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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak

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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 2

Bitcoin prices traded cautiously after US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a three-day inflow streak, adding pressure to an already fragile market structure.

Summary

  • Bitcoin traded cautiously near $67,000 after US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs ended a three-day inflow streak, flipping back to net outflows.
  • ETF flow data points to waning institutional demand, reinforcing fragile market structure amid ongoing price consolidation.
  • Technically, BTC remains well below its 50-day moving average, with RSI in the low-30s, keeping near-term momentum tilted to the downside.

Bitcoin price struggles as ETF momentum stalls

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $67,000 at press time, struggling to attract strong upside follow-through after recent attempts to stabilize.

ETF flow data shows Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded steady inflows over the previous three sessions, signaling a brief return of institutional demand as BTC attempted to stabilize near $67,000.

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However, that trend reversed in the latest session, with net outflows replacing inflows, suggesting renewed caution among investors amid ongoing price consolidation.

Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 2
Bitcoin ETF flows | Source: SoSoValue

The halt in ETF inflows comes as broader risk sentiment remains mixed, with traders closely watching whether institutional demand can reassert itself after weeks of volatility.

Bitcoin price action weak below key moving average

The daily chart shows Bitcoin remains well below its 50-day simple moving average, which is currently hovering near $85,000. This large gap highlights the depth of the recent correction and signals that the broader trend remains under bearish control.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding below the neutral 50 level. It sits in the low-30s, suggesting bearish momentum is still dominant, even as selling pressure has eased compared with January’s sharp breakdown.

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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 3
Bitcoin price performance | Source: Crypto.News

On the downside, immediate support sits near $66,500–$66,000, a level that has repeatedly attracted buyers in recent sessions. A decisive break below this zone could expose Bitcoin to deeper losses toward $64,000, followed by a broader psychological support area near $60,000.

On the upside, initial resistance is located around $70,000, where prior rebound attempts have stalled. Beyond that, stronger resistance emerges near $74,000–$75,000, a former support zone that now acts as a selling area.

A sustained move above these levels would be required to signal a shift in near-term momentum.

Overall, Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase following a sharp correction, with ETF flow data and broader market sentiment likely to determine whether BTC breaks higher or resumes its downward trend in the days ahead.

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SEC’s Atkins Grilled on Crypto Enforcement Pullback as Justin Sun Case Draws Congressional Scrutiny

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21Shares Introduces JitoSOL ETP to Offer Staking Rewards via Solana

TLDR:

  • SEC paused Justin Sun’s wash trading case in 2023 while exploring resolution, raising conflict concerns over Trump ties 
  • Atkins offered lawmakers confidential briefing on Sun case but cited regulatory restrictions on public discussions 
  • SEC dropped major enforcement actions against Binance, Ripple, Coinbase, rejecting previous regulation-by-enforcement approach 
  • Atkins confirmed SEC and CFTC are developing joint crypto rules aligned with House-passed Clarity Act framework

 

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins faced intense scrutiny from House lawmakers regarding the agency’s shift in cryptocurrency enforcement policies.

During Wednesday’s oversight hearing before the House Financial Services Committee, Democrats questioned the regulatory pullback on major crypto cases, particularly involving Tron founder Justin Sun.

Atkins defended the agency’s new direction while promising clearer regulations for the digital asset industry through collaboration with the CFTC.

Sun Case Raises Questions About Enforcement Priorities

Representative Maxine Waters, the committee’s ranking Democrat, pressed Atkins on the agency’s handling of the Justin Sun investigation.

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The SEC had accused Sun in 2023 of orchestrating wash trading schemes involving over 600,000 fraudulent transactions to inflate TRX token volumes. However, the agency paused the case last year while exploring potential resolution options.

Waters highlighted Sun’s connections to President Trump’s family through World Liberty Financial Inc. “Well, while you were exploring a potential resolution, Mr. Sun has been busy ingratiating himself within Trump’s orbit,” Waters said to Atkins during the hearing.

She questioned whether these ties influenced the SEC’s decision to halt enforcement actions. The California lawmaker also referenced recent allegations from Sun’s former girlfriend suggesting evidence of TRX manipulation.

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Atkins responded that regulatory restrictions prevented him from discussing specific cases publicly. He offered lawmakers a confidential briefing on the matter, stating he was willing to have further conversations “to the extent the rules allow me to do that.”

Waters pressed further, asking whether the SEC’s focus on real fraud extended to crypto markets. “Whatever involves securities,” Atkins responded.

The agency dropped several high-profile enforcement actions last year against major crypto firms including Binance, Ripple, Coinbase, Kraken, and Robinhood.

SEC leadership criticized the previous administration’s regulation-by-enforcement approach. When asked about protecting investors versus Trump business interests, Atkins stated, “As far as what the Trump family does or not, I can’t speak to that.”

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Regulatory Clarity Takes Center Stage

Republican committee members shifted focus toward Atkins’ plans for establishing comprehensive crypto regulations.

The chairman outlined ongoing coordination with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to develop clear operational guidelines for digital asset companies.

These efforts align with the Clarity Act passed by the House, though the legislation’s Senate fate remains uncertain.

Atkins explained that both agencies are working on rules “consistent with what’s in the Clarity Act that you all passed here in the House, and hopefully what will come out of the joint work that you’re doing with the Senate.”

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He added that this effort would help provide certainty regarding jurisdictional boundaries between the two agencies. The framework would establish which types of digital assets fall under SEC or CFTC oversight.

The CFTC recently updated its guidance on stablecoins, allowing national trust banks to issue payment stablecoins and expanding eligible tokenized collateral.

Meanwhile, the National Credit Union Administration proposed rules for credit unions seeking stablecoin issuer status.

These moves implement provisions from last year’s GENIUS Act, marking the crypto sector’s first major legislative achievement.

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A policy race now develops between Atkins’ SEC and Senate lawmakers working on comprehensive crypto legislation.

Recent Senate delays may allow the SEC to lead in establishing digital asset regulations. The industry watches closely as regulatory frameworks take shape across multiple federal agencies.

 

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Hundreds of developers competed in the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 hackathon

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Hundreds of developers competed in the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 hackathon

As the curtain falls on Consensus Hong Kong 2026, the focus has shifted from the corporate boardrooms to the show floor. While institutional talk dominated the main stages, nearly 1,000 developers spent the week in the trenches of the EasyA x Consensus Hackathon, signaling a definitive pivot in the industry: the “Year of the Application Layer.”

The competition, which has become a staple of Consensus by CoinDesk’s flagship events, saw over 30 projects pitch on demo day. The quality of builds, aided significantly by generative AI, clearly demonstrated that the barrier between a “proof of concept” and a “market-ready product” has effectively been removed.

A rising bar: From infrastructure to intent

The evolution of the developer talent at Consensus has grown gradually. In previous years, hackathon submissions were often deeply technical, building faster consensus mechanisms or niche scaling solutions that remained out of reach for the average user.

This year, however, the bar has been set to a new level. Developers have evolved into product builders, shifting their focus from the backend to the user.

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“The big thing that we’ve seen right now is that developers are actually building things that real people can actually use,” said Phil Kwok, co-founder of EasyA. “We’ve seen a big increase in the application layer. This is the year of the horse in Asia, but it’s the year of the application layer in blockchain.”

This shift toward User Experience (UX) was evident in the sophisticated use of “passkeys”, technologies from iOS and Android that allow users to log into Web3 apps without the friction of 24-word seed phrases, Kwok said. By removing these traditional “clicks” and barriers, developers are finally making products that feel like the apps people use every day.

The Winners’ Circle

The judges awarded top honors to projects that prioritized automation, security, and risk management, three pillars essential for the next wave of retail adoption, Kwok explained.

First place: FoundrAI ($2,500)

Taking the top spot was FoundrAI, an autonomous AI agent designed to act as a “startup in a box.” The platform doesn’t just launch tokens; it manages the entire lifecycle of a project, including hiring human developers to build out the product. It represents a provocative look at the future of decentralized labor.

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Second place: SentinelFi ($1,750)

Addressing the industry’s persistent “rug-pull” problem, SentinelFi provides real-time safety scores for crypto traders. By performing six-category on-chain analysis, the tool helps users sniff out scam tokens before they commit capital—a critical utility as token launch volumes explode.

Third Place: PumpStop ($1,000)

PumpStop rounded out the top three with a non-custodial trading layer focused on risk mitigation. Using state-channel instant execution, it allows traders to set stop-loss orders with on-chain proofs, bringing professional-grade trading tools to a decentralized environment without sacrificing custody.

The ‘show floor’ evolution

The growth of the hackathon reflects a broader shift in the Consensus ethos. Once a strictly corporate affair, the event has increasingly integrated the “builder” culture into its DNA. Dom Kwok, co-founder of EasyA, noted that the hackathon has moved from side rooms to the center of the show floor.

“Typically every hackathon that we host gets bigger and bigger,” Dom said. “It’s taking up more and more of the conference floor every year. We had someone flying in from San Diego just to see what was getting built.”

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Despite the “depressing” macro environment often reflected in token prices, the sentiment on the ground in Hong Kong remained stubbornly bullish. Organizers pointed out that while interest rates and Fed policy drive the charts, the builders are focused on the 93% of the world that doesn’t yet own crypto. The path to that next billion users, it seems, is being paved by developers who finally realize that usability is the ultimate feature, Dom said.

Phil and Dom said they can’t wait for Consensus Miami 2026 to see how much more the bar is raised and how many more developers participate with surprisingly great new ideas.

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Alameda moves another $15M in Solana as traders watch for market impact

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Alameda moves another $15M in Solana as traders watch for market impact - 1

Alameda Research’s bankruptcy estate has distributed another $15 million worth of Solana to creditors, extending a repayment process that has now been running for nearly two years.

Summary

  • Alameda Research’s bankruptcy estate distributed roughly $15.6 million in Solana to creditors in its latest monthly payout, extending a repayment process that has run for 21 months.
  • Despite ongoing distributions, Alameda still holds nearly $315 million worth of SOL on-chain, keeping traders alert to potential supply overhang risks.
  • Most of Alameda and FTX’s SOL was previously sold through OTC deals in 2024, with remaining distributions being handled gradually to limit market impact.

According to blockchain data highlighted by Arkham, the latest monthly tranche involved the transfer of roughly $15.60 million in Solana (SOL) to 25 separate addresses.

The movement forms part of a structured distribution program that has been ongoing for 21 months following the collapse of FTX and its trading arm, Alameda Research.

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Despite the steady outflows, Alameda’s on-chain wallets still hold approximately $314.95 million worth of SOL, keeping the estate among the largest known holders of the token tied to the defunct exchange empire.

Alameda moves another $15M in Solana as traders watch for market impact - 1
Alameda Research crypto holdings | Source: Arkham

Market impact questions resurface

The renewed transfers have reignited debate over whether these distributions ultimately translate into sell pressure on the open market.

Arkham raised the question directly, asking whether the newly distributed SOL would be “SOLd straight into the market,” a concern that has repeatedly surfaced during prior repayment rounds.

While the latest tranche is relatively modest compared to Alameda’s historical holdings, traders remain sensitive to any supply overhang tied to creditor payouts, particularly during periods of broader market volatility.

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Solana’s native token has been volatile in recent months, trading near the low-to-mid $80s to low $90s range after pulling back from higher levels seen in 2025.

Where Alameda’s SOL went

Additional context was provided by analyst Emmet Gallic, who traced the fate of the bulk of Alameda and FTX’s Solana holdings.

According to the analysis, roughly 43 million SOL was largely sold through over-the-counter deals across three major tranches in 2024, limiting direct market disruption.

Those sales included 26 million SOL at $64 to buyers such as Galaxy, Pantera, Jump, and Multicoin; 14 million SOL at $95 through a Pantera-led consortium; and a further 2 million SOL at $102 involving Figure Markets and Pantera.

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Since those OTC sales, remaining SOL distributions have been handled gradually, suggesting a continued effort to balance creditor repayments with market stability. Still, with more than $300 million in SOL left on-chain, Alameda-linked movements are likely to remain a point of close scrutiny for Solana traders in the months ahead.

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Why DOGE and XRP Holders Are Excited

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Why DOGE and XRP Holders Are Excited

As part of the strategy to turn X (formerly Twitter) into a “super app” or Everything App, a key missing piece, X Money, is beginning to take shape.

X aims to be more than a social media platform. Elon Musk wants to transform it into a personal finance game-changer. Users could handle messaging, shopping, and full personal asset management in one place.

Why Are Crypto Investors Excited About X Money?

During an xAI “All Hands” presentation in February 2026, Elon Musk revealed that X Money is already running in internal testing among X employees. A limited rollout to users is expected within the next one to two months.

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X Money has secured money transmitter licenses in more than 40 US states. It also established strategic partnerships with major payment giants such as Visa last year.

“For X Money, we actually had X Money live in closed beta within the company, and we expect in the next month or two to go to a limited external beta and then to go worldwide to all X users. And this is really intended to be the place where all the money is, the central source of all monetary transactions. So it’s really going to be a game-changer,” Elon Musk said.

Musk aims to push monthly active users past 600 million and ultimately reach 1 billion. Analysts compare this ambition to building an everything app similar to China’s WeChat.

As a result, X Money represents a major opportunity for any crypto project that accepts it as a payment method or is indirectly connected to the platform.

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However, X Money has never confirmed that crypto will be used as a payment option. Investors, meanwhile, continue to build their own narratives.

The first speculation centers on Dogecoin (DOGE). This meme coin closely aligns with Elon Musk’s personal brand. The theory stems from Musk’s past comments suggesting DOGE could be suitable for micropayments.

The second speculation involves XRP. This hypothesis is linked to Cross River Bank, a financial partner working with X to process payment flows. Since 2014, Cross River Bank has integrated Ripple’s protocol to enable real-time cross-border payments between the US and Western Europe.

Despite these narratives, DOGE and XRP prices showed no significant reaction to news of X Money’s upcoming launch.

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In the coming months, once X Money officially goes live as planned, its impact on crypto markets and the global financial system may become clearer.

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UK Launches Blockchain Digital Bond Pilot With HSBC Orion

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UK Launches Blockchain Digital Bond Pilot With HSBC Orion

The United Kingdom’s government has appointed HSBC’s tokenization platform to power a pilot issuance of digital government bonds, known as “gilts,” marking the latest step in its push to modernize sovereign debt markets using blockchain technology.

His Majesty’s Treasury has appointed HSBC Orion to facilitate the Digital Gilt Instrument (DIGIT) pilot issuance, according to a Thursday announcement.

The Treasury published a DIGIT pilot update in July 2025, outlining plans to explore blockchain applications in UK sovereign debt issuance and to support the development of domestic tokenization infrastructure.

“We want to attract investment and make the UK the best place to do business,” said Lucy Rigby, UK economic secretary to the Treasury, commenting on HSBC Orion’s DIGIT appointment. She added that the pilot will help the UK explore how to capitalize on the distributed ledger technology (DLT), enhance efficiency and reduce costs for businesses.

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Key objectives and features of the DIGIT pilot

The DIGIT pilot aims to enable digitally native, short-dated government bonds operating within the Digital Securities Sandbox (DSS).

The pilot is designed to support secondary market development and broader accessibility, with onchain settlement, while operating independently of the UK government’s main debt management program.

Source: Lucy Rigby

“This is exactly the kind of financial innovation we need to keep the UK at the forefront of global capital markets and I’m looking forward to working with HSBC and other parties to deliver DIGIT,” Rigby said.

HSBC has issued $3.5 billion in digital bonds globally

Since its launch in 2023, HSBC Orion has enabled the issuance of at least $3.5 billion in digitally native bonds globally, including the European Investment Bank’s first digital sterling bond and a multi-currency $1.3 billion-equivalent bond issued by the Hong Kong government.

“The UK is a home market for us and the sixth largest economy in the world,” said Patrick George, HSBC’s global head of markets and securities services. “HSBC is delighted to be supporting the continued development of the gilt market, market innovation, and the growth of the broader UK economy,” he added.

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HSBC Orion-facilitated digital bond issuance projects. Source: HSBC

Related: Malaysia’s central bank announces stablecoin, tokenization sandbox

Alongside appointing HSBC Orion as the platform provider for DIGIT, the UK government also appointed global law firm Ashurst to provide legal services for the pilot.

“Our team brings deep expertise in digital assets transactions, and we look forward to working with HSBC and supporting the government as it takes this transformative step for UK capital markets,” Ashurst’s head of digital assets, Etay Katz, said.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026