governance tokens to USD1 holders, and a separate $1 million CRO-denominated bonus pool from Crypto.com co-presenting the same event.
The total crypto-based fighter bonuses on the night approached $1.65 million.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Trump Crypto Venture: How the USD1 Bonus Pool Actually Worked
WLFI funded a $250,000 performance bonus pool denominated in USD1, distributed to fighters across seven bouts based on performance criteria standard to UFC fight-night bonus structures.
Payouts were made in USD1, a dollar-pegged stablecoin backed by cash and short-duration U.S. Treasuries custodied through BitGo. This means fighters received an asset functionally equivalent to dollars, just issued by a Trump family-affiliated DeFi venture.
Todd Phillips, crypto expert at the Klaros Group, framed the commercial logic: “Paying the fighters in the USD1 stablecoin would have the same economic function as writing them a check. Announcing to the world they are doing it in USD1 sounds like they are advertising to the world that USD1 is out there and that it is connected to the UFC and the White House.”
The White House as a Marketing Venue: The Conflict of Interest
Trump political brand has always been inseparable from his crypto and commercial brand, and voters who elected him understood that. A president who openly holds over $50 million in a crypto venture, uses the White House South Lawn to host a UFC card, and pays fighters in his family’s stablecoin is at least being transparent about the integration.
The White House maintains that Trump’s assets are managed through a trust run by his children. That is the administration’s position.
The Trump family reportedly receives approximately 75% of net proceeds from WLFI token sales, plus a share of yields generated on USD1 reserves. The venue for the UFC event is a taxpayer-owned property. The regulatory environment for stablecoins is being shaped in part by an administration with a direct financial interest in a stablecoin issuer.
The SEC issued an investor bulletin specifically flagging USD1 as a privately issued stablecoin affiliated with the sitting president’s family.
The spectacle is effective. Trump understands that crypto runs on attention, and a White House UFC event is attention on an industrial scale. But retail participants holding USD1 in DeFi pools should understand they are operating inside a product whose issuer has already demonstrated willingness to push pool utilization to 93% for its own borrowing needs.
USD1 is in active litigation with Justin Sun over frozen holdings and is simultaneously pursuing a federal banking charter.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
The post Trump USD1 Crypto Stablecoin Debuts as Fighter Bonus Currency at White House UFC Event appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Kalshi traders say SpaceX won’t get to Mars this decade
A Spacex Flacon 9 rocket lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40 on June 12, 2026 in Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images
SpaceX made its debut at the Nasdaq on Friday, climbing more than 19% on its first day of trading and rising above a $2 trillion market valuation. But while the arrival of the company to public markets is squared away, some of its other long-term plans are years in the future.
Elon Musk’s company in its initial public offering prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission repeatedly focused on the “Moon, Mars and beyond.” The company’s goal for Mars is so large that Musk won’t get a bonus of restricted shares unless SpaceX establishes a colony on the planet with more than 1 million inhabitants.
But when that will happen is years from now, traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think.
Traders see just an 18% chance that SpaceX launches a human mission to Mars by 2030. Since the event contract first launched in March 2024, traders have never seen more than one-in-four odds of the mission happening this decade.
The event contract will resolve to yes if SpaceX verifies a manned mission to Mars by Dec. 31, 2029.
Traders’ uncertainty mirrors SpaceX’s own plans. In its prospectus, SpaceX made clear it doesn’t have a vision for when a Mars mission may happen.
“Many of our initiatives… involve significant technical complexity, unproven technologies or technologies that do not exist, and such initiatives may not achieve commercial viability,” SpaceX said. “As a result, the timeline for certain of our initiatives involving unproven or new innovations … may be difficult or impossible to determine.”
But while an exact timeline may be unknown, the company’s focus on Mars is clear. The planet was mentioned 63 times in the prospectus itself, and once in a photo caption featured in the document.
Crypto World
Bittensor (TAO) surges 31.9%, leading index higher
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1812.32, up 5.9% (+100.88) since 4 p.m. ET on Friday.
All 20 assets are trading higher.

Leaders: TAO (+31.9%) and NEAR (+22.2%).
Laggards: BNB (+2.5%) and BTC (+4.2%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Crypto World
Tom Lee’s BitMine adds ETH again as BMNR stock stalls
BitMine Immersion Technologies said its Ethereum holdings reached 5,620,754 ETH as of June 14, bringing the company closer to its goal of owning 5% of the total ETH supply.
Summary
- BitMine now holds 5.62 million ETH, equal to 4.66% of total Ethereum supply today overall.
- The company says staked ETH stands at 4.72 million, supporting projected annual staking revenue.
- BMNR traded near flat after the update, with shares at $16.11 in midday trading.
In a Monday announcement, the company said the position equals 4.66% of Ethereum’s 120.7 million token supply.
Meanwhile, the company also reported total crypto, cash, marketable securities and “moonshots” holdings of $10.4 billion. Its holdings include 204 BTC, $502 million in cash and marketable securities, a $180 million stake in Beast Industries and an $88 million stake in Eightco Holdings.
Staking operation backs preferred stock plan
BitMine said it has staked 4,718,677 ETH, worth about $8.1 billion at $1,718 per ETH. The company said this makes it the largest Ethereum treasury in the world and the second-largest crypto treasury behind Strategy.
“Over the past week, we acquired 76,881 ETH,” said chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee.
He said BitMine kept a higher buying pace because it believes the recent ETH pullback does not reflect stronger Ethereum fundamentals.
BitMine also closed the sale of 3,500,000 shares of 9.50% Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock on June 10. The company raised about $273.8 million in net proceeds after fees and expenses.
Lee said the preferred stock sale gives BitMine balance sheet diversification. He added that projected annual staking rewards of about $219 million provide recurring cash flow to support dividends on the preferred shares.
BMNR stock reaction stays muted
BitMine’s preferred shares are expected to start trading on the NYSE under the ticker BMNP on June 16. The company also declared a weekly cash dividend of $0.2639 per preferred share, expected to be paid on July 6 to holders of record on June 26.
BMNR stock showed little movement after the update. Google Finance data showed shares near $16.11, down about 0.03%, with a market capitalization of about $7.32 billion at the time checked.

The muted reaction came after several weeks of heavy attention on BitMine’s Ethereum treasury model. The company said BMNR ranks among the most traded U.S. stocks, with average daily dollar volume of about $550 million over five days as of June 12.
Ethereum treasury race gains fresh attention
crypto.news recently reported that BitMine had raised its ETH holdings to 5.42 million tokens after buying 26,497 ETH. The report also noted that the firm had staked 4.72 million ETH and remained one of the largest public Ethereum treasury plays.
Moreover, as crypto.news reported, BitMine had moved closer to its 5% ETH target after further buying activity tied to large wallet transfers. That report also noted pressure on BMNR shares as ETH prices weakened and investors weighed the scale of the treasury bet.
The latest release shows BitMine has continued to add ETH while also building cash reserves and preferred stock financing. The next focus for investors will be whether the company can keep growing ETH per share while meeting weekly dividend obligations.
Crypto World
DeFi’s Race Toward Abstraction – Smart Liquidity Research
The Next Evolution of Decentralized Finance
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) was built on the promise of creating an open, permissionless financial system accessible to anyone with an internet connection. Yet despite billions of dollars flowing through decentralized exchanges, lending protocols, and on-chain financial products, one major obstacle remains: complexity.
For years, users have been expected to manage wallets, sign transactions, bridge assets, understand gas fees, navigate multiple blockchains, and interact with unfamiliar interfaces. While crypto-native users have adapted, mainstream adoption continues to face significant friction.
This challenge has sparked a new trend across the industry: abstraction. Increasingly, DeFi builders are racing to hide blockchain complexity behind seamless user experiences. The goal is simple yet transformative—allow users to benefit from decentralized finance without needing to understand the underlying infrastructure.
The future of DeFi may not be about adding more protocols. It may be about making those protocols invisible.
Why Abstraction Matters
The average internet user has little interest in learning blockchain mechanics.
Most people do not want to understand:
- Private key management
- Network switching
- Token approvals
- Transaction routing
- Liquidity fragmentation
- Layer-2 infrastructure
They simply want financial products that work.
Traditional fintech applications gained adoption because users never needed to understand payment rails, banking infrastructure, or settlement systems.
DeFi must reach a similar level of simplicity if it hopes to compete with mainstream financial services.
Abstraction is becoming the bridge between blockchain innovation and real-world usability.
Account Abstraction: The Foundation Layer
One of the most important developments driving this trend is account abstraction.
Traditional crypto wallets are often difficult for new users to manage. Losing a seed phrase can mean losing access to funds permanently.
Account abstraction introduces programmable wallet functionality that can dramatically improve user experience.
Features include:
- Social recovery
- Biometric authentication
- Multi-factor security
- Automated transaction execution
- Subscription payments
- Spending limits
Instead of behaving like rigid blockchain accounts, wallets become flexible financial operating systems.
This shift allows crypto applications to offer experiences that feel much closer to modern mobile banking.
The Rise of Intent-Based Finance
Another major innovation is the emergence of intent-based systems.
Historically, users have needed to specify exactly how transactions should be executed.
Intent-based finance flips this model.
Users simply express an objective.
For example:
- “Swap ETH for the highest amount of USDC.”
- “Earn the best stablecoin yield available.”
- “Transfer assets to another chain.”
Specialized networks, solvers, or agents then determine the optimal path to achieve the desired outcome.
This creates a user experience that resembles search engines or AI assistants rather than traditional financial software.
The complexity shifts from the user to the protocol layer.
Cross-Chain Abstraction Is Eliminating Blockchain Silos
One of the largest challenges in DeFi today is fragmentation.
Liquidity is distributed across numerous ecosystems, including:
- Ethereum
- Solana
- Base
- Arbitrum
- Optimism
- Avalanche
- BNB Chain
Historically, moving assets between these networks has required bridges, multiple wallets, and considerable technical knowledge.
Cross-chain abstraction aims to eliminate these obstacles.
Users increasingly interact with applications that automatically:
- Route transactions
- Bridge assets
- Manage liquidity
- Select execution venues
In the future, users may not even know which blockchain is processing their transaction.
The network becomes a backend service rather than a visible destination.
AI Agents Are Accelerating Abstraction
Artificial intelligence is emerging as a powerful force in the abstraction movement.
AI-powered agents can:
- Monitor markets
- Rebalance portfolios
- Execute trades
- Manage risk
- Optimize yield strategies
- Handle recurring financial tasks
Rather than manually interacting with multiple DeFi protocols, users can delegate objectives to autonomous systems.
Imagine saying:
“Allocate my capital across the safest opportunities earning more than 8% APY.”
An AI agent could evaluate markets, execute transactions, and continuously optimize positions.
As AI capabilities improve, financial management may become increasingly autonomous.
The Competitive Race Among DeFi Protocols
Protocols are recognizing that usability is becoming a competitive advantage.
Early DeFi focused primarily on:
- Liquidity
- Security
- Token incentives
The next phase is increasingly focused on:
- Simplicity
- Automation
- Accessibility
- User retention
Projects that successfully abstract complexity may gain significant market share by attracting non-technical users.
In many ways, DeFi is entering a new stage where user experience could become just as important as protocol design.
The winners may not be those with the most sophisticated technology, but those who make sophisticated technology disappear.
Risks of Increasing Abstraction
While abstraction improves usability, it also introduces new considerations.
Potential challenges include:
Reduced Transparency
Users may lose visibility into how transactions are executed.
Centralization Risks
Some abstraction layers may rely on intermediaries, solvers, or service providers.
Security Complexity
Additional automation can introduce new attack surfaces.
User Dependence
Overreliance on automated systems may reduce users’ understanding of financial risks.
The industry must balance convenience with transparency, security, and decentralization.
The Endgame: Invisible DeFi
The ultimate destination of abstraction is a world where blockchain technology becomes largely invisible.
Users may eventually interact through:
- Mobile applications
- AI assistants
- Embedded finance platforms
- Autonomous financial agents
Without needing to know:
- Which chain are they using
- Which bridge is involved
- Which protocol executes the trade
- How settlement occurs
They receive the benefits of an open, programmable financial infrastructure.
Just as internet users rarely think about TCP/IP, servers, or routing protocols, future DeFi users may never think about wallets, gas fees, or blockchain networks.
Conclusion
DeFi’s race toward abstraction represents one of the most important shifts in the industry’s evolution. While early decentralized finance proved that permissionless financial systems could exist, the next challenge is making them accessible to everyone.
Account abstraction, intent-based systems, cross-chain infrastructure, and AI-powered agents are collectively transforming how users interact with blockchain networks. The focus is moving from technical execution to user outcomes.
The future of DeFi may not be defined by more complexity, more chains, or more protocols. Instead, it may be defined by how effectively the industry can make those complexities disappear, creating a financial system that is both decentralized and effortless to use.
In that future, the most successful DeFi experience may be the one users never realize is DeFi at all.
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Crypto World
Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH is Still Below Its 200 Week SMA, and Tom Lee Buying Spree Might End Soon
Ethereum price is trading above $1,700 after running for 5% today, and even our prediction model is calling for more leg higher. However, ETH remains pinned below its 200-week simple moving average, a level that historically separates accumulation floors from genuine bull market re-entries.
Tom Lee, after weeks of aggressive buying, is finally closing in on Bitmine 5% supply target. He is getting closer to his target, and Ethereum might lose its support defender.

Ethereum is doing well, but whether this bounce has legs or is simply just a dead-cat bounce is the question every ETH holder is asking.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Ethereum Price Prediction: Reclaim $1,800 Before Momentum Fades?
Spot ETH is closing to $1,800, price is recovering. Key levels are well-defined. Support clusters between $1,600 and $1,665, with the strongest floor sitting at $1,640.02. It’s anchoring its key support at $1,665.
Immediate resistance runs from $1,715 to $1,740. ETH has to close above $1,740 on meaningful volume to open a realistic path toward the $1,840 area that short-term forecasting models flag as a mid-June target.
The macro backdrop matters here, too. Institutional sentiment around the debasement trade has kept crypto broadly bid, but ETH specifically has been an underperformer relative to BTC this cycle. It’s a dynamic that doesn’t resolve on technicals alone.
Staking-related sell pressure has eased, which removes one headwind, but the 200-week SMA overhead remains a significant gravitational ceiling.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Positioning as Ethereum Tests Structural Resistance
ETH at $1,760 with a $200B market cap and a ceiling at its 200-week SMA is not the setup that generates 10x returns from here, not in the near term. Traders looking for asymmetric exposure during this consolidation window have been rotating toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays where price discovery hasn’t yet occurred.
LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is one project gaining traction in that context. It’s a Layer 3 infrastructure protocol built around a single execution environment that fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity, a genuinely differentiated architecture at a time when cross-chain fragmentation remains one of DeFi’s most persistent friction points.
The project’s Unified Liquidity Layer and Deploy-Once Architecture mean developers write once and access all three ecosystems, which is the kind of structural utility that institutional-grade builders actually care about.
Presale figures as of writing: $0.0147 per $LIQUID, with $840K raised to date.
For traders who want exposure to the infrastructure layer while ETH consolidates overhead resistance, researching LiquidChain is worth the time.
The post Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH is Still Below Its 200 Week SMA, and Tom Lee Buying Spree Might End Soon appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Strategy (MSTR) expands bitcoin treasury With 1,587 BTC purchase
Strategy (MSTR) last week acquired 1,587 bitcoin for approximately $100 million, increasing its total holdings to 846,842 BTC, according to a Monday morning filing.
The latest purchase was made at an average price of $63,024 per bitcoin. The company disclosed it had also increased its USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.1 billion via the sale of common stock.
The purchase ran from June 8 to June 14, the same week Strategy raised $209 million by selling about 1.73 million MSTR shares through its at-the-market program.
The reserve is the money Strategy set aside in December 2025 to cover dividends on its preferred shares and interest on its debt. Building it up while continuing to buy bitcoin signals the company is funding both its accumulation and its obligations through equity issuance rather than touching its bitcoin or its cash cushion.
The buy lifts Strategy’s holdings to 846,842 BTC, worth about $56 billion at current prices and bought at an average of $75,656 per coin for a total of around $64 billion. The company remains the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, at roughly 4% of the supply that will ever exist.
Strategy disclosed on June 1 that it had sold 32 bitcoin to fund preferred dividends The company’s shares are up 5% pre market with bitcoin trading above $66,000.
Crypto World
Bitbank Warns of Account Suspensions Over Polymarket Use
Bitbank, one of Japan’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, warned users that transactions linked to prediction market platforms such as Polymarket could result in account suspensions due to potential conflicts with the country’s gambling laws.
In a notice published on Monday, Bitbank said it may restrict accounts making deposits or withdrawals connected to prediction market services.
The warning highlights the regulatory uncertainty surrounding prediction markets in Japan, where local gambling laws may complicate Polymarket’s previously stated interest in expanding into the country.
Bitbank warns of sweeping account restrictions
Bitbank said users whose accounts are suspended would lose access to a wide range of services, including account logins, deposits and withdrawals, as well as crypto trading.
“We will not be liable for any damages incurred by our customers as a result of the account suspension measures,” the exchange added.

Source: Bitbank (translated by Google)
The announcement urged customers to exercise caution when using external services and avoid becoming involved in criminal activity or legal disputes.
Bitbank did not cite any specific regulatory action or government directive behind the warning. It said prediction market platforms that allow users to bet on election results, sports outcomes and other future events could be considered gambling under Japanese law when used for financial gain.
Related: SBI eyes Bitbank deal as Japan’s crypto exchange market consolidates
Cointelegraph asked Bitbank what prompted the notice but had not received a response by publication.
Questions emerge as Polymarket eyes expansion
Bitbank’s notice comes as prediction markets face growing scrutiny globally, with regulators in multiple jurisdictions taking action against Polymarket and Kalshi over gambling concerns.
Polymarket currently lists Japan among 35 restricted jurisdictions in its access policy. The company signaled in May that it was exploring expansion in Japan, raising questions about how it may navigate potential conflicts with local gambling laws.

Source: Bitbank
Japan has not issued formal guidance specifically on prediction markets, but Bitbank’s warning indicates that at least some crypto companies are taking a more cautious approach to services that could be classified as gambling.
Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?
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