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Elon Musk Grok AI Predicts XRP Will Explode by End of 2026

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Elon Musk Grok AI Predicts XRP Will Explode by End of 2026

Elon Musk Grok AI just cataloged every major institutional development in the XRP ecosystem and arrived at one of the cleaner year-end XRP price predictions in this series. The model predicts $4.50 to $6.00 or more by December 31, 2026, roughly 4 to 5.5 times current levels.

The bull case opens with the legal foundation that everything else now builds on. XRP trades near $1.11 today, and the SEC lawsuit being fully resolved in 2025, with a formal confirmation that XRP is not a security on secondary markets, has removed the single most important institutional barrier that existed anywhere in crypto.

That clarity has opened the door to a cascade of structural developments. US spot XRP ETFs have already attracted $1.4 to $1.5 billion in cumulative net inflows with sustained streaks despite price volatility, locking up hundreds of millions of tokens in custody and creating real supply scarcity.

Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is rapidly scaling with launches in Japan via SBI and full MiCA CASP licensing in Europe coming in July 2026, enabling seamless XRP bridging for cross-border payments across both major markets.

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Elon Musk Grok AI XRP Price Prediction

Tokenized real world assets on the XRP Ledger have now exceeded $4 billion across more than 500 products, with institutional pilots including JPMorgan settlements adding serious credibility to the on chain activity numbers.

Expanding on-demand liquidity adoption by banks, network upgrades supporting compliant DeFi and lending, and major sports partnerships, rounding out brand momentum, all stack on top of that foundation.

In this scenario, the model sees ETF inflows potentially doubling or more, RLUSD and XRPL synergies boosting on ledger demand, and broader institutional rotation into utility tokens with proven payment rails driving that $4.50 to $6.00 target.

The bear case is comparatively contained. If macro headwinds intensify, ETF flows decelerate further, or the CLARITY Act faces prolonged delays, the model sees consolidation or a pullback toward $1.50 to $2.50 instead of a full breakout.

Even in that scenario it argues core utility and post SEC clarity provide strong downside support, meaning the floor looks firmer than it did in previous cycles.

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XRP Price Prediction: XRP Stabilizes Above $1.00 With A Year’s Worth Of Catalysts Lined Up Behind It

The daily chart shows XRP at $1.11434 after a long grinding decline from highs above $3.65 set back in early August of last year. That entire move lower has been relentless, with only the briefest of bounces interrupting the descent.

Price spent most of June testing and retesting the $1.00 psychological floor before buyers finally stepped in with enough conviction to defend it, and the past 2 weeks have seen a steady recovery building back toward current levels.

Today’s candle is up nearly 2% and trading into the $1.11 to $1.12 zone, which is the highest close in about 3 weeks and represents the first real sign of consecutive positive sessions holding their gains rather than fading immediately.

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Resistance sits first near $1.20, the level price has repeatedly failed to clear on a closing basis throughout the past several months, then a much heavier ceiling near $1.60 where multiple rallies earlier this year ran into sellers.

Above $1.60 the chart opens up toward $2.00 and beyond, levels that would need to fall before any conversation about $4.50 becomes technically grounded. Support holds at $1.00, the psychological floor that just got tested and defended multiple times over the past month.

The overall structure remains a series of lower highs stretching back to August 2025, meaning the downtrend has not technically reversed despite the recent stabilization.

Momentum on the daily candles looks more constructive than at any point in the past several months, with the bounce off $1.00 showing staying power rather than immediately fading.

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A sustained close above $1.20 and then $1.40 would be the first real technical evidence that the institutional accumulation Grok is describing has started showing up in price rather than just in ETF flow data.

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Here is What Grok AI Predicts For LiquidChain Near Future

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The market leaders are stuck. Waiting on them is not a position. It is a queue.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have been testing the same ceilings for weeks. The catalyst is always one print away. The inflows are always next quarter. Every large-cap trader waiting for a breakout is waiting on someone else’s decision.

Grok AI sees what smart money already knows. Capital that disappears as noise at Bitcoin’s scale can move a small undiscovered project by multiples. The asymmetric return lives in one place: the gap between what something is genuinely worth and what the market has priced it at. That gap closes the moment the project gets found.

Cross-chain fragmentation has been extracting value from DeFi since the first bridge launched. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana were built as separate systems with no intent to interoperate. Every transaction crossing those boundaries pays in fees, slippage, and execution failures. Bridges did not solve the problem. They monetized it.

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LiquidChain eliminates the toll entirely. All 3 networks within a single execution layer. One deployment. No cross-chain tax anywhere.

Grok AI flagged it as worth watching. The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $860,000 raised.

Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Established assets offer a predictable ride toward a ceiling everyone can already see. LiquidChain is an entry point that disappears once the market finds it.

Visit LiquidChain Here.

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Federal Prosecutors Say This Sioux Falls Crypto Investor Ran a $20 Million Fraud

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Spain Ex-PM Zapatero Denies Bailout Scheme as Court Hunts His Crypto

A federal grand jury indicted Sioux Falls crypto investor Benjamin Paul Wiener, 43, on 29 counts tied to an alleged fraud scheme that prosecutors estimate cost victims roughly $20 million.

The charges include wire fraud, money laundering, bank fraud, and aggravated identity theft. Wiener pleaded not guilty on July 10 and was released on bond ahead of a September trial.

This Crypto Investor Allegedly Turned Dozens Into Fraud Victims

According to the indictment, Wiener solicited both money and digital currency from investors through his companies. He allegedly made false statements and fraudulent representations.

Dozens of victims across South Dakota and Minnesota were affected, prosecutors said. After collecting funds, Wiener allegedly moved the money to hide its source and ownership.

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Prosecutors describe a structure common to Ponzi cases. When funds ran low or an investor sought a refund, Wiener allegedly recruited new investors. He then used that fresh money to repay earlier backers and cover personal expenses.

The laundering allegedly ran through both banks and cryptocurrency exchanges. This mixed flow of fiat and crypto helped conceal the activity, according to the government.

“As a result of Wiener’s conduct, the government alleges the estimated total loss is approximately $20 million,” the press release reads.

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Entities and Bank Fraud

Wiener allegedly operated the scheme through eight entities. Most carried the “Benaiah” name, including Benaiah Capital LLC and Benaiah Digital LP. The list also included Aslan Management LLC and Runway Four10.

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Separately, prosecutors allege Wiener defrauded a Sioux Falls bank. In April 2025, he secured a $1 million credit line by falsifying documents, according to the indictment. He allegedly used another person’s identifying information without permission to do so.

The charges remain accusations, and Wiener is presumed innocent unless proven guilty. His trial is set for September 15, 2026.

The case joins a growing list of federal prosecutions targeting operators who allegedly defrauded investors and used crypto to move the proceeds. The Justice Department charged 265 fraud defendants in 2025, with intended losses topping $16 billion.

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Injective seeks SEC transfer agent status to put records onchain

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Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC

Injective says it has filed for transfer agent registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, seeking a regulated route to maintain ownership records for tokenized securities on blockchain infrastructure. 

Summary

  • Injective says its SEC filing could move tokenized securities ownership records directly onto blockchain infrastructure.
  • The proposed transfer agent role would connect legal shareholder records with sub-second blockchain settlement systems.
  • No public SEC filing was located, leaving the registration claim independently unverified at publication time.

The blockchain project announced the filing on X on July 16. The move could place Injective closer to the regulated systems that determine legal securities ownership. 

However, Injective did not name the legal entity that submitted the application, and a public filing matching the announcement was not located in SEC materials reviewed at publication time.

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Injective targets a regulated securities record system

Transfer agents perform a core role in U.S. securities markets. They record ownership changes, maintain security holder records, and handle other administrative functions for issuers. The SEC says a transfer agent must register with the appropriate regulator before performing transfer agent functions for qualifying securities.

Injective said its proposed system would move these records onto blockchain infrastructure. 

“Tokenized securities and RWAs need compliant ownership records on infrastructure that settles in less than a second,” the project said. 

Still, filing for registration does not mean that the SEC has approved the application.

Tokenization moves beyond issuing digital assets

The filing comes as blockchain firms and traditional financial companies move beyond simply issuing tokenized assets. Market infrastructure providers are now testing blockchain for trading data, settlement, collateral management, and securities administration.

As crypto.news previously reported, Nasdaq began distributing its TotalView order book data through Pyth Network in June. The arrangement gives blockchain applications access to institutional market data and forms part of Nasdaq’s broader work around tokenized markets.

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Wall Street infrastructure continues moving onchain

Meanwhile, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation is developing blockchain-based infrastructure for post-trade markets. DTCC is working with Chainlink on a Collateral AppChain designed to support around-the-clock collateral pricing, valuation, margining, and settlement. The platform targets a Q4 2026 production launch.

Tokenized stock markets are also expanding. As previously reported, the New York Stock Exchange has partnered with Securitize on infrastructure for tokenized stocks and exchange-traded funds, while Nasdaq has pursued its own regulated tokenization initiatives.

Injective expands its focus on real-world assets

Injective has already positioned its network around decentralized finance and tokenized real-world assets. In 2025, the project partnered with Republic to expand access to tokenized private-market investments through its blockchain infrastructure.

The transfer agent application would take that strategy into another part of regulated market infrastructure if approved. Rather than only providing technology for issuing or trading tokenized assets, Injective would seek a role in maintaining the official records that show who owns securities.

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1inch co-founder exits after firing claim, unveils Second Tier

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1inch co-founder exits after firing claim, unveils Second Tier

1inch co-founder Anton Bukov says he has fully stepped away from the decentralized finance project’s operations after more than seven years and is now launching a new venture called Second Tier. 

Summary

  • Anton Bukov says 1inch fired him in November 2025 after he pushed for management changes.
  • Bukov says he remains a co-founder and 50% shareholder but no longer oversees company operations.
  • 1inch says Bukov stopped active involvement in December 2025 and insists its systems remain unaffected.

Bukov said the company fired him in late November 2025 after he pushed for changes to management and operations.

However, 1inch gave a different account of his recent role. The company said Bukov had not been actively involved in organizations linked to the project since December 2025. Bukov said he remains a co-founder and 50% shareholder but no longer has operational authority.

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Bukov says management push ended with his firing

In a statement published on X, Bukov said feedback from users and colleagues led him to become more involved in leadership and company operations. He said he spent months working on his leadership and communication approach while trying to change how the organization operated. “In late November 2025 I was fired,” he said.

Bukov also drew a clear line between his ownership position and his current responsibilities. “I no longer take part in the company’s operations,” he said. 

He added that he has no role in product architecture or security and no oversight of either area. His statement leaves him as a shareholder and co-founder without a stated day-to-day management role.

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1inch says operations and infrastructure remain unaffected

1inch responded on X by saying Bukov had not been actively involved in any associated organizations since December 2025. The statement presents a different timeline for his operational departure but does not change Bukov’s claim that the company dismissed him the previous month. The company has not publicly detailed the internal discussions that preceded the split.

Meanwhile, co-founder Sergej Kunz sought to reassure users about the project’s operations. He said Bukov’s departure “is not disrupting, will not disrupt, 1inch Network’s infrastructure or systems.” Kunz remains in charge as the protocol continues developing its trading and liquidity products.

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Second Tier becomes Bukov’s next project

Alongside his departure statement, Bukov announced Second Tier as his next venture. He said he is building the project with people who share the same values from the start. However, public information about its products, funding and launch schedule remains limited.

The move closes Bukov’s active operating role at a project he co-founded with Kunz in May 2019. During his time at 1inch, Bukov worked on protocol architecture and security, according to his account. The project later expanded from decentralized exchange aggregation into cross-chain trading tools and other DeFi infrastructure.

1inch continues expanding its DeFi products

As previously reported by crypto.news, 1inch partnered with Rewardy Wallet in January to provide gasless cross-chain swaps across five blockchain networks through its Swap API. The integration formed part of 1inch’s broader effort to simplify decentralized trading while keeping users in control of their assets.

More recently, the leadership split comes after renewed attention on security across 1inch-linked infrastructure. In May, TrustedVolumes lost about $5.87 million after an attacker targeted its custom RFQ swap proxy. The incident did not affect a standard 1inch user swap route. 

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Kunz later called for safer lending structures following separate stresses in DeFi markets. Bukov’s latest statement now makes clear that he no longer oversees 1inch product architecture or security, while the company maintains that its systems and ongoing operations remain unaffected by his departure.

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Bybit Launches in Indonesia After NOBI Acquisition

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Bybit Launches in Indonesia After NOBI Acquisition

Crypto exchange Bybit announced Thursday it has launched a locally operated platform in Indonesia after acquiring a majority stake in digital asset firm PT Enkripsi Teknologi Handal, formerly known as NOBI. 

The deal saw NOBI rebranded as Bybit Indonesia. The crypto exchange said it plans to introduce its services in phases, starting with 500 cryptocurrency trading pairs. 

The exchange will be led by Lawrence Samantha, who will serve as CEO and Dionisius Evan, who serves as chief operating officer, both formerly senior executives at NOBI. 

“This acquisition allows us to combine Bybit’s global capabilities with an experienced local team that understands Indonesia’s market and regulatory environment,” Samantha said in a statement. 

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As of February 2026, Indonesia had 21.07 million registered crypto asset users, according to the Indonesia Financial Services Authority, with total crypto transaction value reaching $26.85 billion (482 trillion Indonesian rupiah) in 2025.

As of April, Indonesia had licensed 31 crypto-related entities, including two crypto exchanges, two clearing institutions, two custodians, and 25 digital asset traders, one of which is PT Enkripsi Teknologi Handal.

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Balaji threatens Malaysia exit as Network School seeks legal deal

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Balaji threatens Malaysia exit as Network School seeks legal deal

Balaji Srinivasan has paused further investment in Malaysia and is seeking a formal agreement with the government after authorities investigated his Network School community in Johor’s Forest City. 

Summary

  • Network School pauses further Malaysia investment while seeking written assurances after authorities investigate residency claims.
  • Malaysian immigration checks found all 266 foreign residents held valid documents, with investigations still continuing.
  • Srinivasan says a $122 million expansion remains frozen unless Malaysia provides sufficient legal certainty first.

The former Coinbase chief technology officer said he wants written assurance that the project and its participants are welcome before committing more capital.

The dispute began after social media allegations claimed that Israeli citizens were staying at the community while using second-country passports. However, Malaysia’s Immigration Department later said all 266 foreigners inspected held valid travel documents. Officials said further checks would continue if new evidence raised questions about identity, permits, or immigration rules.

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Balaji seeks written deal with Malaysia

Srinivasan said he wants more than broad statements supporting technology investment. In a video posted on X and addressed to Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, he asked for a document confirming that Network School can continue operating and investing in Malaysia with greater legal certainty.

“I’d like to have a document which says not just abstractly that tech is welcome … but rather that we’re personally welcome,” Srinivasan said. 

He suggested that the arrangement could take the form of a memorandum of understanding or changes linked to a special economic zone provision.

$122 million expansion plan put on hold

Meanwhile, Srinivasan said Network School would pause further investment in Malaysia until it receives “sufficient assurance” that similar disputes will not happen again. The decision includes a planned $122 million expansion of the community, according to reporting on his statement.

He also warned that the project could move its capital elsewhere. “If not, then we will readily go somewhere else because I don’t want to be where we’re not welcome,” Srinivasan said. Still, he did not name alternative locations or give a deadline for reaching an agreement with Malaysian authorities.

Immigration checks find valid documents

The investigation followed claims shared by activist group Malaysian Protest 4 Palestine in an Instagram post, which accused Network School of hosting Israeli entrepreneurs. Malaysian authorities then reviewed the status of foreign residents at the Forest City site.

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However, the Immigration Department said its initial inspection found valid documents for 266 foreigners from 40 countries. Reuters also reported that Malaysia bars entry to Israeli passport holders without special permission but has no specific law banning Israelis who enter using another country’s passport. 

Therefore, the document checks did not establish the social media allegations, while officials said further investigations could continue if new information emerged.

Network School faces new test in Forest City

Srinivasan launched Network School in 2024 as a physical community for founders, technologists, and other builders. The project operates in Forest City, a large Johor development near Singapore, and forms part of his broader idea of internet-based communities building permanent physical hubs.

As crypto.news reported in June, Forest City also hosted Q-Day, a blockchain security event where Srinivasan was listed among the speakers. More recently, he was announced as a headline speaker for Bitcoin Asia 2026 in Hong Kong.

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Trump Media Launches “Truth API” for Low-Latency Trading Access

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Crypto Breaking News

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind the Truth Social platform, says it is preparing a new paid API aimed at institutional investors and trading firms. The service is designed to deliver low-latency access to posts from Truth Social’s most influential accounts, including U.S. President Donald Trump.

According to a filing made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, TMTG expects the “Truth API” to be available to institutional customers starting Aug. 1, 2026. The company framed the product as a machine-readable, real-time feed suitable for high-frequency and algorithmic trading strategies.

Key takeaways

  • TMTG plans a paid “Truth API” to provide licensed, real-time access to posts from select Truth Social accounts.
  • The API is targeted at institutional customers and is positioned for low-latency use cases such as algorithmic and high-frequency trading.
  • Availability is expected from Aug. 1, 2026, according to TMTG’s SEC filing.
  • TMTG says the new offering is intended to reduce scraping and push data access through authorized channels.

A licensed feed for market-facing automation

TMTG’s announcement centers on an API that packages Truth Social content into a format traders and data systems can ingest quickly. The company stated that the goal is to provide “the fastest” access to posts from Truth Social’s most market-moving accounts, including Donald Trump, through a licensed channel.

In the SEC filing referenced in the report, TMTG described the API as a direct feed built for environments where timing and machine readability matter—particularly for algorithmic and high-frequency trading firms. For investors and market participants, the implication is straightforward: instead of manually monitoring posts or relying on third-party workarounds, institutions could potentially integrate Truth Social updates directly into their data and execution pipelines.

Kevin McGurn, TMTG’s interim CEO, linked the product to both market relevance and monetization. In a statement tied to the announcement, he argued that “markets already move on Truth Social posts,” and positioned the Truth API as a way to monetize what the company calls proprietary assets through a recurring revenue stream.

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Why Truth Social posts are being packaged as a tradable data stream

TMTG points to the platform’s track record of influencing market attention, noting that posts attributed to Trump’s account have been cited as market-moving. The report’s examples include comments connected to the ongoing Iran-U.S. conflict, underscoring the company’s view that Truth Social can function as a real-time communications channel with immediate downstream effects.

The announcement also highlights that Truth Social includes several prominent accounts beyond the president. The report names Donald Trump Jr, Eric Trump, and FBI Director Kash Patel among other major figures on the platform. While the precise mechanics of which accounts will be included—and how frequently data updates will arrive—are not detailed in the excerpt, the company’s emphasis on “influential” accounts indicates a curated list rather than a universal firehose.

For institutional users, such curation could matter as much as latency. Many trading and analytics setups prefer structured, predictable feeds that target specific signal sources, reducing the overhead of filtering large volumes of content.

TMTG targets scraping—and shifts data access to “direct” licensing

A core theme of the announcement is enforcing terms around how Truth Social data is obtained. McGurn’s statement, as reported, contrasts the Truth API with what he described as past attempts to scrape content. He said that scraping data from Truth Social violates the platform’s terms of service.

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In a quote attributed to CNN, McGurn added that the company intends to “create a lot of friction” for those who do not come to TMTG directly. That line signals that the Truth API is not only about adding a new revenue stream; it is also about changing behavior in the broader market data ecosystem.

Historically, major social platforms often face the same recurring challenge: third-party aggregators scrape content or republish it without licensing. By offering a paid, low-latency alternative, TMTG is effectively betting that many institutional workflows can be shifted away from gray-market access and toward formal licensing.

What investors should watch next

Even with the Aug. 1, 2026 target date, important questions remain for anyone tracking the Truth API’s rollout—particularly which specific accounts will be included, how the data will be structured for machine reading, and what latency and availability guarantees will look like in practice. Traders and data buyers will likely want clarity on the licensing scope and the operational details that determine whether the feed can truly fit into automated decision systems.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Citadel Securities bets $400M on Crypto.com at $20B valuation

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Citadel Securities bets $400M on Crypto.com at $20B valuation

Citadel Securities has invested $400 million in Crypto.com, valuing the digital asset platform at $20 billion in its first institutional funding round. 

Summary

  • Citadel Securities invests $400 million in Crypto.com, valuing the crypto exchange at $20 billion globally.
  • The deal marks Crypto.com’s first institutional funding round in its decade-long operating history to date.
  • Crypto.com plans to use funding to expand tokenized securities, derivatives, and other financial asset classes.

The deal brings together a leading U.S. market maker and one of the world’s best-known crypto exchanges. Crypto.com announced the investment on July 16.

The company said it plans to use the capital to expand across more asset classes. In particular, Crypto.com named tokenized securities and derivatives among its priorities as it builds services that connect traditional markets with digital asset infrastructure.

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Citadel Securities makes $400 million Crypto.com investment

The strategic investment gives Crypto.com a $20 billion valuation. It also marks the first time the company has raised institutional funding since its founding in 2016. However, the companies did not disclose the size of the stake Citadel Securities received or other terms of the transaction.

Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek said the company expects digital assets to play a larger role in financial markets. He said “crypto increasingly becomes the rails for finance.” 

According to the company, its existing regulatory and technology systems will support its planned expansion into additional financial products.

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Funding targets tokenized securities and derivatives

Crypto.com said the funding will accelerate its move into tokenized securities, derivatives, and other asset classes. The exchange aims to build a broader financial platform that operates around the clock while offering products linked to both traditional and digital markets.

Meanwhile, institutional investment in tokenization has continued to grow. As crypto.news previously reported, Digital Asset Holdings raised $355 million in June in a round backed by Citadel Securities and other institutions. The company behind Canton Network focuses on blockchain infrastructure for tokenized assets and regulated finance.

Citadel expands its links to digital asset infrastructure

Citadel Securities already has links to several digital asset projects. The company describes itself as the No. 1 U.S. retail market maker and says it handles about 35% of U.S.-listed retail trading volume. Its direct investment in Crypto.com adds another connection to the growing market for digital asset infrastructure.

Moreover, affiliates of Citadel Securities participated in Ripple’s $500 million strategic funding round in November 2025. That transaction valued Ripple at $40 billion as the company expanded its businesses across custody, stablecoins, and prime brokerage.

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Crypto.com prepares for broader financial market expansion

Citadel Securities President Jim Esposito said the combination of traditional markets and digital asset infrastructure could improve market efficiency. He added that Crypto.com had built a platform capable of supporting greater institutional participation in digital assets.

At the same time, Crypto.com has widened its focus beyond cryptocurrency trading. The company has identified prediction markets and tokenized real-world assets as areas for further development. The new capital gives it more funding to pursue that strategy as exchanges and financial companies compete to offer more products around the clock.

The deal also comes as tokenized assets attract greater attention from Wall Street. As crypto.news reported, firms including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Nasdaq, and Citadel Securities have been building infrastructure for tokenized finance. Against that backdrop, Crypto.com’s first institutional funding round supports its effort to expand beyond its core crypto exchange business.

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Bitcoin under $64,000 after new U.S. strike on Iran and Trump’s China allegation

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Bitcoin under $64,000 after new U.S. strike on Iran and Trump's China allegation

Bitcoin and Asian stocks fell Friday after fresh U.S. airstrikes on Iran raised geopolitical uncertainty. Additionally, President Donald Trump’s allegations that China tampered with the 2020 election hurt risk sentiment, sending the Australian dollar lower.

BTC, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, slipped to $63,600, extending Thursday’s nearly 1.4% slide from $65,000, according to CoinDesk data. As of this writing, the cryptocurrency traded just below its 50-day simple moving average, the widely-tracked gauge of near-term momentum.

Asian equity markets wilted, with Japan’s Nikkei trading nearly 3% lower at its lowest in over a month. Australia’s ASX 200 slipped by 0.5% alongside a 0.8% drop in futures tied to Nasdaq. Wall Street’s tech-heavy index fell by over 1.6% on Thursday.

Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency quoted Hormozgan Province Governorate, saying that U.S. airstrikes have hit five bridges in the southern Hormozgan province. A missile strike also hit Iran’s Chabahar maritime control tower. Surprisingly, WTI oil futures held steady at around $79 per barrel, ignoring the geopolitical stress from the fresh wave of U.S. attacks on Iran.

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Venezuela’s USDT trading now rivals oil exports as volume hits $1.39B

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Tether shuts down Alloy as XAUT becomes bigger gold bet

Venezuela’s USDT market is handling volumes that now rival one of the country’s largest sources of foreign currency.

Summary

  • Venezuela’s Binance P2P market handled 1.389 billion USDT between June 11 and July 13 alone.
  • Ecoanalítica estimated the volume equaled 75% of Venezuela’s monthly oil export value during the period.
  • USDT traded near 840 bolivars, around 15.5% above Venezuela’s official exchange rate in mid-July 2026.

Ecoanalítica estimated that 1.389 billion USDT changed hands on Binance’s peer-to-peer market between June 11 and July 13, equal to about 44 million USDT per day.

The research firm estimated that the volume represented about 75% of Venezuela’s monthly oil export value. However, a separate calculation using June crude exports and the average price of Merey crude places the ratio closer to 52%, showing that the comparison depends on the method and reference period used.

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Binance P2P becomes a major foreign-currency channel

Ecoanalítica developed a method to estimate the size of Binance’s P2P market in Venezuela. According to the firm, the results show how the platform has moved from a small alternative market into a major channel for buying and selling dollar-linked value outside the traditional banking system.

The 1.389 billion USDT volume also equaled about 64.2% of the $2.163 billion in foreign currency supplied by the Central Bank of Venezuela during June, based on figures cited by CriptoNoticias. 

The central bank increased its supply by 36% from May as it sought to reduce pressure on the bolivar. Ecoanalítica placed the comparison at 88%, although it did not publish enough detail to verify the difference.

USDT trades at a premium to Venezuela’s official dollar rate

Meanwhile, USDT traded around 840 bolivars on local P2P markets, about 15.5% above the official exchange rate of 727 bolivars per U.S. dollar on July 16. The spread remained narrower than earlier in 2026, when the difference between official and alternative rates stood near 30%.

Ecoanalítica director Alejandro Grisanti said Binance had gone “from being a marginal market to becoming one of the main channels for buying and selling foreign currency.” He also said P2P activity could slow if formal banks regain more capacity to supply foreign currency. As a result, users could shift some transactions back to traditional financial platforms.

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Oil figures leave the 75% estimate open to question

Venezuela exported about 1.2 million barrels of crude per day in June, while the average price of Merey crude fell to $71.13 per barrel from $82.77 in May. Using those figures, monthly crude export value would stand near $2.56 billion, putting the reported USDT volume at roughly 52% rather than 75%.

The difference may reflect another export price, reference period, or method used by Ecoanalítica. However, Grisanti did not provide the full calculation behind the 75% figure. Therefore, the oil comparison remains an estimate, while the reported Binance P2P volume stands at 1.389 billion USDT for the period.

Stablecoins remain tied to Venezuela’s oil and dollar market

The latest figures add to a longer shift toward stablecoins in Venezuela. As crypto.news previously reported, state oil company PDVSA had been gradually moving some crude and fuel sales toward USDT as U.S. sanctions made conventional payment channels harder to use. That development connected the country’s oil trade with the same dollar-linked token now widely traded in its domestic P2P market.

More recently, as crypto.news reported in April, Tether said it had frozen more than $344 million in USDT linked to sanctions evasion and criminal networks in cooperation with U.S. authorities. The report also noted earlier concerns about PDVSA’s use of USDT. The latest P2P estimates now place stablecoin trading at a scale comparable with major official and export-related foreign-currency flows.

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India’s biggest IPO this year rakes in bids worth $31 billion, powered by institutional frenzy

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India's biggest IPO this year rakes in bids worth $31 billion, powered by institutional frenzy

Signage for SBI Funds Management Ltd. at a news conference in Mumbai, India, on Thursday, July 9, 2026.

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India’s biggest public market offering this year, SBI Fund Management, has garnered bids worth 2.97 trillion rupees ($30.7 billion), underscoring the liquidity available in the market ahead of the much larger issues anticipated in 2026.

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SBI Fund Management, which is a joint venture between State Bank of India and Europe’s Amundi Group, was in the market to raise 97.9 billion rupees ($1 billion). Its initial public offering was oversubscribed 41.6 times, owing to an enthusiastic response from institutional investors.

The portion reserved for qualified institutional buyers was subscribed 140 times, with most of the bids coming from domestic institutional investors such as banks and insurance companies. Participation by retail investors was relatively muted, with subscriptions at 3.6 times the offer that closed on Thursday.

Institutional interest is good news for public issues of India’s largest stock bourse, the National Stock Exchange, and the country’s biggest wireless telecommunications company, Jio Platforms, expected to hit the market later this year.

Both companies are estimated to raise more than $3 billion each, according to Mumbai-based IPO intelligence firm Prime Database.

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India has been the most prolific IPO market in the world over the last two years, with the highest number listings, but activity was subdued here during the first half of the year.

Rising energy prices due to the Iran war have squeezed the Indian economy, taking the sheen off its domestic consumption story. That has coincided with a global investment rally in AI stocks, an industry where India has no champions.

As a result, since the start of the year, the Indian benchmark Sensex has lost over 9.4% and has been among the worst-performing large stock markets. The broader Nifty 50 is down 7.9% so far this year. In June, after a ceasefire between Iran and the U.S., the Indian market recovered partially, and companies started announcing fundraising plans.

Stock market offerings worth $50 billion could flood the Indian markets this year, though the continuation of the Iran war remains a key risk.

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Investors will be keeping a close watch on the listing of SBI Fund Management next week, as strong post IPO gains would increase appetite for new issues. SBI Funds is India’s largest asset management company and, as of March 2026, it had 29.5 trillion rupees ($395 billion) under management.

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