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Why Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) Stocks Just Crashed into Bear Market Territory

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Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)

TLDR

  • Amazon and Microsoft have entered bear market territory, both down over 20% from recent highs due to concerns about heavy AI spending without matching cloud revenue growth.
  • The Magnificent Seven ETF has dropped nearly 11% from its October peak as investors rotate away from big tech stocks.
  • Apple fell 5% on Thursday after reports emerged that its planned AI upgrade to Siri may face delays.
  • Alphabet is down 6.4% over the past month, while Meta has given up all post-earnings gains and Tesla is down 7.3% year-to-date.
  • UBS downgraded the U.S. technology sector to Neutral, citing concerns about AI capital expenditure outpacing current revenue generation.

The Magnificent Seven technology stocks are experiencing a downturn driven by investor concerns about artificial intelligence spending. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF closed Thursday in correction territory, down nearly 11% from its late October high.

Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)

Amazon and Microsoft have been hit hardest among the group. Both companies have now entered bear market territory, meaning they are down more than 20% from their recent highs. Investors have penalized the two tech giants for ramping up AI infrastructure investments without delivering proportional cloud computing revenue growth.

The selloff has spread beyond the initial leaders. Alphabet, which received praise for its Gemini AI platform and cloud unit growth, has declined 6.4% over the past month. Meta Platforms erased all gains from its recent earnings report, which had highlighted AI-driven revenue growth.

Apple Faces Delay Concerns

Apple experienced its worst single-day performance since April 2025, falling 5% on Thursday. Reports indicated that the company’s planned AI upgrade to its digital assistant Siri may be delayed. The news raised questions about whether new AI features will drive the next iPhone upgrade cycle.

The company also faces headwinds from rising memory chip prices. These cost pressures come as investors wait for clearer signs of AI adoption in Apple’s product lineup.

Broader Market Rotation Underway

UBS recently downgraded the U.S. technology sector to Neutral from its previous rating. Mark Haefele, chief investment officer for global wealth management at UBS, recommended investors diversify across sectors and geographies. He noted that AI value creation is occurring beyond the information technology sector.

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Mark Hawtin of Liontrust Asset Management highlighted the rising capital expenditure across the Magnificent Seven companies. He pointed to Amazon as an example, noting that much of the company’s expected cash flow this year could be absorbed by increased capital spending on AI infrastructure.

Other Magnificent Seven Members

Nvidia has traded in a range for several months without breaking out. The chip maker continues to face questions about sustaining its AI-driven growth trajectory. Tesla remains an outlier in the group, moving based on investor sentiment around CEO Elon Musk’s robotaxi and robot deployment plans rather than AI trends.

Tesla is down 7.3% year-to-date. Meta Platforms sits just above the threshold that would place it in bear market territory alongside Amazon and Microsoft.

The collective decline reflects a shift in investor sentiment toward the market’s most concentrated positions. The Magnificent Seven stocks have driven a large portion of market gains over the past two years. Weakness in these companies now weighs on broader market indexes.

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Investors are not reacting to weak earnings reports. The concern centers on future growth prospects, specifically how quickly artificial intelligence investments will convert into profits. Companies across the group are spending heavily on AI infrastructure while current revenue from the technology remains limited compared to the capital outlays.

Wall Street analysts maintain that Microsoft has the most upside potential among the group. The average price target for Microsoft stock stands at $593.38 per share, implying 47.7% upside from current levels.

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Crypto World

U.S. Grants General License to Reliance Industries to Buy Venezuelan Oil

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21Shares Introduces JitoSOL ETP to Offer Staking Rewards via Solana

TLDR

  • The United States issued a general licence to Reliance Industries, allowing direct purchases of Venezuelan oil without breaching sanctions.
  • The move follows Washington’s easing of sanctions on Venezuela’s energy sector after internal political changes.
  • General licence permissions include buying, exporting, selling, and refining extracted Venezuelan crude.
  • Reliance had previously stopped Venezuelan oil imports due to sanctions but now could resume direct purchases.
  • The licence supports Reliance’s efforts to diversify crude sources and reduce reliance on higher‑cost alternatives.

The United States has issued a general license allowing India’s Reliance Industries Ltd to purchase Venezuelan oil directly. This development follows the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. The decision could streamline Venezuela’s oil exports while benefiting Reliance’s refining operations.

U.S. Eases Sanctions to Facilitate Venezuelan Oil Purchases

According to a Reuters report, the U.S. has eased sanctions on Venezuela’s energy sector, aiming to support a $2 billion oil deal with Washington. The sanction relief also complements the broader goal of aiding Venezuela’s oil industry reconstruction.

A general license now authorizes companies to buy and refine Venezuelan oil, bypassing previous restrictions. Reliance Industries applied for the license in January. As one of the world’s largest oil refiners, it operates an advanced refining complex.

The license will allow Reliance to resume buying Venezuelan oil directly. This could expedite the company’s plans to replace Russian oil supplies.

Reliance’s Oil Strategy and the Role of Venezuelan Imports

Reliance recently bought 2 million barrels of Venezuelan oil from Vitol, a major trader. The company is expected to continue seeking discounted Venezuelan crude, replacing Russian oil in its refineries.

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Reliance’s purchase marks a shift from the company’s earlier reliance on Russian oil amid geopolitical tensions. The U.S. has granted specific licenses to traders like Vitol and Trafigura, enabling them to sell Venezuelan oil.

These traders now have the authority to market large quantities of oil from Venezuela. This move aims to reduce Reliance’s dependence on more expensive crude, thus lowering costs for its refining operations.

The Strategic Shift in Global Oil Supply Chains

Reliance’s refineries, with a combined capacity of 1.4 million barrels per day, stand to benefit from the cheaper Venezuelan oil. The company had ceased buying Venezuelan crude in 2025 due to U.S. sanctions but will now be able to resume direct purchases.

This shift will allow Reliance to diversify its oil sources amid the changing global oil market. The general license granted by the U.S. marks a key step in this transition.

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By securing access to discounted Venezuelan oil, Reliance can maintain its competitive edge. This development could further align India’s energy interests with U.S. strategic goals in the region.

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Passing CLARITY Act Will ‘Comfort’ Crypto Market Investors: Scott Bessent

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US Government, United States, Elections

Passing the CLARITY crypto structure bill could improve market sentiment amid the ongoing downturn, according to United States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

The stalling of the CLARITY bill over concerns voiced by crypto industry executives has negatively impacted the industry, Bessent told CNBC on Friday. He said:

“In a time when we are having one of these historically volatile sell-offs, I think some clarity on the CLARITY bill would give great comfort to the market, and we could move forward from there. 

I think if the Democrats were to take the House, which is far from my best case, then the prospects of getting a deal done will just fall apart,” Bessent continued.

US Government, United States, Elections
Bessent discusses the importance of passing the CLARITY crypto market structure bill ahead of the 2026 US midterm elections. Source: CNBC

He said that getting the bill passed “as soon as possible” and sent to US President Donald Trump for signature by spring, which occurs between late March and late June in the US, is important, given the potential shift in the balance of power in the 2026 midterm elections. 

Related: White House officials met with crypto, banking reps to discuss stablecoins

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The 2026 midterm elections could throw a wrench in Trump’s crypto agenda

The balance of power typically shifts in US midterm election years, Joe Doll, the former general counsel at non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace Magic Eden, told Cointelegraph.

“President Trump has a two-year unimpeded mandate that can be weakened greatly in the 2026 mid-term elections and reversed in the 2028 elections,” economist Ray Dalio said in January.

This potential political shift could reverse the Trump administration’s pro-crypto policies, if they are not codified into law, Dalio warned.

The Republican Party holds a slim four-seat majority in the US House of Representatives, with 218 seats compared to 214 seats held by the Democratic Party, according to data from the US House.

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US Government, United States, Elections
Polymarket 2026 US midterm election odds. Source: Polymarket

47% of traders on the prediction market Polymarket project that power will be split in the 2026 midterms, with each political party taking control of one chamber of Congress.

The Polymarket odds of a full sweep by the Democratic Party, meaning they claim a majority in both chambers, is 37% at the time of this writing.

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