This article was written by

Follow

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of FINMY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

While this article may sound like financial advice, please observe that the author is not a CFA or in any way licensed to give financial advice. It may be structured as such, but it is not financial advice. Investors are required and expected to do their own due diligence and research prior to any investment.

Short-term trading, options trading/investment and futures trading are potentially extremely risky investment styles. They generally are not appropriate for someone with limited capital, limited investment experience, or a lack of understanding for the necessary risk tolerance involved.

I own the European/Scandinavian tickers (not the ADRs) of all European/Scandinavian companies listed in my articles. I own the Canadian tickers of all Canadian stocks I write about.

Please note that investing in European/Non-US stocks comes with withholding tax risks specific to the company’s domicile as well as your personal situation. Investors should always consult a tax professional as to the overall impact of dividend withholding taxes and ways to mitigate these.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

This article was written by

Follow

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of RSP, IWM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Lawrence Fuller is the Principal of Fuller Asset Management (FAM), a state registered investment adviser. He is also the manager of the Focused Growth portfolio on the copy-trading platform Dubapp.com. Information presented is for educational purposes only intended for a broad audience. The information does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale of purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. FAM has reasonable belief that this marketing does not include any false or material misleading statements or omissions of facts regarding services, investment, or client experience. FAM has reasonable belief that the content as a whole will not cause an untrue or misleading implication regarding the adviser’s services, investments, or client experiences. Past performance of specific investment advice should not be relied upon without knowledge of certain circumstances or market events, nature and timing of investments and relevant constraints of the investment. FAM has presented information in a fair and balanced manner. FAM is not giving tax, legal, or accounting advice.
Mr. Fuller may discuss and display charts, graphs, formulas, and stock picks which are not intended to be used by themselves to determine which securities to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell them. Such charts and graphs offer limited information and should not be used on their own to make investment decisions. Consultation with a licensed financial professional is strongly suggested. The opinions expressed herein are those of the firm and are subject to change without notice. The opinions referenced are as of the date of publication and are subject to change due to changes in market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

With the artificial intelligence frenzy roiling benchmark gauges from Asia to the US, the NSE Nifty 50 Index is becoming a safe haven of sorts for global investors. In the first half of the year, it moved 1% or more on just about one-third of the days — less than the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and barely more than the S&P 500 Index.

India’s lack of AI plays has been a hurdle most of the year as investors turned to markets like South Korea and Taiwan that delivered stellar returns. But with concerns mounting over the sustainability of that trade, interest in India is slowly coming back. In June, the Nifty 50 outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets Index by the most since November, while foreign outflows were the smallest in four months.

“India’s calm comes down to one thing: It sits outside the AI trade,” said Maxence Visseau, chief investment officer of Arkevium Capital in Dubai. His firm is neutral on the market and uses it as a diversifier, he said. “India works as an AI hedge inside the EM complex.”

ETMarkets.com

Indian equities remain some of the world’s worst performers this year, but the tide is starting to turn as the rupee stabilizes after hitting a record low and oil gains that tanked shares of refiners and airlines recede on easing tensions in the Middle East. That’s reduced inflation concerns and brightened prospects for India’s economic growth, according to a government report at the end of June.

Live Events

At the same time, market players are getting more upbeat about the upcoming earnings season, which Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. kicks off on Thursday.
“The fall in commodity prices has altered the macro outlook for India almost overnight,” said Sandip Sabharwal, founder of research house Asksandipsabharwal.com in Mumbai. “Lower commodity prices, improving capital flows and stable interest rates create an environment where earnings upgrades are likely to exceed downgrades over the coming quarters.”In a note to clients, Morgan Stanley analysts including Ridham Desai wrote last month that India has become a “much larger macro asset class.” The less volatile inflation data in recent years support equity valuations and turn the market into one of defensive growth that can withstand global shocks better than it used to, they said. Over the past decade, the Nifty 50 almost tripled, delivering annual gains of more than 10% on six separate years.

The benchmark index logged 38 sessions with moves of 1% or more in either direction in the first six months of 2026, compared with 59 for MSCI’s emerging-market and Asian gauges and 32 for the S&P 500. South Korea’s Kospi index was off the charts, with 79 days of fluctuations of at least 1% — or two-thirds of the days in 2026.

ETMarkets.com

Meanwhile, the India NSE Volatility Index dropped for a third straight month in June, falling below its one-year average and reaching its lowest level since February on Friday. That’s a far cry from April, when the gauge of option prices was at a one-year high relative to the Cboe Volatility Index, shortly after the Nifty 50 tanked to a low.

Kruti Shah, a quantitative analyst at Equirus Securities, sees a “bullish undertone” in the Nifty 50 and favors call spreads to bet on more gains, adding that the upcoming earnings season may offer some positive surprises.

“India was held back earlier this year by higher energy prices, elevated valuations and limited exposure to the AI trade,” said Ben Powell, chief investment strategist for the Middle East and Asia Pacific at BlackRock Investment Institute. “As those pressures have eased, investors may look beyond AI-heavy markets. That could put India back on investors’ radar as a differentiated opportunity within emerging markets.”