3 min read2 hr

What was the purpose of net-zero? It was to reduce our carbon emissions and ensure Britain plays its part in a global challenge. 

However, net-zero had a fatal flaw. Its myopic focus on domestic emissions does not punish us for the emissions that are offshored. Yet for every business or industry that leaves the country and sets up elsewhere, we are increasing global emissions. That’s because the UK has one of the cleanest energy systems in the world. 

For every chemicals plant or manufacturer we lose, it is almost certainly going to a country with a dirtier energy system. If those products – whether it be steel or glass or ammonia – are imported back into this country, then they will also have the additional emissions of being shipped back to this country, likely in a diesel-chugging tanker. 

This is exactly what is happening in Britain. We are losing refineries hand over fist because we impose carbon taxes on our own industry that are not imposed in Asia, the Middle East or India. The result? Our reliance on imported fuel with twice the emissions is rising. 

In the North Sea, every drop of gas that we don’t get from our own supply increases our reliance on imports of liquefied natural gas, with up to four times the emissions. Our chemicals industry is facing a similar decline. Who has been helped by the closure of the cleanest ammonia factory in Europe, weighed down by our unilateral taxes? Certainly not Britain, which now relies on countries with much lower environmental standards for a vital product. 

We must reject decarbonisation by deindustrialisation

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This will keep happening because our legislative framework mandates one objective – domestic decarbonisation – but not a stronger economy or improved living standards. That means the hand on the tiller will always tilt towards decarbonisation, even when there are egregious trade-offs to the quality of life. 

We can see that too in our electricity prices. The net-zero mindset insists we must race to renewables even though increasingly respected voices, like the Institute for Fiscal Studies, are pointing out that this has been adding huge expense to the electricity system through subsidies and grid balancing costs. As much as Ed Miliband likes to say a wind farm is cheaper than a new gas power plant, what he can’t get away from is that in his system, you have to build all of those gas plants as backup anyway. A system with more and more parts that are used less and less often will be less productive and more expensive. That much is clear. 

And here’s the problem. If we deindustrialise, if we keep making our electricity more expensive, if we block AI, if we keep making ourselves poorer and weaker in the name of net-zero, we will not be an example of ‘climate leadership’, we will be held up for decades as an example of a country that committed economic suicide. We have already become a warning to the rest of the world. As our politicians talk about going further and faster, Asia is piling on ever more coal power stations – desperate to avoid our fate. It is time for a reset that puts growth and living standards first, with decarbonisation only when it doesn’t harm the country. 

That means we should double down on nuclear, make electricity cheap for electrification, axe the carbon tax and back the North Sea. We must reject decarbonisation by deindustrialisation. 

Under Kemi Badenoch’s and my leadership, our approach would be better for the environment and for our economy. That is how we strengthen our economy, secure our energy future and deliver a serious energy policy for the world as it actually is, not as we wish it to be. 

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The NHS could make huge gains in efficiency by preventing illnesses, rather than simply treating them.

From encouraging people to monitor their blood pressure at home to tailoring breast and prostate cancer screening to individuals’ risk profiles, early action can reduce avoidable disease, improve people’s health and deliver better value for the public purse.

That’s the verdict of Planning for Prevention, a new report produced by experts at the University of Manchester and supported by Policy@Manchester, the university’s policy engagement unit.

The report uses cutting-edge research to give policymakers a range of evidence-based insights and recommendations on delivering preventative healthcare measures.

This week marks one year since the government’s 10-Year Health Plan for England established “sickness to prevention” as one of its three core pillars. As well as tackling deeply embedded health inequalities, a prevention-focused health service would significantly reduce costs. Every £1 spent on prevention yields an £8 return in direct healthcare savings and wider economic and productivity gains.

Manchester experts outline where health policy needs to go next in preventing long-term conditions such as cancer, diabetes and cardiovascular disease. They say that robust analysis and immediate interventions are vital to transform our healthcare system and improve patient experiences.

Writing in the report’s foreword, Professor Tracy Daszkiewicz, President of the Faculty of Public Health, said: “Cancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease account for the majority of premature mortality and disability in this country, much of which is preventable, yet too often our collective response remains focused on treating illness rather than preventing it.

“If we are serious about improving health outcomes, reducing inequalities and securing the sustainability of our health and care system, prevention must move from aspiration to delivery. This publication shows us how.”

Genetic insights, for example, could enhance risk-based cancer prevention and detection strategies, particularly for breast and prostate cancer, two of the most dominant types of cancer. But while the 10-Year Health Plan for England and the National Cancer Plan signalled a shift towards personalised medicine, including the integration of genomic insights into screening and prevention strategies, the report’s authors point out that representation, equality and equity concerns must be addressed to ensure that it works for everyone.

“Disparities in screening uptake are already high,” said Dr Sam Merriel, Dr Lorna McWilliams and Professor Gareth Evans, who contributed to the report. “Women from deprived areas, some UK minority ethnic groups and rural communities may face barriers to access, including limited health literacy, cultural factors and logistical constraints.”

Similarly, while the NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme is a successful example of how prevention programmes can operate, the report emphasises that improvements are needed in engaging with underserved communities.

Previous University of Manchester research revealed that patients from ethnic minority backgrounds were over-represented in initial referrals to the programme but were less likely to complete it. Meanwhile, people living in deprived areas were under-represented, showing that if prevention programmes are not properly targeted, they risk widening health inequalities, as opposed to reducing them.

Tom Gordon, Liberal Democrat MP and Chair of the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Diabetes, agrees. He told PoliticsHome that diabetes prevention must serve all communities, especially those that have been overlooked.

“The Diabetes Prevention Programme is a genuine success story, a proof of concept that prevention works at scale.

“Now we need to build on that success by ensuring it reaches everyone who could benefit, particularly those in underserved communities where the need is greatest.

“As we mark one year of the 10 Year Health Plan, the task is to take what works and make it work for all – systematic, equitable, and properly resourced.”

The Planning for Prevention report also focuses on social prescribing – an invaluable way to connect primary care patients to non-medical activities and services to improve their health and wellbeing, particularly those who are lonely or socially isolated, living with long-term conditions, or requiring mental health support. In 2025, there were around 3,350 funded social prescribing link workers in England, but disadvantaged areas have disproportionately fewer numbers – even though patients in these areas benefit more.

High blood pressure, often called “the silent killer”, is another concern. It affects around a third of adults, but most have no idea that their blood vessels, heart and brain are under sustained stress. The Manchester experts’ recommendations include encouraging home and remote monitoring and launching a national campaign to explain the links between blood pressure control and vascular dementia prevention. Action on high blood pressure could help to reduce the future burden of dementia, with significant savings to the NHS and the wider economy.

A further article in the publication explains that social determinants of health remain a major driver of sickness. University of Manchester research has found that victims of abuse may suffer serious health consequences as a result of engaging with private family court proceedings, such as cases to determine child access arrangements between parents or carers.

“Family court systems are producing life-limiting, long-term conditions among women and children,” said Dr Elizabeth Dalgarno and Professor Arpana Verma, who want the Children Act 1989 in England to be revised and updated, a Family Justice Bill to be advanced, and court and perpetrator-induced trauma to be recognised as a public health issue.

“Addressing this requires treating court-related trauma not only as a legal failure but as a driver of chronic disease. Without urgent reform, these systems will continue to generate preventable illness, disability and premature mortality.”

The report highlights the huge gains in efficiency that could be made by preventing illnesses. However, Professor Matthew Sperrin and Dr Glen Martin argue that doing this “efficiently and well” requires better use of data and building models using statistics, machine learning and AI to predict who is at risk.

Dr Simon Opher, Chair of the Health All-Party Parliamentary Group, spent 30 years as a GP before becoming an MP and welcomed the report’s insights.

“We have to get better at preventing illness,” he said. “When people become patients, we have left things too late. Treating a patient is almost inevitably the most expensive option. We must ensure that commercial interests do not get in the way of us reducing obesity, and similar unhealthy outcomes. This report helps us re-think healthcare and begin to map out the next stage of this important journey.” 

Shadow Health Secretary Stuart Andrew stressed the importance of prevention but says that NHS reforms must be deliverable.

“Prevention must be central to NHS reform to improve patient outcomes and ensure cost efficiency,” he said. “However, extending regulation on lifestyle choices without clear evidence of benefit risks undermining personal responsibility for health.” 

He adds, “Real change must focus on what works, backed by local leadership and respect for individual choice.” 

Read Planning for Prevention here.

Photography by Louise Haywood-Schiefer

10 min read22 min

Jacqui Smith was the first serving minister to use the past tense when talking on the record about Keir Starmer’s premiership. “I would have been very happy for him to continue,” she said on that Monday morning before the podium appeared outside No 10. It was the final confirmation, if any were needed, that the Prime Minister would soon be confirming he was on his way out.

This is far from the first time Baroness Smith of Malvern, 63, has borne witness to serious political turbulence. Having first been elected to Parliament in Tony Blair’s 1997 landslide, it fell to her as his chief whip in 2006 to tell the prime minister he had a problem: the party’s demands for a ‘timetable’ were growing.

Sitting down with The House hours before Andy Burnham’s Makerfield victory, the education minister – now forming part of a Labour government from the House of Lords – reflects on this familiar territory.

“I’m now in my 12th year as a minister,” she says, adding up time served under both New Labour and Starmer. “I’ve been around the block a bit, and I have seen turbulence. I understand that governments go through difficult times.

“In those cases, usually the best thing to do is to focus on the change that brought you both into politics and into government, to get on with delivering it, and to spend less time worrying about the personalities involved.”

Perhaps unrealistic but not surprising from a minister described first and foremost as “loyal” by those who have worked with her over the years. She was immediately appointed as Gordon Brown’s home secretary when he took office, for example, despite having been labelled as one of “Blair’s babes”.

Asked what she makes of the recent intervention by her former boss, she shoots back: “Which one of my former bosses?” Tony Blair inspired a summer of essays when in May he published a 5,000-word thesis offering advice to the party he once led.

“Tony’s interventions are always welcome from me. He is, and was, both a phenomenal boss and an era-defining prime minister. But… this is probably a time to buckle down, get on with changing the country and spend less time writing essays.”

Smith left government in 2009 amid the expenses scandal, which included the revelation that she had – in error, she said – claimed back money for two pornographic films bought by her (now former) husband. “I had some high-profile problems in the last government, both personally and politically,” Smith admits at one point, unprompted.

In 2010, she lost her Commons seat to the Conservatives but went on to rebuild her reputation outside the Palace walls, co-hosting a weekly LBC show and – following a path well-trodden by former politicians – competing in Strictly Come Dancing in 2020.

When Smith became skills minister in July 2024, she was returning to the department where her ministerial career first began back in 1999. 

She recalls bringing her sons with her, who were tiny at the time, and how the glass-walled offices were a playground of sorts for them. Her boys are now more than six feet tall.

Much has changed over the decades, not least the lives of young people like Smith’s sons. The recently published review of another former New Labour minister, Alan Milburn, exposes the depth of the crisis of Britain’s almost one million young people not in education, employment or training. If these “Neets” were to form a city, he writes, it would be larger than Leeds, Glasgow or Cardiff.

“The fact that we’ve now got a million young people who are not earning or learning is a moral outrage and it’s also an enormous waste of economic talent,” says Smith.

The report observes that the rise of AI is likely to create further pressure at the bottom end of the labour market. What is this government’s plan to protect young people from the harms of the AI revolution?

Smith points to the work of the government’s ‘AI alliance’ and ‘AI champions’ who are looking at entry-level jobs and identifying “where those challenges might be and what more we need to do in order to support young people into them”.

“If you hollow out your entry-level jobs in any area of employment, you’re building up problems for the future, because then you don’t have the pipeline that you need,” she says, adding that this is something employers “get”.

Does it worry her that companies are cutting jobs for young people because of AI? While Smith is careful to point out that there are a range of factors contributing to the changing labour market, she adds: “I know it worries young people, because I talk to them about it…

“That’s why it’s quite important for us to keep saying: whatever the challenge is, your opportunities are likely to be better if you’ve been able to go through high-quality courses, whether higher education, apprenticeships, or other skills routes.”

The Neet generation is also, Milburn highlights, generally unhappy. “Young people lead complicated lives,” Smith says. “There is a lot going on in the world with which they have to put up.”

She takes the opportunity to lay the blame at the door of her predecessors: there is less for young people to do and enjoy, she claims, “partly because of the way that some of the things that we previously put around education got hollowed out by the last government”.

When Labour took power in 2024, it was braced for a host of problems. One of those it did not anticipate, or perhaps want to deal with, was the financial crisis inherited in the university sector.

Universities have often found themselves on the front lines since 2024. The proposal of a levy on international students in the immigration white paper blindsided the sector, although sources stress that the alternatives available were far worse.

The narrative that some universities run courses that offer no benefits to their students is also one that has permeated all major parties. At Labour conference in 2025, Starmer announced that the party’s old ambition for half of young people to go to university was being decisively abandoned – “I don’t think that’s right for our times,” he declared – and the government sought to push apprenticeships and other vocational courses.

“I’ve been around the block a bit, and I have seen turbulence. I understand that governments go through difficult times”

The question of apprenticeships versus universities is one that has played out in many governments, and Smith finds herself jostling with a higher education (HE) sector that often questions whether she even likes them. Smith, of course, would contest this characterisation of her approach.

Whitehall has reportedly considered introducing new national minimum standards, such as a pass in GCSE English, to access student loans – a move that would lock some people out of the opportunity to enrol in higher education. Smith refuses to comment directly on the reports but says she wants those accessing higher education to “genuinely benefit from it”.

She also stands by decisions not to tackle the Plan 2 student loan system, taking the party line that there are other priorities within government that had to take precedent. She insists, however, that she has been “continuing to think about what more we can do to make that system of repayment better and fairer for those who are in it”.

Another high-profile story in the HE sector has been the debate around free speech. In April, the University of Sussex won a case against the regulator Office for Students (OfS) in the High Court, overturning a £585,000 fine handed down last year for failing to uphold free speech. Among other things, the judge found that the OfS decision to issue the fine was biased against Sussex.

Two months later, Smith is adamant that she supports the OfS and its operation. She is also clear universities should not interpret the ruling as a sign all is well on the free speech front: “It’s important that that court case isn’t seen as a suggestion that there is nothing that universities need to be thinking about when it comes to freedom of speech.”

When The House speaks to Smith, Starmer has not yet resigned but Labour MPs are already contemplating life under Andy Burnham’s leadership.

“I sat in the cabinet with Andy Burnham,” the minister says. “I’ve known Andy for a long time. I know what a talented politician he is. He’s been on a journey, and I’m glad he’s coming back to Westminster.” She does not approve of him instigating a leadership change, however.

While numerous names have been thrown around as potential successors to Starmer in recent months, none of those considered frontrunners have been women. Infamously, Labour is yet to elect a female leader. Is Smith, the first female home secretary and currently an equalities minister, embarrassed by that?

“No, I’m not embarrassed,” she claims. “We’ve got an enormously strong team, of which, frankly, quite a lot of the best performers are women.”

Many of her female colleagues in the party are embarrassed, and were furious about the Peter Mandelson revelations, which some said typified a deep-rooted misogyny in Labour. Does she believe Starmer did enough to tackle the so-called ‘boys’ club’ in No 10?

Smith pauses before answering. “I don’t think, while we’ve got the sorts of inequality that we have across society and in politics, anybody’s ever taken enough action. A lot of my political life, and one of the elements of my role now, is about how we tackle that in politics. I’ve been around long enough to see quite a lot of improvements in the way that women are treated in politics, but there’s still more that needs to change.”

Predictably, she is clearer when it comes to Reform UK’s shortcomings on women’s rights. Nigel Farage’s party has explicitly pledged to repeal the Equality Act 2010 on “day one”, which Smith says “scares” her.

“It would be a massively backward step but I’m afraid it sums up the approach of Reform, which is to identify a problem and decide who’s to blame for it, rather than to identify a problem and think about how you solve it.”

Does she think working in politics as a woman has become easier over the last two decades? It’s a question Smith seems keen to reflect on: “There are more women in Parliament, far more than when I was first elected in 1997… There are more women doing a wide range of jobs. Those are all really important developments.

“But what I also note is, I had some high-profile jobs in the last government, [but] both personally and politically, I never faced the level of abuse and intimidation that politicians face now, and in the week when we’re remembering…” she breaks off.

“Sorry,” she says, pausing to gather herself. “When we’re remembering the death of Jo Cox, who was a good friend of mine… that is something that worries me about the environment in which, all politicians actually – but the evidence suggests particularly women  and particularly women of colour – now have to try and operate in the public sphere and in elected democracy.

“There are women who think twice about coming into a political career,” Smith continues, “and that’s a terrible loss of their talent – but it’s an undermining of our democracy as well.” 

Burnham speaking to supporters after the Makerfield by-election (Associated Press/Alamy)

4 min read9 min

In particular, his explicit diagnosis of privatisation (of essential utilities above all else) as one of the “four horsemen” of UK economic decline and his more ambiguous comments about how he would remedy it. So, what would a fiscally responsible approach to public ownership actually look like?

Before answering that question, it’s worth noting some fiscally relevant aspects of the set-up we already have. First, the UK’s infrastructure investment needs are immense, and will be funded by billpayers and taxpayers regardless of ownership status. Private ownership may keep spending off the government’s books in the short term, because consumers pay exclusively through their bills. But these high bills squeeze the spending power of those customers and restrict economic production, reducing taxable economic activity. The public purse is affected either way.

Secondly, Britain’s privatised utilities already depend heavily on public support (directly to companies or indirectly through their trading partners or households; explicitly or implicitly through bailout provisions). The £2.7bn cost of the 2021to 2022 energy “supplier of last resort” bailout programme is one example. Another is the nearly half of rail and bus operating expenditure funded by public subsidy. If the state is expected to absorb losses when things go wrong, there is a strong case for it sharing in the profits when things go right – socialising the upside, not just the risk. That is fairer, fiscally safer and creates better incentives.

Finally, public ownership is not inherently a threat to the government’s finances. Borrowing to buy or build productive assets that generate reliable revenues is not obviously riskier than relying on private owners to do the same.

The biggest potential savings come from the fact that governments can borrow more cheaply than private companies. This can have outsized benefits in highly capital-intensive industries like water or energy networks, and this is not speculative – existing policy already revolves around minimising this key parameter. A rough calculation suggests that bringing National Grid Electricity Transmission’s cost of capital much closer to the risk-free rate could lead to savings in the region of 20 per cent. Water is even more capital-intensive. Public ownership could close a large part of this gap, turning savings into lower bills, fiscal consolidation or greater investment than otherwise.

The bigger obstacle is not economics but the government’s fiscal rules. These dictate that “public sector net financial liabilities” (known as PSNFL) must be forecast to fall – something Burnham will likely keep to avoid any penalty from constant rule changes.

If the state is expected to absorb losses when things go wrong, there is a strong case for it sharing in the profits when things go right

Unlike the previous “public sector net debt” rule, this one allows debt to rise as long as it is offset by rising financial assets. However, publicly owned commercial enterprises like Transport for London and their assets are treated as non-financial assets in the accounts, and thus cannot be accounted for in terms of their net value for the purpose of the rules around borrowing to invest. A strategic approach is needed – carefully targeted and sequenced.

The priority should be finding parts of the system where public ownership can expand at low cost. The renationalisation of expiring train operating franchises and the National Energy System Operator are illustrative. The former acquired bargaining power against the real money pit in the rail system – the rolling stock leasing companies – by making the state the sole buyer of trains and carriages, while the latter’s control over co-ordinating the grid has untapped potential. Special administration or routine renewals of licensing, franchises and price controls also provide natural opportunities to minimise legal complication and fiscal expense.

Importantly, the debt rule permits bond-financed stakes up to the ownership threshold that separates public from private sector, and financing lending through bonds to any such private entity. This allows borrowing to acquire (minority) stakes in or lend to companies as long as they remain in the private sector.

The government should look at ways of using cheap public finance to build up ownership stakes over time, and at how payback periods for publicly acquiring shares can be accelerated through refinancing debts. Given the importance of sound commercial governance, these stakes should sit within a public corporation, not within Whitehall. Designated public financial institutions like the National Wealth Fund can be enlisted to support the process.

There is no one-size-fits-all approach, and the larger policy package in which it sits also matters. But clearly Britain’s current model of privatised essential services is not protecting the public finances. In many cases, it is actually jeopardising our fiscal sustainability. Any programme of public ownership will start from that fundamental reality. 

Chris Hayes is chief economist at Common Wealth think tank

3 min read56 min

Climate change is an issue I feel very strongly about, prior to being elected I spent nearly a decade in renewable energy finance. While I am deeply alarmed by the potential devastating consequences of inaction; I am at my heart an optimist. I believe that with concerted effort we can avoid the worst ravages caused by global temperature increases. I also believe that British innovation can be at the forefront of tackling the threat. 

The UK is blessed with a thriving and vibrant clean technology sector that spans data, AI, greenhouse gas removal, solar, wind, heat, geothermal, tidal and many more areas. We have world-class universities spawning cutting-end spin-outs, a huge wealth of talent and genius, as well as expertise in manufacturing and engineering.

We should be the go-to place for other countries that want the next generation of climate technology

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We should be world-leaders in the industry of the future, and best in class in a range of subject areas. We should be the go-to place for other countries that want the next generation of climate technology, and the model they aspire to in their own domestic industries. 

Yet all is not well in the sector. In meeting after meeting UK businesses tell me they are struggling to attract funding at the startup stage, and finance for the scale-up phase is almost non-existent. Increasingly those companies are looking to become US or EU firms in order to grow. 

The issues are not the lack of capital in the market. Investors are sitting on more money than ever before. But speed of deployment and of achieving returns is faster in other markets. Money goes where it can make money fastest. And right now, the investment environment is more attractive in the US and Europe.

The problem is political. Time and again investors reference policy and regulatory uncertainty in the UK, the speed of government decision making, and the lack of support for vital sectors or particular technologies as reasons not to back British businesses.

Carbon removal companies and their investors are still awaiting the government’s response to its own Independent Review of Greenhouse Gas Removals report. The Net Zero Innovation Portfolio, which distributed £1.3bn in innovation grants and delivered £3 in follow-on funding for every £1 invested, was abolished at the last spending review. Its significantly smaller replacement, the CleanTech Innovation Challenge, is yet to award any money. The British Business Bank seemingly only backs businesses in this space that are already established and perfectly capable of raising private finance.

To rebuild investor confidence the government should start by speaking more about the potential for British CleanTech startups, follow up warm words with rapid action on regulatory frameworks and standards, and earmark easy-to-access funding streams for British businesses looking to start and scale in Britian. 

As Chair of the ClimateTech APPG I want to shine a light on these issues because it is not just important for the sector, but for the future of the UK. These are the businesses and industries of tomorrow. They have huge employment potential and will deliver significant returns for the Exchequer. Even for those not motivated by a desire to save the planet, that should be reason enough to support British climate technology.

4 min read43 min

Despite the near-constant misinformation being churned out by bad-faith actors, there remains a clear scientific consensus when it comes to the climate crisis: namely, that climate breakdown is here and getting worse, and that our window to change course demands not only that we act, but that we act with urgency.

Net-zero is the pathway by which we do so – but current action to achieve it is simply not going far enough, despite the countless benefits it offers. The case for climate action is not purely an environmental one; it is about a wholesale transition to an energy system that is cleaner, more secure and more affordable for families across Britain for generations to come.

Take the question of energy security. The UK’s dependence on foreign oil and gas leaves us dangerously exposed to shocks far beyond our control, as we are seeing currently in the wake of the US/Israeli war on Iran. When conflict abroad drives up global fossil fuel prices, the effects are felt at home almost immediately in energy bills, inflation and the cost of doing business. This is utterly unsustainable: a country with our resources should not be at the mercy of international fossil fuel markets.

The solution is to invest at scale in clean renewable energy: wind, solar, storage, proper insulation and clean heating. Every turbine we build, solar panel we install and home we retrofit limits Britain’s exposure to future energy price shocks and strengthens our national security. This is evidenced by the Climate Change Committee (CCC) itself, which reports that the costs of achieving net-zero by 2050 are lower than the costs of a single fossil fuel price spike like we saw in 2022.¹

Clean power is the cheapest power, and investing in energy efficiency is one of the most effective ways to bring bills down. Warm, well-insulated homes use less energy in the first place, and green technology like solar panels and heat pumps mean they cost less to run when the heat does need to be turned on. Ensuring all new buildings meet zero-carbon standards from the outset will avoid locking in higher costs for decades to come, while simultaneously lowering emissions.

Fundamentally, the cost of delaying action is rising. Climate breakdown is already causing real damage – look at the costs that flooding and heatwaves already impose on our communities, infrastructure and public services. The longer we wait, the higher the bill becomes. The CCC has found that without additional adaptation, the cost of climate change could rise to the equivalent of around 1–5 per cent of GDP per year by 2050 – or in other words, up to an estimated £260bn annually.²

But the argument for going further and faster on climate change mitigation is not just about avoiding disaster – it’s about creating opportunity as well. Speeding

up progress on renewables can create skilled jobs in the clean energy sector, improve air quality, reduce fuel poverty and restore the UK’s glorious nature and wildlife. It offers the basis for a more resilient and prosperous economy that genuinely works for British families, underpinned by clean energy and efficient systems.

The UK has everything it needs to stand as a global leader on the path to a cleaner, greener, fairer future – abundant resources, technical expertise, public support. What we are missing is the political ambition and will to match. 

This demands sustained investment, clear policy direction and the political integrity to face down misinformation and vested interests which may seek to delay progress. It demands treating climate action as an opportunity, rather than a burden, as we work to achieve net-zero with the urgency the challenge requires. 

References

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1. Climate Change Committee; Cost of Net Zero by 2050 less than a single fossil fuel price shock. https://www.theccc.org.uk/2026/03/11/cost-of-net-zero-by-2050-less-than-a-single-fossil-fuel-price-shock-ccc/
2. Climate Change Committee; A Well-Adapted UK. https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/a-well-adapted-uk/

3 min read30 min

The confirmation on 13 November 2025 that Wylfa on Ynys Môn would host the first fleet of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) marked more than a milestone in UK energy policy. It signalled a once-in-a-generation opportunity to revitalise the island’s economy, and to demonstrate how a major infrastructure project can be delivered successfully when governments, developers and communities work together.

The opportunity is clear. Three SMRs at Wylfa could generate up to 3,000 local jobs at the height of construction and sustain hundreds more over the long term.

Outside of direct jobs, local businesses and supply chains could also benefit hugely from their involvement in the project. Once operational, the reactors are expected to power the equivalent of around three million homes, strengthening the UK’s energy security for decades to come.

But the benefits extend beyond economics and energy.

A new nuclear development at Wylfa has the potential to reinforce the island’s linguistic and cultural identity. For members of the nuclear workforce who left Wales for opportunities elsewhere, this project could offer a pathway home.

With thoughtful planning, the use of the Welsh language can be embedded throughout both construction and operation, making a powerful statement that major projects can strengthen, rather than dilute, local culture.

Yet the success of this first-of-its-kind development will depend on one principle above all: partnership. With the initial three reactors scheduled to begin generating power in the middle of the next decade, and the possibility of up to five more in the future, delivery must be collaborative and grounded in local experience to maximise the project’s full potential and to guard against any unwanted outcomes.

That means developers and the UK government must work hand in hand with the people of Ynys Môn. The island’s long relationship with nuclear energy is an asset, not an afterthought. Our communities have over 65 years of nuclear heritage from the previous Magnox nuclear project at Wylfa; developers and the government should draw from this deep well of knowledge to set the project up for success.

It also means working hand in hand with Anglesey County Council, whose Energy Island Programme has already laid the groundwork for the project by bringing together public, private and third-sector partners to position the island as a hub for clean energy innovation.

As the former leader of the council, I have firsthand experience of its commitment to enabling responsible development and ensuring that planning processes support, rather than hinder, strategic investment.

There will also need to be close collaboration with the Welsh government, as well as the area’s colleges and universities, such as Coleg Llandrillo Menai and Bangor University, which are already doing fantastic work in equipping local people with the skills they need to be a part of the workforce to deliver and sustain the project.

North Wales already has the institutions and talent; what is needed now is alignment and direction from the UK. The strong existing partnerships between Anglesey County Council

and the local education sector must be used to ensure that the pipeline of local skilled workers, engineers and scientists is ready to feed into delivering three SMRs at Wylfa.

If the UK government, the developers and our island community move forward together, Wylfa can become a shining example of how the UK can deliver major energy infrastructure with respect for people, place and a commitment to spreading prosperity fairly.

5 min read17 min

In an ageing society, the demands on public services will only grow, just as the pool of working-age taxpayers shrinks. If the state is to survive this demographic shift, it must do more with less.

That is the key offer of AI. From accelerating cancer diagnoses in the NHS to freeing up frontline police time and automating fraud detection, the benefits of AI are already making a difference.

But a narrative has emerged in Westminster that threatens to stall this progress. Seizing the benefits of this technology requires immense compute capacity, and the data centres that provide it require a connection to an already gridlocked electricity network. This has created a new dividing line in UK politics: do we prioritise data centres or renewable energy projects for a grid connection?

This is the wrong debate. Britain can, and must, pursue both.

New renewables will provide the clean, sovereign energy needed to kickstart the AI boom that will transform public services, while AI will help manage an increasingly complex modern grid, ease demand spikes and get shovels in the ground more quickly for new renewables. The net-zero transition and the tech revolution are not competing priorities, but two sides of the same coin.

A grid fit for the future

Britain’s energy architecture was designed for a long-gone era, built to manage a stable, predictable baseload of electricity from coal and gas. Today’s system is greener but vastly more complex. Wind and solar power fluctuate with the weather, creating mismatches between where power is generated and where it is needed.

Human operators, however skilled, cannot manage this complexity alone, and certainly not with the legacy technology currently at their disposal. Here, AI could be game-changing. Machine learning systems can predict demand hours in advance, forecast drops in renewable generation before they occur and identify transmission bottlenecks before they cause outages.

The net-zero transition and the tech revolution are not competing priorities, but two sides of the same coin

It can also help reduce demand spikes to ensure there is enough clean power to go around. By encouraging businesses and households to shift consumption away from peak periods, we can reduce our reliance on expensive, polluting gas-fired power stations that are switched on when energy from renewables is unable to meet demand. The result will be lower bills for consumers and a lower carbon footprint.

If we want an energy system that is both clean and reliable, we must modernise our infrastructure. By harnessing the benefits of technologies like AI, we can transform our grid from a relic of the nineteenth century into a system fit for the twenty-first.   

Unblocking the connections queue

The notorious 15-year connection delays plaguing the grid are not just a problem for data centres. They also threaten the transition to clean power.

To hit the government’s 2030 clean power targets, renewables need to come online at a pace Britain has consistently failed to manage. Right now, the connections queue is the single biggest obstacle – clogged up, in part, by speculative applications from ‘phantom’ projects that have no serious prospect of ever being built. Automated screening systems that rapidly audit the queue and flag unviable applications will free up space for genuinely shovel-ready infrastructure.

Furthermore, by harnessing digital twins – virtual replicas of physical grid infrastructure – network operators can stress-test the system under different scenarios before a single brick is laid. This would dramatically shorten planning timelines, reduce cost overruns and give investors the certainty they need to commit funding to the infrastructure Britain desperately needs.

The wider carbon dividend

Critics of AI tend to concentrate on what data centres consume. That is the wrong focus.

The International Energy Agency has pointed to AI as one of the most significant tools available for cutting emissions across heavy industry, transport and commercial buildings – sectors that account for far more global carbon than data centres themselves.

Across these areas, AI is already delivering measurable gains. Smart monitoring systems are finding thermal inefficiencies in manufacturing plants. AI-managed traffic systems are cutting congestion, reducing idle time and fuel waste. And in agriculture, AI tools are optimising fertiliser use and lowering associated emissions.

Taken together, these efficiency gains are likely to outweigh the electricity consumed by the data centres that enable them. Restricting compute capacity in the name of carbon reduction would therefore be a strategic mistake. It would limit the deployment of the most powerful decarbonisation tools available to the UK’s highest-emitting sectors, while doing little to address the underlying constraints of an outdated energy grid.

Future-proofing the net-zero transition

If Britain wants a clean energy system that works, it must embrace the technologies that make it possible. If we stick with the status quo, renewable energy projects will take longer to build, the grid will continue to fail, and already squeezed households will pay the price through higher energy bills.

The net-zero transition and the AI revolution are, at their core, the same project: building an economy powered by abundant, clean electricity and the smart systems capable of managing it. The countries that recognise that first and align their industrial strategies accordingly will reap the rewards. Will Britain be one of them?

What was once a broad consensus on the need for climate action has now shifted into a more complex and politicised debate. While legally binding targets remain in place, policymaking is increasingly shaped by debates over affordability and the financial burden placed on consumers, alongside issues of energy security, public support and economic competitiveness.

Government cannot deliver the transition alone. Progress depends on sustained collaboration between policymakers, industry, skills providers and society. Published ahead of Net Zero Week 2026, this supplement brings together policymakers and industry leaders as they aim to move the debate forward, by showing how net-zero can be achieved in a way that is both economically viable and politically deliverable.

From consumer flexibility and fairer electricity pricing to offshore wind, nuclear, hydrogen, clean ports, AI and climate technology, this supplement reflects both the scale of the challenge ahead and the breadth of solutions already taking shape.

Bill Esterson, Chair of the Energy and Net Zero Committee, makes the case that energy security and electrification are routes to growth and net-zero; Claire Coutinho, Shadow Energy Secretary, argues for a greater shift towards nuclear power, the removal of the carbon tax and continued North Sea development; Kim McGuinness, the Mayor of North East England, calls for a place-based approach that turns net-zero into economic opportunity; and Minister for Climate, Katie White OBE outlines how the government’s Carbon Budget 7 can support a cleaner, more secure and resilient future for Britain.

Together, these contributions offer ideas and highlight practical choices that will help shape Britain’s next chapter. Together, they make the case for an energy transition that is not only necessary, but achievable.

You can read the full report here.

5 min read3 min

Three dates tell the story of Britain’s climate journey: 2008, 2026 and 2040.

The first is 2008. I was in my early twenties, travelling the country for Friends of the Earth, helping campaign for what became the Climate Change Act. Most days were a mixture of early trains, community halls, church halls and endless cups of tea. We’d meet MPs in Westminster offices, organise public meetings and make the case that Britain needed to think beyond the next election cycle and start planning for the decades ahead.

What started as a job I thought I’d do for a year quickly became something much bigger. The campaign went on to become one of the most supported in Parliament’s history, securing backing from MPs across political parties and across the country.

Britain itself felt very different then. The best-known electric car on the road was probably the G-Wiz, a tiny vehicle with a range of less than 50 miles that looked more at home on a golf course than a motorway.¹ If you spotted solar panels, you tended to point them out. Britain had around 2.9GW of onshore wind capacity, just 3 per cent of our country’s total electricity capacity.² Coal generated around a third of our electricity.³ The idea that Britain could one day run predominantly on clean power rather than dirty fuels wasn’t yet a reality. It was just a vision of the future. 

The Climate Change Act helped turn that vision into a plan, which brings me to the second date: 2026. 

Fast forward nearly twenty years and I have the privilege of serving as Climate Minister, genuinely my dream job. This year, we’re setting Carbon Budget 7. I appreciate that “Carbon Budget 7” sounds less like something that could transform a country and more like the sort of document capable of curing insomnia. But it may be one of the most important documents most people will never read. At its heart, Carbon Budget 7 is Britain’s plan for the years 2038 to 2042. It asks a simple question: if we know where we want to get to, what do we need to build now to make it happen?

If you want proof that long-term planning works, you only need to look around Britain today. 

As I said, when the Climate Change Act was passed, Britain had around 2.9GW of onshore wind. Today, we have over 15GW.⁴ What was once a handful of turbines has become a cornerstone of our energy system.  

In 2008, Britain had just 22MW of solar power installed.⁵ Today, there is over 21GW of capacity.⁶ Solar has gone from something you occasionally spotted on a roof to something woven into everyday life.  

And that G-Wiz? Today, there are more than two million zero-emission vehicles on Britain’s roads.⁷ Electric cars have gone from novelty to normal in less than two decades. 

When people talk about climate action, they often picture targets, graphs and technical reports. What I see is one of the biggest upgrades to Britain’s infrastructure and economy in modern history. 

Which brings me to the third date: 2040. For some people, 2040 sounds a long way off. But the child starting primary school this September will be in their early twenties. The decisions we make over the next few years will continue to shape their lives.

That is why I often say I want to be a minister for the future. Politics spends too much time talking about the next news cycle. My job is to think about the next generation. 

If you want proof that long-term planning works, you only need to look around Britain today

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By 2040, Britain could look fundamentally different. For example, under the Climate Change Committee’s balanced pathway, offshore wind capacity could reach 88GW and solar power 82GW.⁸ Around half of homes could be heated by heat pumps instead of gas boilers, protecting billpayers, reducing pollution and reducing our dependence on imported fossil fuels.

The exciting thing is what that means in practice. Cars that charge while you sleep. Homes heated without burning gas. Cleaner air for our children. Energy generated here in Britain rather than bought from abroad. And when global crises hit, families less exposed to the price shocks that have caused so much hardship in recent years. The prize is a country that is cleaner, more secure and more resilient. 

The real significance of Carbon Budget 7 is not the number in its title. It is that it asks the same question campaigners, MPs and our communities were asking back in 2008: what kind of future do we want to build?

References

1. Top Gear; Fail of the century #9: Reva G-Wiz. https://www.topgear.com/car-news/fail-century/fail-century-9-reva-g-wiz
2. Parliament UK; The Economics of Renewable Energy – Economic Affairs Committee. https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200708/ldselect/ldeconaf/195/19506.htm
3. GOV.UK; Digest of UK Energy Statistics (DUKES): renewable sources of energy. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/renewable-sources-of-energy-chapter-6-digest-of-united-kingdom-energy-statistics-dukes
4. RenewableUK. https://www.renewableuk.com/our-work/onshore-wind/
5. ScienceDirect; Towards improved solar energy justice: Exploring the complex inequities of household adoption of photovoltaic panels. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421522000933
6. Solar Power portal; UK surpassed two million solar installations in March, government figures show. https://www.solarpowerportal.co.uk/solar-installations/uk-surpassed-2-million-solar-installations-in-march-government-figures-show
7. Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit; 2 million EVs registered across UK: comment. https://eciu.net/media/press-releases/2-million-evs-registered-across-uk-comment
8. Climate Change Committee; The Seventh Carbon Budget. https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/the-seventh-carbon-budget/