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Crypto World

Bitcoin has reached a deep bear-market valuation zone

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Bitcoin could fall to $60,000, Zcash plunges 37%

Bitcoin is trading near a level it has usually reached only late in bear markets, and it has held there even after the hottest U.S. inflation print in three years.

Checkonchain data show BTC fell toward close to its 200-week average, a rough four-year trend line watched by long-term holders. The model puts bitcoin in the bottom 10% of its historical valuation range, a zone that has appeared only during the deepest parts of past bear markets.

The mood in the market is just as washed out. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index – a measure of sentiment calculated using volatility, social media posts, and market volumes – sits at 9, deep in extreme fear, down from 11 last week and 48 a month ago.

Those readings usually show up when price-sensitive sellers have already done most of their selling. Checkonchain still warns that bottoms are a process where capitulation comes first followed by months of sideways trading that grind down the holders who stayed.

Bitcoin briefly broke below $60,000 this week for the first time since 2024 and changed hands at $62,623 on Thursday, up 1.9% on the day but lower over the week, with a record run of ETF outflows still pulling money out.

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The bounce was broad but shallow. Ether rose 1.4% to $1,651, BNB added 1.3% to $595, solana gained 0.9% to $65 and dogecoin 1.1% to $0.085. XRP was the laggard, down 0.3% at $1.12. All of them remain lower over the past seven days, led by ether at 6.5% and XRP at 7.5%. Thursday’s gains dent the weekly slide rather than reverse it.

Inflation is not helping the case for a quick recovery. US consumer prices rose 0.5% in May from April and 4.2% from a year earlier, the fastest annual pace since early 2023, as the Iran war pushed up energy costs, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday.

The core measure, which strips out food and energy, rose 0.2%, less than economists expected, the one soft spot in an otherwise hot report.

“Hopes for US regulatory clarity have faded again, with Polymarket odds of the Clarity Act passing in 2026 dropping from 62% to 48% this week,” Yves Renno, head of Trading at global crypto payments platform Wirex, told CoinDesk.

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“All eyes now turn to the FOMC on June 16th–17th, and Warsh’s tone will be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin bounces toward $68–72K or breaks below $60K entirely.”

Meanwhile, the pressure runs well beyond crypto. Global equities fell to a more than one-month low this week as a technology-led selloff deepened and US forces struck multiple targets in Iran, collapsing the ceasefire that had held since April.

MSCI’s All Country World Index, the broadest measure of global stocks, slipped to its lowest since May 5, and its Asia Pacific gauge fell 0.8% to a three-week low. Brent crude rose 1.8% to about $95 a barrel. The European Central Bank is expected to raise rates later Thursday for the first time since September 2023, with bond traders pricing in higher borrowing costs worldwide.

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GBP/USD: Consolidation Ahead of the Bank of England Decision

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GBP/USD: Consolidation Ahead of the Bank of England Decision

The Bank of England is due to hold its next policy meeting on 18 June. According to a Reuters poll conducted between 5 and 12 June, all 65 economists surveyed expect the Bank Rate to remain unchanged at 3.75%, although around 40% of respondents anticipate at least one rate increase before the end of the year. Domestic data are also weighing on sterling: UK GDP contracted by 0.1% in April, marking the first monthly decline since August last year, while a Bank of England survey showed a notable rise in household inflation expectations amid the conflict in the Middle East. Uncertainty surrounding the monetary policy outlook, coupled with weakening macroeconomic data, is creating a mixed backdrop for the pair.

Technical Picture

On the four-hour chart, GBP/USD has formed a pattern resembling a descending triangle, with the upper boundary declining steadily while the lower boundary remains broadly horizontal. The pattern developed following the decline that began on 25 May and could be interpreted by market participants as a continuation formation within the broader downtrend that has been in place since the start of the year. At present, the price is attempting to return to the triangle range after briefly moving above the upper boundary and subsequently retreating.

The resistance area around 1.3460 remains relevant if the price fails to establish itself below the upper boundary of the profile at 1.3422 and the Point of Control (POC) zone at 1.3390–1.3392. On the downside, support in the 1.3325 area could become the nearest target in a bearish scenario should the lower boundary of the profile at 1.3356 be breached.

RSI + MAs are currently reading 51, 55 and 50. All three lines are clustered around the neutral zone, providing no clear directional signal.

Key Takeaways

The neutral readings of RSI + MAs, together with the possibility of the price returning to the triangle range following the recent pullback, contribute to an uncertain technical picture. The Bank of England’s decision on 18 June and the accompanying policy guidance are likely to be the key factors shaping the pair’s near-term direction.

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Solana (SOL) Price Surges 11% as ETF Capital Returns and RWA Ecosystem Breaks Records

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Solana (SOL) Price

Key Takeaways

  • Solana currently trades at $73.74 following three consecutive sessions of price appreciation and an 11% three-day rally
  • Spot Solana ETF products attracted $2.81 million in net inflows on Monday, marking a reversal from the prior week’s outflows
  • SOL/BTC pair demonstrates upward momentum, recording its most robust weekly close since the beginning of May
  • Tokenized SpaceX stock (SPCX) on Solana generated over $50 million in on-chain trading volume in its initial 24-hour period
  • The total value locked in Solana’s real-world asset sector surpassed $3 billion for the first time in history

Solana has delivered three consecutive positive trading sessions, elevating SOL to $73.74 as of Tuesday. This upward movement arrives after a difficult period that left the token trading significantly below its critical moving average indicators.

Solana (SOL) Price
Solana (SOL) Price

The recent rebound represents approximately 11% growth over a three-day span. However, SOL continues trading below the 50-day EMA positioned at $78.13, the 100-day EMA at $85.11, and the 200-day EMA at $101.67.

Spot Solana exchange-traded funds captured $2.81 million in net inflows on Monday, based on SoSoValue tracking data. This influx marks a complete turnaround from the previous week’s $2.58 million in net outflows, signaling renewed institutional appetite.

Source: SoSoValue

Market analyst Ritika Gupta identified the SOL/BTC ratio as a critical indicator deserving attention. She highlighted that this trading pair achieved its most impressive weekly close since early May, implying Solana could be beginning to outperform Bitcoin as investment capital shifts toward higher-risk assets.

Futures Market Signals Mixed Sentiment

Not every indicator points upward. According to CoinGlass tracking data, SOL’s long-to-short ratio registered 0.96 on Tuesday, falling beneath the neutral 1.0 threshold. This suggests a greater number of traders are betting on price declines rather than increases.

Funding rates have also dipped into negative territory at -0.001%, indicating short position holders are compensating long position holders. This dynamic generally signals bearish expectations within the perpetual futures market.

Source: Coinglass

The Relative Strength Index sits near 49, indicating neutral momentum. While the MACD indicator has shifted positive, market observers characterize the current price action as a corrective bounce rather than the beginning of a sustained uptrend.

Blockchain Metrics Reinforce Price Recovery

On-chain metrics provide additional support for the recent price appreciation. Solana’s real-world asset (RWA) infrastructure achieved a historic milestone, surpassing $3 billion in aggregate value for the first time.

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Tokenized SpaceX equity through xStock (SPCX) emerged as the leading tokenized equity instrument on Solana. Launched by Backpack Securities coinciding with SpaceX’s traditional market debut, the token generated more than $50 million in on-chain transaction volume during its first day of trading.

Additionally, Alatau City in Kazakhstan formalized a memorandum of cooperation with the Solana Foundation during the current week.

While the ETH/BTC trading pair approaches its tenth straight weekly decline, SOL/BTC is tracking in the opposite direction. This contrasting performance positions Solana uniquely among major alternative cryptocurrencies.

CryptoQuant aggregate data reveals substantial whale accumulation activity across SOL’s spot and derivatives markets, though additional metrics remain in neutral territory.

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The critical support threshold to monitor stands at $60.13. A breakdown below this level would expose the token to additional downside pressure and invalidate the current recovery narrative.

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Trump Claims a Gas Price Win, But Oil Reserves at 43-Year Low

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The peace deal has helped gas prices fall.

Americans are staring down gas prices under $4 for the first time in nearly two months, after the US and Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The White House is claiming it as a Trump victory, but analysts say the global oil market still has a long road back to normal.

Gas now looks to be heading under $4 a gallon, but prices had already been falling for three weeks before the June 14 deal. Since May 21, the national average dropped from $4.56 to $4.12 as crude oil settled below $100 a barrel.

The Iran agreement is pushing prices below the $4 mark, but gas remains 28% higher than this time last year, when Americans paid $3.13 a gallon.

Gas Prices Fall as Iran Deal Takes Hold

The agreement covers the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway through which a fifth of the world’s oil typically flows. Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell 5% to $83.13 on Monday, June 15, down roughly 30% from its March 9 peak of $119.50.

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The peace deal has helped gas prices fall.
The peace deal has helped gas prices fall, but not by that much. Image Source: GasPrices

A senior White House official said tanker traffic should begin rising immediately, climbing to 50 ships per day shortly, compared with 25 currently. Before the war began, about 130 ships passed through daily.

Trump’s Win, and the Risk He Owns

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen to its lowest level since 1983, according to the US Energy Information Administration, leaving the market with almost no buffer for the next shock.

Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy and a former energy adviser to the George W Bush White House, warned the market still needs to absorb a “historic 1.5 billion barrel supply loss” that will take “many weeks and months” to work through.

The timeline also complicates the White House’s framing. Prices had already fallen 44 cents over three weeks before Sunday’s deal was announced. The Iran agreement contributed roughly 13 cents of that total drop.

What Cheaper Oil Means for Rates and Crypto

Consumer inflation rose from 2.4% in February to 4.2% in May, its highest level since April 2023. The Federal Reserve, now under new chair Kevin Warsh, meets this week, and analysts expect it to hold rates steady, but the central bank may drop language suggesting a bias toward cutting borrowing costs.

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Falling oil prices reduce pressure on the inflation numbers, which could ease the path toward rate cuts later this year. For Bitcoin and broader crypto markets, lower rates and easing inflation are among the clearest reasons investors shift toward riskier assets.

For now, Americans are paying less at the pump. Whether that relief lasts depends on whether a deal signed in Switzerland holds up in the real world.

The post Trump Claims a Gas Price Win, But Oil Reserves at 43-Year Low appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Kevin Warsh Opens First Fed Meeting: What Crypto Traders Must Watch

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The ECB’s Rate Hike Could Force the Fed’s Hand

Kevin Warsh opens his first Federal Reserve meeting on June 16, and for crypto traders, the stakes are real. The new Fed Chair is hawkish on inflation, personally divested of all crypto, and committed to saying less than his predecessor.

Warsh took over from Jerome Powell in May, and his financial disclosures showed more than 20 crypto-linked investments, including Solana, Compound, dYdX, and a stake in Bitcoin payments startup Flashnet. Under Federal Reserve ethics rules, he sold all of it before taking the job.

The Dot Plot and Rate Hike Risk

Markets price in a near-certain rate hold at 3.50% to 3.75% for June 17, but the updated Summary of Economic Projections, the dot plot, is the real signal. May CPI came in at 4.2%, with energy prices surging due to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions accounting for most of the monthly rise.

If the dot plot shows Fed officials penciling in a hike rather than a cut, Bitcoin faces a familiar headwind: tighter liquidity moves traders away from risk assets. Prediction markets currently put the odds of at least one 2026 rate hike at 50%-65%, and the dot plot could reprice it quickly.

Warsh Plans to Talk Less

Warsh has long criticized the Fed’s habit of over-communicating. Charles Schwab’s analysis of his policy stance notes he sees excessive forward guidance as a credibility risk, not a market service. His first post-meeting press conference will likely be shorter, less prescriptive, and less generous with rate-path hints than Powell’s.

Crypto markets move sharply on Fed signals, and when that anchor disappears, volatility tends to follow. The Fed’s standard signal that its next move is more likely a cut than a hike, known as an easing bias, may be the first thing to disappear from the statement, and markets will read its absence as hawkish.

The Pro-Crypto Paradox

Warsh sold all of his digital asset holdings, confirmed by Bloomberg in a certificate of divestiture from the Office of Government Ethics, before taking the job. The crypto-fluent Fed Chair many expected is now constrained by macro orthodoxy and ethics rules.

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What actually matters for the industry is whether his worldview, which includes an anti-central bank digital currency (CBDC) position and openness to stablecoin legislation, translates into formal policy. Crypto’s clearest tailwind from Warsh will come not from rate cuts but from stablecoin oversight and approvals for banks to issue tokenized assets.

Warsh’s first press conference on June 17 is the test: if he signals rates higher for longer, crypto will feel it fast.

The post Kevin Warsh Opens First Fed Meeting: What Crypto Traders Must Watch appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Exploit-Driven TVL Drop Pushes DeFi Leverage Back to 2021 Levels

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DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels.

On-chain leverage ratio across Decentralized Finance (DeFi) has climbed to levels last seen in 2021, according to Binance Research.

While the metric may suggest elevated risk, the increase was driven largely by a decline in total value locked (TVL) rather than a surge in borrowing demand.

What Pushed DeFi Leverage to 2021 Levels

The on-chain leverage ratio measures the extent of borrowing and leveraged activity relative to the capital locked in DeFi protocols (TVL). It rose to about 38%, driven by TVL compression.

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DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels.
DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels. Source: X/Binance Research

The drop in TVL followed a series of major DeFi security incidents in April. BeInCrypto reported that hackers stole about $606 million during the month.

Most of the damage came from attacks targeting Kelp DAO and Drift Protocol, with the Kelp DAO exploit alone resulting in losses of approximately $292 million.

The breaches prompted investors to withdraw capital from DeFi platforms, leading to a sharp contraction in value locked across multiple blockchain ecosystems.

“April’s DeFi exploits triggered ~US$13B in TVL outflows,” the post read.

Consequently, the rise in the on-chain leverage ratio reflected a shrinking pool of collateral rather than a fresh increase in borrowing activity or in traders’ risk-taking.

Despite the broader market pullback, meaningful deleveraging has yet to materialize, Binance Research said. 

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As leverage remains elevated relative to a shrinking DeFi capital base, the market could remain vulnerable to further liquidations and position unwinds if prices weaken further.

For now, DeFi sits in a fragile balance. Leverage looks elevated even as borrowing activity has not risen proportionally, and the system has yet to reset after the spring outflows.

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The post Exploit-Driven TVL Drop Pushes DeFi Leverage Back to 2021 Levels appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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GAO Urges FDIC to Coordinate Crypto Oversight on Blockchain Risks

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Crypto Breaking News

The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) has urged the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to strengthen coordination with other federal regulators to manage risks associated with blockchain-based financial products. In a letter made public on June 8, GAO recommended that the FDIC develop an ongoing mechanism to help agencies identify, assess, and respond to emerging blockchain-related threats more consistently.

GAO also pressed the FDIC to revisit how it assigns supervisors to institutions, arguing that changes to case manager rotation could improve supervisory independence and reduce the risk that oversight outcomes are compromised. The recommendations arrive as lawmakers and regulators continue to work through the supervisory gaps created by the cross-border and rapidly evolving nature of crypto and stablecoin activities.

Key takeaways

  • GAO urged the FDIC to coordinate with other federal agencies through an ongoing mechanism for addressing blockchain risks.
  • GAO cited findings from 2023 that regulators lacked a continuous coordination structure while blockchain-related financial services grew significantly.
  • GAO recommended rotating FDIC case managers to strengthen supervisory independence.
  • GAO linked supervisory questions to the 2023 failures of several crypto-exposed banks, in the aftermath of the FTX collapse.
  • Policy developments under the GENIUS Act and proposed broader crypto legislation shape the regulatory context for stablecoin and wider crypto market oversight.

GAO calls for cross-agency coordination on blockchain risk

In its June 8 letter to FDIC Chairman Travis Hill, GAO said it first raised the issue of blockchain risk coordination as a priority matter in May of the prior year. GAO described blockchain technology as an area of concern that it placed on its “High Risk List,” reflecting difficulties regulators face in overseeing blockchain-based financial products and the potential effects on U.S. markets.

GAO’s position is grounded in an earlier assessment it conducted in 2023. The agency found that financial regulators did not have an “ongoing coordination mechanism for addressing blockchain risks,” despite the growing scale of blockchain-related products and services. In practice, GAO argued that without a durable coordination channel, agencies may identify similar risks at different times or respond inconsistently—an issue that becomes more acute when crypto-related activities span multiple regulated entities and regulatory authorities.

GAO maintained that establishing the coordination mechanism it recommended would enable the FDIC and other regulators to collectively identify risks and implement regulatory responses in a timely manner. The emphasis on timeliness is particularly relevant for compliance monitoring: blockchain-linked products can evolve quickly, and regulatory responses often depend on rapid information-sharing across agencies responsible for distinct parts of the financial system.

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Stablecoin oversight under GENIUS and the broader legislative push

The FDIC’s role in blockchain-related oversight is closely tied to stablecoins. Under the GENIUS Act passed last year, the FDIC serves as the main regulator for stablecoin issuers that are subsidiaries of banks under FDIC supervision. That framework positions the FDIC as a key gatekeeper for a segment of the crypto market that directly intersects with the banking system.

GAO’s call for coordination therefore has both immediate supervisory implications and longer-term policy relevance. The letter comes as Senate lawmakers consider a bill intended to clarify how federal agencies would regulate the wider crypto market beyond the stablecoin context. As described by Cointelegraph, lawmakers are looking to pass legislation that would outline the regulatory approach across federal bodies—an effort that underscores the current fragmentation problem regulators face when crypto activity cuts across agency mandates.

For institutional stakeholders, the coordination question is not only about enforcement readiness; it also affects compliance design. Firms operating stablecoin-related products, custody services, or other blockchain-based financial offerings may need to map evolving obligations across regulators. A clearer coordination mechanism could reduce the chance of duplicative requests, shifting interpretations, or gaps where risks fall between agencies.

Supervisory independence: GAO urges rotation of case managers

Beyond coordination, GAO recommended a supervisory process change: rotating case managers assigned to banks. GAO said that in 2024 it found the FDIC did not require supervisors to rotate to different banks. According to GAO, a lack of rotation could compromise supervisor independence and interfere with supervision outcomes.

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GAO further reasoned that a rotation requirement could mitigate threats to independence. While the specifics of supervisory staffing and governance vary by institution, independence concerns are central to bank oversight. If supervisors become too closely embedded with particular institutions over extended periods, the ability to challenge management assessments and respond objectively to emerging risks may be weakened.

GAO also linked the staffing concern to what it described as unanswered questions raised by bank failures in 2023, particularly whether bank watchdogs took sufficient action to ensure institutions “promptly addressed supervisory concerns.”

Lessons cited from 2023 bank failures tied to crypto exposure

GAO pointed to the collapse of several banks in 2023—Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—as events that raised questions about the robustness and timeliness of supervisory actions. All three failed in less than a week in March 2023, following the bankruptcy of FTX, which contributed to severe disruption across crypto markets.

From a policy and enforcement standpoint, GAO’s emphasis suggests that supervisors may face heightened risk signals when banks have significant exposure to crypto-linked counterparties, custody arrangements, or related liquidity and asset-liability pressures. GAO’s recommendation to strengthen oversight processes—through both improved interagency coordination and enhanced supervisory independence—aims to address systemic vulnerabilities that can surface during periods of market stress.

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At the same time, unresolved questions remain. GAO’s findings do not automatically specify what a “blockchain risk response” should look like in every scenario, nor do they replace the need for agency-specific rulemaking or supervisory guidance. For compliance teams, this means expectations may evolve incrementally as regulators operationalize coordination mechanisms and adjust supervisory staffing practices.

What to watch next

GAO’s letter adds pressure for measurable procedural follow-through at the FDIC, including how coordination with other regulators will be structured and how supervisory staffing will be implemented in practice. The trajectory of broader federal crypto legislation will also influence how these recommendations interact with stablecoin-specific oversight and the wider regulatory landscape.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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India Restricts Telegram Access Until June 22 Ahead of NEET Re-Exam

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India Restricts Telegram Access Until June 22 Ahead of NEET Re-Exam

India has blocked Telegram nationwide until June 22 after the National Testing Agency said cheating rackets allegedly used the platform to defraud candidates ahead of the NEET medical entrance re-examination set for June 21.

The Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology issued the order under Section 69A of the Information Technology Act. That provision lets the union government restrict online access in the interest of national sovereignty and integrity.

Telegram Banned in India Ahead of NEET 2026 Re-Examination

The National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET) carries enormous weight in India. It decides admission to the country’s undergraduate medical and dental seats. About 2.2 million people sat in the original round on May 3.

However, the National Testing Agency (NTA) cancelled that test on May 12. Officials scrapped that round due to an alleged paper leak. A fresh examination was then scheduled for June 21.

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In addition to the restriction, the government has also ordered Telegram to turn off message editing in India until June 30. The NTA framed both steps as public-order measures, prompted by “organised use of the platform by cheating rackets to defraud candidates.”

“NTA acknowledges that the access restriction issued by MeitY affects lakhs of citizens who use the Telegram platform for legitimate personal, educational, professional, and informational purposes, and sincerely regrets the inconvenience caused to them. The access restriction is, by its express terms, confined to the period ending 22 June 2026 – i.e., the day after the examination,” the statement read.

The government has moved aggressively to keep the June 21 retest on track. Notably, officials have deployed the Indian Air Force to transport the question papers.

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Whether the measures hold back exam fraud will become clearer once the June 21 retest concludes. BeInCrypto has reached out to Telegram for comment.

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Why crypto traders are watching Japan

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Why crypto traders are watching Japan

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate by 25 basis points on June 16, moving the target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate to around 1.0%. 

Summary

  • BOJ raised rates to 1.0%, putting yen liquidity and crypto market exposure back in focus.
  • Oil-driven inflation risks pushed Japan’s central bank toward another step away from easy monetary policy.
  • BOJ tightening adds pressure to yen carry trades, putting Bitcoin and wider digital assets back in focus.

The new rate takes effect on June 17 after a 7–1 vote by the Policy Board. The move lifted Japanese rates further from the ultra-low levels that shaped local and global markets for years.

“The Bank will encourage the uncollateralized overnight call rate to remain at around 1.0 percent,” the BOJ said in its policy statement

The central bank also raised the interest rate on the complementary deposit facility to 1.0% and set the basic loan rate at 1.25%. 1.0% marks Japan’s highest policy rate since 1995. Market participants now watch how the move shapes the yen, bonds, and crypto risk appetite in coming sessions.

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Inflation risk drives the BOJ decision

The BOJ said Japan’s economy continues to recover at a moderate pace, even as higher crude oil prices weigh on activity. It said strong corporate profits, better jobs data, and income growth still support the economy. The bank also said government steps to reduce the household burden from energy costs will continue to help demand.

The central bank also pointed to rising price pressure. It said price pass-through from higher crude oil costs has moved at a relatively fast pace in business-to-business transactions. It added that this pressure may spread to consumer prices across many items. The BOJ said underlying CPI inflation may move above its 2% price stability target if medium- to long-term inflation expectations keep rising.

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Meanwhile, crypto.news reported before the decision that a move to 1.0% could bring renewed attention to global liquidity and the yen carry trade. The carry trade uses cheap yen borrowing to fund higher-yielding assets. Higher Japanese rates can make that trade less attractive and may push investors to reduce exposure to risk assets.

In addition, that matters for Bitcoin and other digital assets because crypto markets trade around the clock and can react quickly when leveraged positions unwind. Bitcoin fell roughly 3% within hours after the BOJ raised rates to 0.75% in January 2026. The report also said Bitcoin would likely face the first wave of selling because of its deeper liquidity, while smaller tokens may see sharper moves.

Japan’s crypto policy remains active

The rate hike comes as Japan continues to reshape its digital asset rules. Crypto.news reported on June 11 that Japan advanced a bill that would cut crypto gains tax to 20%, open a path for crypto ETFs, and treat digital assets more like stocks. That policy track gives Japan a second crypto story beyond monetary tightening.

In May, Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party advanced an AI-blockchain finance plan focused on tokenized deposits, yen stablecoins, and programmable settlement. 

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These reforms show that Japan is tightening monetary policy while still building clearer digital finance rules. “The Bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate and adjust the degree of monetary accommodation,” the BOJ said, while noting that future moves will depend on economic activity, prices, and financial conditions.

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CFTC chair pushes back on criticism of crypto perpetual futures contracts

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What crypto and stock traders should compare before choosing one

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has responded to four common criticisms of perpetual futures contracts, citing more than 100 public comments submitted during a 2025 consultation process as regulators continue expanding oversight of digital asset markets.

Summary

  • CFTC Chair Michael Selig said perpetual futures contracts do not require a fixed expiration date under existing U.S. law or regulatory interpretations.
  • Selig stated that CFTC regulated perpetual futures face the same leverage limits as other U.S. futures contracts, rejecting claims that they permit 250x leverage.
  • More than 100 public comments were submitted during the CFTC’s 2025 consultation on perpetual contracts, while the agency said funding rates help keep prices aligned with spot markets.

According to a post published on X by CFTC Chair Michael Selig, several misconceptions have emerged around perpetual futures contracts and the agency’s recent approvals of such products, including concerns related to contract duration, leverage, public consultation, and funding rates.

Among the issues addressed was the argument that perpetual futures fall outside the legal definition of a futures contract because they do not have a fixed expiration date. Selig said neither the Commodity Exchange Act nor CFTC regulations explicitly define the term “futures contract” in a way that requires a fixed expiration or delivery date.

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Instead, he said the criteria used to determine whether an instrument qualifies as a futures contract come from court decisions and commission interpretations, neither of which requires a contract to expire on a predetermined date.

CFTC defends leverage limits and funding mechanism

Attention has also focused on leverage after some critics claimed the agency had approved a product that would allow U.S. traders to access leverage of up to 250x through the recently approved BTCPERP contract.

Addressing those concerns, Selig said extreme leverage has historically been associated with offshore trading venues rather than the perpetual futures structure itself. Perpetual contracts operating under CFTC oversight, he said, remain subject to the same leverage restrictions that apply to other regulated futures products in the United States.

Questions surrounding industry participation were also raised following the approval process. In response, Selig pointed to an April 2025 request for comment covering both perpetual contracts and 24/7 trading, which drew more than 100 responses from market participants, including numerous firms already registered with the commission.

Funding rates, another frequently debated feature of perpetual futures, received separate attention in the statement. According to Selig, critics have argued that the mechanism creates high costs for traders and encourages harmful market behavior.

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His explanation was that carrying a position in traditional futures contracts can generate similar annualized costs once traders account for the expenses associated with repeatedly opening and rolling expiring contracts. He added that funding rates help keep perpetual futures aligned with the underlying spot market rather than encouraging misconduct.

The comments arrive as the CFTC continues to take a prominent role in digital asset regulation while Congress debates legislation that could redefine the responsibilities of the CFTC and SEC.

As previously reported by crypto.news, the commission recently appointed former SEC crypto task force adviser Donald Battle as chief data innovation officer. In announcing the hire, the agency highlighted Battle’s experience in blockchain analytics, financial investigations, artificial intelligence, and data science.

Beyond cryptocurrency markets, the commission has remained active in disputes involving prediction markets and event contracts. Court filings cited by the agency show it recently challenged New Mexico officials over efforts to apply state gaming laws to contracts listed on Kalshi, arguing that federally regulated event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction.

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At the same time, the regulator is collecting public feedback on a proposed framework for sports event contracts, a process that could influence how federal authorities oversee sports-related prediction markets in the future.

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Anthropic Ban Drives Demand for Decentralized AI Tokens

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Anthropic Ban Drives Demand for Decentralized AI Tokens

Anthropic’s decision to shut down access to its latest artificial intelligence models after a US order to suspend access to foreign nationals highlights the risks of centralized control in AI, which could increase demand for decentralized alternatives, says Grayscale. 

Grayscale head of research Zach Pandl said in a note on Monday that the order to cut access to Anthropic’s Fable 5 and Mythos 5 shows “the centralized control of frontier AI technology and drives home the need for decentralized alternatives.”

“We expect demand for decentralized AI, like Bittensor and its TAO token, to continue to rise as investors seek alternatives,” Pandl said.

The US government on Friday directed Anthropic to suspend access to the models for foreign nationals over national security concerns. Anthropic subsequently disabled access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users to comply with the order.

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Pandl noted that in the 12 hours after Anthropic cut access to its latest models, Bittensor’s TAO token climbed 30% as users sought out a decentralized alternative, climbing to a three-week high of $283 on Monday.

TAO has outperformed the wider crypto market over the past week. Source: CoinGecko

Pandl explained that Bittensor offers an “alternative vision for AI based on decentralized principles,” aiming to provide access to AI resources through an open, global, decentralized network. 

“Think of it as Bitcoin for AI.”

“Access to artificial intelligence is becoming an increasingly important economic resource,” Pandl added. “As AI capabilities continue to improve, governments and AI labs will play an increasingly important role in determining who can access these tools and under what conditions.”

Anthropic suspension sets a precedent

Colton Malkerson, co-founder of EdgeRunner AI, argued that this event is a breaking point for corporate data independence.

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“We’ve been saying for a while that companies are ‘renting’ their intelligence from the big labs, but this is even worse,” he said in a note to Cointelegraph. 

“It’s like renting your intelligence, just like if you’re renting a house and the landlord can cancel your lease whenever they want, kick you out, and look at all your property while you’re a tenant.”

Related: Amazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: Reports

Tech entrepreneur and author Brett Hurt said in a note to Cointelegraph that the US order for Anthropic to cut off access to its models “was a precedent.” 

“The moment a government can silence a commercial AI model overnight, with no public hearing, no technical disclosure, and no appeals process, every lab in America is now operating under an invisible ceiling.”

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