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Crypto World

Bitcoin Stalls As QCP Says Strategy Dividend Risk Is Still Haunting Market

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Crypto Breaking News

A reported MOU between the United States and Iran gave global markets a calmer opening after weekend talks focused on the Strait of Hormuz. The accord points to a possible reopening of key shipping lanes that had lifted concern over energy supply. Markets reduced the premium attached to a longer regional disruption, although the conflict has not been settled.

S&P futures opened more than 100 points above Friday’s close and moved beyond previous record levels as traders adjusted risk exposure. Crude oil opened lower and traded below $75 as the market priced a lower chance of sustained supply disruption. The move suggested that energy traders were reassessing near-term risks tied to shipping and sanctions.

Under the expected framework, both sides would lift blockades around the Strait of Hormuz before entering a 60-day negotiation period. Talks are expected to focus on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and the release of frozen Iranian funds. The arrangement reduced one acute market risk, while leaving several diplomatic questions unresolved.

Key Insights

  • QCP says Strategy dividend funding concerns continue to weigh on Bitcoin despite stronger macro sentiment.
  • Markets rallied after the reported US-Iran MOU reduced fears around Strait of Hormuz disruption risks.
  • Warsh faces his first Fed meeting with inflation elevated after the recent oil price shock.
  • SpaceX’s low float and strong demand kept shares above IPO levels after its debut rally.
  • Strategy’s share issuance may extend runway, but Bitcoin traders still track dividend cash needs closely.

Warsh Begins Fed Tenure With Inflation Pressures

Kevin Warsh is set to lead his first Federal Reserve meeting as chair during a period of renewed inflation pressure. The US-Iran conflict helped push headline inflation to 4.2% year over year after oil prices rose globally. That backdrop has changed expectations around a chair previously viewed as more open to rate cuts.

The meeting will carry attention beyond the policy rate because the Board remains divided over the direction of monetary policy. Warsh is expected to seek support from Powell and other officials while presenting himself as independent from political pressure. Investors will watch his tone for evidence of how the central bank plans to handle energy-driven inflation.

The quarterly Dot Plot will also be released with inflation expected to remain elevated over the next quarter. Markets are already pricing roughly half a rate increase in 2026, which reflects expectations for restrictive policy. The Fed’s guidance may shape whether the equity rally can continue without renewed pressure from yields.

QCP Flags Strategy Dividend Overhang for Bitcoin

Risk appetite also received support from SpaceX’s market debut after shares reached $225, well above the $135 IPO price. The rally placed SpaceX among the world’s largest companies by market value, with demand supported by a low trading float. Its post-IPO move to acquire Cursor for $60 billion reinforced investor focus on AI and infrastructure.

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Bitcoin has not followed the broader risk rally and remains below the $66,000 level despite stronger sentiment across equities. QCP framed the main digital asset concern as market worries that Strategy may need to sell more Bitcoin to pay dividends. That concern has limited Bitcoin’s response to improved macro conditions and lower energy-market stress.

Strategy has bought back $1.5 billion of its 2029 Convertible Senior Notes and has raised about $200 million through MSTR share sales. The company continues to buy BTC with the proceeds, which has extended its dividend payment runway to roughly 7.5 months. QCP’s angle remains focused on whether further share issuance can ease the overhang before Bitcoin joins the broader rally.

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Strategy’s STRC preferred stock drops to a record low $89

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Saylor speaks as bitcoin plunges to $62,000

The slide also lands on a sensitive instrument. STRC’s dividends prompted Strategy to sell bitcoin for the first time since it began accumulating bitcoin in 2022. The company disclosed on June 1 that it had sold 32 coins for about $2.5 million in late May to fund STRC distributions, a move that rattled a market used to Chairman Michael Saylor’s pledge never to sell.

Last week, Strategy said it had grown a dedicated U.S. dollar reserve to $1.1 billion to cover preferred dividends and debt, while still buying 1,587 bitcoin through separate sales of its common stock.

Strategy holds about 846,842 bitcoin, roughly 4% of the supply that will ever exist, making it the largest corporate holder.

STRC has dipped below par before, however, usually during stretches of bitcoin volatility. Bitcoin has held around $64,000 to $65,000 this week, and Strategy’s common stock, MSTR, fell about 5% on Wednesday to $116.52.

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Kentucky Sues Kalshi and Polymarket Over Sports Betting Contracts

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Crypto Breaking News

Kentucky has filed lawsuits against five prediction market platforms, escalating an ongoing legal dispute in the United States over whether certain prediction market “event contracts” constitute regulated commodities products or unlicensed sports betting. The complaints target Polymarket and Kalshi, and name Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, alleging the platforms are effectively operating sports wagering in Kentucky without required state authorization.

The move adds to a broader pattern in which multiple states have challenged prediction markets under state gaming and consumer-protection statutes. It also highlights a central regulatory fault line in the US: states view sports-related event contracts as gambling that must be licensed locally, while prediction market operators argue the products are swaps that fall under the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) jurisdiction.

Key takeaways

  • Kentucky alleges Polymarket and Kalshi are “operating unlicensed and illegal sports betting and gambling platforms” in the state.
  • The complaints also include Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull, raising questions about compliance exposure for distribution and brokerage relationships.
  • State and federal authorities have taken opposing positions on jurisdiction, with the CFTC supporting the view that prediction markets can be regulated as swaps under commodities law.
  • Several states have already issued cease-and-desist actions, and some disputes have reached federal courts with mixed outcomes.

Kentucky’s lawsuit and the jurisdictional dispute over event contracts

According to a statement by Kentucky Attorney General Russell Coleman, the lawsuits were filed in state court against Polymarket and Kalshi, with Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull also named. Kentucky’s position is that the platforms are conducting what it characterizes as sports wagering in Kentucky without a gaming license or compliance with state rules.

Kentucky’s filings frame the underlying contracts as “sports event contracts” that “fall squarely within the definition of ‘sports wagering’ under Kentucky law.” The complaint further alleges that the platforms fail to provide adequate support for identifying and assisting users who may have gambling problems, which Kentucky law requires operators to do.

For compliance teams and regulated entities, a key practical implication is that the lawsuits do not focus solely on the core trading interface. By naming partners involved in the broader ecosystem, the action signals that state regulators may treat affiliated distribution, brokerage, or marketplace relationships as part of the alleged unlicensed wagering operation.

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Polymarket disputes Kentucky’s characterization. A Polymarket spokesperson told Cointelegraph that the lawsuit “runs counter to the CFTC’s established framework for regulating prediction markets” and that the company will address the claims through “the appropriate legal process.”

Kalshi’s response similarly emphasizes federal oversight. Jacki McGavick told Cointelegraph that Kalshi is “a federally regulated exchange,” asserting that “the CFTC is our regulator, not the states,” and arguing that courts have recognized this approach in prior disputes.

The CFTC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Why the CFTC-vs.-states conflict matters for institutional compliance

The Kentucky case sits within an expanding enforcement and litigation landscape. At least 17 other states have taken prediction market operators to court, and the disputes have drawn attention from the CFTC and the White House. The legal contention centers on regulatory classification—whether event contracts tied to sports are gambling products governed by state gaming laws or swaps governed by federal commodities regulation.

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Multiple state authorities have argued that sports-oriented prediction products require state-level licenses and oversight. Prediction market operators have argued the contracts are swaps and therefore subject to the federal regime administered by the CFTC.

This position is reflected in the CFTC’s broader enforcement strategy. The CFTC has sued multiple states after they acted against prediction markets, asserting they were stepping into federal authority. The CFTC has also pursued jurisdictional disputes involving operators in response to state interventions.

For financial institutions and technology providers monitoring cross-border regulatory risk, these cases matter because they can influence how products are offered in individual states. Even when operators claim they are under federal regulation, state-level litigation can still translate into operational constraints, partner restrictions, and heightened compliance reviews—particularly around marketing, access controls, user disclosures, and consumer-protection measures such as responsible gaming tooling.

The uncertainty is amplified by the fact that courts have reached differing conclusions on core classification questions. For example, a Michigan federal judge ruled against Polymarket in a lawsuit brought by the operator against Michigan, finding that Polymarket’s sports event contracts were not swaps under the CFTC’s authority. Other courts have sided with prediction market operators in different matters, reinforcing that jurisdiction and classification issues may continue to produce inconsistent outcomes across circuits.

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Precedent, ongoing appeals, and prior state actions

Kentucky’s filing follows a sequence of actions by multiple states, including cease-and-desist letters. Operators have responded by suing states—contesting, among other things, whether state actions conflict with federal commodities jurisdiction.

Several of the disputes have advanced through appeals courts. In April, the Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that New Jersey regulators could not prevent Kalshi from offering sports event contracts in the state. Meanwhile, the Michigan federal court decision against Polymarket demonstrates that not all litigation tracks in the same direction, and classification analysis can vary depending on the specific contractual structure and the court’s view of federal authority.

Separately, Kalshi and Polymarket have already been involved in litigation with Kentucky over taxes. Kentucky is seeking to collect a 14.25% tax on prediction market transaction fees, and the platforms have argued the state’s tax approach is discriminatory and exceeds federal authority.

The procedural posture of the cases also means the legal question is not confined to enforcement alone. Appeals decisions can reshape how states and federal regulators interact, affecting both licensing expectations at the state level and compliance assumptions at the federal level.

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In parallel, political statements have added to the broader policy debate over federal regulatory primacy. In May, President Donald Trump said it was “critically important” that the CFTC’s exclusive authority over prediction markets be maintained, according to reporting by Cointelegraph.

What regulators and firms should watch next

Kentucky’s lawsuits are likely to intensify the recurring legal questions about classification, licensing, and consumer-protection obligations—especially for partners implicated in distribution or access. The key developments to monitor are (1) how Kentucky courts handle the jurisdictional challenge, (2) whether the cases are consolidated into broader appeals or addressed by higher courts, and (3) whether enforcement strategies shift toward requiring state-specific responsible gaming and consumer safeguards.

Until appellate courts provide more uniform guidance, prediction market operators and their institutional partners should anticipate continued state-level litigation risk, even where they rely on federal commodity regulation frameworks.

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Kentucky Sues Kalshi and Polymarket, Escalating Prediction Market Legal Fight

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Kentucky has filed lawsuits against prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, escalating a dispute that pits state gambling regulators against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) over how sports-linked event contracts should be classified and regulated.

In court filings announced by Kentucky Attorney General Russell Coleman on Wednesday, the state also named Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull. Kentucky accuses the platforms of operating unlicensed and illegal sports betting and gambling services, arguing their products fall under state “sports wagering” law rather than federal commodities rules.

Key takeaways

  • Kentucky alleges Polymarket and Kalshi are offering sports event contracts that constitute “sports wagering” under Kentucky law.
  • The lawsuits also target Kalshi partners Coinbase, Robinhood and Webull, alleging they are involved in providing access to the platforms without proper licensing.
  • State enforcement actions have drawn repeated challenges and CFTC involvement, with conflicting outcomes in different courts.
  • Prediction market operators argue their contracts are swaps regulated by the CFTC, not state gambling laws.

A state-led push to treat prediction markets as sports betting

Kentucky’s attorney general framed the case as part of a broader pattern among states trying to control sports-related gambling. Coleman said his office filed suits in state court against Polymarket and Kalshi, accusing both of “operating unlicensed and illegal sports betting and gambling platforms.”

Kentucky’s complaint also asserts that the platforms are operating without a Kentucky gaming license and without complying with state regulations. The state further claims that contracts tied to sports outcomes “fall squarely within the definition of ‘sports wagering’ under Kentucky law.”

Beyond licensing and classification, Kentucky also alleges the platforms do not provide adequate resources for problem gambling support, a requirement the state says is mandated by law.

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The federal-regulator argument: event contracts as swaps

Polymarket rejected Kentucky’s position. A Polymarket spokesperson told Cointelegraph that the state’s action “runs counter to the CFTC’s established framework for regulating prediction markets,” adding that the company expects to address the allegations through the legal process.

Kalshi, meanwhile, insisted its setup is already within federal oversight. Kalshi spokesperson Jacki McGavick told Cointelegraph that “Kalshi is a federally regulated exchange — the CFTC is our regulator, not the states,” arguing that courts have recognized this and that the same outcome should apply in Kentucky.

The CFTC did not immediately respond to a request for comment, according to the report.

At the heart of the dispute is a jurisdictional split. Multiple state authorities have argued that event contracts connected to sports are functionally sports betting and therefore require state licenses. Prediction markets counter that these event contracts should be treated as swaps regulated under federal commodities law—an argument that is backed by the CFTC.

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Why these lawsuits could reshape access to major markets

Kentucky’s move arrives as state actions against prediction platforms have grown into a multi-jurisdiction conflict. According to Token Terminal, Polymarket and Kalshi recorded $25 billion in monthly trading volume in May combined. For platforms seeking to scale, losing access to large state markets can quickly become more than a legal inconvenience—it can affect liquidity, product distribution, and the user base.

The legal and regulatory stakes are also reflected by the breadth of involvement from federal and state actors. As reported, at least 17 other states have brought prediction market operators into court, and the CFTC has pursued its own legal action—suing eight states after state authorities took steps against prediction markets and, in the CFTC’s view, stepped beyond federal authority.

Mixed court outcomes increase uncertainty for the next fights

While prediction markets have not uniformly prevailed, some rulings have favored their argument about federal jurisdiction. In Wednesday’s coverage, a Michigan federal judge ruled against Polymarket in its lawsuit against the state, finding that Polymarket’s sports event contracts are not swaps under the CFTC’s authority.

Other cases have gone the opposite direction. The report notes that the Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in April that New Jersey regulators could not prevent Kalshi from offering sports event contracts in the state—supporting, at least in that circuit and context, the view that states cannot simply override federal regulatory authority.

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The Kentucky filing also follows an earlier round of litigation involving the same market ecosystem. As reported by Cointelegraph, Kalshi and Polymarket are already in legal action with Kentucky over the state’s tax on prediction market transaction fees. The platforms sued after Kentucky imposed a first-in-the-country 14.25% tax on prediction market transaction fees, arguing it is discriminatory and conflicts with federal law.

Outside Kentucky, cease-and-desist letters and subsequent lawsuits have involved multiple states, including Montana, Nevada, Utah, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio, Tennessee, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Maryland—while other states such as Washington, Arizona, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Michigan, Massachusetts and Kentucky have also chosen to sue prediction platforms, including Kalshi.

What to watch next

With Kentucky now adding to a growing enforcement track record—and with courts issuing contrasting decisions on whether sports event contracts qualify as swaps—readers should watch how Kentucky’s claims are argued and whether the case outcome aligns with favorable appellate rulings or the more skeptical reasoning seen in Michigan. The legal answers will likely determine not just Kentucky’s approach, but how much room states have to regulate (or restrict) prediction markets nationwide.

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Gaming Industry Urges Congress to Exclude Prediction Markets in CLARITY Act

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Several U.S. gaming industry groups and labor organizations have asked Senate lawmakers to add explicit language to the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act that would prohibit “event contracts” tied to sports and casino-style gaming from being offered through prediction market platforms.

In a letter reported by Semafor on Wednesday, organizations including the Indian Gaming Association and the American Gaming Association said they are concerned that prediction markets have contributed to a major expansion of gambling activity in the United States without voter approval or legislative authorization. They urged Congress, while the CLARITY Act is still under consideration, to clarify that sports betting falls outside the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) regulatory remit and cannot be structured as digital “prediction market” products.

Key takeaways

  • Gaming and labor groups are pushing for CLARITY Act amendments to explicitly bar sports and casino-style “event contracts” on prediction market platforms.
  • The groups argue that these activities should remain governed by state and tribal gambling frameworks rather than CFTC oversight.
  • Regulatory conflict centers on the CFTC’s position that it has “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets.
  • Litigation involving the CFTC and state regulators could escalate toward higher-court review depending on how agencies and platforms litigate jurisdictional issues.
  • Congress has already passed the House version of CLARITY, but Senate consideration has been delayed amid concerns including stablecoin yield and tokenized markets.

Requested CLARITY Act language and the jurisdiction dispute

The advocacy campaign reflects a broader policy dispute over which regulator should oversee prediction markets when products are connected to sports and gambling-adjacent events. According to the Semafor report, the signatories to the letter told Congress to use the CLARITY Act to “affirm” that sports betting is not within the CFTC’s remit and cannot be offered through prediction market platforms.

The letter also characterized prediction markets as a mechanism that has accelerated gambling expansion over the preceding 18 months. While the letter did not attempt to resolve all differences among the organizations on gambling policy, it emphasized a shared view that the existing state and tribal regulatory system should remain the primary framework for sports wagering-related products.

As a practical compliance issue, the groups argue that federal enforcement authority would be poorly calibrated to the granular, geographically scoped licensing and operational rules that states and tribes already apply. Their position is that CFTC supervision—particularly where products are marketed as event-linked bets—could create duplicative or misaligned oversight rather than resolving how platforms should be authorized to operate.

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CFTC stance and industry pressure on regulators

The groups’ request arrives as CFTC leadership under Chair Michael Selig has argued that the commission has “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets. Selig has previously taken an aggressive posture in support of platforms associated with event contracts, including by backing legal challenges to state-level efforts to block such products.

Supporters of the CFTC’s approach, as reflected in the agency’s broader litigation posture, have generally framed prediction market event contracts as falling within federal commodities/derivatives authority—rather than traditional gambling law. In response, the letter states that the CFTC was created to oversee commodities and derivatives markets, not gambling or sports wagering, and argues that the agency lacks the institutional capacity to police nationwide sports betting given the existence of established state and tribal regulatory systems.

Beyond jurisdictional theory, the dispute has had measurable political and fiscal traction. The American Gaming Association reported that state gaming authorities had lost about $1.08 billion in tax dollars “since prediction markets began offering sports event contracts.” For institutional stakeholders, such claims often shape legislative negotiations by translating regulatory boundaries into concrete budget impacts and industry incentives for lawmakers to limit federal intervention.

Why the CLARITY Act is central to enforcement outcomes

The CLARITY Act is designed to shift elements of regulatory and enforcement authority over certain digital asset activities away from the SEC and toward the CFTC. Lawmakers and analysts have described the measure as an attempt to reduce uncertainty about which federal agency governs which digital asset instruments, particularly in areas where the SEC’s approach to market structure and token classification has been contested.

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Some lawmakers expected the Senate to move the bill out of Congress by August. However, the legislation passed the House in July 2025 and has faced delays linked to concerns including stablecoin yield, ethics considerations, and the treatment of tokenized equities. These issues matter for compliance and governance because they affect how regulated market actors can structure products, market disclosures, and custody or custody-adjacent arrangements—especially where stablecoins and tokenized instruments intersect.

Within that broader policy framework, the proposed addition sought by the letter would specifically target prediction markets that resemble sports betting or casino-style gaming. If adopted, that change could constrain how platforms label or structure their offerings, and it could also influence whether regulators treat certain products as commodity-like derivatives or as wagers subject to gambling licensing.

Potential path to the U.S. Supreme Court

Jurisdictional battles between federal agencies and state regulators frequently create pathways to appellate review, and the question of whether prediction market “event contracts” can be treated as swaps under federal commodities law has been a recurring theme in litigation.

Some legal experts and advocates anticipate that if the CFTC continues to threaten state enforcement actions through court challenges, the conflict could ultimately reach the U.S. Supreme Court. The letter’s signatories and related commentary point to the potential for a federal–state regulatory split to become the subject of final, nationwide constitutional and statutory interpretation.

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One historical anchor is the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2018 decision in Murphy v. National Collegiate Athletic Association, which recognized that individual states have authority to regulate sports gambling. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as the CFTC’s position in related matters, have largely treated prediction market event contracts as “swaps” that should fall under CFTC jurisdiction rather than state gambling regulation.

For compliance teams and regulated market participants, the uncertainty is significant: the outcome of jurisdictional litigation affects licensing requirements, marketing and distribution strategies, and risk management around enforcement. It also affects cross-border behavior for firms operating in multiple states, because a change in the legal characterization of event contracts can alter the compliance burden from one set of licensing rules to another.

Closing perspective

As the CLARITY Act moves through the Senate, the key unresolved issue will be whether Congress will explicitly carve out sports-and-casino-style event contracts from CFTC oversight—potentially reshaping the regulatory perimeter for prediction market platforms. Stakeholders should monitor how lawmakers negotiate amendments, and whether ongoing federal-state litigation prompts further appellate and, potentially, Supreme Court review.

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Strategy Claims 32 Years of Dividend Payments as STRC Sinks Below $90

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“We have 32 years of dividend coverage through our BTC Reserve,” said Strategy on X on Thursday. In principle, the math works out, as the firm’s Bitcoin treasury is currently worth just below $55 billion, and its dividend obligations are $1.7 billion.

In November, Strategy claimed to have 71 years of dividend coverage “assuming the price stays flat,” which it didn’t. Strategy pays dividends on its Stretch product (STRC), which offers an 11.5% yield and is designed to trade at $100.

However, STRC prices have tumbled more than 10% recently, meaning that the effective yield increases and the company will need cash to pay the higher dividends.

STRC Slumps Below $90

STRC tanked a further 3%, coming close to its record low, hitting $89 on Wednesday, according to Google Finance. The current effective yield for STRC is 12.9%, according to BitcoinQuant.

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Replies raised concerns over Strategy having to sell more BTC to meet payments, heavy dilution of its common stock, MSTR, and risks that forced selling could accelerate reserve depletion if prices decline.

MSTR prices also took a hit on Wednesday, falling a further 5% on the day to $116. The stock is currently down 73% from its July 2025 all-time high.

Gold-bug and Bitcoin detractor Peter Schiff has been extremely vocal against Saylor and Strategy recently. He commented on Strategy’s 32 years of dividend payments claim, stating:

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“That assumes you don’t raise the dividend on the preferreds, you don’t issue any more preferred shares, and the price of Bitcoin doesn’t fall. In fact, if you start selling Bitcoin to cover your obligations, the price will fall even faster, depleting your reserves much quicker.”

Others agreed with the sentiment, with ‘Kaleo’ adding, “the responsible thing you should do is cut your losses sooner rather than later and sell the Bitcoin now.”

“The lower the price that you’re forced to sell, the more BTC you’ll be forced to sell to raise the same amount of cash.”

“Do the math again without thinking your sales will never drag BTC price down,” said CryptoQuant analyst ‘Darkfost’.

Will Strategy Sell More BTC?

Strategy sold 32 BTC in late May, adding to broader market uncertainty and a major Bitcoin selloff. However, it acquired 1,587 Bitcoin for around $100 million last week and purchased 1,550 BTC for a similar amount in early June.

Selling Bitcoin to cover dividend obligations appears to be the only option, but this will create a negative feedback loop or “death spiral,” as the price of BTC will also fall further.

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Nevertheless, Joe Burnett, vice president of Strive, said that if Strategy lets the market test lows, then pushes it back to the target range with more buying, it may build confidence.

“It would train the market that temporary breaks below the target range can be buying opportunities, especially if dividends continue getting paid and the price returns to the range quickly.”

The post Strategy Claims 32 Years of Dividend Payments as STRC Sinks Below $90 appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Bitcoin and ether ETFs lost $111 million combined as rate-cut hopes died

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ProShares introduces first CoinDesk 20 Crypto ETF under ticker KRYP

US spot bitcoin and ether ETFs both turned to outflows on Wednesday in a sign the recovery rally has lost its institutional bid.

Bitcoin funds lost $82 million and ether funds $29 million, SoSoValue data shows. The bitcoin outflow was broad this time, with even BlackRock’s IBIT shedding $31 million and ARKB down $44 million, while every ether fund finished in the red.

The trigger was the Federal Reserve. Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as chair held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% on Wednesday, as expected, but the projections turned hawkish.

The median forecast now sees the policy rate ending 2026 at 3.8%, up from 3.4% in March, and nine of 18 officials penciled in a hike this year. Markets put the odds of an increase as soon as October near 60%. The rate cuts that helped power the bounce are gone.

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The price tape stalled with the flows. Total crypto market value has held flat near $2.26 trillion since Tuesday’s close, and bitcoin has eased to about $63,800, mid-range of the climb it built over the past 11 days, per CoinDesk data.

The macro backdrop has flipped. The peace deal that drove the recovery eased inflation fears, but a Fed now leaning toward hikes has replaced the cut bets crypto was counting on.

The next tests are October hike odds and whether the ETF bid returns.

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Block’s Builderbot AI Handles 15% of Production Code

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Block’s Builderbot AI Handles 15% of Production Code

Jack Dorsey’s financial services firm Block rolled out a new suite of AI-native tools on Wednesday, which it says can execute around 15% of all production code changes across the company. 

The new AI tooling, Builderbot, is able to execute over 200,000 operations per day and merges approximately 1,500 pull requests per week, said the company. 

“The best way to think about Builderbot is as the missing layer between AI coding tools and how engineering actually works at scale,” said Brad Axen, head of AI capabilities at Block. “What used to take months now takes days,” the company added. 

The figures show that autonomous AI agents are now able to execute a measurable share of the actual work that ships to production. It is a scaling signal as basic AI coding assistants have evolved into AI software engineers capable of much more than churning out code. 

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The AI tool also sheds new light on Block’s decision to lay off 40% of its staff in February, which Dorsey attributed to the rapid acceleration of AI at the company.

Builderbot understands Block’s full codebase

Builderbot is an orchestration layer that coordinates multiple AI agents across the company’s entire codebase. 

Unlike typical coding assistants limited to a single repo, Builderbot understands Block’s full codebase, every service, API and convention, allowing any engineer to make changes anywhere in the company’s systems.

“An engineer working on Cash App can use it to make a change in a Square service they’ve never touched, because the system already knows how that service works,” the company said.

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This means that production can also be significantly scaled up with the AI handling the repetitive work, and engineers making the decisions that shape the product. 

“It means an idea can go from backlog to live in front of millions of customers in days instead of months,” added Axen. 

Related: AI agents with crypto could escape and become ‘unstoppable,’ experts warn

Block said it is sharing details of Builderbot because it believes the shift from AI-assisted coding to AI-native engineering is “one of the most important conversations happening in technology right now.”

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“The problems we’re solving aren’t unique to Block: orchestrating AI agents across a massive codebase, maintaining quality at speed, keeping humans focused on judgment and taste rather than scaffolding.”

AI agents are doing more coding 

Block isn’t the only firm to use AI agents for its software development. Engineers at Spotify have been using a background coding agent called Honk, which runs a version of Claude via Anthropic’s Agent SDK.

Co-CEO Gustav Söderström said in a February earnings call that Spotify’s best developers “have not written a single line of code since December.” 

Google CEO Sundar Pichai said in April that three-quarters of the company’s new code is AI-generated.

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Meanwhile, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella revealed in 2025 that the company now uses AI to write between 20% and 30% of the code powering its software.

Magazine: The end of anon? AI could unmask crypto’s hidden identities

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France sets 2027 quantum encryption test as crypto watches

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France sets 2027 quantum encryption test as crypto watches

France’s cybersecurity agency ANSSI plans to stop certifying security products that do not support quantum-resistant encryption from 2027. 

Summary

  • France’s 2027 deadline turns quantum-safe encryption from guidance into a certification requirement for key vendors.
  • Crypto networks face fresh pressure because quantum computers could threaten exposed keys and validator signatures.
  • Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Algorand and Aptos are already part of wider post-quantum security planning.

The rule would affect products used by French government bodies and critical infrastructure operators, where ANSSI approval often decides whether a product can be deployed in sensitive systems.

ANSSI Chief of Staff Samih Souissi said businesses should buy only quantum-safe products by 2030. He said, “It’s not only a technical issue. It’s a matter of governance, industrial planning, regulation, and sovereignty.” The statement turns a long-running warning into a clear procurement test for vendors seeking public-sector access.

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2027 becomes a global deadline

France’s move places it close to the U.S. National Security Agency’s CNSA 2.0 timeline. Under that program, new U.S. national security system acquisitions must support approved quantum-resistant algorithms from Jan. 1, 2027. Systems that cannot support the new suite must be phased out by the end of 2030.

The shared date matters for vendors that sell into defense, government, banking and critical infrastructure markets. A product that lacks post-quantum cryptography may soon lose access to major public contracts. The shift gives suppliers less room to treat quantum readiness as a future upgrade or marketing label. It also creates a clear date for budgets, audits and product roadmaps.

Crypto enters the same security debate

The crypto industry relies on cryptography to protect wallets, validators and blockchain transactions. Current blockchains do not face an active quantum attack, but researchers and companies warn that upgrade work can take years. That makes planning part of the security process, not a last-minute patch after stronger quantum machines arrive.

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Bitcoin remains a central concern because some older or reused addresses expose public keys. Coinbase’s advisory board has urged Bitcoin developers to begin building a migration path toward post-quantum cryptography. The debate is difficult because any forced migration could affect inactive wallets and coins believed to be lost. A slow migration could also leave users unsure which wallets remain safe.

Blockchain upgrades face schedule pressure

Some networks have already mapped out early steps. Coinbase has said Algorand and Aptos are better placed for a post-quantum transition than many rivals. It also warned that proof-of-stake chains such as Ethereum and Solana may need extra work because validator signatures help secure the networks and keep consensus running.

Ethereum and Solana have both discussed paths toward quantum-resistant signatures. Algorand has tested quantum-resistant tools, while Aptos has an account design that could make upgrades easier. These steps do not remove the threat, but they show that major networks are treating post-quantum security as part of long-term planning.

France’s decision adds regulatory pressure to a technical race. Vendors must now show how products can survive future quantum threats, while crypto teams must explain how wallets, validators and users can migrate safely. The 2027 and 2030 dates give the market a schedule, even if blockchain upgrades follow different governance processes.

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Tether shuts down Alloy as XAUT becomes bigger gold bet

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Tether shuts down Alloy as XAUT becomes bigger gold bet

Tether is winding down Alloy by Tether and its gold-backed derivative stablecoin aUSDT after reviewing user activity, market demand and wider business priorities. 

Summary

  • Tether is ending Alloy and aUSDT while steering users toward XAUT and core stablecoin products.
  • Users can return aUSDT for XAUT until Sept. 17 before recovery through Alloy fully ends.
  • The move follows Tether’s wider shift toward liquid products, tokenization, AI, robotics and infrastructure bets.

The company said it will stop support for the product in phases, starting with an immediate block on new positions and new aUSDT minting.

The move ends a product launched in June 2024. Alloy allowed users to deposit Tether Gold, or XAUT, as collateral and mint aUSDT through Ethereum smart contracts. The structure gave users dollar-like liquidity without selling their gold exposure. It also gave Tether a live test of how users treat gold-backed collateral in on-chain markets.

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Users face September deadline

Tether said existing users can still return aUSDT and remove their XAUT for three months. The cut-off date is Sept. 17, 2026. After that date, users who have not returned aUSDT will no longer be able to recover XAUT through the Alloy platform.

The company said Alloy gave it data on demand for gold-backed digital assets, collateral products and tokenized real-world assets. It said it will now focus on products with “stronger user demand, deeper liquidity, and broader long-term market opportunity.” Alloy’s market cap stood near $1.2 million, backed by 14.73 kilograms of gold worth about $2.2 million, according to Tether.

XAUT stays at center of gold strategy

The decision does not mark a pullback from tokenized gold. Tether is keeping XAUT as a core product. XAUT gives users exposure to physical gold through a blockchain-based token, while aUSDT was a separate product built on top of XAUT collateral.

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As previously reported by crypto.news, Tether listed XAUT on Maxbit in Thailand as demand for gold-backed digital assets grew. That report also noted that aUSDT was designed to track one U.S. dollar while relying on gold reserves rather than a standard fiat reserve model. Tether has since kept XAUT closer to its main gold plan than Alloy. 

By comparison, XAUT remains much larger, with about $3 billion in market value and more than 22,000 kilograms of physical gold backing, according to company figures. That gap helps explain why Tether is keeping the gold token while ending the smaller derivative product.

Tether trims smaller products

Alloy is not the only product Tether has cut. In February, Tether said it would stop supporting CNHT, its Chinese yuan stablecoin, due to low interest and limited community demand. The company had also stopped support for EURT, its euro stablecoin, after citing market and regulatory conditions in Europe.

These moves show a tighter product strategy. Tether is keeping focus on USDT, XAUT and infrastructure that can support larger market demand. The company has also built Hadron, its tokenization platform, and has looked at new currency products, including a planned Georgian lari stablecoin.

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Tether’s product review comes as the company expands outside stablecoins. It has put money into Bitcoin mining, artificial intelligence, cloud tools and robotics. As previously reported by crypto.news, Tether joined Neura Robotics’ $1.4 billion funding round alongside firms such as Nvidia, Amazon and Qualcomm.

The company has also been active in tokenization partnerships. As previously reported, Tether signed an MoU with DMCC to explore blockchain adoption, digital payments and tokenized asset projects in Dubai. The aUSDT wind-down fits that wider shift toward products with more liquidity, clearer use cases and larger markets.

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Michael Saylor Calls Bitcoin the Base Layer for a New Digital Capital Stack

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Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor says the company’s core purpose is creating financial products backed by Bitcoin (BTC), a business model he compared to a reserve bank.

According to him, Bitcoin’s next stage of development should be about building a layered capital market around it.

From Digital Gold to Digital Architecture

In a June 16 article published on X, Saylor crowned BTC as the foundation of a digital asset stack that includes digital credit, digital money, digital yield products, and digital equity.

According to him, Bitcoin’s heavy price volatility is exactly what makes it suitable as a base asset for financial products that satisfy different investor needs. He propounded that corporations, banks, insurers, retirees, and payment companies may soon drift towards other forms of exposure and away from directly holding Bitcoin.

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“The answer is not to change Bitcoin, it is to build products above Bitcoin that match the needs of each pool of capital,” the American entrepreneur’s article read.

He also explained that digital money should be pegged to fiat since the world’s obligations are still priced in fiat. In his opinion, most people don’t want a checking account that moves 5% in a day, and stablecoins have proved there’s genuine product-market fit for digital dollars.

That broader view was echoed by analyst Maksym Sakharov, who recently argued that Bitcoin’s long-term use case extends beyond the “digital gold” narrative. According to him, settlement activity, collateral usage, and financial infrastructure built around Bitcoin may become more important adoption metrics than short-term price performance.

For Saylor, that evolution is already underway.

“Bitcoin remains Bitcoin,” he wrote. “The world builds on top.”

Speaking in an interview with Coin Stories host Natalie Brunell during the annual BTC Prague conference, Saylor clarified how the largest publicly traded BTC treasury company uses its holdings to support credit instruments for investor income.

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“Yeah, well, our company is like a Bitcoin reserve bank. The idea of the company is you have a tower of equity of $50 billion or more of equity capital, you own Bitcoin with that equity capital, and then you issue credit against it,” he told Brunell.

Saylor Pushes Back Against Critics

The Strategy executive chairman also pushed back against critics, who’ve been laying into him for selling 32 BTC at the tail end of May and claiming that the company was part of why the market had been trading in the red.

“I got very, very famous for saying, you don’t sell your Bitcoin to the plebs. And on X, the Twitter trolls thought it’s pretty easy to say, ‘the most famous guy in the world for saying, don’t sell your Bitcoin, just sold some Bitcoin,’” the businessman said.

In the same interview, the permabull reaffirmed his belief that Bitcoin could see a 500x jump from its current levels, although it would need global credit markets to pull institutional capital into the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The post Michael Saylor Calls Bitcoin the Base Layer for a New Digital Capital Stack appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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