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Short-Term Bitcoin Holders in Pain as Bear Market Deepens

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QT Fears Behind Crypto Sell-Off Are Overblown


Losses are mounting up for short-term holders of Bitcoin as the asset dumps below $70,000 again.

“Short-term holders keep suffering as this correction drags on,” said CryptoQuant analyst ‘Darkfost’ on Wednesday.

The short-term holder cost basis is around $94,200, and with BTC back at around $67,000, the price gap has now reached 28%, they said.

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“So we can roughly estimate an average unrealized loss of about 28% for STHs, if we simplify things.”

Not a Correction, But Bear Market

The analyst noted that Bitcoin’s price has been trading below the STH cost basis for four months, “marking their longest period of stress so far.”

They added that it was unusual for this cycle and “suggests that the current correction is increasingly resembling a bear market.” During the two previous bear markets, this situation lasted for a little over a year, the analyst cautioned.

A “lack of fresh capital” is reinforcing bear conditions, confirmed CryptoQuant on Wednesday, with analysts stating that new investor inflows have flipped negative.

“The sell-off is not being absorbed by fresh capital. In bull markets, drawdowns attract accelerating capital. In early bear markets, weakness triggers withdrawal.”

Analyst ‘Daan Trades Crypto’ said that after holding the .382 Fibonacci retracement temporarily, the price eventually fell through and broke the pattern it had held this cycle.

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“The .618 Fibonacci retracement level has historically always been another important one to watch during larger drawdowns,” he added. This level is currently around $57,800 and could be the next support zone.

Bitfinex analysts were a little more positive, observing that Bitcoin long-term holder supply has turned up after months of distribution, and is now back near 14.3 million BTC.

“If this buildup continues, it supports the view that this is a mid-cycle reset, not a final top,” they said.

Bitcoin Falls to $66,000

Short term holder loses are even worse with Bitcoin’s collapse back to just under $66,000 in late trading on Wednesday. The asset was trading at $67,200 on Thursday morning in Asia, but the path of least resistance remains down.

Ether failed to hold above the psychological $2,000 level and crashed back to $1,950 on Wednesday, failing to reclaim it at the time of writing. ETH is now trading at March 2025 lows, but it has yet to dip as low as the April 2025 crash.

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Crypto World

Gen Z Open to Crypto for Valentine’s Day Dates: Survey

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Gen Z Open to Crypto for Valentine’s Day Dates: Survey

Gen Z Americans may be open to paying for dates with cryptocurrency, but most still aren’t putting digital coins where their hearts are, according to a January Pollfish survey commissioned by crypto exchange OKX. 

The poll of 1,000 US adults found that 13% of Gen Z respondents said they have paid for a date using crypto, while many who haven’t said the main issue is practical: they don’t have a direct way to pay with crypto. 

Interest extended beyond payments. 31% of Gen Z respondents said receiving crypto as a Valentine’s Day gift would be appealing, and 76% said financial literacy is an attractive trait in a partner, a reminder that for some daters, “knowing your numbers” can be more charming than knowing your zodiac sign.

Still, ownership appears to be a limiting factor. OKX told Cointelegraph that 29.5% of respondents said they currently own or previously owned crypto assets, suggesting that curiosity about crypto doesn’t automatically translate into daily use.

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Gen Z flirts with crypto, but ease of use a problem

The gap between “open to it” and “actually did it” points to a familiar hurdle for crypto: in many everyday settings, it’s still easier to tap a card than to pay directly with a wallet.

Results of OKX’s Valentine’s Survey. Source: OKX

The survey also found that two-thirds of respondents said financial literacy plays well in the dating marketplace, with Gen Z (76%) and Millennials (75%) showing the strongest support.

Familiarity with digital finance tools also carried weight. Between 52% and 55% of respondents said knowledge of digital assets, such as cryptocurrencies and digital wallets, can make someone more attractive as a potential partner. 

But only 17% of respondents overall said holding digital assets makes someone more attractive, including 30% of millennials and 28% of Gen Z. The findings indicate that for younger cohorts, digital asset awareness is increasingly viewed as part of broader financial competence. 

Related: Valentine’s nightmare? Romance scams remain a $1B honeypot for criminals

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Romance scams kill the mood

Crypto has also shown up in dating headlines for less romantic reasons. In 2024, the US Federal Trade Commission issued a consumer alert over rising crypto-related romance scams. Canadian authorities issued similar warnings, as crypto scammers flooded dating apps.

The rise of artificial intelligence also heightened the risks of romance scams in crypto. In 2025, scammers have increasingly used chatbots and deepfakes to manipulate victims emotionally and financially. 

Perception has also been mixed. While the OKX survey showed that some are attracted to crypto, a survey by the Date Psychology blog in 2024 found that women ranked crypto among the least attractive male hobbies.