Crypto World
Bank of Korea Governor Calls for Tokenized Government Bonds
Hyun Song Shin, the governor of the Bank of Korea, praised tokenization for its ability to simplify the issuance and management of government bonds.
Shin said during a Wednesday panel discussion at the European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, that tokenized bonds would make it easier to verify collateral, credit the asset provider’s account and reverse transactions at the appropriate time.
“The big prize is tokenizing government bonds,” Shin said, adding that it is “much easier, much less prone to mistakes if you have everything tokenized.”
US Treasury debt is the largest tokenized real-world asset category, representing $14.6 billion, or about 46% of the $31.7 billion RWA market, according to data provider RWA.xyz.
Shin also outlined plans to bring tokenized government bonds, wholesale central bank digital currencies and tokenized commercial bank deposits on a unified ledger, as part of an extension to “Project Hangang,” a Bank of Korea-led pilot project testing a blockchain-based wholesale CBDC system.

Hyun Song Shin, governor of the Bank of Korea, speaks during a panel discussion at the ECB Forum on Central Banking. Source: YouTube
Tokenized government bonds may boost financial innovation: BIS
Government bond tokenization could improve market efficiency and support financial innovation, provided regulatory and infrastructure challenges are addressed, according to a July 2025 report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
Related: Former BIS chief softens stance on stablecoins, backs coexistence with fiat
Government securities play a crucial role in the financial system, acting as a savings vehicle for households and firms and as collateral in a range of transactions, the report said, adding:
“By enabling the contingent execution of actions, tokenisation can help to enhance the efficiency of markets, reduce settlement risk, broaden investment access and spur the creation of new financial services.”
The report examined 39 tokenized bonds, including 24 issued by corporations and 15 by governments. Compared with traditional, non-tokenized bonds, the BIS found “suggestive evidence” of lower bid-ask spreads and comparable issuance costs and yields.

Tokenized bonds vs conventional, non-tokenized bonds, liquidity, issuance costs. Source: BIS
Magazine: Guide to the top and emerging global crypto hubs: Mid-2026
Crypto World
Kevin Warsh Reignites Risk Appetite: Gold Surges While Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $60,000 on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation risks had eased and struck an open-minded tone on artificial intelligence (AI), reviving appetite for risk assets and precious metals.
The Fed chief declined to call the AI spending boom inflationary and flagged easing price risks, a tone traders judged less hawkish than his June debut. Gold also climbed alongside Bitcoin.
Kevin Warsh Cools Fears of Higher Rates
Warsh spoke at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, his first international appearance as Fed chair. A longtime inflation hawk, he served on the Fed board through the 2008 crisis. He resigned in 2011 over a $600 billion bond-buying plan.
His words carried weight because US inflation has run hot. Consumer prices rose 4.2% in the year to May, the fastest since 2023, as the war with Iran lifted oil.
That drove the Fed to hold rates at 3.5% to 3.75% in June and signal a possible hike. Those fears eased after oil prices retreated in late June.
Speaking on a panel in Sintra, Warsh pointed to easing price pressures since he took over.
“Inflation risks have come down.”
Yet he insisted the work was not done, recommitting to price stability.
“We’re all in the price stability business … we’ve all looked around and we’ve seen that prices are too high.”
On AI, Warsh was upbeat, calling it a driver of productivity while leaving its inflation impact open.
Notably, some Fed officials have tied AI-driven inflation concerns to the case for hikes.
“What they say is that the demand is insatiable, that these companies, these hyperscalers, will pay almost any price for those inputs, and they need things built yesterday,” Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack said recently.
Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 as Gold Rebounds
Bitcoin traded near $60,088, up about 2.8% in 24 hours, while Ethereum rose about 3.3% to near $1,619. The gains lifted Bitcoin back above $60,000 and its market value over $1.2 trillion.
The bounce followed a steep month. Bitcoin had slid to its 2026 low near $58,000 last week, after hot May inflation triggered $1.26 billion in liquidations. It remains down about 16% from a month ago.
Meanwhile, gold rebounded to an intra-day high of $4,115 after sliding to multi-month lows this week. Silver and other precious metals gained as bets on aggressive tightening eased.
The bond market was less convinced. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year note near 4.46%. Rising Treasury yields mean bond investors were pricing in higher-for-longer interest rates.
It follows Warsh stressing that prices are “too high” and signaling no rate cut, a hawkish read that ran opposite to the risk-on rally in Bitcoin and gold.
Warsh held a firm line on prices and gave no hint of a July cut. This week’s US jobs report and the Fed’s next meeting, about four weeks away, will test the rally.
The post Kevin Warsh Reignites Risk Appetite: Gold Surges While Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
World Launches Onchain Prediction Market on Solana Through Phantom
World, a prediction market built on Solana, went live inside the Phantom wallet and at world.xyz on July 1, using Chainlink as its primary oracle infrastructure, according to the project's own X post. The platform lets users trade event contracts on crypto prices and the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Trump’s Government Filing Just Revealed $1.4 Billion in Crypto Earnings Last Year, And His Stablecoin Is Already Under Scrutiny
Donald Trump’s annual financial disclosure, filed with the U.S. Office of Government Ethics, shows at least $1.4 billion in crypto-related earnings for 2025, drawn from three distinct revenue lines: governance token sales through World Liberty Financial (~$800M), royalties from the TRUMP meme coin (~$635M), and an equity sale tied to Stablecoin Holdco (~$197M).
Reuters estimated the Trump family’s total crypto income since the president returned to the White House at $2.3 billion, placing the OGE filing’s $1.4 billion figure as 2025 income alone, not the cumulative haul.
The distinction matters: the disclosure covers the president personally; the Reuters total sweeps in family-linked entities across the broader ecosystem.

Crypto is now formally, under government reporting requirements, the dominant driver of Trump’s personal income, not real estate, not licensing, not Mar-a-Lago, which itself generated more than $77 million last year.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
What the OGE Filing Actually Shows: Three Revenue Streams, One Dominant Theme
The largest component is World Liberty Financial, the DeFi platform the Trump family launched in mid-2024. Trump-linked companies received almost $800 million from WLF, broken down as more than $520 million from governance token sales and more than $250 million from the sale of business interests.
A separate $538 million tranche came from a deal in which WLF sold tokens to ALT5 Sigma, a Trump-affiliated publicly traded crypto treasury firm, an arrangement that illustrates how interconnected the Trump crypto ecosystem has become across entities.
The structural setup that makes those numbers possible: a Trump family-owned entity, DT Marks DEFI LLC, holds entitlement to 75% of token-sale proceeds after expenses, per Reuters. WLF raised $1.4 billion through the sale of 30 billion governance tokens in total.
That revenue-share arrangement is not incidental, it is the engine behind the bulk of the Trump crypto earnings disclosed in the filing. For context on how institutional tokenization infrastructure of this scale is being built across the broader market, the Securitize NYSE listing offers a parallel structural reference point.
The TRUMP meme coin generated $635 million in disclosed income, flowing through CIC Digital LLC almost entirely as royalties tied to a license agreement with Celebration Coins.
Reuters’ parallel investigation put the family’s take from the $TRUMP venture at approximately $616 million in the first half of 2025, a figure close enough to the OGE number to confirm the royalty structure is the primary mechanism. The meme coin’s revenue model depends on trading volume and the royalty rate extracted from that activity, not on price appreciation per se, which means the income stream is partially insulated from token price volatility.
The third line, Stablecoin Holdco, generated nearly $197 million from an equity sale. Bloomberg’s coverage values the underlying USD1 stablecoin business at more than $300 million.
The USD1 stablecoin, issued by World Liberty Financial, has been the subject of intense legislative scrutiny given that the president signed the GENIUS Act stablecoin legislation while holding a direct financial stake in a competing stablecoin issuer. That overlap is not hypothetical, it is now documented in a government ethics filing.
One figure the disclosure excludes: the Trump family still holds World Liberty founder tokens worth approximately $3.8 billion at current market rates, but those remain locked and illiquid and were therefore excluded from income tallies. The realized figures in the filing are large enough on their own.
Don’t Miss Out on Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop on ByBit
The post Trump’s Government Filing Just Revealed $1.4 Billion in Crypto Earnings Last Year, And His Stablecoin Is Already Under Scrutiny appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Is Stuck in a Tight Range While the “Ghost Chain” Label Keeps Circulating
Cardano price is trading near $0.1448, down roughly 0.94% in 24 hours, the coin stuck in a tight consolidation band rather than anything directional.
The ghost chain label keeps surfacing in bear-cycle discourse, and with ADA rangebound for weeks, it’s worth examining whether the criticism holds or whether the chart is simply pausing before the next move. There’s a key resistance level that determines everything from here.
The “ghost chain” critique targets blockchains that are technically live but generate negligible real-world activity. Cardano has faced this charge repeatedly, given its deliberate, peer-reviewed development cadence, which critics read as stagnation.
The counterargument is in the on-chain data: the network continues to process transactions, its developer community remains active, and ecosystem upgrades have continued shipping.

Layer 1s don’t survive a decade on name recognition alone. Cardano has. The question is whether that’s enough to drive price.
Broader crypto sentiment is calm right now, which cuts both ways for ADA, no macro tailwind, but also no macro headwind shaking weak hands loose. The price action is a technical story, not a fundamental one, and the technicals are at a decision point.
Can Cardano Price Break $0.1489 Resistance This Week?
ADA is consolidating between $0.1366 and $0.1550 with the most actionable cluster sitting between $0.1489 and $0.1518 on the upside. CoinLore’s near-term ceiling sits at $0.1521 with a floor at $0.1344, a range tight enough that a single exchange-level catalyst resolves the trade in either direction.
Three support tiers sit below current price at $0.1428, $0.1395, and $0.1366. Price is holding above the first level, which is constructive but barely. Volume has been tepid with no confirmation of accumulation or distribution in either direction.
ADA clearing $0.1489 on volume compresses toward $0.1518 to $0.1550 and shelves the ghost chain narrative for another cycle.

Consolidation continuing in the $0.1395 to $0.1489 band through the near term makes CoinCheckup’s $0.1455 target for July 30 the soft ceiling for cautious models.
A break below $0.1366 brings the $0.1344 floor into play and makes Binance’s longer-range model at $0.09645 for 2027 look less like an outlier. Invalidation of the bull case is clean: a daily close below $0.1344.
Coinbase’s model diverges sharply bullish at $0.49 for 2026 and $0.59 for 2030. That is either a major unpriced catalyst or aggressive extrapolation. Treat it as a ceiling scenario, not a base case.
Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as Cardano Tests Key Levels
ADA’s range-bound structure makes patience the trade. Meaningful upside exists but it is conditional on a breakout that has not materialized yet. Traders who want crypto momentum without waiting on a technical resolution are rotating into earlier-stage plays where the entry price itself provides the asymmetry.
Maxi Doge is one presale drawing that rotation.
Built on Ethereum as an ERC-20 meme token, the project leans hard into gym-bro trading culture with a 240-lb canine mascot and the tagline “Never skip leg-day, never skip a pump.” The branding is intentionally loud but the mechanics underneath are more structured than the meme framing suggests.
Holder-only trading competitions with leaderboard rewards give the community something to compete for beyond price speculation. A Maxi Fund treasury is allocated to liquidity and partnerships. Dynamic staking APY rewards holders for staying in.
The presale is currently priced at $0.0002826 with $4.82 million raised to date. That number signals real capital commitment rather than a ghost project.
Meme tokens carry significant risk. Liquidity and post-launch price discovery are always the critical unknowns. But for traders looking for asymmetric exposure while ADA grinds sideways, the entry price here is doing a lot of the work.
For traders who’ve done the work, research Maxi Doge here.
The post Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Is Stuck in a Tight Range While the “Ghost Chain” Label Keeps Circulating appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Canaccord cuts Strategy price target despite backing Bitcoin thesis
Strategy has received another Wall Street price target cut after Canaccord lowered its valuation on the company while maintaining that Bitcoin’s long-term investment case remains intact.
Summary
- Canaccord cut Strategy’s price target to $130 but said its long-term Bitcoin investment thesis remains unchanged.
- The brokerage believes Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused business model is still viable if Bitcoin posts moderate annual gains.
- Other analysts, including TD Cowen, Cantor Fitzgerald, and Benchmark, continue backing Strategy despite lowering or maintaining price targets.
Bitcoin outlook remains intact despite lower valuation
According to a research note from Canaccord, the brokerage reduced its price target for Strategy to $130 from $163, citing the company’s prolonged share price decline rather than any change in its long-term view on Bitcoin. The revision comes as Strategy stock has struggled for months, even though the firm said its underlying investment thesis for the cryptocurrency remains unchanged.
Strategy shares closed the previous trading session at $86.93, only slightly above their 52-week low of $81.81 and roughly 77% below where they traded a year ago. The stock later rebounded 8.12% to $93.96 after the company introduced its new Digital Credit Capital Framework.
Canaccord said Bitcoin continues to benefit from limited supply and growing adoption of blockchain technology. The brokerage added that the cryptocurrency has become more established within financial markets and is no longer facing the same uncertainty over whether it should be viewed primarily as a speculative asset or a long-term store of value.
The firm also maintained that Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused corporate model remains workable as long as Bitcoin delivers moderate annual appreciation. At the same time, Canaccord acknowledged that recent market performance has fallen short of those expectations.
“We think there is nothing broken here, either in the company’s model or in bitcoin, which suggests a pendulum swing back makes sense sometime over the medium term.”
Separately, data cited in the report showed Strategy’s Relative Strength Index has moved into oversold territory, while Fair Value analysis suggested the shares could be trading below their estimated intrinsic value.
Capital strategy continues to receive support from analysts
The latest revision follows another recent target cut from TD Cowen, which, as previously reported by crypto.news, lowered its price target on Strategy to $260 from $400 while keeping a “buy” rating. According to TD Cowen, the lower valuation was driven by a more conservative long-term Bitcoin price forecast rather than concerns about Strategy’s newly introduced Digital Credit Capital Framework.
TD Cowen said its revised target still implies roughly 200% upside from current trading levels. The brokerage also described the new capital framework as a constructive step that could improve Strategy’s financial flexibility, even after the stock surrendered part of its initial gains following the announcement.
In a regulatory filing dated June 29, Strategy disclosed that its Digital Credit Capital Framework allows the company to raise up to $1.25 billion through Bitcoin sales if needed. According to the filing, those proceeds may be used to maintain U.S. dollar reserves, fund preferred dividend payments, meet interest obligations, strengthen cash balances, and finance future share repurchases.
The same filing also authorized up to $1 billion in repurchases of the company’s Digital Credit Securities, including STRC, STRF, STRD, and STRK, when management determines buybacks would improve the firm’s capital structure. Strategy further disclosed that it has paused additional Bitcoin purchases while selling about $1.15 billion worth of MSTR shares as part of its capital management plan.
Elsewhere on Wall Street, Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $212 price target, citing confidence in Strategy’s liquidity plans. Benchmark also reiterated its Buy rating and maintained its $570 price target, noting that although the company’s preferred shares have weakened in recent months, Strategy has continued adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet.
Crypto World
Ark Invest bought more than $75 million of COIN, CRCL, BLSH shares during June bloodbath
Ark Invest has a tendency to load up on shares in cryptocurrency companies when their prices are depressed, and June was no exception.
Bitcoin , the largest cryptocurrency, recorded its worst month in four years, and digital asset firms’ share prices suffered accordingly, which Ark read as a buying opportunity.
The St. Petersburg, Florida-based investment manager bought $44 million worth of shares in crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN), based on the closing prices of the days on which purchases were made. It purchased $25.25 million worth of equity in Circle Internet (CRCL), issuer of the world’s second-largest stablecoin USDC, and $8.2 million worth of crypto exchange Bullish (BLSH), the parent company of CoinDesk, according to emailed disclosures.
Shares of Circle slumped 40% in June, ending the month at $62.63. The decline included an 18% drop on June 30 following the debut of rival stablecoin Open USD, which is backed by more than 140 companies, including Coinbase, Stripe, Visa, Mastercard and BlackRock.
COIN ended June just under 20% lower at $146.19, while BLSH fell 27% to $23.43.
Crypto World
Winklevoss twins move $67M in Bitcoin as Arkham flags selloff signal
The Winklevoss twins have transferred about $67 million worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum to Gemini wallets, with Arkham Intelligence identifying the transactions as matching their usual selling pattern.
Summary
- Arkham Intelligence flagged the Winklevoss twins’ $67 million Bitcoin and Ethereum transfers to Gemini as matching previous selloff patterns.
- Bitcoin remains under pressure as Citigroup cuts its price target and ETF outflows continue weighing on market sentiment.
- Ethereum holds near key support despite continued treasury purchases from SharpLink and Bitmine failing to offset whale selling.
According to blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss moved roughly $60 million in Bitcoin (BTC) and another $7 million in Ethereum (ETH) from custody to hot wallets linked to the Gemini crypto exchange on July 1. Arkham characterized the transfers as consistent with the twins’ previous selloff behavior, although the firm did not confirm that the assets had already been sold.
The latest transfers come as Bitcoin and Ethereum continue trading under pressure following quarter-end selling and persistent weakness in investor sentiment. Recent price declines have also coincided with reduced expectations that the CLARITY Act will pass this year after U.S. President Donald Trump disclosed a $1.4 billion crypto-related windfall, a development some market participants have linked to shifting legislative expectations.
Since accumulating Bitcoin in 2015, the Winklevoss twins have realized about $1.7 billion in profit, according to Arkham Intelligence. Despite the latest transfers, they still control more than $300 million worth of Bitcoin. The July movement also follows earlier transfers to Gemini, including about $67.5 million in Bitcoin during June and another $130 million moved in March.
Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure
Citigroup has turned more cautious on the two largest cryptocurrencies, lowering its 12-month Bitcoin price target to $82,000 from $112,000 while reducing its Ethereum forecast to $2,240 from $3,175.
Bitcoin fell as low as $57,747 over the past 24 hours before recovering to trade near $58,600. Trading volume rose about 9% during the same period, while June recorded roughly $4.5 billion in net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, adding to the pressure on market sentiment.
Commenting on current market conditions, crypto analyst Ted Pillows wrote, “Sellers are still dominating, while Coinbase Bitcoin Premium is at its lowest level this cycle.” He added that losing the $57,000-$58,000 support region could expose Bitcoin to a deeper decline toward the $50,000 level.
Ethereum buyers continue accumulating despite weakness
Ethereum has also remained under pressure even as several companies continue adding the asset to their corporate treasuries. As previously reported by crypto.news, quarter-end selling, whale distribution, and weak institutional flows have kept Ether pinned near the $1,500 support area despite ongoing buying from public companies.
Corporate accumulation has nevertheless continued. SharpLink recently disclosed the purchase of another 10,000 ETH at an average price of $1,611, spending about $16.1 million to expand its treasury.
Separately, Bitmine acquired 27,084 ETH over the past week, increasing its holdings to more than 5.7 million ETH. According to crypto.news, those purchases have so far failed to offset continued selling by whales and institutional investors.
Ether was trading around $1,572 at the time of writing, down about 1% over the past 24 hours after moving between an intraday low of $1,549 and a high of $1,600. Trading volume also declined during the session.
Crypto.news reported earlier today that the $1,500-$1,510 region remains Ethereum’s most important support zone. A break below that level would invalidate the current consolidation structure and could open the door to declines toward $1,400 before attention turns to the $1,200 area identified by several market participants.
Crypto World
The Vanishing Bitcoin Bid: Where Are the ETF Billions Going?
US spot Bitcoin ETFs continued to see money leaving the funds on June 30, as investors pulled out $223 million – for the last nine days in a row. In total, the ETFs saw $4.51 billion exit during June, their biggest monthly outflows since launching in January 2024.
Tim Sun, Senior Researcher at HashKey Group, said that while the ETF outflows certainly reflect a weakening of marginal buying pressure for Bitcoin, the core issue isn’t just that ETF funds are flowing out – it’s where those outgoing funds are actually headed.
Bitcoin ETF Exodus
In a statement to CryptoPotato, Sun said that if investors were simply moving their funds into cash or short-term bonds, it would indicate a temporary shift toward safer assets while markets waited for macroeconomic uncertainty to ease. Instead, the researcher said that fund flows since the beginning of the year suggest that institutional investors are reallocating capital to sectors such as artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductors, and the GPU supply chain.
“The market hasn’t completely lost its risk appetite; rather, it is re-selecting its preferred risk assets.”
Sun explained that Bitcoin and AI-related stocks share several characteristics, such as long duration, high volatility, and high narrative elasticity. However, institutional investors currently favor the AI supply chain because companies in that sector are able to turn revenue and capital spending into business results much faster than Bitcoin can deliver returns through its investment narrative.
As a result, he believes the current ETF outflows should be viewed as a sign that Bitcoin’s short-term appeal has weakened compared with AI and semiconductor investments, rather than evidence that the long-term investment case for crypto has disappeared. Sun described the trend as a “capital reallocation within risk assets: Bitcoin’s marginal attractiveness is temporarily weaker than that of AI and semiconductors.”
At the same time, he noted that Bitcoin could attract institutional capital again if the AI trade becomes overcrowded and experiences a correction or if macro liquidity improves.
The Strategy Crisis
ETF outflows aren’t the only headwind for Bitcoin. Strategy, the largest corporate holder of BTC, also faces growing challenges in maintaining its financing model. Sun acknowledged that downside risks remain significant. He said the market’s main concern is not any single development but the simultaneous weakening of the two major sources of marginal buying demand that previously supported Bitcoin’s rally.
On one side, ETFs have shifted from consistent inflows to outflows, while on the other, the market is re-pricing the financing capacity of Strategy. Even so, Sun stressed that the company’s biggest risk is not necessarily that it will trigger a broader market sell-off, but that its ability to keep purchasing BTC at the same pace could decline.
“What truly needs to be observed is whether it will be forced to alter its financing cadence, replenish cash reserves, slow down its buying pace, or even pause purchases altogether.”
If Strategy pauses its buying, Sun stated that it “might not necessarily be a bad thing, because it means the previous distortion of true supply and demand – caused by Strategy’s financial flywheel model – will be alleviated.” In that case, he added Bitcoin would have the opportunity to establish price support based on genuine market demand instead of relying primarily on ETF inflows and Strategy’s purchases.
The post The Vanishing Bitcoin Bid: Where Are the ETF Billions Going? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Prices of tokenized Google stock inflated 7,700% in rare DeFi lending exploit
Edel said it detected and contained the exploit, then paused all of its version-one contracts, which remain frozen, and warned users not to interact with them.
The team added it had traced the attacker’s transactions and is coordinating with exchanges, and that it has offered the attacker a whitehat settlement, a deal that lets a hacker return most of the funds in exchange for a fee and no legal pursuit, within a set window.
No depositor will take a loss, Edel noted, with the team absorbing the bad debt and restoring balances one for one. It is deploying a version two with a redesigned pricing setup meant to block this kind of manipulation, and promised a full technical breakdown to follow.
While the amount is small, the method sits in one of DeFi’s most persistent categories of exploit.
Manipulating the price a protocol reads, rather than breaking into it, ranks as the second most common smart-contract vulnerability in the OWASP Smart Contract Top 10 vulnerabilities for 2025, and security researchers at CertiK describe oracle price manipulation as one of the field’s most common attack vectors.
Alongside cross-chain bridges, which produced the year’s largest single thefts, including the $292 million drained from Kelp DAO in April, price manipulation is where much of the money keeps going, and in most of these, the code works as written.
Crypto World
SanDisk (SNDK) Stock Drops 9.44% Despite Bank of America’s $2,500 Price Target Upgrade
Key Takeaways
- Shares of SanDisk tumbled 9.44% during Tuesday’s session even as Bank of America issued an optimistic price target increase
- Bank of America elevated its SNDK price objective from $2,100 to $2,500 while reiterating its Buy recommendation
- BofA’s Wamsi Mohan anticipates average selling prices could surge as much as 35%, while bit growth may increase 13% sequentially
- The memory maker has soared 800% in 2024 and an eye-popping 4,755% over the trailing year, reaching a $323 billion market capitalization
- Valuation concerns include a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 33 — exceeding both Nvidia and Micron — alongside troubling technical indicators
SanDisk shares experienced a steep decline on Tuesday, surrendering 9.44% of their value during the trading session. The selloff occurred paradoxically on the very day that Bank of America Securities announced an upward revision to its price target, moving from $2,100 to $2,500.
Bank of America’s equity analyst Wamsi Mohan maintained his Buy recommendation on the shares. His optimistic thesis centers on the persistent mismatch between NAND flash memory supply and demand, a condition he anticipates will persist through 2027.
Mohan’s research indicates SanDisk’s average selling prices could experience gains of up to 35%. Additionally, he projects bit growth — representing the total volume of memory units delivered — will expand by 13% on a sequential quarter basis.
Using these assumptions as a foundation, Bank of America now forecasts that SanDisk will report $9.1 billion in revenue for the June quarter alongside earnings per share of $37.01. These projections exceed the Street’s current consensus estimates of $8.35 billion in revenue and $34.26 in EPS.
For the subsequent quarter, BofA’s model anticipates revenue reaching $11.5 billion with EPS climbing to $48.55.
Multi-Year NAND Supply Deals Enhance Earnings Predictability
A critical element supporting Mohan’s optimistic outlook involves SanDisk’s strategic emphasis on securing long-term NAND supply agreements, referred to as NBMs. These multi-year commitments guarantee future revenue streams and provide greater clarity for investors modeling future profitability.
Bank of America anticipates widespread adoption of these contractual arrangements among cloud infrastructure providers and enterprise clients. The investment bank also highlighted that these agreements are designed to preserve gross margin levels within SanDisk’s established target parameters.
This strategic pivot has contributed significantly to SanDisk’s extraordinary market performance. The stock has skyrocketed 800% since the beginning of the year and an astonishing 4,755% over the past twelve months. This explosive growth has transformed what began as a Western Digital spinoff into a company valued at $323 billion.
The bullish sentiment extends beyond Bank of America. Mizuho Securities increased its target from $1,825 to $2,200. Cantor Fitzgerald established an even higher objective at $2,900. Susquehanna Financial Group represents the most aggressive bull case with a $3,250 price target.
The analyst community’s consensus rating stands at Strong Buy — featuring 14 Buy ratings, two Hold ratings, and zero Sell recommendations over the most recent three-month period. The mean price target across all analysts sits at $1,979.38, suggesting approximately 3% downside from present trading levels.
Growing Concerns About Valuation and Market Dynamics
Notwithstanding the widespread analyst enthusiasm, multiple risk factors deserve consideration — and Tuesday’s sharp decline serves as a cautionary reminder.
SanDisk’s forward price-to-earnings multiple has expanded to 33 times, surpassing Nvidia at 22 times and Micron Technology at 18 times. This valuation premium has begun attracting scrutiny from market participants.
Supply-side dynamics present another concern. Elevated memory pricing could incentivize rival manufacturers including Micron, Kingston Technology, and Kioxia Holdings to accelerate production capacity, which would ultimately exert downward pressure on pricing.
From a technical analysis perspective, the weekly chart reveals a bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index. The RSI has been declining even as the stock price has continued advancing — a formation that frequently precedes price corrections.
The equity currently trades at $2,238, substantially above its 50-day moving average of $1,458.
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