Crypto World
Bitcoin, Altcoin Relief Rally Aim To Restore Pre-crash Range Highs
Key points:
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Bitcoin is attempting a comeback, which is expected to face stiff resistance at the breakdown level of $74,508.
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Several major altcoins are attempting a recovery, signaling that lower levels are attracting buyers.
Bitcoin (BTC) has risen above $68,500, as buyers attempt to form a higher low near $65,000. According to Glassnode, BTC is stuck between the true market mean at $79,200 and the realized price near $55,000. The onchain data provider expects the range-bound action to continue until a major catalyst pushes the price either above or below the range.
Standard Chartered also had a muted forecast for BTC. It lowered BTC’s target to $100,000 from $150,000 for 2026. The bank expects BTC to fall to $50,000 over the next few months, followed by a recovery for the remainder of the year.

Several analysts also say that BTC has not yet bottomed out. Crypto analyst Tony Research said in a post on X that BTC will bottom in the $40,000 to $50,000 zone, possibly “between mid-September and late November 2026.”
Could BTC and the major altcoins start a recovery? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price prediction
BTC turned up from $65,118 on Thursday, indicating demand at lower levels. The bulls will try to push the price to the breakdown level of $74,508.

If the Bitcoin price turns down sharply from the $74,508 level, it suggests that the bears remain active at higher levels. That may keep the BTC/USDT pair between $74,508 and $60,000 for a few days. On the downside, a break below the $60,000 support may sink the pair to $52,500.
Alternatively, if buyers thrust the price above $74,508, it suggests that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair may then rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($85,046).
Ether price prediction
Buyers are attempting to push and maintain Ether (ETH) above the $2,000 level, but the bears have kept up the pressure.

If the price turns down from the current level or the $2,111 resistance, it suggests that the bears are aggressively defending the level. The Ether price may then retest the critical support at $1,750. If the level cracks, the ETH/USDT pair may extend the decline to the next major support at $1,537.
On the upside, buyers will have to swiftly push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($2,297) to signal a comeback. If they manage to do that, the pair may ascend to the 50-day SMA ($2,800).
BNB price prediction
BNB (BNB) continues to gradually slide toward the strong support at $570, which is a vital level to watch out for.

If the BNB price plunges below the $570 support, it signals the start of the next leg of the downtrend toward the psychological level of $500.
However, the relative strength index (RSI) is in oversold territory, indicating that a relief rally is possible in the near term. If the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will attempt to push the BNB/USDT pair above the $669 level. If they can pull it off, the pair may march toward the 20-day EMA ($710).
XRP price prediction
XRP (XRP) has been clinging to the support line of the descending channel pattern, increasing the risk of a breakdown.

If that happens, the XRP price may drop to the $1.11 level. This is a critical level for the bulls to defend, as a break below it may resume the downtrend. The XRP/USDT pair may then fall to $1 and subsequently to $0.75.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the20-day EMA ($1.55), it suggests that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time. Buyers will have to achieve a close above the downtrend line to signal a potential trend change.
Solana price prediction
Solana (SOL) is trying to find support at the $77 level, but the bears are likely to sell on rallies.

The SOL/USDT pair may reach the breakdown level of $95, where the bears are expected to pose a strong challenge. If the price turns down sharply from the $95 level, it suggests that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. The Solana price may then plummet to the $67 level.
Conversely, if buyers push the price above the $95 level, the pair may rally to the 50-day SMA ($119). That suggests the break below the $95 level may have been a bear trap.
Dogecoin price prediction
Dogecoin (DOGE) is attempting to bounce off the $0.09 level, but the bears continue to sell on minor rallies.

If the Dogecoin price turns down and breaks below $0.09, the DOGE/USDT pair may drop to the $0.08 level. This is a crucial level for the bulls to defend, as a break below it may extend the downtrend to $0.06.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($0.10). The pair may then rally to the breakdown level of $0.12, which is likely to act as stiff resistance. A break above the $0.12 level opens the doors for a rally to $0.16.
Bitcoin Cash price prediction
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) broke below the $497 support on Thursday, but the bulls failed to sustain the lower levels.

The bulls are attempting to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($536) but are expected to face significant resistance from the bears. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $493, the BCH/USDT pair may plunge toward the $443 level.
On the contrary, if the price breaks and closes above the 20-day EMA, it suggests demand at lower levels. The Bitcoin Cash price may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($581), where the bears are again expected to mount a strong defense.
Related: Bitcoin open interest hits lows not seen since 2024: Is TradFi abandoning BTC?
Hyperliquid price prediction
Hyperliquid (HYPE) has risen back above the 20-day EMA ($30.18) on Thursday, indicating buying on dips.

The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint suggest a balance between supply and demand. Buyers will have to propel the Hyperliquid price above the $35.50 level to indicate that the corrective phase may have ended. The HYPE/USDT pair may then ascend to $44.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($27.25), it signals that the bears have an edge. The pair may then slump to the $20.82 support.
Cardano price prediction
Cardano (ADA) remains inside the descending channel pattern, indicating that the bears remain in charge.

The bears will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the price below the support line and the $0.22 level. If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair may descend to $0.20 and later to $0.15.
Instead, if the Cardano price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA ($0.29), it signals that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time. Buyers will seize control on a close above the channel.
Monero price prediction
Monero (XMR) is facing resistance at the breakdown level of $360, but the bulls have not ceded much ground to the bears.

That increases the likelihood of a break above $360. If that happens, the bears will again try to halt the recovery at the 20-day EMA ($385). However, buyers are likely to have other plans. They will try to pierce the 20-day EMA, clearing the path for a rally toward the 50-day SMA ($460).
This positive view will be negated in the near term if the Monero price continues lower and breaks below $309. The XMR/USDT pair may then plummet to $276, which is likely to attract buyers.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
Altcoins won’t recover previous highs: analyst
Cryptocurrency markets have undergone structural changes that may prevent most alternative digital assets from reaching their previous all-time highs.
Summary
- Most altcoins are unlikely to reach previous all-time highs due to liquidity issues and capital being concentrated in large-cap assets.
- The current market may be undergoing a mid-cycle reset, with most of the price decline already completed, followed by about 200 days of sideways consolidation before price expansion resumes.
- Traditional four-year cycle models may no longer apply, with the market showing faster declines and a potential earlier recovery than anticipated by the consensus view of a prolonged bear market.
Institutional capital has fundamentally altered market dynamics that previously characterized retail-driven cycles tied to Bitcoin halving events.
In 2018, approximately 1,000 cryptocurrencies traded in markets that exhibited more predictable patterns, according to the analyst. Traders typically rotated between altcoin-to-Bitcoin pairs and exited positions following post-halving bull runs. Market behavior through 2021 remained largely retail-led, with halving events carrying significant psychological influence and price patterns repeating with consistency.
That framework has since changed, according to market analyst Inmortal. Institutional investors have directed billions of dollars primarily toward Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana, along with select large-cap assets. Thousands of new tokens launched in 2025 alone, dispersing available capital across a broader range of assets.
The analyst stated that retail investors anticipated institutional capital inflows would benefit the broader market. Instead, large institutional players concentrated holdings in major assets while retail capital pursued short-term investment narratives. As liquidity is distributed across numerous tokens, potential gains for most altcoins diminished.
Under these conditions, 99% of altcoins may never return to prior all-time highs, according to the analyst’s projection. The four-year cycle models that previously guided market participants may no longer function as reliable indicators.
What happened?
The crypto market is experiencing a shift that could leave most altcoins permanently below their previous all-time highs. With liquidity spread across thousands of tokens, the chances of altcoins recovering are slim. The traditional four-year cycle models, which once guided market predictions, may no longer hold up as reliable indicators.
In the past, these cycle models worked because they were based on factors like Bitcoin halvings and limited market awareness, which made the cycles easier to predict. However, as these patterns became widely recognized, their predictive value diminished. A 2022 projection had anticipated a cycle peak around late 2025, and this was largely aligned with the market high seen in October 2025. But the current market structure is showing signs of deviation from previous cycles.
Unlike the 2018-2021 cycle, where the market saw a sharp 75% price decline followed by over a year of sideways movement, today’s decline is happening much faster. Despite this, long-term support levels, such as the 200-week moving average, have remained intact, suggesting that the market is more resilient than a typical cycle-end scenario would imply.
Instead of expecting a prolonged downturn followed by 600 days of sideways movement, the analyst believes the market may already have completed 80-90% of the expected price decline. After that, about 200 days of consolidation may occur before price expansion resumes. This suggests a mid-cycle reset, challenging the consensus view that a traditional bear market and significant losses are still on the horizon.
If this scenario plays out, the market could see an earlier-than-expected recovery, as the price compression will likely resolve more quickly than many anticipate. However, for altcoins, the outlook remains bleak, with most failing to reach their previous highs due to the concentration of capital in larger assets. Until the market decisively breaks through current support levels, the downtrend is expected to persist within a broader expansion phase.
Crypto World
MANTRA Jumps 33% after MEXC Supports Token Swap
After a fall from grace last year, Mantra is seemingly attempting a comeback with a rebrand.
Less than a year after Mantra’s OM token inexplicably plummeted 90% in minutes, the real-world asset (RWA) protocol is rebranding to a new token, and OM is up 33% today after MEXC announced its support for the token swap.
OM’s market capitalization jumped from $55 million to $72 million after the crypto exchange said it would support the upcoming migration from OM to MANTRA. MEXC will accept deposits of OM, which will be swapped 1:4 to MANTRA.
Despite rallying 33%, OM is still down 99% from its all-time high of $8.5 in February 2025 and currently trades at $0.06.

The rebranding comes just one month after Mantra announced staff cuts amidst a company restructuring.
While it remains to be seen whether this restructuring and token migration will help restore Mantra’s tarnished image, other protocols that have taken the token migration route have not fared well.
The most notable examples include Polygon’s migration from MATIC to POL, and Fantom’s migration and pivot from FTM to Sonic and its S token.
MATIC reached an all-time high fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $29.2 billion in December 2021, and POL now trades at a $1 billion FDV. FTM also reached its previous all-time high in December 2021, achieving an $11 billion FDV, but S now trades at just $171 million.
Crypto World
FedEx Joins Hedera Council to Transform Global Supply Chain Through Distributed Ledger Technology
TLDR:
- FedEx will operate a Hedera network node and hold equal voting rights with other council members.
- Hedera’s enterprise-grade distributed ledger enables secure data verification across organizations.
- FedEx executive calls digital supply chain transformation inevitable, requiring neutral trust layers.
- Partnership aims to reduce cross-border commerce friction through interoperable data verification.
FedEx Corp. announced its membership in the Hedera Council on February 13, 2026. The logistics giant will contribute operational expertise to support distributed ledger technology for global supply chains.
Hedera Council consists of leading organizations governing the Hedera network’s enterprise-grade infrastructure. FedEx will operate a network node and participate in governance decisions alongside other council members.
This partnership aims to reduce friction in cross-border commerce through secure data verification.
Strategic Focus on Digital Infrastructure
FedEx’s entry into the Hedera Council aligns with its broader digital transformation strategy. The company seeks to enable global commerce to operate at data speed rather than paper-based processes.
Vishal Talwar, executive vice president and chief digital officer at FedEx Corp., addressed this transition directly. He serves as president of FedEx Dataworks alongside his corporate role.
Talwar emphasized the inevitable nature of supply chain evolution. “The digital transformation of global supply chains is inevitable,” he stated.
Supply chains are becoming increasingly digital-native environments requiring new trust mechanisms. “Trusted data must be shared and verified across many parties without increasing risk or centralizing control,” Talwar explained.
The executive highlighted Hedera’s specific advantages for enterprise operations. “Hedera provides a neutral, enterprise-grade trust layer that enables verification at global scale,” he noted.
The platform allows organizations like FedEx to build differentiated capabilities on established infrastructure. Companies maintain control over sensitive operational data within their own environments.
The distributed ledger technology supports interoperable digital ecosystems across multiple platforms. FedEx can develop proprietary services while participating in shared verification standards.
This balance between collaboration and competition defines the council’s approach. Equal voting rights ensure no single member dominates governance decisions.
Enabling Cross-Border Commerce Efficiency
Tom Sylvester, president of the Hedera Council, welcomed the partnership announcement. “We are proud to welcome FedEx to the Council,” Sylvester said.
He recognized the company’s extensive experience in global logistics and commerce. “FedEx brings deep operational insight into global logistics and commerce,” the council president stated.
Sylvester emphasized the value of FedEx’s perspective during the industry transition. “Their perspective will be valuable as the industry transitions toward digitally native supply chains,” he explained.
The council anticipates productive collaboration on infrastructure standards. “We look forward to working together to advance trusted, interoperable data verification,” Sylvester added.
The partnership addresses growing complexity across jurisdictions and regulatory frameworks. Hedera’s verification capabilities enable secure data sharing between organizations.
Automation and digital visibility become more feasible with trusted infrastructure foundations. The technology supports continuous compliance requirements across international trade environments.
FedEx brings decades of logistics experience to infrastructure discussions. This operational knowledge helps shape practical applications for distributed ledger technology.
The focus remains on real-world implementation, addressing actual supply chain challenges. Hedera’s enterprise-grade design supports high-volume transactions while maintaining governance controls.
The partnership reflects broader industry recognition of decentralized infrastructure’s importance. Supply chain digitization requires trust mechanisms spanning organizational boundaries.
The Hedera Council model allows enterprises to collectively govern shared infrastructure. Members compete on services while cooperating on foundational technology standards.
Crypto World
ETH ETF Outflows Top $242M Despite Ether Holding $2K
Ether holds $2,000, but may remain under pressure as traders watch corporate earnings, US government debt and growing global tensions.
Key takeaways:
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Institutional demand for Ether is cooling as investors shift toward the safety of short-term US government bonds.
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High interest rates and rising ETH supply make the current staking yield less attractive for long-term holders.
Ether (ETH) price has failed to sustain levels above $2,150 since Feb. 5, leading traders to fear a further correction. Investor sentiment deteriorated following outflows from Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and increased demand for put (sell) options.

US-listed Ether ETFs saw $242 million in net outflows between Wednesday and Thursday, reversing the trend from the prior two days. The institutional demand that followed the 20% Ether price recovery after the $1,744 bottom on Feb. 6 has faded as investors noted inconsistency in US economic growth—evident by the growing demand for short-term US government bonds.

Yields on the US 2-year Treasury declined to 3.42% on Friday, nearing the lowest levels seen since August 2022. The higher demand for government-backed debt reflects traders’ expectations of further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) throughout 2026. Signs of economic stagnation reduce inflationary risks, paving the way for expansionist measures.
Regardless of macroeconomic trends, Ether has underperformed the broader cryptocurrency market, causing traders to question if Ethereum still has what it takes to compete against networks that offer base layer scalability and faster onchain activity.
Traders fear that ETH price is destined for more downside, but data seems to reflect the recent price weakness rather than the anticipation of a further crash.

Ether price declined 38% in 30 days, which negatively pressures the network’s fees and ultimately reduces incentives for staking. Long term holding is a critical component for sustainable price growth, and the current 2.9% staking yield is far from appealing, considering the US Fed target rate stands at 3.5%. Furthermore, the ETH supply is growing at an 0.8% annualized rate.
ETH derivatives metrics reflect traders’ fear of further price drops
Professional traders are not comfortable holding downside price exposure according to ETH derivatives metrics, which further reinforces the bearish sentiment.

The ETH options delta skew stood at 10% on Friday, meaning put (sell) options traded at a premium. The increased demand for neutral-to-bearish strategies causes the indicator to move above the 6% threshold, which has been the norm for the past two weeks. Traders’ mood reflects a six-month bear market as ETH trades 58% below its all-time high.
Related: Crypto investor sentiment will rise once CLARITY Act is passed–Bessent
From a broader perspective, a mere $242 million in Ether ETF outflows represents less than 2% of the total $12.7 billion in assets under management; hence, traders should not assume that ETH price has entered a death spiral. Investors’ morale will eventually recover as the network remains the absolute leader in Total Value Locked (TVL).
Traders’ attention will likely remain centered on corporate earnings results and whether the US government will be able to refinance its debt amid growing global socio-economic tensions. Under this scenario, ETH price will likely remain pressured regardless of onchain and derivatives metrics.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
Ether Holds $2K as $242M Spot ETH ETF Outflow Could Reignite Downside
Ether continues to hover near the $2,000 area, but the bulls facesheadwinds from a suite of macro and market dynamics that could cap any bounce. Traders are parsing corporate earnings guidance, the trajectory of US government debt refinancing, and mounting global tensions that can keep risk assets on a sensitive leash. After a brief rebound earlier in February, Ether has struggled to muster sustained upside as funding costs stay elevated and investors rotate toward liquidity in short-term Treasuries. The balance of on-chain activity, investor sentiment, and macro indicators will likely determine whether $2,000 acts as a magnet or a battleground for the next leg of this cycle.
Key takeaways
- Institutional demand for Ether is cooling as investors shift toward the safety of short-term US government bonds.
- High interest rates and rising ETH supply make the current staking yield less attractive for long-term holders.
- US-listed Ether ETFs posted net outflows, underscoring a shift in liquidity away from Ether-related products in the near term.
- Markets are pricing in the potential for further rate cuts by the Fed in 2026, as signs of economic stagnation temper inflationary risks.
Tickers mentioned: $ETH
Sentiment: Bearish
Price impact: Negative. Ether is facing renewed downside pressure amid macro headwinds and fading ETF inflows.
Market context: The broader crypto landscape remains heavily correlated with macro liquidity and risk sentiment. As investors reassess growth trajectories and central bank paths, flows into Ether ETFs and related instruments have become a bellwether for institutional appetite. With the 2-year US Treasury yield echoing the low- to mid-3% regime seen in recent sessions, traders anticipate a possible easing cycle later in the year, a dynamic that often trades off against appetite for higher-risk, high-utility assets like Ether.
Why it matters
Ether’s ability to sustain price strength is intimately tied to both on-chain economics and external financial conditions. The network’s staking yield—already a focal point for long-term holders—faces increased scrutiny as the annual ETH supply growth persists at roughly 0.8%. Against a backdrop of a stagnant or sluggish macro backdrop, a 2.9% staking yield becomes less compelling for risk-averse investors when the Fed’s target rate sits higher, and bond markets offer a comparatively safer carry. This dynamic can dampen the incentive to stake, potentially dampening network security metrics and long-term price resilience if the flow of fresh ETH to stake is subdued.
Market momentum has also been influenced by ETF mechanics. Recent outflows from US-listed Ether ETFs, totaling around $242 million over a short window, have erased earlier inflows that followed Ether’s bottoming around the mid-$1,700s in February. Although the outflows represent a fraction of total assets under management, they signal a shift in sentiment among institutional participants who previously sought exposure through regulated wrappers. Net flows matter because they influence price discovery and liquidity, especially in a market where players weigh the relative safety of traditional assets against the potential upside of a more scalable and active network.
From a technical and derivatives perspective, traders have grown more cautious. The options market shows a tilt toward downside protection, with the delta skew for Ether options tracing above longer-term averages as investors pay a premium for put-driven hedges or neutral-to-bearish bets. This mood aligns with the observation that the asset trades substantially below its all-time highs, and even a mid-cycle recovery may be met with sellers who view rallies as opportunities to exit risk exposure.
Even as macro narratives push risk-off tendencies, Ether’s position as the leading smart contract platform remains intact in terms of activity and TVL leadership. Yet, the near-term price path hinges on a confluence of factors: corporate earnings resonance, the pace of debt refinancing, and the macro impulse toward or away from expansionary fiscal measures. The market is also watching policy signals and potential regulatory clarity that could influence appetite for crypto assets overall. In parallel, other networks offering base-layer scalability and faster on-chain throughput keep pressuring ETH’s relative competitive stance, particularly when investors seek higher efficiency at a similar risk profile.
Overall, the market narrative remains cautious. Traders acknowledge that a meaningful downside could be tempered by supportive macro cues or favorable liquidity conditions, but the immediate trajectory appears tethered to external events rather than purely on-chain developments. In this environment, Ether’s price reactivity is likely to depend on the collectivity of earnings surprises, debt management decisions, and the speed at which risk appetite re-emerges after episodes of volatility.
What to watch next
- Upcoming corporate earnings season and guidance revisions that may influence broader risk sentiment.
- US government debt refinancing milestones and any shifts in fiscal policy that affect liquidity conditions.
- Net ETF flows for Ether products in the next reporting period and any changes in investor allocations.
- Macro data releases and Fed commentary that could solidify or alter expectations for rate cuts in 2026.
- On-chain activity and staking metrics that could alter the relative attractiveness of ETH staking over time.
Sources & verification
- US-listed Ether ETF net flow data and related commentary from market trackers and issuer analyses.
- Pricing and yield data for the US 2-year Treasury, with context on regime expectations for Fed policy.
- Historical ETH price actions, including the February bottom around $1,744 and subsequent recovery patterns.
- Derivatives metrics for ETH, including delta skew readings from Deribit via data providers.
- On-chain and market commentary describing total value locked and network leadership dynamics in short- to mid-term cycles.
Ether under pressure as macro cues weigh on ETH
Ether (Ether (CRYPTO: ETH)) has spent recent sessions hovering near the $2,000 level, with constraints on a sustained move above roughly $2,150 since early February. The hesitation is not solely technical; it reflects a complex interplay between macro policy expectations, investor risk appetite, and the evolving structure of liquidity in crypto markets. After a brief bounce off a February trough around the mid-$1,700s, Ether’s price action has cooled as traders reassess the durability of any rally in the face of higher funding costs and competing opportunities in fixed income.
One of the critical macro signals comes from the bond market. The US two-year Treasury yield has moved toward the lower end of its range, around the 3.4% area, signaling that participants anticipate a more accommodative stance from the Federal Reserve in the coming years. This shift in rate expectations tends to push investors toward safer assets, including government debt, and away from higher-beta risk assets like Ether. The dynamic is reinforced by growth signals that, at least in the near term, point toward a more tepid expansion, which reduces inflationary pressure and can further support a cautious easing bias by the Fed.
In the near term, the ETF landscape remains a focal point. After a period of resilience, US-listed Ether ETFs posted net outflows that overshadowed earlier inflows tied to the recovery from the February dip. The outflows—calibrated against a substantial asset base—suggest that some institutional participants have scaled back their near-term exposure, contributing to soft price action. This is particularly relevant given that the broader crypto market often tracks risk-on/risk-off sentiment as much as, if not more than, internal on-chain metrics.
On-chain and derivatives metrics offer a complementary view of sentiment. The ETH options market has shown elevated demand for hedges, with the delta skew for 30-day options remaining elevated and indicating a willingness among professional traders to pay for protection against downside moves. The dataset, drawn from sources measuring the put-call balance, underscores a prevailing mood of caution among market participants who are mindful of the higher probability of further drawdowns given the current macro backdrop. This sentiment aligns with the six-month bear-market narrative, as Ether trades well below its all-time high and investors weigh the risk/reward of staking versus holding for appreciation.
Supply dynamics also weigh on the long-term narrative. Ether’s annualized supply growth sits modestly positive, while the immediate yield offered by staking remains modest in comparison to the prevailing interest rate environment. For long-term holders, the attractiveness of staking becomes a function of both yield and the perceived safety of ETH as a platform with continued innovation and network effects. The tug of war between yield, risk, and network activity will help determine whether staking becomes a stronger driver of price stability or a source of selling pressure if yields fail to outpace risk premia in traditional markets.
Market leadership in on-chain activity and TVL remains a strength of the Ethereum ecosystem, which helps to anchor Ether’s longer-term narrative even as near-term price action exhibits caution. However, the combination of macro sensitivity, ETF flow dynamics, and derivatives positioning means that the path forward is likely to be incremental rather than transformative in the near term. Investors will be watching not only macro indicators and corporate earnings but also regulatory clarity and liquidity shifts that could redefine the risk landscape for crypto assets in the months ahead. The outcome will shape whether Ether can regain momentum or continue to trade in a constrained range as the market reconciles macro expectations with the evolving use cases on Ethereum’s network.
For readers tracking the broader macro and on-chain narrative, the next few weeks will be telling. If inflation eases more rapidly than anticipated or if the Fed signals a clearer path toward rate cuts, risk appetite could stabilize and support a healthier Ether environment. Conversely, if growth indicators surprise to the downside or if liquidity conditions tighten further, ETH could test new near-term lows as traders search for safety and retreat from higher-risk exposures.
Crypto World
Shiba Inu Coin price at risk as funding rate, futures open interest dives
Shiba Inu Coin price has crashed into a bear market, moving from a high of $0.00004565 in March 2024 to the current $0.0000060, and activity in the futures market points to more downside.
Summary
- Shiba Inu Coin price has dived, with its market cap falling from $41 billion to $3.7 billion.
- The futures open interest has continued falling in the past few months.
- Its weighted funding rate has remained in the red since February 5.
Shiba Inu (SHIB), the biggest meme coin on Ethereum (ETH), was trading at $0.0000060, with its market cap falling from a record high of over $41 billion to $3.7 billion today.
Data compiled by CoinGlass shows that the futures open interest has continued falling this year. It moved to just $61 million, down substantially from last July’s high of over $400 million.

Open interest is a crucial metric that measures unfilled orders in the futures market. A higher open interest when a coin is rising is a sign of increasing investor demand.
The broader open interest in the crypto market has dived in the past few months following the $20 billion liquidation event in October last year. This is one of the top reasons why Bitcoin and most altcoins have dropped.
Meanwhile, Shiba Inu’s weighted funding rate has remained in the red since February 5. A funding rate is a key data that looks at the small fee that longs and shorts in the futures market pay to hold their positions. In most cases, a falling figure indicates that traders anticipate the price will be lower.
Shiba Inu’s burn rate has dropped substantially in the past few days. It fell by over 99% on Thursday to just 483 coins, worth less than $1 were burned in the last 24 hours.
The biggest risk that SHIB faces is that it has now major catalyst that may push it higher. In addition to the falling burn rate, Shibarium’s activity has dwindled, with its total value locked falling to $856,000.
Shiba Inu Coin price technical analysis

The three-day chart shows that the SHIB price has dropped sharply in the past few months. It has constantly formed a series of lower lows and is now hovering at its lowest level since 2023.
The coin has tumbled below all moving averages, while the Relative Strength Index has formed a descending channel. It also remains below the Supertrend indicator.
Therefore, the most likely SHIB price is bearish as demand remains thin. This crash may have it move to the next key support at $0.00000050.
Crypto World
Can Bitcoin bounce back? Perhaps the peak is behind us
BlockTower founder Ari Paul believes the crypto markets are at a critical crossroads, facing two potential outcomes.
Summary
- The market may have already reached its peak, with slow real-world adoption and mixed results from initiatives like El Salvador’s Bitcoin experiment.
- Despite the downturn, Bitcoin and crypto remain attractive to speculative investors, with growing development and potential for a renewed rally.
- Bitcoin’s sustainability may be at risk if prices stagnate, with diminishing block rewards and pressure on the broader crypto industry, especially exchanges and custodians.
Paul outlined that one possibility is that the crypto market has already reached its peak, particularly for this generation of digital assets. Crypto has benefited from strong tailwinds such as mainstream awareness, political support, and relaxed regulations. However, real-world adoption has been slow, with initiatives like El Salvador’s Bitcoin experiment and various corporate trials yielding mixed results. This suggests that further downside remains possible, especially if large liquidation events occur.
On the other hand, the ongoing market downturn could be part of a larger, macro-driven correction within a broader upward trend. In a world increasingly distrustful of fiat systems, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and other cryptocurrencies remain attractive to speculative investors. Development continues, niche adoption is expanding, and a new narrative could reignite market momentum. With excess leverage and optimism recently purged, Paul believes the fundamentals may be quietly improving, setting the stage for another upward move driven by coordinated capital flows.
Given these possibilities, Paul advocates for a moderate allocation to crypto, citing the potential for asymmetric upside. However, he also acknowledges the risk of a deeper crash, with prices possibly falling to the $15,000–$40,000 range before any sustained recovery. Currently, Paul is long during the bounce and plans to reassess his position around the $90,000 Bitcoin level.
Paul also raised concerns about Bitcoin’s long-term viability. If BTC stabilizes without significant price growth, the decline in block rewards could put pressure on the network’s security budget. The broader crypto industry, which relies heavily on speculative inflows and transaction-based revenue models, could face significant strain in a stagnant price environment. In this case, Bitcoin might persist as a niche or collectible asset, but at lower valuations, with many holders potentially exiting if the upside appears capped.
Crypto World
Crypto Flows Tied to Suspected Human Trafficking Reached ‘Hundreds of Millions’ in 2025: Chainalysis
The payments represent an 85% year-over-year increase, according to the report.
Cryptocurrency payments tied to suspected human trafficking services rose 85% in 2025, reaching hundreds of millions of dollars, according to a new report from Chainalysis.
Much of the activity is linked to groups operating in Southeast Asia, the report said, adding that nearly half of transactions from Telegram-based “international escort” services were for over $10,000.
Researchers also found that most payments in these networks were made using stablecoins, while other categories, such as CSAM vendors, used more Bitcoin or privacy coins (specifically Monero) for laundering. “Instant exchangers, which provide rapid and anonymous cryptocurrency swapping without KYC requirements, play a crucial role in this process,” the report reads.
The findings underscore how trafficking networks (and illicit actors in general) are increasingly relying on cryptocurrency to move funds faster and operate around the world.
Chainalysis looked at several types of activity, including escort services, recruitment agents tied to forced labor, prostitution, and vendors selling child pornography. The firm also found payments spanning the Americas, Europe, and Australia.
Still, despite the rise in activity, the firm said cryptocurrency use could also help investigators because of its transparency, making it easier for authorities to trace funds and identify both suspicious and known patterns in pricing. “Standardized pricing models create identifiable transaction patterns that investigators and compliance teams can use to detect suspicious activity at scale,” the report reads.
Looking ahead, Chainalysis said trafficking networks will likely keep evolving their tactics, but better pattern-recognition tools and efficient cooperation between crypto companies and authorities could help detect and disrupt these operations.
Crypto World
LayerZero Unveils Zero L1 Blockchain With DTCC, ICE, and Citadel Partnerships
TLDR:
- Zero launches with 165 blockchain connections through LayerZero’s existing messaging infrastructure.
- DTCC, ICE, and Citadel partnerships bring $3.7 quadrillion in annual securities clearing to the platform.
- Real-time ZK proof system enables transaction finalization in seconds versus traditional batching delays.
- Three specialized zones handle general computing, private payments, and trading with 2M TPS capacity each.
LayerZero has announced Zero, a new Layer 1 blockchain designed to address institutional barriers in digital asset adoption.
The network features three specialized zones for general computing, private payments, and trading infrastructure. Zero leverages LayerZero’s existing interoperability protocol to connect with 165 blockchains at launch.
Major financial institutions including DTCC, ICE, and Citadel have announced partnerships with the platform.
Technical Architecture Addresses Scalability Constraints
Traditional blockchain networks face performance limitations because every validator processes identical transactions.
According to analysis from Delphi Digital, “blockchains are slow because every node does the same work.” This redundant design ensures security but restricts throughput across the network. Zero implements a different model that separates transaction execution from verification processes.
The platform employs a smaller group of block producers to execute transactions and generate zero-knowledge proofs.
Validators then verify these proofs rather than re-executing every transaction. Delphi Digital notes that validators download “less than 0.5% of actual block data,” which lets the network scale without forcing all participants to operate expensive hardware infrastructure.
LayerZero rebuilt the technology stack across multiple layers to eliminate bottlenecks. The system includes QMDB for storage operations, FAFO for parallel execution, SVID for networking functions, and Jolt Pro for proof generation.
FAFO manages parallel compute scheduling. LayerZero claims their system “achieves over 1 million transactions per second” through this architecture.
Proof generation represents the most challenging technical component. Current zero-knowledge systems batch thousands of transactions to offset computational costs, creating delays in finalization.
LayerZero addresses this through real-time proving technology. The company states its Jolt Pro system “can generate proofs fast enough for transactions to finalize in seconds.”
This approach could eliminate latency issues that currently limit zero-knowledge chains in high-frequency applications.
Institutional Partnerships Signal Market Strategy
Zero operates as a standalone L1 that integrates with LayerZero’s messaging protocol. The network maintains EVM compatibility, allowing developers to deploy existing Solidity contracts without modifications.
Each of Zero’s three zones shares a common settlement layer while executing independently. LayerZero claims “each zone can handle 2M TPS with horizontal scaling as more zones are added.”
Tether’s USDt0 stablecoin already runs on this infrastructure. Delphi Digital reports the token has moved “over $70 billion in crosschain transfers since launch.”
This existing adoption demonstrates the network’s operational capacity before the broader Zero platform launches.
The project secured partnerships with established financial institutions on the same announcement day. DTCC clears $3.7 quadrillion in securities annually and operates core settlement infrastructure for U.S. markets.
ICE owns the New York Stock Exchange and manages trading platforms across multiple asset classes. Citadel ranks among the largest market makers globally, handling substantial daily trading volume.
Delphi Digital observes that “institutions want blockchain rails but won’t use what exists.” Fragmentation across multiple chains and transparent transaction records prevent many institutions from adopting existing platforms.
The payments zone incorporates privacy features designed to meet confidentiality requirements for institutional money movement. This positions Zero as infrastructure for regulated entities rather than retail cryptocurrency users.
Crypto World
Grayscale files S-1 application for AAVE Spot ETF
Grayscale Investments has reportedly submitted an S-1 application to the Securities and Exchange Commission for an AAVE spot exchange-traded fund, according to regulatory filings.
Summary
- The largest digital asset manager has previously filed applications for various digital asset investment products.
- AAVE, a decentralized finance protocol, has recently drawn attention following a governance vote on decentralizing its operational structure.
The filing comes as AAVE, a decentralized finance protocol, has drawn attention following a governance vote on decentralizing its operational structure. The proposal received support from the AAVE community, according to reports.
Grayscale, the largest digital asset manager, has not released additional details regarding the timing or structure of the proposed ETF.
The company manages billions of dollars in cryptocurrency assets and has previously filed applications for various digital asset investment products, including spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that received SEC approval in recent years.
AAVE is a lending protocol that allows users to borrow and lend cryptocurrencies without intermediaries. The token serves as the governance mechanism for the protocol’s decentralized autonomous organization.
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