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Crypto World

Strive Expands Bitcoin Treasury With Fresh $185 Million BTC Buy

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Crypto Breaking News

Strive expanded its Bitcoin treasury again after buying 2,500 BTC for about $185.2 million this week. The purchase lifted its total holdings to 19,000 BTC and strengthened its corporate Bitcoin position. The move also came as the firm increased capital plans through its ASST and SATA programs.

Strive Adds 2,500 Bitcoin to Its Treasury

Strive bought the latest Bitcoin batch at an average price of about $74,092 per coin. The firm disclosed the acquisition after its chief executive, Matthew Cole, shared the update on Tuesday. The purchase added fresh scale to a treasury strategy built around steady Bitcoin accumulation.

The latest transaction followed another recent purchase of 1,109 BTC for roughly $85.4 million. That earlier deal carried an average purchase price near $76,988 per Bitcoin. Therefore, the new acquisition came at a lower average cost than the prior disclosed purchase.

Strive now holds 19,000 BTC, according to the latest company update and treasury tracking data. The firm also reported a quarterly Bitcoin yield of 23% and a year-to-date yield of 36.7%. In addition, Cole said Strive raised its cash position and maintained an 18-month dividend reserve.

Bitcoin Strategy Expands Through ASST and SATA

The Bitcoin purchase came after Strive outlined plans to expand its fundraising capacity. Cole said the company expects to increase both ASST and SATA at-the-market programs by $2.1 billion each. As a result, the two programs could add $4.2 billion in combined capital capacity.

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The expanded programs would give Strive more room to fund future Bitcoin purchases. It would also support its broader balance sheet strategy as demand for both securities rises. However, the company has not confirmed the exact use of every future fundraising dollar.

Data from Bitcoin Treasuries showed that Strive’s SATA raised about $194.3 million during the past week. That figure sits near the value of the newly disclosed Bitcoin purchase. Therefore, the timing suggests the recent capital raise may have supported the latest reserve expansion.

Corporate Bitcoin Market Shows a Sharp Contrast

Strive’s new purchase arrived as Strategy reported a rare reduction in its Bitcoin holdings. A Monday filing showed Strategy sold about $2.5 million worth of Bitcoin during the past week. The sale drew market attention because Strategy remains the largest corporate Bitcoin holder.

Strategy also focused earlier on repurchasing $1.5 billion in convertible notes instead of adding more Bitcoin. That action marked a different capital approach from Strive’s continued accumulation plan. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor reacted to Strive’s update and kept the focus on corporate Bitcoin adoption.

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The contrast shows how public companies now manage Bitcoin exposure through different treasury decisions. Strive continues to raise capital and increase its BTC reserve during market weakness. Strategy, however, has recently balanced its treasury activity with debt and limited Bitcoin sales.

Background Behind Strive’s Bitcoin Buildout

Strive has positioned Bitcoin as a central part of its corporate asset strategy. The firm has used equity programs and treasury metrics to frame its balance sheet expansion. This approach mirrors a wider trend among companies using Bitcoin as a reserve asset.

Corporate Bitcoin holders often use market pullbacks to expand their reserves at lower average prices. Strive’s latest purchase fits that pattern because it followed a weaker Bitcoin trading period. The firm also bought below the average price of its previous disclosed acquisition.

The company’s growing Bitcoin reserve now places it among the larger public corporate holders. Its next moves may depend on liquidity, capital access, and Bitcoin market conditions. For now, Strive has reinforced its position as an active Bitcoin treasury firm.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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New York and EU Regulators Unite to Oversee Stablecoins

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New York and EU Regulators Unite to Oversee Stablecoins

​The European Banking Authority and the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) have signed a memorandum of understanding to police cross-border stablecoin activities. 

The EBA said on Tuesday that the deal is part of its duties under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) Regulation and sets out principles and procedures for exchanging information and coordinating stablecoin supervisory activities, market trends, and risks between New York and the European Union.

NYDFS said the deal would “enhance the supervision of entities engaged in stablecoin activities, identify market trends and risks, and promote the integrity of the stablecoin market.” 

Banks and major financial institutions in the US and Europe have tested using stablecoins for payments, spurred on by laws regulating the tokens in the US and EU. The global stablecoin market has grown to more than $319 billion as of Wednesday, according to DefiLlama.

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Source: European Banking Authority 

Some of the information the two watchdogs will share includes the issued stablecoin, total volume in circulation, the number of holders, results of external and internal audits and the regulatory standing of specific products and services.

The MOU also provides a framework for the two regulators to assist each other and coordinate efforts during crises or emergencies. However, only supervised entities’ stablecoin-related activities will be monitored, not all activities a company might conduct.

Related: ‘Stablecoins’ are an outdated term from crypto’s early years: A16z

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US President Donald Trump signed stablecoin regulations into law in July, while the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets framework came into effect toward the end of 2024. US dollar-denominated stablecoins currently make up the lion’s share of activity in the sector, with Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC the two largest by market capitalization.

Jimmy Xue, co-founder of quantitative yield protocol Axis, told Cointelegraph in January that the global stablecoin market has largely plateaued after rapid expansion, entering a consolidation phase as new regulation, liquidity constraints, and higher real-world yields weigh on new issuance.

Xue added that a cautious macroeconomic environment, combined with competitive Treasury yields, further reduced appetite for rapid stablecoin expansion.

Magazine: Big Questions: Do we really only need 2–5 cryptocurrencies?  

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Franklin Templeton says Wall Street fears blockchain because it threatens its profits

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Franklin Templeton says Wall Street fears blockchain because it threatens its profits

The future of asset management is shifting on-chain, but the transition is exposing a major structural conflict over traditional corporate revenue.

Speaking on a panel at the Proof of Talk summit in Paris, Jenny Johnson, CEO of Franklin Templeton, a $1.74 trillion asset manager, openly addressed the industry hesitation to deploy decentralized networks. According to Johnson, major financial firms are dragging their feet because public blockchain architecture directly challenges their existing profitability.

“This technology threatens a huge number of business models that exist today in traditional finance,” Johnson stated bluntly. “If you see any kind of hesitation, it’s because there is a threat to the business model. Think about the toll-takers in a transaction.”

She explained that if a blockchain can handle settlement instantly via a smart contract, large banks can no longer collect transaction fees as third-party intermediaries.

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While crypto-native networks favor open architecture, traditional financial systems are beginning to migrate to public networks due to the significant transaction efficiencies. To demonstrate the cost savings, Johnson cited Franklin Templeton’s history running its tokenized money market fund, Benji, on public networks.

“It was so dramatically cheaper,” Johnson explained, breaking down the internal data. “It cost us about $1.30 a transaction for 50,000 transactions on the old system. And it cost us about $1.13 to run on the Stellar blockchain.”

Johnson’s mention of Benji comes just hours after the Wall Street giant announced it is expanding its digital asset strategy through a new partnership with MoonPay that will allow institutional investors to move between stablecoins and the asset manager’s tokenized money market fund through an onchain workflow.

“In everyday life, anybody—individual, medium, or large enterprise—we want to have a trusted party,” Johnson noted. “We don’t want to keep our assets in our private wallets, in our safes at home. We want to delegate this peace of mind to a third party. And that’s why custodians or banks still have a future.”

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The shift of institutional wealth into digital assets will depend entirely on building standard, low-cost compliance rails for legacy investment funds. While Blockstream CEO Adam Back pointed out that bitcoin allows users to maintain true fiscal privacy without an institutional partner, Johnson concluded that standard investors will continue to demand a heavily regulated custody layer.

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Blockchain Association cites 160 former officials in push for CLARITY Act

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French Hill says CLARITY Act could fix gaps left by GENIUS Act

Blockchain Association has rallied support from 160 former national security and law enforcement officials for the CLARITY Act as the crypto market structure bill awaits consideration by the full U.S. Senate.

Summary

  • A Blockchain Association letter backed by 160 former national security and law enforcement officials has urged the Senate to pass the CLARITY Act.
  • Supporters said the bill would expand anti-money laundering, sanctions compliance, and information sharing tools across the digital asset sector.
  • The CLARITY Act is currently awaiting a full Senate vote after advancing through the Senate Banking Committee.

According to a letter sent Tuesday by the Blockchain Association to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Democratic Leader Charles Schumer, former officials from national security and law enforcement backgrounds urged lawmakers to approve the legislation, arguing that it would strengthen oversight of digital asset markets rather than weaken it.

“The United States has long led the world by pairing innovation with the rule of law. The Clarity Act advances that tradition. It strengthens American competitiveness, protects American consumers, supports American law enforcement, and reinforces America’s role as the global standard-setter for financial integrity and technological leadership.

We urge the Senate to advance the Clarity Act and to support a framework that strengthens both law enforcement capabilities and our national security.” 

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– Excerpt from the Blockchain Association letter.

The group said the CLARITY Act contains provisions that expand law enforcement tools and financial crime prevention measures across the crypto sector. In the letter, signatories argued that the legislation would improve investigators’ ability to track illicit activity while bringing more digital asset activity under U.S. regulatory supervision.

Support for the bill comes as lawmakers continue debating the measure’s final form. Discussions in Congress have included whether ethics restrictions should be added to limit elected officials’ participation in crypto-related business ventures, an issue that has drawn attention because of President Donald Trump’s digital asset interests.

Former officials back enforcement provisions

Within the letter, the officials highlighted several sections they believe would strengthen compliance and enforcement efforts, including expanded obligations tied to the Bank Secrecy Act and U.S. sanctions rules, along with Treasury Department-led information sharing between government agencies and private sector participants.

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The proposal would also establish a permanent interagency working group dedicated to crypto-related illicit finance investigations, according to the letter.

Describing the bill as an enforcement measure rather than a rollback of oversight, the signatories wrote that the provisions are intended to improve compliance, accountability, coordination, and visibility throughout digital asset markets.

Separately, the Blockchain Association said it plans to increase its advocacy efforts in Washington. The organization is preparing meetings across 18 Senate offices and will host a virtual town hall on Thursday focused on the bill’s law enforcement and national security implications.

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Scheduled participants include Senator Cynthia Lummis, Representative Tom Emmer, and Patrick Witt, executive director of the White House President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets.

The Blockchain Association has remained active on several policy issues in Washington this year. In April, the group’s executive vice president of legal and government relations, Ashok Pinto, urged the Federal Reserve to formally remove “reputation risk” from bank supervision rules, arguing that the standard had contributed to debanking concerns affecting crypto firms and created uncertainty for regulated businesses.

CLARITY Act advances toward Senate debate

Momentum around the legislation has increased since the Senate Banking Committee approved the CLARITY Act in a 15-9 bipartisan vote in May. As previously reported by crypto.news, the bill has since been placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar, making it eligible for floor consideration once Senate leadership schedules debate.

Senator Lummis has previously said the legislation could help settle the long-running jurisdictional dispute between the SEC and CFTC over digital asset oversight. Coinbase has also described the bill as nearing completion, while institutional investors have already begun trading on its prospects through prediction market contracts facilitated by Galaxy Digital.

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Crypto Markets Collapse: $1.84 Billion Liquidation Event Rocks Digital Assets

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Crypto Markets Collapse: $1.84 Billion Liquidation Event Rocks Digital Assets

Key Takeaways

  • Approximately $1.84 billion worth of leveraged cryptocurrency positions were liquidated within a 24-hour period — marking the most severe liquidation event since February 5
  • Bullish bets suffered catastrophic losses, with $1.66 billion in long positions eliminated compared to only $180 million in short positions
  • Bitcoin long traders faced $883 million in liquidations, including one massive $59.67 million BTC-USDT position closed on HTX exchange
  • Escalating U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and surging crude oil prices triggered the mass exodus from risk assets
  • Institutional Bitcoin ETF products witnessed $3.5 billion in capital flight across the past 10 trading sessions, compounding market pressure

Digital asset markets experienced their most devastating liquidation cascade since early February, erasing nearly $1.84 billion in leveraged trading positions within a single 24-hour window. Bitcoin crashed through the $66,000 support level while Ethereum collapsed beneath $1,900 as panic selling intensified.

Source: Coinglass

Bullish traders absorbed virtually the entire impact of the liquidation event. Out of total liquidations, long positions accounted for $1.66 billion, whereas short positions represented a mere $180 million, based on analytics from CoinGlass.

Bitcoin bulls experienced the heaviest casualties with $883.66 million in liquidated longs. Ethereum long positions contributed $475.73 million to the carnage, while Solana longs added $91.18 million. Additional losses were distributed across numerous altcoins including Dogecoin, BNB, and various other tokens.

The most substantial individual liquidation involved a $59.67 million Bitcoin-USDT long trade on the HTX platform.

Exchange Breakdown of Liquidation Activity

Binance dominated liquidation volume, processing $748 million — representing approximately 41% of total liquidations — with 89% consisting of long positions. Hyperliquid facilitated $314 million in liquidations, with longs comprising 94% of the total. Bybit recorded $247 million with 93% attributed to long positions.

Over 224,500 individual market participants faced liquidation during this turbulent period.

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Paradoxically, Bitcoin open interest expanded during the downturn. It increased from approximately 759,000 BTC to 788,600 BTC even as valuations declined. When open interest rises while prices fall, it typically indicates fresh short positions entering the market, signaling growing bearish sentiment.

Retail sentiment across major trading platforms remains predominantly bullish. Binance displays a long-to-short ratio of 2.22. OKX shows 2.01, while Bybit registers 1.58. However, whale-sized accounts on OKX have reversed course with a 0.54 ratio, which CoinGlass characterizes as “extremely bearish.”

Geopolitical Instability and Capital Flight from ETFs

The market downturn has been attributed to intensifying friction between the United States and Iran. Iran halted diplomatic discussions with the U.S. and issued threats to block the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global petroleum shipments. Brent crude prices climbed to $93.89 per barrel, representing a 1.88% increase.

Elevated oil prices combined with geopolitical uncertainty drove capital toward traditional safe-haven assets such as cash reserves and gold, draining liquidity from cryptocurrency markets.

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Bitcoin ETF products intensified the downward pressure. These investment vehicles experienced $3.5 billion in net outflows throughout the previous 10 trading days. A $14 million Bitcoin transfer executed by Tether further amplified market anxiety and accelerated selling momentum.

Based on current market prices, Bitcoin has declined approximately 12% over the weekly timeframe. Ethereum has fallen roughly 5.38% to trade at $1,894. XRP decreased 6.43% to $1.21, Solana tumbled 7.54% to $74.92, and Dogecoin slipped 7.05% to $0.093.

Market participants are closely monitoring the critical $65,000 support zone. A decisive breakdown below this threshold could trigger additional selling toward the $60,000 level.

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Gold: Attempt to Break Out of the Short-Term Trend

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Gold: Attempt to Break Out of the Short-Term Trend

Fundamental backdrop

In April, US inflation stood at 3.8% year-on-year — the highest level since May 2023. A significant contribution came from rising fuel prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Market reaction was somewhat paradoxical: instead of inflows into safe-haven assets, the strong CPI print triggered a reassessment of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Expectations of a possible rate hike by the end of the year appear to have strengthened the US dollar and weighed on gold.

By the end of May, the precious metal had lost more than 4% and is currently trading roughly 20% below its January record high. Markets are now awaiting labour market data and comments from Federal Reserve officials as key guidance for the next reassessment of monetary expectations.

Technical picture

On the four-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD on FXOpen), a short-term bearish trend can be identified: starting on 12 May and ending in a phase of acceleration on 28 May. The trendline is drawn across consecutively lower highs and is clearly defined. Following the 28 May impulse, price reversed sharply and attempted to break above the trendline. However, it has not yet managed to hold above it — the move may be viewed as an incomplete retest of trend strength, with the final outcome still undecided.

The horizontal volume profile defines the current working range, with the upper boundary located around 4,560 and the lower boundary at 4,485. The point of control (POC) is concentrated between 4,533 and 4,535. At present, price is testing the lower boundary of the profile — if this support is lost, attention could shift towards the 4,465 area, where a key support level is located. The 4,600 area could also attract interest if the upward move continues.

RSI + MAs shows readings of 46, 49 and 47 — the oscillator remains in neutral territory but is poised for a potential new impulse.

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Key takeaways

Further gold price dynamics will largely depend on US labour market data and Federal Reserve rhetoric: confirmation of expectations for higher rates could increase pressure on the asset. The technical picture remains mixed — the attempted breakout above the descending trendline has not been confirmed, while RSI does not provide a clear directional advantage for either side.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Bullish crypto bets lose $1.6 billion as ETH, SOL, DOGE drop 9%

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(Coinglass)

Crypto traders hoping the market would catch up to the global stock rally were left nursing tears on Wednesday as a sharp price drop triggered the largest liquidation event since early February.

Roughly $1.84 billion in crypto leveraged positions were liquidated across the past 24 hours as bitcoin plunged below $66,000 and ether (ETH) broke under $1,900, the largest single-day wipeout since February 5 and a near-pure flush of long bets, with longs taking $1.66 billion of the total and shorts only $180 million, per CoinGlass data.

A liquidation is when an exchange automatically closes a leveraged trade because the trader’s losses have exceeded the collateral they posted to open it. Long positions bet that the price will rise, while short positions are bets on prices falling.

Bitcoin longs absorbed $883.66 million of the damage, ether longs another $475.73 million and solana (SOL) longs $91.18 million, with the remaining roughly $390 million spread across HYPE, DOGE, SUI, BNB, NEAR, AAVE, LINK and the broader top-30 long book.

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The single largest order was a $59.67 million BTC-USDT long unwinding on HTX.

(Coinglass)

Binance accounted for $748 million of the total liquidations, or roughly 41% of the cascade, with 89% of those positions long. Hyperliquid handled $314 million, of which 94% were longs, and Bybit logged $247 million with 93% longs.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin open interest, the total value of all unsettled leveraged futures contracts, actually rose during the cascade.

The contract count climbed from roughly 759,000 BTC to 788,600 BTC even as the long book was being wiped out, per CoinGlass data. Rising open interest into a falling price can indicate new short positions are opening rather than long positions closing, signaling that fresh bearish bets are building on top of the long flush rather than the cascade finding a clearing level.

The positioning split is uneven across trader types. Retail bitcoin traders on Binance, OKX and Bybit are still leaning long at ratios of 2.22, 2.01 and 1.58 respectively, refusing to capitulate even after the wipeout, while whale accounts on OKX have flipped to a 0.54 long-short ratio that CoinGlass flags as ‘extremely bearish.’

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Aggregate taker volume across the period showed $65.39 billion in sells against $60.16 billion in buys, with sellers as the marginal actors.

OI rising into a falling price, retail still leaning long, and whale accounts flipping short on OKX all point to a market that has not found a clearing level. A break below $65,000 brings $60,000 into play; a hold opens the door to a relief bounce, but the positioning data argues against the bounce being the more likely outcome.

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Big tech is ‘terrified’ of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEO

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Big tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEO

The legacy financial and digital frameworks propping up the current internet architecture face an imminent, existential crisis.

Evin McMullen, co-founder and CEO of Billions Network, told CoinDesk in an interview during the Proof of Talk conference in Paris that tech giants and global telcos are actively scrambling to deal with an impending collapse of their primary revenue engine: display advertising.

As autonomous AI agents replace human-driven semantic search, the traditional system of monetizing user eyeballs breaks down completely, she added.

“They are terrified—existentially threatened,” McMullen said bluntly, describing the internal reaction of media and telecommunications conglomerates approaching her firm. “AI agents don’t have eyes.

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They are not swayed by the visual decoration on the edges of the main body of information that they seek. The interest is less in finding new surfaces to place display ads on, and more of an existential question of how discovery happens. Are we inverting the internet?”

During Consensus in Miami 2026, Cardano Founder Charles Hoskinson mirrored similar thoughts to express how Big Tech feel about AI agents.

“Amazon, Google, Facebook, they’re terrified of the agentic revolution,” Hoskinson said, adding that they are investing heavily because “all of their business models are going to be disrupted.”

With the rise of AI agents, software can scrape a webpage, summarize content and keep the source user inside a chatbot or automated workflow instead of sending a person back to the original site.

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Also at Consensus Miami, Cloudflare Chief Strategy Officer Stephanie Cohen said that shift is breaking the internet’s old business model, with non-human traffic now exceeding human engagement.

The core challenge facing the modern web isn’t the technical sophistication of machine intelligence, but a complete absence of programmatic accountability. McMullen pointed out that more than 51% of current online and onchain interactions are driven by unidentified, unaccountable automated bots.

Scaling On-Chain Infrastructure to Legacy Systems

Billions Network has quietly grown to support the third-largest on-chain agent population on the internet, trailing only Binance and Base. According to McMullen, the network’s open-source cryptographic libraries are already utilized by more than 9,000 corporate and sovereign developers worldwide.

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In the corporate sector, Billions Network’s technology infrastructure is utilized by platforms like TikTok, the financial giant HSBC, and the decentralized tracking protocol DeBank. It also collaborates with India’s Ministry of Labor to secure credential access for national social security programs, alongside a deployment with the Indian Railway system that protects the digital identities of over 1.2 million personnel.

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Bitcoin’s ‘fear gauge’ surges nearly 20%, its biggest jump since Feb. 5 crash

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BVIV's daily swings in percentage. (TradingView)

Bitcoin traders are finally taking the price selloff seriously. The cryptocurrency’s fear gauge, the BVIV index, shows it.

BVIV, which measures the 30-day implied or expected volatility in the cryptocurrency, surged nearly 20% on Tuesday to 46.45%. That’s the biggest single-day spike since Feb. 5, according to data source TradingView.

Here’s why it matters.

For roughly two months, the bitcoin market sentiment was calm. Even when BTC dropped from its early May high of $82,000 to $75,000 last week, the market sentiment barely flinched. The BVIV actually remained around its year-to-date low of 40% during that move.

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In other words, it was orderly selling. No panic. But that changed Tuesday as BTC’s spot price fell over 6% to $66,000.

The BVIV index exploded with that price drop. The index is essentially a fear gauge. When it rises, traders are aggressively buying options to protect against further downside. Tuesday’s nearly 20% surge signals that protection buying is back.

To put Tuesday’s move in context: back on Feb. 5th, BVIV surged over 50% in a single day, hitting above 90% as bitcoin crashed toward $60,000. Tuesday’s jump is nowhere near that level. But the direction of the move is what traders should care about right now.

BVIV's daily swings in percentage. (TradingView)

VIX like behavior

Think of BVIV like bitcoin’s version of Wall Street’s VIX fear gauge. Since U.S. bitcoin ETFs launched over two years ago, institutional players have flooded into the market. That institutionalization has created something interesting: BVIV now moves in the opposite direction of bitcoin’s spot price with increasing consistency. Price drops, fear spikes. Price rises, fear fades.

That’s a relatively new dynamic for crypto, but not so much on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and its fear gauge, the VIX, have been inversely correlated for decades.

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The takeaway is that after two months of unusual calm, fear is creeping back into the bitcoin market. Whether Tuesday’s spike is a one-day blip or the start of a sustained volatility regime remains to be seen.

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5 Quantum Q-Day Takeaways From Top Crypto Security Experts

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5 Quantum Q-Day Takeaways From Top Crypto Security Experts

Two senior crypto security experts have raised the alarm. They say quantum computers could crack the math protecting Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) sooner than expected.

Recent breakthroughs and a public rediscovery of hidden Google research have moved the timeline closer.

Google Hid a Quantum Breakthrough, AI Rebuilt It and Made It Worse for Crypto

Justin Drake of the Ethereum Foundation and Charles Guillemet, chief technology officer at Ledger, both shared their thinking. Here are five takeaways crypto holders should not miss.

1. Google’s Quantum Attack Got 10x Faster

On March 31, 2026, Google Quantum AI showed a 10x faster way to crack the math protecting Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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The new method requires fewer than 1,200 logical qubits to break the digital locks protecting wallets, addresses, and most online authentication.

2. Outsiders Rediscovered the Hidden Trick in 2 Months

Google did not publish the actual circuits. The hidden quantum research sat behind secrecy for weeks.

Two months later, French researcher André Schrottenloher independently cracked the main optimization.

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A public challenge then opened, and hobbyists beat Google’s original number by over 8% within hours.

3. A Zero-Knowledge Proof Sparked a Censorship Debate

Google released a zero-knowledge proof, a math trick that confirms something works without showing how.

Guillemet said the U.S. government blocked the full publication. Drake, a co-author of the paper, wrote that aspects of the surrounding context troubled him.

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4. AI and Amateurs Drove the Speed-Up

The hidden proof had a side effect. Anyone could test a candidate attack against it and get instant feedback. Guillemet flagged the irony.

“The ZKP was designed to hide the attack. What it actually published is the reward function for rediscovering it,” Guillemet indicated, flagging the irony.

Hobbyists wired the verifier into automated AI searches, and current Q-Day timeline estimates may already be too generous.

5. Migration Timelines Are Behind the Curve

Drake now puts the chance of Q-Day arriving by 2032 at 50%, with 10% by 2030. He dismissed the U.S. government’s 2035 deadline outright.

“In plain language: with hindsight, that date is a joke and should be discounted entirely,” noted Drake.

Ethereum, Google, and Cloudflare are working toward a post-quantum migration deadline of 2029.

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Drake leads work on Ethereum’s quantum-resistant plan, which would replace today’s cryptography with hash-based cryptography.

The Bigger Picture

Neither expert urged panic.

Guillemet warned that rushing into untested replacement cryptography could be worse than the threat itself.

The takeaway is not to act today, but to plan now. The gap between classified research and public knowledge keeps shrinking.

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Prediction market traders bet bitcoin’s selloff has further to run

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(Kalshi)

Prediction market traders are increasingly wagering that bitcoin’s correction is far from over, even after the cryptocurrency tumbled toward $65,000 this week amid mounting pressure from ETF outflows and weakening institutional demand.

On Kalshi, traders currently assign a 66% probability that bitcoin drops below $55,000 this year and a 50% probability of sub-$50,000 prices. They also give a 31% chance that prices could even dip below $40,000.

(Kalshi)

Polymarket traders are expressing a similar view. Contracts on the platform imply a roughly 67% chance bitcoin falls below $55,000 this year and a better-than-even chance it drops under $50,000.

On prediction platform Polymarket, traders now give bitcoin only a 30% chance of outperforming gold in 2026. Gold is down approximately 1.5% in the last month but is up 33% in the last year while BTC is down around 37%.

This comes amid dwindling institutional appetite for the leading cryptocurrency. According to data from SoSo Value, traders withdrew $2.4 billion from U.S.-listed BTC ETFs in May and $1 billion in the first two trading days of June, with the record-breaking outflow continuing.

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Meanwhile, K33 Research argues that bitcoin is also losing a battle for investor attention against artificial intelligence-related stocks. As CoinDesk previously reported, in a report on Tuesday, the firm said many investors view the opportunity cost of holding bitcoin as too high while AI-linked companies continue to post outsized gains and major equity indexes push to record highs.

“Much of the market views the opportunity cost of holding BTC as too high while anything AI-related soars,” K33’s Vetle Lunde wrote.

While K33 still views bitcoin as undervalued relative to equities over the long term, prediction markets suggest traders are increasingly positioning for lower prices before any recovery arrives.

While traders increasingly bet on lower bitcoin prices, capital does not appear to be leaving crypto entirely. Instead, it is increasingly moving into digital dollars.

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USDT and USDC have both gained market share during bitcoin’s slide to $66,000, CoinDesk previously reported, a sign that traders are raising cash and waiting for better opportunities rather than immediately buying the dip.

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