TLDR:

• Standard Chartered’s Kendrick confirms Bitcoin’s $59K level as the definitive cycle low for 2025.
• Spot Bitcoin ETF redemptions exceeded $5.72B since May, driven partly by SpaceX IPO liquidity needs.
• Kendrick maintains $100K Bitcoin and $4K Ethereum price targets through year-end despite the selloff.
• A potential U.S.-Iran peace deal and falling oil prices could ease macro pressure on crypto markets.

Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick declared the crypto winter over, maintaining his year-end targets of $100,000 for Bitcoin and $4,000 for Ethereum.

Kendrick confirmed Bitcoin’s drop to around $59,000 as the cycle bottom, citing heavy spot ETF redemptions and SpaceX IPO-related liquidity pressure as the primary drivers behind the recent selloff.

With those headwinds now clearing, he expects renewed buying activity and returning ETF inflows to support a sustained recovery through year-end.

Kendrick Confirms $59K as Cycle Bottom After Sharp ETF Selloff

Bitcoin touched $59,375 on June 5, marking a 53% decline from its October 6 all-time high of $126,000. Kendrick identified that level as the definitive cycle low for the current market. In a note published Friday, he stated: “Winter is over. Welcome back to crypto Spring.”

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded some of their steepest redemptions since launch during the period. Total outflows surpassed $5.72 billion from the second week of May.

Kendrick noted that ETF holders were anecdotally liquidating positions to free up cash for the SpaceX IPO, which began trading on Nasdaq at around $150 on Friday.

SpaceX shares climbed roughly 26% above the IPO price shortly after listing. The launch also drew significant activity on crypto derivatives platforms.

Hyperliquid recorded high-volume trading on SpaceX crypto contracts, with valuations reaching up to $2.4 trillion at points during the session.

With the IPO now complete, that specific source of selling pressure should ease. Kendrick expects the removal of that liquidity drain to allow ETF inflows to recover, reinforcing the $59,000 floor as a durable base for the next leg higher.

$100K BTC and $4K ETH Targets Hold as Macro Pressure Eases

Alongside the IPO effect, Kendrick pointed to easing geopolitical tensions as a second catalyst supporting the recovery. A potential U.S.-Iran peace deal discussed at the G7 could prevent further oil price escalation.

Cooling crude prices would reduce upward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields, lifting a key macro constraint on crypto markets.

Brent crude fell to around $87 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate traded near $85. President Trump indicated a peace deal with Iran was likely, though he later reversed course on Truth Social, saying the publicly reported terms “was not what had been agreed” and warning Tehran’s officials to quickly “get their act together.”

Despite the uncertainty, Kendrick kept his year-end price targets unchanged. He added that Ethereum may outperform Bitcoin in the near term as market conditions normalize. At the time of his note, Bitcoin was trading just below $64,000.

To confirm the market floor, Kendrick outlined three metrics to watch. He expects Strategy’s Michael Saylor to announce a fresh Bitcoin purchase on Monday, net-positive daily inflows to return to U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, and international oil prices to continue declining through the week.

Michael Saylor said SpaceX’s IPO marks a milestone for corporate Bitcoin adoption, arguing that 25% of the so-called Mag 8 now hold BTC on their balance sheets.

In a June 13 X post, the Strategy chairman congratulated Elon Musk and SpaceX following the company’s highly anticipated stock market debut.

Saylor used the occasion to highlight Bitcoin’s growing presence among major technology firms, arguing that SpaceX’s listing has made Bitcoin part of the balance sheet strategy of 25% of the so-called Mag 8 companies.

“Congratulations Elon Musk and SPCX on a historic IPO. Thanks to you, 25% of the Mag8 now holds Bitcoin on the balance sheet.”

Tesla and SpaceX give Bitcoin a place in the Mag 8

Saylor’s comment refers to Tesla and SpaceX, two companies linked to Musk that have disclosed Bitcoin holdings. According to BitcoinTreasuries data, SpaceX currently holds 18,712 BTC, while Tesla owns 11,509 BTC.

Combined, the two companies hold 30,221 BTC, giving weight to Saylor’s argument that Bitcoin has gained a foothold among some of the world’s most influential technology firms.

The remark came as SpaceX made its public market debut. Shares of the aerospace company surged as much as 31% intraday to a high of $176.52 before giving back part of those gains and closing at $160.95, still up 19% from its $135 IPO price.

The strong debut briefly pushed the company’s market capitalization above $2 trillion and underscored investor enthusiasm for one of the most anticipated listings in recent years.

For Saylor, the significance extends beyond the stock’s performance. The longtime Bitcoin advocate has spent years promoting the cryptocurrency as a corporate treasury asset through Strategy, which remains the world’s largest public Bitcoin holder. According to BitcoinTreasuries, Strategy owns 845,256 BTC, far ahead of every other corporate holder.

SpaceX’s position among the largest corporate Bitcoin owners also places it ahead of several well-known crypto-related firms. BitcoinTreasuries ranks the company eighth among public Bitcoin treasury holders, behind firms including Strategy, Twenty One Capital, Metaplanet, MARA Holdings, Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, Bullish, and Strive.

Corporate Bitcoin adoption continues to accelerate

Saylor’s comments also come as corporate Bitcoin adoption continues to expand. Data from BitcoinTreasuries shows that public companies collectively hold about 1.26 million BTC worth roughly $80.56 billion. The number of public companies holding Bitcoin has climbed to 199, while aggregate corporate holdings have increased about 3% over the past 30 days.

The trend has accelerated in recent months as more companies adopt Bitcoin treasury strategies previously associated with Strategy. Twenty One Capital currently holds 43,514 BTC, while Metaplanet owns 40,177 BTC and MARA Holdings controls 35,303 BTC, according to BitcoinTreasuries data.

While most members of the Mag 8 have yet to add Bitcoin to their balance sheets, Saylor’s post highlights how corporate adoption has expanded beyond a handful of early adopters. With SpaceX now trading publicly while holding nearly 19,000 BTC, Bitcoin’s presence among major technology companies appears more visible than ever.

At press time, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near $61,242, according to data from crypto.news. The world’s leading crypto asset has fallen 3.1% in the past 24 hours and 8% over the last week. However, it still remains roughly 51.4% below its record high of $126,080 as investors continue to react to macroeconomic uncertainty, elevated Treasury yields, and expectations that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates higher for longer.

Key Points

• Defense contractor Lockheed Martin secured two Pentagon agreements worth approximately $2.8 billion combined
• The primary contract, valued at $2.29B, supports ongoing F-35 Lightning II maintenance operations
• An additional agreement worth up to $525M funds CH-53K helicopter engineering work through Sikorsky subsidiary
• Shares opened at $539.94, declining 1.52% and trading significantly below the 52-week peak of $692
• Korea Investment Corp expanded LMT stake by 17.1% during Q4, while Wall Street maintains Hold consensus at $620.68 price objective

Defense industry leader Lockheed Martin (LMT) has been awarded a pair of significant U.S. Department of Defense agreements totaling approximately $2.8 billion, supporting both the F-35 stealth fighter platform and CH-53K heavy helicopter initiatives.

Shares of LMT began trading Friday at $539.94, representing a 1.52% decline for the session. The current price remains considerably beneath the 52-week peak of $692.00 and trades below the 200-day simple moving average of $562.41.

Lockheed Martin Corporation, LMT

The primary contract carries a $2.29 billion valuation structured as a cost-plus-incentive-fee indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity arrangement. This agreement encompasses comprehensive sustainment operations for the F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter platform.

The scope includes site activation services, fleet management operations, interim contractor support functions, and reliability improvement initiatives. End users span the Air Force, Marine Corps, Navy, Foreign Military Sales participants, and F-35 Cooperative Program Partners.

Geographically, F-35 sustainment activities will primarily occur at Fort Worth, Texas facilities (85% of work), with supplementary operations in Orlando, Florida. The performance period extends through December 2028.

The secondary agreement flows to Sikorsky Aircraft, a Lockheed subsidiary, carrying a ceiling value of $525 million. This contract addresses non-recurring engineering efforts, integration activities, and flight-test support services for the CH-53K Heavy Lift Helicopter initiative.

The beneficiaries include the Marine Corps, Navy, and an international Foreign Military Sales partner. Primary execution sites include Stratford, Connecticut (65.2% of workload) and West Palm Beach, Florida (19.93%), with the completion date scheduled for June 2031.

Neither contract includes immediate fund obligations at award. Instead, financial commitments will occur incrementally as individual task orders are issued. Naval Air Systems Command located in Patuxent River, Maryland, serves as the contracting authority.

Institutional Ownership Expands

Korea Investment Corp expanded its LMT holdings by 17.1% during the fourth quarter, elevating its total position to 175,294 shares worth roughly $84.78 million. Multiple additional institutional participants have similarly increased their exposure.

Welch Group LLC grew its position by 1.5% in Q4. Both Clough Capital Partners and Jain Global LLC established fresh positions during Q3. Institutional ownership collectively represents 74.19% of outstanding Lockheed Martin shares.

Quarterly Results and Street Sentiment

Lockheed’s first quarter 2026 performance fell short of Wall Street expectations. The defense contractor reported earnings per share of $6.44, undershooting the consensus forecast of $6.79. Revenue registered at $18.02 billion against projections of $18.38 billion.

Top-line growth measured just 0.3% on a year-over-year basis. Management guidance for full-year 2026 EPS spans $29.35–$30.25, while analyst models center around $29.88 annually.

Analyst perspectives remain divided. Citigroup reduced its price objective from $675 down to $571 while maintaining a “neutral” stance. Morgan Stanley lowered its target from $675 to $653 alongside an “equal weight” designation. Bank of America decreased its objective to $600, also carrying a “neutral” rating.

Conversely, DZ Bank elevated LMT to “strong buy” status in late April. Wells Fargo commenced coverage with an “equal weight” rating paired with a $650 target.

The prevailing consensus among 21 covering analysts stands at “Hold,” with a mean price objective of $620.68—approximately 15% above Friday’s opening quotation.

The company has also announced a quarterly dividend distribution of $3.45 per share, scheduled for June 26 payment, yielding 2.6% on an annualized basis.

TLDR:

• LG Electronics is piloting an onchain ad network on Arbitrum to record verifiable delivery data.
• The pilot ran in Japan with Hakuhodo, testing real-user engagement and operational performance live.
• WARC projects global ad spend at $1.3 trillion in 2026, raising pressure for provable performance.
• LG targets fraud, tightening privacy rules, and falling engagement as the three core ad problems.

LG Electronics is testing an onchain advertising network built on the Arbitrum blockchain. Developed by the company’s Blockchain Research Lab, the pilot runs in Japan alongside advertising firm Hakuhodo.

The project records ad delivery data in a verifiable, tamper-resistant format. It targets three persistent problems in digital advertising: fraud, privacy, and declining engagement. Results from the live trial are currently under evaluation.

LG Electronics and Arbitrum Take On Digital Ad Fraud

LG Electronics Arbitrum pilot addresses one of digital advertising’s most enduring problems. The industry measures impressions, clicks, and conversions inside closed systems.

Settlement arrives weeks later through processes neither advertiser nor publisher can inspect. Disputes ultimately come down to contracts and third-party audits rather than shared evidence.

WARC forecasts global advertising spend at $1.3 trillion in 2026. At that scale, the gap between reported performance and provable performance shapes where budgets flow.

LG’s Blockchain Research Lab designed its system to record ad delivery as evidence — who served an advertisement, when, and how.

The lab identified fraud as one core pressure point. Advertising is bought and sold automatically at high volume. Bot-generated traffic blends with genuine performance and gets counted the same way.

The onchain system makes that data difficult to alter after the fact, creating a record both sides can reference.

Samuel Byungsun Park, Blockchain Research Department Leader at LG Electronics, described the project’s dual focus.

“We are exploring how blockchain technology can help improve transparency in advertising workflows while supporting a privacy-conscious approach to consumer data,” Park said.

“We are also evaluating whether this approach can deliver meaningful value to advertisers, publishers, and audiences.”

The third factor driving the pilot is audience engagement. Ad volume keeps rising while response rates fall. Performance metrics explain less on their own.

The Japan trial with Hakuhodo put the system in front of real users to assess whether interacting with the advertising felt natural and whether the operational model held together under live conditions.

Programmable Infrastructure Shapes the Advertising Market

The case for public blockchain infrastructure in advertising comes down to ownership of the scoreboard. If the layer that proves performance belongs to one participant, every number it produces carries that participant’s interests. A measurement system controlled by one of the teams convinces no one on the other side.

Arbitrum’s role in the pilot reflects that logic. LG’s Blockchain Research Lab can configure the execution environment, fee structure, and governance to match its objectives.

At the same time, the network runs on public infrastructure that no single company controls. Steven Goldfeder, Co-Founder and CEO of Offchain Labs, connected that structure to the broader market shift.

“Advertising has long been measured by how many impressions are served. The industry is shifting toward verifiable performance and blockchain is the architecture built for it,” Goldfeder said.

“This is the programmable economy applied to advertising — markets and transactions running automatically in software, with cryptographic proofs every participant can verify.”

Harry Kalodner, CTO of Offchain Labs, noted that large enterprises consistently seek the guarantees of public infrastructure without surrendering control of their own environment. “Arbitrum was built to support exactly this kind of work, where new categories emerge because the underlying infrastructure is finally ready for them,” Kalodner said.

LG’s published strategy keeps the system alongside the demand-side and supply-side platforms already in use. Verification arrives as an addition to the existing stack rather than a replacement. Switching costs stay low, and existing relationships between advertisers and publishers remain intact.

Brendan Ma, Head of Investment Strategy at the Arbitrum Foundation, pointed to growing enterprise interest across sectors. “Since the launch of Arbitrum, we have seen rising demand from leading enterprises and publicly listed partners across global markets, from trading and finance to now the global advertising industry, the largest media market in the world,” Ma said.

LG has outlined continued deployment in live advertising environments as its next step, along with work toward technical standards covering data reliability, privacy-conscious operation, and cost efficiency.

Ripple is trying to put XRP and RLUSD into the market for AI-agent payments in an environment that is still mostly paying in the dollar-pegged USDC stablecoin.

The company introduced the XRPL AI Starter Kit earlier this week, a set of developer tools for building AI agents that can send payments on the XRP Ledger, per a release shared with CoinDesk.

This kit includes XRPL documentation access through an MCP server (which connects a service’s AI tools to external data sources), Claude skills for wallet creation, balance checks and payments, and support for x402 payments using XRP and Ripple USD, Ripple’s dollar-backed stablecoin.

The pitch is that if AI agents are going to buy API access, pay for model inference, settle invoices or move value between services, they need payment rails that are cheap, fast and easy to trigger without a human clicking approve each time.

Ripple says XRPL can do that with three-to-five-second settlement, predictable fees, native payments, escrow, multisig and a built-in decentralized exchange.

But turning that into actual usage is where challenges lie, with the novel x402 system in focus.

Investors are showing renewed interest in “onchain credit” and stablecoin-linked financial infrastructure, signaling a shift away from decentralized finance (DeFi) lending as a standalone retail product. That backdrop is helping a well-known lending protocol, Morpho Labs, raise fresh capital and frame its next phase as credit infrastructure for institutions.

According to Cointelegraph, Spark CEO Sam MacPherson said stablecoin growth is pushing the market to treat credit as a core layer in the onchain financial stack. He pointed to Morpho’s latest funding as an example of capital flowing toward stablecoin-enabled lending and credit tooling.

Key takeaways

• Morpho announced a $175 million funding round led by Paradigm, with participation from a16z Crypto and Ribbit Capital.
• The company positions Morpho not only as a DeFi lending protocol, but as credit infrastructure for banks, asset managers, and fintechs.
• DeFiLlama data cited in the report puts Morpho at $6.72 billion in TVL and about $3.47 billion in active loans.
• Sentora highlights Morpho smart contract usage—citing Coinbase activity—to argue institutional-grade credit workflows are taking shape.
• CryptoRank data indicates late-stage crypto funding has surged sharply, while seed and pre-seed funding has declined.

Morpho’s pitch: from lending protocol to credit infrastructure

Morpho announced Tuesday that it raised $175 million in a round led by Paradigm, with a16z Crypto and Ribbit Capital also named as lead participants. While Morpho is already associated with DeFi lending, the company is using this round to pursue a broader role: becoming a credit infrastructure layer for more traditional finance players.

The concept centers on onchain credit markets—systems that let borrowers, lenders, and deploying institutions use blockchain-based assets to originate credit. In this framing, stablecoins and tokenized financial products provide the asset rails, while credit infrastructure provides the lending and deployment logic.

MacPherson, speaking to Cointelegraph, argued that as stablecoins scale, “credit becomes one of the most important pieces of infrastructure in the stack.” The implication for investors is straightforward: if tokenized money becomes more widely used, demand for the associated lending and credit services tends to follow.

Onchain lending depth and institutional use cases

One reason Morpho’s funding drew attention is the reported scale of its lending activity. The article cites DeFiLlama data showing Morpho with $6.72 billion in total value locked (TVL) and about $3.47 billion in active loans.

Sentora, in a Friday newsletter, interpreted these figures as evidence of “significant liquidity depth,” a point that matters because liquidity is often a key constraint for credit markets. Without sufficient borrowing and lending depth, credit products can struggle to scale in real-world conditions, particularly when institutions require consistent counterparties and stable execution.

Sentora also pointed to Coinbase’s use of Morpho smart contracts to originate more than $2.17 billion in corporate USDC loans. The underlying argument is that Morpho is increasingly being used for credit workflows that look more like institutional lending infrastructure than a purely retail DeFi application.

In that view, the shift isn’t isolated to crypto-native lending. Sentora said exchanges, custodians, and asset managers are actively evaluating blockchain-based lending systems to support credit products, while protocols compete to become the “underlying infrastructure” enabling business-to-business integrations.

How Morpho plans to measure success

Beyond raising capital, Morpho’s leadership said the real test will come from integration-driven growth over the next year to 18 months. Co-founder Merlin Egalite told Cointelegraph that the company aims to expand integrations with banks, asset managers, and large platforms, bring in more institutional capital, and roll out features inspired by traditional credit markets.

Egalite characterized the goal as building infrastructure rather than trying to replace existing competitors. “The problem we are trying to solve is less about replacing competitors and more about establishing ourselves as the credit infrastructure layer that banks, asset managers and fintechs build on,” he said in the report.

Late-stage VC momentum and changing funding patterns

The timing of Morpho’s raise also reflects broader venture market dynamics. The article notes that venture capital is increasingly concentrating on a smaller set of established crypto infrastructure projects.

It cites CryptoRank’s Q1 2026 crypto fundraising report, which reported that capital allocated to Series C and later-stage rounds surged 1,020% year over year and 320% quarter over quarter. Those later-stage deals accounted for 28.4% of venture funding across nine deals, while seed and pre-seed funding fell 38.1% year over year and represented only 5.2% of total capital.

Against that backdrop, Egalite said he is not concerned about capital concentration, aligning with the thesis that durable infrastructure—protocols with measurable liquidity, integrations, and institutional usage—may be attracting disproportionate attention as the market matures.

For investors and builders watching onchain credit, the key question now is whether Morpho’s funding translates into sustained institutional integrations and repeatable credit origination. The next signal to track will be whether the protocol’s liquidity depth and contract-driven credit usage continue to grow alongside stablecoin adoption, and how quickly traditional finance partners operationalize blockchain-based lending at scale.

Zcash has undergone a follow-up security audit using Anthropic’s Mythos system, which, according to founder Zooko Wilcox, found no additional serious vulnerabilities in the protocol after the recent Orchard flaw disclosure.

According to Wilcox, Anthropic carried out the audit at the request of Shielded Labs following the discovery of a vulnerability that could theoretically have allowed unlimited creation of counterfeit ZEC.

In a June 13 post on X, Wilcox thanked Anthropic for helping protect Zcash users and said the review did not identify any other serious bugs in the network.

The result comes little more than a week after the Zcash ecosystem rushed to contain a flaw in Orchard, the blockchain’s primary shielded transaction pool.

According to Shielded Labs, the defect could theoretically have enabled an attacker to create an unlimited amount of counterfeit ZEC. The organization said previous exploitation appeared unlikely, while acknowledging there is no cryptographic proof showing the vulnerability was never used.

Work on fixing the issue began before the flaw became public. According to Zcash Open Development Lab founder Josh Swihart, developers first deployed a soft fork that temporarily disabled Orchard transactions while technical details remained confidential.

A second upgrade, the NU6.2 hard fork, went live on June 3 and removed the vulnerability before Orchard transactions were re-enabled.

Emergency measures contained the Orchard flaw

Details released earlier by Wilcox showed the original vulnerability was identified on May 29 by security researcher Taylor Hornby during a targeted audit using Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 model. Hornby reported the issue to Zcash Open Development Lab, which coordinated a response across ecosystem participants before the fix was deployed.

Following the fix, Wilcox said teams across the Zcash ecosystem continued reviewing the protocol for additional risks. According to his June 13 update, Shielded Labs and other contributors are now focused on further security-hardening measures and plan to release additional updates as that work progresses.

Several organizations remain involved in the effort, including the Zcash Foundation, Tachyon Group, Valar Group, Shielded Labs, and Zcash Open Development Lab, according to Wilcox.

Ironwood proposal focuses on supply verification

Alongside the audit findings, Wilcox has continued promoting the proposed Ironwood upgrade, which he said would allow users to independently verify Zcash’s circulating supply by aggregating balances held across active pools once the upgrade is activated.

According to Wilcox, Ironwood would introduce a new location for holding shielded ZEC, place restrictions on transactions that could involve counterfeit coins, and incorporate additional security measures, including AI-assisted audits. He said the timeline for activation remains uncertain and will depend on further development work and community discussions.

The Orchard disclosure triggered a sharp sell-off in ZEC. The token lost more than 50% of its value between June 4 and June 5 before rebounding to $478.70 on June 9. ZEC has since fallen back to around $417 as investors reduced exposure to risk assets amid escalating tensions between the United States and Iran.

Technical indicators also show that the post-crash recovery is facing resistance. On the four-hour chart, ZEC has fallen back below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $418.60 after failing to hold gains near $478.70 earlier this week. The token also remains below the Supertrend resistance at roughly $465, which continues to cap upside attempts.

Unless buyers reclaim the $465-$470 area, the chart points to a possible retest of support near $355, which marks the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram has slipped back into negative territory after briefly turning positive during the recovery rally, indicating that buying pressure has weakened since the June 9 peak.

Key Takeaways

• Geoffrey Kendrick from Standard Chartered identifies Bitcoin’s cycle bottom at $59,000, reached on June 5
• Outflows totaling $5.72 billion from Bitcoin ETFs since mid-May linked to investor positioning for SpaceX’s public debut
• SpaceX commenced Nasdaq trading at $150 per share, currently up approximately 26%, potentially ending crypto liquidation pressure
• Progress on U.S.-Iran diplomatic negotiations and declining oil prices reducing macroeconomic headwinds for digital assets
• Year-end forecasts remain intact: $100,000 for Bitcoin and $4,000 for Ethereum

Bitcoin reached a low of $59,375 on June 5, 2026, based on CoinDesk pricing data. Geoffrey Kendrick, a digital asset analyst at Standard Chartered, has identified this level as the conclusive cycle bottom for the leading cryptocurrency.

“Winter is over. Welcome back to crypto Spring,” Kendrick declared in his Friday research note.

As of this writing, Bitcoin was changing hands just under $64,000, showing significant recovery from its recent trough.

The cryptocurrency’s descent from its record peak of $126,000 on October 6 to the $59,000 level constitutes a 53% drawdown.

SpaceX Public Offering Triggered Digital Asset Liquidation

Kendrick attributes much of the recent downward pressure to the SpaceX public offering. Market participants allegedly liquidated Bitcoin ETF positions to raise capital for participation in the highly anticipated IPO.

U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds experienced aggregate net redemptions of $5.72 billion beginning in the second week of May. This outflow magnitude ranks among the most severe since these investment vehicles launched.

SpaceX equity started trading on Nasdaq Friday morning at approximately $150 per share. Current trading levels show gains of roughly 26% above the initial offering price. Kendrick suggests this successful IPO may eliminate that particular source of selling pressure.

On decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, SpaceX derivative contracts were experiencing substantial trading activity, implying a company valuation reaching $2.4 trillion.

Declining Energy Prices and Middle East Diplomacy Bolster Outlook

The secondary catalyst Kendrick highlighted involves a prospective U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement under discussion at the G7 summit. Should this materialize, it could prevent further escalation in global oil prices.

Reduced oil prices would alleviate upward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields. As yields decline, risk assets like Bitcoin typically experience renewed investor interest.

Brent crude retreated to approximately $87 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate trading near $85, following President Trump’s comments about a probable peace agreement. Trump subsequently clarified on Truth Social that the publicly disclosed terms did not reflect what was actually negotiated, urging Iranian leadership to “get their act together.”

Three Confirmation Metrics for Market Bottom

Kendrick outlined three specific indicators he’s monitoring to validate the market floor thesis.

First, he anticipates Strategy, under Michael Saylor’s leadership, will reveal another Bitcoin acquisition on the upcoming Monday.

Second, he seeks sustained net-positive daily flows returning to U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Third, he’s observing whether crude oil pricing maintains its downward trajectory.

Kendrick maintains his year-end projections: Bitcoin reaching $100,000 and Ethereum hitting $4,000. He additionally forecasts Ethereum will deliver superior returns compared to Bitcoin over the coming months.

For investors who established positions near the $59,000 bottom, achieving Kendrick’s $100,000 year-end projection would yield approximately 70% returns.